What's Next For Markets – Détails, épisodes et analyse

In this discussion, we are joined by Jordy Visser to delve into how exponential innovation, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), is reshaping traditional business cycles. The conversation covers the potential of AI to drive earnings, enhance productivity, and impact labor markets, suggesting that the forthcoming PMI cycle could be one of the most significant in decades. We explore why AI isn't merely a bubble and its role in the evolving market dynamics. Additionally, the discussion touches on the societal impact of AI, its potential to reduce costs in various sectors, and the broad economic implications of these technological shifts. The episode concludes with a speculative outlook on market volatility, potential hedge fund disruptions, and the long-term societal adjustments required to navigate this AI-driven future.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, Emily Needell sits down with Amy McAneny, partner and private equity tax leader at PWC, to discuss the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) and its implications for individual and institutional investors. Amy explains critical changes such as the permanent 37% top individual tax rate, increased standard deductions, and enhanced depreciation deductions for US-based companies. The episode also explores how these tax updates impact U.S. businesses, potential benefits for retail investors, and the international tax landscape. Amy emphasizes that while there are numerous tweaks and improvements, the bill is largely positive for investment growth and economic stability.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

This week on What’s Next for Markets I’m sharing a short excerpt from my hour-long conversation with Adam Taggart (Thoughtful Money). We discuss why the current backdrop looks like a post-inflation-shock “Goldilocks” environment, why earnings breadth appears to be healing, and what a broader leadership profile could mean for small caps, cyclicals, housing, and manufacturing.
Decide for yourself—does a slower, steadier expansion favor active over passive? To watch the full discussion with Adam, go to https://youtu.be/SMtZxM94QII?si=AHP0hWaFkNdi5Wol

In this episode, we discuss the uncommon, but not unprecedented, correlation between rising equity markets and increasing unemployment rates. We discuss the historical examples from the 1950s, 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s to demonstrate how higher unemployment can actually be beneficial for stock prices in periods of inflation. The conversation covers the changing market dynamics post-2022's inflation shock and how current market behaviors differ from recent periods of rising unemployment. The episode aims to provide clarity on the counterintuitive relationship between bad news and market performance.

In this episode, we welcome Alex Goldfarb to discuss the broad and complex world of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and the real estate industry. Alex sheds light on the transformation of real estate from a niche asset class to a mainstream investment option, highlighting the current trends and challenges in the sector. He delves into the dynamics of various real estate segments, including commercial offices, data centers, and warehousing, as well as the impact of interest rates and the post-COVID landscape. The discussion also covers the perceived risks versus actual performance of real estate during economic downturns and the diverse opportunities available for investors. With a special focus on the nuanced and often misunderstood areas of real estate, this episode provides valuable insights for anyone interested in the sector.

For full disclosure information visit: www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

Bio:
Alexander Goldfarb is a managing director and senior research analyst at Piper Sandler. Previously, he was a managing director and the senior REIT analyst in the research department of Sandler O’Neill + Partners, L.P. Goldfarb joined the firm in 2009 following two years as a director and senior REIT analyst at UBS and five years at Lehman Brothers where he was a vice president and REIT analyst. Goldfarb holds a Master of Business Administration degree from the F.W. Olin Graduate School of Business at Babson College and a bachelor’s degree from Wheaton College

In this episode, we discuss recent market trends and economic data. We dig into the upcoming flood of macroeconomic data and the implications of the Fed's upcoming actions. The discussion covers investor sentiment, the softening labor market, falling interest rates, and their influence on the markets, especially in housing and smaller companies. The episode discusses the importance of expectations in interpreting macro data and the broader economic context. Tune in for a comprehensive overview of what's driving the markets and what to watch for in the coming weeks.

For full disclosure information visit: www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode of What's Next for Markets, we discuss the market's performance as we enter September, a typically weak month for equities. Despite initial volatility, the markets have been performing well, led by higher beta and value names. The discussion delves into sectoral leadership, factor performance, and the influence of major stocks like the 'Mag seven' on the overall market. The episode covers the impact of inflation, employment data, and interest rates, highlighting how recent trends have created a 'Goldilocks' scenario for investors. We also touch on the broader economic indicators, anticipating potential trends and volatility in the near term while maintaining a positive outlook for the market heading into 2026.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the impressive recent performance in the equity markets, noting new all-time highs in the S&P 500 and significant gains since April. They explore the annualized returns, emphasizing the distinction between large growth and smaller cap stocks, and the effect of sustained higher interest rates on the latter. They delve into the anticipation of potential Fed rate cuts and discuss how these could impact small caps and the broader economy. The importance of monitoring key economic indicators like employment, inflation, and housing activity to ensure the continued positive trajectory of the market is highlighted.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode of What’s Next for Markets?, Michael Kantrowitz is joined by Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on the Fed, markets, and the bigger forces shaping the economy. Fresh off Jackson Hole, Michael and Jim dig into Jerome Powell’s latest message, the tension between inflation risks and a weakening labor market, and how immigration plays into the Fed’s calculus.

They also tackle the bond market’s reaction, the rise of retail traders and zero-day options, the persistent struggles of small caps versus large caps, and why housing affordability remains stuck in crisis mode. Jim explains why he believes we’re in a permanently different post-COVID economy, what that means for rates and inflation, and why productivity and demographics may hold the key to the next cycle.

Whether you’re focused on yields, earnings, or market structure, this conversation is packed with insights on how to navigate today’s crosscurrents.

In this episode, we dive into the complexities of the tech sector. The discussion highlights the significant growth and earnings performance of the tech industry, comparing today's landscape to the tech bubble of 2000. The episode also explore the relative performance of small caps and global tech, highlighting the importance of strong fundamentals over sector labels. The conversation touches on portfolio management strategies and the divergent performances of various market sectors, concluding with insights into the challenges and potential of healthcare and industrial stocks.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures