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| Title | Pub. Date | Duration | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walmart cautious, futures lower, Iran tensions rise | 19 Feb 2026 | 00:25:17 | |
Futures point lower as investors weigh cautious guidance from Walmart and rising geopolitical risk tied to Iran. Dow futures fall about 166 points, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also in the red. Markets are watching consumer data and oil prices for the next signal.
Walmart modestly beat Q4 expectations, with revenue up 5.6% to $190.7B. But management guided fiscal 2027 net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5%, citing an unstable macro backdrop and softer sentiment. The retailer now reports as a trillion-dollar company and faces new comparisons with Amazon, whose annual sales have surpassed Walmart’s.
Strategists call this a “weird market,” with money rotating out of tech into smaller sectors like energy and staples. Tech valuations have reset, but earnings growth remains strongest there. Oil near $60 limits consumer pressure for now, even as tensions with Iran lift uncertainty.
Trending Tickers: Deere lifts profit outlook on farm recovery; Occidental Petroleum beats on sales and capital expenditures; Etsy jumps after selling Depop to eBay for $1.2B.
Takeaways:
Futures fall on cautious guidance and Iran headlines
Walmart guides conservatively despite Q4 beat
Amazon sales now exceed Walmart annually
Sector rotation drives dispersion across the market
Oil remains contained, limiting inflation risk
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| US lags global surge, valuation gap widens, Japan energy deal advances | 18 Feb 2026 | 00:25:17 | |
Stocks are rebounding after another AI-driven sell-off, with housing starts and durable goods topping estimates despite December declines. Still, US equities are off to their worst relative start since 1995, as investors await the GDP report and reassess positioning.
The S&P 500’s premium has widened to roughly 40% over global peers, prompting debate over allocations. International markets are up about 8% year to date, while the US is flat, driven mainly by multiple expansion rather than earnings.
Japan will deploy $36B into US energy and critical minerals, part of a broader $550B framework, backing a major Ohio gas project tied to data center demand.
Trending: Moderna jumps on FDA reversal of flu review; New York Times gains after Berkshire stake; Palo Alto Networks falls on lowered profit outlook.
Takeaways:
US underperforms global markets on valuation gap
International gains driven by multiples, not earnings
Japan invests $36B into US energy build-out
AI volatility pressures software and cybersecurity
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| Tech sell-off deepens, AI disruption debate, IPO window tested | 17 Feb 2026 | 00:24:53 | |
Futures are lower after the holiday break, with Nasdaq 100 futures off about 0.7% as investors digest last week’s worst stretch since November. The AI transition remains the central driver, with traders watching earnings commentary and capital expenditures discipline for clarity.
Software stocks have reset sharply, with Microsoft (MSFT), Oracle (ORCL), and Palantir (PLTR) pulling back from elevated multiples. Investors are recalibrating around return on AI spend and which companies can embed AI into core revenue streams rather than chase hype.
Banking executives argue that AI will enhance productivity rather than replace entire sectors, but questions remain about the speed of disruption and regulatory lag. In IPOs, discipline is returning, with valuations and pricing scrutiny shaping 2026’s expected rebound.
Trending tickers: Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) reopens Paramount talks, Tripadvisor (TRIP) faces activist pressure, and Masimo (MASI) surges on a Danaher deal.
Takeaways:
• Nasdaq futures lead declines as AI volatility continues• Software multiples compress amid ROI scrutiny• AI seen as a productivity boost, not a complete replacement• IPO market favors pricing discipline over momentum• M&A and activism drive single-stock moves
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| Retail buys software dip, value leads early, bitcoin hunts catalyst, McDonald's leans on value | 12 Feb 2026 | 00:27:00 | |
US stocks are mixed premarket after a solid jobs report and a stronger earnings season. Investors are weighing resilient growth against fewer Fed rate cuts. Value is outperforming growth early in the year as traders reassess positioning.
Software names like Salesforce (CRM), Workday (WDAY), and ServiceNow (NOW) are sliding, even as some argue the sell-off looks overdone. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NVDA) remains central to the AI trade, with expectations building into earnings.
Consumer staples are rotating higher, but McDonald's (MCD) is leaning on value menus to drive traffic while watching GLP-1 risk. In crypto, Robinhood (HOOD) and bitcoin face a catalyst vacuum amid investor debate over regulation and tokenization.
Trending Tickers: AB InBev (BUD) on steady profit growth; McDonald's (MCD) on value momentum; Nvidia (NVDA) into earnings.
Takeaways:
Retail is buying beaten-down software, institutions stay selective
Value and cyclicals are leading as growth lags
AI leaders remain core despite volatility
McDonald's sees value as a defense against consumer pressure
Bitcoin lacks a clear near-term catalyst
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| Blowout jobs report, rate cut bets pushed to July, AI rotation widens | 11 Feb 2026 | 00:23:03 | |
Stock futures are higher after January payrolls rose 130,000 versus 65,000 expected, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3%. Dow futures are up 250 points as investors digest stronger labor data and push Fed rate cut odds to July. The key question now: does a resilient economy delay easing?
AI remains the market’s action verb. Investors are rotating within tech and services, reassessing middleman risk while favoring companies with strong balance sheets and positive momentum. Speculative names look mispriced after aggressive bids.
M&A and deregulation optimism could fuel a second-half melt-up. Credit markets remain open, and strategists see broader participation beyond last year’s narrow leadership.
Trending tickers: Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) hovers near competing bids from Paramount and Netflix; Kraft Heinz (KHC) drops after pausing its planned split; Moderna (MRNA) slides after the FDA declines to review its flu vaccine filing; Robinhood (HOOD) slips as crypto revenue misses despite broader product expansion.
Takeaways:
Strong jobs data lifts futures, delays rate cut expectations
AI-driven rotation favors quality over speculation
Broader market leadership emerging in 2026
M&A and deregulation seen as second-half catalysts
Earnings and deal headlines driving single-stock volatility
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| Stocks near highs, tech doubt lingers, consumer cracks show | 10 Feb 2026 | 00:25:33 | |
US futures are mixed near record levels as investors weigh soft December retail sales against resilient earnings and rotation away from software. Attention turns to labor and inflation data for clarity on rates and growth.
Rotation is doing the work. Energy and industrials lead as AI demand boosts power and infrastructure, while uncertainty around long-term earnings keeps software volatile. Investors want a clearer terminal value before re-rating AI platforms.
The consumer picture is uneven. Retail sales were flat in December, with broad category weakness, reinforcing a K-shaped split in which higher-income spending holds up while value-seeking intensifies elsewhere.
Trending tickers: Spotify surged on stronger user growth; Paramount fell amid deal uncertainty; Harley‑Davidson slid after a shipment miss.
Takeaways:• Rotation supports the index without a tech surge• Software needs earnings visibility to stabilize• Retail data signals consumer strain• Luxury demand outpaces mass market• Selectivity matters in AI trades
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| Tech rebound fades, data risk looms, AI rotation questioned | 09 Feb 2026 | 00:25:09 | |
US futures are lower after Friday’s rebound, with tech struggling to regain its footing following last week’s sharp software sell-off. Investors are bracing for a rescheduled jobs report on Wednesday and CPI on Friday, both key tests for rate expectations and market direction.
Technically, the S&P 500 bounced off its 100-day moving average but remains stuck below the 7,000 level. A sustained breakout likely depends on software stabilizing after extreme oversold conditions.
Strategists are also pushing back on blind rotation away from AI. The sell-off has been indiscriminate, but balance sheet strength and the speed of monetization matter more than chasing anti-AI trades. Volatility is creating opportunity, but selectivity is critical.
Takeaways:• Futures point to a cautious open• Jobs and CPI data dominate the week• Tech leadership remains unresolved• AI rotation lacks a clear fundamental anchor
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| AI selloff drives tech rotation, Amazon capex stuns, dollar pressure builds | 06 Feb 2026 | 00:26:20 | |
US futures are modestly higher after a bruising week that saw nearly $1T wiped from software as AI disruption fears accelerated rotation. Investors are parsing hyperscaler spending, crypto volatility, and whether macro breadth can offset tech pressure.
Software ETFs posted their worst week since 2008 as concerns spread beyond SaaS to mega caps like Amazon (AMZN), which flagged $200B in 2026 AI capital expenditures even as AWS growth improved. The debate is shifting from growth to ROI as capital intensity rises.
Elsewhere, bitcoin steadied below $70K while the dollar slid roughly 9% over the past year, lifting non-US assets. Markets are watching Fed signals, PMI momentum, and whether rotation sticks.
Trending tickers: Amazon (AMZN) on capital expenditures shock; Strategy (MSTR) tracking bitcoin swings; Reddit (RDDT) jumping on earnings and buyback.
Takeaways:
AI fears are forcing valuation resets across software.
Hyperscaler capital expenditures keep rising, delaying ROI clarity.
Rotation favors energy, staples, and select non-US assets.
Crypto remains volatile, not a reliable hedge right now.
Dollar weakness reflects shifting risk perceptions.
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| Tech capex shock, crypto slides, rotation debate | 05 Feb 2026 | 00:23:09 | |
US futures point lower, led by tech, after Alphabet warned of a sharp ramp in AI spending. Investors are weighing whether massive capital expenditures signal durable growth or margin pressure, with Amazon earnings next as the key test.
Alphabet (GOOGL) plans up to $185B in 2026 capital expenditures, nearly double last year and far above expectations, triggering a sell-off despite accelerating cloud and search growth. The message is demanding strength but near-term cash burn, reviving questions around AI returns. Amazon (AMZN) now carries the baton after the bell.
Risk appetite also cracked elsewhere. Bitcoin fell below $70,000, down 44% from its peak, dragging crypto equities like Strategy (MSTR). Commodities weakened as silver plunged and energy names slipped, with ConocoPhillips (COP) cutting output plans. Estée Lauder (EL) slid on a cautious outlook, testing confidence in its turnaround.
Trending tickers: Strategy (MSTR) as bitcoin breaks support, Estée Lauder (EL) on soft guidance, and ConocoPhillips (COP) amid oil price pressure.
Takeaways:
Alphabet’s AI capital expenditures reset is the day’s main market driver
Amazon results will frame AI spending tolerance
Crypto weakness is pressuring levered proxies
Rotation into cyclicals remains intact but uneven
Tech execution, not vision, decides the next leg
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| Tech-led selloff lingers, AI fears resurface, earnings reset expectations | 04 Feb 2026 | 00:23:50 | |
U.S. stock futures are mixed after a sharp software-driven selloff, as renewed concern over AI disruption weighs on sentiment. Investors are watching big tech earnings after the close and parsing whether the AI trade is recalibrating rather than breaking. Crypto weakness and cautious forward guidance are adding to the defensive tone.
Software stocks slid as fears grew that generative AI could displace enterprise tools, despite pushback from Nvidia leadership. The move reflects valuation sensitivity more than a single catalyst, with investors reassessing near-term monetization timelines across AI-linked names.
Earnings are driving dispersion. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) topped Q4 estimates but guided conservatively, highlighting heavy AI investment costs and limited China visibility. In contrast, Eli Lilly (LLY) surged after projecting up to 27% sales growth on obesity drugs, while Uber (UBER) and Chipotle (CMG) flagged softer near-term trends.
Trending tickers: AMD under pressure on guidance, LLY jumps on blockbuster demand, CMG slides as comps stall.
Takeaways:
AI enthusiasm is colliding with valuation discipline.
Earnings guidance matters more than beats.
Drugmakers are outperforming tech on growth visibility.
Market leadership is broadening beyond mega-cap software.
Volatility likely persists through peak earnings.
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| Commodities whip, AI capex pressure, earnings spotlight | 02 Feb 2026 | 00:24:49 | |
US futures are mixed ahead of the open, with commodities driving volatility. Silver rebounded after a 30% rout on Friday, oil slid over 4% on signals of geopolitical deescalation, and investors are bracing for earnings and AI capital expenditures headlines.
Disney (DIS) beat estimates, powered by parks and cruises, but shares fell as succession plans dominate focus. Oracle (ORCL) plans to allocate up to $50 billion in funding to AI infrastructure, raising dilution concerns but signaling sustained demand from hyperscalers. In tech, Palantir (PLTR) reports after the close as investors debate valuation versus defense-led growth.
Trending tickers: Devon Energy (DVN) on an all-stock deal for Core Energy, Oracle (ORCL) on AI funding plans, crypto-linked names under pressure as bitcoin tests key support.
Takeaways:
Commodity volatility is spilling into broader risk sentiment
Earnings beats are not enough without clear leadership roadmaps
AI spending remains robust, but financing costs matter
Defense exposure is reshaping select tech narratives
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| Earnings deluge, AI capex shock, gold surge | 29 Jan 2026 | 00:24:44 | |
U.S. futures tilt higher as earnings season accelerates, with investor focus squarely on AI spending and rate policy. Dow and S&P futures edge up while Nasdaq lags, and gold trades above $5,500 as geopolitical and fiscal concerns persist. Markets are parsing whether massive tech investment is translating into near-term growth, with the Fed’s next move still data-dependent.
Big Tech spending dominated results. Meta rallied after outlining sharply higher AI capex, reframing its push as an AI reset. Microsoft slipped despite beats, with cloud growth and capacity constraints tempering sentiment. Tesla lifted long-term stakes, betting on FSD and Optimus as it pivots away from legacy models.
Macro chatter centered on infrastructure. Investors are rotating toward power, chips, and materials that enable AI buildouts, as electricity costs climb and domestic chip supply gains urgency.
Trending tickers: Meta (META) strength on AI spend credibility, Microsoft (MSFT) pressured by cloud expectations, Tesla (TSLA) volatile on robotaxi and humanoid ambitions.
Takeaways:
Earnings hinge on AI spend translating to growth
Markets reward clarity over raw capex size
Infrastructure plays gain favor over hyperscalers
Fed path still tied to jobs data
Gold reflects persistent macro anxiety
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| Earnings momentum, tariff noise fades, Fed focus sharpens | 27 Jan 2026 | 00:22:08 | |
US futures are mixed heading into the open, with Nasdaq leading as investors weigh earnings strength against policy uncertainty. Corporate results are driving sentiment as markets look past tariff headlines and toward Big Tech and the Fed.
Earnings season remains the anchor. General Motors boosted profit outlook and authorized $6 billion in buybacks, while Boeing posted another quarter of positive cash flow but failed to excite investors. Health insurers slid as Washington signaled flat Medicare Advantage payments next year.
Macro risks persist but markets are adapting. A new EU–India trade deal underscores shifting global alliances, while investors brace for a no-cut Fed decision and guidance on rates, labor, and AI-driven productivity.
Trending tickers include UnitedHealth and peers under Medicare pressure, Pinterest amid layoffs tied to AI restructuring, and Corning after a $6 billion Meta fiber deal.
Takeaways:
Earnings, not tariffs, are setting market direction
Buybacks and cash flow support cyclicals
Big Tech results will drive dispersion
Fed tone matters more than the decision
Policy noise is losing market impact
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| Intel outlook rattles markets, AI trade cools, TikTok deal resolved | 23 Jan 2026 | 00:26:58 | |
U.S. futures point lower after Intel’s weak outlook reignited tech volatility, pushing stocks toward back-to-back weekly losses. Investors are watching earnings follow-through, AI demand signals, and rate expectations as gold rallies on defensive positioning.
Intel (INTC) shares are plunging after the chipmaker flagged near-term supply constraints and issued soft guidance, overshadowing an earnings beat. The miss refocused scrutiny on its foundry strategy and the timing of securing major external customers.
The broader AI trade is entering a consolidation phase. Infrastructure spending remains intact, but richly valued chip and software names are facing pressure as capital rotates toward power, data centers, and cooling plays.
Trending tickers include Nvidia (NVDA) on renewed China export headlines, Capital One (COF) after its $5.1B Brex deal, and airlines pressured by weather-driven cancellations.
Takeaways:
Intel guidance, not demand, is driving tech weakness
Foundry execution remains the key Intel debate
AI infrastructure outperforms amid valuation resets
Gold strength signals rising risk aversion
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| Stocks steady, AI leadership returns, volatility fades | 22 Jan 2026 | 00:23:10 | |
U.S. stock futures are higher for a second session as markets stabilize and attention shifts back to earnings and AI. Nasdaq futures lead, while investors await the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge later this morning and the market digests a calmer geopolitical backdrop. Risk appetite is improving, but today’s data and guidance will determine whether the rebound holds.
Volatility has retraced quickly, with hedging demand easing and bond yields backing off recent highs. Small- and mid-cap stocks continue to outperform, signaling broader participation beyond mega-cap tech. Strategists argue fundamentals remain supportive, with earnings momentum intact and financial conditions no longer tightening aggressively.
AI remains the central pillar for sentiment. Investors are leaning back into large-cap technology as capital spending and productivity expectations stay elevated. The rotation theme is also in play, with banks and select consumer names drawing interest as investors position for a widening earnings base tied to AI adoption rather than pure infrastructure spend.
Trending movers reflect this crosscurrent. GE Aerospace beat estimates but eased on slower 2026 growth expectations. Abbott Laboratories slid on weaker nutrition sales and soft guidance. Mobileye fell after cautious revenue outlook tied to automaker demand.
Takeaways:
Markets are calmer, with futures pointing higher.
Volatility has faded as yields stabilize.
AI leadership is reasserting itself.
Breadth is improving beyond mega-cap tech.
Guidance, not headlines, is driving moves.
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| Tariff threats shake markets, rates back in focus, earnings test sentiment | 20 Jan 2026 | 00:24:02 | |
U.S. equity futures point sharply lower, with Dow futures off more than 700 points, as renewed tariff threats tied to Europe rattle risk appetite. The immediate driver is escalating trade rhetoric, while investors look ahead to earnings and watch rates for confirmation this is more than a headline-driven pullback.
Trade tensions returned to center stage after President Trump floated 10% tariffs on European nations, rising to 25% later this year, with France facing the risk of a 200% levy on wine. The S&P 500 is on track to erase year-to-date gains, while gold and silver pushed to fresh highs as investors rotated into perceived safety. The message from markets is clear: tariffs still move prices even if outcomes remain uncertain.
Rates remain the bigger swing factor. Strategists argue equities can absorb trade noise if inflation expectations stay anchored and the 10-year Treasury holds below 4.5%. A sustained backup in yields would pressure valuations quickly, making upcoming macro data and Fed signaling critical.
Earnings add a second layer of risk. 3M beat on results but offered a softer outlook, sending shares lower premarket. After the close, Netflix reports amid scrutiny of subscriber growth and margins following its revised all-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery.
Takeaways:
Tariff escalation is driving the current risk-off move.
Safe havens are rallying as equities slide.
Rates, not rhetoric, remain the ultimate market arbiter.
Earnings reactions show little tolerance for weak outlooks.
Volatility stays elevated into key data and results.
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| Tech-led rebound, earnings optimism, AI power strain, fintech pressure on banks | 16 Jan 2026 | 00:24:02 | |
U.S. equity futures point higher, led by Nasdaq strength, as investors lean back into technology ahead of a busy earnings stretch. Semiconductor stocks are driving early momentum after fresh trade developments, while markets weigh policy risk from Washington and the durability of a long-awaited market broadening.
Tech leadership is reasserting itself as a new U.S.–Taiwan trade agreement underpins domestic semiconductor investment. Taiwanese chipmakers plan at least $250 billion in U.S. capacity, easing tariff pressure and reinforcing the strategic importance of AI infrastructure. At the same time, rising electricity demand from AI data centers is prompting White House discussions around emergency power auctions, underscoring how physical constraints are becoming a market variable.
Earnings season is adding confidence. With just over 5% of companies reporting, results have skewed decisively positive, supporting rotation into cyclicals and smaller caps. Materials, industrials, and energy are outperforming year to date, while the Russell 2000’s move to new highs suggests broader participation beyond mega-cap tech.
In individual names, PNC Financial Services jumped on stronger loan growth, BYD rallied on reported battery talks with Ford, and ImmunityBio extended a sharp 2026 surge. Meanwhile, Klarna is positioning for a potential shakeup in consumer credit as scrutiny on card rates intensifies.
Takeaways:
Tech is reclaiming leadership as earnings optimism builds.
Semiconductor policy and AI infrastructure costs are key market drivers.
Sector rotation and small-cap strength point to broader market participation.
Earnings beats are outweighing valuation concerns so far.
Fintech pressure on traditional banking remains a longer-term theme.
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| AI earnings reset risk appetite, banks fade on valuation, oil slides on geopolitics | 15 Jan 2026 | 00:23:58 | |
U.S. equity futures point higher after two straight losses, with tech leading the rebound. Sentiment is driven by strong AI-linked earnings and easing geopolitical pressure as crude oil falls more than 4%. Investors are watching earnings follow-through and whether tech leadership can reassert itself.
AI confidence got a boost after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company posted another quarter of record results and guided to higher-than-expected capital spending. The outlook reinforces that hyperscaler demand remains intact, lifting chip equipment and semiconductor names and stabilizing a trade that has driven index gains.
Financials delivered solid numbers but uneven stock reactions. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley beat expectations on trading and investment banking strength, yet shares slipped as both trade near record highs. The takeaway is valuation sensitivity rather than fundamental weakness.
In asset management, BlackRock hit a new milestone with assets under management topping $14 trillion, underscoring steady inflows despite market volatility.
Takeaways:
Tech is regaining leadership on AI earnings momentum.
TSMC capex guidance supports the durability of the AI cycle.
Bank earnings are strong, but valuations cap near-term upside.
Oil’s pullback is easing a key macro overhang.
Dispersion favors selective positioning over broad bets.
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| Cooler core CPI, Fed path intact, banks split on earnings | 13 Jan 2026 | 00:44:43 | |
Markets are modestly higher after December CPI showed cooling under the hood, reinforcing expectations for a patient Federal Reserve. Futures are mixed, Treasury yields edged lower, and investors are now balancing inflation data against the first wave of bank earnings and policy noise.
Core CPI rose 0.2% month over month and 2.6% year over year, both softer than expected, while headline inflation held at 2.7%. Shelter remained the largest contributor, rising 0.4%, underscoring why policymakers are not rushing to cut rates. Bond markets took the report as confirmation that disinflation remains intact, keeping the Fed on an easing bias without urgency. Concerns linger around tariffs, fiscal stimulus, and measurement distortions, but upside inflation risks appear contained near term.
Earnings season opened with banks sending mixed signals. JPMorgan Chase beat overall expectations, but investment banking revenue disappointed, while trading benefited from market strength. Executives across Wall Street publicly defended Federal Reserve independence, a rare and notable intervention amid political pressure. Meanwhile, Delta Air Lines topped quarterly estimates but offered conservative guidance, pressuring the stock.
Takeaways:
Core inflation cooled, supporting a steady Fed stance.
Shelter costs remain the key inflation variable.
Bank earnings are uneven beneath headline beats.
Fed independence is back in focus for markets.
Travel demand holds, but growth is normalizing.
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| DOJ's probe of Fed's Powell: What investors need to know | 12 Jan 2026 | 00:22:59 | |
Morning Brief host Julie Hyman and Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre track several of Monday's top trending stock tickers, including Paramount Skydance (PSKY) launching a proxy battle against Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), Meta Platforms (META) hiring former Trump security advisor Dina Powell McCormick as its new president and vice chair, and Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) plummeting on its fourth quarter guidance.
The US Department of Justice's (DOJ) criminal investigation launched against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell raises questions about the status of the US central bank's independence, as President Trump mulls over Powell's replacement for when his term ends in May. Truist CIO and chief market strategist Keith Lerner assesses the bond market reaction to the latest headlines and how Wall Street is shifting back into the "Sell America" trade. Keith Lerner calls the Fed investigation the second "curveball" to happen in 2026.
Takeaways:
The US Department of Justice (DOJ) has subpoenaed the Federal Reserve as it launches a criminal investigation into the central bank's Chair Jerome Powell
US stock futures drop in Monday's premarket as Wall Street finds the "Sell America" trade to be back on, finding safe haven in precious metals like gold and silver
Earnings season kicks off for major bank stocks and Delta Air Lines (DAL) this week.
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| What unemployment, 'stagnant' labor market mean for Fed rate cuts | 09 Jan 2026 | 00:48:15 | |
Morning Brief host Julie Hyman and Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre track several of Friday's top trending stock tickers, including Meta (META), Oklo (OKLO), Vistra (VST), Rio Tinto (RIO), Glencore (GLNCY), and Intel (INTC). The US added 50,000 jobs in the month of December, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), below the Bloomberg estimate of 70,000 non-farm payrolls. Additionally, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.4% — down from the revised November reading of 4.5% (was originally 4.6%)— while average hourly earnings rose 0.3%. Morning Brief Anchor Julie Hyman reports on the breaking labor data, alongside RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas and Interactive Brokers Chief Strategist Steve Sosnick.
The US economy added fewer jobs than expected in December. The unemployment rate also fell below estimates. Yahoo Finance Federal Reserve Correspondent Jennifer Schonberger and Annex Wealth Management chief economist and strategist Brian Jacobsen explain what the latest jobs report means for the Fed.
US productivity rose 4.9% in the third quarter of 2025, as reported on Thursday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This data comes on top of the December jobs report, which saw the US economy grow by 50,000 jobs last month while the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.4% (down from the revised November reading of 4.5% which was originally 4.6%). RSM chief economist Joe Brusuelas — alongside Interactive Brokers' Steve Sosnick and UBS Global Wealth Management's Leslie Falconio — reacts to the fresh productivity figure amid rising jobless claims.
Takeaways:
Earnings season is close to kicking off for big banks, with companies JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Goldman Sachs (GS) set to report their quarterly results throughout next week.
Major US bank stocks notably ended 2025 at new record highs.
Yahoo Finance senior bank reporter David Hollerith lists the three biggest themes that Wall Street investors will be watching from bank earnings.
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| Trump's plans for Venezuelan oil, defense spending hikes | 08 Jan 2026 | 00:25:12 | |
Wall Street is attempting to cut through the noise out of Washington, D.C., after President Trump hinted at a long string of policy proposals, ranging from hiking defense spending to his administration's plans for Venezuelan oil and possibly banning institutional investors from buying single-family homes. Schwab Center for Financial Research head of macro research and strategy Kevin Gordon sits down with Julie Hyman to discuss how investors should be interpreting possible policy risks. Also, catch Kevin Gordon discuss the broadening of AI themes in 2026. Oil prices are rising after US Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined the Trump administration's strategy, saying the US will control Venezuela's oil exports indefinitely. Yahoo Finance Breaking News Reporter Jake Conley sits down on Opening Bid with Julie Hyman to discuss the energy market's moves.
Nvidia (NVDA), Constellation Brands (STZ), and Applied Digital (APLD) are some of the trending tickers on Yahoo Finance's platform on Thursday. Morning Brief host Julie Hyman and Yahoo Finance Data and Markets Editor Jared Blikre examine the stories driving investor interest in the stocks. After artificial intelligence dominated Wall Street headlines in 2025, Schwab Center for Financial Research head of macro research and strategy Kevin Gordon discusses the diversity and investment options now made available in the current phase of the AI trade in 2026.
President Trump is giving Wall Street investors whiplash with a deluge of new policy proposals, from hiking defense spending to $1.5 trillion to expecting 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil and plans to ban institutional investors from buying single-family homes. Yahoo Finance Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul comes on the program to explain Trump's vision for the US occupation of Venezuela in relation to the oil industry, while the administration seeks to raise its defense budget in 2027.
Takeaways:
President Trump announced new policy proposals regarding US housing and a hike in defense spending
US stock futures are ticking lower in Thursday's pre-market trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed below new record highs in yesterday's sessions
According to a Bloomberg report, Chinese officials are set to approve the purchase of Nvidia's H200 AI chips (NVDA)
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| S&P 500 and Dow records, ADP data, Venezuela oil | 07 Jan 2026 | 00:23:32 | |
Morning Brief host Julie Hyman tracks several of the day's top trending stock tickers, including Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) rejecting the latest Paramount Skydance (PSKY) bid, Strategy (MSTR) shares are rising after MSCI shelved a plan to exclude digital asset-backed treasuries from its indexes, and Bloomberg is reporting that Discord (DISO.PVT) has confidentially filed for an initial public offering.
While the US housing market is forecasted to thaw and see lower mortgage rates and home prices in 2026, that doesn't necessarily mean there will be available housing supply as older homeowners are staying put. Meredith Whitney Advisory Group CEO Meredith Whitney explains the impact that Baby Boomers deciding to "age in place" is having on housing supply, while also commenting on the portion of home equity loans currently being utilized for manufacturing projects. Whitney has been dubbed the "Oracle of Wall Street" for forecasting the 2008 financial crisis during her time as an analyst.
Takeaways:
US stock futures are mixed in Wednesday's pre-market trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed yesterday's session at new record highs.
ADP announced a gain of 41,000 private sector jobs in the month of December.
Investors await the release of the latest Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report later today, while the December jobs report is to be released this Friday, January 9.
The White House announced that Venezuela will send 50 million barrels of oil to the US.
The Trump administration weighed its options of deploying the military to acquire Greenland.
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| Nvidia CEO unveils new AI endeavors at CES 2026 | 06 Jan 2026 | 00:21:20 | |
Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang unveiled a variety of new projects and innovations at his keynote speech at CES 2026 on Monday, including the chipmaker's Vera Rubin AI platform and even its Alpamayo open-source model to train and improve autonomous driving programs. As part of a panel on today's Morning Brief, New Street Research technology infrastructure analyst Antoine Chkaiban and Spear Invest founder and CIO Ivana Delevska discuss what could be next for the chipmaker, CapEx spending, and the company's stock reaction to the announcements.
After Huang's CES speech, investors are talking more about opportunity in the autonomous driving space. Ivana Delevska and Clark Capital chief investment officer Sean Clark sit down with Morning Brief host Julie Hyman to share what they expect from the artificial intelligence (AI) trade in 2026 and beyond.
Takeaways:
Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang unveiled a variety of new projects and innovations at his keynote speech at CES 2026 on Monday, including the chipmaker's Vera Rubin AI platform.
US stock futures are mixed in Tuesday's premarket trading after the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) reached a new record high above 49,000 yesterday.
A majority of small and medium business owners appear cautiously optimistic for 2026, according to a new study from Bank of America.
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| US invades Venezuela, market reaction | 05 Jan 2026 | 00:22:44 | |
Morning Brief host Julie Hyman tracks several of the day's top trending stock tickers, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) shares ticking higher in premarket trading after Goldman Sachs analysts raise their price target, Mobileye (MBLY) announces a deal with an unnamed US automaker, and Comcast (CMCSA) spinoff Versant Media Group (VSNT, VSNTV) begins its trading on the Nasdaq Monday.
US military forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in a surprise invasion of the country over the weekend. Maduro's ousting comes as the Trump administration seeks to charge the world leader with narco-terrorism conspiracy charges. Yahoo Finance Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul comes on the program to break down the latest news regarding this event, global interests in Venezuela's oil supply (CL=F, BZ=F), and China's condemnation of the US operation against the nation's trade ally.
Takeaways:
Oil prices and related stocks rise following the US invasion of Venezuela and capture of President Nicolás Maduro
US stock futures inch slightly higher in Monday's premarket in response to the geopolitical headlines
CES 2026 kicks off today in Las Vegas with presentations from Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) CEO Lisa Su.
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| CES 2026: What to expect from Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's keynote | 02 Jan 2026 | 00:20:52 | |
It's the first trading day of 2026, and Wall Street already has its eye on what could be the next big market catalyst and next step for the AI trade. The 2026 Consumer Technology Association (CES) will kick off in Las Vegas on Monday, January 5, with a keynote speech from Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang. Yahoo Finance tech editor Dan Howley discusses what to expect from this year's CES event and what new tech Jensen Huang could unveil in his speech.
Tesla (TSLA) delivered 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter. That was fewer than the 440,907 that Wall Street was expecting. Roundhill Investments CEO Dave Mazza and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré discuss the release. JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist Michael O'Rourke and Yahoo Finance senior markets reporter Ines Ferré weigh in on how much further the market may have to run, referencing recent trends in precious metals commodities
Takeaways:
Costco Wholesale stock (COST) is trading at premium multiples compared to the rest of the S&P 500 (^GSPC), similar to Nvidia (NVDA)
Michael O'Rourke shares his perspective on the AI bubble heading into 2026
EMJ Capital founder Eric Jackson compares Nvidia with his so-called pizza and retail bubbles risks
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| AI bubble concerns heading into 2026, Warren Buffett's last day as CEO | 31 Dec 2025 | 00:22:27 | |
On the Morning Brief, Yahoo Finance executive editor Brian Sozzi is examining the biggest developing market stories on December 31, 2025 — the final trading day of the year! JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist Michael O'Rourke and EMJ Capital Founder and President Eric Jackson come on today's program for a panel discussion spanning several topics, including a look back on 2025's strongest stock finishes and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-A, BRK-B) CEO Warren Buffett's final day as chief executive.
In the final trading day of 2025, investors are both looking back on the year's biggest stock theme and ahead to the next big opportunities and risks in 2026. Wall Street worries that an AI bubble growing around markets could be here to stay into the New Year. EMJ Capital Founder and President Eric Jackson, JonesTrading Chief Market Strategist Michael O'Rourke, and Yahoo Finance senior markets reporter Ines Ferré each share their perspective on the existence of an AI-driven market bubble. Also watch Eric Jackson compare Nvidia (NVDA) and AI bubble risks with his so-called pizza and retail bubbles.
Takeaways:
US stock futures are hovering slightly above the flatline as equities look to close out the final trading day of 2025 — and the year in total — on a high note
Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett is set to step down from his chief executive role when the clock strikes midnight tonight, handing the leadership reins over to Greg Abel
Buffett will stay on as Berkshire's chairman
Nike (NKE) CEO Elliott Hill buys $1 million worth of shares in the sports apparel giant
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| Meta to acquire AI startup Manus: There's an 'arms race' in AI | 30 Dec 2025 | 00:22:18 | |
Yahoo Finance executive editor Brian Sozzi tracks several of the day's top trending stock tickers, including Tesla's (TSLA) expectations for weaker EV deliveries in the fourth quarter of 2025, mining company stocks gaining on the rebound in silver, gold, and copper prices, and Boeing (BA) signing an $8.5 billion contract with the US Air Force to build fighter jets for the Israeli military.
Meta Platforms (META) is acquiring AI startup Manus. According to Bloomberg, the deal values Manus at more than $2 billion. Hennessy Funds portfolio manager Josh Wein, along with Yahoo Finance Senior Reporters Brooke DiPalma and Ines Ferré, discuss the deal and what it reveals about the state of AI.
Takeaways:
Meta Platforms (META) announced that it will be acquiring AI startup Manus for over $2 billion
US stock futures hover just below their flatlines as the Santa Claus rally stumbles
Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett prepares to hand the reins over to Greg Abel at the year's end
Buffett will stay on as chairman of Berkshire's board
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| Silver and gold prices, bitcoin, stock futures waver | 29 Dec 2025 | 00:21:21 | |
Yahoo Finance executive editor Brian Sozzi tracks several of the day's top trending stock tickers, including SoftBank's (9984.T, SFTBY) $4 billion acquisition of data center infrastructure firm DigitalBridge Group (DBRG), Intel (INTC) completing its stock sale to stakeholder Nvidia (NVDA), and the Wall Street Journal reporting Lululemon (LULU) founder Chip Wilson is staging a proxy battle by nominating three new board member candidates.
Takeaways:
Gold prices, along with silver, are sliding below the precious metals' recent record highs.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is hovering below $90,000 after briefly touching above the milestone.
US stock futures are wavering in Monday's pre-market trading in the final trading week of 2025.
The US stock market will be closed this Thursday for New Year's Day.
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| Santa rally watch, metals rip higher, Nvidia deal stuns, 2026 risks loom | 26 Dec 2025 | 00:21:56 | |
US stocks headed into the post-Christmas session with thin volumes and major indexes hovering near record highs as investors track the Santa Claus rally window. Precious metals added to risk-on sentiment, with gold and silver at record levels and miners outperforming over the past month.
The AI trade stayed front and center after Nvidia (NVDA) struck its largest acquisition to date, agreeing to pay roughly $20B for assets from AI chip startup Groq. Wedbush’s Dan Ives framed the deal as another signal that AI infrastructure spending remains durable into 2026. Ives also reiterated his bullish stance on Tesla (TSLA), pointing to autonomy, robotics, and “physical AI” as the longer-term value drivers.
Macro risk is creeping back into the narrative. Steward Partners’ Jason Bonfield flagged 2026 uncertainties tied to tariffs, a potential Fed leadership change in May, and midterm election dynamics, arguing investors should avoid complacency and be prepared to rebalance into volatility. Trending tickers include Nvidia (NVDA) and Micron (MU).
Takeaways:
Santa rally optimism persists amid light holiday trading
Record metals prices support the broader risk backdrop
Nvidia’s Groq asset deal reinforces AI capex momentum
Tesla’s autonomy thesis remains a 2026 flashpoint
Policy and political risks are shaping next year’s playbook
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| AI rotation call, commodities rip higher, deal chatter drives tickers | 24 Dec 2025 | 00:22:43 | |
US stocks were little changed on the holiday-shortened session after the S&P 500 closed at a record, with investors tracking the Santa Claus rally window into early January. Commodity strength stayed a key backdrop, keeping inflation and rate expectations in focus as traders look ahead to 2026 policy signals.
Strategists argued the AI trade still matters, but leadership may broaden from “AI cost centers” to “AI beneficiaries,” as adoption lifts productivity and margins beyond megacap tech. They also flagged potential 2026 rotation across sectors and styles, including equal-weight exposure as mega-cap earnings growth cools.
On the macro tape, the panel pointed to resilient consumer spending led by higher-income households, with liquidity conditions, wage gains, and productivity trends shaping the 2026 rates path. Dividend payers and healthcare were framed as under-owned areas that could re-rate if cash yields fade with Fed cuts.
Trending: BP (BP) in a $10.1B lubricants JV deal, Sanofi (SNY) to buy Dynavax (DVAX), and UiPath (PATH) added to the S&P MidCap 400.
Takeaways:
Markets are in Santa-rally watch mode after a record S&P 500 close.
Investors are debating AI leaders vs. the next wave of AI adopters.
Rotation and diversification are the core 2026 positioning call.
Consumer resilience and productivity are the key macro swing factors.
Deal news and index inclusion are moving single-name action.
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| Stronger GDP jolts rate-cut bets, tech resets into 2026, metals rip on supply shocks, Novo pill ignites GLP-1 race | 24 Dec 2025 | 00:23:28 | |
US markets opened softer after Q3 GDP printed at 4.3%, reviving the idea the Fed may have less room to cut early in 2026. Investors now pivot to thin holiday liquidity, the next data points, and whether earnings can clear rising expectations.
AI leadership remains the focal point: Nvidia (NVDA) has added about 5% over the last 5 sessions as Dan Ives framed the cycle as “year 3” of a multi-year buildout, while Marianne Bartels argued 2026 looks like a volatility-heavy “reset” that still sets up a longer bull run for semis. The risk today is not the theme, it is the bar.
Commodities are the other momentum pocket: copper hit a fresh record above $12,000/ton and gold broke through $4,500/oz, with Bartels flagging a broader metals breakout.
Trending tickers: Novo Nordisk (NVO) on FDA approval for a weight-loss pill, with Eli Lilly (LLY) close behind.
Takeaways:
Strong GDP revived “higher for longer” rate sensitivity.
Semis can lead in 2026, but expect a reset-style drawdown.
Metals are acting like a FOMO trade with real supply constraints.
GLP-1 competition is accelerating from injections to pills.
Watch expectations, not narratives, into early 2026.
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| Crypto volatility, metals surge, index rules loom, healthcare screens shift | 22 Dec 2025 | 00:23:26 | |
US stock futures edged higher into a holiday-shortened week, with investors still looking for a late-year Santa Claus rally and a quieter, lower-volume tape. Sentiment is also reacting to Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammock signaling no urgency to cut rates for several months, keeping the inflation debate in focus.
Crypto’s “everything went right, price still fell” narrative is front and center: Bitcoin is fighting key technical levels while investors watch a potential index-policy inflection around Strategy (MSTR) and other digital-asset-treasury companies. Meanwhile, gold and silver are making new highs, reframing the “digital gold” pitch as central-bank demand and reserve diversification keep physical metals bid.
Stock-specific movers and 2026 frameworks leaned into deal and growth themes: Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) tracked the Paramount bid dynamics, Nvidia (NVDA) rose on China shipment chatter, and Clearwater Analytics (CWAN) jumped on a take-private. Investors also heard a “layup bets” approach favoring healthcare enablers over insurers.
Takeaways:
Futures pointed higher in thin, holiday trading.
Rate-cut timing remains constrained by inflation focus.
Bitcoin faces technical pressure amid index-rule uncertainty.
Metals strength is challenging the “digital gold” narrative.
2026 screens emphasized healthcare infrastructure and select M&A.
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| Bank rally, TikTok deal inked, Nike stumble, AI moves beyond Big Tech | 19 Dec 2025 | 00:23:11 | |
US index futures were steady Friday after a quiet week of delayed data and selective earnings reactions. Investors head into the final full trading week of 2025 watching for a soft-landing read on 2026 growth, Fed rate-cut timing, and whether breadth can keep expanding beyond mega-cap tech.
Big banks led 2025’s surprise winners: the KBW Bank Index rose about 28%, powered by strong trading and dealmaking, a less restrictive regulatory backdrop, and a yield-curve un-inversion that supports net interest income. The debate now shifts to 2026: can loan growth reaccelerate, and does a pickup in regional-bank M&A reward stock pickers over index exposure?
AI also broadened into “picks-and-shovels.” The playbook focuses on data-center construction, cooling, grid and nuclear-linked utilities, plus defense and late-stage biotech as potential 2026 tailwinds tied to spending and M&A cycles.
Trending tickers: Oracle (ORCL) jumped on a signed TikTok US joint-venture deal, Nike (NKE) slid on weak guidance, FedEx (FDX) rose after topping estimates and lifting its profit-floor outlook.
Takeaways:
Banks outperformed in 2025; 2026 hinges on lending and deal flow.
Deregulation expectations stay a key financials catalyst.
AI leadership may rotate toward infrastructure and power.
Nike’s reset highlights uneven consumer and China demand.
FedEx cost actions show up in guidance, not just headlines.
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| Cooler CPI, caveats linger, tech rebounds on Micron | 18 Dec 2025 | 00:45:48 | |
US stock futures pushed higher after November CPI landed below estimates, but traders are weighing a key asterisk: the government shutdown disrupted data collection, leaving the report tougher to trust. Markets are now watching whether the next inflation and jobs prints validate a real downshift and what that means for the Fed’s 2026 rate-cut path.
The bigger story for risk appetite is how quickly “rate relief” feeds back into growth expectations. Yields ticked lower, lifting tech and other rate-sensitive groups, even as economists warned this CPI could be skewed by Black Friday timing and missing October benchmarks.
AI infrastructure also snapped back into focus. Micron (MU) surged premarket on a standout outlook tied to data-center memory demand, a reminder that the AI trade is still being led by capex and supply constraints.
Trending tickers: Trump Media (DJT) popped on a fusion deal, BP (BP) named a new CEO, and Coinbase (COIN) pushed further into an “everything app” strategy.
Takeaways:
CPI surprised lower, but shutdown-driven data gaps limit confidence.
Markets leaned risk-on as yields eased and cut expectations firmed.
AI capex remained the dominant tech driver via Micron’s outlook.
Activism and leadership change stayed in focus across consumer and energy.
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| OpenAI–Amazon $10B talks, Oracle funding snag, Medline debuts in biggest IPO | 17 Dec 2025 | 00:24:10 | |
US stock futures point modestly higher, with the Nasdaq leading early gains, as markets digest another round of AI build-out headlines and a major IPO debut. Amazon (AMZN) is reportedly in talks to invest more than $10 billion in OpenAI in a deal that could value the company north of $500 billion and include OpenAI using Amazon’s chips.
At the same time, the AI infrastructure trade is showing stress points. Oracle’s (ORCL) Michigan data center project is reportedly in limbo after Blue Owl funding talks stalled, raising fresh questions about how quickly “neo-cloud” players can finance massive capex plans tied to OpenAI’s revenue ramp. Investors will get another read on AI demand after the bell with Micron (MU) earnings, as the market debates whether the next phase of AI leadership broadens beyond the biggest chip names.
In media M&A, Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) urged shareholders to reject Paramount’s (PARA) $108 billion bid as “inferior,” keeping the spotlight on the multi-front fight that also involves Netflix’s (NFLX) competing approach.
In today’s top trending tickers, Tesla (TSLA) is under pressure after California’s DMV alleged the company misled consumers about its driver-assistance marketing and warned its sales license could be suspended if it doesn’t come into compliance. Medline began trading in the year’s largest IPO, priced at $29 and valued around $39 billion, under ticker (MDLN).
Takeaways:
Amazon and OpenAI reportedly discuss a $10B+ investment tied to Amazon chip usage
Oracle’s Michigan data center funding talks stall, spotlighting AI capex and financing risk
Micron earnings after the bell offer another checkpoint on AI-driven memory demand
Warner Bros pushes back on Paramount’s $108B bid as the media deal fight escalates
Tesla faces a California DMV challenge; Medline debuts under (MDLN) in the year’s biggest IPO
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| Fed’s final 2025 cut, Netflix’s $72B Warner Bros deal, Apple shake-up | 10 Dec 2025 | 00:22:34 | |
US markets are quiet ahead of the Federal Reserve’s final decision of the year, with traders widely expecting a quarter-point “hawkish cut” and a fresh dot plot showing only one more cut penciled in for 2026. Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference and the scope of any dissents will be key as officials juggle inflation, which remains roughly a whole point above target, a softening labor market, and a post-shutdown GDP rebound. The White House has also begun interviewing candidates for the next Fed chair, including former Governor Kevin Warsh, while NEC Director Kevin Hassett remains the perceived frontrunner.
The AI trade faces its next test with Oracle (ORCL) and Adobe (ADBE) reporting after the bell. Oracle must convince Wall Street that massive OpenAI-linked data-center spending and negative free cash flow are justified by future revenue and remaining performance obligations. At the same time, Adobe navigates investor questions about AI competition from tools like Google’s Gemini and how effectively it can weave generative AI into Creative Cloud. At the same time, bond yields on the 10-year and 30-year remain elevated even as markets bet on more easing next year, reflecting concerns over debt, inflation, and policy uncertainty.
In media and tech, Netflix (NFLX) has agreed to buy the studio and streaming assets of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) in a $72 billion cash-and-stock deal, picking up HBO, Max and franchises like Harry Potter, Game of Thrones, DC, Friends, and The Sopranos while keeping that IP out of Paramount (PARA) and Comcast’s (CMCSA) hands. Analysts say the acquisition widens the gap between Netflix and its smaller rivals, but raises regulatory and integration questions. Apple (AAPL) is under fresh scrutiny after a wave of senior departures in operations, design, AI, and legal, even as iPhone and services demand keep the stock near record highs. Trending tickers include SpaceX, which is reportedly eyeing a 2026 IPO valuing the company near $1.5 trillion, GE Vernova (GEV) after an upbeat AI-driven power outlook, and Chewy (CHWY) on stronger customer spend and improving active users.
Takeaways:
Fed expected to deliver a 25 bp “hawkish cut” and update its dot plot at the final meeting of 2025
Internal dissents and the next Fed chair race add uncertainty to the 2026 rate path
Oracle and Adobe earnings serve as a fresh stress test for the AI infrastructure and software trade
Netflix to acquire Warner Bros' studio and streaming assets for $72B, tightening its grip on top Hollywood IP
Apple faces a high-profile management reshuffle even as iPhone and services strength keep investors onside
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| Nvidia wins China approval, Paramount launches $108B hostile bid, Fed’s ‘hawkish cut’ arrives | 09 Dec 2025 | 00:23:26 | |
US markets open slightly lower as investors brace for the Fed’s final 2025 meeting and a wave of high-stakes corporate news. Nvidia (NVDA) scored a major win after the U.S. approved sales of its H200 AI chip to China, allowing Nvidia to reclaim billions in lost business while sending 25% of proceeds back to the U.S. government. President Trump told reporters that Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD) will also be eligible for similar modified chip sales.
Meanwhile, the battle for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) has escalated. Paramount–Skydance submitted a $108 billion hostile takeover bid, backed by banks, Gulf sovereign wealth funds, and Jared Kushner — just days after WBD accepted Netflix’s (NFLX) $72 billion offer. Investors now await CEO David Zaslav’s response as Hollywood faces its most aggressive M&A fight in decades.
The Federal Reserve kicks off its two-day meeting with Wall Street expecting a 25 bp “hawkish cut.” Officials are likely to cut rates but signal fewer moves ahead in 2026, citing a softer labor market and rising internal division on inflation vs. jobs. A Supreme Court hearing on presidential authority over independent agencies could also reshape next year’s Fed committee by giving the White House power to remove Governor Lisa Cook — potentially shifting the board more dovish.
In trending tickers, Campbell Soup (CPB) reported weaker revenue and profit as consumers remain selective, but highlighted momentum from at-home cooking and announced a 49% stake purchase in pasta-sauce supplier Laina. CVS (CVS) raised its profit forecast, Home Depot (HD) issued cautious guidance ahead of its investor day, and AutoZone (AZO) missed profit expectations despite solid sales growth.
Takeaways:
Nvidia regains access to China with H200 sales; Intel and AMD may follow
Paramount launches a $108B hostile bid for WBD after Netflix’s $72B agreement
Fed expected to deliver a “hawkish cut” and signal fewer 2026 moves
Supreme Court case could reshape Fed independence and future policymaking
Campbell Soup posts softer results; CVS raises guidance; Home Depot and AutoZone under pressure
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| Fed cut on deck, Oracle and Broadcom test AI trade, Buffett era winds down | 08 Dec 2025 | 00:25:14 | |
US stocks are little changed to start the week as investors wait on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and a fresh read on the AI boom from Oracle and Broadcom. Futures point to a modestly higher open, with the Russell 2000 attempting to break out, while bond volatility and the VIX remain near year lows. Markets are pricing a roughly 90% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points this week, even as inflation remains roughly a whole point above target and officials remain sharply divided on how quickly to ease. Several regional presidents may dissent over sticky prices, while Governor Steven Myron is likely to push again for a deeper 50 bp move.
The AI trade undergoes a key report from ORCL and Broadcom (AVGO). Stress test when Oracle (ORCL) and Broadcom (AVGO Oracle has slumped about 24% in two months as Wall Street worries about massive AI capital expenditures needs for a company without the cash machine of hyperscalers like Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT), making it a “canary in the coal mine” for AI valuations. Broadcom, up nearly 70% year to date, continues to outpace the broader chip sector and is now being discussed as parNVDA).t of a “Mag 8” alongside Nvidia (NVDA Netflix’s (NFLX) $72 billion bid for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) faces new regulatory and political scrutiny after President Trump said the deal could be a problem, just as Paramount Global (PARA) raised its competing all-cash offer to $30 per share.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) is also in transition as longtime investment chief and GEICO CEO Todd Combs departs for JPMorgan (JPM), underscoring how incoming CEO Greg Abel is already reshaping the conglomerate’s leadership and structure ahead of Warren Buffett’s year-end exit. IBM (IBM) is acquiring Confluent (CFLT) for $9.3 billion to enhance its data-streaming and AI capabilities, while Tesla (TSLA) slides after a Morgan Stanley downgrade highlights growing dispersion within the once-unified "Magnificent Seven" trade.
Takeaways:
Fed expected to deliver a third 25 bp cut of the year amid unusually public division over inflation and growth
Oracle and Broadcom earnings seen as key tests of whether AI spending still justifies premium valuations
Netflix’s $72B Warner Bros. deal faces political pushback as Paramount lifts its rival's all-cash bid
Berkshire Hathaway loses top stock picker Todd Combs to JPMorgan as Greg Abel starts to put his stamp on the firm
IBM buys Confluent for $9.3B to bolster AI data streaming; Tesla downgraded as Mag 7 leadership begins to fragment
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| Netflix’s $72B Warner Bros deal, key PCE print, Apple exec exodus | 05 Dec 2025 | 00:22:58 | |
US markets open little changed as investors digest a blockbuster media deal and brace for delayed inflation data. Netflix (NFLX) has agreed to buy the studio and streaming assets of Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) in a $72 billion cash-and-stock deal, scooping up HBO, Max, and iconic franchises like Harry Potter, Game of Thrones, DC, Friends, The Sopranos, and more. The acquisition caps a fierce bidding war that included Paramount Global (PARA) and Comcast (CMCSA) and marks Netflix’s biggest-ever swing into legacy Hollywood. Analysts say the move cements Netflix’s lead in streaming but raises questions about integration costs, labor, and regulatory risk, especially with Paramount still signaling it may keep fighting for a role in the process.
At the macro level, Wall Street is watching the September PCE report, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, after its release was delayed by the 43-day government shutdown. Economists expect core PCE to rise 0.2% month over month and 2.8% year over year — slightly below the Fed’s prior 3.1% year-end projection — but the data is stale and unlikely to shift expectations for a rate cut next week. Fed officials remain split, with some policymakers worried about sticky inflation and others focused on labor-market softness.
Apple (AAPL) is also in focus after a wave of senior departures, including longtime COO Jeff Williams, the company’s general counsel, its AI chief, and design lead Alan Dye, who is heading to Meta (META). While the exits raise fresh questions about Tim Cook’s eventual succession and Apple’s AI strategy, analysts note iPhone 17 Pro demand and services revenue remain strong, and the stock is still up double digits year to date.
In trending tickers, Southwest Airlines (LUV) cut its 2025 profit outlook on shutdown-related flight disruptions and higher fuel costs, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) slid after AI server deals were pushed into 2026, and Victoria’s Secret (VSCO) rallied on its strongest quarterly sales growth in four years and a raised full-year outlook.
Takeaways:
Netflix to acquire Warner Bros. studio and streaming assets for $72B, grabbing HBO/Max and top global franchises
PCE inflation print finally arrives after shutdown delay but is unlikely to change next week’s Fed decision
Apple faces a high-profile management shake-up as key execs in ops, design, and AI depart
Southwest trims guidance on shutdown-related disruptions; HPE pushes some AI server deals into 2026
Victoria’s Secret posts its best sales growth in four years and raises its full-year outlook
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| AI race tilts toward Google, jobs data weakens, Macy’s cautious on holiday | 03 Dec 2025 | 00:25:05 | |
US markets open mixed as fresh data shows the labor market cooling, and investors reassess where the AI boom is headed next. ADP reported that private employers shed 32,000 jobs in November, versus expectations for a gain of 10,000, with companies with fewer than 50 workers cutting 120,000 positions, and weakness was noted in manufacturing, information, and construction. The report reinforces the notion of a K-shaped economy. It has traders pricing in roughly a 90% chance of a 25-bp Fed cut at next week’s meeting, even as Wall Street strategists remain broadly bullish on 2026, with S&P 500 targets clustered between 7,100 and 8,000.
At the same time, the fulcrum of the AI trade may be shifting. Alphabet’s Gemini is gaining ground on OpenAI’s ChatGPT, with Sensor Tower data showing global monthly active users up about 30% for Gemini from August to November versus roughly 5% growth for ChatGPT, prompting talk that investors now favor Google’s diversified ad and search cash flows over OpenAI’s capital-intensive model. Microsoft (MSFT) is reportedly cutting AI software sales quotas, raising new questions about enterprise adoption speed and monetization. Guests on the show argue that the next phase of leadership could shift from AI “winners” like Nvidia (NVDA) to AI “enablers” in power, construction, and data center infrastructure, as AI-related capital expenditures are forecast to exceed $7 trillion globally by 2030.
On the consumer side, Macy’s (M) and Dollar Tree (DLTR) both beat on revenue and earnings and raised full-year guidance. Still, Macy’s stock is under pressure after management issued cautious Q4 commentary, stating that shoppers will remain “choiceful,” implying full-year declines in sales and profit compared to 2024. Reimagined Macy’s stores and luxury banner Bloomingdale’s posted standout growth, highlighting continued strength among higher-income shoppers, while Dollar Tree’s results underscore how stretched lower-income households are, prioritizing essentials over discretionary items. In trending tickers, Delta Air Lines (DAL) warned of a $200 million profit hit from the historic government shutdown, Marvell Technology (MRVL) jumped on an earnings beat and a multibillion-dollar deal for Celestial AI, and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) rallied after a beat-and-raise quarter powered by sharper merchandising and buzzy celebrity campaigns.
Takeaways:
ADP shows private employers cutting 32K jobs in November, with small businesses hit hardest and markets pricing in a December Fed rate cut
Gemini usage is growing faster than ChatGPT as investors debate whether Alphabet’s AI model is more sustainable than OpenAI’s spending-heavy approach
Microsoft reportedly lowers AI software sales quotas, fueling questions about near-term AI monetization
Macy’s and Dollar Tree both beat and raise guidance, but Macy’s cautious holiday outlook and K-shaped consumer trends weigh on sentiment
Delta flags a $200M shutdown hit, Marvell buys Celestial AI, and American Eagle pops on better merchandising and upgraded guidance
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| Stocks rebound, Bitcoin steadies, leveraged crypto ETFs crash | 02 Dec 2025 | 00:21:33 | |
US futures are higher after Monday’s sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC), Dow (^DJI), and Nasdaq (^IXIC) all turning green and the Russell 2000 leading gains. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is holding above $87,000 after its worst drop since March, with traders watching key support at $80,000 and resistance near $110,000.
Leveraged crypto ETFs MSTX and MSTU are down more than 80% this year despite Strategy injecting a $1.4B reserve to stabilize payouts. At the same time, institutional participation is rising: Bank of America now recommends a 1–4% crypto allocation, and Vanguard is allowing crypto-heavy ETFs and mutual funds on its platform.
Treasury yields remain elevated after their biggest surge since 2008, while markets still expect a 25 bp Fed cut next week. Strategists are watching the U.S. dollar near the 100.5 level for direction. Kevin Hassett — a leading candidate for Fed Chair — is drawing attention for a new digital-asset policy blueprint that could shape 2026 crypto regulation.
Takeaways:
Futures rise after Monday’s selloff; small caps lead
Bitcoin stabilizes above $87K; key levels at $80K and $110K
Leveraged crypto ETFs sink 80%+ even after a $1.4B reserve
Bank of America endorses crypto exposure; Vanguard reopens platform to crypto funds
Yields stay elevated ahead of expected Fed cut; dollar strength remains a risk
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| Stocks fall to start December, Bitcoin sinks, Fed decision looms | 01 Dec 2025 | 00:22:56 | |
US stock futures are sliding as markets kick off December in risk-off mode. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) enters the month after barely securing a seventh straight monthly gain, while crypto leads the selloff. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) fell below $86,000, dragging Ether and Solana lower as thin liquidity and ETF outflows fueled renewed volatility. Strategists note Bitcoin’s December pattern tends to be flat-to-consolidating, with near-term ranges now pegged between $70,000 and $100,000 amid ongoing selling pressure .
Markets are also watching the Federal Reserve. Traders are pricing in a 25 bp rate cut at the December 10 meeting, while Washington prepares for a major announcement: President Trump says he has selected the next Fed Chair and will reveal the choice “soon.” Kevin Hassett — the president’s top economic adviser — is widely viewed as the frontrunner, sparking debate over how dovish leadership could reshape rate expectations and the US dollar .
Investors will finally receive delayed economic data this week, including the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation report, postponed during the shutdown. Bond yields are rising, with the 10-year climbing to 4.06% and the 30-year to 4.72%, even as the dollar weakens — a rare divergence tied to Japanese rate-hike speculation and shifts in global capital flows .
Holiday shopping is also in focus this Cyber Monday. Adobe expects $14.2 billion in online spending today, with peak buying between 8–10 PM where consumers could spend $16 million per minute. Early Black Friday data shows shoppers remain highly deal-driven, with steady demand for electronics, furniture, and apparel. This week brings earnings from Macy’s (M), Dollar General (DG), and Dollar Tree (DLTR) — key reads on how both high-income and low-income consumers handled the shutdown period .
In trending tickers, Synopsys (SNPS) jumps after Nvidia (NVDA) announced a $2 billion investment in the chip-software leader; MicroStrategy (MSTR) unveiled a $1.4 billion dollar reserve to avoid selling Bitcoin during downturns; and Accenture (ACN) launched a broad partnership with OpenAI to accelerate enterprise adoption of generative AI systems .
Takeaways:
Stocks fall as December starts in risk-off mode; Bitcoin slides below $86K
Traders price in a 25 bp December cut as Trump prepares to announce the next Fed Chair
Delayed PCE inflation data arrives this week; yields rise even as the dollar weakens
Cyber Monday set for $14.2B in sales; shoppers chase deals and big-ticket items
Synopsys surges on Nvidia’s $2B bet; MicroStrategy builds dollar reserve; Accenture expands OpenAI partnership
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| Retail cools, Alphabet races toward $4T, Nvidia slips on Google chip threat | 25 Nov 2025 | 00:20:52 | |
US stock futures are little changed as fresh economic data shows a pullback in consumer spending and moderating wholesale inflation — a combination that strengthens the case for a December Fed rate cut. September retail sales rose just 0.2%, down sharply from August’s 0.6% jump, while core wholesale inflation (PPI excluding food and energy) cooled to 0.1%, its softest reading since spring . Markets remain volatile as investors debate whether the Fed will resume cutting rates in the coming weeks.
Nvidia (NVDA) is under pressure after a report that Meta (META) is in talks to spend billions on Google’s TPU AI chips, signaling rising competition for Nvidia’s GPU dominance. Alphabet (GOOG) shares are surging, up 35% since mid-October, and have added more than $1.5 trillion in market cap. Analysts now say Alphabet could hit a $4 trillion valuation as early as next week if momentum continues — rivaling Nvidia’s 2023–2024 trajectory . Broadcom (AVGO) is also ripping higher as investors pile into alternative AI plays.
Retail earnings remain mixed. Dick’s Sporting Goods (DKS) beat on core results but is sinking as investors worry about its costly turnaround of Foot Locker after the $2.5 billion acquisition. The company expects $500–$700 million in charges tied to store closures and write-downs . Best Buy (BBY) delivered its strongest same-store sales growth in nearly three years — up 2.7% — driven by upgrades in computing, gaming, and mobile, enough for the retailer to raise its full-year outlook for the second straight quarter.
Meanwhile, investors are parsing broader retail signals as control-group sales (excluding autos and gas) rose just 0.1%, pointing to uneven consumer momentum heading into Q4. Still, major retailers like Walmart (WMT) and Gap (GPS) have turned in stronger Q3 results, underscoring a resilient — but highly selective — consumer.
Takeaways:
Retail spending cools; PPI softens — boosting odds of a December Fed cut
Alphabet surges toward a $4T valuation as investors rotate into Google’s AI ecosystem
Nvidia falls as Meta explores Google’s TPU chips; Broadcom rallies as another AI alternative
Best Buy posts strongest comps in 3 years and raises guidance
Dick’s Sporting Goods warns of $500–$700M in Foot Locker-related charges
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| Stocks rebound, retail earnings on deck, Fed debate heats up | 24 Nov 2025 | 00:20:40 | |
US stock futures are higher as markets try to stabilize after last week’s 2% drop in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq (^IXIC). Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is back above $85,000 but remains well off its weekend highs, underscoring a risk-off mood heading into a busy stretch of retail earnings and economic data . Investors are watching tomorrow’s PPI and retail sales reports for fresh insight into inflation and consumer strength heading into the holidays.
The White House is also preparing a new framework to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies for two years and introduce new eligibility limits to help offset a surge in health insurance premiums. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant said the announcement is expected this week — a development closely watched by insurers like Oscar Health (OSCR) and Centene (CNC) .
Thanksgiving travel is also in focus: airlines expect to carry 31 million passengers, a record for the holiday week. Carriers including United Airlines (UAL) reported a major booking rebound once the government shutdown officially ended — with mid-November bookings up 16% from the previous weekend before the deal was reached .
Retail earnings kick off with reports from Kohl’s, Best Buy, Abercrombie & Fitch, and Dick’s Sporting Goods, each facing a different version of the same question: how resilient is the U.S. consumer heading into Q4? Abercrombie’s Hollister brand remains a standout with strong Gen Z momentum, while Kohl’s struggles to reverse years of negative same-store sales and is set to officially name interim CEO Michael Bender as its permanent chief executive .
Fed commentary continues to steer markets. Governor Chris Waller reiterated support for a December rate cut, citing a softening labor market and expecting major downward revisions to the September jobs report. But Boston Fed President Susan Collins signaled the opposite — saying she does not see a strong case for cutting in December and could dissent. Markets remain most focused on last week’s pivotal comments from New York Fed President John Williams, who opened the door to a near-term cut, shifting rate expectations sharply lower .
Takeaways:
Futures rise as markets attempt to stabilize after last week’s slide
Bitcoin climbs back above $85K but remains well off weekend highs
White House expected to extend ACA subsidies for two years amid premium surge
Record 31 million travelers expected for Thanksgiving; bookings jumped after shutdown ended
Retail earnings from Kohl’s, Best Buy, Abercrombie & Fitch, and Dick’s Sporting Goods test consumer strength
Fed officials split on a December cut; Waller supports it, Collins skeptical, Williams seen as the key signal
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| Stocks rebound after wild swing, Bitcoin crashes, Warner Bros bids roll in | 21 Nov 2025 | 00:19:57 | |
US stock futures are higher after one of the wildest sessions of the year, with the S&P 500 logging its most significant intraday reversal since the peak of tariff turmoil in 2018 — surging 1.4% early before plunging 1.6% by the close. New York Fed president John Williams helped stabilize sentiment this morning, signaling he “still sees room” for a December rate cut, a notable shift given the stronger-than-expected September jobs report. Williams — part of the influential Fed “troika” alongside Powell and Jefferson — said policy needs to move “closer to neutral,” even as tariffs temporarily stall progress on inflation.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is extending a brutal decline, sliding below $85,000 after more than $1 billion in liquidations were hit in a single hour. The token is now heading for its worst month since the 2022 crypto crash, down more than 30% from its October record as cross-asset selling accelerates. Analysts warn the next key support sits near $75,000.
Retail earnings reinforce the K-shaped consumer story: Walmart (WMT), Ross (ROST), and TJX (TJX) continue to win by delivering price-driven “value” across all income levels, while mid-tier shoppers remain stretched. Gap (GPS) surprised to the upside with strength in Old Navy and Gap brand, helped by lower discounting and viral marketing campaigns like its K-pop-backed “Milkshake” spot.
Meanwhile, the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is heating up. Paramount (PARA), Comcast (CMCSA), and Netflix (NFLX) have all submitted their initial — non-binding — bids. Paramount is the only suitor pursuing the entire company, while the others are targeting the studio's assets exclusively.
Takeaways:
Fed’s John Williams signals a December rate cut is “on the table,” lifting futures
S&P 500 posts its sharpest intraday reversal in years; markets remain fragile
Bitcoin plunges below $85K with $1B liquidated in one hour; worst month since 2022
“Value” retailers like Walmart, Ross, and TJX outperform as consumers hunt for pricing power
Warner Bros. Discovery draws bids from Paramount, Comcast, and Netflix as strategic review accelerates
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| Nvidia powers market rebound, jobs data surprises, Walmart beats big | 20 Nov 2025 | 00:48:34 | |
US stocks push higher as Nvidia’s (NVDA) blowout earnings reset sentiment across global markets and help offset a surprisingly strong September jobs report. Nvidia topped expectations on revenue and profit, guided to $65 billion for the current quarter, and CEO Jensen Huang dismissed AI bubble concerns, saying demand “is through the roof” with a $500 billion order pipeline for 2026 . The results sparked a broad tech rally, with Nasdaq futures jumping as much as 2%.
Fresh labor data finally arrived after shutdown delays, showing 119,000 jobs added in September — more than double expectations — while August was revised sharply down to a 4,000 job loss, the first negative reading in months . The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%, and wage growth cooled to 0.2% month-over-month. Economists warned the mixed signals strengthen the case for the Fed to hold rates steady in December given the lack of October data and the BLS’ decision to delay the next full report until after the meeting.
Walmart (WMT) delivered another strong quarter, raising full-year guidance behind 30% e-commerce growth and continued gains among higher-income shoppers. The retailer reported seven straight quarters of double-digit online growth and highlighted improving delivery speeds, while noting a softening in low-income spending — one of the clearest signs yet of the K-shaped consumer environment .
Takeaways:
Nvidia beats across the board and guides higher; CEO says AI demand is accelerating, not peaking
September payrolls rise 119K with a surprise negative revision for August; unemployment nudges up to 4.4%
Fed expected to hold rates in December as missing data limits visibility
Walmart raises guidance again as e-commerce and higher-income spending fuel gains
Markets extend a multi-day rebound, with Nasdaq futures up nearly 2% on Nvidia-led strength
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| Nvidia earnings test AI boom, Target cuts outlook, Summers quits OpenAI board | 19 Nov 2025 | 00:24:42 | |
US stocks look to snap a four-day losing streak after the S&P 500 (^GSPC) logged its longest slide since August and is now on track for its worst November since 2008. All the major averages — including the Dow (^DJI), Nasdaq 100 (^NDX), Russell 2000 (^RUT), and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (^SOX) — have slipped below their 50-day moving averages, while the VIX (^VIX) climbs as volatility returns. The big pivot comes after the close when Nvidia (NVDA) reports; options pricing implies roughly a 7% move in either direction and analysts warn the stock faces a “catch-22” where even a beat-and-raise could fuel fresh AI bubble fears. Investors will listen closely for updates on Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, hyperscaler demand from Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), and Amazon (AMZN), and how rising competition from AMD (AMD) shapes the outlook.
On the consumer front, Target (TGT) cut the top end of its profit outlook and reiterated expectations for a low single-digit sales decline in the all-important holiday quarter as “choiceful” shoppers stretch budgets and trade down, even as it leans into a new partnership with OpenAI to power conversational shopping inside ChatGPT. Lowe’s (LOW) beat profit estimates, raised its full-year sales guidance, and posted double-digit online and pro customer growth, offering a more upbeat contrast to Home Depot’s (HD) cautious outlook. In corporate moves, former Treasury secretary Larry Summers resigned from OpenAI’s board following the release of emails with Jeffrey Epstein, while Adobe (ADBE) agreed to buy marketing software firm SEMrush in a $1.9 billion deal, TJX (TJX) rallied on strong results and raised guidance, and Unity Software (U) surged on a new collaboration with Epic Games to bring Unity-built titles into Fortnite.
Takeaways:
S&P 500 and other major indexes break below 50-day moving averages as volatility picks up
Nvidia earnings seen as a key AI stress test, with options pricing a ~$320B market cap swing
Target trims outlook and warns of soft holiday sales while launching OpenAI-powered shopping inside ChatGPT
Lowe’s raises sales guidance and leans on pro and online strength; Home Depot stays cautious on housing
Larry Summers steps down from OpenAI’s board; Adobe buys SEMrush, TJX and Unity jump on earnings and deal news
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| Stocks break below key levels, Bitcoin sinks, Home Depot warns on consumer | 18 Nov 2025 | 00:23:28 | |
US stocks extend their slide for a fourth straight session as both the S&P 500 (^GSPC) and Nasdaq (^IXIC) close below their 50-day moving averages — a technical breakdown that triggered algorithmic selling across major indices. The weakness mirrors global markets, with Tokyo and Seoul each down 3%. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) briefly fell below $90,000 for the first time in seven months, officially wiping out its year-to-date gains and dragging crypto-linked stocks and ETFs lower.
Home Depot (HD) cut its full-year profit forecast after missing earnings for the third straight quarter, citing weak housing turnover, cautious consumers, and home improvement demand that “never materialized” during Q3. Shares fell more than 3% as the retailer now expects adjusted earnings to decline about 5% for the year. The results arrive ahead of key retail reports from Lowe’s (LOW), Target (TGT), and Walmart (WMT) later this week.
Early economic data from ADP showed private-sector job losses for two consecutive weeks, while delayed government numbers continue to trickle out post-shutdown — including initial jobless claims that remain historically low. Meanwhile, the White House prepares to welcome Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman for a high-profile visit expected to produce multi-billion-dollar agreements across AI infrastructure, defense, energy, and critical minerals.
Takeaways:
S&P 500 and Nasdaq break below 50-day moving averages, triggering algorithmic selling
Bitcoin drops under $90K, erasing all 2025 gains; crypto stocks slide in sympathy
Home Depot cuts guidance as housing softness and consumer caution hit results
ADP shows two weeks of job losses; government data returning slowly after shutdown
Saudi Crown Prince meets President Trump as US–Saudi economic and defense ties deepen
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| Bitcoin meltdown, Nvidia test, and Buffett’s big bet on Alphabet | 17 Nov 2025 | 00:24:05 | |
US markets start the week lower after a rough stretch for tech stocks and crypto. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) has erased all its 2025 gains, wiping out more than $600 billion in market value since October as investors brace for Wednesday’s pivotal Nvidia (NVDA) earnings. Analysts expect $54.8 billion in quarterly sales — a 56% year-over-year jump — but warn the setup is “more risk than reward” given sky-high valuations. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says the company has $500 billion in orders lined up through 2026. Still, recent 13F filings show billionaire Peter Thiel sold his entire Nvidia stake last quarter, joining SoftBank’s earlier exit.
The long-delayed September jobs report finally arrives on Thursday, following the government shutdown, with economists forecasting 50,000 new jobs and closely watching for signs that the Fed can still cut rates in December. Meanwhile, bitcoin’s slump has some strategists calling for another leg down to the $80,000 range, while MicroStrategy (MSTR) doubled down — buying $835 million worth of bitcoin last week, its biggest purchase since July.
In trending tickers, Novo Nordisk (NVO) cut the consumer price of Wegovy and Ozempic to $349 a month, Alphabet (GOOG) popped after Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a new $4.3 billion stake, and Aramark (ARMK) fell 8% on weak results despite upbeat guidance. Wall Street continues to debate whether the AI trade is truly in bubble territory or just cooling after record highs, as fund managers warn of fatigue and stretched valuations.
Takeaways:
Stocks and bitcoin slide as investors await Nvidia earnings and new Fed data
Nvidia faces a “catch-22” — beat and risk bubble talk, miss and spook markets
Bitcoin down 20% from highs; MicroStrategy adds $835M more to holdings
Buffett’s Berkshire takes a $4.3B stake in Alphabet; Novo Nordisk cuts drug prices
Analysts split on whether the AI trade is a bubble or a healthy consolidation
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