Explore every episode of the podcast The Exchange

What’s in store for the fourth quarter as the S&P and Nasdaq both hit record highs. Parametric’s Nisha Patel makes the case for adding duration risk, despite volatile rates. Plus, the NYC Council Speaker says senior leadership from the likes of OpenAI and Meta were unable to answer the most basic questions posed to them at a recent AI hearing. 

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Economist Stephanie Roth argues 5% rates aren’t restrictive. Why companies like Sunoco and Dillard’s have moved their listings to the Texas Stock Exchange. Plus, our trader bets on the “NET” names in Q4. 

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The economy added fewer jobs than expected in September--we have the first reaction from newly minted Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling, as well as what it means for the path of interest rates. Former Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer on her new AI startup. Plus, Nike tries to revive its turnaround strategy.

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Three beaten-down small cap AI names that are ripe for the picking, according to Federated Hermes’ Stephen Denichilo. Is real estate about to become a buyers’ market? Plus, ahead of earnings, Needham says Nike’s path of least resistance is likely the downside.  

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Fresh this hour, the Federal Reserve’s independent watchdog finding no evidence of criminal wrongdoing or of administrative misconduct in its building renovations. The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge cools more than expected in August. Plus, how Chinese spies used love and betrayal to target the institution.  

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One week after a friendly summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump, CNBC details an aggressive plot by China to infiltrate one of the United States’ most important institutions: the Federal Reserve. This explosive documentary delves into the incredible saga of a Chinese spy's effort to obtain secrets from the inner confines of the US top bank. It's a tale of sex, money, deceit and betrayal that put some of the country’s vital economic and financial secrets at risk. With exclusive access to new documents, audio, photos and text messages, CNBC's Senior Washington Correspondent Eamon Javers uncovers the story of former Fed economist John Rogers and a Chinese spy posing as an economics student who he befriended in 2013. “Inside Man” is a spy story at the heart of the competition for global economic dominance, posing the question of whether Rogers was a spy himself or an unwitting dupe. 

Watch the full documentary, read the article and explore excerpts from Rogers’ text message history here: cnbc.com/insideman

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All the news from OpenAI’s Developer Day as Sam Altman takes the stage. Plus, the Senate advances a bill that could re-shape the lucrative name, image, and likeness (NIL) deals for student athletes.

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Nvidia launches an AI security platform to contain AI agents. Bank of America says the consumer spending is still growing, but buyers are getting choosier. Plus, why a diesel export ban could push gas prices even higher.

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The so-called “Bond King of Texas” says the Fed made a mistake hiking rates. Stocks pop and oil prices sink on reports U.S.-Iran talks have entered the technical stage, but Helima Croft, who served as a commodities analyst at CIA, says seemingly nothing has truly shifted in negotiations. Plus, are mortgage rates above 7% the new normal?

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Long-term yields above 5% present a good deal of “shock value” to the markets, but are likely over-rated as a driver of the economy, according to CIO Group’s Steven Wieting. Utilities under pressure amid those rising rates, and trader Jeff Kilburg is going bargain hunting. Plus, AEI’s Derek Scissors says the pageantry around Chinese President Xi’s first state visit in 11 years is setting the stage for a political clash between President Trump and other members of the GOP. 

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Yields, and rate hike expectations, climb on strong manufacturing data. With President Trump pushing back on creating a global entity for AI oversight, will a visit from Chinese president Xi Jinping’s be more show than substance? Plus, legendary real estate developer Richard LeFrak’s warning amid higher rates.

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Meta’s Muse is a hit with Main Street, but is the next phase of AI enough to keep the trade alive on Wall Street? Peloton launches a new suite of products. Plus, how muni bonds are coming to the rescue when it comes to climate disasters. 

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The Nasdaq is climbing 2% as semiconductors and tech stocks rally. Meta having its third-best month on record amid investor optimism about its Muse personal agent app. And we look at whether Nike is nearing a bottom, as shares hit a 12-year low

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Our market guest’s favorite big AI name used to be Microsoft but now says Nvidia is too cheap to ignore. Plus, the AI safety debate is heating up in Washington and across the country. And the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are launching today, but Wall Street is already looking ahead to next month’s Duo launch.

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Stocks higher, yields lower as markets digest the first Fed rate hike in three years. The CEO of Sentinelone says AI labs are engaging in “self-serving marketing.” Plus, an extended conversation with former Treasury Secretary Jack Lew.  

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Ahead of the Fed’s decision on interest rates, Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan sit down with lawmakers, former Fed Presidents, and investing heavyweights from Washington DC. 

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The yield on 10-year notes hitting the highest level since 2007 ahead of the Fed decision. Jefferies’ David Zervos expects a more dovish Warsh and says the market is wrong on rates. Plus, prediction markets are already scoring this NFL season. 

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After Anthropic’s Dario Amodei calls to “pace the frontier” on AI, one of the researchers who discovered OpenAI’s hack of a German website says slowing U.S. model development will also curb China. Jefferies’ Chief Economist makes the case for a December rate cut. Plus, the billionaire founder of Groupon and CEO of Tempus AI on how AI is changing healthcare.

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JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli raising his rate hike forecast to two this year after inflation comes in slightly hotter than expected. What record high diesel prices mean for the US economy. Plus, 41-year New York Stock Exchange veteran Peter Tuchman reflects on the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks.

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Yields continue higher, and on the heels of a strong 30-year bond auction, Rick Santelli says it’s “war, not Warsh” moving rates. Real Macro’s Jeff Currie on the “toxic” double-trade pushing oil prices higher. Plus, President Trump’s $5,000 midterm ‘dividend.’

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West Texas crude reapproaching $100 a barrel, and while Middle East tensions are ramping, Rapidan’s Bob McNally says China is also playing a big role in driving up prices this time around. We talk to the CEO of AGCO as retaliatory Canadian tariffs going into effect on U.S. goods like dairy and ag equipment. Plus, whether a 25 basis point rate hike at the next Fed meeting would do more harm than good.

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With markets pricing in a rate hike in September after a strong August jobs report, Steve Liesman and KPMG’s Diane Swonk weigh in on whether Chair Warsh’s ‘forward silence’ could backfire. The first investor in Hugging Face reveals the three companies he’s investing in now. Plus, the trade that still has pricing power.

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Nvidia will buy open-source AI platform Hugging Face for nearly $13B. BofA’s Vivek Arya says that will extend Nvidia’s sphere of influence well beyond Silicon.  Meanwhile, ChatGPT, Claude, and Grok all experienced outages in the morning--former Marine Corps. hacker David Kennedy says while that can be attributed to new models causing massive usage spikes, there could also be other, more sinister, factors at play. Plus, a Kansas union leader on why he broke with tradition, aligning with Republicans on data centers in the state.

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As West Virginia says ‘yes’ to data centers, Governor Patrick Morrissey is focused on clean water and keeping energy costs low. Steve Jobs biographer Walter Isaacson wants Apple to get back to its roots under its new CEO, creating devices that bring humans closer to the machines and intelligence they use.  Plus, trader Jeff Kilburg says, despite a potential rate hike, stocks won’t experience a September swoon. 

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Investor Barry Knapp makes the case for a Fed rate cut with global yields back on the rise. FTC Andrew Ferguson on the agency’s new lawsuit against Amazon. Plus, an officer from electrical workers union, I.B.E.W., Local 26, tells us why data centers are “the best opportunity in generations for blue-collar workers to attain a portion of the American dream.”

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The US striking Iran for the first time in a month as the G20 kicks off and Secretary Bessent says the administration can keep the pressure on without China’s help. Colorado AG and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Weiser on his plan for data centers. Plus, Sarat Sethi’s leader-to-laggard pick for the second half has already surged nearly 60% since July.   

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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh striking a hawkish tone in his first speech at Jackson Hole, saying there’s more work to do on inflation and former Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren agrees. Peterson Institute’s Adam Posen calls the Treasury’s increased bond buybacks “nuts.” Plus, off-price retail is on-target, according to Bank of America. 

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The AI trade roaring back on the heels of Nvidia’s blowout earnings and strong guidance. Connecticut Governor Ned Lamont on the state’s suit against Kalshi, the impact of Canadian tariffs, and how to lower energy costs for New Englanders. Plus, Anthropic’s Dario Amodei reassures the software industry, “we’re not interested in destroying anyone.”

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The key metrics to watch in Nvidia’s earnings—and why a guidance hike could be on the way. As oil prices continue to fluctuate amid Middle East tensions, RBC’s Helima Croft is concerned about a different commodity ahead of cooling temperatures.  Plus, unsealed court documents reveal the Fed, the Senate, the Deptartment of Justice, and NASA were just some of the federal agencies hacked by a Chinese state-sponsored group. 

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A former Disney executive’s warning for media M&A as Paramount’s takeover of WBD sits in limbo. Technician Katie Stockton returns to discuss Bitcoin’s recent rally after calling the bounce last week. Plus, sports superagent Drew Rosenhaus on his client’s, former NFL player Dae’Quan Wright, decision to return to college football. 

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The Wall Street Journal’s Greg Ip joins us to discuss whether U.S. Treasurys are losing their safe haven status after Treasury Secretary Bessent’s buyback plan. Plus, Guggenheim’s Simeon Siegel is here with his retail outlook after a big earnings week. And Pantera Capital’s Cosmo Jiang weighs in on bitcoin’s big week and the other big headlines in the crypto space.

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Former OMB Director Mitch Daniels on the Trump administration’s fiscal policy fight. Five-star fund manager Matt McLennan says despite the rising bond risks, investors should broaden their holdings, rather than get bearish. Plus, why Stripe could stay private for the long-term. 

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Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

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Yields around the world hitting multi-decade highs as bond vigilantes go to work. The Verge’s Nilay Patel says Meta’s federal child-harm trial is the social media platform’s “Microsoft moment.” Plus, Anthropic pulls back the curtain on its financials as it prepares to go public.  

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The retailer Morgan Stanley says could go from laggard to leader in the second half. After the 2020 clamp down, can China woo tech investors back? Plus, the bullish set-up for Bitcoin.  

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Semis are in a bubble, according to Citi’s indicator. Former Assistant AG Jonathan Kanter on prediction markets’ legal hurdles. Plus, the disconnect between investors and developers when it comes to data center moratoriums. 

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The benchmark index crossing 7,800 for the first time ever as new inflation data comes in softer than expected. Plus, early Facebook investor Roger McNamee calls Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s AI manifesto a piece of science fiction. And Anthropic is inking a deal with ERock to power their AI infrastructure. We speak exclusively with ERock’s CEO about the agreement.

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Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.

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Nvidia just lined up $500 billion in funding from some of the biggest financiers in the world. Does this mean compute is now its own asset class? Plus, analysts warn the Iran war could merge with the Russia-Ukraine war. Could the US end up pulling out of the Middle East altogether? And existing home sales dropped in July. Are buyers starting to get the upper hand? 

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Sticky inflation has Bank of America predicting 75 basis points of Fed hikes this year. Acting FDA Commissioner Kyle Diamantas on a rule change for ingredients and the ongoing foodborne illness outbreaks. Plus, the name trader Jeff Kilburg is buying on the dip. 

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Does July’s weak jobs report change the Fed’s rate path? OpenAI is pausing the rollout of its upcoming model due to “cyber capabilities.” Plus, the data center economy and the three sectors our market guest is bullish on because if it.  

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Sandisk and Western Digital drop following results. We look at how position within the memory trade. Plus, Alphabet has to make a tough decision between AI talent and cloud computing dominance. And we’re counting down to tomorrow’s jobs report with a look at hiring and the labor market.

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One of Wall Street’s first SpaceX bears joins us on the heels of the company’s debut quarterly results. Anthropic’s Mythos makes headlines for its bad behavior. And two prominent voices in the business world see a path toward 3 rate hikes this year.

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Another batch of strong earnings powering the Dow and S&P 500 to record highs. Oil prices fall after Treasury Secretary Bessent told CNBC we may have a deal “today or tomorrow” on the Strait of Hormuz. And our panel debates whether we’re in a K-shaped or a C-shaped economy.

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Evolution in the AI trade. A rise in long-term global bond yields. And the key names to watch this week.  

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The bullish case for the AI capex spenders, rather than the receivers. Cybersecurity expert Ivan Tsarynny’s AI warning after Anthropic discloses three of its models breached their testing environments. Plus, Brookings’ Robin Brooks on how the market has corrected its misreading of the June Fed meeting. 

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Semis on the upswing after a rough couple of sessions, but should investors trust the bounce in the momentum trade after what BTIG calls the largest/fastest crash in modern history? JPMorgan’s Michael Feroli slides his rate hike timeline from the second half of 2027 to December after Kevin Warsh evades some reporter questions in his second news conference as Fed Chair.  Plus, why the war in Iran could last through the midterms. 

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Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan go to Washington, DC to sit down with leaders from the White House to the C-Suite ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.

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Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and Israeli Prime Minister meeting separately with President Trump at the White House as the wars in Iran and Ukraine become more entwined. Susquehanna’s Mehdi Hosseini says memory prices are nearing a ceiling, and that leadership in the space will come down to ‘hand-to-hand combat’ now that the ‘easy money’ has been made. Plus, Gabelli Co-CIO Chris Marangi’s under-the-radar AI trade. 

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Four of the Mag 7—Apple, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft—report this week, our experts get you ready. Former Nasdaq CEO Bob Greifeld makes the case for AI regulation sooner than later, and draws a page from the SEC’s playbook. Plus, China’s most valuable company is also its best chance at homegrown AI chips.  

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