The PetroNerds Podcast – Details, episodes & analysis

Recorded on September 11, 2024 and July 12, 2024 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xl09qODB9vg Episode 115 of the PetroNerds podcast is another jam-packed PetroNerds special you are going to listen to, relisten to, and share. This is the keynote address that Trisha Curtis gave to IPANM, the Independent Petroleum Association of New Mexico in Albuquerque, New Mexico on July 12th, 2024. This podcast is front-loaded with an energy-dense PetroNerdy market update covering everything from the softness and deterioration in oil prices, the Fed and inflation, weakness in the Chinese economy, lack of attention on geopolitics, and updates on the war in Ukraine, elections in the US, and Chinese power generation stats and CO2 emissions and much more! In this keynote address and talk Trisha covers the current state of the Biden Administration, global elections, US oil production, the health of the US economy and the consumer, inflation and the non recession, the non-ESG friendly energy transition, whack-a-mole CO2 emissions, the real problems with China, Russia, Iran, the war in the Middle East, Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea, Chinese CO2 emissions and exports of cheap green tech, the resilience of US shale, and everything in between. Make sure to check out the article Trisha Curtis published with Real Clear Energy as the Economist for the American Energy Institute: "America's Energy Success has Nothing to do with the Biden Harris Administration" https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/09/03/americas_energy_success_has_nothing_to_do_with_the_biden-harris_administration_1055870.html and the US shale paper Trisha Curtis did for the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies that was published in their September 2024 Forum Journal. The paper is called "US Shale Oil - Relentlessly Resident" https://petronerds.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/US-Shale-Oil-Resiliency-PetroNerds-Trisha-Curtis-September-2024.pdf Listen on Itunes

Recorded on August 16, 2024 https://youtu.be/1z8gu8-Iz0g In episode 114 of the PetroNerds podcast, Trisha Curtis, CEO of PetroNerds, is joined by Chris Brown, VP of Policy and Research at the Common Sense Institute, to discuss the recent report Trisha co-authored on Colorado's declining energy competitiveness. Energy is not just a sector of the economy; it is the sector upon which all businesses rely. Colorado, along with the rest of the US, has witnessed a dramatic escalation in electricity and natural gas prices, despite natural gas prices being near all-time lows, below $/mcf, for multiple months this year. In this podcast, Trisha and Chris discuss the main themes of this report, including the rising electricity and natural gas prices in Colorado, which are making the state less competitive from an energy cost standpoint. They also discuss where electricity is coming from in Colorado and the direct correlation between rising electricity costs and the increase of wind power into the grid. Finally, they talk about Colorado's CO2 emissions, which account for less than 0.3 percent of global emissions, and how Colorado shutting down coal-fired power plants is actually enabling higher CO2 emission growth out of China, increasing the cost of electricity and power generation in Colorado, decreasing grid reliability, and reducing the affordability of energy in the state. The data is damning and alarming, and folks in Colorado need to be reaching out to the PUC, Xcel, and their local representatives, demanding a halt to more wind and solar power being added to the grid at the expense of the Colorado consumer, taxpayer, and household. The report, along with all the detailed charts and analysis, can be found here: https://commonsenseinstituteco.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/CSI-Report-CO-Energy-Competitiveness.pdf. Listen on Itunes

Recorded on April 5, 2024 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kpt86pq3xL0&feature=youtu.be Episode 105 of the PetroNerds podcast is a must listen to show stopper that you are going to want to share and listen to again. This PetroNerds podcast is a fresh market recap and dive on everything driving oil prices higher, including geopolitical tensions, the war in the Middle East, the Fed and rate volatility, inflation and concerns over sticky inflation, and China, Iran, and the less than ESG friendly energy transition. Trisha Curtis, CEO of PetroNerds and host of the PetroNerds podcast, walks listeners through the rise in oil prices, the rise in gold prices, and the rise in the 10 year yield curve and the relationship between the three. She gets into the current state of geopolitics and the risk premium finally coming into oil prices with regards to Israel and Iran. And she talks about the plethora of Fed commentary this week covering everything from rate hikes to rate cuts to rising immigration. She also talks about the US jobs report. The bulk of the podcast is the talk and presentation Trisha gave in Dallas, Texas to a group of investors at the CFA Investor Summit in November 2023. She chose to release this podcast now because of the geopolitical explanation in the talk with regard to the war in the Middle East, Fed comments, the atrocities committed in Gaza, and her discussion of China's role in the energy transition. This is fast talking, lippy, and a complete round the world conversation to investors. Listen on Itunes

https://youtu.be/qz8gSMh2tnc In episode 15 of the PetroNerds podcast, Trisha Curtis and Ethan Bellamy discuss the current status of the Colonial pipeline (which had not resumed operations at the time) and get into oil prices, the US dollar, and all things inflation and Fed moves or lack thereof.

https://youtu.be/30sc0Lp4M9s Trisha Curtis and Ethan Bellamy come out swinging in the second part of this windy and nerdy two parter. They get into the color and commentary in BP’s Q1 2021 earnings call and the major themes discussed including EV charging stations in the UK and Europe, offshore wind, and BP’s move from an IOC to an IEC. And then Trisha and Ethan bring this two-part episode full circle by getting into the Arab News interview with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and his comments on US and Russian oil supply. Trisha and Ethan’s discussion on this interview and how MBS thinks and how it relates to the global oil market and the energy transition makes this a must listen to episode.

https://youtu.be/fHoY82nP5Jg Episode 13 of the PetroNerds podcast is part 1 of a nerdy two parter on oil prices, oil demand outlooks, US oil demand, OPEC plus, Biden’s recent policy moves, and the Senate hearing on the suspension of oil and gas leasing on Federal Land, pending review.  This episode covers a lot of ground and is very timely.  You are not going to want to miss it.  Stay tuned for part two, episode 14 where Trisha and Ethan get into the BP earnings call and the interview with Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman or MBS.

https://youtu.be/oIeCf40xZbU In episode 12 of the PetroNerds podcast, Trisha Curtis sits down with Louis Baltimore of Hyliion trucking. Trisha and Louis talk about natural gas combined with battery technology in the trucking space and what types of solutions Hyliion has to offer the market. This is the first interview/discussion with a guest on the PetroNerds podcast. Trisha and Louis get into discussions of the role of natural gas in the trucking space, the market in the US, and potential markets abroad.

https://youtu.be/CiVuLuppS0I Trisha Curtis and Ethan Bellamy take it into overdrive with a dense and timely podcast covering everything from DAPL to Iran. They discuss IEA’s oil demand increase, oil prices, US efficiency gains, the merits of hedging, the potential nuclear deal with Iran, Iran’s uranium enrichment, and what it means if Iran adds barrels to the market. They get into two recent Bloomberg articles on Chinese solar panels in Xinjang and BP’s selloff of Alaska, and bring it home with an update on the Dakota Access pipeline hearing and Trisha’s more nuanced take on legal precedent vs. Army Corp punting. (Trisha accidentally said Guernsey is in southwest Wyoming when she meant to say Guernsey was in southeast Wyoming, just off the border of Nebraska.)

https://youtu.be/acQ6om9uc6k In episode 10 of the PetroNerds podcast, Trisha and Ethan continue the discussion of the Permian Basin’s rising rig count, oil prices, and spare OPEC Plus capacity. They also begin what is sure to be a more lengthy discussion on Biden’s Infrastructure Plan and associated Tax Plan, what Trisha calls unfair comparisons to China, and go through the Department of Interior’s nearly four hour virtual forum on oil and gas leasing on Federal Land and Offshore Waters and the executive order on Climate Change, which prompted the forum and review. (Note and clarification. As of January 2021, Doublepoint Energy, LLC was producing over 60,000 bd with nearly all of the production coming from 184 horizontal wells. Doublepoint has 184 active horizontals and 386 active vertical wells according to Enverus.)

https://youtu.be/-WYoqehIpDs In the 9th episode of the PetroNerds podcast, Trisha Curtis and Ethan Bellamy talk about the rise in the US rig count, OPEC Plus adding barrels to the market, the role of the Saudis in these moves, oil demand and oil supply, oil demand growth in the US, China importing 1 mbd from Iran, and the trouble with Indian and Chinese coal consumption and CO2 emissions.