Risky Business with Nate Silver and…

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https://omnystudio.com/listener
105 shares
https://www.natesilver.net/
100 shares
https://mariakonnikova.substack.com/
100 shares

http://apple.co/pushkin
15 shares
https://apple.co/3XsDEdw
2 shares
https://books.apple.com/us/audiobook/the-big-short-inside-the-doomsday-machine/id1828393213
1 share

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Amazing Frauds, Faking Your Own Death, and the Latest on the Election

Season 1 · Episode 17

Thursday, August 29, 2024 • Duration 54:39

Nate and Maria briefly discuss the latest election news. Then Tim Harford, author and host of Cautionary Tales, joins to discuss two of history’s most compelling con artists: Sam Israel III and John Law. Risk-related lessons are learned.

Further Reading:

A Con Man Who Lives Between Truth and Fiction from the New York Times

The Murderer, The Boy King, and The Invention of Modern Finance from NPR (featuring our EP Jacob Goldstein!)

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Kamala Edition: Taxes, Tariffs, and the DNC

Season 1 · Episode 16

Wednesday, August 21, 2024 • Duration 40:23

This week Nate and Maria discuss the state of Kamala Harris’ presidential bid, including taking a look at her first policy proposals on price gouging and taxes on tips.

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance, and How People Get Risk Wrong

Season 1 · Episode 7

Thursday, June 27, 2024 • Duration 43:13

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria unveil Nate’s 2024 election model. (The forecast is bad news for Maria.) Also, they explain what insurance industry troubles tell us about the market for risk. And they discuss some key mistakes people make when thinking about risk.

Further Reading:

“Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast” by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

“Climate Change Has Hit Home Insurance. Is Health Insurance Next?” from the Wall Street Journal

“The Home Insurance Crunch: See What’s Happening in Your State” from the New York Times

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Snap Elections, Global Warming, and Maria’s Favorite Hot Sauce

Season 1 · Episode 6

Thursday, June 20, 2024 • Duration 42:11

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss the reasoning behind Macron’s decision to hold early elections in France, how heat waves could help communicate the reality of climate change, and what we can learn from the impending sriracha shortage. The theme that ties it all together: How to think about long-term risk.

Further Reading:

“The stakes are high in Macron’s gamble” from the Financial Times

“What A Sriracha Shortage Teaches Us About Supply Chains” from Forbes

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Lifetime Terms, Lifetime Bans, and the Return of Roaring Kitty

Season 1 · Episode 5

Thursday, June 13, 2024 • Duration 43:33

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss whether Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor should retire, the perils of sports betting among professional athletes, and what the return of Roaring Kitty means for traditional market analysis.

Further Reading:

“Sonia Sotomayor Should Retire Now” from The Atlantic

“Should Sonia Sotomayor Retire?” from Slate

“MLB bans Padres’ Tucupita Marcano permanently for betting on baseball” from the NYT

“Lifetime bans and careers in tatters – recent sports betting scandals show how fringe players are vulnerable” from CBC

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Mistakes and Unknowns: Election Polls, Poker Tournaments, and the NBA Finals

Season 1 · Episode 4

Thursday, June 6, 2024 • Duration 48:49

This week on Risky Business, Nate gives his analysis of what Trump’s guilty verdict may mean for the election, Maria shares the biggest mistakes she’s seen at the World Series of Poker so far, and Nate reveals an interesting ripple in the sports betting ecosystem ahead of the NBA Finals.

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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WSOP Kickoff, Crypto ETFs, and Airfare Refunds

Season 1 · Episode 3

Thursday, May 30, 2024 • Duration 41:11

Nate and Maria are in Vegas for the first week of the World Series of Poker. On today’s show, they share their top tips for acing the World Series, explain the politics behind last week’s approval of a new kind of crypto ETF, and unpack new rules for airline delays.

Further Reading:

“SEC Unexpectedly Expedites ETH ETF w/ Eric Balchunas” from Galaxy Brains

“Biden-Harris Administration Announces Final Rule Requiring Automatic Refunds of Airline Tickets and Ancillary Service Fees” from USDOT

To Buy Into Maria’s WSOP Action:

Visit “StakeKings”

Or “PokerStake”

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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A Backup for Biden

Season 1 · Episode 2

Thursday, May 23, 2024 • Duration 43:08

Nate and Maria start with something light: p(doom) and the possibility that AI will bring about the end of life as we know it. Then, Nate breaks down the news about the presidential debates and makes a shocking recommendation to the Democratic Party. And – most importantly – our hosts preview the upcoming World Series of Poker in Vegas.

Further Reading:

“OpenAI: Exodus” by Zvi Mowshowitz

“Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden” by Ezra Klein

“21 Tips for Acing the World Series of Poker” by Nate Silver

To Buy Into Maria’s WSOP Action:

Visit “StakeKings”

Or “PokerStake”

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters:

“The Leap” from Maria Konnikova

“Silver Bulletin” from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Lessons from the Final Table

Season 1 · Episode 1

Thursday, May 16, 2024 • Duration 39:45

Welcome to Risky Business, a show about making better decisions.

Today, Maria has lessons from a poker tournament she recently played in Monte Carlo, where she made it to the final table. Then, Nate discusses what RFK Jr.’s impressive polling numbers could mean for Biden and Trump. And Nate and Maria discuss Caitlin Clark and what her story tells us – or doesn’t – about the gender pay gap.

Further Reading:

The Biggest Bluff by Maria Konnikova

On The Edge by Nate Silver (forthcoming)

"RFK Jr. Says Doctors Found a Dead Worm in His Brain" (NYT)

"What the conversation about Caitlin Clark’s pay gets wrong" (CNN)

For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters.

The Leap from Maria Konnikova

Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Coming Soon... Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Season 1

Thursday, May 2, 2024 • Duration 02:42

Launching on May 16, Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.

Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000 in tournament winnings. She is a PokerStars Team Pro.

Nate is the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, and one of the country’s leading election forecasters. He has over $800,000 in lifetime poker tournament winnings and his forthcoming book, On the Edge, is about gambling and risk.

Risky Business is a co-production of iHeart Media and Pushkin Industries.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova – Details, episodes & analysis

Podcast details

Recent rankings

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Shared links between episodes and podcasts

RSS feed quality and score

Publication history

Latest published episodes

Related Shows Based on Content Similarities

Related Shows Based on Content Similarities

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova – Details, episodes & analysis

Podcast details

Recent rankings

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Shared links between episodes and podcasts

Other82

Apple3

New York Times15

RSS feed quality and score

Publication history

Latest published episodes

Similar podcasts and content

Related Shows Based on Content Similarities

Related Shows Based on Content Similarities

Other82

Apple3

New York Times15

Apple Podcasts

Spotify