Insight is Capital™ Podcast – Details, episodes & analysis

Can one word from a U.S. president really move markets by 8% in two hours? Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas calls it the "Trump Put"—and that's just for starters.

In this episode, Raise Your Average hosts Pierre and Mike welcome back Bloomberg Senior ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas, and co-host of Trillions, for a dynamic conversation that peels back the curtain on ETF flows, investor psychology, and the growing crossover between crypto and traditional finance. Balchunas unpacks the hidden narratives driving today's markets—from the surge in passive flows and rebalancing tailwinds, to the rise of “Vanguardians” and the Degens chasing leveraged plays. He also explores how mutual fund share classes, private credit, and public-private crossovers are changing the ETF landscape. With his signature humor and razor-sharp insight, Balchunas offers a front-row seat to the evolution of asset management.

00:00 – Intro and Eric Balchunas joins the show 03:00 – $333B ETF inflows and the "Vanguard clip" 05:45 – The divergence between retail flows and institutional positioning 07:00 – The "Trump Put" and the 8% rally on one word 08:30 – Degens, leveraged ETFs, and why people keep buying the dip 10:00 – Persistent love for U.S. stocks despite better international value 12:00 – Gold vs. Bitcoin: who's winning in 2025? 14:00 – Bitcoin's improving volatility profile and “better owners” 16:00 – Why Bitcoin ETFs are changing the game 18:30 – Cognitive dissonance: crypto purists vs. TradFi adoption 21:00 – Passive power, BlackRock conspiracies, and Bogle’s last stand 27:30 – ETF transparency vs. mutual fund mythology 30:00 – Mutual fund ETF share classes: game changer or Trojan horse? 34:00 – Private credit and public-private crossover ETFs 38:30 – Why XOVR’s SpaceX bet caught fire 40:00 – The veil lifts on private equity NAV “magic” 43:00 – Active ETFs: rebirth, reinvention, or just beta repackaged? 50:00 – The final frontier: alts, liquidity, and the ETF trust factor

#RaiseYourAverage #EricBalchunas #Bloomberg #ETFs #BitcoinETF #Vanguard #PrivateCredit #MutualFunds #TrumpPut #CryptoMarkets #GoldVsBitcoin #ETFFlows #InvestmentStrategy #MarketInsights Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

What happens when political ambition trumps economic reality? Doomberg lays it bare. In this episode, Doomberg returns to unpack the dangerous disconnect between Washington’s four-year campaign cycle and the multi-decade timelines required for industrial and energy investments. From Trump’s tariff threats to the fragility of global auto supply chains, we explore why the U.S. economy may be hurtling toward a recession of its own making. Doomberg dives deep into America's squandered energy advantage, China's calculated rise, and how short-term politics is colliding with long-term capital planning. If you care about markets, manufacturing, or the future of Western economic resilience — you don’t want to miss this one. Chapters: 00:00 – Introduction: Supply Chains, Tariffs, and Recession Risk 04:00 – Trump’s Strategy: Diagnosis vs. Execution 08:00 – Six Reasons Auto Tariffs Will Backfire 13:30 – EVs, China, and the Renewable Illusion 17:00 – Energy Politics: North America, Europe, and Asia Compared 22:00 – Reserves, Regulation, and the Bankability Crisis 27:30 – Capital Cycle vs. Political Cycle: The Core Mismatch 32:00 – Resource Riches and the Western Hemisphere Opportunity 39:00 – Natural Gas: Oversupplied, Undervalued, Unstoppable 44:30 – Energy Market Behavior: Spikes, Gluts, and Investor Strategy 49:00 – Why Projects Get Built Under Republicans, Profits Under Democrats 53:00 – Tariffs or Chaos? The Trump–Carney–Canada Connection 58:00 – Europe's Military Fantasy Meets Energy Reality 1:03:00 – War Fatigue, NATO, and the Illusion of Global Reach 1:09:00 – Final Thoughts: Diplomacy, Decline, and the Danger of Delusion

#RecessionWatch, #EVRevolution, #TradeWar, #EnergyPolicy, #BYDvsTesla, #SupplyChainDisruption, #MadeInAmerica, #IndustrialPolicy, #GeopoliticalRisk, #CapitalMarkets

Market uncertainty, rate cuts, U.S. exceptionalism, and a potential Canadian dollar shock—are we prepared for 2025? In this must-watch episode, Pierre Daillie sits down with Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager at Fidelity’s Global Asset Allocation Team, to dissect the most pressing questions investors and advisors are facing right now.

• Is the Canadian dollar heading for a collapse?

• Why are U.S. equities still the best game in town?

• Have investors misunderstood the bond market?

• Should portfolios brace for a new investment paradigm?

00:00:00 Intro & Welcome – Kicking off 2025 with uncertainty

00:02:00 A Market on Fire – Why a balanced portfolio returned 20% in 2024

00:03:00 The Elephant in the Room: Political Instability & Tariffs

00:07:00 Canada’s Hidden Economic Weakness & The BoC's Dire Post-Tariff Simulation

00:13:00 Inflation or Deflation? What a Shock Would Mean for Investors

00:18:00 Are Investors Front-Running Inflation?

00:22:00 Positioning for Uncertainty: How to Build Resilience into Portfolios

00:27:00 The Bond Market Paradox: Higher for Longer?

00:30:00 Why U.S. Equities Are Still the Best Bet in 2025

00:36:00 Rate Cuts: Canada Has to Cut, The Fed Wants to Cut

00:42:00 Will the Canadian Dollar Go On Sale?

00:49:00 The Rise of Alternatives & Why They’re Critical in This Market

00:54:00 The ‘Magic’ of Portfolio Construction in Volatile Markets

00:55:00 Closing Thoughts – An Elegant Solution for Complex Markets

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Get Fidelity's latest whitepaper: 11 Questions into 2025

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Listen to the full episode and get ahead of 2025’s biggest investment challenges!

#Markets #Investing #Finance #Economy #InterestRates #PortfolioManagement #WealthManagement #Stocks #Bonds #Canada #USMarkets #Alternatives #Fidelity #Tariffs #MacroEconomics

Darius Dale, Founder & CEO, 42 Macro LLC, and Mary Hagerman, Portfolio Manager, Raymond James (our guest advisor panelist) joined us on Raise Your Average for a full market macro overview. Darius Dale takes us through the inner workings of his and his firm's "GRID" macro framework as well as macro-forecast modelling framework. We discuss his outlook at the time for the markets and economy, and the inflationary and simultaneously, deflationary dynamics that are causing confusion surrounding whether inflation might be pernicious or temporary.

The key takeaway from this conversation is that we are likely entering a period of heightened volatility as the market reacts to what could be a temporary inflationary pulse, as Dale's framework suggests there is a "sea of D's" or (D)eflationary signals in 2022. It remains to be seen what the half-life could be of a 'reflation' trade (that favours for example value stocks vs. growth stocks) as we progress to toward the second half of this year.

Darius Dale's framework provides a fully quantified view of all market fundamentals - what he calls "Quantamental" – and it provides a magnificent view from 30,000 feet. Among the highlights of our conversation was a series of 3 charts that demonstrate quantitatively and eloquently the zeitgeist of inequality in the U.S., which gave rise to the Fed's disproportionately large stimulus reaction during the pandemic and how that has given rise to the inflationary pressure boundaries we are currently breaching. We also discuss the nuance of the question, "Is it inflation, or is it inflationary?"

Darius Dale on Linkedin

42 Macro LLC

Darius Dale on Twitter

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ReSolve Asset Management

ReSolve Asset Management Blog

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

Rodrigo Gordillo on Linkedin

Adam Butler on Linkedin

Pierre Daillie on Linkedin

Joseph Lamanna on Linkedin

AdvisorAnalyst.com

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This episode was recorded November 2021

"You don't have to be brilliant, just wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long time." Charlie Munger

Welcome to Raise Your Average, our deep dive journey into learning from the people and process behind the world of investing. Through conversations with leaders in the investments game, we peel back the layers of the onion on how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time, their energy, and their dollars.

We are all students and we are all teachers. We are the average of the 5 people we spend the most time with. Come hang out with us for a while and raise your average, as we raise ours.

Music credit: In Hip Hop, Paul Velchev (8MJZA6T3LK)

Michael White, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Multi-Asset Strategies at Picton Mahoney Asset Management joins Pierre Daillie to discuss how taking a multi-asset/multi-strategy approach to diversification - using alternative strategies that don’t rely on stock and bond markets rallying - can potentially help diversify the risks that investors are taking in the market and enhance the quality of returns in portfolios.

Phil Huber, CIO, Savant Wealth Management, based in Chicago, joins us for a deep dive on how advisors can thoughtfully and successfully implement alternatives to gain a competitive edge in portfolio construction. Phil is a former award-winning advisor, was appointed CIO, at Savant following the merger of Huber Financial Advisors and Savant Capital, which forged their $8-billion Chicago-land behemoth Savant Wealth Management RIA two years ago.

Recognizing that there was a massive proliferation of alternative investment vehicles, he decided to publish a tour-de-force guide that provides detail, reference, and rich insights on understanding how and why the universe of alternative investments available today fit into today's traditional retail investment portfolios.

Today's capital market assumptions (CMAs) show that investors must either lower their forward expected investment returns forecasts or learn how to productively use alternatives to augment total return and mitigate the risks inherent in today's low rates, low yields, and richly valued equity and bond markets.

We explore the numerous new tools and vehicles advisors, and in turn, their clients – investors – can exploit the alternatives universe that was once only available to UHNW investors and institutions. We also explore how advisors can begin to introduce the implementation of this universe of alternative investment solutions.

Phil provides insight as to what the five main categories of alternatives investors need to begin to consider adding to against their legacy 60/40 portfolios, which for the most part have, enjoyed a 40-year secular disinflationary tailwind since the 1980s, in order to reduce the risk of being blindsided by changes in market and economic regimes.

"The best portfolio is the one you can stick with," over the long term, through thick and thin, and since behavioural risk is potentially the most deleterious and costly risk investors can experience in their lifetimes, it has now become critical for advisors to set themselves apart by helping their clients to construct portfolios that are resilient and sustainable, from the point of view of being able to maintain strategic asset allocations over the long-term, without being destroyed by future flights-to-safety.

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Phil Huber on Linkedin

Phil Huber on Twitter (@bpsandpieces)

Bps and Pieces Blog

Savant Wealth Management

The Allocator's Edge: A modern guide to alternative investments and the future of diversification – https://links.advisoranalyst.com/The-Allocators-Edge

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ReSolve Asset Management

ReSolve Asset Management Blog

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

Rodrigo Gordillo on Linkedin

Adam Butler on Linkedin

Pierre Daillie on Linkedin

Joseph Lamanna on Linkedin

AdvisorAnalyst.com

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"You don't have to be brilliant, just wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long time." Charlie Munger

Welcome to Raise Your Average, our deep dive journey into learning from the people and process behind the world of investing. Through conversations with leaders in the investments game, we peel back the layers of the onion on how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time, their energy, and their dollars.

We are all students and we are all teachers. We are the average of the 5 people we spend the most time with. Come hang out with us for a while and raise your average, as we raise ours.

Music credit: In Hip Hop, Paul Velchev (8MJZA6T3LK)

Preet Banerjee, Founder and CEO of MoneyGaps (https://moneygaps.com) joins us for a deep dive into the topic of the value of financial advice, and he has been researching the answer to the question, "How do you quantify the value of financial advice?". This is a quintessential question, and the answer is not simple. We get into an eloquent and well explained conversation about the different qualitative and quantitative components that make up that value. As pretext, Preet Banerjee is in the process of completing a Ph.D. on this very subject of how to quantify the value of financial advice (across all advice channels).

In addition, Preet recently founded MoneyGaps.com (2019), a software service for financial advisors to help them deliver a lighter, but more holistic planning experience for Canadians who may not have millions of dollars. He explains how his company's Hybrid Advice Software-as-a-Service platform can be used by Canadian Advisors to bridge their ability to do business across the generational and/or under-accumulated wealth divides.

Preet is the bestselling author of the personal finance books, Stop Over-Thinking Your Money!: The Five Simple Rules Of Financial Success (2014).

Preet Banerjee on Linkedin

MoneyGaps (for Advisors)

PreetBanerjee.com

ReSolve Asset Management

ReSolve Asset Management Blog

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

Rodrigo Gordillo on Linkedin

Adam Butler on Linkedin

Pierre Daillie on Linkedin

Joseph Lamanna on Linkedin

AdvisorAnalyst.com

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"You don't have to be brilliant, just wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long time." Charlie Munger

Welcome to Raise Your Average, our deep dive journey into learning from the people and process behind the world of investing. Through conversations with leaders in the investments game, we peel back the layers of the onion on how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time, their energy, and their dollars.

We are all students and we are all teachers. We are the average of the 5 people we spend the most time with. Come hang out with us for a while and raise your average, as we raise ours.

Music credit: In Hip Hop, Paul Velchev (8MJZA6T3LK)

David Blanchett, Head of Retirement Research at $1.5-trillion AUM, PGIM (Prudential) and Dr. Michael Finke, Ph.D., Professor of Wealth Management, The American College, join us for a deep dive discussion into the challenges facing retirees, new ways of thinking about retirement and longevity, and new solutions advisors can use to help their clients optimize funding retirement income liabilities in this low rate, low yielding, & historically sky-high equity valuation environment. They answer the question, What are some of the newer ways retirees can approach this conundrum?

The concurrence of demographic waves, economic and market conditions, equity valuations and bond yields, have culminated in a situation that leaves many investors nearing or at retirement, cornered by a limited number of effective, and not-so-effective, investment income generating options, ranging from moderately risky, to highly risky. There's a great deal to consider, and we get into a profound look at all of the considerations, and some options may be considerably more useful and less risky than others from all angles given the current investment climate.

David Blanchett on Linkedin

Micheal Finke, Ph.D. on Linkedin

Wealth, Managed Podcast

Guaranteed Income: A Licence to Spend

ReSolve Asset Management

ReSolve Asset Management Blog

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

Rodrigo Gordillo on Linkedin

Adam Butler on Linkedin

Pierre Daillie on Linkedin

Joseph Lamanna on Linkedin

AdvisorAnalyst.com

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"You don't have to be brilliant, just wiser than the other guys, on average, for a long time." Charlie Munger

Welcome to Raise Your Average, our deep dive journey into learning from the people and process behind the world of investing. Through conversations with leaders in the investments game, we peel back the layers of the onion on how these holders of the keys to the kingdom allocate their time, their energy, and their dollars.

We are all students and we are all teachers. We are the average of the 5 people we spend the most time with. Come hang out with us for a while and raise your average, as we raise ours.

Music credit: In Hip Hop, Paul Velchev (8MJZA6T3LK)

Mary Hagerman, accomplished, award-winning Investment Advisor, Portfolio Manager, and best-selling author of 'The Black Belt Investor', at Raymond James, based in Montreal, joins us for a fireside chat. Our conversation spans from Mary's early career, her longstanding desire to implement true fiduciary financial planning in what was a traditional, transactional stockbroker/advisor driven business, to evolving her practice into a fee-based, discretionary portfolio management business model that allowed her to fulfill her career aspirations. The takeaway: It wasn't easy. There were numerous people, industry biases, and conflicting interests and challenges that could have just as well succeeded in dashing those hopes. But, there were also great mentors, and along her journey, her love and learning of martial arts (which inspired her to write her aptly titled book), which helped to embolden her resolve to become the wealth manager she is today.

In the midst of the mass financial trauma of the GFC in 2008-2009, Mary came to the wholehearted realization she wanted to transform the way she advises and invests with and for her clients, to include and substitute legacy investment products with low cost, index-based ETFs, and that if she was going to go higher and farther in the industry, her practice would have to make the leap into the fee-based realm. Unwittingly, Mary became one of the earliest women at her firm, and in Canada, to make the jump to not only using ETFs, but becoming fee-based, and jumping through the educational and regulatory hoops to earn the privelege of being a discretionary portfolio manager.

Mary discusses the challenges she faced as a woman coming up in the financial advisory business. In that regard, things have changed since, and she also reveals what she sees as all the silver linings – that this is a great opportunity and business for women to be in. Women, she remarks, are very well suited empathetically, and EQ wise, perhaps naturally more so, than men, better equipped at asking the hard, more sensitive and emotional questions, that men often shy away from, that get to the heart of peoples' relationship with money.

Finally, we talk about her highly regarded book, her newly formed charitable foundation (and how she did it), and her key advice for women wanting to be wealth advisors.

Mary Hagerman on Linkedin

The Mary Hagerman Group at Raymond James Ltd.

Mary Hagerman's bestseller

The Black Belt Investor: A Martial Arts Guide to Wealthness; How to Kick Butt and Feel Rich!

Jeff Bradacs, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Picton Mahoney Asset Management joins Pierre Daillie to discuss how a market neutral strategy can help keep Mr. Market quiet, especially in today’s economy and market that is transitioning from a high-growth, early-cycle recovery stage to a slower-growth, mid-cycle environment. Jeff breaks down how a market neutral strategy generates returns through stock selection, where he and his team are finding opportunities and what they see in the macro environment.

Where to find Picton Mahoney Asset Management:

Picton Mahoney

Picton Mahoney Insights