AP of 50+ years, host of Gambling with an Edge and author of Gambling Wizards - Richard Munchkin (https://x.com/RWM21) joins the show. From his start as an AP in old Las Vegas to the end where he shares the most...interesting(?) Bayesian update, this episode is a ride. Richard's story telling is unmatched in the industry - and he has a career of professional gambling to draw content from. We talk about his early days, and what he's doing now with regards to sports betting and other casino games. Can't miss episode!

0:00 Intro

2:45 How Richard Started w/ AP play

12:00 Lost Skill of Being Willing to Battle

22:00 Best Disguise Stories

28:15 Networking & Working w/ Teams

33:15 Traveling the World as an AP

46:45 Getting the Money Out is King

56:30 How to Scout Games

1:18:00 Why Richard Does Content

1:39:00 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We talk about why good gamblers bet too little in big spots, plus Polymarket coming to the US with low fees & why GP is on an anti-courtsiding tirade.

We also give our take on why dating sites are like betting markets - and how to avoid adverse selection there.

0:00 Intro

1:15 Sizing Up

32:00 News/Scandals/Fees

1:00:45 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This week we interview a man who wears many hats. TV Star, Tennis Bettor, and Author Isaac Rose-Berman.

You may know him from the CNN gambling documentary, you may know him as roundrobin42 on twitter, or you may have seen him on Circle Back. But on this show we go deep into his betting first - learning a lot about betting tennis on the way. After that we have a discussion on news/ industry topics where one person (Isaac) actually knows what he's talking about.

0:00 Intro to Advantage Gambling

9:00 Tennis Betting for Fun and Profit

27:30 How to Track Your Subjective Adjustments

36:45 Finding Good Non-Major Markets

41:30 What's Next in Betting for Isaac?

48:00 Isaac's Writing/ Consulting

1:02:30 News

1:20:40 Q&A

Isaac's Newsletter: https://howgamblingworks.substack.com/

Isaac's Twitter: https://x.com/roundrobin42

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In this episode we cover:

• Why steam chasing is really a fancy form of tailing
• How understanding steam chasing can improve other styles of betting
• Potential pitfalls of steam chasing
• And much more!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today I try to give you a 20-minute primer on how to not epically screw up your model

I discuss getting crushed by sharp books, where I think you should plan your first attack on the sports book, and of course...me pumping Billy Walter's tires more.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we talk with DFS Pick'em crusher Drew Morgan about his journey from $500 to $90,000+ profit in under a year betting.

This is a must-listen for anyone who wants to learn what it takes to become a consistent winner.

Follow Drew on Twitter: @dmprops

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Building on my conversation yesterday with Ed Miller, I highlight five indicators that a bet might be a weak spot for a sportsbook

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

The first interview of The Risk Takers Podcast is a big one!

Today I sit down with gambling legend Ed Miller to talk sports betting, DFS, Poker and his new book "Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting"

Please Buy Ed's Book at the link below - it's at least $100,000 underpriced...
https://www.amazon.com/Interception-Secrets-Modern-Sports-Betting-ebook/dp/B0CKS8GGX4

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

+EV betting has taken over social media - but do people actually know what it is they are doing?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
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Today l discuss the significance of a bankroll, and the power it holds in providing exponential returns. By the end of this conversation, you'll appreciate why sports betting has an edge over poker when it comes to quick scaling and higher returns, and why splurging on big wins can be a strategic blunder.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Who is the best sports bettor in the world? How do we define success in sports betting? Why do I sports bet? 

These are the questions that I try to answer in this episode.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Seven TOUGH truths about sports betting. Make sure you go through the list before committing to the grind.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In this episode we try to answer the question, "How tf much should I be betting in this spot?"

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Regardless of if you think we are in a simulation or not - there is no denying that simulations can make you money sports betting. GP & SP breakdown what a simulation model is, when you should use it, and how you can get started with your own sim this sports season.

We get a little technical early - but don't worry, we get really un-technical in the news and Q&A (ending with an actual discussion about sports).

00:00: Intro 
02:00: Simulations vs. Models in Sports Betting
50:00: The CNN Gambling Documentary
01:08:00: Prediction Market Rundown w/ TSwift Inside Trading
01:26:00: DraftKings Stops Credit Card Deposits & More News
01:29:30: Q&A + Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Have you ever questioned your ability to win gambling during an extended losing period?

If so, this episode is for you. In this episode I discuss how to divorce your skill from the results and determine if you are making winning bets.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

On this episode, we take a deeper look at the following tweet that I posted last week:

"It’s hard to be a losing bettor when you pretend the following:

Pretend someone has a gun to your head and says you have to make $10k+ this year sports betting 

Price shopping, promos and arbs suddenly become more attractive 

Punting on your gut feelings gets scarier

Use this"

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This episode we break down the different ways you can arrive at a winning sports bet - if you aren't doing all four you are probably leaving money on the table!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This episode breaks down the biggest weakness of the DFS pick'em sites...and how to exploit it

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Ever wonder why a sportsbook is holding tight on a line, even when the bets are flooding in from one side? This episode challenges you to step into the sportsbook's shoes and discover the strategic game that occurs off the field.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In this episode we dive into the number one way DFS sites use our psychology to turbo charge their profits - and how to counter it

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In honor of the NFL kicking off today - we are taking a dive into how we should handle big betting markets

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This episode highlights the most important weakness of the DFS Pick'em sites...and how to exploit it

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Ever struggle to determine if your sports betting results are based on luck or skill? Curious to know how sports books view you as a customer? This episode will break it all down.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Do you trust your gut instinct when it comes to gambling and risk-taking? Well, today we're going to pull the curtains back on this highly-requested topic and share our personal experiences and observations on the role of gut reactions in decision-making, especially in gambling, poker, and trading. 

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We are joined by Casino AP turned Sports Bettor Dan aka Dr. Plop. Dan talks to us about getting into advantage play by multi-accounting Instacart signup bonuses. Then his journey continues through blackjack, slots, churn plays and finally ends up at "about 70%" sports betting.

Dan now runs a team of 4 that at any moment could be sitting at an electronic horse racing machine or betting six-figures on sports. Like a degen Oceans 11!

Follow Dan on Twitter: https://x.com/DrPL0P

00:00:45 – Instacart Advantage Play
00:13:40 – AP Lessons Applied to Sportsbooks
00:30:31 – Making the Switch to Sports
00:52:27 – Logistics & Scaling
01:15:45 – News
01:47:19 – Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Unsure if you are taking too much risk on promos? This episode will lay out some simple rules that will give you confidence the next time you type your bet size in on a juicy promotional offer.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

"When a gambler loses their money, they lose their tools." In this episode, we discuss the keys to never going broke gambling.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

What if I told you the key to winning big was becoming good at losing? Sounds odd, right? Join us on this episode of Risk Takers, where  we explore why the greatest winners in gambling are paradoxically the biggest losers. Unveiling my personal framework, I lay bare how to manage losses effectively, without them obstructing your path to making money.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We examine the lowest risk path you can take when taking advantage of all the free money flowing through the DFS Pick'em space right now.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Why being the "best gambler" is ultimately irrelevant - get the money instead!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Let's lose all our money! In this episode we hope to reverse engineer good betting habits by figuring out how to light money on fire as fast as possible in gambling.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

"It takes money to make money" still holds true in sports betting, but in this episode we explore some advantages the small bettor has over their larger counterpart.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we take a look inward at some common personal traits that the most consistent professional gamblers have.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

In the inaugural episode of The Risk Takers Podcast, host GoldenPants13 breaks down the golden equation of sports betting, helps you decide what areas of your sports betting you need to focus on, and gives you a few pieces of low hanging fruit you can start with.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Find an amazing edge yet still poor? If so - this episode aims to help you correct that. Along with advice on scaling an edge (including SP's vertical v. horizontal scaling lesson) - we break down a big week of industry news and field some questions regarding Kalshi, working with a group and GPs return to twitter.

00:00 Live from Las Vegas – First Impressions
02:15 Scaling an Edge: The Most Valuable Skill in Betting
04:33 Vertical vs. Horizontal Scaling – Two Paths to Growth
08:45 Operational Efficiency & The Big Spot Decision
17:09 Applying Skills Across Sports & Markets
29:05 Industry News – Ohio Micro-Bet Ban & Pinnacle API Shutdown 
1:17:49 Venmo “Gambling” Scandal & Rule vs. Integrity Violations
1:22:50 Illinois Surcharge Tax, No-Vig Launch & Exchange Betting
1:32:20 Listener Q&A & Book Recommendations
2:04:15 Closing Thoughts – Staying Ahead of the Next Edge

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

NBA prop crusher Calvin (CalvinandHobo) joins the show this week to talk about what it takes to win as a ball-knower who doesn't have a model.

Calvin had an interesting journey into professional betting that included becoming a cult hero on JuiceReel before he had to stop posting picks once he won too much and gained too many followers. (He explains why this is a big problem)

Calvin doesn't model - but puts in insane hours of research to understand rotations, coach speak and injury predictions. While some bettors rush to bet the injury report - he predicts it.

Calvin on Twitter: https://x.com/CalvinAndHobo

0:00 - Intro/ Calvin's start betting

9:35 – Inside Calvin’s NBA Prop Betting Process
14:00 – Coach Honesty Rankings & Rotation Intel
20:00 – Why Player Props > Sides & Totals
32:00 – Scaling Up, Quitting the Job & Betting Partnerships
41:00 – Turning Down Tout Life & Ethics of Selling Picks
52:00 – Future of NBA Props & Growth via Volume + SGPs
59:30 – Gambling Legislation, Kalshi & Tax Debate
1:20:30 – Listener Q&A, Dead Edges & Final Reflections

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Unfortunately...talking to other people and being social can be really +EV

In this episode we help by giving a dive deep into the how and why of building strong partnerships in the sports betting world. From meeting the right people and forming a core team, to scaling through network effects, online presence, and industry events like BetBash — we cover the strategies, pitfalls, and real-world experiences behind successful collaboration. 

Plus, we form opinions on key headlines around betting scandals and gambling laws that are very loosely researched then answer your questions. One of the questions involves how to get your wife to like you - so if you need help there it's covered.

03:00 Origin Story & Starting the Betting Partnership
09:45 Going Solo vs. Teaming Up Early
16:00 Expanding the Team & Building a Network
21:00 Growing an Online Presence
30:00 Best Practices for Networking & Outreach
44:00 Plans for BetBash & Guest Recruiting
49:30 News (You can get limited in PvP)
1:20:00 – Listener Questions: Strategy, Partnerships, Music & More

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We are joined by Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes - the most profitable bettor on Kalshi this month and a professional bettor not afraid to bet huge on great spots.

Chris talks about scaling his betting from being a solo-bettor using OddsJam to running one of the bigger groups in operation. He also enjoys mixing it up on Twitter under the handle @flupnolide where you can find him posting some of the biggest bets that hit the exchanges. 

If you don't listen to this episode you must not like putting down big money on huge edges!

Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/flupnolide

0:00 Intro & Start of Betting
11:30 Rundown of Flup's Operation
22:00 Flup's Superpower: Account Priming
39:00 Benefit of Winning Circa Survivor
44:45 Why do content?
53:45 $300k Sinner Bet
1:00:00 Gambling Twitter 0 Poker IQ
1:06:00 Edge Graveyard
1:29:00 Everything Prediction Markets
2:05:00 Hot Takes & Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

After two weeks of bad news - the boys start to feel some hope this episode and explain how they have improved their betting during breaks in their sports.  With the sports calendar at its lightest, they dig into why the offseason is a high-leverage window for bettors to optimize their workflows, trim dead weight, and tackle big projects. From cleaning code and cutting distractions to poking around new betting markets, they share how smart time use now sets you up for a stronger fall.

00:00 – Offseason Mindset
06:30 – Cut, Clean, Optimize
14:00 – Big Projects That Pay Off
22:00 – Poking Around New Markets
33:30 – Learning, Documentation & Skill Building
48:00 – Industry News & What’s Next

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Are you relying on twitter to tell you if you should quite gambling or not following the gambling tax disaster in the BBB?

In this episode we sit down with Gary Kondler of Kondler & Associates - the gambling industry leading tax and consulting firm - to discuss the changes in the bill.

From the myths that exploded on Twitter to the real-life tax nightmares facing poker pros, slot whales, and DFS grinders, Gary walks us through exactly what’s changing, who’s most at risk, and how to protect yourself. Whether you're a solo bettor, a casual casino-goer, or part of a syndicate, this episode could save you thousands—and a major audit headache.

Kondler & Associates: https://kondlercpa.com/

00:00 – The Big Change: Understanding the BBB Bill
09:00 – Real Tax Impact: Examples That Hurt
21:00 – Filing as a Pro vs. Amateur
36:00 – Sessions Method, W2Gs & Audit Risk
51:00 – State-Level Chaos & Planning for 2026

1:12:00 - GP & SP React & Speculate Wildly

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

 This week, GP and SP go deep on what's arguably the most pivotal week for the gambling world in years. From legislative crackdowns and lawsuits to tax chaos and rigging scandals, the crew delivers a comprehensive State of the Union for sports betting and its gray-market cousins. If you care about betting—legally, professionally, or recreationally—this is a must-listen. 

0:00 – Opening Thoughts & Why This Episode Exists
5:30 – New Jersey Proxy Betting Bill
20:30 – The Sweeps Crackdown
29:30 – Prediction Markets: The New Gray Market Darling
38:30 – Underdog vs. California?
55:30 – The Federal Tax Bomb That Could Kill Sports Betting
1:08:30 – Malik Beasley’s Sketchy Rebounds Line Movement
1:15:30 – Fanatics Passes on Illinois Tax Hike (to You)
1:18:30 – SP’s “Bug” Speech
1:20:30 – Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Today we are joined by Isaac (https://x.com/Ias0801) to talk about his path to pro betting right out of college. He shares stories about how he cracked the madden sim betting market during covid, texted correlated parlays to his bookie (that got accepted) and his work now in the MLB and CBB. Enjoy!

0:00 Intro/ Early Advantage Play

8:00 Finding a Holy Grail Spot to Start Sports Betting

21:45 How to Start Betting your Own Numbers

38:20 Specializing in MLB & CBB

57:00 Decision to Go Pro (telling your parents)

1:05:30 Networking is Like Betting

1:12:45 Future Plans & Prediction Markets

1:21:00 Q&A and Final Thoughts

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

We’re so back with part two of Flaming Hot Sharp Sports Betting Takes! We offer some preeeety spicy opinions on:

• Why executing an edge beats finding one
• Embracing high-hold markets and "one-way" bets
• The value of betting first, asking questions later
• Why hating touts is no longer cool
• Whether being a pro bettor is a legit data science career
• Why going public with your gambling identity can pay off
• And… how much money it would take for us to quit betting forever?

00:00 – Intro
01:30 – Hot Take: Execution > Finding Edges
12:00 – Hot Take: High Hold = High Opportunity
21:00 – Hot Take: Bet First, Ask Questions Later
32:00 – Hot Take: Hating Touts Isn’t Cool Anymore
40:00 – Hot Take: Pro Betting is Good Data Science Job
44:00 – Hot Take: Why Being Public Helps
58:00 – News Roundup (Poker Scandal, FanDuel, CA Ban)
01:16:00 – Q&A: Working with Mules
01:36:00 – Q&A: How Much to Quit Betting Forever?
01:43:00 – Q&A: Model Graveyard + Project Ideas
02:01:00 – Teaser: Bayesian Update of the Week

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This week we learn how to make more money gambling from the lessons of "The Reverend" Thomas Bayes.

His theorem is the backbone of every successful sports bettor (even if they don't know it).

This week we walk through examples of priors, posteriors and general Bayesian betting hygiene. It's more electric than it sounds!

Andrew Mack's Book: Amazon

0:00 Bayesian Thinking Intro
10:05 Bayes in Sports Betting
51:23 News
1:07:30 SP v. DK Pick6
1:18:45 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Second guest episode of the SP era - with a guy living the dream. Akash worked in the front offices of the New York Yankees and Miami Dolphins as well as a Google data scientist before leaving it all behind to be a full-time bettor.

This builds on our recent modeling episodes as we take a jump from simple/ regression based models into the AI/ML blackbox.

You can find Akash in the GP Discord under the name joshroyale

00:00 Show Intro 
01:50 Yankees Front Office 
11:05 Transition from Sports Analytics to Betting  
23:30 Data Pipelines, Friction Reduction and Useful Features  
39:45 AI vs. Pro Sports Bettor
49:50 Modeling Philosophy: Transparency vs. Black Boxes  
1:11:35 Handling Downswings and Model Validation  
1:17:00 News Roundup: IL Tax, FanDuel Ban, Polymarket x Twitter  
1:30:50 Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Have you ever projected a player to get 23.2 points and wondered if under 24.5 -115 was a +EV bet?

The answer to this question and more can be found in this magic, exciting, adrenaline pumping thing called...distributions!

This week the lads follow up their episode on making your own numbers with an episode on how to turn those numbers into probabilities. And the news section gets very speculative as GP returns to gambling twitter to research a story that intersects the sports betting and poker worlds.

0:00 Intro
3:50 Distributions
1:02:31 Illinois Tax Hike
1:18:44 Poker Scandal
1:39:33 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

Feeling overwhelmed when considering the jump from +EV betting to building your own model?

We don't blame you. The little content there is out there on how to get started makes it sound impossible. But the reality is, in the beginning, it's rather straightforward.

In this episode, the boys help you get started with your first sports betting model before getting into the news and Q&A

0:00 Intro
2:30 How to Build Sports Models
55:51 News
1:15:30 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

GP slowly realizes he's a DFS fish as he recaps his high stakes PGA Championship lineup building strategy to SP. SP breaks down what a winning sports bettor needs to do to win in DFS (and vice-versa)

SP then weighs in on Underdog allowing RTA following GP's rant last episode and the boys discuss why the state of Wyoming determined anyone who wins betting is a cheater.

Questions range from how did the hosts learn to model to if SPs DraftKings VIP vacation is real?

0:00 How to Win at DFS
41:50 Underdog/ ETR RTA 2.0
1:00:27 Wyoming says you're a cheater
1:08:27 Q&A
1:11:15 Big liquidity on exchanges means...?
1:22:00 How did we learn how to model sports?
1:39:54 Is market efficiency inevitable?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

GP flies solo this week and takes the opportunity to ramble on about his journey from mediocre poker player to pretty good sports bettor. (This includes a quick double-up on the signing bonus he got in business school)

The news is dominated by the Real Time Assistance tool ETR released for Underdog best ball drafts. If you think that's the story - you're wrong. Because Underdog comes out and says they ALLOW this type of RTA in a move that blows the mind of anyone who's ever played online poker.

Q&A then goes into why GP doesn't plug GP Picks+ on the pod and some other odds and ends.

Remember - all things related to the podcast stem from the free discord at goldenpants.com

0:00 GP Origin Story
31:40 Key moments & lifestyle changes that lead to success
42:05 Underdog allows ETR's real-time assistance tool
1:04:00 Penn boardroom drama
1:09:00 What do you say you do for a living?
1:12:05 Why do you not plug GP Picks+?
1:26:40 How to find balance without set hours

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

This episode has it all. GP's childish morning routine, what music you should listen to while modeling, and some hot takes based on a cursory glance at the news.

The Q&A is dominated by a great question at the end regarding how achievable year-over-year profits are by someone who never models or scales a betting group.

Remember to join the discord (link below) if you want your question on a future episode. The discord is free and we answer almost every question - so hop and it participate in the show!

0:00 Day/ Week in Life of a Pro/Semi-Pro Bettor
39:39 AI beats Sean Perry, are we doomed?
48:07 Sweeps & prediction market update
1:09:00 Mass gaming wants to void Russia
1:18:35 Biggest leak of good bettors?
1:31:15 How to calc a middle?
1:37:37 Will Fliff pay & bet more to increase limits?
1:45:00 Can you make long-term money w/o model or betting group?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj
Follow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013