Episode 79 - Who should buy Victor Osimhen? + How do City handle Haaland's Injury?
Wednesday, April 2, 2025 • Duration 43:36
On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Erling Haaland's injury and how Manchester City and Pep Guardiola may try to deal with his absence. Then, strikers are in hot demand this summer, but why has Victor Osimhen seemingly dropped off the map? The guys take a look at potential landing spots for Osimhen and dive into why he might be worth the risk. Finally, RB Leipzig have sacked Marco Rose. What led to his sacking, which players might Leipzig lose this summer, and who is rumoured to be their next manager? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Erling Haaland Injured against Bournemouth
02:27 - City could really use Julian Alvarez
03:09 - Can Omar Marmoush fill Haaland's role?
05:44 - Who steps into Haaland's role? + Liam Delap
06:40 - Too many creators, not enough goal scorers for City?
08:07 - There's still hope for City
09:39 - City's attack outside of Haaland has been BAD
10:56 - Rodri masked their defensive issues
11:56 - City have never felt like a one striker team before
12:57 - Add City to the teams looking for a striker this summer?
13:27 - Should clubs be in for Victor Osimhen?
16:28 - Osimhen is relatively affordable now compared to other strikers
17:27 - Osimhen's physical ability sets him apart
18:26 - Which clubs would you like to see Osimhen at?
18:52 - Spurs, Inter Milan, and Juventus
20:43 - Newcastle as an Isak replacement?
22:58 - Marco Rose sacked by RB Leipzig
24:25 - Poor UCL performace was a big factor
25:15 - Leipzig have invested a LOT
26:08 - What caused Rose's poor performance?
28:22 - Leipzig's steep drop off
30:59 - How the Bundesliga has adjusted
32:13 - The quality of their players means this shouldn't happen
33:51 - They needed one more passer
35:36 - Oliver Glasner linked to the job
38:48 - Victor Boniface to Leipzig?
39:55 - Thoughts on Glasner as a candidate?
40:56 - Worth it to take this job, even if it's a pay cut?
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Episode 78 - Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk replacement? + Chelsea vs. Spurs preview
Monday, March 31, 2025 • Duration 54:50
On this episode, Ted and Patrick look at 5 transfer rumours around the Premier League, including a potential Virgil van Dijk replacement. Which of these make sense and which are agents spouting nonsense? Then, we look ahead to the mid-week games, including a preview of Chelsea vs. Spurs. Enjoy!
Monday's newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/and-so-it-begins
The Dating episode of ManDown: https://youtu.be/IiiVvRX0478?feature=shared
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:22 - Hugo Larsson to Manchester City for £50M?
02:38 - A lower price?
04:09 - How does Pep play into these decisions?
05:26 - Passing as an attribute vs. age curve
06:15 - Jonathan David to Newcastle on a free?
07:27 - Manchester United an option? Or a non-EPL team?
08:10 - Barcelona rumours and David’s creative numbers
10:30 - Isak replacement?
10:52 - Darwin Nunez to Atletico Madrid for £60M?
11:37 - The right kind of coach for Nunez
12:27 - Luis Diaz, Mo Salah, and Trent
13:59 - Nunez as an Isak replacement as well?
14:36 - Enzo to Atleti?
16:59 - Aston Villa?
17:57 - Let Darwin be Darwin
18:39 - Jobe Bellingham to Brighton
20:12 - What will Jobe become?
22:09 - Is Germany a better league for him?
22:45 - The easy Dortmund link?
23:36 - Schlotterbeck to Liverpool for £60M
26:00 - Everything about this makes sense
27:20 - Liverpool’s rebuild + Don’t become Man United
28:04 - Does Schlotterbeck help you get MORE out of VVD?
29:19 - Chelsea vs. Spurs preview
30:58 - Stoppable force meets moveable object
32:24 - Brighton v Aston Villa
33:52 - Beef with Spurs?
35:42 - Wednesday lookahead
36:52 - B -Roll (ManDown, American accents, Coldplay, and Actors)
49:42 - C-roll (Sean Paul, Pitbull, FloRida, and Kate Blanchett)
52:54 - D-roll (findom and pay pigs)
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Episode 69 - Is this Mo Salah's best EVER form? + Why Bayern are FRAUDS
Monday, February 24, 2025 • Duration 43:26
On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!
Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:
https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top
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Timestamps:
01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0
02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out
03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness
04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press
06:43 - Arne Slot and the press
08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed
09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it
11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah
12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?
14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?
15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions
18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race
21:02 - Final spot predictions
21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference
24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement
25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?
27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition
30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there
31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?
33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?
35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play
37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows
39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?
41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend
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Episode 68 - Real Madrid Dismantle Man City + Atalanta's Lookman DRAMA
Thursday, February 20, 2025 • Duration 41:19
On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1
02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch
03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?
05:09 - How Madrid got their goals
06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this
07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?
09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs
11:53 - Tolio’s red card
12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response
14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions
15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?
17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman
19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled
21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months
22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING
25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?
26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race
28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round
29:46 - The La Liga title race
30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate
31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?
33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid
33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?
34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed
36:32 - Messi is another problem solver
37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw
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On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!
Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl
The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:48 - New host hires
00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea
00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal
00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill
00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution
00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles
00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea
00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote
00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks
00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson
00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention
00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United
00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals
00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani
00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD
00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction
00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup
00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE
00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward
00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark
00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes
00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results
00:32:36 - Will this run continue?
00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?
00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest
00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up
00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest
00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!
00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast
00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round
00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure
00:47:45 - Ted’s history
00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps
00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile
00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic
00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about
00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people
00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself
01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart
01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant
01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel
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STOP chasing the action! Pro Gambler's picks for EPL Matchday 25 - Variance Betting episode 11
Friday, February 14, 2025 • Duration 23:16
Ted Knutson, a former professional gambler, shares his picks for every Premier League match this weekend and explains why you shouldn’t chase the action on weeks where the total bet number is small. He then goes over some of the reads he shared on social media earlier this week. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:16 - Bet105
02:28 - Brighton v Chelsea
04:04 - The best players are only worth so much to lines, even Messi and Ronaldo
04:43 - Leicester v Arsenal
06:24 - Fulham v Forest
06:55 - Southampton v Bournemouth
07:45 - Aston Villa v Ipswich
08:33 - Man City v Newcastle
11:08 - West Ham v Brentford
12:07 - Crystal Palace v Everton
13:14 - DON’T chase the action
14:23 - Liverpool v Wolves
15:00 - Tottenham v United
16:57 - Running totals and new bet size
17:56 - Ted’s recent reads on Plymouth and AC Milan
21:11 - More about The Transfer Flow
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Episode 66 - Arsenal's Kai Havertz PROBLEM + Real Madrid STUN Man City
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 • Duration 44:18
On today's episode, Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to discuss all things Champions League from Tuesday's slate of games. They start with the big one, Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Manchester City. Where were the new transfers, what went wrong for both teams, and can City bounce back in the 2nd leg? After discussing the other games from Tuesday, the conversation switches to the Saudi Pro league and the market opportunities for smart teams. Should more European clubs be trying to get players BACK from Saudi? The episode ends with Kai Havertz' season ending injury. Should Arsenal have made a move in January? Enjoy!
Neel's article on Man City's huge January window: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-spent-180m-planning-for-the-future
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Neel’s Manchester City transfer article
03:17 - Marmoush is the biggest impact for this season
04:35 - These transfers were meant to rejuvenate an aging squad
05:16 - The transfers did not play early
05:53 - The start of the game + Real Madrid’s initial plan
07:29 - City should have taken more advantage of Madrid’s poor start
07:49 - City have forgotten how to close out games
09:48 - The pressing in this game was staggeringly incompetent
10:35 - Bellingham grew as the game went on
11:18 - Their 2020 matchup and the similarities between the games
12:42 - City’s intensity dropped in the second half
14:49 - The threat of Vinicius vs. De Bruyne
15:42 - Will City become more of a transition side with Marmoush?
17:28 - City must score early in the 2nd leg
18:28 - Quick roundup of Tuesday’s UCL games
18:55 - Juventus vs. PSV
21:33 - Dortmund vs Sporting + the transition to Kovac
24:42 - Opportunities for teams in the Saudi Pro League
25:46 - How many foreign players in the Saudi Pro League?
26:58 - Teams are maxed out - No more huge market movement
27:48 - Fofana example + the opportunity to get players to improve European teams
28:49 - Teams have to be careful with wages
31:08 - Players now have to be careful about getting replaced in a few years time
32:29 - The difference between Saudi and the Chinese Super League
35:16 - Kai Havertz out for the season for Arsenal
36:04 - The timing of moves matters
37:31 - Rotating players to avoid injuries during long seasons
39:06 - Arsenal have ran their stars into the ground
39:45 - Options to replace Havertz + players returning from injury for Arsenal
40:42 - Arteta needs to think about his 13/14 key player rotation + Using Arsenal’s great academy
42:16 - The amount of games are not going to go down ($$$$$$)
42:55 - Where to find Neel
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Episode 65 - Predicting EVERY Champions League Knockout matchup
Monday, February 10, 2025 • Duration 01:00:26
On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown every match in the Knockout phase of the Champions League. They start with the biggest match of the round, Real Madrid vs. Manchester City. Both teams have clear weaknesses, but who will be able to take advantage of them the most? Then they get into Ousmane Dembele, is he the best player in the world right now? Stay tuned to see the hosts live reaction to Feyenoord sacking Brian Priske, underrated matches to watch this round, and some stories from Ted. The episode ends with predictions for EVERY matchup and some behind the scenes footage. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Nicolas Cage is a Coppola?
00:54 - Champions League Playoffs
01:31 - Real Madrid v Man City
02:25 - City are a coin flip and Pep vs Ancelotti
04:57 - How both teams will approach this game
05:53 - Ederson is the best long-ball goalkeeper in the world
07:38 - Madrid can’t press, but their ability to play out from pressure is elite
08:28 - Madrid Derby reactions
09:45 - Dani Ceballos is Madrid’s best player at the moment
11:25 - Patrick vs Rodri, who wins right now?
12:04 - Real Madrid have the worst defensive record in the UCL, why did they make no moves?
15:36 - But surely Real Madrid could have done SOMETHING?
17:10 - Football nepotism = Genepotism
18:24 - Brest vs PSG + Dembele is the form player in the world right now
19:26 - Dembele’s positional change
20:40 - How his ability to use both feet impacts defenders
21:22 - The drastic xG difference
24:55 - Juventus vs PSV
26:16 - Sporting v Dortmund
27:21 - One to watch for potential summer transfers
28:56 - Brugge v Atalanta
29:46 - Atalanta play a very unique style
30:34 - How is Gasperini doing this?
31:36 - The oddities of Italian coaches + a story from Ted
32:52 - Celtic v Bayern Munich
35:21 - Do Celtic have it in them?
36:11 - Feyenoord v AC Milan
37:42 - Milan’s season is becoming more and more unhinged
38:50 - Zlatan not being a bit, he’s just weird
40:01 - Should be a fun contest between managers?
41:27 - Breaking news - Priske sacked mid recording + Reactions
43:32 - Monaco v Benfica is sneaky fun
44:41 - Can Benfica replicate their form?
46:41 - A ton of young, exciting players in this game
49:22 - Predictions for EVERY matchup
51:53 - Behind the scenes - Andre 3000, Australians, and a cliffhanger from Ted
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Episode 64 - City's UNUSUAL Rodri Replacement + BIG moves around Europe | Ep. 64
Thursday, February 6, 2025 • Duration 46:41
On today’s episode, Patrick is joined by José C. Pérez to discuss the end of the transfer window. They start with Man City’s spending spree this January and the addition of Nico Gonzalez. Is he their Rodri replacement? The conversation moves to Aston Villa, where the guys try to make sense of their additions. How will Unai Emery use his new firepower? Next, Arsenal and Liverpool both made no moves, but does this mean the Gunners are throwing in the towel? Then comes La Liga, whose teams spent far less this window than the other big leagues. Real Madrid also made no moves, despite a squad that needs upgrades. Is it a sign of things to come across Europe, or is it only due to their financial regulations? The episode finishes with discussion of AC Milan’s moves this window, including Joao Felix, and Como and Rennais both making a TON of moves. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:37 - Man City have spent BIG this window
02:14 - Have City neglected their needs for a while?
04:43 - City’s press has rapidly declined
06:22 - An aging squad + Rodri’s injury
07:56 - Nico Gonzalez history and escaping Barcelona’s grasp
09:18 - City need a more positional version of Gonzalez
10:42 - Physicality and similarities to Rodri
13:27 - Jose’s thoughts on Aston Villa’s window
16:43 - Similarities between Rashford and Malen
17:59 - Asensio’s quality, but do they have enough defensive presence?
19:36 - Why did Liverpool and Arsenal make no moves?
21:24 - Are Arsenal throwing in the towel?
22:46 - Why did La Liga make so few moves?
25:03 - Why are Real Madrid making no moves if they have the money?
27:17 - Why are Madrid averse to spending on defenders?
27:51 - A historic spending spree coming?
30:22 - Serie A went MAD
30:47 - Conceicao and AC Milan’s window
31:51 - How does Joao Felix fit in?
33:05 - Kyle Walker as a conventional RB?
34:33 - Does the Santiago Gimenez make sense?
36:52 - What will Conceicao’s style look like?
37:51 - Como and Rennes make a TON of moves
40:21 - A mix of reloading on talent and trying to win now?
42:09 - Should they have done fewer transfers, given how hard it is to interchange squads?
44:28 - Where can people find Jose?
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Episode 63 - Villa are paying Rashford HOW MUCH? + Kids SAVED Arsenal's season
Monday, February 3, 2025 • Duration 54:34
On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City. Have Arsenal’s academy kids saved their season? Then comes Aston Villa, who have acquired Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio on loan. Why have they agreed to pay the rumoured 75% of Rashford’s wages? Next, Tottenham’s search for defenders and the loan addition of Mathys Tel from Bayern Munich. Why would spurs agree to a loan deal if it only helps Bayern? The episode ends with discussion of Evan Ferguson’s loan move to West Ham, Brighton stockpiling assets, and the atmosphere at the Arsenal/Man City game. Stick around for behind the scenes footage with discussion of Japanese game shows, Natalie Portman, and Kumail Nanjiani.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:50 - Arsenal thrash Man City
03:14 - Teams are teeing off on the City press this year
05:03 - Lewis-Skelly and the Arsenal kids SAVED their season
06:08 - Nwaneri and Lewis-Skelly don’t look like kids
07:03 - How good Academy players influence the rest of the squad
08:09 - They’re mentally ahead of the curve
09:55 - Not every youngster is capable of this
10:33 - Will Lewis-Skelly stay at left-back?
12:36 - Arsenal are in win now mode
15:27 - Marcus Rashford and Asensio to Aston Villa
16:49 - Why are they paying 75% of Rashford wages?
17:37 - Villa are focusing on the Champions League
18:55 - Villa love a big name from a big club
20:24 - Tottenham’s search for defenders
20:36 - Palace turns down 70M for Guehi? And Brighton turned down 90M for Mitoma?
22:40 - Spurs sign Tel on a straight loan… WHY?
24:02 - Spurs sign Kevin Danso as well, is he a backup?
26:20 - Will Spurs try a back 3? + Back 3’s this season
28:28 - Brighton and Fabian Hurzeler
29:27 - Teams can save themselves money by having design
30:00 - Brighton let Evan Ferguson join West Ham on loan
30:42 - What would you want Ferguson’s buy option to be here?
33:01 - He’s going to a coach who knows him
34:10 - What would Brighton hope to get for him in the summer?
36:24 - Brighton are stockpiling forwards
38:03 - Brighton have everything in place, but Hurzeler might not be the coach for the job
38:41 - City fans complaining about the Arsenal atmosphere
39:47 - It’s part of wearing the crown
40:19 - The Arsenal/Man City games have become a real rivalry
42:48 - PSG have ruined their rivalry with Marseille
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