Longriver Podcast – Details, episodes & analysis

I spoke with Eric Markowitz, Partner and Director of Research at Nightview Capital, about an essay he published this year titled, “How a brush with death shaped my long game” (link). We dive straight into the details of a health crisis which shook Eric’s world in early 2023 (link) and then have an open-ended conversation about what he’s taken from it as a husband, father, friend and investor.

I highly recommend you read Eric's essay before you listen to (or read) our conversation. The context will help and you will get to enjoy Eric’s wonderful skill as a writer. If you want more, you can follow Eric on X (@EricMarkowitz) or at Big Think (link).

I spoke with Brian Mushonga and James Hull, co-Founders of the Caledon Energy Transition Fund, about their backgrounds, their partnership and their investment strategy.

We used Vertiv Holdings as a case study, touching on its history and development into one of the world’s leading power and thermal management suppliers to the data centre; its Chairman and his track record at Honeywell; its sales composition; and its role as a key supplier to the ongoing AI capex boom.

Finally, we discussed how Brian and James approach valuing cyclical stocks; how they overcome anchoring bias; and what could kill the boom.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guest today is Dr. Daan Steenkamp, CEO of startup Codera Analytics and formerly Lead Economist and Head of the Research Unit at the South African Reserve Bank.  We tackle two big topics: 1) the difference between demand- and supply-side shocks to the economy; why central banks were slow to recognise inflation; and what it may take to re-anchor inflation expectations; and 2) how Codera is applying automation and machine learning tools from software development to economic forecasting; the difference between traditional economic models and machine learning models; and the importance of narrative in economic forecasting.  You can follow Daan @daan_steenkamp or via the Codera blog.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

This time it's my turn in the hot seat!  My wife Lizzie suggested she interview me for some early thoughts on Longriver, and to let me introduce myself and what I'm building. We cover what you'll find on my CV and what you won't; how I came to investing; my strategy, 'Global Value Investing, from Asia'; as well as some of the early design choices I've made building a business and an investment process. 

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

Will Thrower is back for a second interview.  We cover how his research into Tesla took him to China's renewable energy industry; how China has emerged as the critical link in the world's transition to renewable energy; and how Longi Green Energy Technology epitomises the strength of vertically integrated business models.  If you like what you hear, you can read Will's new substack 'The Money Corner' and follow him on Twitter @willthrower3. You can also visit my site at www.longriverinv.com.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guest today is Michael McGaughy, Founder and Portfolio Manager of Research Alpha, a specialist fund which invests in the equity of unloved and out-of-favor quality companies in some of the world’s least expensive stock markets, like Uzbekistan, Argentina and Nigeria. In this conversation, we cover how Michael finds safety investing in financial crises; how his experience researching family-controlled conglomerates in Asia in the early 1990s helped him see patterns when he began looking at other markets like Greece; how he became interested in Uzbekistan and his investment in the Uzbek Commodity Exchange; and his views on investing today in Russia and Ukraine. If you like what you hear, you can read Michael's blog here and follow him on Twitter @MichaelMcGaughy. You can also visit my site at www.longriverinv.com.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guests today are Ross Cameron and Cameron Robson of Northcape Capital's Global Emerging Markets team. In this conversation, we cover the investing case for emerging markets; Northcape's unique corporate and portfolio management structures; Northcape's bespoke country discount rates; and then bring it all together with a case study of Techtronic Industries. 

If you like what you hear, please visit the blog at www.longriverinv.com.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guest today is Will Thrower, founder of Dumile Capital. In this conversation, we cover what Will is building at Dumile; how his experience with AMD took him from deep value to growth; and his thoughts on valuing Tesla, the second of two investments currently in his portfolio.   

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guest today is Richard Lawrence, Executive Chairman of Overlook Investments Limited, an independent fund management company he founded in 1991 to invest in public equity markets throughout Asia, excluding Japan. In this conversation, we discuss Richard's new book, "The Model", which explores two important questions: how did Overlook achieve its success; and how can Overlook best ensure future success? "The Model" is available today from Harriman House publishing in both hard and soft copy.  It will also be available soon on Amazon.  All proceeds from the sale of the book will go to support Proyecto Mirador, a non-profit that builds fuel-efficient cookstoves in rural communities across Central America.

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.

My guest today is Aileen Chang, a fellow member of ValueAsia and Founder & CIO of Tashi Capital, a Hong Kong-based investment manager which specialises in China and South Korea.  Tashi is driven by deep, proprietary research and manages a highly concentrated portfolio with an investment horizon of over 5 years. In this conversation, we cover Aileen's early experiences as a hedge fund analyst; how she came to specialise in China; what she is building with Tashi; and what the twin concepts of margin of safety and certainty mean to her. 

Longriver Investment Partners Limited (“Longriver”) is licensed with the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong (“SFC”) to provide Type 4 and Type 9 regulated activities in Hong Kong to Professional Investors only. Investment involves risk. This podcast is for informational purposes only and it is not intended as promotional material in any respect. It does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or services. Longriver makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the content.