Craig Elsten and Chris Reed are joined by dozens of PHT patrons live after yet another dramatic walkoff win for the San Diego Padres. Down 2-0 in the 8th and in danger of losing 3-of-4, the Padres came off the deck with Jurickson Profar's two-run HR, then saw Jackson Merrill walk it off against Edwin Diaz in the 9th. It was a 4-3 week but vibes are very high. 

Craig, Chris, and Raphie talk to an ECSTATIC crowd of PHT patrons after the Padres completed the season sweep of the Nationals with Dylan Cease no-hitting them in a 3-0 Padres victory. The PHT Annual Annual Member Drive is on! patreon.com/padreshottub

Details: From now until the trade deadline (July 30th at 3pm PT) 

What: Annual members already save 16% (2 months free!) on their memberships. If you upgrade to or renew your PHT membership at the annual level during our membership drive, you get access to a special perk! 
⁃ Upgrade at the $5 level, and you’ll receive 20% off one Waldron Cauldron shirt
⁃ Upgrade at the big or huge level, and you’ll receive a FREE Waldron Cauldron shirt. 

Again, as part of our annual membership drive, patrons must upgrade DURING membership drive to an ANNUAL membership to receive the listed perks.

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after the Padres are swept out of Milwaukee and salvage a series opener in St. Louis -- but this season is finished. How should the Padres move forward? Just how powerful are the incentives for completely tanking? And what should the rest of the Padres 2023 season look like?


Watch this episode on YouTube! https://youtu.be/xI_AYhW-KE8

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PHT discord and get access to member perks like free tickets! patreon.com/padreshottub

In Episode 21 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda get back to their PAR roots and dive into a long awaited player-specific episode -- Manny Machado. What makes Manny Manny at the plate? And to what degree is his future linked to the Padres?

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR discord and get other great member perks! patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/PN0oDWS2KR0

Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with a group of PHT Patrons on the PHT Discord to discuss egos, sage ceremonies, Shohei Ohtani, and much more as the Padres head to Milwaukee with their season hanging on by a thread.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get great perks and join live shows like this! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after a potentially season-ending series in which the DBacks took 3 of 4 from the Padres and decimated their playoff odds. But first, we start with a new segment - Positivity Corner! After all that, they spend the second half of the show on AJ Preller -- his Carpenter comments, his barrage of minor league promotions, and where his fate may lie.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get the show ad-free, early, and other awesome perks! patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on YouTube: https://youtu.be/_a5yS6XwP7I

In Episode 20 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their pitchers have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Opposing hitters hate this ONE trick!


Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ttn7JoKpl4TMT4nT-T2gHqqNewh-zeYJ/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true


Watch the show on Youtube: https://youtu.be/3tThJhUKt9g

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord and get other exclusive member perks: patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with some PHT patrons as the Padres drop the series opener to Zac Gallen and the Dbacks 3-1 as the lights on the Padres playoff hopes grow dimmer by the day.

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor catch up on a weekend in Arizona which likely brought the Padres 2023 playoff hopes to an unremarkable end. They get into the specifics of what makes this team so frustrating. Then, they give away a Blake Snell autographed ball. Finally, they welcome on Dallas McLaughlin of The Kept Faith to talk about his new album (available here) before getting into the big picture question of how to fix the Padres in 2024. Plus, a new theme song for 2023.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Discord, get premium podcasts, and receive other exclusive member perks!

Watch the show on YouTube! youtube.com/@padreshottub

In Episode 19 of Pads Above Replacement, Raphie Cantor and John Precoda turn to the Padres 2023 preseason ZiPS projections and compare how their hitters have fared compared to what was expected. What are the team trends? How have individual players changed? Let's get nerdy with it!


Spreadsheet for reference: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tts7omwGuCjIX6WGZEMimLrM-bJus0qv/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=112991917124570452661&rtpof=true&sd=true


Watch the show on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6VNTPfT6FQ

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the PAR Discord: patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor come to you on the heels of the Padres getting swept out of Seattle on a brutal stretch that saw the Dodgers hangover bite them again. And yet -- they are still 4.5 out of a playoff spot with the ability to control their destiny still in their hands. What's next?

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after a home series against the Dodgers in which the Padres lost three of four games. And yet, their NL Wild Card competitors are also floundering. What do we make of the team's recent performance, Bob Melvin's decisions, Matt Carpenter's existence, and more?

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join the conversation in the PHT Discord and get access to exclusive perks! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube and subscribe and comment for a chance to win a Blake Snell autographed ball: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6ScCA4KrO0

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather from across the country to dive into a massive Padres series win in Cleveland. The Padres continue their gauntlet of a road trip across the Eastern time zone as they move to the Beltway to take on the Nats and O's – but how will the team's sporadic offense and two-tiered bullpen hold up? Much to discuss on this week's PHT!

The PHT Annual Annual Member Drive is on! patreon.com/padreshottub

Details: From now until the trade deadline (July 30th at 3pm PT) 

What: Annual members already save 16% (2 months free!) on their memberships. If you upgrade to or renew your PHT membership at the annual level during our membership drive, you get access to a special perk! 
⁃ Upgrade at the $5 level, and you’ll receive 20% off one Waldron Cauldron shirt
⁃ Upgrade at the big or huge level, and you’ll receive a FREE Waldron Cauldron shirt. 

Again, as part of our annual membership drive, patrons must upgrade DURING membership drive to an ANNUAL membership to receive the listed perks.

Raphie Cantor and John Precoda are back -- the results are in, and the Padres chose to buy instead of sell. Raphie and John break down the three trades AJ Preller and Co. made on Deadline Day and what they mean for the Padres in the short and long term.


Watch the show and subscribe on YouTube! https://youtu.be/y2b60T-3nA8

Become a patron to join our Discord and chat with other statheads like you! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather with PHT patrons around the virtual fire to discuss the San Diego Padres (54-55) after a deadline in which they bought and a series in which they were some mental errors away from a 6 game win streak. We discuss the vibes, get some great opposing takes on the deadline from some patrons, and talk about the upcoming series against the LA Dodgers.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to participate in weekly Q&A shows like this one! patreon.com/padreshottub


Subscribe to our YouTube to get all our video content right when it's fresh! youtube.com/@padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather for an extra-long trade deadline recap episode. The first hour or so details the Padres recent hot-cold streak, their woeful extra innings record, and who the Padres brought in on Deadline Day. Then, the team are joined by David Jay (@dmjay on Twitter) from madfriars.com to break down the prospects which the Padres gave up in their dealings. Finally, the trio reconvene to run through the moves by NL opposition and having a bigger picture discussion of the Padres actions during the deadline.

Watch our shows on YouTube! https://youtu.be/1fbx9bCHBJU

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo: patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor are joined by their largest audience of PHT patrons in 2023 immediately after the Padres complete a 3-game sweep of the Texas Rangers, bringing further uncertainty to the trade deadline. Will the Padres buy or sell? Our hosts and patrons have theories!

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join post games shows on our Discord and support PHT!

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor are joined by some fantastic PHT patrons to sulk over the Padres dwindling 2023 prospects, and revel in the potential prospects which could come our way in deals where the Padres sell their rental pieces. Where are you at with the 2023 Padres?

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor dive into the Hot Tub after yet another loss this season to the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday night, July 24th. They tackle a 5-5 road trip and the state of Bob Melvin's tenure in San Diego before diving into the Padres four possible strategies for next week's looming trade deadline.

Watch the show on YouTube! youtube.com/@padreshottub

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our PHT Discord. patreon.com/padreshottub

In episode 17 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John are back from a honeymoon break to revisit AJ Preller's trade deadlines as GM of the Padres -- how did those trades add up at the time with the information we had? How did they pan out? Strap in, because this one is a doozy.


Watch the show on YouTube! https://youtu.be/04qov_dfg9Y


Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek

Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Craig, Chris, and Raphie chat with some PHT patrons on the heels of a series win in Toronto, as the trade deadline looms large and the Padres play a critical series against the Tigers.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join Group Therapy shows like this one!

Craig Elsten and Joe Sheehan open the show by talking through a couple of tweets around Immaculate Grid, discussing different ways to play the game. Then, the guys go through the grid square-by-square for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (Grid #108)! Lastly in today's Stats Rabbit Hole, a look at the players who had the fewest HR in a 100-RBI season.

If you are enjoying the show, please subscribe to Immaculate Talk on its independent podcast feed, available on Apple Podcasts, Google Play, Amazon Music, Spotify, iHeart and wherever you get your podcasts!

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather after a heartbreaking series loss in Philadelphia that pushes the 2023 season towards the brink as the trade deadline approaches. Then, a discussion on whether or not it's "over" and what that even means. Finally, the trio are joined by Dylan from Letters2AJ for a discussion on their fantastic two-part article titled "Clutch Up" and how this year's Padres are the least clutch baseball team ever.

Read Clutch Up Part 1 here - https://letters2aj.substack.com/p/clutch-up-part-1
Read Clutch Up Part 2 here - https://letters2aj.substack.com/p/clutch-up-part-2
Become a patron at patreon.com/padreshottub
Watch the show on Youtube - https://youtu.be/yKJmAztJZZw

Chris Reed and Raphie Cantor (Craig sends his best) are joined by a veritable murderers' row of patrons as PHT breaks down Tirso Ornelas joining the 40-man, the next four series, and more!

Reminder: Our annual annual membership drive is ongoing. Commit to an annual membership before the trade deadline and receive a discounted (or FREE at higher patron levels) Waldron Cauldron shirt. patreon.com/padreshottub

Joe Sheehan and Craig Elsten are back to go through Grid #107 for Immaculate Grid, July 18, 2023. The guys start by revealing one of their "Swiss Army Knife" players, multi-team veterans who can fit into many boxes. Then, they go square-by-square through the grid, wrapping up with a Rabbit Hole segment on Silver Sluggers.

This is the second of three Immaculate Talks to be shared to the Padres Hot Tub feed. We invite you to subscribe to Immaculate Talk on its independent podcast feed, available on Apple Podcasts, Amazon Music, Spotify, iHeart, or wherever you get your shows.

Welcome to Immaculate Talk! Join Joe Sheehan and Craig Elsten, two long-time baseball writers and broadcasters, for a dive every weekday into the latest Immaculate Grid. We'll give you our picks for every square, along with some of the stats and stories that make Immaculate Grid such a fun, daily trip down memory lane! Along the way, we'll share some tips and hacks that might help you score a 9/9 grid tomorrow!

The first three episodes of Immaculate Talk will be shared on the Padres Hot Tub feed, but you can subscribe to the show independently wherever you get your podcasts!

Craig Elsten and Chris Reed are joined by Padres Hot Tub patrons live on their Discord sound stage to talk through an 8-3 win over the Phillies to start the second half, and a critical four-game weekend set. The Padres rode power and four homers to the win, but did Luis Garcia's ninth inning meltdown set up San Diego poorly to clean out the series?

Chris and Craig talk the Best, the Worst, things that were....things that are....and some things that have not yet come to pass.

This is a tough episode for fans of Shohei Ohtani trade fan fiction, Jake Cronenworth, and the pure fun that are knuckeballs.

Craig Elsten and Chris Reed get together with Padres Hot Tob patrons on the Patreon Post Game stage to discuss a 6-2 win over the Mets, a 5-1 homestand, and if the Padres have created enough momentum to set up a second-half run at a playoff spot.

You can become a patron of PHT and join the next Post Game or Group Therapy show live, for as little as $5 a month. Go to patreon.com/padreshottub to learn more!

Chris Reed is joined by MPGA Founder John Gennaro to talk Manny conspiracies, player development and the 6 sided dice that is the trading deadline. Chris puts on Papa Pete's rosey glasses while John bores into you with the eyes of a homicide detective telling you that Dad's not coming home.

In episode 16 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a fine-tooth comb through each of AJ Preller's drafts from 2015-2022. How did he do at the time? How did those players pan out, either for the Padres or other teams? How did they stack up against the Dodgers?

Become a patron to join the PAR Discord channel -- patreon.com/padreshottub


Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3WhclWu7yE


Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek

Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Craig, Chris, and Raphie are joined by former PHT co-host John Gennaro and a bevy of PHT patrons as they discuss the Padres getting swept in Pittsburgh and the prospects on their season growing bleaker by the day.


Become a patron for as low as $5/month to participate in Group Therapy shows like this one!

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor are joined by PHT huge patron Gooch to discuss the absolutely abysmal performance of the Padres in recent days, culminating in an embarrassing series opening loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. This show gets a bit frosty at times, but come commiserate with us as we break down our breakdowns.

Become a patron to join our Discord and get access to awesome perks like co-hosting this show! patreon.com/padreshottub

Subscribe to our youtube! youtube.com/@padreshottub

In episode 15 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John investigate the theory put forth by some Padres fans that the team is on the same trajectory as the 2019 Washington Nationals and 2021 Atlanta Braves -- two eventual World Series champions who had slow starts to their campaigns.

Watch the show on YouTube! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jUOjvFpwsI



Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather on the Monday of All-Star week as the news cycle slows down, which gives the guys a chance to reflect on how the 2024 season has gone. They look at the team overall before diving into each unit of the squad, management, broadcast, and more.

The PHT Annual Annual Member Drive is on! patreon.com/padreshottub

Details: From now until the trade deadline (July 30th at 3pm PT) 

What: Annual members already save 16% (2 months free!) on their memberships. If you upgrade to or renew your PHT membership at the annual level during our membership drive, you get access to a special perk! 
⁃ Upgrade at the $5 level, and you’ll receive 20% off one Waldron Cauldron shirt
⁃ Upgrade at the big or huge level, and you’ll receive a FREE Waldron Cauldron shirt. 

Again, as part of our annual membership drive, patrons must upgrade DURING membership drive to an ANNUAL membership to receive the listed perks.

Craig, Chris, and Raphie take a lunch break with our glorious PHT patrons and chat about the strengths and weaknesses of a Padres season which is truly unlike any we had seen. We have callers from multiple continents who all got something to say about your Padres. It's a big Hot Tub. Hop in!

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to participate in weekly Group Therapy shows like these! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig and Raphie gather with some old and new PHT Patrons on our virtual stage to breakdown a Padres 10-0 rout of the Giants that followed three of the most frustrating Padres losses in recent memory. The Padres are now 5 GB out of the WC with some "easy" series on the lines. What to make of this team?

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to participate in post game shows like this one! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor are live and unwilling witnesses to a brutal Padres loss in San Francisco in which the remnants of the bullpen blew what was once a 4-0 lead as the Padres dropped the opener to the surging Giants. And yet -- the team just smashed its home sellout record and is playing compelling baseball for seemingly the first time all year. They just won a series against the best team in baseball in the Rays. Has a corner been turned?

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Padres Hot Tub discord, support the show, and get access to other awesome perks.

Subscribe to the show on YouTube to get all our video content!

In episode 14 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John break down the Padres bullpen -- a group that's had an elite first half of 2023, but not in the way you think.

Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/CD_3BMmPIqw

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Craig and Raphie (plus a late appearance from Chris) chat with some eager PHT Patrons during the Friday lunch hour about a series win (and disappointing near-sweep) against the Cleveland Guardians before the Padres welcome baseball's best team, the Tampa Bay Rays, for a weekend series in San Diego.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to participate in weekly group therapy shows like this one!


Subscribe to our YouTube channel and comment on one of the last two PHT episodes there to be entered to win a pair of tickets to the Padres game 6/23 vs. the Nationals. Winner will be drawn on Monday night's show.

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor gather to talk about a big weekend in baseball in which the Padres won a series in Denver but fall short of a sweep in sloppy fashion. They chat about the target W-L record, Bob Melvin's management, and get to some patron questions before ending with a discussion on Kevin Acee's article re: the Padres financial position amidst on-field struggles.

Become a patron for as low as $5/month to get the show early and ad-free, plus more amazing perks! patreon.com/padreshottub

Subscribe to the show on YouTube and comment on today's episode to be entered into a chance to win two tickets to Padres vs. Nationals on 6/23!

In episode 13 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, Raphie and John take a look at lineup and roster construction -- what are the basics and how have the Padres fared in relation to what we know about modern analytics?

Become a patron to support the show and join our PAR Discord for as low as $5/month! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/vrLFkAe9Wlg


Fangraphs Article on Lineup Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/a-lineup-construction-experiment/


Fangraphs Article on Roster Construction: https://community.fangraphs.com/stars-or-depth-what-is-the-best-way-to-build-an-mlb-roster/

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

It's a special edition of Group Therapy as the Padres have been engaging in a baseball version of hot baths on odd days and cold plunges on even days. But they enter the Colorado series on June 9th with an even off day on June 8th, so that's when we had a chat with our wonderful PHT Patrons!

Join our patreon for only $5/mo to participate in group therapy shows like this one!

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor discuss another missed opportunity series against the Cubs before getting into the issues currently plaguing the roster -- Manny and Xander's continued injury-fueled struggles, Tatis's return, the Grisham question in CF, before rounding it all off with a big discussion of AJ Preller's tenure as GM/President of Baseball Ops fueled by a Sports Illustrated story referencing this Twitter thread.

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to get access to amazing perks including our Discord!


Subscribe to our YouTube channel and comment on today's show to be entered into a ticket giveaway for 2 tickets to Padres vs Nats on 6/23.

In episode 12 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, the State of the Union is strong -- for Padres pitching at least. Raphie and John dive into where things stand now, what the rotation and 'pen might look like in years-to-come, before finishing with a discussion of Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla (and how we will one day interview him).

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord! patreon.com/padreshottub

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/nzkC9oMLyJg

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda

Craig, Chris, and Raphie gather with a group of PHT patrons after the Padres dropped four straight games at home to the Dbacks and Mariners. As of recording, the Padres had slid out of a playoff position. We hear from bloomers, doomers, and everything in between.

Want to join group therapy shows like these? Become a patron! patreon.com/padreshottub

Craig Elsten and Chris Reed chat get together on our PHT Patron Discord to chat about a winning East Coast road trip that ended with a bang as the Padres finally hit with runners in scoring position to rout the Miami Marlins 10-1. What do we make of this series? Is Gary Sanchez a viable way to fill our catching void?

Become a patron for as low as $5/month to join post-game and group therapy shows like this one!

Subscribe on our YouTube to get more PHT in video form!

Produced by Raphie Cantor

Craig Elsten, Chris Reed, and Raphie Cantor talk about a potentially defining East Coast road trip for the Padres as they hit the Memorial Day mark five games under .500. Plus, Gary Sanchez is a Padre, the pitching is great, and how do we fix the lineup?

Become a patron for as low as $5/month to get the show early, ad-free, and with additional podcasts!

Subscribe to our YouTube to watch the show and help others find us!

Episode 11 of Pads Above Replacement, a stathead series from the Padres Hot Tub Podcast Network, reviews the Padres in May -- an experiment in extremes with league-best pitching and defense -- and league-worst offense.

Watch the show on YouTube for visuals to all the data! https://youtu.be/RcS2lPMjuXE

Become a patron for as low as $5/mo to join our Pads Above Replacement Discord channel! patreon.com/padreshottub

Intro song: "Destination" by Anitek
Hosted by Raphie Cantor and John Precoda