Week 5 FAAB recap

Nelson talks global strategy on FAAB, "big" adds and drops in Primetimes, OCs and OLACs and the bidding in Primtimes this week.

Week 18 FAAB review

Review of the top 35 teams in the NFBC Main Event at the all star break

- Tipton's MEQ update

- how did the top 35 teams from last year rank at the all star break?

- how did the top 35 at the all star break finish last year?

- Bjorns Male Room

Week 17 Main Event FAAB review -Big adds and drops -Reece Hinds -Lawrence Butler -Matt Wallner -Victor Robles -Matt McLain -Jose Butto -Esteury Ruiz -Alex Cobb -Hunter Harvey -Kris Bubic -Much more

Zack talks to Mike about  -why DeGrom should be faded in round 1 -JT Realmuto -Chris Sale -LABR -Review of Listener League -Review of Tag Team Draft -10 Interesting Fantasy Facts -Diversification -Dungeons and Dragons and being triggered -Jeff Man's suggestions

We talk to Scott about 

- Michigan Iowa game

- Wrestlemania 2

- Cease's core velocity belt

-Rodon, Lopez, Stiever, Crochet

- Who's Hendrik's back up?

- Over Under .235 for Moncada, .255 for Robert, .310 for Madrigal

- Moncada bounce back?

- Did Robert's diving catch impact his second half?

- Vaughn ETA

-Projected batting order

Bjorn, AG, Shrimp talk stashes, big FAAB adds and drops coming up. AG sticks around to go over playing time trends.

Zack and Tony talk the @baseballpods bracket death match

- review a recent DC they were both in

- Tony gives you 2 fades

- Fading pocket aces and how to recover on SB when drafting aces

- mid round breakout SPs (JMont, Civale, Eovaldi, Musgrove, Gausman, Smyly)

- Launch angle deep dive

- Zack gives you who he thinks could be this year's Corbin Burnes

Michel Govier of the Hey It’s Enrico Pallazzo Fantasy Baseball Pod (@Pallazzopodcast) steps in to talk shop, listener leagues, pod brackets, and to play some games.  We debut the new Draft Champions theme song!

Zack talks to Chris Halicke of SI Fan Nation about the Rangers rotation options, closer situation, and predicts the batting order on April 1 and July 1.

- Jung, Huff, Tejada ETA

-6 Man rotation?

- Kyle Cody and Dane Dunning

- Folty

- Calhoun and Khris Davis

- Taveras breakout

- Ronald Guzman

Zack talks to Ryan Divish of the Seattle Times about the 2021 Mariners

- Kelenic and Gilbert ETA

- Dylan Moore

- Kikuchi

- Closer situation

- Murphy, Torrens, and Raleigh

- 6 man rotation

- Projected Batting Order

Zack talks to Rob Maaddi of @975TheFanatic and @FaithontheField

After the obligatory Wentz/Hurts discussion we move onto baseball and project the Phillies batting order and rotation.

We talk what's left in the tank for Segura and McCutchen, Bohm being a stud, the Kingery/Haseley/Quinn dilemma

How good is Aaron Nola?

Is Hoskins healthy?

Zack talks to Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com

We talk the projected batting order, starting rotation

When we can expect Jeter Downs, Jarren Duran, and Tristan Casas

We talk Sale's timetable, Houck's role, Pivetta's pitch mix, Perez's relationship with Cora, and Richard's health

JD Martinez and in game video

Marwin and Kike utility men

Dalbec's power

Franchy and Renfroe's upside

Early February fantasy baseball relevant news with a focus on quotes from organizations' senior staff

Zack talks to Brian O'Grady about the Reds, Rays, and now the Padres

We talk about plate discipline, stealing bases, influential teammates and coaches, and what players could break out this year besides himself. 

Zack talks to Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic. We talk recent news, the D'Backs organizational philosophy and much more including - Ketel Marte will be dual or triple eligible - Over under on Varsho's plate appearances - Corbin Martin and where he slots in the rotation - Closer situation  - Prospects to be on the look out for - Projected batting order in April and July

Zack has Bubba and the Batflip on to discuss the battle of the pods

Bubba defends his closer and Toby defends his pitching.  We get deep into JT Realmuto and Keston Hiura.

Week 16 FAAB Review

Zack, Eric, Michael, and Daniel discuss the Battle of the Pods We discuss Twitter putting a disputed claim on Bob Nightengale's tweets We talk about the Fowler signing and the implications on Adell, Marsh, and Tyler O'Neill  We take a listener question on Adell Eric defrends Cristian Javier and Michael defends Edwin Rios  We talk Scherzer, Stanton, Lamet, Kiriloff, and of course, Kelenic in our draft. We review post hype breakout candidates: Senzel, Dahl, Reyes, Rodgers, Matz We dicuss the catcher prospects in DC formats (Huff, Kirk, Stephenson, Bart) We talk the Rays pitching staff in redraft formats: Honeywell, McKay, McClanahan, Ryan, Patino Balazovic vs. Duran in redraft Rooker vs. Larnarch in redraft

Zack talks with Greg Jewett of Fantasy Alarm about his "Coffee and Closers".  They dig deep on the relief pitcher market and advise you on who you should be targeting in some deep leagues.

Jorge Montanez and Drew Morris discuss drafting out of the 2 and 3 slots in the battle of the podcasts.  Jorge defends his Starlin Castro 2B1 pick and Drew defends JT Realmuto in round 2.

We discuss a bunch of avoids and who we want to draft on the Rockies. 

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Zack brings you his favorite strategic advice he has heard over the last month on various podcasts

Topics include

Draft Preparation and Mocks

KDS

Risk Management

Player Analysis

Targets and Projections

FAAB

Game Theory and Overall Draft Strategy

Special thanks to

Phil Dussault (@phildussault27)

Jeff Zimmerman (@jeffwzimmerman)

Matt Modica (@ctmbaseball)

Vlad Sedler (@rotogut)

Toby Guevin (@batflipcrazy)

Dave McDondald (@rundmcd)

Jake Halusker (@thedustime)

Ryan Bloomfield (RyanBHQ)

Ariel Cohen (@ATCNY)

Todd Zola (@toddzola)

Derek Van Riper (@derekvanriper)

Matt Davis (@_mattywood_)

Johnny Stud (@mlbmovingavg)

Pete (@draftcheat)

Eric Cross (@ericcross04)

Alex Chamberlain (@DolphHauldhagen) 

Podcast Hosts

Mike Govier (@mjgovier)

Mike Simeone (@spstreamer)

Rob DiPietro (@deadpullhitter)

Jeff Erickson (@Jeff_Erickson)

Scott Jenstad (@scottjenstad)

Justin, Jake, Dave and Zack break down the Battle of the Pods.  We discuss Corbin, Varsho, Moore (again), Carlson, Civale, Bieber, Plesac, Quantill, Heaney and Dave actually gives you a dynasty league stash!  And tons of strategy!

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http://rotosaurus.com/

https://www.friendswithfantasybenefits.com/

Zack talks with Rob DiPietro and Chris @baseballpods about the recently completed Battle of the Podcasts league discussing how to handle drafting free agents, how to use projections, minimum statistical targets, and discussing alternative strategies drafting.

Players Discussed:

- Dylan Moore

- Justin Turner

- Jarred Kelenic

- AJ Puk

- Marcus Semien

- Garrett Richards

- Noah Syndergaard

- Amir Garrett

- Jeter Downs

- JB Wendelken

- Ryan Yarbrough

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@draftchampagne

@baseballpods

@deadpullhitter

@thepullhitterpod

MTM has 7 "interesting" facts and reviews 3 drafts after returning for a Ha-Seung Kim victory lap after the Profar signing.  We then fade back to yesterday where he spent some time telling us to avoid Kim and review 3 big drafts - Battle of the Podcasts - MTM fast draft with DVR - Zack's star studded DC Also: the new "Super" DC  follow @draftchampagne

Zack talks with Matt Davis and Mike Simeone about the Battle of the Podcasts and pitching getting jammed.

Matt defends his Rendon and Berrios picks and Mike defends his Willi Castro and Moncada picks

Matt and Mike don't hold back on the rest of the drafters, this one is all killer no filler.

Zack is joined by John of Corked Stats and Matt Williams of the Turn Two Podcast

We discuss 

-the latest bombshell signings by the no so baby anymore Blue Jays

- strategy for the battle of the pods

- Matt defends his Tapia pick

- John defends his Dalbec pick

- Matt and John torch Zack's team

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@mlbmovingavg

@turntwopodcast

https://rotofanatic.com/

Many familiar faces shooting the sh*t talking the recent Battle of the Podcasts League which is a 50 round draft and hold league hosted on the NFBC. We discuss: - starting pitching getting pushed up - Maeda a 4.00 ERA guy? - Dinelson Lamet - Matt William's new hat - Matty Davis being a high stakes stud waiting zagging when others are zigging - SP Streamers early shopping spree on Framber Valdez - Dave McDonald's take on the Cleveland bullpen Draft Order @MLBMovingAvg @Roto_Nino @commonsensefbb @EricCross04 @zackroto @baseballpods @JustinMasonFWFB @SPStreamer @MattWi77iams @TheDustmite & @RunDMcD @_mattywood_ @bdentrek @deadpullhitter @batflipcrazy @mjgovier

Got disconnected but continued here (nice timing for a break). The remainder of the episode is going into detail on all the week 15 adds

- Noelvi Marte

- Festa

- Davis Daniel

- Noel

- etc.

Zack discusses marginal utility in fantasy baseball with Derek and Lucas hits us up with a live mailbag and we discuss his top 100 pitchers.  We talk Arenado Bias and Arenado vs. Seager.  We also discuss Bauer's full count luck

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Also dicusses "ownership" and "value" relative to risk, 

Also dicusses "ownership" and "value" relative to risk, many types  of biases related to fantasy baseball and a behavioral economics article by Jeff Zimmerman.

Some heated debates

- Moncada recency bias

- Sano Anchor bias

- Nelson Cruz Gamblers falacy

- Lamet loss aversion bias

- Vaughn vs. Donaldson's regret aversion bias

- Vaughn vs. Sanchez cognitive bias

Zack talks with Micah Henry of the Fantasy Insiders about 1 starting pitcher on each team in the AL they are high and and low on.

Zack and John talk 1 up and 1 down in the NL for each team's bullpen and offense.  Also discuss possible free agent signings.

Zack and John talk 1 up and 1 down in the AL West with respect to the bullpen and offense.

Zack and John discuss 1 up and 1 down for each bullpen and offensive position in the AL Central.

Zack and John talk 1 up and 1 down from the bullpen for each team and 1 up and 1 down for each team's hitters - in the AL East.

A couple Free Agent predictions and thrown in and with a Draft and Hold twist.

John Fish gives a NFBKC primer.  Topics include:

- Why you don't play home leagues with trades

- John's 2nd place overall finish in the NFBKC Main Event

- Luca Love

- Pocket Centers

- The importance of the draft

- Michael Porter Jr.

- Blocks/Assists are early targets

- The most overrated player in fantasy

- Zack's advanced basketball metrics

- Harden's value in Houston and Brooklyn and the #1 player in points leagues

- Kendrick Nunn and Shai

- Injury prone players

1:30 - Intro and Small Business Promotion and Listener giveaway

8:30 - MTM's Victory lap on last episode's rant and how many followers he's lost

11:45 - Sean Gilmartin is not in the Baseball Forecaster

12:45 - The Process review (Jeff Zimmerman)

15:00 - Top 10 NFBC Twitter follows that are under and MTM got the handle wrong - it's @ScottJenstad

20:00 - News and Notes (Cano is an idiot, Arozarena estimated suspension, Nelson Cruz and Big Papi Pharma) and teaser on the latest fast DC

25:00 - Zack lists the NFBC players he wants to avoid drafting with

26:00 - Zack calls out The Mouth on recruiting for his DC

28:45 - Zack rants on Group Chat guys

39:00 - Review one of his Fast DCs and why he took Bichette in Round 1

48:00 - over/under on Mike Mager's stolen bases on this team is 5.

50:00 - Wander/Vaughn/Kelenic and Matt Tantillo's risky squad

51:20 - MTM's 10 avoids

1:04:50 - Zack's 1 MAJOR avoid but MTM says he could go 20/20 at age 33 coming off 17 injuries

1:08 - Free agent market and early drafter advantages

1:12:40 - Kenley Jansen vs. Craig Kimbrel 

1:18:00 - Who will move up boards this year like Bichette did last year?

1:19:30 - Players with low min picks as an indication of ADP rising 

1:20:40 - Kim, Sugano, Arihara, and the Japanese Mallex Smith (calibrating the KBO)

1:25:00 - 112mph+ Barrels predicting sleepers

1:31:30 - MLB curse of changing your name and Dee Strange-Gordon's father

1:34:10 - Giving MTM some positive and negative feedback from our listeners

1:36:30 - MTM gives a heartfelt shout out to an industry guy 

1:38:00 - MTM discusses his Twitter groupies 

Just 2 CPAs talking spreadsheets and bestball.

Zack makes a 1 sided bet with Derek

All bestball strategy talking the nuances of different formats on NFBC, BB10s, and Fantrax.

Way too long. Mike Kurland. Total FAAB recap. Making you better players. Building the community. Some actionable stuff, mostly tangents.

Macro environment and big adds and drops this week.

Phil and Toby discuss winning individual Main Event leagues 3 times in 2020 and some 2021 strategy including pocket aces, a potential full house, some catcher love, roster construction, and how many batters a pitcher is worth. 

Jim talks about his 2020 victory, 2021 bouncebacks, managing FAAB leagues vs. draft and hold, managing team construct, reviews a recent DC in his honour as well as gives us 6 sleepers to draft after round 30.

Rob talks his DC win, some late round comps to Burnes and Javier, auction values, how to draft starting pitching, and team construct using "buckets".  We also discuss a main event league we were both in.

Kevin talks his TGFBI win and general approach to team composition including "working backwards".  We talk what went right and how to navigate what went wrong.  We talk about how to apply Steamer projections for 2021 and the shortfalls of using projections.  Late round targets are discussed including the trio of Tigers young pitchers, Bobby Witt Jr, Austin Martin and Torkelson.  

We also react to the recent news of the plethora of declined options.

Mike "The Mouth" lives up to his name discussing his NY Super Victory, general strategy, and gets granular on a recent Draft Champions we were both participating in.

Sprinkled in: "How to Train Your Fantasy Spouse"

Epilogue: "Donald Trump is not a SP1.  The Election isn't Best Ball.  You have to pick one to start for 4 years"

Zack and Drew talk what you can expect with respect to early ADP in the early Draft Champions leagues with no ADP available.

- Arozarena

- Kyle Lewis

- Marlins Pitchers

- Top 4 rounds of SP

- Closer analysis

- Catcher analysis

- The forgotten - Puig, Domingo German, Mancini, Clase

- The Tommy John recoveries - Thor, Severino, Sale

- Prospects - Kelenic, Vaughn, Wander, Manning, Brujan

This episode Mike and Zack are reunited and talk about Zack's Main Event and see what he did wrong and a few things he did right.  We discuss how some of the top players in the world overcame sub optimal drafts to cash.  We then shift gears to the first 2021 NFBC Draft Champions draft with several other high stakes players and talk about potential recency bias on busts such as Baez, Torres, Hiura, JDM, Paddack, Albies, Ketel Marte, Bryant, Donaldson, Altuve, etc.  We also discuss if the helium is warranted on players like Arozarena, Plesac, Kyle Lewis, Dansby Swanson, etc.

We also address covid as it relates to 2021 drafts.  It ain't over (i.e. how to treat David Price).

Finally we address the Statcast Microwave phenomenon.

The first 10 mins is an intro, the last 40 is the draft recap through 18 rounds of the first NFBC DC of 2021

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Marc and Zack discuss both NFFC Silver Bullets they were in, recent FAAB, cutline bye strategy, risers and fallers since June, and super late round targets