Risk of Ruin – Details, episodes & analysis

Jake Hoselton is the CEO of Grass Clippings. Pete Wilson is the CMO of Grass Clippings. Howard Lindzon is the Managing Partner of Social Leverage.

The guests talk about trying to build a new high stakes par 3 golf league.

Links:

2024 Grass Clippings Open
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cX0ktag2kA
2024 Good Good Desert Open
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PE7t7K173-U

Follow Grass Clippings on X (formerly Twitter):
https://x.com/GrassClippingsc
Follow Howard Lindzon on X (formerly Twitter):
https://x.com/howardlindzon

Follow the show on X (formerly Twitter): 
https://x.com/halfkelly

Support the show links:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTMUqap_Z0D9832cOl5wYxUs16Byr6xx-iAZzrRL3VU/edit

David Orr is a former poker player turned fund manager. He started out investing with a value bias, and then eventually did a 180 and started shorting value traps. He talks about how his strategy evolved and also his plan to grow his fund.

Follow David on Twitter: https://twitter.com/orrdavid

Support the show links: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1YTMUqap_Z0D9832cOl5wYxUs16Byr6xx-iAZzrRL3VU/edit

Follow the show on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Email: risk of ruin pod at gmail

Richard Munchkin and Darryl Purpose are career advantage players. Over the past 40 years they've teamed up to win millions of dollars from casinos. In this episode they recount some of the war stories and also offer reflections on the nature of teamwork.

Darryl Purpose's music website: https://darrylpurpose.com/
Richard Munchkin / Gambing With an Edge: https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/category/podcast/
Earlier episode of Risk of Ruin featuring Richard and Darryl: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/david-goliath-part-i/id1527018692?i=1000493338179
James Grosjean's "Beyond Coupons": https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/gambling-with-an-edge/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/beyondcouponsbjfo.pdf


Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail
Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Jason Strasser is the co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Caption Partners. While in college Jason became a high stakes poker player and was making $100k/month before he left competitive poker for Wall Street. Today he generates his edge trading options, looking for one-off events where the volatility of the options are mispriced by algorithms.

Follow Jason on Twitter: https://twitter.com/strassa2

Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail
Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Evan Tindell is a former poker player and now is the CIO of Bireme Capital. He talks about how he got into the market, and also his value investing based process for finding investments.

Follow Evan on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/evantindell

Bireme Capital Blog Post on Meta:
https://www.biremecapital.com/blog/pounding-the-table-on-meta

Risk of Ruin Podcast Newsletter:
https://riskofruinpod.substack.com/

Email the show risk of ruin pod at gmail.

Follow the show on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/halfkelly

John Hempton runs Bronte Capital, which generates its excess returns primarily through shorting fraudulent companies. John walks through a hypothetical short, explaining how they find it, how they size positions, and the kinds of returns that can be expected. He also discusses his shorts of Valeant Pharmaceutical and Wirecard.

John Hempton on Twitter: https://twitter.com/John_Hempton
John's Blog: http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/
Netflix documentary on Valeant: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7909184/

Email the show: riskofruinpod@gmail.com
Follow the show on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly

Marc Cohodes made a living exposing fraudulent companies, and profiting when their stock prices collapsed. But the life of a short seller is spent on a high wire because executives willing to engage in fraud don't play by the rules when their freedom is at stake. Marc tells the stories of the adversity he's faced holding public companies accountable.

Marc recounts the war stories from his shorts of iomega, TCBY, Lernout & Hauspie, Novastar Financial, Jos. A Bank, Bally Manufacturing, Direct Focus, and more.

Follow Marc on Twitter: @alderlaneeggs
Marc's Mimedx Website: http://petiteparkerthebarker.com/

Email the show: riskofruinpod@gmail.com
Twitter: @halfkelly

In 2022 Elon Musk signed an agreement to purchase Twitter. Then all hell broke loose. This episode is about that merger, the investors that traded it, and the most valuable Twitter follow to come out of the saga.

Guests:
Chris DeMuth - Rangeley Capital
https://twitter.com/ChrisDeMuthJr
Evan Tindell - Bireme Capital
https://twitter.com/evantindell
Chance, Editor in Chief of The Chancery Daily
https://twitter.com/chancery_daily

Media Clips Used:
Tesla 3rd Quarter Earnings Call
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_SOWBDCQnM
David Faber, CNBC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycx4b9-2nFU
Yahoo News, Biden Administration Reviewing Twitter Deal
https://www.yahoo.com/video/u-weighs-security-review-musks-010913575.html
Carolyn Berger Appearance on CNBC
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/07/13/twitter-is-in-a-very-strong-position-to-be-on-the-winning-side-says-ret-delaware-supreme-court-justice.html
Elon Musk Sold Zip2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9mczdODqzo
Peter Thiel Comments on Elon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y11uX8X6iz4
Tesla Shareholder Meeting
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49e7LrxS3FQ&feature=emb_title
SEC Sues Musk Over Funding Secured Tweets
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjqp7LTb2B4&t=56s

Erik Seidel and Steve Zolotow were among the gamblers to come out of the storied Mayfair Club in New York City. The Mayfair inspired some of the locations in Rounders, and is also known for the breadth of success that its players have had in poker. The episode covers the history of the club, its bridge and backgammon roots, and the careers of Erik and Steve.

Special thanks to Larry Bernstein.

Email the show: Risk of ruin pod at gmail
Twitter: @halfkelly

Follow Erik on Twitter: @Erik_Seidel

Jim and Dan Pasko talk about their father and son sportsbetting operation. The Paskos use math to find positive EV bets like correlated parlays and player props. Jim Pasko has been a professional gambler for almost his entire adult life, first starting as a backgammon player during the heyday of that game. Dan joined him in professional gambling when they found opportunities with the early internet sportsbooks.

Follow Dan on Twitter: @dan_pasko
Follow the show on Twitter: @halfkelly
Email the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail.