Explore every episode of the podcast The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Tariffs failed, imports hit a record, and France is rioting. Peter Schiff explains why America's sovereign debt crisis is next.

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Imports hit a record in August, the tariffs failed, and France just showed America where runaway debt ends.

Peter Schiff opens with the August trade deficit: $105.6 billion against a $99 billion forecast, with total imports at a record high despite Trump's tariffs. The tariffs did not reduce buying; they only made imports more expensive. Prices paid in the ISM services survey rose to 74, the highest since July 2022. Peter argues Republicans squandered two years of control and that Trump could have forced a balanced budget by vetoing debt ceiling increases, but pushed to abolish the ceiling instead.

France is the preview. Its 10-year yield of 4.75% now sits below America's 5.28%, its government spends 57% of GDP, and even timid proposals to slow spending growth are meeting protests in the streets. Peter explains why the eurozone failed exactly as he warned in the 1990s, then makes the case that keeping America out of World War I would have prevented World War II. With gold below $4,200 and silver near $60, he argues precious metals are the last safe haven as sovereign debt crises spread.

Chapters:

00:00 Global Debt Unrest

00:42 Stocks Hit Records

02:37 Trade Deficit Shock

07:40 Tariffs Backfire

10:48 Inflation Signals Rising

12:51 GOP Spending Failure

16:28 Veto Power Missed

18:25 MAGA Loyalty Machine

25:09 France Bond Spread Alarm

30:47 France Cuts Spark Protests

32:55 Welfare State Backlash

33:41 Pension Changes Explained

34:40 Healthcare and Sick Pay Tweaks

36:27 Freezes and Token Cuts

38:24 Debt Crisis and ECB Limits

39:18 Eurozone Moral Hazard

43:23 ECB Bailouts and Inflation

44:26 France as US Warning

45:11 Brazil Election Market Reaction

47:38 Tucker Interview on War

49:31 Why WWI Led to WWII

55:13 Unintended War Consequences

01:00:09 Wrap Up and Gold Pitch

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#PeterSchiffShow #Tariffs #SovereignDebt

Peter Schiff on a 29,000 jobs miss, weak wage growth, a $132.6B trade deficit, Trump's inflation remark, and why bonds sold off anyway.

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Peter Schiff breaks down the September jobs report: just 29,000 jobs against an 85,000 estimate. July was revised back to negative 10,000 and August down to 133,000. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, private payrolls added 46,000, and average hourly earnings rose only 0.1%, the smallest monthly gain in more than five years, while August CPI rose 0.4%. Peter had forecast both the miss and the downward revisions on Tuesday's podcast.

Peter explains why the bond market sold off despite the weak report and softer August PCE data, even as the odds of an October rate hike fell sharply. The 10-year Treasury closed the week at 5.28% and the 30-year at 5.63%, which he calls classic bear market action. He also covers personal income rising 0.2% against spending up 0.9%, a 4.1% savings rate, and an August trade deficit of $132.6 billion, the fourth worst in US history, which he says shows tariffs have not reduced imports and that importers are the ones paying them.

On stocks, Peter notes the Nasdaq hit an intraday record while 147 stocks made new 52-week lows against 38 new highs on the week, breadth he compares to 1999-2000 and 1973. He responds to President Trump's interview comment that inflation will pay off the debt, arguing it amounts to a sell signal for bondholders, and disputes Trump's claim that he inherited inflation from Biden.

Peter reviews gold near $4,140, silver at $60.37 and the miners, Bitcoin near $84,500 and Strategy's Stretch trading back near par, and argues the data points to stagflation, with AI capital spending propping up GDP. He discusses the G7's 100 million barrel oil reserve release, mortgage rates he thinks could reach 8% this month, risks to housing, autos, credit and Fannie and Freddie, $40 trillion in debt at 5% interest, Janet Yellen's past comments on low rates, and Rick Santelli's final day at CNBC. He closes by urging listeners to buy the dip in gold and silver, with support near $4,000 and $60.

Chapters:

00:00 Bond Crisis Warning

01:02 September Jobs Shock

03:02 Revisions and Labor Details

06:22 Wages Lag Inflation

08:16 Bonds Sell Off Anyway

12:36 Income Spending PCE

15:47 Trade Deficit Tariffs

20:13 Stocks Ignore Rising Yields

26:48 Trump Inflation Pays Debt

28:06 Inflation Pays Debt Claim

29:02 Who Owns Inflation Blame

30:17 Bondholders Get Burned

31:20 Weekly Market Scorecard

31:49 Gold Silver Yield Paradox

34:13 Stagflation And AI Distortion

36:17 Bitcoin Strategy Stretch Update

38:35 Bond Vigilantes Take Over

40:21 Oil Reserves And Mortgage Shock

45:08 Debt Math And Crisis Setup

49:51 Midterms And Voter Reality

51:56 Buy Metals And Wrap Up

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#PeterSchiffShow #JobsReport #BondMarket

Peter Schiff on record bond yields, a 12-year low in consumer confidence, the end of the 40-year refi era, and why gold is the last safe haven.

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Bond yields hit new highs on weak data, consumer confidence sank to a 12-year low, and Peter says the end game has arrived.

The 30-year Treasury touched 5.62% and the 10-year closed at 5.26%, two weeks after 5% was supposed to be the ceiling. What makes this week different is that bonds sold off on bad news: consumer confidence collapsed to 81.9, the lowest in 12 years and below the depths of the pandemic, job openings missed, and yields rose anyway. Peter's warning is direct: if Friday's jobs number is weak and bonds still fall, the orderly grind lower becomes a crash. Gold's $170 drop is the market getting this backwards. Money leaving bonds ends up in gold, the last safe haven standing.

The bigger story is housing. America is now in the worst quadrant, high debt and high rates, which it has never lived through. For 40 years mortgage rates only fell, from 18% in 1981 to 2.65% in 2021, and homeowners rode that wave with serial cash-out refis that turned the house into an ATM. At 7.4% and headed past 8%, that era is over: no more refis, no cash out, no wealth effect, with homes at five times income and down payments at 13.8%. Fannie and Freddie are down 75% while the government buys more mortgage bonds. Neither party will name a cut. Every crisis Peter has warned about is converging, and he says to get your plan B in order.

Chapters:

00:00 Bond Crash Warning

01:02 Yields Surge and Mortgages

02:59 Gold Dip and Safe Haven

07:11 Weak Data Ignored

13:21 Housing Market Cracks

14:48 Password Security Ad

16:00 High Debt High Rates Era

19:17 Housing Bubble Math

23:56 Refi Boom Ends

28:24 Home Prices Next Drop

31:30 Noom Weight Loss Pitch

33:07 GSE Stocks Get Crushed

35:50 Trump Hype And Dump

39:39 PSA Or Campaign Ad

42:41 Deficits Nobody Will Cut

47:59 Affordability Promises Backfire

50:08 Socialism Messaging Trap

52:12 AI Hope Versus Debt Crisis

56:02 Fed Out Of Tricks

56:43 Prepare For The Storm

57:28 Wrap Up And Plan B

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#PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #MortgageRates

Peter Schiff on why 86% of the S&P is already in a bear market, the 1973 and 2000 parallels, 5% Treasury yields, and new IRS emails on his bank.

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Market breadth has only been this bad twice in 100 years, and both times the S&P 500 fell nearly 50%.

Peter Schiff opens with the relentless rise in long-term yields: the 10-year Treasury closed at 5.16%, the 30-year at 5.49%, and the five-year at 5.00%, while stocks shrug it off. Mortgages sit above 7% only because the Trump administration ordered Fannie and Freddie to buy, and Peter expects 8% regardless. Bond yields rose even as oil fell from $100 to $92, showing the bond market has decoupled from the Fed narrative. The S&P is 0.7% from a record, but the average stock is 19% below its high, 60% of stocks are in bear territory, and new lows outpaced new highs three to one. Peter compares this to January 1973 and early 2000, the only two precedents, both followed by roughly 49% declines. He also covers the Michigan sentiment drop to 48.1 and the hoarding psychology behind it, Bill Ackman's call to raise the inflation target, why rising yields are bullish for gold, and the Trump-Xi meeting that produced no commitments. The second half returns to Euro Pacific Bank: newly unredacted IRS emails reveal an MOU with OCIF and no answer when the IRS-CI chief asked what the bank did wrong, while the receiver has repaid 78 of roughly 3,500 customers in four years and paid himself over $850,000.

Chapters:

00:00 Breadth Crash Warning

00:59 Bond Yields Surge

04:40 Global Rates and Mortgages

07:37 Oil Link Breaks

11:01 Consumers and Hoarding

14:58 Markets Misread Gold

18:47 Hidden Bear Market Breadth

21:06 History Rhymes Again

23:21 Ackman and Inflation Target

29:15 China Summit and Tariffs

33:05 Bank Shutdown FOIA Fight

38:20 FOIA Fight With IRS

39:11 Settlement And New Disclosures

42:03 Press Conference Double Standard

43:46 Jim Lee Email Questions

47:10 MOU Proof Of Coordination

50:56 Unanswered Questions Expose Narrative

55:02 Publicity Stunt Motive

56:04 Portugal Freeze Fallout

57:23 Receivership Numbers Breakdown

01:04:40 Government Vs Free Market Rant

01:06:41 Congress Won't Act

01:07:41 Wrap Up And Investing Pitch

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Peter Schiff serves as Global Strategist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, LLC (“EPAM”), an SEC-registered investment adviser. The views and opinions expressed are those of Mr. Schiff as of the date of recording and may change without notice. Certain statements concerning historical events and regulatory matters reflect Mr. Schiff’s interpretation of the facts and information available to him.

Market and investment commentary is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute individualized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. International investing involves additional risks, including currency, political, economic and regulatory risks.

For information regarding EPAM’s investment advisory services, please visit europac.com. Registration with the SEC does not imply a particular level of skill or training.

Peter Schiff on 22-year high yields, record diesel, McDonald's inflation warning, and Trump's claim he told Warsh how to vote.

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Peter Schiff reviews the rise in Treasury yields to multi-decade highs and what 5% rates would mean for interest on the $40 trillion national debt. He opens with a comment Donald Trump made after the Fed's 25 basis point hike: that he told Kevin Warsh he "might as well vote with the board." Peter argues that either Trump is lying or, if the conversation happened, the Fed chairman is clearing his votes with the president, and that Warsh should be asked directly at the next press conference.

He then turns to the bond market. The five-year auction cleared at 5.03%, the highest in just over 20 years; the 30-year reached 5.41%, a 22-year high, and the 10-year hit 5.12%. He expects the 10/30 spread, now under 30 basis points, to widen back toward 50 or more, and suggests shorting the 30-year against the 10-year. If the government pays 5% on $40 trillion, interest would run $2 trillion a year, about 35% of tax revenue and more than Social Security, with the debt growing by more than $3 trillion a year. He says stock investors still assume yields are near a top.

McDonald's stock fell about 5% after its CEO said inflation would stay elevated for "many more years," which Peter contrasts with Warsh's claim that expectations are anchored at 2%. He agrees with Warsh that growth does not cause inflation; loose monetary policy does.

Diesel set another record above $6.50 a gallon, near $10 in California. Peter argues a diesel export ban would cut production, and that drawing down the Strategic Petroleum Reserve leaves nothing for a real emergency.

On the midterms, he notes Democrats are now 65% favorites to take the Senate, with cost of living the top issue, and blames Trump rather than Biden for inflation, while the Gulf conflict looks to be worsening. He criticizes the White House for pulling credentials from CNN, Politico and MS Now, recounts Trump's reaction to his Fox & Friends appearance, and discusses California's lawsuit against Trump Media over selling early access to Trump's posts for $50,000 to $100,000 a month, which he calls insider information.

Peter closes with his Schiff Sovereign Plan B conference in Panama, which drew 130 to 140 attendees, and the story of his grandparents arriving through Ellis Island in 1902 and 1903 with no paperwork. His argument: the problem is not immigrants but the welfare state, and listeners should get their financial house in order, including gold, silver and TGold.

Chapters:

00:00 Diesel Hits Record Highs

00:52 Back From Panama Update

03:19 Trump Fed Comment Fallout

09:34 Treasury Yields Break 5%

12:42 Debt Interest Disaster Math

17:30 McDonalds Warns Inflation Years

22:20 Diesel Export Ban And SPR Risks

27:23 Midterms Senate Odds Shift

30:40 War And Media Crackdown Concerns

31:38 Press Ban Fallout

33:18 Fake News Double Standard

33:38 Fox Interview Backlash

35:54 Truth Social Insider Edge

37:12 Market Moving Posts Explained

41:13 GOP Hypocrisy Warning

43:06 Panama Plan B Conference

45:27 Why Panama Appeals

47:40 Gilded Age Tariff Myth

48:45 Open Immigration Then

55:21 Welfare State Border Reality

59:23 Plan B Portfolio Prep

59:51 Signing Off Anniversary

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#PeterSchiffShow #nationaldebt #inflation #federalreserve

The Fed hiked a quarter point. Peter explains why it will not stop the bond market, the dollar, or what is already coming for housing.

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The Fed finally hiked. Peter says the quarter point changes nothing about what is already in motion.

The Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75 to 4 percent, a 90 percent probability going in and a unanimous vote coming out. Peter's read is that none of that signals resolve. The Fed did not hike because it wanted to. Months of tough talk had stopped working, the bond market had called the bluff, and the committee was left with a put-up-or-shut-up moment it could not dodge. So it did the smallest thing available, and Kevin Warsh gave the shortest press conference of his tenure on the way out.

A quarter point does not touch inflation heading for a four handle, not with oil above 100 dollars and diesel at record highs. The reason the Fed will not do more is not caution, it is capacity. A hike large enough to break inflation would break the economy and the Treasury's ability to fund itself.

The market understood immediately. The Dow closed down roughly 600 points after being green before the announcement, and the 10-year Treasury pushed back above 5 percent, which Peter calls a stepping stone to 6. He also covers Trump's demand for sub-1 percent rates, Scott Bessent's testimony, why 8 percent mortgages are coming, and why he expects gold to recover from this selloff quickly.

Chapters:

00:00 Fed Hikes Under Pressure

00:33 Markets Priced In the Move

03:46 Fed Cornered by Inflation Talk

06:38 Symbolic Hike and Market Fallout

10:11 Fiscal Policy and Real Inflation

21:31 Bond Yields Surge and Trump Reacts

32:28 Import Cold Turkey Fallout

33:40 Tariffs And China Surplus

35:08 Empty Shelves Economic Crash

36:18 Five Thousand Dollar Dividend

44:30 Bonds For Bombs And Meme Coins

53:32 Crypto Politics Gold Outlook Farewell

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#PeterSchiffShow #FedRateHike #Inflation #Gold #BondMarket

Fox dropped Peter for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI proved it. Now an 88% rate hike, 19-year-high yields, and $100 oil.

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Peter got dropped from Fox News for saying inflation would accelerate. August CPI just proved him right.

Last December Peter went on Fox News and said prices were still rising and the rate of increase would accelerate. Trump called him a Trump hater; Fox stopped booking him. Today's CPI: up 0.4% for August, 3.4% year over year, core hotter than expected, PPI running 5.4%, oil back over $100. Consumer inflation expectations jumped to 4.6%. Everything he said would happen has happened, while the president told a Republican convention this week that prices are "rapidly going down."

Markets now put 88% odds on a rate hike next week, and Peter says the Fed has backed itself into a corner: Warsh has talked tough for so long that not hiking ends the Fed's credibility. But a symbolic 25 basis points "ain't gonna cut it" when inflation is rising faster than rates. The bond market already knows. The 10-year hit 4.97%, a 19-year high, the 30-year 5.35%, and Peter argues we're only six years into a bear market where 5% is nowhere near the top, with $40 trillion of debt to refinance. He also takes apart Trump's $5,000 "dividend" (a bribe paid from $4 trillion of new debt), calls gold dips a gift, and says Bitcoin's chart projects to zero.

Chapters:

00:00 Fox News Inflation Call

00:34 9/11 Reflections and Liberty

05:27 CPI Report and Fed Odds

14:16 Symbolic Hike Won’t Work

36:49 Metals and Bitcoin Check

37:51 Bitcoin Head and Shoulders

39:24 Why a Midterm Convention

44:55 The 5000 Dividend Claim

57:17 Inflation Jobs and Wrap Up

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Oil near $100, copper at a record, and the Fed still says 2%. Why the bond market breaks before the stock market does.

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Oil near $100, copper at a record, and 65 straight months above 2%. Peter says the bond market breaks first.

Brent touched $99.50 and copper hit an all-time high, and Peter's point is that the Fed's 2% target was already unreachable when oil was falling. Sixty-five months above target, and now the inputs are rising again. PPI Thursday and CPI Friday could both come in hot, and if they do, the damage shows up in bonds before it shows up in stocks. The market is pricing roughly 60% odds of a hike next week. Peter doesn't think the Fed will do it, and thinks 25 basis points wouldn't matter if it did, since the market would immediately start pricing the next one.

The rest is the bill coming due elsewhere. China just posted a record trade surplus, with August exports up 25% year over year and exports to the US up 34%, which is what happens when tariffs price Americans out of the best deal rather than moving production home. Peter got the receipt himself: the courier billed him for the tariff, then billed him again to process it. Meanwhile the hyperscalers that used to park cash in Treasuries are borrowing from the same pool the government needs, at a moment when interest costs already run $1.2 trillion a year.

Chapters:

00:00 Intro

00:39 War Shock Fuels Commodities

02:15 Copper vs Gold Real Money

06:11 Iran War Drags On

21:31 Tariffs and Trade War Fallout

30:18 Producers vs Consumers

31:50 Tariffs Shift Trade

35:52 Why Trade Wars Fail

43:37 Nickels Beat Treasuries

50:59 Fed, Inflation, and Wrap-Up

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#PeterSchiffShow #BondMarket #Inflation

Peter Schiff on the fake jobs beat, Trump's trade ultimatum, yields at 2007 highs, a 162% tariff bill, and why the Fed is the last buyer.

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The government says 162,000 jobs is a boom. Peter Schiff says it's a miss, and the bond market agrees.

The August jobs report came in at 162,000 against a 55,000 consensus, and Peter Schiff walks through why the number is worse than it looks. The birth-death model supplied 74,000 of those jobs, 45% of the total, on the assumption that new businesses were hiring. More than a third of the rest were waiters and bartenders. JOLTS and ADP both pointed the other way, last month was revised down, and real wages are falling. Kevin Hassett called it a boom; by most measures the economy is weaker than the day Trump took over.

Then Trump raised the stakes. He declared that America deserves the lowest interest rates in the world, then threatened to terminate all trade with any surplus country if the Fed doesn't cut. Peter's answer: the United States has never been a worse credit risk than it is right now. The 10-year hit 4.81% and the 30-year 5.28%, the highest since 2007. Japan has sold its Treasury holdings down from $1.3 trillion to $1.1 trillion, everyone who was buying is now selling, and the Fed will end up the buyer of last resort, which means inflation.

Peter also covers the week's real data: the July trade deficit at $88.6 billion, the biggest since March 2025; the $283 part that cost him 162% of the tariff once FedEx added its fee; diesel at a record above $5.80; Lutnick on semiconductors and Bastiat's candlemakers; Waller's rate comments sending gold back above $4,400; and an update on TGold's coming gold debit and credit cards.

Chapters:

00:00 No Buyers Left

00:29 Back In Puerto Rico

00:47 Jobs Report Miss

05:36 Real Wages Falling

06:09 Waiters And Bartenders

08:00 JOLTS ADP Contradiction

09:10 Birth Death Model

10:23 Hassett Boom Claim

13:27 Trump Rate Demands

15:20 Worst Credit Risk Ever

17:24 Trump Trade Ultimatum

24:07 Bessent Kudlow Interview

27:27 Yields Hit 2007 Highs

28:24 Yen And Japan Selling

31:14 Oil Diesel Record

33:15 Stocks Gold Silver

39:16 Trade Deficit Widens

42:02 My 162% Tariff Bill

45:37 Lutnick Semiconductors

48:33 Bastiat Candlemakers

51:08 Waller Rate Comments

53:39 Gold Pullback Gift

54:03 TGold Cards Update

1:00:24 Bitcoin And EuroPac

1:02:12 Labor Day Sign Off

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Warsh talks tough, buybacks double, a military option surfaces, gold falls $140, and boat prices collapse 50%.

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The Treasury doubled its bond buybacks this week. Then the talk turned to a military option for yields.

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh spent his most anticipated speech of the year talking tough about inflation, and Peter Schiff explains why none of it matters. Warsh accepted responsibility for 65 straight months above the 2% target, then never once mentioned the $40 trillion national debt or the Treasury intervention running underneath him. Money supply is expanding at roughly 6% annualized since he took the job. He is talking about putting out the fire while pouring the gasoline.

Underneath the speech, the policy escalated. Treasury buybacks already doubled from $2 billion to $4 billion, with roughly a trillion in the general fund available to extend them, shortening the average maturity of the debt and leaving the government more exposed to the rate hikes markets are now pricing. And in a Fox News interview on that same intervention, a military option for lowering bond yields was raised.

Peter also covers the week's real data: gold down $140, silver reversing from nearly $71, a Chicago PMI collapse to 47.1 that was the biggest downside miss in eleven years, and a boat market where prices have fallen 50% and lenders are taking the keys, a Fed-made boom and bust he argues housing is about to repeat.

Chapters:

00:00 Inflation Firestorm

00:37 Boatcast Setup

01:02 Warsh Speech Breakdown

04:12 Debt And Twist Ignored

08:10 Forward Guidance Critique

11:19 Dual Mandate Tradeoffs

12:46 Money Supply Matters

13:56 Hawkish Talk And Markets

18:50 Trump Military Option

20:01 Canada Tariffs Fallout

27:53 Market Wrap Gold Bitcoin

31:46 Strategy Dilution Spiral

32:42 Dollar Yen Bonds Warning

34:11 Manufacturing Digital Shift

39:03 Boating Bubble Bust

45:28 Boat Costs Force Selling

48:13 West Marine Bankruptcy

53:02 Buyer Market Repos Risk

56:30 Boat Ownership Reality

57:09 Closing Politics Plug

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#BondMarket #FederalReserve

Peter Schiff breaks down the Treasury's panic move to rescue the bond market, the $40 trillion debt milestone, and gold's $185 reversal day.

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The Treasury just doubled its bond buybacks. Peter Schiff says that's the government admitting the bond market is broken.

On the same day the national debt topped $40 trillion, the Treasury announced it is doubling its long-term bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion... buying the bonds everybody else is selling, and funding it by issuing more short-term debt. Peter calls it what it is: a panic move, a Hail Mary to suppress rising yields after the 30-year hit 5.3%, its highest in over 19 years. Refinancing debt locked in at a 3.44% average coupon with 4% T-bills makes no financial sense, which is exactly why it's happening... the government is scared, not stupid.

The market rendered its verdict immediately. Gold reversed off a $185 rally to close above $4,500, silver cleared $66, and the miners surged 8-12%, while hawkish FOMC minutes were shrugged off entirely. Peter explains why this Treasury version of Operation Twist forces the Fed to follow with real QE... a program that will have to dwarf 2008's... why Bitcoin's pop above $70,000 is built on hope, and why the housing data shows the panic is justified.

Chapters:

00:00 Treasury Panic Move

01:05 Bond Yields Hit New Highs

02:58 Debt Explosion Politics

07:00 Treasury Buyback Twist

10:23 QE Next And Fed Cornered

16:04 Hawkish Minutes Gold Surge

24:03 Markets React Unevenly

24:20 Dollar Drops Oil Jumps

25:08 Fed Inflation Bind

26:30 Debt Era Comparison

27:40 Jobs Data Media Spin

29:17 Bitcoin Versus Metals

31:19 Housing Slump Mortgages

33:59 Tariffs Canada Trade

37:50 Buybacks Won't Work

42:26 QE Addiction Ahead

44:34 Boat Update Farewell

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Peter Schiff on plunging retail sales, sticky inflation, the Fed's stealth QE, and why the world is now leaving the dollar standard.

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Retail sales just plunged, producer prices are still rising, and the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet again.

The July data tells the story the markets keep ignoring. Retail sales fell 0.6 percent, the biggest drop in over a year, and since those numbers are not adjusted for inflation, real spending fell even further. Consumer sentiment sank to 51 as households braced for 4.3 percent inflation, more than double the Fed's 2 percent target. Producer prices rose 4.7 percent year over year, and instead of rallying on the weak data, the bond market sold off to its lowest weekly close of the year, with the 30-year at 5.27 percent. Meanwhile the Fed expanded its balance sheet by more than 21 billion dollars in two weeks, with the national debt about 80 billion dollars away from 40 trillion.

Peter marks 55 years since Nixon closed the gold window and calls it what it was: a 100 percent default on America's creditors. His father Irwin testified against removing gold backing in 1968, and the 1970s proved him right. Now the sequel is underway. The world is going off the dollar standard the way America went off gold, and the next leg down in the American standard of living has already started. Gold near 4,400 dollars and silver above 66 are the market's verdict.

Chapters:

00:00 Middle Class Squeeze

01:01 PPI Breakdown

04:08 Fed Balance Sheet Surge

05:23 Stagflation Signals

08:28 Bond Market Warning

11:39 Greenspan and 1987 Echoes

14:48 Stocks vs Bonds Diverge

15:33 Gold Shines Bitcoin Slips

18:16 Bitcoin Bear Case

21:08 Iran Sanctions and Oil

26:30 Nixon Gold Standard Legacy

28:52 Inflation Math Reality

29:30 Video Plug Fiat Failure

30:19 Electric Catamaran Tour

34:30 Cruising Plans Tax Credit

37:02 Gold Standard Break Explained

48:09 Dollar Standard Ending

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#Stagflation #Inflation

A record $432B July deficit, $40 trillion in debt days away, gold above $4,400... last week's fireworks were just the opening act.

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The CPI came in tame. Hours later the Treasury reported a $432 billion July deficit... the worst single month in US history.

Peter breaks down why the benign 0.1% July CPI is an accounting illusion: the BLS compares monthly averages, so June's oil collapse masked July's crude rebound, and August is set up to run hot. The real inflation news came later that day from the Treasury: a record $432 billion July deficit, $1.8 trillion in just ten months, and a national debt now less than $150 billion from $40 trillion. Bigger deficits mean more pressure on the Fed to choose inflation, which is exactly why the bond market refused to rally on the "good" CPI number.

Gold holds above $4,400 and silver above $65 as heavy Asian buying signals the de-dollarization trade is back on, while Bitcoin sits dead at $63,500 and misses the entire rally. Peter also covers the yen back above 159 and the Fed's swap-line backdoor QE for Japan, both parties drifting left after the latest primaries, Trump family corruption from Truth Social premium access to Barron's $150 million, and the Iran endgame: no deal, a closed Strait of Hormuz, and a president claiming victory in a war America clearly lost.

Chapters:

00:00 Inflation Signals Not Prices

01:22 CPI Print And Market Bets

04:24 CPI Math Masks Energy Surge

10:37 Deficits The Real Inflation Driver

19:54 Gold Surge Debt And Yen QE

31:09 Radical Left Wins Primaries

32:00 Both Parties Shift Left

34:17 Trump Corruption Claims

37:51 Bitcoin Stalls vs Gold

44:13 Iran War Reality Check

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Peter Schiff breaks down July's negative jobs report, Japan's yen crisis, and the Fed's stealth QE bailout as gold and silver surge.

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Recording from his boat in Rhode Island, Peter Schiff covers a week that vindicated his forecasts. The July jobs report showed a loss of 23,000 jobs, with prior months revised down another 105,000 and labor force participation falling to 61.4%, a level unseen outside COVID lockdowns in 50 years. Full-time jobs have declined in six of the last seven months while wages lag inflation, confirming the stagflation Peter has long warned about. The bigger story is Japan: with the yen at a 40-year low and JGB yields at record highs, the US executed its first yen intervention since 1998, roughly ten times larger, using euros instead of dollars and blindsiding the ECB. The Fed also took Japan's Treasuries via repo and printed the dollars, a stealth form of quantitative easing that contradicts its inflation-fighting rhetoric. Markets got the message: gold jumped 7.8% to 4,341, silver surged 12.3% to 63.46 after holding above the old $50 ceiling, and GDX rocketed 22% in one week, all far outpacing Bitcoin's 3.7% gain. Peter argues the intervention is just the beginning, the Fed will not hike before the midterms, and a currency and sovereign debt crisis is approaching. He urges listeners to prepare with gold, silver, miners, and foreign stocks, and to understand the coming crisis is caused by government, not capitalism.

Chapters:

00:00 Fed Japan Bond Backstop

01:11 Back At Sea Intro

01:59 Week Ahead Jobs Japan

03:23 Stocks Metals Surge

06:23 Bitcoin Strategy Warning

09:15 Bonds Dollar Fed Odds

14:00 July Jobs Shock

15:33 Revisions Participation Drop

19:51 Wages Inflation Stagflation

24:09 Trump Ballroom Rant

26:49 Japan Crisis Tease

29:24 Japan Yen Breakdown

31:30 Debt Trap And Rates

32:23 Treasury Selling Threat

34:35 Fed And BOJ Coordination

36:08 Swap Line QE Explained

41:15 Euro Intervention Twist

44:29 Inflation Signals And Metals

47:51 Storm Warning Ahead

49:18 Blame Government Not Markets

52:07 Prepare And Spread The Word

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The Fed talked tough and did nothing. The 30-year hit a 20-year high. The Dow fell 1,100 points. Gold was the only thing left standing.

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The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%, exactly where they were before Kevin Warsh took over, despite a 30% market-priced chance of a hike and three FOMC members dissenting in favor of one. Peter Schiff breaks down a press conference where Warsh declared "no tolerance" for inflation above 2% while doing nothing about it, hiding behind the excuse that the Fed "doesn't have a magic wand." Nobody asked for magic, just for the Fed to use the tools it actually has: higher rates, a smaller balance sheet, slower money supply growth. Warsh delivered none of them, and Schiff argues he made the same choice as his predecessors. Inflation is a choice, and the Fed chose it again.

The markets rendered their verdict immediately. The 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.22%, its highest in roughly 20 years, the Dow fell 2.2% or about 1,100 points to close on the lows, and the Nasdaq 100 is now down over 3% on the week as the air keeps coming out of the AI bubble, with Meta down 10% after missing earnings and SanDisk off 30% in three days. Gold told the real story: it closed up $40 at 4,070 and never broke 4,000, because rising yields driven by a loss of confidence in the Fed are bullish for gold, not bearish. Schiff calls gold the last safe haven standing. He also covers consumer confidence at a five-year low, a $101.5 billion June trade deficit proving the tariffs accomplished nothing, and why Mamdani's government-run grocery stores will empty shelves, bankrupt private grocers in the poorest neighborhoods, and recreate Soviet bread lines in New York City.

Chapters:

00:00 Debt Bubble Reality

00:37 Fed Holds Rates Steady

03:34 Two Percent Target Doubts

16:05 Q&A Exposes Inaction

27:38 Markets React Bonds Stocks Gold

31:45 Yields and Gold Misread

35:02 Gold Safe Haven Case

37:40 Fed Fallout and Data

43:12 NYC Government Grocers

55:42 Capitalism and Wrap Up

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The yen just hit a 40-year low and Japan is trapped. Whether they hike or freeze, it ends the same way: the pin that pricks our bubble.

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Investors are far too complacent about risks that are now hiding in plain sight. The AI trade cracked this week: Alphabet fell 10% after announcing even higher CapEx, Oracle is down 41% on the year, Meta and Amazon fell, and Microsoft is nearly in a bear market. SpaceX now trades 49% below its post-IPO high with its float set to jump from 5% to 40% by year end, and Tesla dropped 18%, costing Elon Musk nearly $100 billion in a week. Peter Schiff compares the roughly three-quarters of a trillion dollars in annual AI CapEx to the dot-com build-out, where the early favorites went bankrupt and took their vendors down with them.

The bigger danger is Japan. The yen fell to a 40-year low against the dollar, the 30-year JGB yield hit an all-time high near 4%, and with debt above 200% of GDP and a policy rate still at just 1%, Japan is trapped. Whether the Bank of Japan finally hikes aggressively or stays timid, the result spills into the United States, potentially forcing the world's largest holder of US Treasuries to dump its $1.1 trillion position. Schiff calls Japan the pin that pricks the far bigger US bubble. Meanwhile the US 30-year yield hit a 20-year high of 5.16% on more than four times the debt of 2006, oil is up 30% in July guaranteeing a hotter CPI, and gold rose on the week even as bonds and stocks fell, with the miners signaling a bottom. He closes on why record-low jobless claims are meaningless in a gig economy and why Trump's new slave-labor tariffs are an unconstitutional tax on Americans.

Chapters:

00:00 Japan Sparks US Crisis

00:41 AI CapEx Reality Check

07:51 AI Bubble Parallels

13:03 Gold Miners Rebound

19:17 Oil Bonds Warning Signs

32:16 Japan Debt Rate Trap

34:36 Weak Yen Trade Deficits

37:22 Japan Creditor Status Slips

41:22 Two Japan Crisis Paths

44:26 US Vulnerability Dominoes

45:21 Unemployment Claims Hype

47:20 Why Claims Mislead

51:37 New Tariffs Legal Workaround

59:03 Wrap Up Subscribe Call

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#PeterSchiffShow #gold #inflation

Warsh admitted monetary policy caused inflation. Bessent thinks silver certificates still redeem at Fort Knox. And import prices are up 7.1%.

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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox viewers that old silver and gold certificates can still be redeemed at Fort Knox. Gold certificates were repudiated in 1933 and silver certificates in 1968. Peter Schiff argues that if the man who signs the currency does not know basic monetary history, there is no reason to trust his assurance that the gold in Fort Knox is all there.

Markets confirmed the AI bubble is deflating. SpaceX fell 13.25% on the week to close below $124, under its $135 IPO price, and anyone who bought the post-IPO high near $225 is down 45%. Only about 5% of the company trades today, but lockups expire through year end and take the float to roughly 40%, an eightfold increase in supply. Gold closed at $4,017 and silver at $55.83, which Schiff calls a head fake created by the false narrative that war is bad for gold.

The honest inflation numbers tell a different story than the CPI: import prices are up 7.1% year over year and export prices are up 10.2%, against a reported 3.5%. Kevin Warsh admitted in Senate testimony that monetary policy caused the inflation, then offered a plan that amounts to talking about it while the Fed's balance sheet grew another $7.4 billion. Schiff also covers Trump selling paid early access to market-moving posts and explosive new FOIA emails showing Euro Pacific Bank was shut down for publicity, with the Australian Tax Office driving the operation to protect a journalist facing his defamation suit.

Chapters:

00:00 Trump Posts Paywall

01:23 Market Week Wrap

07:42 Gold Silver War

09:52 Inflation Data Reality

23:30 Warsh Hearing Grifts

37:59 AI Jobs and Progress

40:22 Trump Post and Fox Fallout

44:05 FOIA Trail and Censorship Claims

50:31 Nine Fraud Bank Shutdown Emails

57:07 Operation Atlantis PR Exposed

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#PeterSchiffShow #FortKnox #Inflation

In 1914 the Fed ran on 40 people and no computers. Today it takes 23,000. Fire them all and let AI do it... it can't do any worse.

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Kevin Warsh delivered his first congressional testimony as Fed Chair, and Peter Schiff breaks down a hearing where everyone discussed inflation while misdefining the term and ignoring their own role in causing it. June CPI came in at -0.4% versus the expected -0.1%, dropping year-over-year inflation to 3.5% — but the entire decline came from a temporary oil price drop that is already reversing as the Iran war reignites and oil climbs back 20% in July. Bond yields tell the real story: the 30-year is back near 5.1% and the 10-year near 4.6%, erasing nearly the entire post-CPI rally.

Schiff's biggest revelation from the hearing: the Fed employs 23,000 people to do a job that required just 40 when it opened in 1914 — with no computers — and argues the entire institution could be replaced by a single AI or abolished outright. He dismantles Warsh's claim of "regime change" at the Fed as being as fake as regime change in Iran, exposes the redefinition of "price stability" to mean prices that rise just slowly enough that people stop complaining, and shows how the 2% target was always a lie invented to justify inflation. He covers Warsh admitting inflation is a tax while planning to keep levying it, the court throwing out Trump's self-negotiated IRS settlement that granted his family immunity, and the AI CapEx bubble turning tech's biggest cash generators into massive borrowers that will break the bond market.

Chapters:

00:00 AI Spending Arms Race

01:08 Markets Brace for CPI

06:07 CPI Surprise and Gold Whipsaw

07:34 Oil Driven Inflation Mirage

11:40 What Inflation Really Means

14:11 Congress and Fed Share Blame

17:58 Fed Headcount Shock

22:32 Two Percent Target Myth

27:05 Regime Change and Price Stability

33:40 Day One Recap Continues

34:09 Grow My X Account

35:13 Congress Inflation Theater

36:06 Trump Grift Claims

37:30 IRS Settlement Outrage

39:51 Rates Versus Balance Sheet

41:08 Who Wins Low Rates

43:46 Fed And Black Workers

49:09 AI Bubble Warning

51:15 Hyperscalers Debt Spiral

55:38 Bond Market Breaking Point

58:16 Strategy Stock Dilution

01:00:30 Bitcoin Levels And Regrets

01:01:30 Subscribe And Sign Off

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#PeterSchiffShow #FederalReserve #AIBubble

A new housing law just passed that guarantees prices go higher. Bonds are breaking. And every bank bullish on Bitcoin refuses to buy Stretch.

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The Iran peace deal collapsed and the war is back on, yet US stock markets barely reacted — the AI bubble powering tech kept the S&P and Nasdaq positive while gold and silver sold off, with gold closing at $4,019 and silver falling 3.5% below $60. Bond yields climbed back to cycle highs with the 10-year at 4.56% and the 30-year at 5.06%, and Peter Schiff sees a major breakdown ahead that will hit stocks, housing, and crypto simultaneously.

The 21st Century Road to Housing Bill became law without Trump's signature, and Schiff argues it will make housing worse, not better. Nine decades of government housing policy — every program sold as making homes more affordable — have produced the least affordable housing in American history, because subsidizing demand raises prices and the money ends up in sellers' pockets. Trump has openly said he wants home prices to rise, in the middle of an affordability crisis. Meanwhile SpaceX fell 36% from its highs in under two weeks with every open-market buyer underwater and lockup expirations still ahead. Every Wall Street firm covering Bitcoin is bullish — Citi at $82K, Standard Chartered at $100K, Bernstein at $150K, JP Morgan at $170K — yet not one is buying Stretch at $87.48, where a 13.7% yield proves the market doesn't believe Bitcoin can appreciate 12% a year. They don't believe their own forecasts.

Chapters:

00:00 Markets Defy Bad News

01:38 War Tensions and Metals

05:11 Bond Yields Warning Signs

06:57 AI Bubble and IPO Mania

11:42 Bitcoin Hype and Wall Street

17:07 Dollar Flat Oil Rising

18:09 Housing Bill Political Fight

19:54 Affordability Crisis Explained

24:16 How Subsidies Inflate Prices

32:03 Bubble Collateral Trap

32:58 Jobs Report Media Spin

34:40 Housing Supply Not Subsidies

37:20 Save America Act Debate

41:25 Voting Rights Republic Critique

52:49 Democracy Incentives Corruption

57:12 Two Party No Choice

58:42 Podcast Wrap Up

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Iran deal dead. DOGE dead. Saylor selling at a loss. Medieval serfs kept more of their income than you do. I warned you about all of it.

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The Iran peace deal collapsed and the war is back on, with Trump acknowledging he was "two weeks from a depression" when he agreed to the MOU — a confession Peter Schiff says handed Iran all the leverage. Oil jumped 6% to $75, but the real story is bond yields: the 10-year hit 4.58% and the 30-year 5.07% — nearly at cycle highs despite oil being 25% below its peak, proving the debt, not the war, is driving yields higher.

FOMC minutes revealed that 9 of 13 members now support rate hikes after zero did just 90 days ago — theatrics Schiff says Warsh is orchestrating to appear hawkish without ever delivering. The May goods trade deficit exploded to $106.5 billion despite Trump's tariffs, continuing the pattern from his first term. DOGE was officially shut down with zero spending cuts achieved. Strategy sold 3,588 Bitcoin at a $15,000 per coin loss while Stretch sank to $86, and Trump's new savings accounts give kids $1,000 in borrowed money they'll repay through inflation. Schiff closes by noting that medieval serfs kept 75% of their output — more than the average American keeps today — making modern taxpayers lower in status than feudal peasants.

Chapters:

00:00 Freedom Versus Slavery

00:46 Iran Deal Collapses

05:04 Markets React to War

07:15 Oil Bonds and AI Bubble

16:17 Fed Minutes Rate Hike Theater

21:28 Tariffs Inflation Excuses

26:10 Real Rates and Debt Trap

27:41 Trade Deficit Reality Check

30:03 AI Threat to Services Surplus

32:32 Democracy Deficits and Rights

34:59 Rights And Healthcare

36:28 Housing And Free Markets

40:08 Tax Cuts And Wealth Theft

45:55 Taxes And Modern Slavery

48:25 DOGE Shutdown And Bitcoin Crash

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Saylor authorized $1.25B in Bitcoin sales. 514K full-time jobs vanished. Trump made $2.2B selling access. 250 years later, we need another revolution.

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The June jobs report came in at 57,000 — half of the lowest estimate — with May revised down from 172,000 to 129,000. Full-time employment collapsed by 514,000 in a single month, bringing total full-time job losses since Trump took office to 2.24 million. The labor force participation rate dropped to 61.5% as 700,000 workers simply gave up, and manufacturing has lost 73,000 jobs despite Trump's tariff promises.

Michael Saylor officially surrendered the "never sell Bitcoin" thesis, establishing a "Bitcoin monetization fund" authorizing up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin sales to maintain dollar reserves, buy back common stock, and repurchase Stretch preferreds trading at $87.80. He raised the Stretch dividend to 12% with mandatory increases ahead. Peter Schiff argues this transforms Strategy from the market's biggest buyer into its biggest seller, removing the bid that underpinned Bitcoin's price. Trump's financial disclosure revealed $2.2 billion in income — $1.4 billion from meme coins and tokens alone — while Mar-a-Lago membership hit $1 million and the Executive Club charges $500,000 for a restaurant seat next to cabinet members. Peter closes with a 250th Independence Day reflection, arguing Americans today face more tyranny than the colonists ever did under King George, and that the revolution we need now must happen at the ballot box.

Chapters:

00:00 Holiday Intro and July 4th Tease

00:37 Jobs Report Shock and Revisions

03:43 Full-Time Jobs Slide and Tariff Reality

07:29 Fed Rate Hike Theater and Gold Bounce

16:28 Bitcoin Strategy Turns Seller

29:57 Meme Coins as Bribes

31:09 Paying for Trump Access

34:26 Debt Gimmicks and Deficits

35:38 Independence Day and Founding Ideals

45:45 Modern Tyranny and Peaceful Revolution

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#PeterSchiffShow #IndependenceDay #BitcoinCrash

Stretch hit $71 intraday. Strategy down 85% from peak. The first lawsuit just landed. And CNBC has gone completely silent.

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The Strategy death spiral accelerated dramatically this week. Stretch preferred stock plunged 18% to close at $79 after hitting an intraday low of $71 — a 29% loss from par that wiped out more than two years of dividend income in weeks. Strategy common stock crashed 30% in a single week and is now down 85% from its peak, trading at a massive discount to its Bitcoin NAV. The first class action lawsuit was filed against Strategy, and Schiff expects tens of billions in total legal liability from both Stretch and common equity holders.

Saylor continued selling common stock to buy Bitcoin despite each purchase destroying shareholder value — diluting Bitcoin per share at the current discount. Schiff argues this is done solely to maintain the illusion that Strategy is still a buyer, propping up Bitcoin's price at shareholders' expense. Bitcoin fell 8.3% to below $60,000 but is only the beginning — with Strategy sidelined as a buyer and ETF holders sitting on losses, there is no marginal buyer left. Gold traded below $4,000 and silver dropped to $56 intraday before recovering, but Schiff sees this as the likely bottom of the correction and the buying opportunity of the cycle. Alan Greenspan died at 100, and Schiff eulogized him as the architect of modern monetary inflation who proved that even a gold bug will choose inflation when given the power of the printing press.

Chapters:

00:00 Death Spiral Warning

01:50 Stretch Ponzi Explained

09:36 Why It Must Collapse

18:41 This Week’s Crash Data

28:57 Lawsuits and Market Fallout

33:14 Gold and Silver Bottoming

34:43 Fed Hype and Inflation Reality

39:11 Greenspan Legacy and Gold Signal

43:21 Dump Crypto Buy Metals

52:43 Ford Wage Myth and Wrap Up

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Iran's regime survived, got $300B, and we reopened what we closed. Adam Schiff wants to steal Musk's trillion. Japan is about to blow.

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The Iran MOU is being celebrated as a great victory, but Peter Schiff argues it achieved nothing more than returning to pre-war conditions: no fighting and the Strait of Hormuz open — both of which were true before the war started. Iran's regime survived, got immediate sanctions relief, access to a $300 billion investment fund, and frozen assets returned. The only concession is a promise not to develop nuclear weapons — the same promise they were making before the war that Trump said wasn't good enough.

Schiff dismantles Adam Schiff's viral video calling for confiscation of Elon Musk's trillion-dollar wealth, showing that dumping that much stock would crash the price to a fraction of its value, destroy two companies, eliminate the incentive for future entrepreneurs, and give each household a one-time $7,500 check they'd spend in a week — the communist promise that has failed every time it's been tried. California's billionaire wealth tax made the ballot, threatening a 5% annual levy that would trigger a mass exodus. Meanwhile, Japan's debt crisis is accelerating with the yen breaking down past 160, 10-year JGBs at 2.65%, and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 250% — at 4% interest rates, two-thirds of Japanese tax revenue would go to interest alone. Schiff calls it a preview of America's future.

Chapters:

00:00 Crisis Without a Plan

00:48 Father’s Day Intro

02:21 Iran MOU Reality Check

09:40 Who Really Wins the Deal

17:10 Wealth Inequality and Billionaire Taxes

31:16 Why Capital Matters

32:29 Panama Wealth Conference

33:47 Schiff vs Billionaires

35:00 Confiscation Fallout

42:43 Japan Yen Crisis

50:58 Gold Fed Reality Check

54:23 Accountability and Wrap Up

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Warsh set up 5 task forces to study inflation. You only study a problem when you don't want to solve it. Same game, new players.

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Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting delivered a hawkish surprise — rates held at 3.5-3.75% unanimously, forward guidance was eliminated, and dot plots now project two rate hikes by year-end. But Peter Schiff argues it's all theater. Instead of actually fighting inflation, Warsh announced five new task forces to "study" the Fed's balance sheet, communications, data sources, jobs, and inflation itself — the classic government move of establishing committees to avoid solving problems.

Warsh acknowledged inflation is a choice, and Schiff agrees — the Fed has chosen inflation over the alternative of crashing markets and forcing fiscal responsibility since the Greenspan era. The question is whether Warsh will break that tradition when push comes to shove. Schiff says no: Trump won't tolerate a bear market, the Treasury Secretary is having weekly breakfasts with the Fed Chair, and the political pressure to print will overwhelm any hawkish posturing. Meanwhile, Strategy's death spiral accelerated with Stretch falling to $89 — wiping out the entire annual yield in one month — while Saylor continues diluting common shareholders to fund dividends he can't sustain. SpaceX soared past $3 trillion on a 4% float, sucking speculative capital away from crypto and accelerating Bitcoin's decline to $64,000.

Chapters:

00:00 Warsh Shocks Markets

00:45 Rates Hold Steady

01:26 Trump Versus Powell

03:42 Shortest Fed Statement

06:01 Ample Reserves Contradiction

07:13 Five Task Forces Announced

32:18 Term Insurance Not Investing

33:40 Fed Task Forces Skepticism

39:56 Inflation Tax And Politics

44:37 SpaceX IPO Mania

47:23 Bitcoin Strategy Death Spiral

55:37 Gold Silver Buy The Dip

56:29 Same Fed Same Game Wrap Up

58:29 Closing And Follow Me

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#PeterSchiffShow #FederalReserve #FOMC

Musk is worth $1 trillion with zero income. We're spending $1.6 trillion on interest. CPI is on pace for 6.2%. This is the peak of the bubble.

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SpaceX debuted as the biggest IPO in history, raising $75 billion at a $1.8 trillion valuation before closing above $2 trillion — making Elon Musk the first person worth $1 trillion. Peter Schiff puts this in perspective: JD Rockefeller, the previous richest American ever adjusted for inflation, earned the equivalent of $2 billion per year in actual income from Standard Oil. Musk has essentially zero income — SpaceX loses money and trades at 100x revenue — making his trillion-dollar net worth entirely a function of bubble valuations driven by decades of monetary excess.

Meanwhile, the May federal deficit exploded 32% year-over-year to $293 billion, with interest expense surging 44% to $133 billion in a single month — $1.6 trillion annualized, consuming 30% of all tax revenue. That's the entire federal budget from 1997 spent on interest alone. CPI rose 0.5% in May, putting 2026 on pace for 6.2% annual inflation — the highest since 2022 and potentially headed for 1981 levels. PPI came in at 1.1% for the second straight month, annualizing to 14%. Gold successfully retested its March low at $4,040 before recovering to $4,218, with mining stocks posting a positive divergence despite metal weakness. The Strategy death spiral deepened as Saylor diluted common shareholders to buy Bitcoin, destroying the "Bitcoin yield" narrative he built the company on.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open and Intro

01:23 SpaceX IPO Mania

03:18 Musk vs Rockefeller Wealth

06:31 Bubble Valuations Explained

09:59 Markets Week and Metals Drop

11:47 Gold Retest and War Narrative

17:20 Deficits and Interest Time Bomb

26:30 Inflation Data and Fed Boxed In

37:43 Other Markets Crypto and Wrap Up

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Saylor sold Bitcoin for the first time, Stretch hit $90, and the self-perpetuating death spiral I've been warning about just started.

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The tech wreck Peter Schiff has been warning about may have finally started. Bitcoin plunged 16% on the week to below $60,000, wiping out all post-election gains and pushing Strategy's 840,000 Bitcoin position $12 billion underwater. Stretch preferred stock fell to $90, triggering a potential death spiral: Saylor must either raise the dividend to prop the price back up — burning through his already depleted cash reserves faster — or watch holders flee, which craters both Stretch and Strategy, forcing the liquidation of all 840,000 Bitcoin at fire-sale prices.

Strategy sold 32 Bitcoin this week — the first sale ever — and Schiff argues this was a warning shot, not a one-off. The Nasdaq dropped 4.6% on Friday after a jobs report that showed 172,000 jobs created, 158,000 of which came from the birth-death model alone. Tech layoffs hit pandemic-era highs as companies redirect payroll savings into AI CapEx. Meanwhile, Trump valued Fannie and Freddie at a trillion dollars — a fiction Schiff dismantles, since the companies' mortgage guarantees are liabilities, not assets. Gold dropped 3.3% and silver fell 8.7% on algorithmic selling, but Schiff calls it the buying opportunity of the year as every macro force — collapsing real rates, forced Fed money printing, and the flight from risk assets — points to precious metals.

Chapters:

00:00 Death Spiral Warning

00:34 Market Turbulence Setup

01:43 Jobs Report Reality Check

08:51 AI Bubble Funding Crunch

17:26 Crypto Crash and Strategy Unwind

28:19 Crypto Treasury Unraveling

29:09 Ethereum Leverage Warning

32:56 Gold Silver Safe Haven

34:57 Bitcoin Down Year Math

43:07 Fannie Freddie Valuation Myth

50:47 Dollar Stress Value Rotation Wrap

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The US needs to borrow $20 trillion this year. Saylor just blew 60% of his cash paying off 0% debt early. The dominoes are falling.

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Donald Trump spent Memorial Day weekend claiming an Iran deal was 90% done — oil dropped $10 to below $90, but bond yields barely moved, with the 10-year still at 4.5% and the 30-year above 5%. Peter Schiff argues the bond market is telling the real story: with $13 trillion in debt maturing this year plus $3 trillion in new borrowing, the US needs to convince creditors to roll over nearly $20 trillion — an amount without historical precedent.

The AI CapEx bubble is now consuming a trillion dollars a year, funded by layoffs and foregone investment in actual manufacturing. Schiff compares it to dot-com: the technology is real but the stocks are wildly overvalued and most will go to zero when rising interest rates prick the bubble. Meanwhile, Michael Saylor burned over 60% of Strategy's cash reserves paying off zero-interest convertible notes three years early — a move Schiff says was forced by behind-the-scenes pressure, not financial genius. Elizabeth Warren accidentally made the best case against payroll taxes by pointing out that companies are incentivized to replace workers with AI because hiring people is taxed while buying computers isn't — though her solution is more taxes, not fewer.

Chapters:

00:00 - Intro

00:53 - Iran War & Market Reaction

06:47 - Bond Market & The Debt Crisis

14:25 - Ad Break: Ethos

15:47 - The AI CapEx Bubble

26:23 - Gold, Silver & Mining Stocks

29:11 - IRS Lawsuit & Bank Documentary

32:12 - Ad Break: Rockwell Automation

33:35 - Elizabeth Warren's AI Tax Proposal

47:28 - Strategy, Bitcoin & The Coming Bust

57:25 - Tokenized Gold vs Bitcoin

58:42 - Summer Sign-Off & 250th Anniversary

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Trump says best economy in 250 years. Consumer sentiment just hit an all-time low. Saylor just went underwater on $64B. Pick a story.

Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Fed Chair today while the Dow hit a record 50,700 — and Peter Schiff fact-checked virtually every claim Donald Trump made at the ceremony in real time. Trump called it the greatest economy in 250 years of American history; consumer sentiment responded by hitting 44.8, the lowest reading ever recorded. Year-ahead inflation expectations surged to 4.8% and 10-year expectations hit 3.9%, demolishing the Fed's claim that expectations remain "well anchored" at 2%.

Gold closed the week at $4,508 with silver at $75.39, both pressured by rising bond yields — with the 30-year still above 5% and the 10-year above 4.5%. Schiff argues these pullbacks are buying opportunities as real rates continue to collapse. Bitcoin dropped below Michael Saylor's $75,700 average cost basis for the first time, meaning five years and $64 billion of buying has produced zero return — while the Stretch preferred stock continues to compound an 11.5% annual obligation regardless. Schiff dissects Trump's lies about job creation, tariff benefits, government spending cuts, and the claim that fired federal workers are now earning double or triple in the private sector.

Chapters:

00:00 Warsh Takes the Helm

01:38 Dow 50K Hype Check

03:42 Gold and Silver Pullback

05:12 Yields Mortgages and Oil

07:44 Bitcoin Decouples and Strategy Risk

11:00 Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low

16:11 Trump Speech Fact Check Begins

16:30 Massie Lies and Deficit Hypocrisy

21:30 Jobs Numbers Reality Check

22:07 Fed Independence Spin

23:11 Booms Bubbles and Inflation

24:31 Dow Rally Credit Grab

26:16 Spending Cuts Claim Debunked

26:48 Fired Workers Fairy Tale

29:33 Foreign Investment and China Deals

32:26 Tariffs and the Mythical Boom

33:50 Pessimism vs Trump Prosperity

35:43 Crisis Warning and Gold Pitch

37:00 Bitcoin Exit and Mining Stocks

39:25 Rates Tailwind and Sign Off

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Gold and silver pull back as WTI tops $107 and the 30-year hits 5.14% — Peter says plunging real rates make this dip a gift.

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Peter Schiff goes live to break down the market moves since Wednesday's podcast, with gold and silver pulling back as oil surges past $107 WTI and bond yields punch higher — the 10-year at 4.62% and the 30-year at 5.14%. Schiff argues the short-term selloff is being driven entirely by the nominal yield move, but with inflation accelerating, real rates are actually plunging — a setup that is deeply bullish for precious metals and exactly the buying opportunity stackers have been waiting for. He points to the positively sloped yield curve across every maturity as the bond market's clearest signal yet that higher rates and higher inflation are still ahead.

Schiff also delivers another Bitcoin reality check, walking through BTC's ongoing underperformance versus gold and the recent debates around long-term holdings, and explains why physical metals remain the only credible vehicle for real wealth preservation. The episode wraps with the latest on exploding deficits and a ballooning government, why true conservatives — and gold owners — are needed now more than ever, and fresh insights from SchiffGold on Comex flows and the increasingly urgent case for a return to sound money.

PPI hit 6%, yields hit 19-year highs, and gold dropped 4%. Traders are selling on the most bullish data gold has ever seen.

Gold fell 4% and silver dropped 10.5% on the week despite the most bullish inflation data in years. Peter Schiff explains why traders have it exactly backwards: April PPI surged 1.4% month-over-month — nearly the entire 2% annual target in a single month — pushing producer prices to 6% year-over-year. Core PPI tripled expectations at 1.0%, annualizing to 12.5%. Import prices jumped 1.9% on the month, proving Americans are paying every cent of the tariffs, while export prices exploded 3.3%, signaling internal US inflation pressure across the board.

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12%, a 19-year high, while the 10-year hit 4.59%. Algorithms are selling gold because they see rising yields as bearish — but Schiff argues they're completely missing that real interest rates are collapsing because inflation is rising faster than nominal rates. The Fed's easing bias in the face of 6% PPI is itself a form of monetary easing. Oil closed at $105 with no end to the Iran war in sight, Bitcoin is down 12.5% year-to-date, and the AI/crypto bubble is one bond market shock away from popping. Schiff's call: back up the truck on gold, silver, and mining stocks while traders are giving them away.

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PPI doubled estimates at 1.4%, yields broke 5% on $39T debt, and CNBC says sell gold stocks — that's the best buy signal I've ever seen.

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Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new Fed Chair and immediately inherited a stagflation crisis: April PPI came in at 1.4% month-over-month — double the high end of estimates — pushing producer prices to 6% year-over-year. Core PPI tripled expectations at 1.0%, an annualized 12.5% rate. The CPI the day before showed 0.6% monthly with year-over-year inflation climbing to 3.8%. The 30-year Treasury yield broke above 5% for the first time in 19 years, with a bond auction requiring a 5% coupon — but unlike 2007 when the debt was $9 trillion, today it's $39 trillion.

Peter Schiff argues real interest rates are crashing even as nominal rates rise, making the environment extremely bullish for gold and silver — with silver hitting $89 intraday and leading gold for the first time this cycle. He highlights CNBC analysts recommending viewers sell gold stocks as a perfect contrarian buy signal, dismantles Trump's proposed ban on corporations buying homes as socialist policy, defends Jeff Bezos against critics who blame him rather than consumers for disrupting small businesses, endorses Thomas Massie's congressional primary fight, and promotes his new 10-minute FOIA evidence video exposing the IRS conspiracy to destroy Euro Pacific Bank.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open Montage

00:55 Show Begins Tech Issues

01:27 New Fed Chair Firestorm

03:26 CPI Breakdown April

05:24 PPI Shock And Stagflation

07:59 Trump Inflation And Politics

09:43 Bond Yields Debt Trap

13:20 Fed QE Dilemma

15:39 Ad Break NetSuite AI

17:01 Markets Misread Inflation

18:38 Real Rates Gold Silver

23:12 Metals Boom Copper Oil

24:51 Tariffs Beef And Constitution

29:09 Ad Break Outskill AI

31:42 Stocks Ignore Inflation Bubble

32:18 Bubble Mentality Critique

33:10 CNBC Chart Pattern Trap

34:30 Gold Stocks Contrarian Buy

35:38 Mining Stocks vs AI Hype

36:15 Trump Housing Ban Backlash

37:46 Why Rentals Need Investors

39:19 Backing Thomas Massie

42:25 Trump Grip on GOP

43:08 Trump China Summit Skepticism

45:05 Defending Bezos and Amazon

46:20 Consumers Drive Competition

49:07 Living Wage Reality Check

53:35 Rigged Playing Field Factors

55:31 Puerto Rico Inventory Tax

57:36 FOIA Bank Conspiracy Video

59:05 Demanding Government Accountability

01:00:35 Wrap Up and Next Plans

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The household survey says we've lost jobs every month of 2026. The establishment survey says record highs. One of them is lying.

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The April jobs report showed 115,000 jobs created against expectations of 63,000 — but 391,000 of those came from the birth-death model, meaning without statistical assumptions the economy actually lost jobs. The household survey confirms this: employment declined 226,000 in April alone, with net job losses every month of 2026 averaging 343,000 per month. Full-time jobs collapsed by 424,000 in a single month, dragging the total to its lowest since December 2024. Labor force participation fell to 61.8%, the lowest since October 2021.

Markets rallied to record highs on ceasefire optimism, with the Nasdaq up 4.5% and silver surging 9.4% on the week. Peter Schiff argues the AI spending driving GDP is a bubble comparable to dot-com — the technology is real but the stocks are wildly overvalued and most will go to zero. He dismantles Bernie Sanders' criticism of Jeff Bezos for layoffs, pointing out Bezos employs 1.5 million while Sanders has created zero private-sector jobs. On the debt, Schiff debunks the claim that $31.8 trillion in US government assets offset the national debt — most of it is illiquid land, national parks, and defaulting student loans that cannot service a single dollar of interest payments.

Chapters:

00:00 Show Cold Open

00:56 Podcast Intro

01:20 April Jobs Beat

03:19 Job Quality Concerns

04:58 Participation Rate Drop

07:22 Household Survey Reality

07:52 Birth Death Model Critique

12:26 Full Time Collapse

14:57 War Talk Tease

15:29 Sponsor Odoo Ad

17:31 Markets Rally on Peace Hopes

21:48 AI Bubble Warning

25:03 Bezos vs Sanders Debate

30:34 Sponsor Hims Ad

31:16 Telehealth Weight Loss Setup

31:57 Metals Rally Recap

32:30 Copper and AI Demand

33:56 Miners and Physical Buying

36:12 Oil Dollar and War Fallout

37:10 War Narrative and Objectives

40:22 Bond Yields and Default Risk

45:10 Debt Math and Interest Spiral

50:31 Fake Asset Claims Debunked

57:05 Preparing Investors for Crisis

59:34 Final Sign Off

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The dollar erased every war gain, oil's back above $102, yields are at 4.5%, and mining stocks just gave you the buying opportunity of the year.

Gold settled the week at $4,612 with silver at $75.33, both drifting lower as investor attention shifted to record-high stock indexes. Mining stocks took the hardest hit with GDX down 6.25% — a buying opportunity Peter Schiff says is being created by the same complacency that preceded every major gold breakout.

The dollar index fell to 97.7, erasing every penny gained since the Iran war began — a historically weak bounce for a supposed safe haven currency. Oil climbed back above $102 while 30-year Treasury yields touched 4.5%, recreating the exact conditions that forced Trump to reverse Liberation Day tariffs. Schiff revisits Powell's claim of 40 years of controlled inflation, breaking it down decade by decade to show average CPI of 5.5% in the '80s, 3% in the '90s, and 2.6% in the 2000s — with only the post-crisis 2010s near the 2% target. He also highlights the Bitcoin conference where last year's darling Nakamoto is down 99% between conferences, while this year's pitch of "digital credit" is even worse than subprime.

Chapters:

00:00 Welcome and Subscribe

00:25 Gold Silver Weekly Recap

01:08 Mining Stocks and Fund Plug

02:00 Why Gold Bullish Now

03:14 Stocks High Oil Yields Rising

06:27 Fed Presser and Powell Exit

10:05 Money Supply Inflation Reality

17:32 Debt Deficits and Fed Failure

19:54 Tariffs Cars and Stagflation

22:48 Bitcoin Strategy Ponzi Talk

24:30 Dollar Weak Bonds to Gold

27:19 Gold Targets and Crypto Risks

29:15 Schiff Gold App Call to Buy

30:58 Wrap Up and Where to Follow

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Trump wants to buy Spirit Airlines at bankruptcy with taxpayer money to "save jobs." That's not capitalism — that's Bernie Sanders with a red tie.

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Jerome Powell's final press conference as Fed Chair featured a claim that inflation was "under control" for 40 years before the pandemic — a statement Peter Schiff demolishes decade by decade, showing average CPI of 5.5% in the 1980s, 3% in the 1990s, and 2.6% in the 2000s, with only the post-crisis 2010s anywhere near the 2% target.

The Fed held rates at 3.5% while oil surged past $108 WTI and $120 Brent, bond yields pushed back toward post-Liberation Day highs with the 30-year hitting 5%, and four FOMC members dissented on the dovish bias. Powell announced he'll stay on the board to protect "Fed independence," but Schiff argues he'll be irrelevant. The episode also covers Trump's plan to buy Spirit Airlines at bankruptcy — proof he doesn't understand capitalism — Michael Saylor's Bitcoin conference keynote pushing Stretch preferred stock as a thinly veiled Ponzi, and explosive IRS FOIA documents proving the agency collaborated with Puerto Rico's SIF to shut down Euro Pacific Bank as a PR stunt, with every email focused on publicity strategy rather than any actual wrongdoing.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open Montage

00:58 Fed Holds Rates

02:47 Powell Stays On

05:07 Fed Independence Debate

06:17 Inflation Mandate Critique

09:38 Reporters And Data

11:04 Decades Of CPI Reality

15:01 Ad Break Pebble

16:43 Powell On His Record

20:04 Inflation Fire Economy Weak

21:59 Oil Yields And Markets

27:18 Gold Silver And EPAM Pitch

29:15 Ad Break NetSuite

31:05 Trump Spirit Bailout

34:10 Bitcoin Conference Reality Check

37:21 Saylor Stretch Digital Credit

39:44 Ponzi Claims And Warning

42:57 Yield Over Bitcoin

43:26 IRS FOIA Fight

45:58 Explosive Email Evidence

47:02 Debanking Timeline

49:55 SIF Findings Breakdown

57:42 PR Motive Revealed

01:06:47 Press Conference Coordination

01:16:43 Why This Matters

01:20:08 Puerto Rico Potential

01:25:12 Final Call To Action

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Newmont is earning $11/share at 10x PE with 132% growth — half the S&P's multiple. Wall Street is asleep at the wheel.

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Newmont Mining just posted 132% earnings growth with five-to-one margins and a stock trading at 10x earnings — half the S&P multiple — and Wall Street barely noticed. Peter Schiff breaks down why gold miners are the most undervalued sector in the market and why he's been accumulating positions in companies like Newmont, Franco-Nevada, and Wheaton for over 20 years without selling a share.

The episode also covers Trump's Iran war pivoting from threatened annihilation to an economic blockade that's keeping oil above $94, the DOJ dropping its criminal investigation into Jerome Powell's Fed building remodel as an olive branch to clear the way for Kevin Warsh, Schiff's own six-year experience with leaked government investigations that were never officially closed, Michael Saylor's Strategy preferred stock as a self-described Ponzi scheme the SEC refuses to touch, and a new cottage industry of mass tort lawyers helping businesses claim tariff refunds — proof that Americans, not foreigners, paid every cent of those tariffs.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open Montage

00:57 Show Intro Puerto Rico

01:28 War Drags On Markets Shrug

04:27 Blockade Strait Oil Spike

08:18 Election Pressure Inflation Risks

13:22 Commercial AI Mastermind Ad

15:54 Post Office Hikes Inflation

16:41 Powell Probe Fed Incentives

22:31 Schiff Investigation Story

30:00 Commercial ExpressVPN Pitch

31:37 Gold Friday Market Wrap

34:35 Newmont Earnings Surge

36:52 Gold Miner Margins Explained

38:20 Buybacks and M&A Signals

39:27 West Red Lake Pullback

40:19 Buying Bad News Strategy

42:38 Position Sizing and Risk

45:04 Gold Fund and Active Picks

46:40 Bitcoin Yield Ponzi Rant

53:18 Tariff Refund Fallout

56:50 Debt Deficits and War

01:02:01 Wrap Up and Subscribe

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Warsh won't say Trump lost in 2020, won't name one policy he disagrees with, and can't explain what 1% rates would do. This is our next Fed Chair.

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Donald Trump's Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh spent two hours dodging every meaningful question in his Senate confirmation hearing, and Peter Schiff watched the whole thing so you didn't have to. Warsh refused to say whether Trump lost the 2020 election, wouldn't name a single Trump policy he disagreed with, and couldn't answer the obvious question of what 1% interest rates would do to consumer prices — even though he'd already admitted inflation comes from government spending and money printing.

Before breaking down the hearing, Schiff delivers a history of the Federal Reserve that most economics PhDs have never learned: why the Fed was created as a private bank to issue superior banknotes backed by 40% gold, how the original act prohibited the Fed from owning treasuries, and how World War I opened the door to everything wrong with monetary policy today. He also takes aim at MicroStrategy's Strategy preferred stock as a textbook Ponzi scheme — Saylor can only pay the 11.5% yield by selling new shares, and the fine print lets him stop paying whenever he wants.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open and Intro

00:57 Warsh Nomination Stakes

02:34 InvestingPro Sponsor Demo

07:32 Why Fed History Matters

08:08 Before the Fed Era

11:12 Fed Independence and Constitution

14:00 Superior Banknotes Explained

17:40 Outskill Sponsor Break

21:47 Elastic Money Supply Myth

25:49 War Finance and Treasuries

32:16 Hearing Reactions Begin

33:05 Trump Spending And Inflation

34:02 Warren Attacks And Rate Cuts

35:17 Warsh Denies Being Puppet

36:34 Fed Praise And Wealth

38:16 Price Stability Redefined

41:15 Dodging Trump Questions

43:45 One Percent Rates And QE

46:06 Inflation Tax And Deficits

47:00 Fed Chair And The Dollar

49:54 No CBDC Crypto Pandering

50:46 MicroStrategy Ponzi Rant

54:20 Lawyer Evasions And Politics

57:34 Warsh Verdict And Gold Pitch

01:02:11 Final Wrap And Signoff

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Hank Paulson warns of a "vicious" debt crisis — but his only plan is to brace for it, not prevent it. That tells you everything.

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Former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson is warning about a "vicious" sovereign debt crisis and urging a break-the-glass emergency plan — but Peter Schiff points out that Paulson himself architected the bailouts and QE policies that made this crisis inevitable, and his only advice now is to prepare for the crash rather than prevent it.

Markets hit record highs this week with the Nasdaq up 7% on ceasefire optimism and oil dropping to $83, but Schiff warns the rally is built on the false premise that peace means rate cuts. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly grown over $200 billion in 2026 while M2 money supply expands at 5% year-over-year. Meanwhile, NYC Mayor Manda proposes city-owned grocery stores and taxes on non-resident condos — policies Schiff dismantles as the kind of anti-capitalist thinking that drives wealth creators to places like Panama, which is rolling out the welcome mat for every entrepreneur New York chases away.

Chapters:

00:00 Show Cold Open

00:57 Live From Puerto Rico

01:59 War Headlines Fuel Rally

04:12 Bitcoin Gold Silver Check

07:07 Fed Policy And Real Rates

08:54 Producer Prices Reality Check

11:09 Paulson Warns Debt Crisis

19:09 Panama Versus New York Taxes

22:21 How Wealth Gets Created

25:42 Fair Share And Job Creation

30:03 Wealth Creation Backlash

31:52 City Owned Grocery Plan

34:11 Profit Motive And Prices

39:18 Subsidies And Market Damage

43:25 Farm Subsidies And USSR

45:36 Taxing Nonresident Condos

51:06 Why Profit Builds Cities

51:59 Property Tax Critique

59:44 Closing Markets And Gold

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#PeterSchiffShow #DebtCrisis #GoldInvesting

CPI triples to 0.9%, consumer sentiment hits an all-time low, and the Fed is quietly running QE — stagflation isn't coming, it's here.

Gold ended the week at $4,745 with silver at $75.76 and mining stocks up 5%, all buoyed by the Taco Tuesday ceasefire that sent markets surging mid-week. Peter Schiff argues the ceasefire is a win for Iran and that Trump was looking for a way out of threats he could never carry out — but the real story is the inflation data.

March CPI came in at 0.9% month-over-month, tripling February's reading and pushing year-over-year inflation to 3.3%. The Fed's balance sheet has quietly expanded by nearly $200 billion in 2026 — quantitative easing in everything but name. Q4 GDP was revised down to 0.5%, making 2025's full-year growth just 2.1% — lower than any year under Biden. Consumer sentiment plunged to 47.6, the lowest reading in the history of the survey. Schiff connects the dots: M2 money supply growing at 5%, a proposed 50% defense budget increase, and a Fed that will be forced to cut rates regardless of inflation all point to a stagflation environment where gold and silver are headed substantially higher.

Chapters:

00:00 Ceasefire and Market Mood

15:20 Inflation Data and Fed QE

23:14 Inflation Not The War

38:46 Stagflation Bull Case

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Trump threatened to destroy Iran's civilization by 8pm — instead he got a ceasefire that concedes nothing. The threats were always empty.

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Trump's Tuesday deadline to destroy Iran's civilization came and went with a Pakistan-brokered ceasefire instead of the promised hellfire. Peter Schiff breaks down how the president's escalating threats — from bombing bridges and power plants to wiping out an entire civilization — collapsed into a two-week truce that concedes nothing from Iran's side.

Markets swung wildly on the drama: the Dow dropped 400 points intraday before rallying nearly 1,000 points on ceasefire news, oil cratered 15.5% back to $95 after touching $115, and gold surged $60 despite the supposed "peace" — proving the market is trading the Fed, not the war. Schiff argues rate cuts are coming regardless of inflation, that oil will never return to $60, and that the dollar's reserve currency status is being actively dismantled as countries like France pull gold from U.S. custody. He also reveals the IRS is refusing to comply with a federal judge's FOIA ruling ordering release of documents from the Euro Pacific Bank investigation.

Chapters:

00:00 Show Intro

00:55 Trump Deadline Drama

05:33 Markets Call the Bluff

08:32 Pakistan Ceasefire Rumors

12:22 Trump Two Week Pause

16:20 Iran Ceasefire Terms

19:15 Iran Statement Readout

22:19 Civilian Targeting Critique

29:01 Dollar Power and Blowback

32:05 Scaling Gold Production

32:52 Gold Moves on Rate Cuts

35:14 Oil Prices vs Real Inflation

37:32 War Risk Premium Sticks

40:53 Weak Data and CPI Ahead

44:57 Polls Signal Economic Pain

50:49 Ditch Dollars Buy Metals

52:44 Mining Stocks Next Leg

55:33 FOIA Win IRS Fights Back

01:03:29 Transparency Battle Wrap Up

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#PeterSchiffShow #IranCeasefire #GoldInvesting

Oil hits $112 as Trump vows to bomb Iran into the Stone Age — and the jobs data everyone's celebrating is hiding a collapsing labor market.

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Peter Schiff records from the British Virgin Islands, breaking down the latest economic data against the backdrop of the escalating Iran war. The March jobs report showed 178,000 jobs added — well above the 51,000 estimate — but Schiff argues the number is misleading, noting that 43% of new jobs were in healthcare, a sign of a sicker nation rather than a stronger economy. He highlights the weakest wage growth in five years at 3.5% year-over-year and the lowest labor force participation in five years at 61.9%.

Oil prices surged to $112 per barrel amid Trump's pledge to "bomb Iran back to the Stone Age" over the next two to three weeks, with the service sector PMI falling into contraction at 49.8. Schiff warns that stagflation is now undeniable and that oil-driven inflation will force massive government spending and money printing, ultimately crushing the dollar and sending gold well above $5,000. He criticizes Trump's economic lies, the Supreme Court's ruling striking down Liberation Day tariffs as unconstitutional, Warren Buffett's Fed praise, and growing redemption freezes across investment funds as signs of a brewing financial crisis.

Chapters:

00:00 Cold Open and Intro

00:54 Vacation Setup and Holiday Markets

01:52 March Jobs Report Breakdown

06:44 Stagflation Signals in PMI and JOLTS

08:53 Oil Spike and Fed Policy Link

17:02 Weekly Market Wrap Gold Silver Miners

21:33 Trump Speech War Escalation Fears

30:18 Aftermath Leaving Strait to Allies

32:27 NATO Exit Debate

33:39 Dollar Risks and Metals

34:11 Springsteen Boycott Rant

36:27 Liberation Day Reality Check

37:47 Tariffs Ruled Unconstitutional

40:52 Funds Freeze Redemptions

43:39 Buffett on Inflation Targets

47:05 Fed Enabled Covid Policy

51:31 Trump Polls and Midterms

57:55 Prepare and Buy Gold

01:00:30 Podcast Wrap and Travel

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Peter Schiff reviews a volatile week in markets, arguing gold and silver likely put in a bottom after briefly breaking prior lows and closing higher. He contrasts that with major stock indexes sliding deeper into correction territory, which he says could turn into a bear market if the war drags on. Schiff focuses on oil as the key driver, tying price spikes to bond selloffs, rising Treasury yields, and renewed inflation pressure.

He criticizes shifting public messaging around the conflict and argues the economic and political costs will force an eventual endgame driven more by markets than diplomacy. Schiff also challenges the “Bitcoin as digital gold” narrative, pointing to Bitcoin’s weakness versus gold and warning of a sharper breakdown if key levels fail.

He closes by framing larger deficits, money printing, and policy responses as structurally bullish for precious metals, while warning that higher yields and inflation could stress housing, stocks, and the dollar.

Chapters:

00:00 Gold and Silver Bottom

01:12 War Headlines Whipsaw

05:13 Fed Rates vs Inflation

05:59 Stocks Slide Into Correction

10:22 War Costs and Deficits

12:15 Bitcoin Safe Haven Myth

13:47 Oil Yields and Bonds

16:38 Bitcoin Mortgages Risk

20:05 Dollar Weakness and Politics

30:33 Buy Gold and Wrap Up

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#gold #inflation #oilprices

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismisses questions about how America will pay for a $200 billion war with Iran, claiming "we have plenty of money"—but Peter Schiff exposes the dangerous delusion behind deficit spending and reveals how import/export prices are already screaming inflation that will dwarf anything under Biden.

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Peter Schiff exposes the Trump administration's reckless war financing, revealing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's shocking dismissal of questions about paying for a $200 billion Iran War appropriation. When pressed on funding sources, Bessent called the question "ridiculous" and claimed America has "plenty of money" despite $39 trillion in debt, ruling out tax increases while offering no spending cuts. Schiff argues this proves the biggest threat to America isn't Iran but Washington's own fiscal irresponsibility, as the war becomes a convenient scapegoat for the massive inflation already baked into the economy from Trump's policies.

The episode reveals Trump's market manipulation through contradictory Truth Social posts - issuing ultimatums that crash markets, then announcing "great progress" in negotiations that reverse the moves, with suspicious large trades placed minutes before his reversal posts. Meanwhile, import/export prices exploded 16.8% and 19.6% annualized in February alone, signaling the inflation tsunami coming in 2026. Schiff also delivers major legal updates: his civil rights lawsuit against the IRS conspiracy was dismissed with prejudice, but he won a crucial FOIA battle forcing the government to release hundreds of redacted pages that could expose massive corruption at the highest levels of multiple government agencies.

Chapters:

00:00 — Cold Open and Intro

00:56 — War Funding and Taxes

09:12 — Debt Inflation and Sacrifice

11:09 — Credibility and Market Moves

14:39 — Ultimatums and Market Whiplash

18:33 — Gold Silver and Real Rates

31:30 — Taco Pattern and War Spin

33:44 — Ceasefire Demands and Stalemate

35:46 — Oil Fertilizer and Aftermath Risks

36:53 — Strategic Stockpiling Surge

38:31 — Mortgage Demand Cracks

41:20 — Import Export Prices Signal Inflation

46:48 — War As Inflation Scapegoat

50:03 — Euro Pacific Bank Legal Fight

52:28 — Civil Rights Case Dismissed

59:29 — FOIA Lawsuit Breakthrough

1:01:17 — Redactions Reveal Conspiracy

1:06:56 — Courts And Government Accountability

1:15:43 — Gold Silver Final Pitch

#GoldInvesting #IranWar #InflationCrisis

The Fed just admitted inflation is spiraling out of control while refusing to do the one thing that actually works—raise rates—and Powell is banking on hope and fantasy to save the economy, but here's why today's gold selloff is the buying opportunity of a lifetime.

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Peter Schiff analyzes the Federal Reserve's decision to hold rates steady at 3.5-3.75% while warning that inflation is spiraling out of control. February's Producer Price Index surged 0.7% monthly - more than double expectations - signaling that inflation is accelerating before Trump's war even began driving oil prices higher. Despite this alarming data, the Fed refuses to hike rates and instead clings to fantasies about future rate cuts based on wishful thinking rather than evidence. Schiff argues that gold and silver's massive selloff following the inflation news represents a buying opportunity, as traders fail to understand that rising inflation with stagnant Fed policy creates negative real rates - extremely bullish for precious metals.

The episode exposes how the current economic situation is far worse than the 1970s stagflation, with national debt at 125% of GDP compared to just 34% in 1980, making aggressive rate hikes impossible despite inflation running well above the Fed's 2% target. Schiff predicts the national debt could hit $50 trillion during Trump's term as war spending explodes, while the housing bubble shows signs of collapse with mortgage applications plummeting. He dismisses Fed Chair Powell's claims that inflation will magically return to target through "moderate" policy, calling it delusional given that the Fed has been wrong about inflation for five consecutive years while consistently missing their forecasts.

Chapters:

00:00 Show Intro and Fed Preview

01:21 Weak Growth and Rising Inflation

05:43 Hot PPI Shocks Gold Markets

16:01 Housing Bubble and GSE Risks

22:12 FOMC Decision and Market Fallout

32:07 Fed Blames Tariffs

33:30 Cuts Based on Faith

36:36 Oil Shocks and Easy Policy

44:05 Stagflation and Debt Trap

56:36 Powell Probe and Gold

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Gold falls as war drives oil higher, but Peter Schiff says stagflation, deficits, and a weaker dollar are setting up gold’s next major surge.

Peter Schiff explains why the latest pullback in gold, silver, and mining stocks is not a sign that the bull market is over, but a temporary reaction to rising oil prices, higher bond yields, and a stronger dollar. He argues that markets are focusing too narrowly on delayed Fed rate cuts while missing the bigger picture: war-driven deficits, stubborn inflation, a weakening economy, and mounting pressure on the Federal Reserve to eventually monetize even more debt.

He also breaks down soft GDP growth, rising PCE inflation, weakness in housing, and what he sees as the widening gap between Trump’s economic claims and the underlying data. Schiff’s core thesis is that stagflation, war spending, and long-term dollar weakness remain strongly bullish for gold and silver, while the current selloff is creating another buying opportunity.

Chapters:

00:00 Metals Pullback Buy Zone

02:00 Stocks Oil Rates Dollar

05:07 War Deficits Bullish Gold

09:51 Inflation Reality Check

17:10 Housing Bubble Warning

22:54 Lies or Delusion

24:18 Economic Boom Claims

25:15 War Fallout and Stagflation

33:07 Gold Silver Big Picture

37:56 Buy the Dip and Wrap Up

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#Gold #OilPrices #Inflation

Oil prices are exploding past $93 a barrel as Trump's unconditional surrender demand sends shockwaves through markets—but here's the real inflation culprit nobody's talking about, and why the Fed's rate cuts are about to make everything worse.

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Peter Schiff analyzes the massive oil price surge following Trump's Iran war, with crude jumping from $90 to over $119 per barrel before pulling back slightly as countries coordinate strategic petroleum reserve releases. Schiff argues that while rising oil prices don't directly cause inflation, the government's monetary and fiscal response to fund the war and rebuild Iran will trigger massive money printing and borrowing, creating real inflation across all goods. He criticizes Trump's economic lies, including false claims about $18 trillion in foreign investment and job creation numbers that show only 181,000 jobs created in 2025 versus 2.2 million under Biden's final year.

Schiff expresses outrage over Trump's campaign against Congressman Thomas Massey in Kentucky, calling Massey "the best congressman we have" and the only Republican who truly stands for constitutional principles, limited government, and fiscal responsibility. He explains that Massey voted against Trump's "big beautiful" tax bill because it increased spending without corresponding cuts, making it a disguised tax hike rather than genuine tax relief. Schiff sees Trump's attack on Massey as proof that Trump opposes real conservative principles, preferring rubber-stamp politicians over principled representatives who honor their constitutional oath.

Chapters:

00:00:00 Show Cold Open

00:00:55 War and Oil Shock

00:09:45 Inflation and Fed Blame

00:16:20 Unconditional Surrender Walkback

00:21:57 Dollar Power and Gold Outlook

00:29:31 Mining Stocks Selloff

00:31:14 Oil Spike and Profits

00:32:24 How to Buy Exposure

00:33:41 CPI and Inflation Reality

00:37:27 Massey Trump and Media

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Peter discusses the Iran war, the market reaction in gold and silver, the plunge in mining stocks, the surge in oil, Bitcoin’s dead-cat bounce, weak jobs data, rising inflation risks, the coming recession, de-dollarization, and why he believes this selloff is an opportunity to buy, not a reason to panic.

Peter Schiff breaks down why gold and silver sold off during the first week of the Iran war — and why he believes the market is getting it wrong. While many investors expected war to send precious metals sharply higher, gold finished the week down and mining stocks were hit even harder. Peter explains why this looks like a classic buy-the-rumor, sell-the-fact reaction, not the end of the bull market.

He argues that the real consequences of war have not yet been fully priced in: higher oil, bigger deficits, more money printing, stickier inflation, a weaker economy, and a weaker dollar over time. Peter also explains why he believes the political fallout could be severe, why Republicans may pay a heavy price in the midterms, and why the long-term winners remain gold, silver, mining stocks, and foreign markets positioned for de-dollarization.

Chapters:

00:00 War Context And Setup

02:08 Weekly Metals Selloff

04:14 Buy Rumor Sell Fact

06:52 Oil Spike And Optimism

09:38 Energy Reality Check

11:37 War Escalation And Politics

15:34 Stocks Dollar Bitcoin Moves

17:52 Deficits Inflation And Gold

24:53 Weak Economy And Jobs Shock

33:07 Midterms Outlook And Wrap

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Trump just launched an unconstitutional war with Iran without Congressional approval—and Peter breaks down the real reasons behind it, from economic distraction to the military-industrial complex profits, plus why this could trigger massive inflation and destroy your purchasing power.

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Peter Schiff strongly condemns Trump's declaration of war against Iran as unconstitutional, arguing that only Congress has the power to declare war under Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution. Schiff believes Trump violated his oath of office and campaign promises to end wars, not start them. He suspects the real catalyst was Israel informing Trump of their planned attack on Iran, forcing America's hand to join preemptively rather than wait for Iranian retaliation. Schiff questions Trump's claim that he had intelligence suggesting Iran would attack first, calling it implausible and likely fabricated to justify the unconstitutional military action.

Despite opposing the war on constitutional and strategic grounds, Schiff sees it as bullish for gold and silver due to its inflationary impact, as wars are typically funded through money printing rather than tax increases. He views recent pullbacks in precious metals and mining stocks as buying opportunities, noting that gold held above $5,000 despite heavy selling. Schiff warns that this war will worsen an already deteriorating economy through higher oil prices, supply chain disruptions, and increased government spending, while potentially serving as a convenient distraction from Trump's failing economic agenda and recent controversies like the Epstein files.

Chapters:

00:55 War With Iran Begins

03:41 Constitutional War Powers

08:48 War Powers Act Explained

12:00 From Strike To Regime Change

14:00 No Surprise Argument

15:57 Regime Change Risks

21:03 Iraq WMD Lies

23:08 Israel Rubio Timeline

25:45 Trump Preemptive Claim

29:07 Demand The Intelligence

29:25 War Justification Doubts

31:02 Broken Promises Fallout

32:32 Regime Change Quagmire

33:30 Distraction and Scapegoats

35:51 Wag the Dog Headlines

37:31 Rally Round the Flag

40:23 War Hits Economy and Oil

43:22 Markets Shrug Then React

47:36 Gold Selloff Explained

49:28 Wars Paid by Inflation

53:19 Buy the Dip Strategy

55:31 Wrap Up and Next Update

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#Finance #GeopoliticalCrisis #GoldInvesting

Trump claims we have the hottest economy in the world and the greatest turnaround in history, but the numbers tell a completely different story—GDP growth actually slowed under his watch, the stock market is the worst performer globally, and he's ignoring the real crisis ahead: a sovereign debt catastrophe that will make 2008 look like a warm-up act.

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Peter Schiff delivers a scathing critique of Trump's State of the Union address, systematically debunking what he calls numerous economic lies and misrepresentations. Schiff argues that Trump's claims about achieving the "hottest economy in the world" and a "historic economic turnaround" are completely false, pointing out that GDP growth actually slowed from 2.8% under Biden's final year to 2.4% in Trump's first year. He criticizes Trump's housing policy of keeping prices artificially high while suppressing mortgage rates, calling it the same failed approach that led to the 2008 financial crisis, and disputes claims about record-breaking tax cuts, inflation solutions, and stock market performance.

Beyond exposing what he sees as outright fabrications, Schiff condemns Trump's economic policies as fundamentally socialist, including the ban on Wall Street buying single-family homes, government intervention in power plant construction, and various spending programs disguised as tax cuts. He warns that these policies will accelerate inflation and fiscal crisis, predicting that the resulting economic collapse will be blamed on Republicans and capitalism, paving the way for Democratic victories and more socialist policies. Schiff urges listeners to protect themselves by investing in gold, silver, and foreign stocks, noting that gold mining stocks are hitting new highs ahead of the metals themselves, which he sees as a bullish leading indicator.

Chapters:

00:00 Show Intro Montage

00:55 State of the Union Setup

03:36 Housing Prices and Rates

10:24 Stock Market Bragging

15:54 Economy Claims and Inflation

31:10 Gas and Economic Bragging

32:48 Tariffs Supreme Court and Trade Reality

35:56 Taxes Entitlements and Price Claims

39:26 Healthcare Drugs and Anti Socialism Rants

53:05 Fiscal Cliff and Gold Strategy

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#Finance #Economics #Gold

Gold just broke above $5,100 — and almost no one is talking about it.

While politicians argue over tariffs, the real story is accelerating stagflation. GDP growth collapsed from 4.4% to 1.4%. Core PCE inflation is rising again. The Fed is openly debating rate cuts while inflation runs 50% above target.

This is not a soft landing.

Deficits are exploding. Tariff revenue is disappearing. The national debt is surging. The bond market is weakening. And the Federal Reserve is trapped between a weakening economy and rising inflation.

That trap has only one historical resolution: monetary expansion.

Gold is moving because the market understands what policymakers won’t admit. The dollar’s purchasing power is deteriorating. Sovereign debt risk is rising. Global capital is repositioning.

This is not about daily volatility. It’s about systemic imbalance.

When growth weakens and inflation accelerates at the same time, the outcome isn’t recovery — it’s currency stress.

Gold is signaling the next phase.

With national debt up $2.6 trillion in one year and trade deficits exploding despite tariffs, the dollar faces collapse while oil and gold signal inflation's return.

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Peter Schiff analyzes mounting evidence that the U.S. dollar is heading for a major decline, driven by exploding deficits and failed trade policies. With the national debt surging $2.6 trillion in just over a year under Trump, and trade deficits widening despite tariffs, Schiff argues that the same deficit spending Republicans blamed for Biden's inflation is now accelerating under the current administration. Oil prices have surged 21% in two months, hitting six-month highs above $66, while gold holds support above $5,000 as central banks continue dumping dollars. The December trade deficit data reveals Trump's tariffs are backfiring spectacularly - imports rising while exports fall, proving Americans pay 90% of tariff costs according to New York Fed studies. Housing markets show severe stress with pending home sales hitting record lows, signaling price corrections ahead. Schiff credits Trump for reducing FDA drug approval requirements from two studies to one, but argues this modest deregulation doesn't address the fundamental problem of government interference in healthcare markets that didn't exist before 1962.

Chapters:

01:33 Gold & Silver Snapshot: Buy the Dip Below $5,000

02:14 Oil Breakout: Why Gas Prices Are Headed Higher

05:42 Dollar Weakness #1: Exploding Deficits and the Debt Rollover Bomb

09:52 Tariffs, Taxes, and the Myth of 1880s Prosperity

15:54 DOGE, Elon Musk, and Why Government Can’t Be Efficient

20:14 World Ditches the Dollar: Central Banks Buy Gold

21:32 Trade Deficit Reality Check: December Numbers Blow Out

27:28 Tariffs Backfire: New York Fed Study Says Americans Pay

36:20 Twin Deficits → Inflation & Rates: The Macro Chain Reaction

39:22 Housing Bubble Math: Rates Up Means Prices Must Fall

42:04 Giving Credit Where Due: Trump’s FDA Change to One Efficacy Study

45:05 Before 1962/1938: How Drug Approval Worked in a Freer Market

53:28 Wrap-Up: Newsletter, Gold/Silver, EuroPac Funds & Upcoming Live Show

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#Gold #Tariffs #Inflation