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Explore every episode of the podcast Morning Coffee and Ag Markets

Dive into the complete episode list for Morning Coffee and Ag Markets. Each episode is cataloged with detailed descriptions, making it easy to find and explore specific topics. Keep track of all episodes from your favorite podcast and never miss a moment of insightful content.

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TitlePub. DateDuration
Episode 58 - Tracking Chapter 12 Bankruptcies in the South: 2015 – 2025 Trends25 Aug 202500:25:13

Hunter Biram is joined by Ryan Loy to explore Chapter 12 bankruptcy trends across the U.S. and in Arkansas. They discuss what rising filings reveal about farm financial stress, how margins are tightening due to rising costs, and why this matters for producers and rural communities.

Episode 57 - USDA’s August Crop Forecasts Point to Record Corn and Soybean Yields18 Aug 202500:26:40

Hunter Biram and Scott Stiles break down USDA’s Aug. 12 forecasts. Corn is on track for record yields and production, rebuilding U.S. supplies. Soybeans pair record yield potential with fewer harvested acres, keeping new-crop supplies relatively tight. Long-grain rice sees higher beginning stocks and a modest production bump largely offset by stronger demand. Cotton acreage is reduced; even with better yields, production declines and ending stocks tighten. Grains look well supplied, while soybeans, rice, and cotton trend tighter amid lingering demand uncertainty.

Episode 56 - July 2025 Short-term Interest Rate Update11 Aug 202500:20:00

Dr. Ryan Loy unpacks the Fed’s decision to hold interest rates steady for the fifth straight meeting and what it means for farm borrowing costs. We also break down rising inflation pressures, the looming August 7 tariff deadline, and how trade tensions could impact input prices and export markets. Tune in for practical insights on navigating agriculture’s financial challenges in today’s uncertain economy. 

Episode 55 - Do Daily Large Export Sales Reports Move Markets? 04 Aug 202500:25:52

In this episode, Eunchun Park and Ryan Loy explore whether USDA’s Daily Large Export Sales Reports (DLESR) influence commodity futures markets. Unlike regularly scheduled USDA reports like WASDE, DLESRs are unscheduled and announce significant export transactions—making them potentially impactful market events. Park discusses findings from intraday futures data showing how markets may react to these unexpected announcements, especially given the unique two-day lag between a sale and its public release. The episode also contrasts DLESRs with weekly export reports, which tend to have little market impact due to their predictability and delayed information. Tune in for a deeper dive into how timing and surprise affect market movements and price discovery.

Episode 54 - Prevented Planting: Coverage Levels, Payments, and Rules28 Jul 202500:24:24

 In this episode, Dr. Hunter Biram and Dr. Ryan Loy explore Prevented Planting coverage—the indemnity within Yield and Revenue Protection policies that compensate producers when extreme events, like April’s floods, prevent planting. They explain RMA’s crop-specific base coverage factors (plus an optional 5% buy-up), walk through cost breakdowns and payment calculations, and outline rules for second-crop planting and APH yield adjustments. Join us next week for part two, where we’ll examine historical PP loss trends across Arkansas. 

Episode 53 - July WASDE: Heavy Stocks Keep Pressure on 2025 Price Outlook21 Jul 202500:21:13

In this episode, Scott Stiles and Hunter Biram unpack USDA’s July WASDE, which largely met expectations as favorable weather and robust yields continue to underpin ample supplies. Soybean acreage cuts trimmed production slightly, but stronger crush demand held stocks steady and nudged forecast prices lower; long-grain rice saw acreage-driven production cuts offset by demand revisions that lifted ending stocks; corn stocks eased on old-crop export gains and residual adjustments; and cotton output rose on expanded acreage despite a modest yield dip. Overall, heavy stocks across the board keep downward pressure on price outlooks as we look ahead to the August 12 report. 

Episode 52 - Stronger farm safety net included in the OBBB Act, “Skinny” Farm Bill, and SDRP disaster payments14 Jul 202500:24:36

In this episode, Hunter Biram and Will Maples break down recent federal policy updates affecting U.S. agriculture. The newly passed “One, Big, Beautiful Bill Act” (OBBBA) strengthens the farm safety net with major changes to PLC, ARC, and crop insurance—including higher reference prices, expanded SCO eligibility, and increased premium subsidies. They also discuss the “Skinny” Farm Bill’s potential follow-up measures and USDA’s rollout of SDRP disaster payments for producers impacted by 2023–24 natural disasters. 

Episode 51 - USDA's June 30 Acreage Report a Non-Event for Corn and Soybeans07 Jul 202500:20:47

In this episode, Hunter Biram and Scott Stiles recap one of the quietest June 30 USDA reports in recent memory. With little market reaction, they dig into what the numbers mean for corn, soybeans, cotton, and rice heading into the July WASDE. Corn and soybean acres came in slightly under expectations, while cotton saw a surprise jump and rice acres declined more than forecast. The team breaks down how these shifts may influence production, stocks, and pricing in the months ahead—and why weather will play a critical role in shaping markets through mid-summer. 

Episode 50 - Chapter 12 Bankruptcies in Arkansas and the U.S.: Trends and Implications for the Farm Economy30 Jun 202500:22:53

In this episode, Ryan Loy and Scott Stiles break down the rise in Chapter 12 farm bankruptcies and why Arkansas now accounts for over a quarter of filings in the 8th Circuit. They explore what this trend reveals about farm financial stress, how rising input costs and stubbornly low margins are squeezing operations, and why the disparity between prices received and prices paid continues to threaten farm solvency. From national policy shifts to local realities, tune in to understand the economic warning signs facing family farms across the South. 

Episode 49 - Farm Commodity Prices Unlikely to Recover to Breakeven Point for Arkansas Farms in 202523 Jun 202500:28:06

Prices are down, breakevens are up — and Arkansas producers are stuck in the middle. In this episode, Dr. Hunter Biram and Dr. Ryan Loy walk through the latest crop market trends and how the updated Arkansas Profit/Loss Tool can help producers make sense of where they stand. With the June WASDE confirming price pressure for corn, cotton, rice, and soybeans, the duo explores how to use the tool to evaluate your own breakeven points, marketing windows, and risk. Whether you own, rent, or crop share, this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets gives you the data and decision support to take control of your 2025 bottom line.

Episode 48 - June WASDE Delivers Sharp Reduction in U.S. Rice and Cotton Crops16 Jun 202500:30:59

In this episode, Scott Stiles and Dr. Hunter Biram unpack the June WASDE report and its big surprises for U.S. rice and cotton production. The duo also dives into the latest Senate proposal on farm safety net reform, including a 15% increase to PLC reference prices, expanded ARC-CO guarantees, higher crop insurance subsidies, and extended benefits for beginning farmers. Grab your coffee for a data-packed discussion on shifting ag markets and evolving safety net policy. 

Episode 47 - Global Market Prospects for U.S. Long-grain Rice for the Upcoming Market Year09 Jun 202500:24:00

Dr. Hunter Biram and Dr. Ryan Loy sit down with Dr. Alvaro Durand-Morat to discuss the outlook for U.S. long-grain rice in the 2025/26 marketing year. They cover the latest global supply and demand dynamics, including record global rice production and rising use in key markets. The discussion highlights USDA’s projection for lower U.S. rice exports and competition from South American suppliers, as well as trends in rice prices and trade policy developments. Grab your coffee and join us for an in-depth update on the global rice market and what it means for U.S. producers. 

Episode 46 Analyzing the upside and downside risk in PRF policy selection: Timing mismatch02 Jun 202500:26:55

In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Hunter is joined by Walker Davis, a graduate student at the University of Arkansas, for an insightful discussion on the complexities of Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage (PRF) insurance policy selection. Together, they dive into Walker’s ongoing research titled “Analyzing the Upside and Downside Risk in PRF Policy Selection: Timing Mismatch.”

Tune in as they break down how timing mismatches between rainfall indices and forage production can significantly impact risk exposure and policy effectiveness. Whether you're a producer, policymaker, or student of agricultural economics, this conversation offers valuable perspectives on navigating PRF decisions in a changing climate and market landscape.

Grab your coffee and join us for a timely and thought-provoking conversation!

Episode 45 Arkansas net farm income sees 22% Increase driven by federal economic and weather-related disaster assistance29 May 202500:16:25

Pour yourself a fresh cup and join Riley, Hunter, and Ryan at the table for this special episode of Morning Coffee and AG Markets. Today, the trio dives into the surprising 22% increase in Arkansas' net farm income — a jump largely driven by federal economic support and weather-related disaster assistance. They unpack what’s behind the numbers, how one-time payments are masking deeper volatility in the ag sector, and what this means for producers heading into the next crop year. With their signature blend of insight, straight talk, and a touch of humor, the crew brings clarity to the policies and pressures shaping rural economies today. From the sectors that saw the biggest gains to the long-term sustainability of this income spike, this episode delivers timely analysis on what matters most to ag producers. Your morning coffee never tasted so informative.

Episode 44 - USDA’s May WASDE Report Provides Initial Outlook for 2025 Crop Prices19 May 202500:29:30

Dr. Hunter Biram sits down with Scott Stiles, Extension Program Associate in Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness, to discuss key takeaways from the May 2025 USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE). The duo notes that the May USDA WASDE report provides the first look at prices for the 2025/2026 crop year and that continued downward pressure on prices might trigger farm programs for some crops.

Episode 43 - Federal Open Market Committee Update and Breakeven Curves Under Different Land Rental Agreements13 May 202500:22:22

In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Dr. Hunter Biram visits with Dr. Ryan Loy about the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on May 6-7, 2025 and implications for short and long-term interest rates. Dr. Loy also discusses the differences in breakeven yields and prices for corn, soybean, and rice farmers under full ownership of agricultural land, cash rent, and a 75-25 crop share rental agreement.

Episode 42 - How can Crop Marketing and Crop Insurance go together?05 May 202500:25:40

 Join Riley for a fresh brew of ag insights on this weeks episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets. As he's joined by Dr. Hunter Biram and special guest Dr. Andrew McKenzie to unpack the critical intersection of forward contracting and crop insurance in today’s volatile ag markets. Drawing from recent findings, the discussion explores how combining forward contracts with Revenue Protection (RP) crop insurance can stabilize farm revenue, even when yield shortfalls trigger non-delivery penalties. Learn how strategic risk layering helps producers confidently market their grain while safeguarding against both market and production risks. Don’t miss this practical, research-backed conversation on managing uncertainty in agriculture. 

Episode 41 - Arkansas Row Crop Update and Fertilizer Market Outlook28 Apr 202500:12:27

In today’s episode of Morning Coffee and AG Markets, Riley covers the latest on Arkansas’ row crop planting progress after heavy early April rains. The USDA report shows planting is slightly behind last year, but recent dry weather helped farmers regain ground.

Riley also breaks down fertilizer market trends, with notable price jumps in urea, UAN, DAP, and potash, and explains the difference between wholesale and retail price movements. Plus, a look at crude oil prices near four-year lows and what cheaper fuel could mean for planting season.

Grab your coffee and tune in for a quick snapshot of the AG markets as the 2025 season picks up.

Episode 40 - Preliminary Analysis Suggests Historic Flooding Results in $79 Million in Crop-Related Damages21 Apr 202500:21:36

This morning on Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley Smith is joined by Dr. Hunter Biram, Extension Agricultural Economist at the University of Arkansas, to discuss the preliminary findings of a new report estimating nearly $79 million in crop-related damages from the historic April 2025 flooding across 32 Arkansas counties. With over 30% of early planted acres impacted—including corn, rice, soybeans, and wheat—Dr. Biram breaks down the economic toll using field-level reports, crop budgets, and insurance data, highlighting the major losses from replant costs, sunk input expenses, and lost production value. Tune in for a timely conversation on how this generational flood event could shape the rest of the 2025 growing season.

Episode 39 - The Southern Risk Management Education Center (SRMEC) and its Role in Agricultural Risk Management with Dr. Ron Rainey14 Apr 202500:31:51

This morning, we’re shining a light on the Southern Risk Management Education Center (SRMEC), led by Dr. Ron Rainey at the University of Arkansas. SRMEC is helping farmers across the Southeast tackle the everyday uncertainties in ag—from weather to markets—through risk education, crop insurance navigation, and financial planning tools. Whether you're just starting out or have decades in the field, SRMEC’s programs, including the Crop Insurance Navigator, are designed to help producers make informed, financially sound decisions for a more secure future.

For more info, visit srmec.uada.edu or call 877-866-1848.

Episode 38 - March 31st Prospective Plantings and Price Implications for Corn and Soybeans07 Apr 202500:25:51

 In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley and Scott dive deep into the USDA's March 31 Prospective Plantings report and its price implications for corn and soybeans. They break down the anticipated 95.3 million acres of corn—4.7 million more than last year—marking the highest U.S. corn acreage since 2013. This surge, however, puts downward pressure on corn prices, especially with a potential record crop in 2025. Meanwhile, soybean acreage is set to decline to its lowest level in five years, potentially tightening supplies and driving prices higher. Tune in as they analyze these trends and explore what they mean for farmers and the broader market. 

Episode 37 - Emergency Commodity Assistance Program (ECAP) Sign-Up is Live31 Mar 202500:14:34

 Join Riley Smith on Morning Coffee and Ag Markets as he brings in Dr. Hunter Biram, Assistant Professor and Extension Agricultural Economist at the University of Arkansas, to discuss the launch of the Emergency Commodity Assistance Program (ECAP) sign-up. Dr. Biram provides key insights into the program, which offers financial relief to farmers impacted by higher input costs and falling commodity prices. With up to $10 billion in direct payments available, farmers can apply online or at their local USDA Farm Service Agency office by the August 15, 2025 deadline. Don’t miss this important update on how Arkansas farmers can receive nearly $300 million in aid through ECAP! 

Episode 36 - Tariff, Trade Wars, and United States Commodities Exports24 Mar 202500:23:39

 Join Riley Smith and Dr. Ryan Loy on this episode of Morning Coffee and AG Markets as they break down the latest on tariffs and the trade war’s impact on U.S. agriculture. With the U.S. administration focusing on tariffs to address national security, economic imbalances, and promote domestic manufacturing, Riley and Dr. Loy explore how these policies are affecting markets, especially agricultural commodities like soybeans and potash. They dive into the shifting trade dynamics, particularly with China, and how U.S. farmers, especially in Arkansas, are navigating the uncertainty. Tune in for expert insights on how tariffs are shaping the future of U.S. agriculture and what it means for farm profitability. 

Episode 35 - Recap of USDA March 2025 Supply/Demand Estimates17 Mar 202500:19:56

 Join Riley Smith for this morning's Morning Coffee and Ag Markets as he is joined by Mr. Scott Stiles as they discuss the March 2025 USDA WASDE report, released on March 11th. This month’s update saw few changes, with no adjustments to U.S. corn, soybean, or cotton stocks. Soybean prices were lowered to $9.95 per bushel, the lowest since 2019, while corn prices remained at $4.35 per bushel. Long-grain rice imports reached a record high, pushing stocks to 35.3 million cwt, while medium-grain stocks were reduced due to higher exports. Riley and Scott also cover the impact of U.S. tariffs and global trade on the agricultural market. 

Episode 34 - Takeaways from the Agricultural Outlook Forum, Tariffs on Agricultural Commodities, and Pre-Harvest Marketing10 Mar 202500:39:21

On this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley is joined by Hunter, Ryan, and Scott Stiles for a polished roundtable discussion on the latest Ag Outlook Forum hosted by the USDA on February 27-28, 2025. The forum brought together agricultural economists and professionals from the government, academia, and private sector, providing valuable insights into national planted acreage projections and market trends. During the conversation, they delve into USDA's projections for grains, oilseeds, and cotton, highlighting the shifts in acreage for wheat, corn, soybeans, and rice, as well as how global trade dynamics and tariffs are influencing southern commodity markets. The discussion also touches on pre-harvest marketing strategies, offering key recommendations for producers to manage price risks as they approach the USDA's June Acreage Report. Don't miss out on this in-depth look at the future of U.S. agriculture. 

Episode 33 - Recent BRICS+ Efforts Amid Global Trade Shifts03 Mar 202500:20:53

On this episode of Morning Coffee & Ag Markets, Riley is joined by Dr. Ryan Loy to explore the growing influence of the BRICS+ coalition on global trade. The BRICS+ nations, now producing a substantial share of the world’s key commodities, are pushing to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar, focusing on "de-dollarization." Riley and Dr. Loy will discuss how this shift could reshape global markets, the challenges BRICS+ faces in uniting diverse economies, and what the future holds for the U.S. dollar's role in international trade. Tune in for insights into these critical developments! 

Episode 32 - Projected Economic Assistance for Arkansas Crops Under the American Relief Act24 Feb 202500:26:03

 Welcome to Morning Coffee & Ag Markets! Today, Riley sits down with Dr. Hunter Biram, to discuss the projected economic assistance for Arkansas crops under the American Relief Act. With $10 billion in relief funds for U.S. crop producers, Arkansas farmers are set to receive a share, with payments based on economic losses per acre. Dr. Biram breaks down the expected payments for key crops like rice, soybeans, and cotton, and how the assistance is helping farmers cover operating costs. Tune in for an insightful look at how these relief funds will impact Arkansas agriculture in 2025. 

Episode 31 - Leveraging Enterprise Budgets to Calculate Breakeven Points17 Feb 202500:37:50

 In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley and Ryan sit down to discuss a key tool for farmers and ranchers: leveraging enterprise budgets to calculate breakeven points. They break down how using Extension Crop Enterprise Budgets for individual farm enterprises can help producers better understand their cost structure and set realistic price goals. By calculating breakeven points, they can make informed decisions on pricing, marketing, and production strategies. This conversation highlights the importance of knowing your numbers in order to stay profitable in an ever-changing agricultural market. Tune in for actionable insights and expert advice on navigating these critical financial aspects of the ag industry! 

Episode 30 - Crop Insurance Decision Maker 2025 Decision Tool10 Feb 202500:23:49

 In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley is joined by Dr. Hunter Biram in the studio, as they dive deep into the usefulness of crop insurance. Dr. Biram provides valuable insights into the complexities of crop insurance and shares an in-depth breakdown of how producers can make informed decisions for the upcoming 2025 season. The episode also highlights Dr. Biram's Crop Insurance Decision Maker Tool, a powerful resource designed to help farmers navigate their crop insurance options with confidence and precision. Tune in for expert analysis and practical advice tailored to today’s ag markets! 

Episode 29 - Serving Arkansas Agriculture Through the Land Grant Mission with Dr. Lanier Nalley03 Feb 202500:28:54

 In this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley Smith sits down with Dr. Nalley, the newly appointed head of the Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness at the University of Arkansas. Dr. Nalley shares his journey from assistant professor to department head and discusses his dedication to bridging research, extension, and teaching to support Arkansas producers. He highlights key challenges for 2025, including avian influenza, thin profit margins for row crop producers, and poor rice milling quality. 

Dr. Nalley also emphasizes the importance of proactive and reactive research, the development of practical tools like crop enterprise budgets and crop insurance resources, and the University’s commitment to addressing real-world issues faced by farmers. This conversation offers valuable insights into the University of Arkansas’ role in supporting the agricultural community through research and extension. 

Episode 28 - Structure of the USDA-FSA Farm Loan Program and 2025 Financial Update27 Jan 202500:32:19

In the latest episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley and Ryan dive into the Federal Reserve’s recent rate cuts and how these monetary policy shifts affect agriculture. With fewer cuts expected in 2025, they discuss the potential pressure on farmers' margins and what that means for on-farm profitability. They also explore the USDA-FSA Farm Loan Program, highlighting low-interest borrowing options for farmers navigating financial uncertainty. Tune in for expert insights into how economic trends and farm management strategies intersect in 2025.

Episode 27 - Highlights of the January 2025 USDA WASDE Report20 Jan 202500:27:39

On this edition of Morning Coffee and AG Markets, Riley is joined by Scott Stile to dive into the January WASDE Report, which revealed significant changes to U.S. crop projections. The USDA’s unexpected reductions in U.S. corn and soybean production have shifted the balance sheets, making the corn market "tighter" than last year and bringing the soybean outlook in line with 2023. Despite lingering export concerns, particularly for soybeans, the negative market perception of both crops has eased. The focus now turns to South American crop sizes and their potential impact on U.S. exports, along with the influence of the new Trump administration’s trade and biofuel policies. Additionally, the rice market saw favorable adjustments, while cotton faced bearish revisions, including a production increase and lowered export expectations. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of these critical market shifts.

Episode 26 - Analyzing Crop Choice Using the Arkansas Crop Profit/Loss Calculator13 Jan 202500:28:57

In the first episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets for 2025, Riley, Hunter, and Ryan sit down to dive deep into the Arkansas Crop Profit/Loss Calculator, a web-based tool designed to help producers make informed crop decisions. The trio explores how this tool enables farmers to assess potential profits and losses by inputting county, crop type, irrigation practices, and rental agreements. They discuss how the calculator uses historical yield data, expected commodity prices, and detailed breakeven analyses to offer actionable insights. Whether you're analyzing operating profits or looking for breakeven points, this episode breaks down how the tool can guide farmers through the complexities of crop choice for the year ahead.

https://hunterbiram.shinyapps.io/ArkansasCropProfitLoss2025/ 

Episode 25 - Year-End Recap and Reflecting on 202430 Dec 202400:33:14

 As 2024 comes to a close, we’re reflecting on the growth and success of Morning Coffee & Ag Markets. This year has been filled with insightful episodes, exciting guest interviews, and, of course, your continued support. We’re thrilled to share the highlights of the year, our podcast stats, and a sneak peek at what’s coming next! 
 From all of us here at Morning Coffee & Ag Markets, we want to wish you and your loved ones a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year! May your holidays be filled with joy, and may 2025 bring prosperity and growth to your farm, your business, and your markets. Thank you for your continued support, and we look forward to bringing you more valuable insights in the new year. 

Episode 24 - Finances, Wealth Management, and the Current Financial State of Agriculture23 Dec 202400:45:09

In today’s episode, Riley and Dr. Ryan Loy are joined by Mr. Levi Price and Mr. Darin Drennan from Arvest Bank for a roundtable discussion on the financial landscape of agriculture. They cover:

  1. Current Financial State of Agriculture: A look at low commodity prices, high input costs, and how interest rate changes are impacting farmers’ finances. The experts also offer advice on maintaining healthy financial ratios.
  2. Debt Financing and Consolidation: Insights into refinancing, consolidating debt to improve liquidity, and the long-term effects of these strategies.
  3. Estate Planning and Wealth Management: Why estate planning is critical for farmers, challenges in passing down the farm, and how debt management ties into broader wealth strategies.
  4. Final Tips: Practical financial advice for farmers facing financial distress.

Tune in for expert advice on managing finances and planning for the future of agriculture.

Special Edition - Farm Bill and Economic Assistance19 Dec 202400:05:25

Dr. Hunter D. Biram provides an update on the state of the Continuing Resolution being considered in Congress as the December 20th deadline and a government shutdown looms. Implications for the magnitude and likelihood of economic disaster assistance payments are discussed.

Episode 23 - December 2024 USDA WASDE Report16 Dec 202400:20:47

 Join Riley and Scott Stiles for the latest edition of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, as they dive into a detailed analysis of the December 2024 WASDE Report. This key update from the U.S. Department of Agriculture provides important insights into global supply and demand projections for major crops, including corn, soybeans, and wheat. Tune in as Riley and Scott break down the numbers, discuss the market trends, and explore the potential impacts on farmers and traders. Whether you're tracking crop forecasts or keeping an eye on global commodity prices, this conversation will give you the crucial market intelligence you need to navigate the agricultural landscape. 

Time Stamp December 2024 USDA Supply / Demand Report

  • 0:38 - WASDE Overview
  • 1:47 - Corn
  • 4:34 - Soybeans
  • 7:53 - Rice
  • 10:55 - Cotton
  • 13:33 - January WASDE and 2025 Crop Budgets
  • 17:54 - Market Report
Episode 22 - Farm Policy Outlook for 202509 Dec 202400:48:53

On this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, the conversation centers around the big questions facing agriculture as we look ahead to 2025. Riley, Hunter, Ryan, and Scott sit down over their coffee to discuss the current economic pressures on farmers, financial conditions, and the uncertain future of farm programs. With markets in flux and the expiration of the 2018 Farm Bill, there’s much to unpack. Join us as we explore the outlook for agriculture and the policy landscape in the year ahead.

  1. Economic State of Play (Scott): Scott highlights the squeeze on farmers due to low prices and high production costs. Global supply chain issues, inflation, and rising input costs are major contributors, and Scott wonders if relief will come in 2025.
  2. Financial Conditions (Ryan): Ryan addresses farm debt and the pressure from high interest rates. He questions whether the Federal Reserve's actions will help ease the financial strain on producers.
  3. Farm Bill Status (Hunter): Hunter points out that the 2018 Farm Bill extension expired in September, leaving critical programs like Dairy Margin Coverage, CRP, and PLC without funding. He predicts an extension of the 2018 bill is likely, but other legislation, such as tax reform, may delay progress.
  4. FSA Programs (Ryan): Ryan notes that programs like EQIP and CSP, authorized by the Inflation Reduction Act, will continue into 2025, but he’s curious about any new initiatives from the Farm Service Agency to support farmers.
  5. FARM Act (Hunter, Scott): The FARM Act, unlike the traditional Farm Bill, focuses on direct payments to farmers based on expected income and production costs. It could provide relief but doesn't replace broader farm policy.

With critical programs at risk and the likelihood of another extension, the group is focused on how Washington will address these challenges moving forward.

Episode 21 - 2025 Crop Enterprise Budgets Review02 Dec 202400:20:19

In today's edition of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley is joined by Breana Watkins to dive into the latest discussions surrounding the 2025 crop enterprise budgets. Breana explains what’s on the horizon for the upcoming farming year, offering insights into key trends, anticipated costs, and market dynamics that farmers are keeping an eye on as they plan for 2025. They’ll also touch on how these factors might shape decision-making in the months ahead. From the UADA cooperative extension service, we hope everyone had an wonderful Thanksgiving. Grab your coffee and join in for an informative and timely conversation on the future of farming.

Episode 20 - Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage Rainfall Index Insurance Deadline is December 1st 25 Nov 202400:44:39

In today’s episode of the Morning Coffee and Ag Markets podcast, Riley and Dr. Biram are joined by special guests Dr. James Mitchell, Professor and Extension Livestock Economist Specialist at the University of Arkansas, and graduate student Walker Davis. First, we provide an overview of PRF Insurance (Pasture, Rangeland, and Forage Insurance), a risk management tool designed to help producers protect against the financial impact of weather-related losses in these critical areas of agriculture. Dr. Mitchell then discusses the weather and market conditions that have shaped the pasture, rangeland, and forage sector from the fall of 2021 to the present day in 2024. The episode concludes with insights from Walker Davis, whose graduate thesis focuses on PFR Insurance and its role in today’s agricultural landscape. Tune in for a deep dive into these important topics and learn how producers are managing risk in the ever-changing ag market.

Episode 19 (Part 2) - Just Having Fun!20 Nov 202400:26:00

In this lighthearted episode, we continue the conversation from Part 1 with our special guest, John McMinn from Arkansas Farm Bureau. What started as a roundtable discussion on the latest ag news and markets quickly transforms into a casual coffee shop chat. Riley, Hunter, Ryan, and John take a break from the usual stats and headlines to dive into fun, offbeat topics – the kind of random musings you'd overhear while sipping coffee at your local diner. Whether you're driving to the farm or just looking to unwind, this episode is sure to bring some laughs and easygoing conversation to your day!

Episode 19 - 2024 Arkansas Farm Bureau Federation Annual Convention and Advocacy Efforts with John McMinn18 Nov 202400:36:13

In Episode 19 of Morning Coffee & Ag Markets, Riley hosts a roundtable discussion with Dr. Biram, Dr. Loy, and special guest John McMinn from Arkansas Farm Bureau. The panel dives into the exciting details surrounding the 90th Annual Arkansas Farm Bureau Convention, set for December 4-6 at the Hot Springs Convention Center.

John shares what attendees can expect from the convention, including keynote speakers like ARFB President Dan Wright and actor Dwier Brown, best known for his role as John Kinsella in Field of Dreams. The event will feature workshops on topics such as the farm bill, drone regulations, sustainability in row crops, livestock marketing, and financial literacy, offering valuable professional development for farmers and ranchers.

The convention will also host Arkansas’ largest agriculture trade show with over 180 vendors, plus a farmers market with local products. The panel discusses the convention’s business session, where delegates will set ARFB policy positions, elect leadership, and address key agricultural issues.

John highlights the Arkansas Farm Bureau’s vital role in advocacy and insurance, emphasizing the organization’s grassroots roots, which date back to 1919. The Farm Bureau advocates on behalf of farmers at both the state and national levels, focusing on regulatory affairs, the agricultural economy, and infrastructure.

Additionally, John introduces the Arkansas Ag Cast podcast, which covers timely topics such as the farm bill, commodity markets, and agricultural policy issues like the H-2A migrant labor program and current interest rates.

This episode is a must-listen for anyone in Arkansas agriculture or those interested in the future of farming and ranching in the state. Tune in for an engaging roundtable discussion on the trends and challenges shaping the industry!

Link to Arkansas AgCast:
Apple Music: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/arkansas-agcast/id1213442556
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2t1gG9oKqUHgMZlb9ZiikQ?si=e000b89c4f4544ec 

Episode 18 - Seeking Participants for a Rice Crop Insurance Participation Study!11 Nov 202400:19:26

In today’s episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets, Riley is joined by Dr. Ryan Loy, who is seeking participants for a new study focused on rice crop insurance. This research aims to better understand the challenges and needs of rice producers when it comes to crop insurance options. Dr. Loy shares details on how farmers can get involved and contribute to important insights that could shape future crop insurance policies. If you're a rice farmer or know someone who is, this is an important opportunity to have your voice heard and help improve the support available to the industry. Tune in for all the details!




Episode 17 - Can yield upside risk eclipse price downside risk protection in ECO crop insurance?04 Nov 202400:28:09

Join Riley and Hunter this week for a lively Morning Coffee and Ag Markets session. This week, they tackle a pressing question: Can yield upside risk eclipse price downside risk protection in ECO crop insurance?

With a blend of industry insights and market analysis, they'll explore how current trends in crop yields and prices impact the effectiveness of ECO crop insurance. Hunter brings his expertise in market fluctuations, while Riley offers a farmer's perspective, making for a balanced discussion. Grab your coffee and tune in to discover how these dynamics play out in today’s ag landscape!

Episode 16 - Arkansas Net Farm Income to Decline for Second Straight Year28 Oct 202400:20:39

In this episode of Morning Coffee & Ag Markets, host Riley Smith welcomes Dr. Hunter Biram for a deep dive into the latest updates on Arkansas net farm income, which is projected to decline for the second straight year. They discuss the key factors driving this decline, including market conditions, input costs, and weather challenges. Dr. Biram shares insights from the updated Net Farm Income report, analyzing its implications for farmers and the broader agricultural sector. Join them for an engaging conversation that blends expert analysis with practical advice, helping listeners navigate the evolving landscape of Arkansas agriculture over a warm cup of coffee.




Episode 15 - USDA’s October WASDE Yields Few Changes, Stable Price Outlook21 Oct 202400:25:50

Join your host Riley Smith in this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets as he welcomes Scott Stiles for an insightful discussion on the latest developments in the agricultural sector. Fresh off the press, Scott brings an in-depth update on the WASDE report released on October 11th. Tune in as he breaks down the newest updates across all commodities, providing key insights and expert analysis to help you navigate the ever-changing ag markets. Grab your coffee and get ready for an informative start to your day!




Episode 14 - Views from the 2024 Southern Outlook Conference: Looking at Risk Management for 202515 Oct 202400:29:50

Join Hunter and Ryan in this insightful episode of Morning Coffee and AG Markets as they attend the Southern Extension Outlook Meeting, featuring special guests Dr. Grant Gardner from the University of Kentucky and Dr. Will Maples from Mississippi State University.

Dr. Gardner provides an in-depth update on the 2025 winter wheat market, while Dr. Maples shares his expertise on the 2025 soybean market outlook. Together, they explore crucial aspects of crop marketing decisions, including strategies for cutting losses—such as selling at harvest cash price—considerations for storage with operating loans, and managing cash flow through hypothetical scenarios.

Grab a cup of coffee and tune in for expert analysis and practical advice to navigate the ever-evolving agricultural market landscape!

Episode 13 - Port Strikes: How it affects Cotton Producers in Arkansas07 Oct 202400:16:59

In today’s episode of the Morning Coffee & Ag Markets Podcast, Riley is joined by Mr. Scott Stiles via Zoom for our very first remote podcast! Tune in as Scott dives deep into the port strikes on the Gulf and East Coast. He discusses how these disruptions are impacting cotton producers in Arkansas and the broader implications for the global market.

Join us for this insightful conversation as Scott breaks down the challenges faced by producers and explores the ripple effects on supply chains and commodity prices. Whether you’re directly involved in agriculture or simply curious about market dynamics, this episode offers valuable perspectives you won’t want to miss!

Episode 12 - Oklahoma State University: Wildlife Food Plot Budgeting Tool30 Sep 202400:21:52

Join Riley and Ryan in this insightful episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets as they dive into the OSU Wildlife Food Plot Budgeting Tool. They’ll explore how this innovative tool can transform your land management strategies and enhance your hunting opportunities.

Discover the economic impact of well-planned food plots, from improving wildlife habitats to maximizing the return on your agricultural investments. Riley and Ryan will break down budgeting tips, best practices, and real-world applications that can help you make informed decisions for your land.

Grab your coffee and tune in for a discussion that blends agricultural economics with practical insights for landowners and hunters alike!

Links to user guide and budgeting tool below!!!

https://extension.okstate.edu/fact-sheets/a-practical-guide-to-food-plots-in-the-southern-great-plains.html
https://apps.dasnr.okstate.edu/SSSL/54/80/storage/files/ag-economics/9729-Spreadsheet-20735-1-6-20240219.xlsm/at_download/file

Episode 11 - Rate Shift: The Fed's Bold 50 Basis Point Cut23 Sep 202400:21:52

Join Riley and Ryan on this episode of Morning Coffee and Ag Markets for your go-to source on the latest in agricultural markets and financial trends. In this episode, we dive into the recent updates on federal fund rates, exploring the implications of the Fed's bold 50 basis point cut. Discover how this significant rate shift impacts not just the economy, but also the agricultural sector. We'll break down the potential effects on commodity prices, lending rates, and overall market dynamics, all while enjoying our morning brew. Tune in for insightful analysis, expert opinions, and actionable takeaways to navigate these changing financial waters!



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