FactSet U.S. Daily Market Preview – Details, episodes & analysis

US equity futures slightly softer. European equities opened firmer, while Asian markets were mixed with South Korea and Hong Kong outperforming. Trump to decide within two weeks on potential Iran strike, extending earlier timeline amid reported backchannel talks between US envoy Witkoff and Iran's foreign minister. Japan’s May core inflation came in above expectations, keeping BOJ tightening speculation in play, while China held loan prime rates steady. BoE kept rates steady while SNB and Norges Bank cut rates; ECB bulletin released. Japan’s Akazawa downplayed July 9 as deadline for US trade talks, mirroring tone from EU officials as negotiations drag on.

Companies Mentioned: GMS Inc, Home Depot, QXO, Inc, Paramount Global, Ares Management Corp.

US equity futures slightly higher. European markets opened narrowly mixed, while Asian markets were also mixed. Geopolitical focus dominated as Trump held a National Security Council meeting to discuss potential strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, including the Fordow facility. Reports flagged risks of Iranian retaliation and potential mining of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump reiterated a hard stance, demanding Iran’s unconditional surrender. Trade talks saw little movement. Trump criticized EU and Japan for failing to offer fair deals and reiterated tariff threats, including imminent action on pharmaceuticals.

Companies Mentioned: KKR & Co, Orange, Zegona Communications, Hasbro, Plains All American Pipeline, Keyera

US equity futures slightly weaker. European markets opened flat to slightly higher, while most Asian markets ended in positive territory with Kospi outperforming. Markets focused on trade and central bank updates. The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps today amid cooling inflation. Uncertainty remains over the timing of a potential Trump-Xi call, with reports citing reluctance from China’s side. Institutional investors reportedly shifting away from US markets due to debt and trade concerns, with Europe seen as a relative beneficiary. Weaker-than-expected US ADP and ISM Services data added to Fed policy scrutiny ahead of Friday's jobs report. US fiscal concerns also back in focus, with the CBO projecting a $2.42T deficit increase from the reconciliation bill.

Companies Mentioned: NVIDIA, Amazon, Citigroup

US equity futures are little changed. European markets are firmer, while most Asian markets gained. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Trump-Xi call reportedly expected Friday, though no confirmation yet. China's restrictions on rare earths getting more attention with press highlighting growing concern among car makers that shortage of magnets could grind auto production to halt within weeks. Moreover, US Steel tariffs come into effect today, but a temporary 25% tariff remains for the UK until its trade deal comes into force. Korea's Lee Jae-myung won the presidential election, pledging economic stimulus and renewed trade talks. Markets also eye ECB’s Thursday meeting following soft Eurozone inflation and await US jobs data to gauge Fed’s rate path.

Companies Mentioned: BioNTech

S&P futures are pointing lower today, down (0.47%). European equity markets are firmer, following slightly weaker levels on Monday. Asian equity markets went mostly higher, with Hang Seng a notable outperformer. Overnight, US 2-year yield down 1 bps to 3.9% and 10-year down 3 bps to 4.4%. Dollar firmer, oil up, gold down, industrial metals lower. Renewed US-China trade tensions has spilled into public view with both sides accusing each other of reneging on Geneva deal. White House talking up prospects of a Trump-Xi call this week but no confirmation yet from China. Critical minerals remain source of tensions with China reportedly slow walking offer to relax rare earths curbs, a response to latest US tech curbs and revocation of Chinese student visas.

Companies Mentioned: Snowflake, Merck, Crunchy Data, MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

S&P futures are pointing lower today, down (0.5%). European equity markets are weaker. Asian markets are lower, with Nikkei, Hang Seng and Taiwan underperforming, mainland China closed for public holiday. Overnight, treasury yields went up, with the two year up 2bps and the ten year up 5bps. The U.S. dollar weaker, oil up, gold gains, industrial metals higher. Trade tensions weighing on risk appetite. US-China relations fraying a month with two sides accusing the other of violating Geneva agreement. Main disagreements revolve around US frustration at China slow walking offer of relaxing rare earths curbs and China taking issue with US at new export restrictions. On geopolitical front, China rebuked US after Defense Secretary Hegseth warned of potentially imminent Taiwan invasion. Renewed tensions come as press sources noted efforts underway to set up a Trump-Xi call in bid to move forward talks.

Companies Mentioned: Qualcomm, Alphawave IP Group, Sanofi, Blueprint Medicines, BASF

US equity futures are slightly lower after Thursday’s positive session. European markets are mostly higher, while Asian equities ended broadly weaker, with Hong Kong and Japan leading declines. US trade policy outlook clouded after Appeals Court stayed ruling that had blocked tariffs under IEEPA, leaving restrictions in place while further legal review proceeds. White House stressed alternative statutes could be used if needed, adding uncertainty to timing and process of trade decisions. US-Asia trade negotiations remain uneven: Bessent said China talks stalled and may require Xi-Trump call, while India highlighted progress and Japan prepares for next round. Tokyo inflation beat expectations, adding to market focus on BOJ tightening after Ueda reaffirmed data-driven approach this week.

Companies Mentioned: Synopsys, Seacoast Banking, Archer-Daniels-Midland

US equity futures are sharply higher after Wednesday's losses, with the S&P 500 up around 1.7%. European equity markets are firmer and Asian markets posted solid gains, particularly in Japan and South Korea. The US Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's reciprocal tariffs, adding uncertainty to ongoing trade negotiations ahead of the 9-Jul tariff deadline. Nvidia posted a $4.5B write-down tied to US export curbs and forecast another $8B impact this quarter, but left revenue guidance only slightly below consensus. The Trump administration is weighing further export restrictions targeting jet engines and semiconductor software. Secretary of State Rubio also flagged aggressive revocation of Chinese student visas. The May FOMC minutes showed officials continue to favor a cautious approach, citing uncertainty and the risk of persistent inflation amid labor market weakness.

Companies Mentioned: Tesla, GE Aerospace, Paramount Global

S&P futures are pointing to a slightly softer open today, down (0.2%). European equity markets are edging higher in early trades. Asia finished a mixed session with Japan and Korea flat or slightly higher, while Hong Kong and Australia traded lower. Bond markets remain in focus as yields initially rose on reports that Japan's finance ministry might reduce super-long bond issuance after last week's market turmoil. However, the latest JGB 40-year auction was softer than expected with a higher-than-expected accepted yield of 3.135%, the highest since 2007.

Companies Mentioned: Motorola, Travelers Cos., Chevron, Shein

S&P futures are pointing to a strong open today, up +1.5%. European equity markets are mostly higher in early trades with the FTSE 100 outperforming. Asian markets closed mostly lower, though Japan and Hong Kong saw modest gains. EU-US trade talks have intensified after President Trump delayed imposing 50% tariffs on EU imports, providing a 30-day window for negotiations. EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič engaged with U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick and Trade Representative Greer, signaling a shift toward a cooperative tone. The EU may consider concessions, such as increased purchases of U.S. LNG and agricultural products.

Companies Mentioned: Chevron, Trump Media, MAC Copper