The Polling Alley - Details, episodes & analysis

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The Polling Alley

Overton Insights

News

Frequency: 1 episode/21d. Total Eps: 14

The Polling Alley, the Overton Insights podcast, breaks down the latest polling numbers nationwide, making sense of where voters stand on politics, policy, and so much more. Listen in if you're interested in what voters are really thinking as we uncover the public opinion trends shaping today's political landscape. Mark Cunningham, Overton Insights Poll Director and Olivia Michiels, Poll Analyst at Overton Insights, dive into insights about the latest poll numbers and trends.

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The Polling Alley: Episode 14

Season 1 · Episode 14

Saturday, August 29, 2026 • Duration 18:17

Seventy-one percent of Americans don't want data centers built near them, and it's becoming one of the most critical issues on the 2026 ballot. This week we dig into why the industry lost the messaging war before it started, where Trump's approval is dragging Senate candidates, and a seasonality quirk that may make summer polls lean more Democratic.

In this episode, we cover:

Why are data centers the most hated issue of the cycle? – A leaked Senate GOP campaign memo warned AI companies that opposition to data centers is threatening a key Ohio seat. We break down why the backlash crosses party lines, how candidates like Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin are flipping the script, and why roughly 70% opposition is showing up in state after state ahead of our upcoming Texas poll.
Is Trump's approval sinking the Senate map? – With net approval sitting between minus 20 to 26, we analyze the balancing act Republican candidates face as November quickly approaches.
What's behind the summer polling bump for Democrats? – Patrick Ruffini's review of roughly 3,300 Senate polls found a late-July-to-August lean toward Democrats that fades by Election Day. We discuss the leading theories, from reluctant Republican voters to likely-voter model gaps, plus Nate Silver's take using the Michigan Senate race as a live example.

POLLS & LINKS:

📊 Gallup polling on data center sentiment (~71% unfavorable): https://news.gallup.com/poll/709772/americans-oppose-data-centers-area.aspx

📰 Axios reporting on the Senate GOP campaign memo (Ohio): https://www.axios.com/2026/08/19/gop-data-center-memo-ai-election?utm_medium=referral

📊 Patrick Ruffini / Echelon Insights report on ~3,300 Senate polls: https://www.patrickruffini.com/p/why-senate-polling-is-always-worse

The Polling Alley - Details, episodes & analysis

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The Polling Alley - Details, episodes & analysis

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