In this discussion, we are joined by Jordy Visser to delve into how exponential innovation, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), is reshaping traditional business cycles. The conversation covers the potential of AI to drive earnings, enhance productivity, and impact labor markets, suggesting that the forthcoming PMI cycle could be one of the most significant in decades. We explore why AI isn't merely a bubble and its role in the evolving market dynamics. Additionally, the discussion touches on the societal impact of AI, its potential to reduce costs in various sectors, and the broad economic implications of these technological shifts. The episode concludes with a speculative outlook on market volatility, potential hedge fund disruptions, and the long-term societal adjustments required to navigate this AI-driven future.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, Emily Needell sits down with Amy McAneny, partner and private equity tax leader at PWC, to discuss the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB) and its implications for individual and institutional investors. Amy explains critical changes such as the permanent 37% top individual tax rate, increased standard deductions, and enhanced depreciation deductions for US-based companies. The episode also explores how these tax updates impact U.S. businesses, potential benefits for retail investors, and the international tax landscape. Amy emphasizes that while there are numerous tweaks and improvements, the bill is largely positive for investment growth and economic stability.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

This week on What’s Next for Markets I’m sharing a short excerpt from my hour-long conversation with Adam Taggart (Thoughtful Money). We discuss why the current backdrop looks like a post-inflation-shock “Goldilocks” environment, why earnings breadth appears to be healing, and what a broader leadership profile could mean for small caps, cyclicals, housing, and manufacturing.
Decide for yourself—does a slower, steadier expansion favor active over passive? To watch the full discussion with Adam, go to https://youtu.be/SMtZxM94QII?si=AHP0hWaFkNdi5Wol

In this episode, we discuss the uncommon, but not unprecedented, correlation between rising equity markets and increasing unemployment rates. We discuss the historical examples from the 1950s, 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s to demonstrate how higher unemployment can actually be beneficial for stock prices in periods of inflation. The conversation covers the changing market dynamics post-2022's inflation shock and how current market behaviors differ from recent periods of rising unemployment. The episode aims to provide clarity on the counterintuitive relationship between bad news and market performance.

In this episode, we welcome Alex Goldfarb to discuss the broad and complex world of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and the real estate industry. Alex sheds light on the transformation of real estate from a niche asset class to a mainstream investment option, highlighting the current trends and challenges in the sector. He delves into the dynamics of various real estate segments, including commercial offices, data centers, and warehousing, as well as the impact of interest rates and the post-COVID landscape. The discussion also covers the perceived risks versus actual performance of real estate during economic downturns and the diverse opportunities available for investors. With a special focus on the nuanced and often misunderstood areas of real estate, this episode provides valuable insights for anyone interested in the sector.

For full disclosure information visit: www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

Bio:
Alexander Goldfarb is a managing director and senior research analyst at Piper Sandler. Previously, he was a managing director and the senior REIT analyst in the research department of Sandler O’Neill + Partners, L.P. Goldfarb joined the firm in 2009 following two years as a director and senior REIT analyst at UBS and five years at Lehman Brothers where he was a vice president and REIT analyst. Goldfarb holds a Master of Business Administration degree from the F.W. Olin Graduate School of Business at Babson College and a bachelor’s degree from Wheaton College

In this episode, we discuss recent market trends and economic data. We dig into the upcoming flood of macroeconomic data and the implications of the Fed's upcoming actions. The discussion covers investor sentiment, the softening labor market, falling interest rates, and their influence on the markets, especially in housing and smaller companies. The episode discusses the importance of expectations in interpreting macro data and the broader economic context. Tune in for a comprehensive overview of what's driving the markets and what to watch for in the coming weeks.

For full disclosure information visit: www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode of What's Next for Markets, we discuss the market's performance as we enter September, a typically weak month for equities. Despite initial volatility, the markets have been performing well, led by higher beta and value names. The discussion delves into sectoral leadership, factor performance, and the influence of major stocks like the 'Mag seven' on the overall market. The episode covers the impact of inflation, employment data, and interest rates, highlighting how recent trends have created a 'Goldilocks' scenario for investors. We also touch on the broader economic indicators, anticipating potential trends and volatility in the near term while maintaining a positive outlook for the market heading into 2026.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the impressive recent performance in the equity markets, noting new all-time highs in the S&P 500 and significant gains since April. They explore the annualized returns, emphasizing the distinction between large growth and smaller cap stocks, and the effect of sustained higher interest rates on the latter. They delve into the anticipation of potential Fed rate cuts and discuss how these could impact small caps and the broader economy. The importance of monitoring key economic indicators like employment, inflation, and housing activity to ensure the continued positive trajectory of the market is highlighted.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode of What’s Next for Markets?, Michael Kantrowitz is joined by Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on the Fed, markets, and the bigger forces shaping the economy. Fresh off Jackson Hole, Michael and Jim dig into Jerome Powell’s latest message, the tension between inflation risks and a weakening labor market, and how immigration plays into the Fed’s calculus.

They also tackle the bond market’s reaction, the rise of retail traders and zero-day options, the persistent struggles of small caps versus large caps, and why housing affordability remains stuck in crisis mode. Jim explains why he believes we’re in a permanently different post-COVID economy, what that means for rates and inflation, and why productivity and demographics may hold the key to the next cycle.

Whether you’re focused on yields, earnings, or market structure, this conversation is packed with insights on how to navigate today’s crosscurrents.

In this episode, we dive into the complexities of the tech sector. The discussion highlights the significant growth and earnings performance of the tech industry, comparing today's landscape to the tech bubble of 2000. The episode also explore the relative performance of small caps and global tech, highlighting the importance of strong fundamentals over sector labels. The conversation touches on portfolio management strategies and the divergent performances of various market sectors, concluding with insights into the challenges and potential of healthcare and industrial stocks.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, we wrap up 2Q earnings and look ahead to key data to watch. We discuss the generally positive market sentiment, driven by factors such as the pricing out of tariff and inflation risks and anticipation of rate cuts. A key focus is the upcoming CPI report on August 12th and its potential impact on the market’s “Goldilocks” narrative. We also explore trends in small caps versus large caps, inflation indicators, and rate-sensitive equities.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, We sit down with Benson Durham Head of Global Policy and Asset Allocation to discuss the dynamic landscape of financial markets amid key events and economic indicators. The conversation delves into the relationship between Chairman Powell and President Trump, market reactions to inflation and employment data, and the potential for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. They analyze the recent soft payroll report and its implications, discuss the influence of tariffs, and explore how the Fed's decision-making process might evolve. The discussion also covers the long-term expectations for inflation, the anticipated impact of Federal Reserve policies, and the role of artificial intelligence and advanced econometric models in current financial analysis. Moreover, Benson shares personal anecdotes about his hobby of maintaining a vintage car, providing a human touch to an otherwise data-heavy discussion.

In this episode, we’re joined by Danny Kirsch, Head of Options Strategy and the Trading Team at Piper Sandler. We recap the year’s market activity, discuss notable trading strategies, and look ahead to year-end and early-2025 positioning. Topics include key market catalysts, a standout options trade involving retail and the financial sector as optimistic bets for next year, and the potential impact of Fed rate cuts. We also cover shifting sentiment around AI and big tech, the influence of upcoming tax refunds, and how ongoing tariff-related court cases could shape the market. Danny also breaks down his approach to trading around holiday periods and explains how volatility and delta decay can contribute to end-of-year rallies.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, long-time colleagues Michael and Emily delve into the current state of the financial markets as they hit record highs. They discuss the impressive rebounds seen in meme stocks and high beta ETFs, along with the broader market's resilience despite underlying concerns. Key topics include the potential for continued bullish momentum, the impact of Federal Reserve policies on interest rates, and the influence of macroeconomic data on market trends. They also explore the unique market dynamics characterized by large-cap stock leadership and the relative underperformance of small-cap stocks. The conversation wraps up with insights into the future trajectory of financials, the housing market, and the speculative surge in Bitcoin.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures.

In this episode, we discuss with Danny Kirsch the parallels between current market complacency and pre-Liberation Day conditions. Danny explores the implications of extreme call buying, SPACs resurgence, and market liquidity. The episode covers the market dynamics, examining the Fed's pressure to cut rates and its impact on long-term yields, the role of volatility control strategies, and the influence of upcoming events like the August 1st market event. We delve into detailed analyses of credit spreads, equity exposure, inflation expectations, and potential catalysts like the AI summit and policy changes. The conversation also highlights strategies for hedging market risks and the impact of speculative trades in cryptos and tech stocks.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures.

In this episode, Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, joins us to explore the concept of "quality" in stocks. We discuss how quality is defined, the key metrics used to identify high-quality companies, and common misconceptions surrounding the term. Indicators such as high profitability, strong interest coverage ratios, and robust free cash flow are highlighted as hallmarks of quality. We also challenge traditional assumptions, including the notion that low leverage and high dividend yields necessarily signal quality. Finally, the episode examines why quality stocks have consistently outperformed in recent years, particularly in a range-bound economic environment with elevated interest rates.

In this episode, we have in an in-depth discussion with economist Jake Oubina about the current economic landscape. We discuss the Federal Reserve's potential actions, inflation trends, and the housing market outlook. Jake shares his insights on how uncertainty over the past six months has affected consumer behavior, housing, and labor markets. He emphasizes the importance of lower interest rates, deregulation, and capital investment to stimulate economic growth. The discussion also touches upon the quality of economic data, including CPI and employment figures, and how alternative data sources can provide a more accurate picture. Jake concludes by addressing the complexities of inflation post-COVID and the impact of tariff policies on economic growth. This episode offers a comprehensive look at the factors shaping the current economy and provides actionable insights for market participants.

In this episode, we speak with Alex Potter senior research analyst at Piper Sandler and take a deep dive into Tesla and its disruptive influence. The conversation touches on various broad topics including automakers, EVs, politics, infrastructure, energy usage, and technology. The discussion highlights Tesla's transformation of the auto industry and its broadened scope influencing tech, industrials, consumer and energy sectors. Alex discusses Tesla's comparison to Amazon and Apple, suggesting Tesla is more than an automaker, much like Amazon is more than a bookseller. Other points include the role of policy and global EV adoption trends, especially contrasting the aggressive EV policies in China with the more tempered approach in the U.S. The conversation also covers Tesla's unique approach to manufacturing, supply chains, and advanced technologies, including real-world artificial general intelligence. Overall, a detailed exploration of Tesla's current influence and future potential in the global market.

In this episode we discuss the market trends and events from the first half of 2025. Joined by Emily Needell, Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, the conversation covers the market's responses to policy changes, such as tariffs and deregulation, and the broad economic data trends this year. They highlight the v-shaped recovery and the bifurcation seen across different sectors and factors, indicating a mixed recovery. Emily also provides insight into future market expectations, emphasizing the importance of quality and balanced investment strategies amid continuing uncertainties. The discussion ends with a focus on the risks posed by rising oil prices and ongoing high tariff levels.

In today’s episode, we discuss the ongoing uncertainty in global markets and reflect on the events from the past five years, including COVID-19, inflation, interest rates, geopolitical and their compounded effects on market volatility. In the episode, we provide insights into how investors can position amidst these uncertainties by focusing on companies with robust fundamentals and macro resilience. Despite the volatility and unpredictability, they emphasize the importance of not reacting impulsively to macro fears and maintaining a well-balanced portfolio.

In this episode, Don Schneider Deputy Head of U.S. Policy at Piper Sandler helps us unravel the ongoing political volatility impacting the markets. We discuss the significant topic of the budget reconciliation bill, detailing its current status, timeline for passage, and the key components it entails including tax cuts, spending cuts, and the consequential impacts on the fiscal outlook and growth trajectory. In the episode we address clients' concerns about the new fiscal trajectory, and the interaction between the budget bill and Trump's ongoing tariff policies, assessing their combined effects on growth and treasury issuance. The podcast also covers potential Senate amendments and the risk of the bill not passing, alongside the potential policy focus for investors post-passage. Additionally, we delve into the retaliatory Section 899 tax on foreign multinationals, elaborating on its implications and underlying motivations.

In this episode, Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, joins hosts Michael and Steven to discuss the transformative journey and mission behind 42 Macro. Darius shares his background in Wall Street investment research and highlights the company's unique approach to providing equal access to high-quality investment insights for both institutional and retail investors. He delves into the challenges of navigating various investor profiles, the importance of continuous education, and the evolution of his systematic investment process. The discussion also touches on the importance of considering fiscal policy, cryptocurrencies, and the macroeconomic landscape's impact on investment strategies. The episode offers a deep dive into how 42 Macro aims to democratize access to top-tier investment research, and sheds light on Darius's personal journey and professional pivots.

In this episode, we discuss the recent movements in the market amid ever-changing political narratives. We delve into the factors influencing valuations, including interest rates, inflation, and macroeconomic data. The conversation also covers the impact of recent policy changes—such as Trump’s fluctuating tariffs on the EU—and how they contribute to market volatility.

We examine the current state of the S&P 500, highlighting elevated multiples supported by favorable conditions like low energy prices and high profit margins. With a focus on earnings, we explore growth projections for both large-cap and small-cap companies, along with the varying economic conditions affecting different sectors.

The episode also addresses ongoing interest rate narratives and potential market outcomes based on earnings and valuation multiples. Lastly, we outline key upcoming data points and events to watch, including consumer confidence, durable goods orders, and GDP data, as well as potential policy impacts from the White House.

In this episode, we discuss the market outlook and the economic cycle through Michael’s HOPE framework. We outline the four pillars—Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment—and examine current themes, including an “E-shaped” economy. The conversation explores leading indicators that may signal improvement in 2026, trends in the housing market, and the broader impact of employment dynamics on growth. Michael remains optimistic about a gradual economic recovery and a steady improvement across key sectors in the coming years.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, we delve into recent market movements following tariff announcements and pauses. The discussion covers the sharp decline and subsequent recovery of the S&P 500, highlighting sector-specific performance and the varying recovery trajectories of different market segments. The episode also covers broader economic concerns, including credit card delinquency rates, inflation, and consumer demand, emphasizing the importance of high-quality and balanced portfolios amidst ongoing market volatility and economic uncertainties. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

In this episode, we talk with Craig Fuller, CEO of FreightWaves, about the significant shifts and challenges in global supply chains, with a particular focus on the impact of tariffs and geopolitical events. Craig outlines the evolution of supply chains, the effects of the U.S.-China trade war, and the broader ramifications of tariffs on global trade and logistics. He discusses potential shortages in certain goods and the adaptability of supply chains in response to these disruptions. The conversation also explores the possibility of a surge in freight demand if a resolution to the trade conflict is reached.

In this episode, we discuss the eventful month of April in the markets, highlighting the resurgence of the S&P 500 and the significant influence of policy shifts on market dynamics. The episode delves into the impact of tariff-related rhetoric, the effect of proposed tax cuts, and the ongoing balance between sentiment and fundamental data. We cover the importance of maintaining a balanced investment approach and what data to watch. Make sure to tune in next week for insights from Craig Fuller, CEO of FreightWaves, on the tariff impact on the supply chain.

In this episode of What's Next for Markets, Michael Kantrowitz, Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, and Josh Rogin, Lead Global Security Analyst at Washington Post Intelligence, delve into the ongoing market volatility driven by shifting policies and geopolitical dynamics. They discuss the breakdown of traditional silos between Wall Street, Washington, and Silicon Valley, the impact of U.S.-China relations on global markets, and the internal dynamics of the Trump administration. The conversation highlights the intersection of politics and financial markets, shedding light on the intricate power struggles and economic strategies that could shape future market trends.

Josh Rogin is Lead Global Security Analyst at Washington Post Intelligence. Since 2016, Josh has served as a columnist for the Global Opinions section of the Washington Post. He is also the author of Chaos Under Heaven: Trump, Xi, and the Battle for the 21st Century (Mariner Books).

Previously, Josh has covered foreign policy and national security for Bloomberg View, Newsweek, The Daily Beast, Foreign Policy magazine, Congressional Quarterly, Federal Computer Week magazine, and Japan’s Asahi Shimbun.  Josh has been recognized with the Interaction Award for Excellence in International Reporting and as a Finalist for the Livingston Award for Young Journalists. He has also received journalism fellowships from the Knight Foundation, the East-West Center, and the National Press Foundation. 

Josh holds a BA in international affairs from the George Washington University and studied at Sophia University in Tokyo, Japan. He lives in Washington, DC 

Find more information about WP Intelligence here:

https://demo.wpintelligence.com/

Find more about Josh here:

https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshrogin/

https://x.com/joshrogin

https://www.instagram.com/joshrogin/

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the current state of small cap equity investing. Small cap equities have underperformed their larger cap equity counterparts for nearly five years. We explore the factors contributing to this trend, including higher interest rates, slowing economic growth, and recent tariff news. Despite current challenges, the conversation highlights potential positive catalysts that could improve the outlook for small caps, emphasizing their role in a diversified portfolio and the importance of focusing on quality and stability within the small cap space.

In this episode, we’re joined by Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, for a wide-ranging conversation on market cycles, long-term investing, and the shifting dynamics in the macro landscape.

Jurrien shares how his background in technical analysis has evolved into a storytelling approach to macro strategy. We dive into:

• The interplay between technicals and macro data
• Why market signals matter more than hard predictions
• How Jurrien defines and interprets cycles — and what might be different this time
• How he integrates behavioral finance into his framework
• The risks and opportunities he’s watching in 2025

Whether you're an investor navigating uncertainty or a macro enthusiast trying to connect the dots, this episode delivers timeless perspective and practical insights from one of Fidelity's most respected voices.

Connect with Jurrien Timmer:

• X (Twitter): @TimmerFidelity

••LinkedIn: Jurrien Timmer

In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets', we discuss the recent tumultuous week for markets in the wake tariff announcements. We will cover our initial reaction to the moves in the market along with the emerging macro and earnings risks. The episode touches on market sentiment, valuation metrics, and historical parallels. Importantly, in today’s episode we look beyond the obvious bearish narrative to what could go right from here.

How resilient is the U.S. consumer? In today’s episode of What’s Next For Markets we speak with a 20-year veteran on Wall Street, senior research analyst, Peter Keith who covers consumer stocks in the hardline and breadlines industries at Piper Sandler. In this insightful conversation we explore consumer behavior through the lens of Peter’s proprietary mattress sales index and its implications for the broader economic landscape. The discussion highlights key retailers such as Home Depot, Lowe’s, and Wayfair as bellwethers of market trends in housing and sheds light on the challenges and opportunities in the market. The discussion further explores the impact of tariffs on the consumer and which retailers are most at risk.

In this episode, we discuss the significant bifurcation seen in economic and company earnings data over the past few years. Why have some companies excel in this environment, while others struggle? Join us, as we delve into the factors driving this divergence, from the zero interest rate policy post-GFC to the present-day tariff uncertainty. The episode covers the impact of housing on the economy, the role of interest rates, and the ongoing struggles within small caps and key investment strategies we think are best positioned for the road ahead.

To see charts from today's episode visit whatsnextformarkets.com.

In this episode of 'What's Next for Markets,' we are joined by Danny Kirsch, Head of Piper Sandler's Options Strategy & Trading for a discussion on the recent correction in the stock market and policy uncertainty. The team delves into specific market dynamics including high retail sentiment, momentum stocks, and the role of options trades in current market conditions. They also explore potential opportunities in U.S. equities and options amidst the ongoing market fluctuations and upcoming policy changes. The conversation offers valuable insights into market risk, volatility, and investment strategies.

In this episode, we recap our recent travels across Europe and the U.S., highlighting what we heard from clients and how market sentiment is shifting on both sides of the Atlantic. We break down the evolving investor outlook—especially growing concerns around interest rates, wage pressures, and unemployment trends. We also explore Bitcoin’s position as a high-beta asset increasingly tied to broader risk sentiment, and assess how a potential Fed rate cut in December could shape market dynamics. Finally, we discuss why mortgage applications and housing data remain critical indicators for gauging the economic backdrop as we look ahead to 2026.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

Join us as we delve into the recent surge in market uncertainty. In today's episode, we share our insights on a crucial question: When will the market hit bottom? Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discuss A.I. & NVDA with Piper Sandler’s Semis Analyst Harsh Kumar. Harsh has covered the semiconductor industry since the mid-1990s. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discuss why markets fall. In today's show, we look at all the 10% or more S&P 500 market corrections over the last 60 years. Please see our episode notes on our website whatsnextformarkets.com for charts discussed in today’s show.

Join us as we discus our H.O.P.E. framework. This episode is  an excerpt from an interview with Adam Taggart from Thoughtful Money. The full interview is available on the Thoughtful Money Youtube channel.

Join us as we discuss the importance of monitoring Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data in 2025.

Join us as we discuss how President Trump’s policy agenda with shape the economy and financial markets. In this weeks episode, we will be talking with special guest Don Schneider Deputy Head of U.S. Policy Research at Piper Sandler. Don brings a wealth of policy expertise to the conversation. He previously served as Chief Economist for the House Ways and Means Committee under Chairmen Kevin Brady and Paul Ryan, playing a key role in shaping the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Before that, he was an Economist and Budget Analyst for Chairman Ryan on the House Budget Committee.

Join us as we discuss the Tech sector today vs 2000.

Join us as we discuss strategist price targets.

Article Reference, Jonathan Levin “Market Strategists Thankfully Abandon S&P 500 Target“ Bloomberg. July 10, 2024

Join the Portfolio Strategy team from Piper Sandler to discuss the outlook for markets and the economy in 2025.

When it comes to equity markets, there is a seller for every buyer. But how do you know which side of the trade to be on? Macro trends explain 70% of stock movements so understanding the macro backdrop is essential. Join Michael Kantrowitz, No. 1 ranked Wall Street investment strategist, and the rest of the portfolio strategy & quantitative research team at Piper Sandler as they discuss current macro trends and what’s next for markets.

In this episode, we talk with Emily Needell Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, to discuss the dominance of 'The Mag Seven’. We delve into the unprecedented returns of these companies, over the past decade. The conversation covers the implications of these outsized returns on the market dynamics, the distortion they create, and the shifting definitions of what it means to outperform the market. They also explore the impact of passive funds on these mega-cap stocks and debate the potential for improved market breadth in the future. The discussion wraps up with insights into what better breadth means for diverse market segments without necessarily signaling a decline for the Mag Seven.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode of What’s Next for Markets?, Michael Kantrowitz sits down with Craig Johnson, Chief Market Technician at Piper Sandler, to break down the latest trends driving equity markets. From the technical setup across major indices to the underlying sector leadership and sentiment shifts, Craig shares how his charts are framing the next phase of this market cycle. Together, they explore where investors might find opportunity — and what signals could mark the next big turn.

In this week's podcast episode, we dive into the nuances of missing government data with Piper Sandler Economist Jake Oubina. He highlights the reliability of alternative data sources like the Adobe Digital Price Index and various private surveys. We discuss the accuracy concerns surrounding Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reports and how private data could steer better insights. Additionally, we focus on recent inflation trends, particularly the impact of tariffs on margins, and delve into the data from the latest CPI report. The conversation also extends to labor market conditions, consumer sentiment, and the potential influence of AI and energy costs on the economy. Looking ahead, Jake provides a bullish yet cautious economic and market outlook for the next 6-12 months, examining potential scenarios influenced by fiscal policies and CapEx trends.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode we speak with Danny Kirsch, head of Piper Sandler's Options trading desk, about the recent market volatility and its implications. The discussion covers the spike in VIX and its impact on options trading, the state of regional banks following their earnings, and the effects of potential US-China trade agreements. Danny also provides insights into the differences between current market dynamics and those of the late 1990s, the influence of seasonality on market performance, and expectations about upcoming economic data releases. Throughout the conversation, Danny emphasizes the importance of understanding whether market risks are idiosyncratic or systemic.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures

In this episode, Don Schneider provides a comprehensive update on the recent government shutdown developments and their potential duration. We delve into the political strategies of both parties, highlighting Schumer's decision and Trump's management tactics, which are softening the shutdown's impact. Don also explains the implications of the shutdown on data reporting and how it affects investors. Furthermore, we explore the recent news on Trump's threats to raise China tariffs and the administration's stance on rare earth exports. Lastly, Don offers insights into the upcoming tax refund season in 2026, detailing the expected impact of new tax cuts and how it could influence consumer spending and economic data. This episode is packed with crucial information for investors and policy watchers alike.

For full disclosure information visit: http://www.pipersandler.com/researchdisclosures