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Explore every episode of the podcast Paulitical Economy™

Dive into the complete episode list for Paulitical Economy™. Each episode is cataloged with detailed descriptions, making it easy to find and explore specific topics. Keep track of all episodes from your favorite podcast and never miss a moment of insightful content.

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TitlePub. DateDuration
Post 32705 août 202500:46:51
  • Starbucks is still seeing comparable store sales decline.
  • But a fourth leg of their business is growing quickly.
  • Chateau Lafite Rothschild is one of the world’s top wines.
    • Its futures price is off 49% from its peak.
  • Another look at the three main ways in which policymakers created Canada’s housing affordability crisis.
    • They thought the benefits would trickle down to the next generation.
      • Spoiler alert: they didn’t.
  • Carbon Dioxide emissions by country
    • Who’s number one: USA, China or both?
  • Microsoft is growing like gangbusters.
    • And a $10,000 investment in its shares in 1986 would have grown to a tidy sum today.
  • Facebook’s sales are also soaring.
    • Its share price is up 54% over the last year.
  • More evidence of a two-tier economy with older industrial type businesses seeing sales declines:
    • A quick look at tools.
  • Financial Ructions:
    • You’re Fired
      • Trump comes out guns blazing after record-breaking downward jobs revisions.
        • Shoot first, ask questions later?
  • In our book review of The Way the World Works:
    • Jude Wanniski looks at Keynesians and the Monetarists.
      • And how the decrease in the money supply in the early 1930s was warranted by a significant, policy-induced reduction in real output.


Post 32630 juil. 202500:45:05
  • General Motors has a long and interesting history.
    • It has been hurt by tariffs, but sales did benefit as customers rushed to beat the tariffs.
  • Women are twice as likely to be raped in the UK and Sweden than they are in the US.
    • And a hundred times more likely than in Japan.
  • Chipotle is a fast casual restaurant whose sales have been going in the wrong direction over the last year.
    • A quick look back.
  • Americans are going to the movies a lot less than they were pre-COVID.
    • Higher ticket prices are helping to offset some of the decline.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We look at how since 1961, taxation in Canada has grown faster than any other form of expenditure.
      • Surprise, surprise.
    • Then we look at how there is one thing in Canada that has grown faster than taxation.
      • And that is government spending.
    • And no.  Canada does not have more runway than other countries in terms of deficit spending and debt to GDP.
      • Runway implies no negative effects and from that perspective they all ran out of runway a long time ago.
        • All western economies are already suffering enormously from runaway government spending.
    • And it’s getting worse.
  • In our book review of The Way the World Works,
    • We look at how lower taxes contributed to the Roaring Twenties.
      • And how the tariff tax of Smoot Hawley helped end them.
Post 32523 juil. 202500:20:45
  • Prices in the US are rising with eggs leading the way.
    • To the extents that tariffs are pushing up prices it should be a one-time hit.
      • Unless tariffs rise even further.
  • Core inflation in Japan is steadily rising.
  • Inflation in Canada is proving sticky.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We look at longer-term rates which are rising.
      • This should lead to higher mortgage costs.
  • In our book review of The Way the World Works.
    • JW introduces the Laffer Curve where at some point higher tax rates lead to lower tax revenues.
      • And how money blinds people with respect to how an economy truly functions.



Post 32414 juil. 202500:29:01
  • US booze companies see impact from tariffs.
    • First positive and then negative.
  • Nike has not grown its sales for seven straight quarters.
    • And just experienced its largest sales decline so far.
  • Cocoa bean prices are very volatile and near historic highs.
    • A look at the world’s largest chocolate manufacturer.
  • Hershey sales are suffering.
    • As is its profitability as the high cocoa bean price bite.
  • A look at how growth in household wealth is only partially a reflection of growth in capital being produced in the economy.
    • And how the vast majority of wealth is held by the top 10%
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We zero in on the equities and mutual funds part of household wealth.
      • And try to get a sense of how much real wealth has been created since 1989.
        • Spoiler alert, a lot less than the headline numbers.
  • Book review: 
    • In our book review of The Way The World Works we look at two chapters: 
      • In chapter 4 he looks at capital and reminds us that the increased capital production during wartime does not contribute to a flourishing economy.
      • In chapter 5 he looks at what leads to greater productivity and how well-intended government actions can detract from the wealth of society.


Post 32308 juil. 202500:42:02
  • Florida is one of the weakest housing markets in America.
    • But prices are still sky-high compared to pre-COVID
  • Nationally, sellers outnumber buyers by half a million.
    • Prices are falling in some areas, but even with prices falling many will remain priced out of the housing market.
  • America’s largest home builder’s sales are accelerating downward.
    • The issue is affordability constraints, but it’s not about mortgage rates.
  • Tesla’s car deliveries fall for the second straight quarter.
    • Robotaxi to the rescue?
  • The Canadian government has rescinded its proposed digital services tax.
    • This is good news for Canadians.
  • US jobs numbers appear to be a mixed bag.
    • But the number of government workers are finally falling.
  • Microsoft lays off more employees.
    • But its share price continues to soar.
  • A look at the wealth of Amazon’s Jeff Bezos and how he achieved it.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • Social Security in the US will be insolvent in 8 years.
      • And the cost of making it solvent has continued to increase as policymakers perpetually kick the can down the road.
        • Refusing to make tough but necessary decisions.
    • A look at what has been influencing stock market valuations.
  • In our book review of the Way The World Works we look at the economic law of supply and demand and how things happen at the margin.
    • And how the best political leaders don’t take criticism personally but rather as a way to understand the struggles of the electorate.


Post 32201 juil. 202500:25:55
  • Carnival continues to ride the wave of higher prices.
  • General Mills sales are declining
    • But would be a lot worse if not for their pet business.
  • Yet, JM Smucker’s pet division had a double-digit sales decline.
    • And a look back.
  • Airliner JetBlue is seeing declines in air travel.
    • Its share price has been a 25-year disaster.
  • Student loan delinquencies in the US are soaring.
    • And government workers have a sweet deal.
  • Insolvencies in Canada fell in April.
    • We may finally be getting to a level that is less influenced by government.
  • Jobs growth in Canada has been nonexistent since January.
    • The unemployment rate is the highest in 9 years.
  • No Financial Ructions this week.
  • In our book review of The Way the World Works, we look at the age-old issue of how much wealth should be redistributed.
    • And the importance of relying on a sound system rather than hoping the right leader happens to come along.
    • Low taxation, a strong currency and the rule of law lead to economic prosperity.
      • We’re currently moving in the wrong direction.



Post 32109 juin 202500:39:35
  • Campbell’s Soup sales are back in positive territory. 
    • Restaurants getting so expensive people are eating more at home. 
      • But not eating as many snacks. 
  • Hudson’s Bay is being liquidated. 
    • But its brands will live on. 
  • The percentage of first-time home buyers in the US has plummeted. 
    • It’s a result of deliberate policy. 
  • The alcohol industry is still struggling. 
    • Brown Forman, maker of Jack Daniel’s, recently announced their results and they were met with plenty of booze. 
      • Its share price is going down faster than shots of Jack Daniels at a Honky-Tonk line dance. 
  • Home sales in the Toronto area are down more than a third from pre-COVID.
    • Yet active listings are way up: over 40%.
  • Lululemon comparable store sales in the Americas have not grown for five straight quarters.
  • Procter & Gamble sales growth has been declining.
    • And now its number of employees is following suit.
  • P&G competitor Kimberly Clark also saw sales weaken and are now in negative territory.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We look at how real interest rates were distorted into negative territory for years by Ben Bernanke.
      • With other central banks following suit this was the start of the housing affordability crisis in many countries.
    • Manufacturing has been contracting in the US for some time.
      • But prices are rising.
    • Canadian banks may be getting nervous.
    • Activist Treasury Issuance survives the change in government.
  • We start Chapter 1 of our book review of The Way the Economy Works: How Economies Fail – and Succeed by Jude Wanniski
    • Government must be of the people and must be trusted.
      • Decadence only occurs when government goes its own way and in a direction different from that demanded by society. 


Post 32002 juin 202500:38:30
  • The producers of alcoholic beverages say that the health concerns related to alcohol consumption are exaggerated.
    • I hope so.
  • Shoppers continue to flock to Costco.
    • And investors to its common stock.
  • Target, not so much.
    • Home furnishings sales are down over 8%.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • We look at a speech that John F. Kennedy made to the Economic Club of New York in 1962.
      • Income taxes were finally being cut.
    • A look at how money is created in the US.
      • And no, the government does not spend it into existence.
    • If the US does not increase the debt ceiling it is not at risk of defaulting on its debt obligations.
      • The only thing at risk is deficit spending.
    • The great Thomas Sowell reminds us that it was FDR’s New Deals that extended the Great Depression.
  • Book Review
    • I’m excited to start reviewing the first of two books on supply side economics.
      • This one by Jude Wanniski called The Way the Economy Works: How Economies Fail – and Succeed.
        • I review the Preface, but before getting into that we review the Bretton Woods system.


Post 31902 juin 202500:51:08
  • Truck maker Paccar sales continue to fall.
  • Freight shipments in the US are still down.
  • A look at how tariffs impact trade: Lobsters.
  • Petrol cars may not be going the way of the Dodo in California  after all.
  • Both Home Depot and Lowe’s broke eight quarter losing streaks at the end of 2024 with sales finally back in positive territory.
    • It only lasted a quarter.
  • Inflation in Canada is rising again.
  • On an adjusted basis, Canada has lost jobs for two straight months.
    • And the government artificially increased the unemployment numbers in order to boost unemployment benefits.
  • We dive into just how unaffordable a house is in Toronto.
  • In Financial Ructions:
    • Things look like they’re unravelling in Japan.
      • Inflation is forcing the Bank of Japan’s hand on interest rates.
      • That’s what happens when you increase the monetary base at an annual rate of 14% over 14 years.
    • Yes, longer-term rates are affected by central banks.
      • And not just through QE.
    • We look at an FT opinion piece which says that efforts to improve liquidity in the US Treasury market could exacerbate the basis trade.
      • But don’t worry, the Fed will come to the rescue.
  • We finally finish our book review of The Great Depression.
    • I actually found myself agreeing with a couple of the author’s comments.
    • But don’t worry, I disagreed with most of what he had to say in the final chapter.


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