Explore every episode of the podcast The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast

Week 3 is in the books, and the results didn’t always match what the underlying numbers say should have happened. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from NFL Week 3, using DVOA, DAVE and Post-Game Win Expectancy (PGWE) to separate the final scores from how teams actually performed. 🏈 Broncos 30, Rams 26 Los Angeles finished with an 86% Post-Game Win Expectancy despite losing in Denver. Aaron and Mike examine the Rams’ 15 penalties, the Broncos’ five penalties and the controversial late defensive pass interference call involving Josh Wallace and Pat Bryant. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 Ravens 34, Cowboys 31 Baltimore escaped Dallas in one of Week 3’s biggest games as both teams continue to establish where they belong in the early-season NFL hierarchy. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 Jaguars 35, Patriots 6 Jacksonville delivered one of the weekend’s strongest statements with a dominant win over New England. The Jaguars now sit No. 2 in DVOA through Week 3, trailing only San Francisco. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🔥 THE REVERSE PGWE FESTIVAL Sometimes the team that played the better game doesn’t get the win. • Panthers had 68% PGWE in a 21-18 loss to Cleveland • Texans had 66% PGWE in a 19-17 loss to Indianapolis • Seahawks had 55% PGWE in a 33-31 loss to Washington • Buffalo’s 24-16 win over the Chargers was not a reverse-PGWE game — Bills finished at 55% The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 📊 DVOA & DAVE TOP 10 Aaron and Mike reveal the updated league hierarchy after three weeks. San Francisco sits No. 1 in both DVOA and DAVE, while Jacksonville has surged to No. 2 in DVOA. The Rams remain No. 3 in DAVE despite ranking No. 10 in DVOA, creating an interesting early-season debate between performance and projection. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… 🏈 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Eagles at Bears The show closes by previewing Philadelphia-Chicago. The Eagles enter 13th in DVOA, while the Bears rank 14th, with Chicago set to start Case Keenum at quarterback. The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast… What was your biggest takeaway from Week 3? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, featuring DVOA, DAVE, playoff projections, Post-Game Win Expectancy and deeper analysis of what the final score doesn't always tell you. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 3 could tell us a lot about which NFL teams are actually contenders — and which early-season starts we shouldn't believe just yet. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down five of the biggest games of NFL Week 3, using FTN DVOA, playoff probabilities and early-season performance data to identify the matchups that could have the biggest impact on the playoff picture. 🏈 Texans at Colts Two 0-2 AFC South teams enter a game with major playoff implications. Houston and Indianapolis are both searching for their first win, making this one of the biggest early-season swing games on the schedule. 🏈 Patriots at Jaguars Drake Maye and New England are coming off their first win of the season, while Jacksonville tries to respond after letting a double-digit lead get away in Denver. Which 1-1 team takes the next step? 🏈 Ravens at Cowboys Two of the NFL's highest-rated offenses by DVOA meet in Dallas. Can Baltimore rebound from a fourth-quarter collapse, or will Dak Prescott and the Cowboys build off a four-touchdown Week 2 performance? 🏈 Raiders at Saints — The “For Real” Bowl Las Vegas enters 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins and a defense making plays in every phase. New Orleans just pulled off a dramatic comeback in Baltimore. It's time to find out how much of these early-season starts we should believe. 🏈 Rams at Broncos — Sunday Night Football Matthew Stafford and the Rams bounced back in a big way in Week 2, while Denver erased a double-digit deficit to earn its first victory. FTN's numbers see these teams very similarly entering a major prime-time matchup. Aaron and Mike break down DVOA, playoff swings, matchup advantages, Week 2 trends and the numbers that matter most heading into Week 3. Games covered: Texans at Colts Patriots at Jaguars Ravens at Cowboys Raiders at Saints Rams at Broncos Which Week 3 matchup tells us the most about who is actually for real? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA, playoff odds, projections and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 2 is here, and several of the biggest games on the schedule could already have major playoff and Super Bowl implications. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the most important matchups of NFL Week 2, using FTN DVOA, DAVE, playoff odds and matchup data to explain what matters most heading into the weekend. 🏈 Lions at Bills Two 1-0 teams meet Thursday night in one of the biggest early-season games for Super Bowl odds. Buffalo enters Week 2 with the No. 2 offense in DVOA, while Detroit looks to keep pace in a loaded NFC race. 🏈 Vikings at Bears Chicago’s offense enters the week No. 1 in DVOA, but Minnesota brings one of the league’s most aggressive defenses and a Week 1 pressure rate over 50%. Which side controls this NFC North matchup? 🏈 Bengals at Texans Cincinnati starts 1-0, while Houston is already facing pressure after an 0-1 start. The Texans remain highly rated by FTN DAVE despite ranking near the bottom of the league in defensive DVOA after Week 1. 🏈 Commanders at Cowboys Both teams enter at 0-1 with an early divisional game carrying major playoff implications. Dallas showed a strong offensive profile in Week 1, but its defense remains one of the biggest questions heading into this matchup. 🏈 Colts at Chiefs Kansas City enters with one of the NFL’s highest-ranked defenses by DVOA, while Indianapolis is trying to rebound after a rough Week 1 showing on both sides of the ball. 🏈 Giants at Rams — Monday Night Football New York’s offense impressed in Week 1, while Los Angeles struggled badly by DVOA. But FTN’s DAVE model still sees the Rams as one of the league’s stronger teams going forward. Aaron and Mike break down the numbers, matchup advantages, playoff swings and biggest Week 2 storylines across the NFL. Games covered: Lions at Bills Vikings at Bears Bengals at Texans Commanders at Cowboys Colts at Chiefs Giants at Rams Which Week 2 game are you watching closest? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, DVOA, projections, playoff odds and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Week 1 is in the books — now it’s time to figure out what actually matters. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the biggest takeaways from the opening week of the 2026 NFL season, separating real trends from Week 1 overreactions. One of the biggest questions: Are the Arizona Cardinals for real? Kyler Murray and Arizona are under the microscope as Aaron and Mike evaluate what Week 1 tells us about their outlook moving forward. They also dive into the performances, teams and results that changed their expectations after the first full week of NFL action, using advanced metrics, projections and matchup analysis to determine what deserves our attention — and what should be ignored. 🏈 Topics include: • Arizona’s Week 1 performance and outlook • Kyler Murray and the Cardinals offense • Biggest Week 1 winners and losers • Teams that changed our expectations • Early playoff and contender takeaways • What’s real vs. what’s an overreaction • Key trends to watch heading into Week 2 Which Week 1 result changed your opinion the most? Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL Week 1 is here — and some of the biggest games on the schedule could immediately reshape the playoff and Super Bowl picture. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the opening week of the 2026 NFL season, starting with a review of New England vs. Seattle before turning their attention to four major Week 1 matchups. 🏈 49ers vs. Rams in Australia What does the opener mean for two NFC West contenders? A Rams win pushes their projected Super Bowl chances from 12.1% to 18.6%, while San Francisco’s playoff outlook swings dramatically depending on the result. 🏈 Bills at Texans Two of the top teams in our AFC projections meet immediately. Buffalo and Houston enter Week 1 with major playoff implications already on the line. 🏈 Packers at Vikings An NFC North matchup with an early opportunity for either team to gain ground in what could become one of the league’s most competitive divisions. 🏈 Commanders at Eagles Can Washington make an early statement against Philadelphia, or will the Eagles immediately reinforce their status as one of the NFC’s top contenders? Aaron and Mike dig into the matchups, projections, playoff implications, key numbers and the biggest questions heading into the first full week of NFL action. Games covered: 49ers vs. Rams Bills at Texans Packers at Vikings Commanders at Eagles New England vs. Seattle Who makes the biggest statement in Week 1? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis, DVOA, projections, playoff odds and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Who wins the AFC West in 2026?

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are joined by Rivers McCown to break down the Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers and Las Vegas Raiders heading into the 2026 NFL season.

Can Patrick Mahomes and Kansas City remain on top of the division? Are the Broncos ready to make another jump? Can the Chargers push the Chiefs for the AFC West crown? And what should we expect from the Raiders this season?

The crew dives into the biggest offseason changes, roster strengths and weaknesses, key players, projected team outlooks and the major questions that could decide one of the NFL’s most interesting divisions.

🏈 Teams Covered:
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers
Las Vegas Raiders

Who do you have winning the AFC West in 2026?

Subscribe for more NFL division previews, projections, analytics and in-depth football analysis throughout the season

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals as they preview the division heading into the new NFL season. From Matthew Stafford and the Rams’ championship aspirations to Seattle’s pursuit of another huge season, San Francisco’s outlook and Arizona’s path forward, Aaron and Mike examine the biggest questions surrounding all four teams. They break down each roster, key offseason changes, strengths and weaknesses, potential breakout areas and what it all means for the 2026 NFC West race. Teams covered: Los Angeles Rams, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the AFC North for the 2026 NFL season! The DVOA creator and veteran NFL analyst dive deep into every team in the division — AFC North: Ravens, Bengals, Steelers, and Browns. Get expert analysis on: Key offseason moves and roster changes Standout players and storylines for each team Projected standings and division winner predictions Advanced stats insights you won’t hear anywhere else! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz & Mike Tanier break down one of the NFL’s most competitive divisions and answer the biggest question heading into 2026: Who wins the NFC North? Can the Detroit Lions stay on top? Are the Green Bay Packers ready to take the division? Can the Chicago Bears make the leap into serious playoff contention? And should the Minnesota Vikings be getting more respect? Aaron and Mike preview all four NFC North teams, breaking down each roster, schedule, strengths, weaknesses, and what could ultimately decide the division race. 🏈 Teams Covered: Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears Minnesota Vikings Who’s your pick to win the NFC North in 2026? Drop your prediction in the comments. #NFL #NFCNorth #Lions #Packers #Bears #Vikings #NFL2026 Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the Texans, Jaguars, Colts, Titans : Who Wins the AFC South in 2026? Joined by Byran Knowles Writer/Editor of Lateral Thinking, The DVOA creator and veteran NFL analyst dive deep into every team in the division — Falcons, Buccaneers, Panthers or Saints: Who Wins the NFC South in 2026? Get expert analysis on: Key offseason moves and roster changes Standout players and storylines for each team Projected standings and division winner predictions Advanced stats insights you won’t hear anywhere else! FTNFantasy.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Falcons, Buccaneers, Panthers or Saints: Who Wins the NFC South in 2026?
Podcast / Show: The Schatz & Tanier NFL Podcast FTN Fantasy
Hosts: Aaron Schatz (DVOA creator, FTN Chief Analytics Officer) and Mike Tanier (veteran NFL Analyst)
Focus: 2026 NFL season NFC South preview

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier breakdown the AFC East for the 2026 NFL season! The DVOA creator and veteran NFL analyst dive deep into every team in the division — Jets, Patriots, Bills and the Dolphins Get expert analysis on: 

Key offseason moves and roster changes Standout players and storylines for each team Projected standings and division winner predictions Advanced stats insights you won’t hear anywhere else! 
 

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the NFC East for the 2026 NFL season! The DVOA creator and veteran NFL analyst dive deep into every team in the division — the Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Washington Commanders. Get expert analysis on: Key offseason moves and roster changes Standout players and storylines for each team Projected standings and division winner predictions Advanced stats insights you won’t hear anywhere else! FTNFantasy.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down the AFC East for the 2026 NFL season! The DVOA creator and veteran NFL analyst dive deep into every team in the division — Jets, Patriots, Bills and the Dolphins Get expert analysis on: Key offseason moves and roster changes Standout players and storylines for each team Projected standings and division winner predictions Advanced stats insights you won’t hear anywhere else! Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Schatz & Tanier are breaking down the biggest NFL offseason news and ranking the Top 10 NFL moves that could impact the 2026 fantasy football season. Get the latest updates on Brandon Aiyuk, Christian Watson, Darnell Washington and Drake London, plus analysis of the Myles Garrett, A.J. Brown, DJ Moore, Jaylen Waddle and Trent McDuffie trades. We also cover Trey Hendrickson, Jaelan Phillips, Malik Willis, Kenneth Walker and more of the biggest NFL trades, signings and contract extensions of the 2026 offseason. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are joined by guest Benjamin Robinson of Grinding the Mocks to break down the first round of the 2026 NFL draft. We've got thoughts on the biggest risers (Ty Simpson!) and the biggest fallers (Arvell Reese!) plus criticism of the Arizona Cardinals.

Don't forget to use code SCHATZ for 10% off an FTN NFL Pro subscription including access to Jeff Ratcliffe's Rookie Fantasy Scouting Guide!

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are joined by guest Benjamin Robinson of Grinding the Mocks to preview the 2026 NFL draft. We go through Ben's top five risers and fallers of recent weeks plus we discuss certain players Mike likes more or less than the conventional wisdom. Discussions include the Rueben Bain news, what we're looking for in a wide receiver this year, and which teams we want to take Max Iheanachor. Also, mustaches!

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The Seahawks are World Champions! Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Super Bowl LX, how the Seahawks pressured Drake Maye to death, plus some discussion of the Seahawks as an all-time great team and a bit of previewing the offseason.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Super Bowl LX with the Seahawks and Patriots. Plus, we look at the coaching carousel and a few words about the Bill Belichick Hall of Fame controversy.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review this year's conference championship games and give their first thoughts about Super Bowl LX between the New England Patriots and the Seattle Seahawks.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to break down the conference championship games. What can Jarrett Stidham do for the Broncos against an improving Patriots defense? What will happen differently in Rams-Seahawks Part III?

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review the Divisional Round in the NFL playoffs and react to this morning's firing of Sean McDermott by the Buffalo Bills.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to preview the Divisional Round in the NFL. We've got Bills at Broncos, 49ers at Seahawks, Texans at Patriots, and Rams at Bears!

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Wild-Card Weekend in the NFL, with four great close games and one sort-of defensive snoozer. Plus, we preview the Texans and Steelers as they finish up things on Monday night.

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It's Wild-Card Weekend in the NFL! Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier start with their thoughts on the firing of John Harbaugh and Mike McDaniel, then we move on to preview all the games this weekend from Packers-Bears to Patriots-Chargers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier have a bit of an NFL playoff preview, look at a bunch of historical DVOA numbers, and talk about Black Monday coach firings in the NFL.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier are here to preview the final week of the NFL regular season. We've got two big NFC South games plus the 49ers-Seahawks and the Ravens-Steelers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review all of Week 17 in the NFL. Can Eagles fans finally be happy about their team? Are the Niners coming for the 1 seed or is their defense just not good enough? Plus, the Weighted DVOA Top 16 and a Falcons-Rams Monday Night Football preview.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier have a special Christmas Eve episode previewing Week 17 in the NFL, with Bears-49ers, Bills-Eagles, Chargers-Texans, and more!

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review the huge comebacks across the NFL in Week 16, starting with the one that didn't happen: the Lions over the Steelers. Plus, the Seahawks-Rams, Bears-Packers, and Patriots-Ravens games and a Monday Night preview of 49ers-Colts.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Week 16 in the NFL starting with DVOA Bowl II between the Seahawks and the Rams. Plus we look at Packers-Bears, Broncos-Jaguars, and Patriots-Ravens.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 15 in the NFL, starting with the huge injuries that will take out Patrick Mahomes and Micah Parsons into the 2026 season. We also discuss the Rams' dominance, the Bills' big second-half comeback, the Broncos leading the AFC, and a preview of Monday Night Football with the Dolphins and Steelers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview a big Week 15 across the NFL, with the Bills taking on the Patriots, the Chiefs and Chargers, Rams-Lions, and Packers-Broncos highlighting the week.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 14 around the NFL. Is the Colts season over? Is the Chiefs season over? What about the big boys of the NFC, and how will the Bears fare after losing to the Packers? Plus a Monday Night Football preview for the Chargers and the Eagles.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview a great Week 14 in the NFL, starting with the Cowboys and Lions, and then Steelers-Ravens, Chiefs-Texans, and Bears-Packers plus more!

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review the week of chaos around the NFL. Who's actually the best team in the league now, after so many top teams lost this weekend? Are the Colts in serious trouble? What about the Rams? Plus a Monday Night Football Patriots-Giants preview.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview the Thanksgiving slate and the rest of Week 13 in the NFL including Packers-Lions, Bears-Eagles, Colts-Texans, and Steelers-Bills.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 12 in the NFL. Let's talk about the Rams as the new DVOA No. 1, blown leads by the Eagles and Colts, and whether Mike Tomlin has lost it. Plus: Monday Night preview for Panthers at 49ers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview all of Week 12 in the NFL starting with Bills-Texans and then Sunday's highlights with Colts-Chiefs, Bears-Steelers, and Buccaneers-Rams.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 11 around the NFL, starting with the DVOA Bowl between No. 1 Seattle and No. 2 Los Angeles Rams, plus the Eagles' big win over the Lions and the Broncos taking control of the AFC West by beating the Chiefs. Plus, Monday Night Football preview as the Cowboys face the Raiders.

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Aaron Schatz is joined by guests Bryan Knowles and Dan Pizzuta to go over a huge Week 11 in the NFL: DVOA Bowl between the Seahawks and Rams plus Buccaneers-Bills, Jaguars-Chargers, Broncos-Chiefs, and Lions-Eagles!

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Aaron Schatz and guest host Bryan Knowles review Week 10 in the NFL, starting with the big Patriots victory over the Buccaneers. It's got some surprising stats! Then we go over the big blowouts for the top NFC contenders and preview tonight's Monday Night Football contest between the Eagles and the Packers.

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Aaron Schatz and guest host Bryan Knowles take a look at the Week 10 slate around the NFL, with previews including the Patriots and Buccaneers, the Rams and 49ers, the Falcons and Colts, and the Steelers and Chargers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 9 in the NFL. Can we trust the Bills in the playoffs over the Chiefs? What do we learn from losses by the Colts, Lions, and Packers? How good are the Seahawks? Plus a Cardinals-Cowboys preview.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Week 9 in the NFL with a huge matchup between the Chiefs and Bills plus Broncos-Texans, Falcons-Patriots, Commanders-Seahawks, and more.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 8 in the NFL. It was National Blowout Week! Which blowout loser is in the most trouble? How real are the Colts as they move into the top spot in DVOA? Plus, a Commanders-Chiefs Monday Night Preview.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview Week 8 in the NFL, with big games including Vikings-Chargers, Broncos-Cowboys, and Packers-Steelers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review all the Week 7 action in the NFL. Are the Eagles in full control of the AFC East? How bad did the Colts whack the Chargers this week? How did the Broncos beat the Giants? Plus Monday Night Football previews: Buccaneers-Lions and Texans-Seahawks.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview the big games of Week 7 in the NFL including Vikings-Eagles, Colts-Chargers, and Falcons-49ers.

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Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier review Week 6 in the NFL, as the Chiefs reassert themselves, the Seahawks move to No. 1 in DVOA, and Drake Maye continues to make waves. Then we preview a Monday Night Football doubleheader with Falcons-Bills and Commanders-Bears.

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