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Explore every episode of the podcast The Loonie Hour

Dive into the complete episode list for The Loonie Hour. Each episode is cataloged with detailed descriptions, making it easy to find and explore specific topics. Keep track of all episodes from your favorite podcast and never miss a moment of insightful content.

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1–50 of 243

TitlePub. DateDuration
Building Canada Into an Energy Superpower- w/ guest Doomberg18 Apr 202501:27:47

Canada inflation cools in March. Bank of Canada holds rates, signaling more uncertainty ahead. Will Mark Carney really unleash the Canadian energy sector? Our guest, Doomberg chimes in on the upcoming elections, ESG, and the fate of Canada's natural resource sector. 

 

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Financial Markets in Turmoil Ahead of Canadian Elections11 Apr 202501:27:33

Stocks and Bonds down. Trump panics and pauses tariffs for 90 days. Is a China currency devaluation imminent? We also cover the upcoming federal elections in Canada and are joined by John Manley and David Herle for political commentary.

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Canada's Fentanyl Crisis & Corruption- w/guest Sam Cooper07 Feb 202500:56:08

Canada's top investigative reporter and fentanyl expert Sam Cooper joins the show. How bad is the fentanyl problem, what does Trump want to see, and who will become Canada's fentanyl Czar? Corruption runs deep as policy makers turn a blind eye to the deepening drug crisis. 

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Pressure Mounting for Bank of Canada to Raise Interest Rates Again19 May 202301:13:27

Inflation surprised to the upside in April, forcing bond yields to surge higher and putting the Bank of Canada back in the hot seat. Meanwhile 75% of variable rate mortgages have hit their trigger rate. The Federal Government made a colossal error on issuing debt on the short end of the curve. 

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The Bank of Canada Moves Closer to a Central Bank Digital Currency12 May 202301:04:17

The city of Toronto approves mass rezoning for residential development. There's an inventory shortage not just in Canadian housing markets but around the world right now. CPI inflation comes in as expected. Are deposit runs an issue in Canada? The Bank of Canada asks Canadians to weigh in on a central bank digital currency. 

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Fed Hikes Rates Despite Banking Crisis Spreading05 May 202300:58:57

Home sales are bouncing back to life across Canada. Calgary Real Estate prices hit new record highs. The banking crisis is far from over as contagion risks start to spread. The Fed hikes rates another 25bps but a pause appears likely. Markets are calling for rate cuts as soon as this fall. 

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Canadian Wages are Dropping at an Alarming Pace28 Apr 202300:52:18

The housing market continues to turn higher, yet wages are actually rolling over. Latest data shows wage growth is now sharply negative in real terms. Banking issues in the US have not gone away. The Bank of Canada is fully expecting a recession. CN Rail says the recession is already here. 

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A Nation Failing To Reach it’s Potential- with guest Erin O’Toole21 Apr 202301:10:03

Headline inflation falls to 4.2% in March. National house prices are back on the rise with housing starts still falling. Government employees striking across the nation as the cost of living crisis persists, potentially entrenching higher wage inflation. Former head of the Conservative Party Erin O’Toole joins the show.

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Bank of Canada Calls For Very Soft Landing14 Apr 202301:01:08

The Bank of Canada kept interest rates on hold while raising GDP growth forecasts. Meanwhile, land loans to developers have completely evaporated, sowing the seeds for a supply crunch years down the road. CPI in the US eases but core inflation is proving to be sticky. Warren Buffett takes a surprise trip to Japan. Germany shuts down more nuclear plants.

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TD Bank Becomes The Worlds Most Shorted Bank07 Apr 202301:04:34

Sweeping policy changes are coming on the housing supply front in Vancouver. Meanwhile, TD Bank has become the worlds most shorted bank stock, facing $3.7B of short interest. Is this the end of the US Dollar? Dutch Farmers Revolt ! 

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Big Deficit Spending Will Put Pressure on the Bank of Canada31 Mar 202301:04:13

The Federal Government announced its budget and it was a doozy. More inflationary spending, including money for groceries. The Bank of Canada will have its work cut out for them as there are also signs that the housing market is showing signs of strengthening. Credit spreads suggest there are still issues under the hood within financial markets.

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Canada Has a Massive Opportunity in the Energy Sector24 Mar 202301:13:00

Canada's oil and gas sector could flourish, enriching the lives of all Canadians while lowering global emissions, the only thing stopping it is politics according to this weeks special guest Andrew Haynes. Andrew is a 20 year expert in the energy sector. Meanwhile, the US Fed continues to push rates higher despite banking issues. Canadian population growth exceeded one million last year. Billions of commercial loans coming due could create more issues for smaller banks.

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Banking Crisis Puts Pressure on Central Banks17 Mar 202301:09:39

Banking crisis spreading across the US and more issues at Credit Suisse. Is this an isolated event or a potential contagion? What are the market implications for Canada? Bond yields are falling. The ECB raises rates. Canadian Real Estate Prices drop 15%, new listings hit 20 year lows. 

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Tariff Wars in Canada- w/ guest Danielle Smith31 Jan 202501:22:08

We are joined by Alberta Premier Danielle Smith to discuss trade negotiations, the currency, and our natural resources. The Bank of Canada cuts rates again. Policy makers preparing for helicopter money, and more global uncertainty. 

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A Weaker Canadian Dollar is on the Horizon10 Mar 202300:55:20

The Bank of Canada keeps rate hikes on pause, threatening a weaker currency as other central banks push forward with higher rates. What does this mean for the typical Canadian household? Important Jobs numbers are released. Inflation upside risks. Continued bull market for Canadian energy?

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Stagflation Grips the Canadian Economy03 Mar 202300:59:25

Canada's GDP was flat in Q4, falling well below the Bank of Canada's forecast. The housing market continues to be starved of inventory as sellers attempt to hold out market conditions. Extend and pretend, amortizations are growing at Canadian banks. Inflation remains sticky across the US and Euro Zone as growth slows. 

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A Social Crisis is Brewing in this Country24 Feb 202301:07:41

Inflation in Canada surprised to the downside. However, shelter and food inflation, two things you can't live without- remain elevated. The public sector continues to grow as the entrepreneurial spirit stagnates. Commercial Real Estate remains under pressure. The Market is now more hawkish than the Fed. 

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Central Banks Have Not Yet Won The Fight on Inflation17 Feb 202301:06:51

National home prices in Canada continue to slide, falling 12% on a yearly basis, the deepest slide on record. Signs of sticky inflation persist, suggesting the Bank of Canada might still have more work to do on interest rates. The Wealth gap could explode higher in the next recession. Could interest income from high interest rates actually be easing financial conditions? 

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The Default Cycle Has Just Begun10 Feb 202300:59:33

A big Vancouver Real Estate Developer goes belly up on over $700M in debt. Is this the canary in the coal mine? The Bank of Canada admits they had to pause over extreme household indebtedness. The Fed says disinflation is underway. The yield curve is now the most inverted since the 1980's.

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What's Lurking in the Canadian Mortgage Market? With Guest Ron Butler03 Feb 202301:05:35

More rate hikes from the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of England. Are markets overly optimistic about the future of interest rates? Is the Canadian housing market nearing a bottom? We have Ron Butler join us for a guest interview to discuss the good, the bad, and the ugly in the Canadian mortgage market.

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The Bank of Canada Signals a Pause and Takes a Victory Lap27 Jan 202301:00:15

The Bank of Canada has raised interest rates another 25bps but has signalled they will pause and hold from here. What does this mean for housing and financial conditions? Is a soft landing achievable or wishful thinking? Consumer confidence is increasing but models suggest there is still near a 50/50 chance of a US recession this year.

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Is this the Last Interest Rate Hike From The Bank of Canada?20 Jan 202301:07:05

National house prices continued their slide in December and are now down 17% since peaking. Inflation continues to fall but businesses don't believe we will see 2% inflation anytime soon. Twinkie bets are out, the Bank of Canada is poised for a rate hike next week. Investors are lining up to withdraw nearly $20B worth of funds from private Real Estate.

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The Wealth Effect Created One Third Of Inflation13 Jan 202300:54:51

CPI inflation in the US continues to decelerate, right in line with expectations. We discuss the market implications and guess where inflation could be later this year. Canadian Bank CEO's send out a warning to regulators over vulnerable borrowers. The Fed says rising house prices created a wealth effect that boosted inflation. Meanwhile, another central banker says it's not their job to fight climate change.

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More than Half of Borrowers Went With a Variable Mortgage at The Peak of The Market06 Jan 202300:57:19

Toronto and Vancouver home sales fell nearly 50% in the month of December. The comps are going to look awful from now until March. Is the Fed looking in the rearview mirror? Why the jobs data is lagging and why it's possible inflation can come down quicker than we might expect. Another recession signal just flashed red.

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Political Turmoil as Public Sentiment Swings to the Right24 Jan 202501:06:58

Canada's CPI inflation slowed in December. Will inflation perk up again this year? The bond market says one more rate cut for the Bank of Canada. Policy makers are swinging to the right as public sentiment shifts. Scrapping the Carbon tax and Capital gains tax. The UK debt market barreling towards a crisis provides insights for other western countries on managing deficits.

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Forecasting Another Year of Volatility in 202330 Dec 202201:00:09

Liquidity is scarce to end the year. Stocks are down, bond yields are rising once again. Delinquencies are set to rise. The boys discuss the outlook for 2023 and provide some forecasts on possible scenarios.

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Canada Population Growth Hits 50 Year High As Recession Looms23 Dec 202201:00:58

Canada added over 800,000 people to the population, the largest increase going back to the 1970s. The economic machine that is immigrating people and selling them housing continues to churn. CPI inflation remains rather sticky, leaving the Bank of Canada with some difficult decisions in January. Stock market volatility remains elevated as recession risks remain firmly anchored.

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A Decade of Zero Returns for Passive Investors?16 Dec 202201:07:40

National home prices continue to slide lower, now down 16% since peaking in March. US headline inflation continues to move lower but the Fed ain't pivoting! More rate hikes from the US, Europe and England this week. Could passive investors see little to no returns for several decades?

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Interest Rates Have Likely Peaked, What's Next For the Canadian Economy?09 Dec 202201:05:03

The Bank of Canada raised rates another 50bps, however they are now signaling a pause is in order. What are the implications for markets moving forward? More stress in the housing market, government spending sprees, and the probabilities of a financial crisis.

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Is The Bank of Canada Ready To Hit Pause?02 Dec 202201:05:06

Canadian GDP growth slows ahead of Bank of Canada rate hike next week. Is the Bank of Canada nearing the end of their rate hike cycle? Retail sales are flat over the past few years and housing is now falling. Jerome Powell readies the market for an easing, bond yields fall as growth slows.

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Nearly 13% of all Mortgages in Canada Have Become Interest Only Loans25 Nov 202201:03:49

Bank of Canada says half of fixed payment variable rate mortgages have reached their trigger rates and this means that about 13% of all outstanding mortgages are interest only, paying no principal. Meanwhile, the BC Government introduces more housing changes. And China is back into lockdown threatening the outlook for oil demand.

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Some of the Smartest Investors Get Duped By Massive FTX Crypto Fraud18 Nov 202201:02:39

National house prices slid lower in October, bringing the total price decline to 15% since peaking earlier this year. Some lenders are starting to lay off staff as mortgage applications dry up. While inflation has peaked, recent data suggests it remains quite sticky at 6.9% year-over-year. Meanwhile, the lads discuss the ongoing fraud story of FTX.

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One of Canada’s Largest private mortgage lenders Freezes Investor Redemptions11 Nov 202201:02:36

Romspen, one of Canada’s prominent private mortgage lenders with $3.2-billion in assets under management, is freezing investor redemptions, citing some trouble with loan repayments. Anecdotal evidence is piling up for a hard landing in Canada. Everywhere you look there is something blowing up, including FTX which was the worlds second largest crypto currency exchange. Inflation continues to turn lower with US CPI dropping more than expected in October.

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Interest Rates Need to Go Higher, Powell Crushes Stock Market04 Nov 202200:58:19

The Fed raised rates another 75bps and says there is still work to be done. Keith makes the case for a hard landing in the months ahead. Big tech stocks continue to get crushed. Meanwhile, the Canadian government has promised to ramp up immigration targets to 500,000 by 2025, with part of the objective to support the housing market. Affordable housing be damned!

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Did the Bank of Canada Just Wave the White Flag?28 Oct 202200:59:42

The Bank of Canada hiked a dovish 50bps this week, contrary to market expectations for a larger move. Is the Bank of Canada the first to throw in the towel? What are the implications for the Loonie? Meanwhile, new home sales are tanking in Canada, falling more than 90% in Toronto. Financial stability risks are increasing as we await another jumbo hike from the US Fed next week.

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Are Tariffs Looming on Canadian Oil?17 Jan 202501:06:46

Alberta refuses to sign on with Trudeau's proposed retaliatory tariffs. Toronto new condo sales hit 28 year lows as property taxes surge. Is Mark Carney the next prime minister already? US CPI cools, bringing relief to the bond market. 

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Inflation Coming Down Too Slowly For The Bank of Canada21 Oct 202201:04:52

Canadian inflation continues to decelerate on a rate of change basis but it's coming down too slowly for markets. This is setting the Bank of Canada up for another jump rate hike next week. National house prices continue to slide lower as mortgage rates move towards 6%. Troubles continue to brew in Japan and the UK as sovereign debt issues mount.

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Canadian Government Faces Surging Interest Payments14 Oct 202201:09:16

Another hot inflation print out of the US will keep the Fed from pivoting. Rates are moving higher and we should see 6% mortgage rates in Canada come November. How will the economy digest this? Interest expenses are surging not just at the household level but at the sovereign level. This is where the risks are today.

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Bank of Canada Says Another Jump Rate Hike Coming in October07 Oct 202201:02:41

Tiff Macklem says more rate hikes are coming and the job is not done yet. When was the last time a central bank engineered a soft landing? We are nearing a financial mishap. What do Canada's smartest housing people think about the future of the Real Estate market?

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Financial Markets Just Broke & The Economy Is Next30 Sep 202201:17:05

Turmoil in the UK as surging interest rates nearly collapsed the entire pension system. The Bank of England is now doing QE with double digit inflation. Pressure is mounting on the Fed but there is no imminent pivot. Canadian GDP remains flat despite record immigration growth, human stimulus is masking a recession.

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The Fed Wants Stocks And House Prices To Keep Dropping23 Sep 202201:05:58

National house prices in Canada have now endured their largest correction dating back to 2005. Meanwhile, the Fed hiked rates another 75bps and has made it clear it wants stocks and house prices lower. Currency markets are going crazy. Buckle up, things are about to get interesting.

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Canadian Households Lost Nearly $1T in Wealth Last Quarter16 Sep 202201:00:36

Canadian household wealth fell by nearly one trillion last quarter with house prices dropping. More cheques are coming in the mail to fight inflation, and with that more rate hikes from the central banks too! Inflation is trending lower but remains sticky, and something markets will be paying close attention to.

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Bank of Canada Delivers Another Massive Rate Hike Into Debt Bubble09 Sep 202200:59:22

The Bank of Canada, Australia and the Euro zone all raised interest rates this week. The US dollar continues to strengthen, placing stress on some of the worlds major currencies. We are only six months into this rate hiking cycle but already stresses are emerging in various corners of the market.

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Bank of Canada To Deliver Another Jumbo Rate Hike Next Week02 Sep 202201:00:03

Twinkies are on the line, as the gents place their wagers for the Bank of Canada next week. A surprise miss on Q2 GDP in Canada suggests further weakness for Q3. No Fed pivot coming suggests more pain ahead as the bear market rally fades.

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Canadian Banks Positioning for Soft Landing?26 Aug 202201:02:25

Canadian banks announced earnings and are increasing their loan loss provisions, but likely not enough considering the outlook for the nations housing market. The Canadian dollar continues to perform well thanks to the energy bull market. Europe is bracing for a deep recession and a full blown energy crisis.

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Canadian Housing Market Dropping at Quickest Pace since 1980's19 Aug 202200:59:24

Seasonally adjusted average house prices have now dropped the most since the 1980's. Inflation is subsiding but central banks are determined to push ahead, even if it means creating a recession. China is facing deep economic issues and cut interest rates. Inflation hits double digits in England and Germany turns on the Nuclear reactors.

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Trudeau Resigns, Leaving Parliament Frozen for Months- w/guest Kate Harrison10 Jan 202501:14:25

Unpacking the Trudeau prorogation. When will the next federal election be? Budget deficit is likely larger than $62B. Canadian oil exports to the US hit record highs. UK Gilt market having another crisis moment. China bond market forecasting more doom. 

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Bear Market Rally On Softer Inflation Data12 Aug 202200:55:19

US inflation has made the turn and is now trending lower, but will it fall enough to allow central banks to pivot? Markets are ripping on potentially false hopes. Commodities continue to look favourable over the medium term, and more bearish predictions for the Canadian housing market.

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Bubbles Are Bursting in Two of the Largest Housing Markets05 Aug 202201:02:35

Will the Central banks cave on their inflation mandate in the eyes of weakening economic data? The Bank of England just raised interest rates 50bps and says a recession is all but guaranteed for the fourth quarter and that it will last well into next year. The Canadian housing market continues to roll over, with both Vancouver & Toronto Real Estate markets experiencing multi-decade lows in housing sales. Toronto house prices dropped nearly 4% in the month of July. Financial stresses continue to escalate.

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The Recession is Here, When Will Central Banks Pivot?29 Jul 202200:56:49

The US federal Reserve raised interest rates another 75bps. More interestingly is that Powell will be removing forward guidance, and all future rate hikes are now data dependent. The US then recorded the second consecutive quarter of negative GDP, indicating a technical recession. Bond yields are falling on the news, and the all important Canada 5 year bond yield is now down nearly 100bps since peaking last month, indicating an upcoming decline in fixed rate mortgages.

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