Explore every episode of the podcast Dynasty Compass
Dive into the complete episode list for Dynasty Compass. Each episode is cataloged with detailed descriptions, making it easy to find and explore specific topics. Keep track of all episodes from your favorite podcast and never miss a moment of insightful content.
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Title
Pub. Date
Duration
Dynasty Compass | The Island of Broken Toys
13 Nov 2025
00:27:53
Injuries derail seasons — but for dynasty managers, they can also open a window of opportunity. In this episode, Jeff Blaylock explores The Island of Broken Toys: a place where productive but injured players lose short-term value but retain long-term potential.
Jeff outlines how to identify real broken-toy opportunities, calculate appropriate trade discounts, and avoid the emotional traps that make other managers sell too low. He also breaks down Adam Hutchison’s injury research, explains which positions are most likely to bounce back, and offers guidance for fitting these moves into your team’s strategic direction.
Timestamps: 00:00 – Introduction 01:14 – What makes a player a “broken toy” 02:22 – Why strategy comes first 03:15 – Dynasty vs. redraft 04:37 – Tank Dell example 06:06 – Injury risk and recovery data 09:59 – Why the market exists 11:22 – Buyers and sellers by compass direction 14:32 – Types of sellers 16:21 – Trade discount guidelines 20:12 – Red flags and risk management 25:00 – Scarcity and strategy 26:25 – Closing thoughts and Episode 16 preview
Links Mentioned:
Adam Hutchison’s injury research at Footballguys: https://www.footballguys.com/article/2025-fantasy-performance-reinjury-rate-by-position
Ep. 12 – The Currency of Dynasty: https://youtu.be/oMxqBhyDTh0
Ep. 4 – 5 Kinds of Players on Your Roster: https://youtu.be/PghAw0zqNKY
Subscribe for weekly Dynasty Compass episodes: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHINXdOZ9QQ-YOM6phMh_gw
Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dynasty-compass/id1831101084
Follow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/jeffblaylock
Dynasty Compass | Trade Deadline Strategies
06 Nov 2025
00:25:06
Episode 14: Preparing for the Trade Deadline (North/South/East) Big Idea: The deadline compresses time. Bad, strategy-less moves harden into months of regret. Know your direction first, then act.
North – Perennial Contenders
Goal: Fine-tune, not overhaul.
Questions:
Which marginal improvements will help the most?
Does the move help now and next year? (prefer both)
Am I getting enough value to make this move now?
Tactics: patch weak spots; keep at least a 1st or 2nd in each of the next drafts to reload.
South – Rebuilders
Goal: Convert points-now vets into future value.
Questions:
What do contenders value most right now? (points)
How does the player I’m selling fit my future (age/arc/contract)?
When do I realize the benefit—next year or later?
Notes: Beware pick hoarding without roster spots. Consider 2-for-1 outgoing to clear space if you already have a pick surplus.
East – Wait-and-Seers
Goal: Maintain flexibility; avoid half-measures.
Questions:
What small upgrade makes me a tougher out in the playoffs?
Can I get those improvements without sacrificing the future?
Can I do this deal in the offseason? If yes, wait.
Often-correct move: Stand pat and field offers.
Universal Principle: “Can I do this deal in March/April instead?” If yes, the deadline premium should be on your side, not theirs.
Tease: Next episode—Island of Broken Toys (how to value injured assets).
Chapters 00:00 Intro 01:26 The biggest mistake 02:07 Compass refresher 03:16 Strategies for perennial contenders (North) 5:08 3 Questions for contenders 09:49 Strategies for rebuilders (South) 12:01 3 Questions for rebuilders 18:58 Strategies for wait-and-seers (East) & 3 questions 22:53 Pressure check by direction 24:02 Next week: Island of Broken Toys
🐦 Follow Jeff on X/Twitter: https://x.com/jeffblaylock 📈Jeff's Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynasty?year=2025&userId=978336 🏈Footballguys: https://www.footballguys.com/
🧭 More at https://dynastycompass.buzzsprout.com
Dynasty Compass | Your Weekly Planner
04 Sep 2025
00:23:27
The NFL season is here! That means it’s time to move from offseason building into in-season roster management. In this episode, Jeff shares a repeatable weekly schedule that will keep you on top of your dynasty team without burning out.
In this episode:
What to do each day of the week during the NFL season
The three levels of effort: Essential, Competitive, and Pro
How to manage your roster effectively if you only have an hour per week
When to focus on waivers, trades, lineup setting, contingency plans, and observation
Why following a rhythm prevents mistakes and helps you stay ahead of league-mates
👉 If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe, rate, and review. And share it with a league-mate — every dynasty manager needs a compass.
Dynasty Compass | 5 Kinds of Players on Your Roster
28 Aug 2025
00:27:36
Episode 4 — The Five Player Types on Your Dynasty Roster
The NFL season is almost here — rookie drafts are finished, and it’s time to cut down rosters to league size. In this episode, Jeff breaks down the five kinds of players you’ll find on every dynasty roster and explains how to think about each one when making lineup and roster decisions.
In this episode:
The 5 kinds of players on your dynasty roster
How this classification helps identify roster weaknesses
The most important question to ask before making any roster decision 👉 What would it take for me to put this player in my starting lineup?
How to use a Startability Ladder to simplify your lineup-setting and roster evaluation processes
By classifying players and ranking their path to opportunity, you’ll know exactly who to keep, who to cut, and who to prioritize when making waiver claims or trades.
Next week: A simple weekly schedule for when to focus on waivers, trades, lineup setting, and long-term roster moves — perfect if you’re short on time but want to manage your dynasty teams effectively.
Dynasty Compass | Training Camp Signals vs. Static
21 Aug 2025
00:28:17
Week 2 of the preseason is in the books, and the news firehose is wide open. But which reports are signals worth acting on — and which ones are just preseason static?
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, host Jeff Blaylock (aka The Other Jeff B from Footballguys) breaks down how dynasty managers can separate meaningful camp information from misleading tropes. You’ll also get the latest on Brian Robinson Jr., Joe Mixon, Rashee Rice, and more in our Getting Our Bearings segment.
📌 What You’ll Learn in This Episode:
Why Brian Robinson Jr. may be on the trade block — and what it means for Washington’s backfield
Joe Mixon’s murky injury situation and dynasty outlook
The looming suspension for Rashee Rice and how to play it in dynasty
Classic training camp tropes that are usually static (best shape of his life, single highlight plays, vague coachspeak, early depth chart surprises)
The kinds of reports that do count as signals — sustained role changes, consistent usage, multi-source confirmation
The 3-question filter every dynasty manager should ask: Is it a one-day thing? Is it a one-source thing? Is it a one-context thing?
This episode is your comprehensive guide to preseason news literacy — the one you can come back to whenever August hype starts creeping into your roster decisions.
Dynasty Compass | A Very Special Expo-sode
14 Aug 2025
00:20:40
Title: Dynasty Compass | A Very Special Expo-sode
Description: This week on Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock (aka The Other Jeff B from Footballguys) discusses his first-ever trip to the Fantasy Football Expo in Canton, Ohio, and the three biggest nuggets of wisdom he’s bringing back for dynasty managers and content creators alike.
You’ll also get fresh updates on James Cook, Matthew Stafford, Ladd McConkey, Tre Harris and Alexander Mattison.
📌 Expo Wisdoms:
Win-win trades build trust — and more trades — in dynasty leagues Find your unique lane as a content creator Just start the conversation — connections matter
We’ll wrap with why you should make Canton a priority for July 2026 and preview next week’s episode: What training camp news actually matters — and what’s just noise.
Timestamps: 00:00 – Welcome to Dynasty Compass 00:28 – Fantasy Football Expo Highlights 00:56 – James Cook contract extension & dynasty outlook 02:20 – Matthew Stafford injury update & stash advice 03:39 – Rookie WR news: McConkey, Harris, Lambert-Smith 06:41 – Alexander Mattison injury fallout in Miami 07:00 – First impressions from the Fantasy Football Expo 10:00 – Cool new fantasy apps you should know about 14:50 – 3 nuggets of wisdom from the Expo 20:08 – Closing thoughts & next week’s preview
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, host Jeff Blaylock discusses the importance of having a strategic direction for managing dynasty fantasy football teams. He identifies the four primary directions a team can take: North (perennial contender), West (win now), South (rebuild), and East (aiming for the last playoff spot), and outlines the traits and strategies associated with each direction.
Jeff also analyzes recent NFL training camp news, including James Cook's contract hold-in, the Indianapolis quarterback situation, and Cleveland's crowded quarterback room. He emphasizes that the biggest mistake dynasty managers make is making moves without a strategic direction. Jeff concludes by sharing a personal story of successfully navigating a dynasty team and underscores the importance of strategy over reactive tactics.
Preview: A Compass, Not a GPS
04 Aug 2025
00:03:18
Dynasty Compass is your guide to building a fantasy football team that lasts. Hosted by Jeff Blaylock (The Other Jeff B), the show delivers sharp, strategic advice for dynasty managers—whether you're rebuilding, reloading, or gunning for a title.
Short, actionable episodes. Long-term thinking. No fluff. Just direction.
Dynasty Compass | Boosting Your Win-now Lineup
30 Oct 2025
00:22:56
Using our compass metaphor, the West is home to Win-now teams. Jeff offers some strategies for dynasty managers looking for late-season boosts to their lineups.
🧩 Key Takeaways
What a Starter Boost is
How Bench Boosts fit
What win-now teams can sell (picks, broken toys, prospects, surplus),
What they should buy (rentals, certainty), and
When to pull back and pivot when winning now may not be the best strategy.
Win Now = Controlled Aggression. Smart upgrades to starting lineups lead to championships.
Dynasty Compass | The Currency of Dynasty
23 Oct 2025
00:26:45
Rookie draft picks are possibilities, not performance. In this midseason guide, Jeff shows how to price picks vs. players, when flexibility earns you value, and how to decide between possibilities or points based on your team’s direction. Quick reality check on pick outcomes, a practical exchange-rate for common trades, and a reminder: direction before transaction.
🧩 Key Takeaways
Picks are possibilities, not performance.
Flexibility creates value; certainty charges a premium.
Choose: possibilities or points—based on your direction.
Follow Jeff on Twitter: https://x.com/jeffblaylock
Footballguys: https://www.footballguys.com/
🧭 More about this podcast: https://dynastycompass.buzzsprout.com
Dynasty Compass | Are They Who We Thought They Were?
15 Oct 2025
00:27:20
Six weeks in, it’s time for a midseason bearings check. Jeff Blaylock breaks down six questions to decide whether your dynasty roster should stay the course or change direction.
Key Takeaways
The six questions that clarify your roster’s true direction
How to tell if the cavalry is coming or if you’ve already hit your ceiling
Why all-play and median records reveal more truth than win-loss records
The difference between good process and good luck
How to re-evaluate assumptions about cornerstones and breakouts
When to make trades and when to hold draft capital
When to change my direction
Managing strategically, not emotionally
Key Line
"Strategy gets you places. Emotion gets you lost."
Dynasty Compass | Welcome to Dumpsville
09 Oct 2025
00:25:37
Saying goodbye is hard — but necessary. In this episode, Jeff Blaylock (The Other Jeff B) walks through how to decide when to drop or move on from underperforming players in dynasty.
We’ll look at the three traps that keep managers holding too long — sunk cost, wishcasting, and false insurance — and how to replace emotion with forecasting. Jeff also shares the key draft capital and opportunity trends that predict when a player’s window is closing.
In this episode:
When to let go and why
How draft pedigree shapes opportunity
Recognizing when “the dream is over”
The GM Extension and Lineup Reality tests
Turning roster spots into strategic flexibility
Key line: “Forecast, don’t wishcast.”
Dynasty Compass | Navigating Bye Weeks
02 Oct 2025
00:22:41
Death, taxes, and bye weeks — three certainties, but only one we can actually plan for. This week on Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock (The Other Jeff B) tackles the challenge of bye-week management.
In this episode, you'll learn
How to apply the Five Kinds of Players and Startability Ladder to navigate bye weeks
The four kinds of "bye week crunches"
The difference between critical and risk tolerance roster situations
How to apply the FAAB Four to bye week pickups
Why sometimes it's smarter to take the zero
Bye weeks don’t have to derail your season. Think ahead, act early, and let the Compass guide your roster decisions.
Next week: “Bye-Byes” — knowing when it’s finally time to cut a player loose.
Dynasty Compass | Trade Winds, Part II
25 Sep 2025
00:25:54
Description: Knowing how to value trades is only half the battle. This week, we move from studying the map to sailing the seas — actually making dynasty trades.
Topics include:
The Three Fs of trading: Fairness, Flexibility, and Fitness
Building a reputation as a good trade partner
Identifying mismatched needs and finding the right partners
How to make offers that get accepted without burning bridges
The best trades are win-win. Both teams improve, and both managers walk away happy. That’s how you sail the trade winds.
Related Episodes:
Trade Winds, Part I: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2525573/episodes/17864216
The FAAB Four: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2525573/episodes/17825349
5 Kinds of Players on Your Roster: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2525573/episodes/17746016
Description: Who won this trade? That’s the question social media always demands an answer to. But in dynasty, the only correct answer is both.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, we study the map before we sail the trade winds. Topics include:
Why context matters more than consensus rankings
Draft picks as the true “currency of the realm”
Learning from rejected, countered, and accepted trades
Spotting timing and arbitrage opportunities
Trade value isn’t about charts or calculators — it’s about positioning your roster to catch the winds that move you closer to your chosen direction.
Dynasty Compass | The FAAB Four
11 Sep 2025
00:26:46
Most dynasty managers approach waivers with two questions:
How much should I bid on this player?
Should I spend early or save for later?
Both are the wrong starting point.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock walks through the FAAB Four — the four fundamentals that will help you stop wasting FAAB and start making sharper, more strategic bids:
What problem am I trying to solve?
What kind of player is this?
When do I expect value?
What am I giving up if I win this bid?
Along the way, Jeff revisits the player classification system (Cornerstone, Set-and-Forget, Next Man Up, Developing Talent, Dart Throw), highlights the startability test (“What would it take to put this player in my lineup?”), and shows how to allocate FAAB based on your team’s strategic direction (North, West, South, East).
By the end, you’ll have a repeatable process to answer the two questions everyone actually cares about: when to spend and how much to spend.
Related episodes:
Where Are You Going? https://www.buzzsprout.com/2525573/episodes/17627959-dynasty-compass-where-are-you-going.mp3?download=true
5 Kinds of Players on Your Roster https://www.buzzsprout.com/2525573/episodes/17746016-dynasty-compass-5-kinds-of-players-on-your-roster.mp3?download=true
Dynasty Compass | The Strategic Suck: How to Rebuild Without Tanking
20 Nov 2025
00:24:44
Not every dynasty team can contend every year. Sometimes the smartest path forward is choosing to lose—strategically. In this episode, Jeff explains “the Strategic Suck,” a rebuild approach where you intentionally lower your short-term ceiling to maximize your long-term success.
Topics include: • What South represents in the Dynasty Compass • Why losing without a plan is just losing, but losing with a plan is rebuilding • The difference between a Strategic Suck and tanking • How to set legal, defensible lineups while avoiding accidental wins • Roster management hacks that reduce this week’s points and boost next year’s value • Why healthy dynasty leagues need Southbound teams • How accidental winning can derail your rebuild (and how to avoid “sucking at sucking”)
Whether you’re 2–9, dealing with injuries, or staring down an aging roster, this episode gives you the tools to rebuild with purpose—and come back stronger.
Sometimes the road to True North runs through the South. Walk it with purpose.
Support the show: • Subscribe, rate, and review on Apple Podcasts • Like and subscribe on YouTube • Share the show with your league-mates and dynasty group chats
Are you trapped in Dynasty Purgatory — the endless cycle of 6–8, 7–7, or 8–6 seasons where nothing you do seems to matter? This week, Jeff breaks down the real reasons rosters get stuck in mediocrity and introduces four diagnostic questions that will reveal why your team can’t break through.
We’ll examine internal reinforcements that never deliver, the hidden role of luck, players who fall short of expectations, and the reasoning traps dynasty managers fall into year after year.
This episode is Part 1 of a two-episode arc: Diagnosis today. Escape route next week.
Topics Include
What Dynasty Purgatory really is
Why multiple mediocre seasons signal deeper issues
Evaluating whether the “cavalry” ever actually arrived
How to assess your reliance on luck
Expectations vs. reality for Cornerstones, Set-and-Forgets & Developing Talents
Four reasoning traps that derail rosters
How flawed thought patterns compound over time
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Cold Open: Dynasty Purgatory Defined 00:45 – Intro & Episode Goals 03:10 – The Four-Question Diagnostic Framework 03:45 – Q1: Did the Cavalry Actually Come? 09:58 – Q2: Am I Relying on Luck? 13:36 – Q3: Did Performance Match Expectations? 17:18 – Q4: Was My Reasoning Sound? 26:58 – Closing Reflections & What Comes Next 27:38 – Next Week: Plotting Your Escape
If Dynasty Compass is helping you build smarter, more strategic dynasty teams, please consider subscribing, leaving a review, and sharing it with your league mates. Thank you for supporting the show!
Dynasty rookie draft picks look sequential — but they are not created equal. Knowing where the gaps are located lets you trade for value and avoid traps.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock breaks down the hidden value cliffs that divide rookie drafts into distinct probability bands.
Using nine years of ADP data and rookie performance outcomes, Jeff explains why the 1.01 stands alone, how much value the first 16 picks historically produce, how likely you'll draft a fantasy starter, and why the largest value cliff in the entire rookie draft occurs between picks 2.04 and 2.05.
Understanding where these cliffs exist can help dynasty managers trade down intelligently, capture additional value, and avoid the traps that cause managers to overpay for perceived certainty.
Topics Include
Why rookie draft picks have no inherent value
Draft pick bands vs rookie tiers
The unique value of the 1.01
Historical hit rates by rookie draft pick
The 2.04 vs 2.05 “Grand Canyon” value drop
How your rookie draft is really two drafts
Trading down to gain dynasty value
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 The Dirty Secret of Rookie Draft Picks 03:02 The Lottery Ticket Problem 04:18 What Draft Picks Actually Guarantee 06:33 Certainty vs Flexibility in Rookie Drafts 08:50 Draft Pick Bands vs Rookie Tiers 10:06 This Year's 1.03-1.05 12:51 How the Research Was Built 16:27 The Rookie Draft Pick Bands 17:54 Why the 1.01 Is Unique 19:54 Expected Value by Pick Range 23:23 The 2.04 vs 2.05 Chasm 29:05 Example Dynasty Trades 32:52 The Strategy: Trade Down Within Bands
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Dynasty Winners & Losers: Free Agency Preview with Marc Gartenberg
10 Mar 2026
00:43:58
NFL free agency can reshape the dynasty landscape overnight.
In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock is joined by Marc Gartenberg to break down the players and teams dynasty managers should be watching as the free agency signing period begins.
They discuss possible landing spots for Kenneth Walker, Travis Etienne, Tyreek Hill, Kyler Murray, and Malik Willis, along with the teams that could dramatically shift fantasy outcomes depending on how aggressively they attack the market.
For dynasty managers, free agency is often the moment when player values rise — or collapse — before the draft even begins.
Topics Include
• Why this free agency period could be unpredictable • Teams that must get free agency right • Kenneth Walker and Travis Etienne landing spot scenarios • Quarterback movement and dynasty ripple effects • Dream vs nightmare landing spots for fantasy players • Sleeper free agents to watch • Strategy for dynasty managers entering free agency
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 — Free Agency Is Coming 01:30 — Why This Free Agency Period Could Be Chaotic 03:05 — Teams That Must Nail Free Agency 06:30 — Running Backs Who Could Change Dynasty Value 09:39 — Wide Receivers to Watch in Free Agency 14:00 — Chicago Adds by Subtraction 16:33 — Surprise Free Agents Who Could Rise 18:50 — Landing Spots That Kill Fantasy Value 21:39 — Quarterback Domino Effects (Kyler, Cousins, Willis) 26:45 — Dream vs Nightmare Landing Spots 31:15 — Kenneth Walker & Travis Etienne Scenarios 34:15 — WR Landing Spot Possibilities 37:45 — Dreaming About Njoku 42:27 — Where to Find Marc’s Work
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a review, and sharing the show with a fellow dynasty manager. Your support helps the show grow and reach more members of the dynasty community.
Are you stuck in Dynasty Purgatory — never good enough to win, never bad enough to rebuild, and constantly tinkering without making real progress? In Episode 18, Jeff Blaylock delivers the cure. After diagnosing Purgatory in Episode 17, we chart the escape route this week.
Jeff breaks down the four universal laws that apply no matter what path you take, then walks through all four dynasty directions — South, West, North, and East — and shows you exactly when and how to execute each one. This episode gives you the tools to pick a direction, commit to it, and build real momentum for your roster.
If your team feels stuck, this is your map out.
Topics Include
The four universal laws of escaping Purgatory
Why cosmetic fixes keep you stuck
How to prioritize structural upgrades
Upside as the key to breaking free
The four dynasty directions (South, West, North, East)
How to choose your best path based on roster + league dynamics
Strategy playbooks for each direction
Why commitment is the shortcut to improvement
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Stuck in Dynasty Purgatory 00:33 – Welcome & Episode Setup 01:53 – The Four Universal Laws of Escaping Purgatory 07:48 – Choosing Your Direction 08:31 – South: When to Rebuild 13:52 – West: When to Push All-In 17:36 – North: When to Build a Perennial Contender 22:11 – East: When Waiting Is the Strategy 26:52 – Bringing It All Together
If Dynasty Compass is helping you build smarter, more strategic dynasty teams, please consider subscribing, leaving a review, and sharing it with your league mates. Thank you for supporting the show!
Dynasty Trade Strategy for Free Agency Season with Tipp Major
05 Mar 2026
00:49:18
NFL free agency is one of the most volatile periods of the dynasty calendar — and the best dynasty managers know how to trade through the uncertainty.
In Episode 26 of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock (The Other Jeff B) is joined by Footballguys colleague Tipp Major to break down how smart dynasty managers approach trades during the free agency window.
They discuss how to evaluate trade offers when landing spots are unknown, when to buy or sell veterans, how franchise tags affect dynasty value, and why patience can be both your best and worst trading habit.
If you're navigating dynasty trades before free agency and the NFL Draft, this episode will help you think more strategically about timing, leverage, and opportunity. Don't just sit back and wait for your rookie draft.
Topics Include
Trading during the free agency rumor window
How landing spots affect dynasty value
Evaluating trades involving free agents
Franchise tags and dynasty strategy
Trade strategies for contenders vs rebuilders
Identifying undervalued veteran players
Dynasty trading habits and decision-making
Chapters / Timestamps
0:00 – Free agency chaos and dynasty strategy 5:45 – Trading into uncertainty 10:22 – Is free agency a buy or sell window for veterans? 15:23 – When player values peak during the offseason 21:23 – How free agency impacts rookie pick values 26:07 – Trade strategies for contenders & rebuilders 31:44 – What if your team is stuck in the middle? 35:27 – Avoiding trades that are too early or too late 37:49 – Tipp’s best and worst dynasty trading habits 39:52 – Free agents to target in dynasty trades 42:10 – Players Tipp would trade away 43:42 – Intriguing free agents worth monitoring 47:19 – Where to find Tipp Major
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please help the show grow by leaving a 5-star rating and review on Apple Podcasts. It helps more dynasty managers discover the show and keeps the conversation going all offseason.
Draft or Trade? 1-Round Pre-Combine Rookie Mock with Heath Cummings
26 Feb 2026
00:42:53
The NFL Combine is almost here — and dynasty rookie values are about to move.
In Episode 25 of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock is joined by CBS Sports’ Heath Cummings for a full 1-round rookie mock draft — with a twist: at every pick, we ask the real question:
Draft the rookie… or trade the pick?
From early 1.01 decisions to late-first dart throws, this episode is about draft strategy, roster direction and maximizing value.
If you’re holding a 1st-round rookie pick, this is required listening before you're on the clock.
Topics Include
1-round rookie mock draft
Draft vs. trade framework
3 tier breaks for this year's first round
Strategies for contenders vs rebuilders
Chasing upside with late-round picks
Cost to move up
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Why a Pre-Combine Mock Matters 01:27 – How This Year’s Class Compares to Other Recent Classes 03:36 – Draft or Trade? The Strategic Framework 07:31 – Picks 1.01 & 1.02 12:55 – Heath Trades Pick 1.03 14:11 – Picks 1.04 & 1.05 17:42 – Heath Trades Pick 1.06 21:10 – Picks 1.07 & 1.08 24:50 – Jeff, Please Want Pick 1.09 28:32 – Picks 1.10 & 1.11 32:31 – Pick 12 38:13 – Price to Move Up 41:40 – Heath Consoles Dynasty Managers Holding 1.09-1.12
If you’re finding value in Dynasty Compass, please leave a 5-star rating and written review on Apple Podcasts. It helps the show reach serious dynasty managers looking for strategic edges.
16 New Playcallers: What It Means for Dynasty with Bob Harris
24 Feb 2026
01:07:21
The NFL coaching carousel has nearly stopped spinning — and half the league has new offensive playcallers. There's potential for chaos, but there are also opportunities for savvy dynasty managers.
Fantasy Sports Hall of Famer Bob Harris joins Jeff Blaylock to break down all 16 new playcallers and what they mean for dynasty. From first-time play callers in Baltimore and Washington to veteran hires in Pittsburgh and New York, we examine where potential value exists and where caution is warranted.
If you want to find dynasty leverage before the market adjusts, this episode is your roadmap.
Topics Include
16 new offensive play callers
First-time OCs and quarterback development
Chargers + Mike McDaniel = optimism
Baltimore, Philadelphia, Seattle & Washington bet on first-time playcallers
Las Vegas, Mendoza and the importance of OL upgrades
Miami’s rebuild under Bobby Slowik
Titans & Giants as cheap dynasty upside
Players to buy and sell this offseason
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Half the League Has New Playcallers 01:48 – Is This Year Truly Different? 04:18 – Change Is Horrible, Until You Make It 06:30 – High Turnover, Low Tenure 09:40 – Declan Doyle's Head Start in Baltimore 10:46 – Desired Outcome for Brian Fleury in Seattle 14:05 – Philadelphia’s Gamble on Sean Mannion 19:22 – David Blough in Washington & Jayden Daniels’ Future 24:15 – Mike LaFleur in Arizona: Buy the Discount? 29:10 – Atlanta Bets on a Browns Reunion 31:30 – Cleveland: New Coaches, Same Questions 34:20 – Drew Petzing Taming the Lions? 36:28 – Chargers Make Jeff's Favorite Hire 41:15 – Klint Kubiak & Mendoza's Futures in Las Vegas 46:06 – Fading Dolphins with Slowik? 48:57 – Old Is New Again: Nagy, Reich & McCarthy 54:13 – Skepticism for Zac Robinson in Tampa Bay? 57:00 – Can Daboll Revive the Titans? 1:00:35 – Bob's Favorite Buys & Sells
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please leave a 5-star rating and written review on Apple Podcasts. It helps the show grow and reach more serious dynasty managers.
Is There a WR1? Scouting 2026 Rookie WRs with Jeff Bell
19 Feb 2026
00:49:47
Is there a true WR1 in the 2026 rookie class?
While Fernando Mendoza, Jeremiah Love, and Kenyon Sadiq have separated at their positions, the wide receiver group feels murkier. Is that a weakness — or an opportunity?
Jeff Bell of Footballguys joins Dynasty Compass to break down the 2026 rookie wide receiver class, from the top tier (Makai Lemon, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson) to late-round dynasty dart throws to the feel-good story of the draft.
We also discuss rookie draft tiers, landing spot volatility, positional evolution in the NFL, and how dynasty managers should approach mid-first-round picks in this class.
If you're holding 1.03 through 1.10, this one’s for you.
Topics Include
2026 Rookie WR Tier Breakdown
What Makes an Elite WR Prospect
How Landing Spot Changes Dynasty Value
Trading Around Rookie Draft Tiers
The Shrinking Slot Role in the NFL
Late-Round WR Targets with Upside
The Tyren Montgomery Story
Chapters / Timestamps
0:00 - Is There a Clear WR1? 2:20 - Jeff Bell's Rookie Evaluation Process 7:20 - What "Problem-Solving" Looks Like for WRs 9:40 - Red Flags for Rookie WRs 12:00 - Is This Truly a Weak Class? 14:57 - Where Do Rookie WR Tiers Break? 17:13 - What to Do With Mid- to Late 1st Rounders 19:32 - Top Tier: Lemon, Tate, Tyson 22:03 - Gaps Between Top Tiers 24:18 - Best Landing Spots for Top WRs 29:05 - Late 1st/Early 2nd Round Targets 33:38 - The Biggest Question Mark 36:48 - Scouting Film vs Spreadsheets 38:48 - The Best Story in the Draft 44:32 - Third Rounders with First-Round Upside 47:02 - Bonding Over Deep Dynasty Waivers
Dynasty rookie season is here. Jeff Blaylock welcomes Footballguys analyst Mike Kashuba to scout the 2026 rookie quarterback and tight end classes. From Fernando Mendoza at QB1 to late-round sleepers who could rise quickly, this episode digs into evaluation process, red flags, landing spots, and how dynasty managers should approach rookie drafts—especially in Superflex formats.
Topics Include
Quarterback scouting fundamentals
Tight end evaluation trends
Rookie draft strategy for dynasty
Superflex QB planning
Late-round rookie sleepers
Timestamps
0:00 – Welcome to Dynasty Compass
1:00 – Mike Kashuba joins the show
2:10 – Inside the Footballguys Rookie Guide process
4:55 – What separates NFL quarterbacks from pretenders
9:50 – QB red flags dynasty managers should watch for
13:55 – How tight end scouting is changing
17:00 – Why elite TEs still develop slowly (usually)
20:05 – Ideal NFL landing spots for rookie tight ends
22:45 – Day-two and day-three TE sleepers
24:25 – Evaluating the 2026 QB class depth
27:55 – Superflex strategy without the 1.01
33:05 – Deep sleeper quarterbacks to know now
39:55 – The prospect Mike Kashuba is rooting for most
42:20 – Where to find Mike’s work & closing thoughts
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Scouting Rookie RBs: Who’s Real in the 2026 Class? with Dave Kluge
05 Feb 2026
00:39:20
The rookie scouting season is officially underway.
Jeff Blaylock is joined by Footballguys analyst Dave Kluge for a wide-ranging conversation on scouting rookie running backs and navigating the 2026 dynasty rookie class. They discuss which traits actually translate to the NFL, key red flags every dynasty manager should be wary of, and how dynasty managers should approach a class that lacks elite depth beyond the top tier.
This episode focuses on process, not just rankings — helping dynasty managers think clearly about rookie RB evaluation.
Topics Include
How Dave Kluge scouts rookie RBs
Identifying elite vs replaceable traits
Why Jeremiah Love stands apart
Draft capital as the ultimate tiebreaker
RB value pockets in Rounds 2–3
When trading back makes sense
The NFL’s evolving offensive landscape
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 Rookie scouting season 01:00 Scouting process 03:40 Elite traits 05:40 Red flags 08:30 Class strength 11:00 Tier breaks 12:20 Trade strategy 13:45 Jeremiah Love 16:20 RB2 tier 19:30 Box score traps 21:00 Combine myths 23:30 Draft capital 27:45 Round 2–3 values 31:15 NFL trends 34:20 Player stories 37:00 Closing thoughts
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Dynasty Compass | Your Dynasty Offseason Planner
30 Dec 2025
00:28:51
There is no offseason in dynasty — but there is a right way to use it.
In this Season 1 finale of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock builds a practical offseason planner from January through kickoff, breaking down what matters most at each stage of the NFL calendar and how Casual, Competitive, and Pro-level dynasty managers should approach the offseason based on their effort and time commitments.
This episode isn’t about doing more — it’s about aligning your effort, attention, and expectations so you enter the season prepared without burning out but ready to win your league.
Topics Include
Dynasty offseason calendar overview
Casual vs Competitive vs Pro effort levels
What to focus on and when
Keeping it fun and avoiding burnout
Aligning effort with expectations
Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Intro & Season 1 Finale 01:20 – No Offseason in Dynasty 02:15 – Effort Levels Explained 05:15 – January: Reset & Orientation 07:55 – February: NFL Combine 09:40 – March: Free Agency 11:10 – April: NFL Draft 13:55 – May: Rookie Drafts 15:30 – June: OTAs & Minicamps 17:05 – July: Training Camp 18:45 – August: Preseason 21:45 – Time Commitments by Effort Level 23:40 – Aligning Effort & Expectations 25:40 – Season 2 Preview
If you’re enjoying Dynasty Compass, please subscribe, rate, and review the show. Your support helps us grow the community and bring in expert guests for Season 2.
Dynasty Compass | Is Dynasty For You?
18 Dec 2025
00:24:50
Is dynasty fantasy football right for you?
As the fantasy season winds down, many managers start asking themselves, "Do I want to wait until August for next season to begin? Or do I want it to start right now?" In this episode of Dynasty Compass, Jeff Blaylock explains what dynasty fantasy football really is, how it differs from redraft and keeper leagues, who should (and shouldn’t) play dynasty, and the best ways to get started.
If you’re looking for a deeper challenge, year-round engagement, a stronger sense of community and a true roster-building experience, this episode is your starting point.
Free Agency Fallout: Buy/Sell/Hold with Alan Seslowsky
26 Mar 2026
00:52:01
Jeff Blaylock and RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky return for Part II of their conversation, working through every significant free agency mover and what it means for your dynasty roster before the NFL Draft arrives. Knowing which players to buy now, which to hold, and which to trade away before the market catches up is the difference between a dynasty offseason well-spent and one you'll regret. They close with a look at which veteran players are about to get kneecapped by the incoming rookie class — and how both hosts are planning to use their picks in the degenerate four-quarterback league they share.
Topics Include
Travis Etienne's move to New Orleans and what it means for Bhayshul Tuten in Jacksonville
Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh: real dynasty asset or glorified trade chip?
The Panthers backfield: Chuba Hubbard, Jonathan Brooks, and Trevor Etienne
A.J. Brown as the run-into-the-burning-building buy of the offseason
Mike Evans to San Francisco: the easiest veteran buy of the window
D.J. Moore to Buffalo, Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee, and what they leave behind
Isaiah Likely, Chig Okonkwo, and the tight end middle class
Tyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and Jauan Jennings — buy while unsigned
Which veterans are primed to get kneecapped by Jeremiah Love's landing spot
How Jeff and Alan are approaching their rookie draft picks in their shared league
Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 — Intro 00:50 — Travis Etienne & Jaguars Impacts 04:23 — Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh 08:19 — The Panthers Backfield: Hubbard, Brooks & Trevor Etienne 12:35 — Courtland Sutton & De'Von Achane: Hold or Move? 14:51 — The Seattle Backfield Without Kenneth Walker 18:08 — Time to Buy A.J. Brown or Jaylen Waddle? 22:13 — Mike Evans to San Francisco: Easy Buy 25:35 — DJ Moore to Buffalo & Wan'Dale Robinson to Tennessee 32:08 — Isaiah Likely, Mark Andrews & David Njoku 35:30 — Chig Okonkwo: Sneaky Winner of Free Agency 38:29 — Aiyuk, Hill, Deebo & Jauan Jennings: Buy the Unsigned 41:58 — Who Gets Kneecapped by the Rookie Draft? 45:31 — What We're Doing with Our Picks
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Pre-Draft Dynasty Trade Strategy with Alan Seslowsky
24 Mar 2026
00:59:42
The window between free agency and the NFL Draft may be the most underrated trade market of the dynasty calendar, and most managers are either frozen or making the wrong moves. Jeff Blaylock sits down with RotoWire's Alan Seslowsky to break down how to think about this moment and shares his philosophy of running into the burning building.
In Part 1 of this two-episode series, Jeff and Alan discuss who to target before the market catches up and why waiting for the draft usually costs you more than it saves. They also dig into the 2027 pick hype, the Alec Pierce sleeper case, Kyler vs JJ, Jaylen Waddle's prospects in Denver, and why Kenneth Walker's dynasty value is more complicated than it appears.
Topics Include
Why the post-free agency, pre-draft window is an undervalued trade market
Alan's philosophy of running into the burning building
Dented cans & broken toys: names worth a second look
The 2027 pick hype: legitimate signal or dynasty groupthink?
Alec Pierce: overlooked dynasty riser right now?
How coaching changes create buy and sell opportunities dynasty managers are missing
Jaylen Waddle's upside in Denver and what it means for the whole offense
Kenneth Walker: cash out into the Super Bowl MVP hype, or hold?
Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – That Crazy League We're In Together 05:04 – Should You Ever Rebuild, or Always Go for It? 09:54 – Grading the Offseason Chaos 12:59 – Run Into the Burning Building 17:39 – Dented Cans & Broken Toys 21:09 – Bench Size Changes Everything 24:52 – The 2027 Class Hype: Real or Overblown? 29:14 – The Counterintuitive Play for an 8th Place Team 31:26 – Offseason Storylines We're Sleeping On 36:30 – The Case for Buying Productive Vets Now 39:24 – Jaylen Waddle's Opportunity in Denver 44:38 – Kenneth Walker: Cash Out or Hold? 50:32 – Juggling Leagues & Platforms 55:37 – On Agentic AI: "I Saw War Games"
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Finding Rookie Sleepers Before the Draft with Alfredo Brown
02 Apr 2026
01:01:17
Alfredo Brown of the Pretend GM joins Jeff Blaylock to dig into the 2026 rookie class — not the names everyone already knows, but the players worth targeting in rounds 2, 3, and beyond. Knowing which late-round prospects have real upside versus which ones are just names on a sheet can mean the difference between a dynasty-winning stash and wasted roster space. Alfredo walks through his proprietary PGM Score, his Low/Median/High player comp framework, and what he took away from watching prospects in person at the NFL Combine. A must-listen before your rookie draft.
Topics Include:
How the PGM Score is built and what it measures at each position
Why three player comps beat one, and how to read a range of outcomes
What it's actually like to scout players in person at the NFL Combine
WR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brennan Thompson, and CJ Daniels
RB sleepers: Jaydn Ott and what makes him a fourth-round target
TE sleepers: Max Claire, Oscar Delp, Eli Rein, and the blocking-matters argument
Pass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Jadarian Price, and Kenyon Sadiq
Why Pretend GM Gems mark the players where film, analytics, and draft value all align
Class quality, kicking the can on bad draft years, and using picks based on your team's actual direction
Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 — Intro & Welcome 02:57 — What moved Alfredo to build a rookie guide 06:23 — The PGM Score: how it's built and why 09:48 — How the PGM Score maps to player tiers 11:50 — Player comps using Chris Brazzell as an example 16:15 — Where to find the Pretend GM Rookie Draft Guide 17:33 — Alfredo's experiences at the Combine 22:16 — How the Combine affects his rankings 28:03 — WR sleepers: Ted Hurst, Brenen Thompson 36:20 — RB sleepers: Jaydn Ott 39:12 — TE sleepers: Max Klare, Oscar Delp, Eli Raridon 43:19 — Pass protection concerns: Kaytron Allen, Kenyon Sadiq 48:29 — Pretend GM Gems: CJ Daniels, Taylen Green 51:20 — Class quality, kicking the can, and using picks wisely 57:43 — Wrap & where to find Alfredo
Support the Show: If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
The Art & Science of Dynasty Rankings with Jake Ciely
12 May 2026
01:09:18
Jake Ciely of The Athletic has been doing fantasy football rankings for 15 years, and one of his most honest admissions is that he kind of hates them. Not because they aren't useful, but because a ranked list can't convey everything a manager actually needs to know. Understanding what rankings can and can't tell you changes how you use them. In this episode, Jeff and Jake walk through how dynasty rankings get built, why the current season deserves more weight than most dynasty managers give it, and what question you should be asking yourself every time you open a rankings page.
💡 Key Takeaways
Rankings are a vacuum snapshot — they tell you what a ranker prefers if all else is equal, not what you should do for your specific team.
Tiers communicate more than order; a player ranked 21 and a player ranked 28 in the same tier are essentially interchangeable, and a good ranker wants you to know that.
Dynasty rankings take roughly twice as long to produce as redraft rankings because every player evaluation involves a multi-year time horizon.
Jake weights the current season heavier than most dynasty rankers, arguing that too many managers are optimizing for 2029 instead of actually trying to win.
Age is primarily a tiebreaker in the top tier, but becomes a more significant factor around ages 27–28.
Contract situations are the underrated companion to age in dynasty valuation.
Consulting redraft rankings alongside dynasty rankings can help break close calls, especially when you want to know which of two players has a clearer path to contributing this season.
The hardest players to rank well are often not the stars but the mid-tier options whose range of outcomes is widest and upside matters more than floor.
Jake's closing advice: stop being a lazy manager. Look at other teams' needs, make offers, start conversations. Don't just wait for trades to come to you.
⏱️ Chapters
00:00 – Introduction 04:58 – The Question Rankings Try to Answer 14:08 – Tiers and What Gets Lost 21:13 – Weighting This Year vs. Future Years 27:32 – How Age and Contracts Factor into Rankings 37:38 – How Jake Uses, and Avoids, Outside Rankers 42:36 – When Are Your Rankings Done? 52:56 – Should Dynasty Managers Use Redraft Rankings? 01:04:17 – Stop Being Lazy & #BanKickers
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Injury Myths Are Costing You Dynasty Value with Adam Hutchison
05 May 2026
01:03:47
Dynasty managers misvalue injured players — and most of the time, it's because the conventional wisdom is wrong. Footballguys injury expert Adam Hutchison has tracked more than 2,000 injuries across nine seasons, and the data pushes back on some of the most common assumptions: about ACL recovery, about age and athleticism, about which injuries actually linger and which ones don't. Knowing where the myths break down lets you buy low when others are running scared — and avoid the traps that look like value but aren't. Adam also shares which injured dynasty assets he's buying and selling right now, and closes with a three-question checklist every manager should run before making any move on an injured player.
💡 Key Takeaways
Dynasty managers assume age and athleticism predict ACL recovery. The data says otherwise. Past performance is far more predictive than a player's age or athleticism.
The "injury prone" label is real but haphazardly applied. Adam's Recovery Score metric shows that some players consistently beat their timelines while others (including some big names) consistently miss more time than expected.
The number of days between surgery and returning to the lineup has a meaningful, positive relationship with post-injury fantasy output. Dynasty managers should be wary of players returning too quickly after surgery.
Re-injury risk is higher than most managers realize for certain injury types — MCL sprains for RBs, hamstrings for TEs and WRs — and that risk isn't priced into most dynasty markets.
Not all injuries linger the same way. Lower leg injuries suppress RB production the longest. Core and hip injuries are the most damaging for WRs' performance. Treating all injuries as equal leads to mispriced trades.
Some injuries are almost never worth buying at any price. Achilles tears, knee dislocations, and patellar tendon ruptures are the three Adam won't touch regardless of discount.
Before any injured-player move, run Adam's three-question checklist: know your window, know the injury, know the risk.
⏱️ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Injuries: An Unfortunate Reality in Football 04:03 – Adam's PT Background Shapes His Injury Analysis 11:43 – Is the 'Injury Prone' Trope Real? 15:12 – Christian McCaffrey, Injury Patterns & Practice Philosophy 21:38 – ACL and Achilles: Is the ‘Recovery Year’ Trope Real? 27:53 – Other Injury Myths the Data Doesn’t Support 31:19 – Re-injury Rates by Position 40:46 – Lingering Effects of Injuries on Production 47:01 – When Should Missing Practice Actually Concern You? 53:10 – Expectations for Alec Pierce, Jonathan Brooks & Tank Dell 59:37 – Adam's Checklist for Buying an Injured Player
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Best, Worst & 'Huh?' Rookie Landing Spots with Andrew Cooper
30 Apr 2026
01:31:21
The 2026 NFL Draft is over. Now the real dynasty work begins. Andrew Cooper of Fantasy Alarm joins Jeff to separate the winners from the losers, highlight the dream landing spots and the fantasy nightmares, and decode the biggest reaches and strangest picks. From Jeremiyah Love's arrival to a crowded RB room to the Jets' bumper crop of slot weapons to the best snipe in NFL draft history, Coop has the intel and strategy you need to win your rookie drafts.
💡 Key Takeaways
Coop’s “Block Line” evaluates the draft class based on when the first pure blocking tight end is taken. The 2026 class had the earliest Block Line in recent memory.
Don't overthink Jeremiyah Love (ARI) because of the Cardinals' backfield situation. He's the 1.01, regardless of format.
Kenyon Sadiq's landing spot (NYJ) was great ... for an hour. Then the Jets drafted Omar Cooper Jr. The slot has gotten crowded.
Eli Stowers (PHI): the Eagles told him he’s the next in their lineage of star second-round tight ends.
Depressed RBs: The NIL era has created a bottleneck at running back, and draft capital suffered for it.
Coop’s favorite non-first-round dynasty picks: Eli Raridon (NE), Elijah Sarratt (BAL), Malachi Fields (NYG) and Adam Randall (BAL).
De'Zhaun Stribling (SF) and Kaelon Black (SF) headline the reaches, and force Coop and Jeff to rethink their rankings.
Coop rates KC Concepcion as the last rookie he’s truly comfortable taking in round one of dynasty rookie drafts — after five or six the value gets very sketchy very fast.
Despite a weak class, there's value to mine in later rookie draft rounds.
⏱️ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – The Draft Is Over 03:39 – The “Block Line”: Coop’s draft quality litmus test 08:42 – Tight end landing spots: Sadiq & the Jets disaster, Stowers & Raridon 19:01 – Tight end nightmares: Roush, Klare & the Rams’ 5-TE 24:15 – Wide receiver landing spots: Williams, Bernard & the best/worst spots 36:35 – Running backs: the NIL bottleneck and why the class is thin 42:10 – Jeremiyah Love: just take him 1.01, full stop 49:09 – Jeanty, Washington & the Raiders’ split-backfield reality 55:28 – Quarterback landing spots: Mendoza, Simpson & the rushing QB flyers 1:06:25 – Reaches, head-scratchers & the panic picks 1:15:32 – Value picks & sleepers: Raridon, Branch, Brazzell & late-round darts 1:20:53 – Dynasty rookie draft strategy: round-by-round recommendations
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On the Clock? When to Trade That Rookie Draft Pick with Pete Nova
23 Apr 2026
00:54:55
Your rookie pick is never more valuable than when it's on the clock, and the trade window is open. Should you make the pick, trade down, or trade out? Jeff Blaylock sits down with Pete Nova of PlayerProfiler to break down the strategy behind trading picks during your live rookie draft. Knowing when to sell, when to hold, and what to ask for can be the difference between winning and spinning your wheels. Whether you're sitting at the 1.01 or staring at a late third you're not excited about, there's a strategy for every spot on the board.
💡 Key Takeaways
A pick's value peaks when it's on the clock — certainty is the asset being traded, and knowing your league matters before you try to use it.
Rebuilders with the 1.01 should always be listening to offers, not just taking the pick. Drafting a player without offering trades or considering trading down for multiple assets is malpractice.
Moving from an early first area requires a proven player in return, not just picks. A.J. Brown is the kind of asset that justifies dropping a few slots.
Moving up in the second round means targeting running backs. Wide receiver hit rates are too low to justify burning assets for a late-second receiver.
Third-round picks are prime candidates to trade for veterans if you're contending, like a Rachaad White or J.K. Dobbins, or opportunities to invest in intriguing tight end prospects.
Future non-first picks are throw-ins. Future distant firsts should be valued like seconds because the uncertainty is real.
The person holding the pick on the clock has the leverage, but if you're sitting on a pick you don't want, smart opponents will smell it.
⏱️ Chapters / Timestamps
00:00 – Intro 05:06 – When Is a Draft Pick's Value at Its Peak? 09:26 – The 1.01: Buying and Selling the Top Pick 14:04 – The 1.03 Tier: What It Takes to Move Down 16:34 – Second-Round Strategies 21:49 – Third-Round Picks: Veterans, Tight Ends, and Futures 28:06 – Your Guy Is on the Board: Draft Now or Negotiate? 35:15 – Who Has the Leverage On the Clock? 39:52 – Deciding to Trade Down vs. Move Out Completely 44:10 – Buying the 2027 Hype? 47:16 – How to Value Future Picks in an Active Trade
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What the Metrics Say About the 2026 Rookie Class with Ryan Heath
21 Apr 2026
01:05:30
Every incoming rookie gets defined by a blizzard of metrics, but which ones matter for predicting dynasty success? Ryan Heath of Fantasy Points joins Dynasty Compass to walk through the analytical models he built to rank rookies at wide receiver, tight end, and running back. He explains the specific metrics that predict early career fantasy success, which players in the 2026 class those metrics love, which ones concern him, and why. Ryan drops tons of insights on Jordyn Tyson, Jonah Coleman, Elijah Sarratt, Max Klare, Michael Trigg, Tanner Koziol, Zachariah Branch, and many more.
💡 Key Takeaways
Yards per team passing attempt and first downs per route run are the most predictive metrics for WRs
Reception share, missed tackles forced and athleticism score matter most for TEs
"Yards After" and targets per routes run are critical to RB success
Raw metrics can mislead; they need to be adjusted for age, team volume & strength of schedule
Beware "one hit wonders" – guys with a single season of solid production
Slot concentration and overreliance on screens are big red flags for WRs
The evolution of the TE role and rise of multi-TE sets have serious implications for production
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Welcome & Model Building 05:44 – What the Model Predicts 10:35 – Predictive Metrics for WRs 17:14 – Predictive Metrics for TEs 28:09 – Predictive Metrics for RBs 33:17 – Flag Plants: Coleman, Tyson, Sarratt 41:54 – The Problem with Screens: Zachariah Branch 46:32 – Troubles with Washington, Bell & Hurst 52:27 – TEs Who Shine and Those Who Don’t 56:51 – The Problem with Slot Concentration 1:01:31 – Understanding Tiers Is Key
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Run Leagues No One Wants to Leave with Joey Wright
14 Apr 2026
01:04:54
Most commissioners think their job is merely administrative. They collect dues, schedule drafts, manage league settings and move on. Footballguys' community engagement leader Joey Wright thinks that's only the beginning. In this episode, Joey joins Jeff Blaylock to talk about what it actually takes to build a dynasty league that people never want to leave, from the three roles every commissioner plays to the tools and traditions that keep a league alive year-round to what separates a good commissioner from a great one. Whether you're a veteran commissioner or thinking about launching your first league, this conversation will change how you see your role.
You may want to check out this episode on YouTube for some special photos and moments that don't necessarily translate to audio-only formats.
Topics Include
The three hats every commissioner wears: administrator, mediator, and social chair
Why turnover is the truest signal a league is in trouble
How a league constitution prevents most conflicts before they start
The best communication tools for keeping leagues engaged are outside the app
The off-season engagement playbook: events, birthdays, and more
What to look for in a commissioner and what skills the role actually requires
Starting a dynasty league from scratch: settings, format, buy-in, and timing
The Empire dynasty format and why it may be the future of money leagues
Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 — The Commissioner Builds the Community 01:55 — Joey's Road to a Full-time Fantasy Role 09:19 — The Home League Show & How It Came to Be 13:10 — Think Bigger Than Administration 17:06 — The Three Hats: Administrator, Mediator, Social Chair 23:01 — What to Look for in a Commissioner 31:00 — Skills Every Commissioner Needs 38:29 — Handling Conflict & the Constitution 46:17 — How to Level Up Your League 55:39 — Parting Advice for New Commissioners 58:58 — Where to Find Joey
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Dynasty Orphans: What to Expect When You're Expecting
08 Apr 2026
00:49:47
Orphan leagues are often the easiest entry into dynasty, and adopting one comes with a learning curve that nobody warns you about. FFToday's Dustin Ludke joins Jeff Blaylock to walk through the full orphan experience: how to evaluate a roster before you commit, what to expect from your new league mates, and how to rebuild from the worst team in the league into a contender. Knowing what's actually coming — from early lowball offers to the energy drain of managing a rebuild — can be the difference between a frustrating experience and a future championship run.
Topics Include:
How to evaluate an orphan roster before agreeing to take it over
Red flags that signal a league you should walk away from
Fee negotiation and how to protect yourself from being a league's ATM machine
Finding cornerstone players in a bad roster
How to use a win threshold framework for closing the gap, position by position
Why new orphan managers underestimate the energy a rebuild requires
How to read your league mates and match the trading energy of a new league
The "ask for the throw-in" principle and how lottery tickets compound over time
Chapters/Timestamps:
00:00 — Orphans Are the Gateway Drug to Dynasty 02:05 — Justin's Diary of an Orphan 07:10 — Evaluating an Orphan Before You Commit 12:00 — Red Flags: Turnover, Fees & League Drama 20:00 — Finding Cornerstones in a Disaster Roster 22:48 — What New Orphan Managers Underestimate 28:50 — The First Thing to Do After Adoption 35:25 — Minimal Increases: How Rebuilds Actually Work 42:50 — What Dustin Wishes He'd Known About Dynasty 47:10 — Where to Find Dustin
Why Dynasty Managers Need to Be Using AI with Ronnie Evans
21 Jul 2026
01:13:44
AI expert Ronnie Evans, founder of Goodguy.ai, joins Jeff to talk about how dynasty managers can actually use AI without handing over the decisions that still belong to them. Knowing where AI saves real time, and where it doesn't, keeps you from wasting money on the wrong tools or falling behind managers who've already figured it out. They also cover what league commissioners can automate, how content creators should and shouldn't use AI, and where the industry is headed next.
💡 Key Takeaways
Pay for AI tools. Free versions are outdated technology, but $20 a month buys real power.
Prompt AI like a professional analyst, not a chatbot.
Use AI for coding, busywork like building spreadsheets and research. Don't rely on it for final decisions.
Non-coders can now build their own dynasty tools with AI.
Vet the builder before trusting an AI-powered tool.
Commissioners can automate league questions and engagement tracking.
Responsible use means disclosing your sources.
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Introduction & How AI Entered Fantasy Football 09:19 – How Fast Is AI Actually Moving? 15:23 – Building the Expo's AI Panel 18:45 – How Dynasty Managers Can Start Using AI 24:19 – Where AI Actually Saves You Time (and Where Credit Is Due) 30:10 – Building Your Own Tools With AI 35:38 – Inside the Scott Fish Bowl Tool Demo 43:18 – Evaluating the Flood of AI Tools 49:19 – AI for League Commissioners 56:16 – Defining Responsible Use of AI 1:02:12 – Where to Draw the Line (and the AI Arms Race) 1:08:13 – Wrap-Up: Takeaways, What's Next, Where to Find Ronnie
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.
Tiering Down Without Tearing Up with Mike "NerdBoi" Lamoureux
14 Jul 2026
01:03:37
JSN, Trey McBride, and De'Von Achane are locked in as first-round dynasty assets, primed to finish as a top producer at their position this year. Knowing when their value has actually peaked lets you sell before the market catches up. Dynasty Degens' Mike "NerdBoi" Lamoureux joins Jeff to discuss tiering down, a repeatable framework for building insulated trades where you send top-tier producers for rising assets plus draft capital. The strategy builds value whether you're rebuilding or trying to extend a championship window. The two also dig into specific tier-down targets at every position heading into the 2026 season.
💡 Key Takeaways
Tiering down means trading a top-tier producer for a slightly lower-tier asset plus extra value.
These draft picks or additional players on top of a lateral swap "insulate" the trade, reducing the risk that it doesn't work out.
Selling a player right after his best season feels like giving up value, but that fear fades once you focus on what you're getting back rather than what you're giving up.
Contract timelines are a key signal, since a player's second contract can mark the start of a decline in tradeable value.
Wide receiver is the easiest position to tier down from, since production is more linear than at running back.
A tiering-down strategy fits perennial contenders looking to extend their window, not just rebuilders trying to start over.
Timing matters more than the asset itself, since waiting too long to sell can cost more value than the framework can recover.
Specific 2026 targets span every position, from Emeka Egbuka and Zay Flowers at receiver to Tyler Warren and Kenyon Sadiq at tight end.
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Introduction 02:03 – What Is Tiering Down? 09:13 – Positional vs. Cross-Positional Trades 13:47 – Overcoming the Fear of Selling High 18:26 – Reading the Contract Clock 22:50 – A Strategy for Contenders, Not Just Rebuilders 29:55 – Timing Your Window and Learning From Misses 35:30 – Wide Receiver Targets 41:48 – Running Back Targets 48:52 – Tight End Targets 54:13 – Quarterback Targets 58:06 – Final Advice and Where to Find Mike
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Adding Defensive Stars to Your Dynasty League with Matt Montgomery
07 Jul 2026
01:08:34
IDP ("individual defensive players") has always been the side of fantasy football most dynasty managers skip, and Footballguys' Matt Montgomery says that's exactly where an edge is hiding. Understanding which defensive players to draft, how IDP scoring works, and how to introduce it to your league without chaos is what separates managers who dabble from those who dominate. In this episode, Jeff sits down with Matt for an IDP 101 conversation covering everything from the basics of defensive positions to startup draft strategy to the IDP Stock Market framework Matt uses to find risers and fallers every week.
💡 Key Takeaways
IDP changes how you watch football because it unlocks the half of the game you've been ignoring.
Start with "oatmeal" IDP scoring, 3-2-1 (sacks, big plays, tackles), as a starting point.
Snap counts are the single best IDP research tool: 80–90% snap share means the stats will come.
Linebackers are the RBs of your defense: consistent volume with upside.
Add IDP gradually and build from there to keep your league fun.
Go big-game hunting early in drafts, then manage conservatively through trades and waivers.
IDP rookie drafts run 3–4 rounds deeper, and NFL draft capital is a reliable early-round signal.
The biggest mistake IDP managers make is focusing only on the players with the best PR.
⏱️ Chapters / Timestamps 00:00 – What is IDP? 09:40 – How IDP scoring works (Matt's 3-2-1 explained) 16:14 – How IDP affects roster construction and pick value 24:02 – When to add IDP to an existing league vs. starting fresh 34:29 – Commissioner mistakes and how to avoid them 41:43 – Golden rules for IDP in an offense-first league 48:59 – Draft aggressive, manage conservative 54:09 – The IDP Stock Market series explained 01:00:20 – The biggest mistake IDP managers make & Matt's best advice 01:04:23 – Where to find Matt Montgomery
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Buying Breakouts Before They Break Out with JJ Zachariason
30 Jun 2026
01:18:05
JJ Zachariason of Late Round QB joins Dynasty Compass to break down how he identifies Year 2 and Year 3 breakout candidates before the market catches on. Knowing which players are undervalued by the market is one of the most reliable edges you can have in dynasty, whether you're contending, rebuilding, or somewhere in between. JJ covers his ZAP Model, his new Market Score metric, and the specific players he's targeting right now heading into 2026. He also highlights that "too late" is earlier than we think.
💡 Key Takeaways
How JJ defines a breakout analytically using ADP expectation, not just raw production
What the ZAP Model predicts and why it's built around a player's first three NFL seasons
How his new Market Score works and how dynasty managers can use it to find undervalued players
Why dynasty managers are often too impatient with rookies, and when impatience is actually correct
The signals JJ looks for at each position: mobility at QB, pass-catching at RB, per-route efficiency at WR and athleticism at TE
How injuries factor into breakout evaluation, and why cost is the real variable
JJ's 2026 breakout candidates at RB, WR, and TE, and when the buying window closes
Why "too late" arrives earlier than most managers think
The two pillars of dynasty success: production and market value
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Welcome and Introduction 04:23 – The A-ha Moment in a Target Parking Lot 10:07 – Defining a Breakout 17:13 – Archetypes, Comps, and What the Market Misses 20:58 – Market Score: JJ's New Tool 28:17 – Cost Is Everything: Buying for Value, Not Ceiling 36:29 – Breakout Signals by Position 46:59 – Talent vs. Situation: What JJ Weighs More 54:58 – 2026 Breakout Candidates 01:09:04 – When to Buy, When to Sell 01:13:23 – The Most Common Mistake
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Pat Fitzmaurice from FantasyPros joins Jeff Blaylock to break down how to approach a dynasty startup draft. First of all, have a real strategic plan before you go on the clock, and then stick to it. Jeff and Fitz cover positional priority, Superflex quarterback timing, TE premium math, and how to use in-draft trading to get your guys and avoid players you don't believe in.
💡 Key Takeaways
Three strategic paths — Win now, year two, productive struggle — and how they shape every pick.
Why dynasty-optimal value drives the first four to five rounds regardless of strategy.
TE premium: the actual math on how much (or little) it boosts tight end value (hint: it's not 1.5x).
Superflex QB timing: when to take your first and second quarterback and what happens when you wait too long.
How to structure an in-draft trade, both moving up for a target and moving down when the board is flat.
Why the biggest startup mistake is an incoherent roster.
Fitz's Golden Rule: draft players you believe in.
⏱️ Chapters
00:00 – Introduction 03:52 – Startup draft mindset & prep 06:24 – The three strategic paths explained 10:03 – How strategy changes your picks by round 15:33 – Positional priorities in early rounds 22:08 – League settings' impacts on roster construction 28:28 – When to take quarterbacks, 1QB & Superflex 30:26 – TE premium: the math behind the myth 38:05 – Running backs: talent vs. opportunity 47:32 – In-draft trading: moving up, down, and why 01:00:03 – Golden rule: draft players you believe in
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Which One Is the 1? Finding Value When Nobody Can Read the Room
09 Jun 2026
01:32:06
The murkiest running back, wide receiver, and tight end rooms offer big dynasty value, if you know how to read them. Knowing how to evaluate a room instead of just a player lets you find value where others see noise, and avoid the moves that dynasty managers regret every season. Brian Hartman of Too Much Fantasy Football joins Jeff Blaylock to walk through his framework for murky situations and then get into the rooms themselves, from Pittsburgh's backfield to the Rams' TE depth chart to Chicago's WR room, where nobody is sure who is The One.
💡 Key Takeaways
Evaluating a room, not just an individual player, can change which dynasty assets look cheap and which look like traps.
The Pittsburgh backfield is one of the murkiest in the league. Brian gives Rico Dowdle a slight edge over Jaylen Warren in dynasty because of his ceiling.
The Seattle situation with Jadarian Price is a cautionary tale about spending first-round picks on short-term situations, not the player's long-term value.
The Washington Commanders have five running backs. None of them are must-owns, but Rachaad White may be the most interesting piece to acquire cheaply.
Looking at the Bears' WR room, Brian would rather sell whichever of Luther Burden or Rome Odunze he can get the most value for, but not keep both.
If he misses out on the elite TE options, Brian's spending his startup capital elsewhere and taking advantage of rookie values later.
Terrance Ferguson is a dynasty buy right now despite the crowded Rams' TE room. His path to volume is clearer than his ADP suggests.
Know your league before anything else: the murky situations that hurt you in a vacuum might be exactly the bet your specific league rewards.
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Introduction: Rooms, Not Players 06:16 – Pittsburgh: Warren vs. Dowdle 13:13 – Cleveland: Judkins, Sampson and the QB Problem 22:28 – Seattle: Should You Pay for Jadarian Price? 26:59 – Houston: The Texans' Run Game Doesn't Excite Anyone 29:58 – Washington: Five Running Backs, No Clear Answer 34:36 – Wide Receivers: The Tier 2.5 Problem 40:26 – Chicago: Burden vs. Odunze 49:01 – Buffalo: DJ Moore's Value with Josh Allen 53:53 – Tight Ends: Punt the Position or Pay Up? 01:03:37 – The Rams' TE Room: Buy Terrance Ferguson 01:18:28 – Quarterbacks: Cleveland's Unsolvable Problem 01:27:51 – Overarching Advice for Murky Situations
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Fantasy analysts don't love admitting they got it wrong, but owning your misses is how you get better. Addison Hayes from Dynasty League Football walks through the players who scored highly in his Marker System but still busted in the NFL, breaking down what his model caught, what it missed, and what he's still learning. Jeff adds a few of his own misses, including that one trade he still regrets.
💡 Key Takeaways
How the Marker System uses production, athleticism, and draft capital checkboxes to grade college prospects
Corey Davis is the archetype for why small school production remains a persistent source of model error
The N'Keal Harry List: what it is, why it exists, and who's on it in 2026
The Ladd McConkey List: the positive flip side, and why Makai Lemon is the only 2026 wide receiver on it
Why Cam Akers and J.K. Dobbins are injury misses, not model failures
Jeff's personal misses: Jalen Reagor, Zach Wilson, Henry Ruggs, and that Puka Nacua trade
What the 2026 class's historically low average grade should tell dynasty managers heading into rookie drafts
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Why we need to talk about our misses 07:33 – Markers: production, athleticism & draft capital 16:41 – Adjustments to raw production that tell the real story 24:11 – Corey Davis and the small school problem 26:34 – N'Keal Harry and the advanced marker gap 28:55 – Cam Akers, J.K. Dobbins, and the injury caveat 33:23 – Jadarian Price and the CEH comparison 44:11 – Small school patterns and the zone-coverage signal 47:07 – Analytics vs. film: where each approach has blind spots 51:49 – Jeff's misses: Reagor, Darnold, Wilson, Ruggs, and Puka Nacua 57:51 – Lessons for dynasty managers and a warning for 2026 1:13:17 – Where to find Addison's work
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Buy, Sell, or Hold? Navigating the Dynasty Trade Market with Theo Gremminger
26 May 2026
00:49:27
Rookie drafts aren't the only way to improve your dynasty roster this offseason. Theo Gremminger from Fantasy Points joins Jeff to survey the dynasty trade landscape right now: who to target, what to pay, who to move, and which players are worth holding a little longer. Knowing where the value gaps are lets you trade with conviction and avoid the traps the market hasn't priced in, yet. Theo covers rookie landing spot winners and losers, veteran buy targets for contenders, the rebuild playbook, players he'd be selling today, and why the biggest mistake managers make in May has nothing to do with individual players.
💡 Key Takeaways
Carnell Tate's landing spot is better than the market appreciates — Brian Daboll's track record with first-season receivers is a real edge.
David Montgomery and Terry McLaurin are win-now targets available at an age discount that won't last.
Year-two players are being overpriced; the Garrett Wilson and Ladd McConkey cautionary tales apply to some big names right now.
Bucky Irving is a sell: injuries, the Kenneth Gainwell signing, and off-field concerns combine for a souring outlook.
For rebuilders, 2027 seconds may be more valuable than many managers realize given the projected class and easier to obtain than first-rounders.
Tight end upside at a deep discount is offered by Eli Raridon, Oscar Delp, Max Klare and Terrance Ferguson.
Don't feel pressure to fill out your roster in May. You're not setting a lineup until September Acquire value and make the right moves in July and August.
⏱️ Chapters
00:00 – Introduction 00:49 – Rookie landing spot winners: Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, Jadarian Price, Kenyon Sadiq 04:33 – Rookie landing spot losers: Omar Cooper, Day 2 & 3 running backs 06:59 – The buy side: David Montgomery, Terry McLaurin, Christian Watson, Zay Flowers 12:00 – What to pay: going rates and trade philosophy 15:05 – The rebuild side: handcuffs, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck, 2027 picks 19:15 – The sell side: Bucky Irving, George Kittle, and the "no untouchables" rule 21:33 – Contenders: tiering up, two-for-ones, and year-two traps 30:43 – Depth targets: Jordan Addison, Parker Washington, rookie stashes 33:34 – The tight end evolution: Rams TE room, Eli Raridon, Oscar Delp 41:09 – The hold side: A.J. Brown, Jayden Reed, Chris Godwin, Jonathan Brooks 46:00 – Biggest mistake dynasty managers make this time of year
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Can you believe drafters are sleeping on these guys?
Knowing which rookies have a realistic path to playing time can turn a late-round pick or a waiver claim into real dynasty equity. Yet, many managers are letting these guys fall down the draft board. After this episode, you'll know exactly which 2026 rookies to grab before your leaguemates figure it out. Derek Brown, senior analyst at FantasyPros, joins Jeff Blaylock to dive deep into the 2026 rookie class and surface the late-round rookie picks dynasty managers should be drafting while their league mates draft less impactful players. From Chase Roberts and Bryce Lance to Oscar Delp, Eli Raridon, and Matthew Hibner, this is the episode for managers hunting first-round talent with fourth and fifth-round picks.
💡 Key Takeaways
Path to playing time is the key to deciding which late-round rookie is worth drafting.
DBro's favorite WR sleepers include Chase Roberts, CJ Daniels, Eric Rivers and Kevin Coleman Jr., who he calls "South Beach Jayden Reed."
Bryce Lance is available in the third and fourth round of rookie drafts despite ranking sixth in yards per route run among all FBS and FCS receivers last year — DBro sees a Christian Watson 2.0 with a clear path to starting in New Orleans.
High-end athleticism at tight end is a prerequisite for dynasty value, not just a bonus. DBro won't draft a TE who runs a 4.8 40 or slower.
Oscar Delp and Eli Raridon, DBro's two most undervalued players in this class, are falling to the third and fourth round of rookie drafts when both could be long-term starting tight ends.
DBro is most excited about tight ends in the fifth round and beyond of rookie drafts. He's targeting Seydou Traore, Matthew Hibner and Jaren Kanak.
Seth McGowan, one of DBro's favorite late-round RBs, is worth drafting as a potential RB2 in Indy, and Eli Heidenreich is a late-round RB who might end up as a starting slot receiver.
DBro is fading Demond Claiborne and Adam Randall despite the buzz, citing contact avoidance and poor tackle-breaking metrics that don't match the hype.
Cole Payton is DBro's sleeper quarterback pick for Superflex leagues, while Haynes King is the waiver wire name to stash.
⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps
00:00 – Introduction 08:12 – Finding first-round talent with late-round picks 14:31 – WRs: Chase Roberts & Bryce Lance 23:17 – Kevin Coleman Jr. and the Miami Dolphins' WR mess 28:04 – "TikTok footwork," contested catch rate, and what actually translates 36:04 – CJ Daniels & Eric Rivers 42:34 – TEs: Athleticism as a filter 48:17 – Oscar Delp & Eli Raridon 55:13 – Matt Hibner & Jaren Kanak 01:02:54 – RBs: Seth McGowan & Eli Heidenreich 01:10:44 – QBs: Cole Payton & Haynes King in Superflex 01:15:57 – DBro's round-by-round final picks
If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.