Explore every episode of the podcast Facts vs Feelings with Ryan Detrick & Sonu Varghese
| Title | Pub. Date | Duration | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Things We Are Worried About (Ep. 112) | 04 Dec 2024 | 00:46:41 | |
Are today’s markets walking a tightrope? Balancing optimism with caution, Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, is joined by Barry Gilbert, VP of Wealth Management, to tackle three key market concerns in this thought-provoking episode of Facts vs. Feelings. They examine the complexities of policy risks, tariffs, and valuations, offering insights to help investors navigate today’s market uncertainties. This conversation delivers actionable strategies to help you manage uncertainty, stay diversified, and make sense of today’s market challenges. Whether navigating fiscal and monetary policy decisions, understanding global trends, or debating valuations, this conversation has something for every investor.
Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: Connect with Barry Gilbert: | |||
| Reasons to Be Thankful (Ep. 111) | 27 Nov 2024 | 00:40:56 | |
Surprising economic growth, falling inflation, and financial wins—what’s not to be thankful for? On this gratitude-filled episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, reflect on the moments, milestones, and market trends that make this year one to celebrate. Guest Barry Gilbert, VP of Wealth Management, joins to spotlight the U.S. economy’s surprising resilience. This release explores the drivers of today’s strong markets and their year-end outlook, from economic growth and moderating inflation to personal triumphs and professional gratitude. The hosts also share practical strategies for staying diversified and grounded in fundamentals while embracing gratitude as a mindset for success. Key Highlights:
Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: Connect with Barry Gilbert: | |||
| The Fed Goes Big: What the Recent Rate Cut Means for Investors (Ep. 102) | 25 Sep 2024 | 00:49:02 | |
Is the Fed’s latest rate cut a sign of turbulent times ahead or a smart move to sustain growth? In this week’s episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, examine the Federal Reserve’s significant decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (or half a percentage point) — the first reduction since March 2020. This pivotal move carries major implications for investors, the economy, and overall market sentiment. Ryan and Sonu explore the reasoning behind the Fed’s policy shift and explain what it means for those managing portfolios in today’s financial landscape. Are we looking at a new phase of economic momentum, or are there hidden risks on the horizon? The hosts offer a detailed analysis, along with practical advice for financial advisors and investors adjusting their strategies in response to this new economic reality. Key Highlights:
Resources:
Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: | |||
| E12: Against the Grain | 29 Nov 2022 | 00:36:18 | |
In today’s episode, we give our takes on some well know things happening in the investment world. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. | |||
| E11: Jamie Hopkins - Find Your Freedom | 22 Nov 2022 | 00:33:41 | |
In today’s episode, we sit down with Author Jamie Hopkins to discuss his new book Find Your Freedom: Financial Planning for a Life on Purpose. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E10: Talkin’ Turkey: 3 Things We’re Thankful For | 16 Nov 2022 | 00:31:18 | |
In today’s episode, we cover the rise in stocks, crypto, inflation, and what the FED is up to. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E9: The Next Six Months... | 10 Nov 2022 | 00:33:09 | |
In today’s episode, we talk about some things that have been surprising in the market this year, what could happen after the midterm elections, and the FED’s recent increase in interest rates. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E8: PIMCO's Libby Cantrill | 01 Nov 2022 | 00:39:28 | |
In today’s episode, Libby Cantrill joins us to talk about the upcoming elections and the impact they could have for the investor. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. | |||
| E7: Did the Fed Blink | 26 Oct 2022 | 00:32:30 | |
In today’s episode, we touch on the hard and soft data available today from the FED as well earning season so far. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E6: What is Spooking Investors | 19 Oct 2022 | 00:35:11 | |
In today’s episode, we look at what is scaring the investors in relation to the market, the CPI, and what Jamie Dimon is predicting. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E5: So Good It's Bad? | 11 Oct 2022 | 00:30:49 | |
In today’s episode, we look at the recent release of the employment number and what that means for the economy and the investor. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E4: The Ugly, the Bad, and the Good | 05 Oct 2022 | 00:29:18 | |
In today’s episode, we look and the ugly, the bad, and the good of what is happening in the financial world. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E3: The Economy and the UK Situation | 30 Sep 2022 | 00:29:52 | |
In today’s episode, we discuss the Fed, the economy, and the situation in the UK. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| Talking Charts: How to Read the Market Like a Pro with Frank Cappelleri (Ep. 101) | 18 Sep 2024 | 00:43:30 | |
Staying ahead of market volatility requires more than just luck — it demands sharp technical insights and smart risk management. This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group are joined by Frank Cappelleri, CFA, CMT, Founder, and President at CappThesis. Together, they explore essential technical patterns and market signals that can help traders and financial advisors navigate volatility and optimize their strategies. Is the bull market still on track for higher gains, or should traders prepare for turbulence? Frank explores key topics, from the S&P 500's bullish target to the influence of inflation on investor sentiment. So, tune in as he offers actionable insights on using technical analysis for risk management and effective portfolio management. Key Highlights:
Takeaway: To navigate today's markets, understanding key technical signals and being adaptable in risk management strategies is more important than ever. Resources:
Connect with Frank Cappelleri: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Frank Cappelleri is the founder of CappThesis, with over two decades of experience in the finance industry. He worked for major brokerage firms like Instinet and Smith Barney, gaining extensive expertise as an equity sales trader, desk strategist, and research sales specialist. His deep understanding of short-term market movements was shaped by early exposure to technical analysis and insights from experienced market technicians. Frank regularly appears on CNBC, Bloomberg TV, and other financial networks, and his work has been featured in major publications like The Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg. He holds both CFA and CMT designations. | |||
| E2: Inflation and Investing with Gargi Pal Chaudhuri | 26 Sep 2022 | 00:26:21 | |
In today’s episode, Gargi Pal Chaudhuri joins to discuss inflation and what that means for the investor. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Derrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. You can find other information at CarsonGroup.com. | |||
| E1: Welcome to Facts vs Feelings | 20 Sep 2022 | 00:28:19 | |
This podcast takes a deep dive into the market moving events to cut through the noise and help you identify what really matters. Facts vs Feelings is hosted by Ryan Detrick and Sonu Varghese and is a product of the Carson Investment Research team. | |||
| Celebrating Bull Markets and Episode 100 with Tom Lee (Ep. 100) | 11 Sep 2024 | 00:37:45 | |
Tune in for our centennial celebration! In this special milestone episode, we’re celebrating the 100th episode of Facts vs Feelings with a live audience and special guest Tom Lee, Managing Partner and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Together with hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, Tom discusses market outlooks, evolving investment strategies, and key economic trends shaping the future. What’s next for the S&P 500? How do historical patterns and Fed actions impact today's market? And why should financial advisors pay close attention to demographic trends and Bitcoin? Tom Lee offers his bold predictions, including the path to S&P 15,000 and the evolving role of Bitcoin in investment portfolios. They discuss:
Connect with Tom Lee: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Thomas Lee is a Managing Partner and the Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. He is an accomplished Wall Street strategist with over 25 years of experience in equity research, and has been top-ranked by Institutional Investor every year since 1998. Prior to co-founding Fundstrat, he served as J.P. Morgan’s Chief Equity Strategist from 2007 to 2014, and previously as Managing Director at Salomon Smith Barney. His areas of expertise include Market Strategy, Small/Mid-Cap Strategy and Telecom Services. Mr. Lee received his BSE from the Wharton School at University of Pennsylvania with concentrations in Finance and Accounting. He is a CFA charterholder and is an active member of NYSSA and the NY Economic Club. | |||
| Talking About The Economy With Dr. David Kelly (Ep. 99) | 28 Aug 2024 | 00:37:07 | |
Understanding today’s economy requires a keen eye on labor markets, Federal Reserve policies, and fiscal strategies. How do these factors interplay to shape the financial landscape? What practical advice can help investors stay grounded amid market noise? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Together they discuss the dynamic nature of the global economy. You'll learn about the practical applications of charts and data in economic analysis, the impact of monetary policy on recession fears, and the relationship between inflation and unemployment. Dr. Kelly also offers invaluable insights into the recent upward trends in productivity and the critical outlook for fiscal policy as we approach 2025. They discuss:
Interested in hearing more from Dr. David Kelly? Subscribe to his shows wherever you listen to podcasts.
Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Dr. David Kelly is the Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team for J.P. Morgan Asset Management. With over 20 years of experience, David provides valuable insight and perspective on the economy and markets to the institutional investor and financial advisor global communities. David’s research focuses on investment implications of an evolving economic environment. He has written extensively on all aspects of the U.S. economy and his proprietary U.S. economic forecasting model helps shape his views on both the economic landscape and prospective asset class returns. He currently sits on JP Morgan Fund’s operating committee. Throughout his career, David has developed a unique ability to explain complex economic and market issues in a language that financial professionals can use to communicate to their clients. He is a keynote speaker at many national investment conferences and a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and other financial media outlets. Prior to joining J.P. Morgan Asset Management, David served as Economic Advisor to Putnam Investments. He has also served as a senior strategist/economist at SPP Investment Management, Primark Decision Economics, Lehman Brothers and DRI/McGraw-Hill. David is a CFA® charterholder. He also has a Ph.D and M.A. in Economics from Michigan State University and a B.A. in Economics from University College Dublin in the Republic of Ireland. | |||
| Talking AI with Dani Fava (Ep. 98) | 21 Aug 2024 | 01:10:19 | |
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming the financial industry, offering both exciting opportunities and significant challenges. How is AI being integrated specifically into financial services? What are the potential risks and rewards of this technology? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Davi Fava, Chief Strategy Officer at Carson Group, for an in-depth conversation on artificial intelligence and its revolutionary impact on finance. Dani takes us through the intricate world of AI, explaining its incredible potential, addressing common fears, and highlighting how Carson Group is integrating this technology to better serve their clients. Additionally to our conversation with Dani, Ryan and Sonu discuss the recent performance of the S&P 500, the impact of economic data on market trends, and the outlook for future market movements. They also touch on the role of small businesses and the Federal Reserve’s actions in shaping the economy. Key topics discussed:
Connect with Davi Fava: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Dani Fava serves the pivotal role of Chief Strategy Officer at Carson Group, wielding over two decades of experience in wealth management to drive our strategic direction. Charged with enhancing the client experience through differentiated products and services, Dani’s leadership is instrumental in shaping innovative growth strategies and advancing the industry on financial advice and the use of AI. Before joining Carson Group, Dani held influential positions at Envestnet and TD Ameritrade, where she spearheaded initiatives such as digital onboarding, strategic partnerships, and AI integration. Dani’s contributions include the development of advisor technologies like iRebal and the Model Market Center, reflecting her commitment to empowering advisors with cutting-edge tools and insights. Her impact and forward-thinking vision earned her a spot on FinTech Magazine’s Top 100 Women in FinTech (2021), InvestmentNews’ Women to Watch (2020), and ThinkAdvisor’s 2020 IA25, underscoring her status as a trailblazer in wealth management innovation. In addition to her professional achievements, Dani is recognized for her thought leadership in the industry, often speaking at conferences and contributing to discussions on the future of financial technology. Dani also serves on the board of Language & Culture Worldwide (LCW), a culture consulting company. This work is an extension of her commitment to see more inclusion in the wealth management industry. | |||
| What Is It About August? (Ep. 97) | 14 Aug 2024 | 00:42:56 | |
The month of August can often bring unexpected market volatility, and in this release we touch on the reasons behind it and how investors can stay prepared. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, explore the recurring phenomenon of August market volatility, discussing historical events that have shaken the markets during this seemingly unpredictable month. Joined by insights from various professionals, they analyze the reasons behind these patterns and offer valuable perspectives on how investors can navigate the choppy waters of late summer trading. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Is There Anything to Fear? (Ep. 96) | 07 Aug 2024 | 00:56:20 | |
How do you know when to stay the course or press the panic button during market volatility? In this special episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Barry Gilbert, CFA®, Ph.D. Vice President, Asset Allocation Strategist at Carson Group, and Grant Engelbart CFA®, CAIA®, Vice President, Investment Strategist at Carson Group, for a discussion of this period of heightened market turmoil. The team dives into the recent volatility triggered by the Bank of Japan's actions, the impact of weak job data on the Fed's interest rate decisions, and the ripple effects on both global and domestic markets. They discuss:
Connect with Barry Gilbert: Connect with Grant Engelbart: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Barry Gilbert: Barry Gilbert is a Vice President, Asset Allocation Strategist. As the VP, Asset Allocation Strategist, Barry Gilbert combines a background in thought leadership with a pragmatic and disciplined approach to portfolio management. Barry holds a PhD in philosophy from Boston University, an MA from the Pennsylvania State University, and a BA from Haverford College. A former educator, he taught finance and economics in the MSF and MBA programs at Northeastern University’s D’Amore-McKim School of Business. Prior to his career in asset management, Barry taught philosophy, the history of ideas, and writing and rhetoric at Harvard University, Trinity College and Boston University, and has served as a visiting research fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna, an international think tank in politics and economics. About Grant Engelbart: Grant Engelbart serves as Vice President, Investment Strategist for Carson Group. In this role, Grant is part of the team responsible for the management of the Carson Investment platform, In-house Carson model portfolios, and contribution to the overall asset allocation viewpoints of the investment team. Grant received his Bachelor of Science in finance from the University of Nebraska at Lincoln. He is a CFA® Charter holder, holds the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) designation, and Series 65 registration. He is a member of the CFA® Society of Nebraska and the CAIA Chicago chapter. He has contributed to numerous publications and is an active contributor to commentary related to the ETF industry. | |||
| Investing Insights with Cliff Asness (Ep. 95) | 31 Jul 2024 | 00:55:59 | |
How do you balance rigorous research with open-mindedness in investing? How do you communicate effectively with clients during volatile times? This week, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Cliff Asness, Managing and Founding Principal at AQR Capital Management, for an insightful discussion on market strategies and the nuances of value investing. Cliff shares his thoughts on the current state of value investing, explores the concept of 'value spread,' and even dips into some fun side topics. They discuss:
Connect with Cliff Asness: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Cliff Asness is a Founder, Managing Principal, and Chief Investment Officer at AQR Capital Management. He is an active researcher and has authored articles on a variety of financial topics for many publications, including The Journal of Portfolio Management, Financial Analysts Journal, The Journal of Finance, and The Journal of Financial Economics. He has received five Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy Awards from The Journal of Portfolio Management in 2002, 2004, 2005, 2014, and 2015. Financial Analysts Journal has twice awarded him the Graham and Dodd Award for the year’s best paper, as well as a Graham and Dodd Excellence Award, the award for the best perspectives piece, and the Graham and Dodd Readers’ Choice Award. He has won the second prize of the Fama/DFA Prize for Capital Markets and Asset Pricing in the 2020 Journal of Financial Economics. In 2006, the CFA Institute presented Cliff with the James R. Vertin Award, which is periodically given to individuals who have produced a body of research notable for its relevance and enduring value to investment professionals. Prior to co-founding AQR Capital Management, he was a Managing Director and Director of Quantitative Research for the Asset Management Division of Goldman Sachs & Co. He is on the editorial board of The Journal of Portfolio Management, the governing board of the Courant Institute of Mathematical Finance at NYU, the board of directors of the Q-Group, the board of the International Rescue Committee and the board of trustees of The National WWII Museum. Cliff received a B.S. in economics from the Wharton School and a B.S. in engineering from the Moore School of Electrical Engineering at the University of Pennsylvania, graduating summa cum laude in both. He received an M.B.A. with high honors and a Ph.D. in finance from the University of Chicago, where he was Eugene Fama’s student and teaching assistant for two years. | |||
| Is This Really Happening? (Ep. 94) | 24 Jul 2024 | 00:45:39 | |
Market chaos and travel nightmares might seem unrelated, but they both reveal deeper systemic issues and opportunities. How do travel disruptions reflect broader economic vulnerabilities? What historical parallels can we draw to understand current market trends? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, discuss their recent travel challenges due to the massive IT outage, inflation data, and bullish market indicators. They also touch on the impact of President Biden stepping down from the elections, as well as consumer and industrial strength. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Inflation is Last Year's Problem (Ep. 93) | 17 Jul 2024 | 00:43:41 | |
Inflation is no longer the primary concern for investors, as market dynamics begin to shift and new opportunities arise. How do recent inflation trends impact market behavior? What are the implications of the recent rally in small caps, and how do geopolitical events influence market reactions? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into recent market dynamics, focusing on how the rally in small caps and improving inflation data indicate fresh opportunities in the investment landscape. Listen as they discuss the implications of these movements, including the enhanced breadth in the stock market and the potential for a dovish shift from the Fed. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Will Higher Rates Break The Economy? (Ep. 110) | 20 Nov 2024 | 00:45:45 | |
With interest rates climbing to historic highs, is the economy teetering on the brink—or are opportunities waiting in the wings? This week on Facts vs. Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, assess the far-reaching effects of rising rates on the economy and markets. Ryan and Sonu examine how these trends reshape investment opportunities, from skyrocketing mortgage rates—eroding housing affordability—to sector rotations in the S&P 500. They reveal why inflation might be cooling faster than official data suggests, the surprising resilience of consumer strength, and whether the Fed’s cautious “wait-and-see” approach hints at a future policy shift. Tune in as the duo also explores market dynamics, uncovers the lessons of the 1995 Greenspan era, and discusses how high productivity could provide a unique opportunity for rate cuts without economic stagnation! Key Highlights:
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| Here's Our Midyear Outlook (Ep. 92) | 10 Jul 2024 | 00:46:04 | |
Carson’s midyear outlook “Eyes on The Prize” is out now! How do you balance immediate market reactions with overarching economic indicators? What strategies can help investors stay focused amidst market noise? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into their midyear outlook, discussing everything from the economy and inflation to the Fed's position and stock market expectations. You'll hear about their insights into the labor market's strength, inflation trends, and the possibility of future Fed rate cuts. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Why Even Nvidia Can't Stop This Bull (Ep. 91) | 26 Jun 2024 | 00:42:07 | |
What drives the relentless ascent of stock prices, and how does a tech giant like Nvidia find itself at the forefront of market value? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group dive into the current bull market and discuss potential future trends. They analyze Nvidia's astonishing rise, making it the most valuable company in the world for a brief moment, and what that means for other tech giants and the broader market. You'll gain insights into the first half of the year's stock performance and the economic indicators that are shaping investor sentiment. Special attention is given to the resilience of the U.S. economy, sector performances, and expectations for the year's second half. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| The Biggest Mistake The Fed Could Make (Ep. 90) | 19 Jun 2024 | 00:47:09 | |
What is the biggest mistake the Fed could potentially make? With inflation cooling off, is the change in the Fed’s behavior the right move? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dissect the Federal Reserve's recent decisions, the outlook for inflation, and why the economy's resilience might lead to unexpected outcomes. They dive into market breadth, the complexities of inflation data, and explore whether the Fed's continued hawkish stance is justified amid signs of softening inflation. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
Resources:
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| Timeless Lessons with Professor Jeremy Siegel (Ep. 89) | 12 Jun 2024 | 00:33:35 | |
It's always a great time to talk with a key individual in the industry, and today we are excited to welcome back Professor Jeremy Siegel! In this special episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group sit down with Professor Jeremy Siegel, Professor Emeritus & Chief Economist at Wisdomtree Asset Management, to explore topics ranging from the stock market to AI's impact on GDP and the Federal Reserve's role in shaping the economy. They uncover the timeless principles of investing and the potential of AI to revolutionize productivity and growth. Together they cover:
Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Jeremy Siegel is the Russell E. Palmer Professor of Finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He graduated from Columbia University in 1967, received his Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1971, and spent one year as a National Science Foundation Post-Doctoral Fellow at Harvard University. Prof. Siegel taught for four years at the Graduate School of Business of the University of Chicago before joining the Wharton faculty in 1976. He has written and lectured extensively about the economy and financial markets, has appeared frequently on CNN, CNBC, NPR and others networks. He is a regular columnist for Kiplinger’s and Yahoo! Finance and has contributed articles to The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, The Financial Times and other national and international news media. Prof. Siegel served for 15 years as head of economics training at JP Morgan and is currently the academic director of the U.S. Securities Industry Institute. Prof. Siegel is the author of numerous professional articles and three books. Prof. Siegel is currently the academic director of the U.S. Securities Industry Institute. He also currently serves as Senior Investment Strategy Advisor of WisdomTree Investments, Inc., consulting the firm on its proprietary stock indexes. He is also a member of the company’s board of directors. Professor Jeremy Siegel is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. | |||
| How Worried Should We Be About a Slowing Economy? (Ep. 88) | 05 Jun 2024 | 00:39:48 | |
As whispers of a slowing economy grow louder, investors strive for clarity. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dissect the current economic signals and their implications for investors. They explore the recent stock market reactions to political events and delve into the broader economic indicators that are fueling concerns about a potential slowdown. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Talking About Markets and Life with Jeremy Schwartz (Ep. 87) | 29 May 2024 | 00:40:09 | |
Markets remain uncertain, but sitting down with top industry insiders can help clear the uncertainties. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, are joined by Jeremy Schwartz, Global Chief Investment Officer at WisdomTree Asset Management. Together they engage in a rich conversation on the current state of global markets, the impact of inflation, tech stocks, the future of interest rates and more! Jeremy discusses:
Connect with Jeremy Schwartz: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Jeremy Schwartz has served as our Global Chief Investment Officer since November 2021 and leads WisdomTree’s investment strategy team in the construction of WisdomTree’s equity Indexes, quantitative active strategies and multi-asset Model Portfolios. Jeremy joined WisdomTree in May 2005 as a Senior Analyst, adding Deputy Director of Research to his responsibilities in February 2007. He served as Director of Research from October 2008 to October 2018 and as Global Head of Research from November 2018 to November 2021. Before joining WisdomTree, he was a head research assistant for Professor Jeremy Siegel and, in 2022, became his co-author on the sixth edition of the book Stocks for the Long Run. Jeremy is also co-author of the Financial Analysts Journal paper “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500?” He received his B.S. in economics from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and hosts the Wharton Business Radio program Behind the Markets on SiriusXM 132. Jeremy is a member of the CFA Society of Philadelphia. | |||
| Dow 40k, Now What? (Ep. 86) | 22 May 2024 | 00:46:57 | |
As investors contemplate the significance of the Dow hitting 40,000, they are wondering about the market’s next moves. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat about the Dow reaching 40,000, the implications for investors, and the broader market sentiment. They also touch on the current state of inflation, analyzing recent reports and their implications for the economy. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Talking About the Future of Carson Group with Burt White (Ep. 85) | 15 May 2024 | 00:40:54 | |
Discover the vision and strategy behind Carson Group’s evolution as Burt White steps into the role of CEO! In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Burt White, CEO at Carson Group, to explore the company’s direction under his leadership and the legacy of service excellence they aim to uphold. Together they discuss:
Connect with Burt White: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: A prominent voice and advocate for the independent advisor, Burt White is Chief Executive Officer at Carson Group. He helps steer the company’s strategic focus as a member of Carson’s executive board. Drawing on decades of industry experience, Burt augments and elevates the firm’s opportunities for growth across corporate and investment strategies. He works with Carson’s investment team to build and deliver an investment ecosystem that drives growth for the firm’s 140+ partners, who collectively manage $30 billion in assets. Burt’s excitement to redefine how our industry talks about wealth shines through in his work. He believes adaptability is a superpower and is highly motivated to innovate, pioneer and deliver forward-thinking industry thought-leadership. Burt is passionate about making a meaningful impact in the lives of clients and advisors. Given that passion and his unique talent for client storytelling, he is well equipped to help our advisors best serve clients and generate new business. Carson Group Founder and Chairman Ron Carson calls Burt a visionary in the industry who understands where the profession is and where it needs to go. Before joining the Carson team, Burt served for 14 years as Managing Director and Chief Investment Officer at LPL Financial. There, he fostered the development and evolution of LPL’s capabilities to effectively support advisor efficiency and growth. | |||
| Talking About Everything Under the Sun with Eddy Elfenbein (Ep. 84) | 08 May 2024 | 00:46:28 | |
The art of stock picking is a skill that can lead to significant rewards for those who master it. How does one sift through the noise to identify undervalued gems? What does it take to maintain a long-term perspective in a market driven by short-term sentiments? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Eddy Elfenbein, Portfolio Manager, to explore his journey as a well-known stock picker. They dive into several topics, such as Eddy's approach to selecting stocks, his ETF, thoughts on macroeconomic trends, and the importance of being optimistic about the stock market.
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| Buy in May and Stay (Ep. 83) | 01 May 2024 | 00:47:36 | |
Staying on top of market trends and reviewing investment strategies is crucial for investors looking to optimize their portfolios. What does May look like historically when we look back on previous years? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, discuss the current state of the market, exploring what to expect in May and the factors influencing its direction. Additionally, they touch on GDP, inflation, and the Fed. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| The Post-Election Chase is On (Ep. 109) | 13 Nov 2024 | 00:44:14 | |
As the post-election market rally gains momentum, how can investors position themselves for what’s next? This week on Facts vs. Feelings, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, assess the economic implications of recent election results and a renewed Trump administration. From anticipated Republican policy shifts—like potential tax cuts, deregulation, and deficit spending—to a bullish outlook for small-cap stocks, Ryan and Sonu examine how these strategies may shape market sentiment in the months ahead. They discuss the impact of a strong dollar on international equities, why gold’s recent dip could offer buying opportunities, and whether bond yields might stabilize following recent increases. So, tune in as they explore market patterns, highlighting how post-election years often deliver solid performance and explore how non-traditional media, like podcasts, are increasingly shaping election sentiment. Key Highlights:
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| Yes, Stocks Can Go Down (Ep. 82) | 24 Apr 2024 | 00:39:55 | |
Market volatility is a constant companion for investors, but understanding the underlying economic indicators can provide a clearer path forward. How do we interpret the recent market pullback? What do the surging yields and inflation data tell us about the future economic outlook? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, explore the recent market pullback, the surge in yields, and what these indicators mean for the economy. They dive into the reasons behind the market’s behavior, the impact of inflation data, and the Federal Reserve’s potential actions. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Talking About AI with Dan Ives (Ep. 81) | 17 Apr 2024 | 00:46:23 | |
Discover the transformative power of AI as we explore its impact on the tech industry and beyond! This week on the Facts vs Feelings podcast, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, chat with Dan Ives, Managing Director, Equity Research at Wedbush Securities. They dive into the long-term implications of AI, the comparison between the current tech transformation and historical moments, and the potential of AI to drive unprecedented growth in various sectors. Dan discusses:
Connect with Dan Ives: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Daniel Ives is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst covering the Technology sector at Wedbush Securities since 2018. Dan has been a tech analyst on Wall Street for over two decades covering the software and the broader technology sector. He spent the first few years of his career as a financial analyst at HBO and then received his MBA in Finance before becoming a globally known technology equity research analyst and Managing Director with FBR Capital Markets for 16 years, focusing on the enterprise software/hardware sectors including cyber security, cloud computing, big data technology, and the mobile landscape. A major area of his research focus is electric vehicles and disruptive technology over the next decade. Dan is a highly sought-after tech expert around the world, has been a keynote speaker across the US, Europe, and Asia, and regularly makes television appearances on networks such as CNBC, Bloomberg, BBC, NBC, CBS, ABC, CNN, and Fox News to provide commentary related to his technology expertise. Dan can be heard regularly doing radio on the tech sector for Bloomberg, ABC News, NPR, BBC, and other radio broadcasts throughout the US, Europe, and Asia. Dan is often cited globally by publications such as The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Investor’s Business Daily, Chicago Tribune, NY Post, Los Angeles Times, The Telegraph, San Francisco Chronicle, Time Magazine, The Washington Post, The Guardian, South China Morning Post, Barron’s, The Times of London, Financial Times, The Sydney Morning Herald, and New York Times, among many others. | |||
| Total Eclipse of the Bears (Ep. 80) | 10 Apr 2024 | 00:36:39 | |
With the bull market we have had for several months now, it is normal for some to have doubts about its continuation. What can we expect for the markets? How is the economy doing and why should investors consider it? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into the stock market's performance amidst economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy considerations. They navigate through employment growth, GDP, inflation, and inflation expectations, illuminating how these factors influence market sentiment and investor strategies. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Talking About the Future with Cathie Wood (Ep. 79) | 03 Apr 2024 | 00:48:23 | |
In a world where technology rapidly reshapes the landscape of industries, disruptive innovation stands at the forefront of this transformation. It challenges the status quo, propels economies forward, and redefines what is possible. As we dive into the minds of those who navigate these territories, we gain invaluable insights into the future of finance, investment, and the global economy. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, sit down with Cathie Wood, CEO and CIO of Ark Invest, to explore the intricacies of disruptive innovation, the significance of technical analysis in investment strategies, and the potential underestimation of GDP growth due to technological advancements. Cathie Wood shares her bullish perspective on Bitcoin and emphasizes the importance of female leadership and coding in the future of finance. Cathie discusses:
Connect with Cathie Wood: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Cathie Wood registered ARK Investment Management LLC (“ARK”) as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in January 2014. With over 40 years of experience identifying and investing in innovation, Cathie founded ARK to focus solely on disruptive innovation while adding new dimensions to research. Through an open approach that cuts across sectors, market capitalizations, and geographies, Cathie believes that ARK can identify large-scale investment opportunities in the public markets resulting from technological innovations centered around DNA sequencing, robotics, artificial intelligence, energy storage, and blockchain technology. As Chief Investment Officer (“CIO”) and Portfolio Manager, Cathie led the development of ARK’s philosophy and investment approach and has ultimate responsibility for investment decisions. Prior to ARK, Cathie spent twelve years at AllianceBernstein as CIO of Global Thematic Strategies where she managed over $5 billion. Cathie joined Alliance Capital from Tupelo Capital Management, a hedge fund she co-founded, which in 2000, managed approximately $800 million in global thematic strategies. Prior to her tenure at Tupelo Capital, she worked for 18 years with Jennison Associates LLC as Chief Economist, Equity Research Analyst, Portfolio Manager and Director. | |||
| Talking About the Resilient Economy with Neil Dutta (Ep. 78) | 27 Mar 2024 | 00:53:50 | |
"Inflation is on a glide path lower." Neil Dutta from RenMac LLC shares his thoughts with us today on Facts vs Feelings, offering a fresh perspective on the current economic landscape. Despite a rocky start in January, there's a sense of optimism in the air. In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group discuss economic insights with Neil Dutta, Head of Economics, RenMac LLC. Neil challenges the consensus on slowing economic growth and dismisses long and variable lags in monetary policy. The trio also explores the role of real-world indicators, the impact of commodity shocks, and the Federal Reserve's actions on the economy. They delve into entrepreneurship, productivity, and the potential of AI in investing. Neil discusses:
Connect with Neil Dutta: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: As Head of Economic Research, Neil Dutta leads RenMac’s macroeconomic research efforts, with an emphasis on analyzing the US economy, Federal Reserve, global trends, and cross-market investment themes. Prior to RenMac, Neil spent seven years at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. There, he was a Senior Economist covering both the United States and Canada. Neil appears frequently in the financial press, representing the firm on Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox Business. He has been quoted by the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Associated Press, and has been featured in the New York Times for his out-of-consensus economic views on a host of topics including employment, consumption, inflation, and housing. A business economist with 2 decades of sell-side experience, Neil graduated Cum Laude from New York University with a bachelor’s degree, double majoring in Economics and Political Science. In his spare time, Neil tries to entertain his three kids. When he is not at his desk, or with his kids, Neil is traveling somewhere with his wife, Puja. The couple currently resides in New Jersey after spending many years in Brooklyn. | |||
| Why This Isn't a Bubble (Ep. 77) | 20 Mar 2024 | 00:51:42 | |
Over the last 20 weeks, we have seen a huge rally in the stock market, led by tech stocks like Nvidia, which has led some to believe that we are in a bubble. Is that true? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dive into whether the market is truly in a bubble, suggesting that diversification is crucial as earnings growth shows resilience. The conversation also covers interest rates, Japan’s economy, inflation, and the impact of defense spending on the economy, hinting at potential future increases in defense investment. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Is Anyone Bearish? (Ep. 76) | 13 Mar 2024 | 00:53:26 | |
The market’s changing trends and sentiments play a pivotal role in determining smart investment strategies. When we look at the massive rally the stock market has seen over the last few months, what is expected for the market in the near future? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze the recent market rally and the lack of a buying frenzy, despite all-time highs. They dive into specific stocks and market sentiment, reflecting on lessons from past financial crises and the importance of a long-term perspective. The conversation also covers job reports, interest rate, productivity, and more! Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Election Special with Libby Cantrill of PIMCO (Ep. 75) | 06 Mar 2024 | 00:47:06 | |
As the race to the White House heats up, experts from the financial sector weigh in on the high-stakes implications of the upcoming presidential election. Today on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group analyze the upcoming presidential election's potential effects on financial markets with Libby Cantrill, Head of Public Policy at PIMCO. They dissect the political landscape's influence on the markets and discuss Joe Biden's likelihood of remaining the Democratic nominee, comparing the current political climate to historical elections. Their conversation also covers pivotal issues that could sway key battleground states, and how re-election campaigns might influence stock market performance. Additionally, they touch on the role of Congress in fiscal policy and the implications for equity and bond markets. Libby discusses:
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Connect with Libby Cantrill: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About our guest: Ms. Cantrill is head of U.S. public policy and a managing director in PIMCO's portfolio management group. In her role, she analyzes policy and political risk for the firm’s Investment Committee and leads U.S. policymaker engagement and policy strategy for the firm. She also works closely with PIMCO’s Global Advisory Board, led by former Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke. She has served as a rotating member of the firm’s Executive Committee and is a founding member of PIMCO Families and PIMCO Women. Prior to joining PIMCO in 2007, she served as a legislative aide in the House of Representatives and also worked in the investment banking division at Morgan Stanley. She has 19 years of investment experience and holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and received her undergraduate degree in economics from Brown University. Ms. Cantrill is a CFA charter holder and a regular contributor to Bloomberg and CNBC. She is also a member of the Council on Foreign Relations and sits on the boards of Covenant House New York and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association ("SIFMA"). Libby Cantrill is not affiliated with CWM, LLC. | |||
| It Is a NVIDIA World, We Are Just Living in It (Ep. 74) | 28 Feb 2024 | 00:47:36 | |
Can NVIDIA sustain its remarkable earnings growth? This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group analyze the stock market's current state, with a special focus on NVIDIA's stellar earnings and the market's overall positioning. They discuss their strategic investment preferences, favoring sectors like industrials, financials, energy, and healthcare, while maintaining a neutral stance on technology and communications. They’re optimistic about the market's broad-based expansion and highlight the importance of managing volatility in their diverse portfolio offerings. Additionally, they share personal anecdotes from industry events and reflect on Warren Buffett's investment strategies, emphasizing the significance of buying at fair prices and the use of leverage. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Did the Economy Actually Slow Down? (Ep. 73) | 21 Feb 2024 | 00:48:07 | |
We are confronted with a key question as we deal with economic downshifts and market swings. Does the latest data really reflect an economic slowdown? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze various indicators to assess the pace of economic growth, including market performance, inflation metrics such as CPI, PPI, and PCE, and trends in retail sales and industrial production. Additionally, they explore the impact of younger generations on historical progress and provide insights into GDP growth and income trends, offering a comprehensive economic check-up. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
Resources:
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| Talking with the Two That Got the Economy Right (Ep. 108) | 06 Nov 2024 | 01:32:29 | |
As economic data shows resilience and market expectations shift, how can investors navigate these mixed signals? This week on Facts vs. Feelings, Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, and Skanda Amarnath, Executive Director at Employ America, join hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, to assess the economy's current strength and potential headwinds. From surprising 3% GDP growth and possible consumer spending slowdowns to pressures in the housing market driven by high mortgage rates, they discuss why current market optimism might be short-lived. Neil and Skanda also explore how inflation trends, influenced by wage growth and energy prices, could shape future economic stability. So, tune in as they further explore geopolitical risks, such as fiscal policy changes, and their implications for investors as the 2024 election approaches—offering strategies to stay informed and balanced in uncertain times! Key Highlights:
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| Talking about Bitcoin ETFs with Matt Hougan (Ep. 72) | 14 Feb 2024 | 00:48:07 | |
Bitcoin ETFs are one of the most anticipated and debated developments in the crypto space. What are the implications for the market, the economy, and crypto's future? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, speak with Matthew Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management about the impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the market, offering a new investment avenue. They explore Bitcoin's role as an asset class or currency within traditional portfolios. Ryan and Sonu also cover the CPI data, its implications for inflation, and market expectations. Listen to the episode to learn about:
Resources:
Connect with Matthew Hougan: Connect with Ryan Detrick: Connect with Sonu Varghese: About Our Guest: Matt Hougan is a well-known expert in the fields of cryptocurrency, ETFs, and financial technology. He currently serves as the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, which is the world's largest provider of cryptocurrency index funds and manages over $1.5 billion in assets. Before this, he was the CEO of ETF.com and Inside ETFs. During his tenure, he played a key role in developing the world's first ETF data and analytics system, the most popular ETF media platform, and the world's largest ETF conference. Matt serves as a board member for Equbot and is also a strategic advisor to several startups related to cryptocurrency and financial advising, such as Blockworks, Stratifi, and Exchange. He co-founded Advisor Circle, which is a product and content studio for the financial industry and also created the Futureproof Wealth Festival. | |||
| Let the Good Times Roll (Ep. 71) | 07 Feb 2024 | 00:48:23 | |
From the stock market hitting all-time highs to new tax bills, positive economic indicators, and even the Super Bowl, there's a lot to keep track of when it comes to finance and investing this week! In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, provide an in-depth analysis of current economic indicators, including jobs, productivity, and consumer confidence. They also touch on the potential for a stock market breather in February amidst election buzz. Additionally, they examine a new tax bill that could inject more money into the economy and give the stock market a boost. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
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| Unpacking a Mega Week (Ep. 70) | 31 Jan 2024 | 00:45:30 | |
The stock market has been on a remarkable run, reaching new highs and defying expectations. But what are the drivers behind this rally, and what are the risks ahead? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, analyze recent market trends, including the stock market's highs and the implications of the upcoming Fed meeting. They explore the significance of January's market performance, particularly in the financial sector, as an indicator for the year's outlook. Additionally, they cover the recent GDP report, offering insights into the economy's trajectory. Ryan and Sonu discuss:
Resources:
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