Explore every episode of the podcast Betsperts Golf Betting and DFS Preview

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0:00 Biltmore Championship at Walnut Cove

4:22 Course stats, Nicklaus design, weather

9:45 Fall stakes, key stats, model build

14:50 2028 Championship and Challenger split

19:04 Best bets: Ben James and Blades Brown

23:37 First-round props and long shots

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0:00 - Tour Championship bets at East Lake

4:41 - Match play playoffs announcement

10:46 - Starting strokes gone and course setup

14:13 - Putting, short game, and Fleetwood

17:25 - Scheffler illness and course history

21:00 - Collin Morikawa each-way bet

26:06 - Consensus rankings, Cantlay, Tom Kim

29:59 - Wyndham Clark and credit for closing

36:10 - Final cards and the Cantlay no

43:05 - Rebet deal and Betsperts subscription

45:30 - Fall schedule and Biltmore next

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0:00 - Tour Championship week at East Lake

4:17 - PGA Tour Player of the Year debate

9:49 - Presidents Cup and Medinah week

14:47 - Captain's picks and the bubble guys

20:45 - East Lake after the renovation

23:53 - Driver usage and long approaches

28:03 - Putting, scoring, and past winners

31:19 - Betsperts Golf subscription and Rebet

32:18 - Odds board and each-way angle

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0:00 - Scheffler wins Southwind, BMW week next

4:03 - Bellerive: long par 70, huge greens

10:31 - Early odds board and best numbers

16:39 - Rebet offer, promo code BSG

17:51 - Live leaderboard and long course filters

25:14 - Lag putting and three putt avoidance

29:23 - Long iron proximity and the wrap

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0:00 - St. Jude playoff opener at Southwind

4:17 - Big names, motivation, 69 man field

7:27 - Memphis heat and par 70 math

13:55 - Model build and the first bets

18:30 - Sam Burns, Hideki, and Aaron Rai

21:32 - Si Woo Kim, Henley, and Hovland

25:47 - Jackson Koivun and Rickie Fowler

29:12 - Cam Young and the top of the board

34:41 - DFS punts and one and done

38:36 - Rebet deal and Bellerive next week

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0:00 - Michael Brennan wins, young Americans

4:12 - TPC Southwind course breakdown

9:17 - Rebet offer, promo code BSG

10:22 - Odds board and tournament cheat sheet

15:22 - Rabbit Hole filters and field strength

19:14 - Floor, ceiling, and consistency

22:40 - Finish position and lead-in form

27:47 - Par four scoring and birdie looks

31:56 - Comp courses and the wrap

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0:00 - Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield

3:52 - Positional golf and Ross greens

6:59 - Model build and Rabbit Hole form

12:52 - Rebet offer, promo code BSG

13:55 - Outrights, matchups, and Cam Young

19:15 - Aaron Rai and Keegan Bradley bets

23:47 - Davis Thompson and Bezuidenhout

28:28 - Chat: Chris Kirk and Grillo

32:35 - Five man card and one and done

39:14 - DFS plays, fades, and Koivun

45:10 - Final card and gallery ball rules

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Wyndham Championship Monday preview: a wide open field at Sedgefield Country Club, and where the value sits before the market catches up. Full models, picks, and DFS breakdowns live in the Rabbit Hole. Use code BSG26 for 25% off any Betsperts Golf plan: https://bit.ly/40MZdaD

00:00 - Show open and Rocket Classic recap

04:59 - Sedgefield course breakdown

09:27 - Course history and comp courses

12:36 - Odds board and field rundown

16:18 - Tournament cheat sheet walkthrough

23:09 - First round leader and top 20 questions

28:40 - Less than driver ball striking filters

32:57 - Par four scoring focus

36:41 - Weighing putting this week

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0:00 - Rocket Classic at Detroit Golf Club

4:12 - Par 70 math and the winning score

6:24 - Driver heavy, bombers and bunkers

10:11 - Rebuilt Donald Ross greens

14:02 - The stats that predict Detroit

18:12 - Rebet offer, promo code BSG

19:25 - The model and the top ten

21:41 - Four bets: Xander, Thompson, Gerard

29:18 - Marco Penge and picking a lane

34:12 - Floor and ceiling in the Rabbit Hole

38:06 - Two man card, Cam Young and Koivun

41:50 - Sleepers, live angles, final thoughts

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0:00 - Show open, first look at the new Detroit Golf Club

0:24 - Jackson Koivun wins the 3M Open and plays the Rocket

2:25 - Why Koivun feels different, mentality and winning reps

5:42 - Tyler Rae restoration, par 72 down to a long par 70

7:02 - Two par fives gone, four par fours over 500 yards

7:57 - Donald Ross greens restored, bigger and firmer

9:08 - Bunkers flashed higher and pinching the fairways

10:06 - Water hazard removed and the Ross ditches restored

11:37 - Strategy off the tee replaces bomb and gouge

12:52 - Graduated rough and the Sedgefield comparison

14:47 - Opening odds board, Cam Young, Xander, Gotterup

17:00 - Course stats page and corollary course warnings

19:46 - Why last year's soft scoring will not repeat

20:52 - Comp course leaders in the Rabbit Hole

22:13 - Modeling par fours instead of par 70s

24:09 - Strokes gained par four leaders for 2026

26:04 - Who is struggling on long par fours

27:00 - Miss fairway penalty and off-the-tee keys

29:40 - Putting new greens and three-putt avoidance

32:13 - New Rabbit Hole player and course metrics tools

35:34 - Rebet offer, promo code BSG and sign-off

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00:00 - Show open, 3M Open week and Minnesota weather

01:30 - Scottie as the heavy favorite and the top-five bet

03:45 - Open Championship recap and Ryan Fox

05:30 - Rory, Bryson and wanting the feud back

07:51 - The Open penalty and golf's governing bodies

10:00 - Open venues and a stateside pitch

11:36 - TPC Twin Cities course breakdown

16:19 - Betting Scottie and the without-market debate

21:44 - Great ball strikers with shaky putters

24:15 - Player pool and DFS names

28:48 - Three outright bets, Koivun, Keefer and Grillo

32:09 - Jake Knapp, Max Homa and final DFS thoughts

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0:00 Ryan Fox wins the Open, and the 2026 major season in review

1:58 Did Royal Birkdale hold up? 

4:07 Bryson DeChambeau's Friday rules penalty and the theatrics

7:52 The range-session drama and threatening not to play

10:28 Rory McIlroy, media obligations, and the hypocrisy take

11:36 What is next for Bryson (contract, LIV team event)

12:08 Scottie Scheffler's TIO relief and why the rule needs fixing

15:48 Mule season begins, pivoting to the 3M Open

16:16 3M Open odds board (Sharp Stack, 4for4)

21:04 The Rebet and Betsperts Golf subscription deal (promo BSG)

22:36 2027 majors preview: PGA Frisco, Pebble, St Andrews

24:29 TPC Twin Cities course breakdown: water, risk-reward, volatility

28:44 Off the tee: driving accuracy vs distance from edge of fairway

30:38 Approach, greens in regulation, and around the green

33:24 Scoring trends, birdies, and the par 4s and 5s

35:45 Building the model: rolling form, ball striking, tee-to-green

39:16 Wrapping up solo (no Ron) and final Rebet reminder
 

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00:22 - British Open or Open Championship?

01:35 - Careers peaking and Scottie's missed cut

04:46 - Betting approach, live betting, and conditions

08:01 - Royal Birkdale setup: fescue, firm-and-fast, penal bunkers

12:27 - Finding a comp: St. George's, St. Andrews, and 2017

17:27 - Weather, distance, and Andy's simple model

21:19 - Walking the model: Victor Perez, Si Woo, Henley

25:41 - Tommy Fleetwood's price and the Fitzpatrick bet

30:00 - Weighing recent form and the Bobby Mac bet

33:00 - Chris Gotterup, top American at 18-1

34:34 - Xander's slump and fading the miscuts

45:58 - Where's Bryson's head at?

48:24 - Andy's card: Morikawa, Hovland, and Rose

54:29 - Henley and long-shot each-ways

57:24 - Corales Puntacana quick picks

59:38 - Next week: the 3M Open

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0:00 - Scottish Open Recap and Tom Kim Wins at Renaissance

0:02:00 - Ron's Take on Tom Kim and the Course History Edge

0:04:00 - Royal Birkdale vs. Royal Portrush Naming Discussion

0:06:00 - Why Birkdale Is Considered the Fairest Open Test

0:08:00 - Course Changes Since 2017 and What's Different Now

0:12:00 - Wind Forecast Light: What That Means for the Handicap

0:16:00 - Links Familiarity Edge and Who Benefits Most

0:20:00 - At What Price Do You Bet Scottie Scheffler This Week?

0:22:00 - Tommy Fleetwood Home Game Narrative and Why to Fade

0:24:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Links and Open Championship Data

0:35:00 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance as the Key Filter

0:42:00 - Putting on Fescue Greens and the Model Output

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0:00 - Solo Show, Ron and Noonan Both Out

0:02:00 - Model Breakdown: Driver Heavy, Long Irons, GIR Filter

0:04:00 - Andy's First Bet: Kurt Kitayama at 58-1

0:05:30 - Rory at 10-1 and Why the Odds Are Worth It

0:07:00 - Minwoo Lee on the Radar

0:08:00 - Tommy Fleetwood Fits but Closing Still an Issue

0:10:00 - Alex Fitzpatrick Sneaks Into the Top Ten of the Model

0:16:00 - Tyrrell Hatton Deep Dive and LIV Data Problem

0:20:00 - Wind Forecast Light and What That Means for Picks

0:22:00 - Ludvig Åberg Added to the Card at 22-1

0:32:00 - Preston Stout at 45-1 as the Longshot Flier

0:33:00 - Final Card: Kitayama, Rory, Åberg, Preston Stout

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0:00 - JDC Recap, Gotterup Wins Back-to-Back, Suber Sweat

0:02:00 - Scottish Open Field Strength and Why It's Stacked

0:04:00 - Odds Board: Scottie at 5-1, Rory, Rahm, and Gotterup

0:07:00 - Renaissance Club Course Profile: Modern Links, Big Greens

0:09:00 - Why Driver and Long Irons Are the Key Filters Here

0:13:00 - Missed Fairway Penalty Low Despite Four Inch Fescue

0:17:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Off the Tee and 175-Plus Approach

0:21:00 - Brooks Koepka Entry Confusion Resolved and His Form Case

0:23:00 - McIntyre, Tom Kim, and Taylor Moore as Names to Watch

0:25:00 - Comp Course Filter and Two Year Lookback on Links Tracks

0:28:00 - Model Output and Who Rises With the Long Iron Filter

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0:00 - Solo Pod, John Deere Classic Week Recap

0:02:00 - Field Strength Compared to Last Year's Travelers

0:04:00 - Driver Usage Jumped From 63 to 75 Percent

0:08:00 - Why Pure Bombers Don't Separate at Deere Run

0:11:00 - Odds Board: Koivin Favorite Ahead of Griffin and Gotterup

0:12:00 - Andy's Model: Easy Conditions and Inside 15 Feet Filter

0:14:00 - Pierceson Coody at the Top of the Card

0:15:30 - Jackson Suber, Blades Brown, and Johnny Keefer Breakdown

0:18:00 - Why First Time Winners Define This Tournament

0:26:00 - First Round Leader Card and Lucas Glover Watch

0:29:00 - Five Man Card: Suber, Brennan, Keefer, Coody, Blades Brown

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0:00 - Victor Hovland Beats Scottie in a Playoff

0:02:00 - John Deere Classic Field and Why It Could Be the Last Great One

0:03:00 - Odds Board: Gotterup, Ben Griffin, Keith Mitchell at the Top

0:04:30 - TPC Deere Run Course Profile and What Makes It Unique

0:07:00 - Why Accuracy Beats Distance at Deere Run

0:09:00 - Par Five Scoring and Birdie Opportunity Breakdown

0:13:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Easy Scoring and Birdie or Better Filter

0:16:00 - Jackson Coivin's Pro Debut and Why People Are Clicking Him

0:19:00 - Blades Brown at 66-1 and Thorbjørn Olesen at 35

0:22:00 - Young Guns Angle: Under 24 and Why They Dominate Here

0:28:00 - Luke Clanton, Preston Stout, and Other Rookie Watch Names

0:33:00 - Common Links Across Filters and Final Model Names

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0:00 - Wyndham Clark Wins the US Open Again

0:01:00 - New PGA Tour Structure and Relegation Breakdown

0:04:00 - East Lake Playoff Problems and Tour Scheduling Issues

0:09:00 - Crowd Behavior at Shinnecock and the Wyndham Dynamic

0:14:00 - Travelers Field and TPC River Highlands Overview

0:20:00 - Scotty at Four to One and the Without Market

0:22:00 - Morikawa at 30-1 and Why He Fits River Highlands

0:25:00 - Odds Board: Crowded 20-30 Range and How to Pick

0:29:00 - JJ Spaun at 55-1: Six Straight Top 25s Outside Majors

0:33:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Less Than Driver Ball Striking Filter

0:38:00 - Justin Thomas at 33-1: Three Straight Top Tens Here

0:43:00 - Keegan Bradley Defending but Stats Are Down Year Over Year

0:47:00 - Andy's Card: Morikawa, Akshay Bhatia, Harman, Hoge, Glover

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0:00 - Wyndham Clark Wins the US Open Again

0:04:00 - The Strange Vibes and Crowd Dynamic at Shinnecock

0:10:00 - Travelers Championship Field and No-Cut Signature Format

0:14:00 - TPC River Highlands Course Profile and History

0:22:00 - Less Than Driver and Positional Golf at River Highlands

0:24:00 - Comp Courses: Harbortown, Sawgrass, Colonial, Innisbrook

0:27:00 - Course History and Why Form Matters More Than Fit Here

0:33:00 - Scotty, Henley, Si Woo, and Cantlay Rise to the Top

0:38:00 - Keegan Bradley's Home Course Advantage and History Here

0:42:00 - Rory, Cam Young, and Fitzpatrick Course Fit Discussion

0:45:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Easy Scoring and Short Course Filter

0:47:00 - JT Thomas at 33-1 and His River Highlands Course History

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0:00 - US Open Betting Guide Intro and Shinnecock Overview

0:01:00 - Pay Attention to Player Interviews This Week

0:03:00 - Wind Forecast and Wave Advantage Considerations

0:05:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Narrative and Whether to Bet Him

0:08:00 - 2004 and 2018 Rewatch Value and USGA Setup Notes

0:16:00 - Why Rory Fits Shinnecock and Andy's Course Fit Case

0:20:00 - Patrick Reed and the Courses He Shouldn't Model Well At

0:24:00 - Rory vs. the Field: Tier Comparisons at Current Price

0:29:00 - Cam Young and the Case for Him

0:31:00 - Fitzpatrick, Xander, and Tommy as Near Misses

0:38:00 - Brooks Fade and the Nerve Issue Playing a Factor

0:42:00 - JJ Spaun at 60-1 and the Defending Champion Angle

0:53:00 - Shane Lowry at 85-1 as Andy's Long Shot Play

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0:00 - US Open First Look at Shinnecock Hills

0:04:00 - Odds Board: Scottie at 6-1, Rory, Rahm, and the Second Tier

0:06:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Bid and Father's Day Birthday Storyline

0:07:00 - Thursday Wind Forecast and How USGA Will Set Up the Course

0:08:00 - Wider Fairways in 2026 and What That Changes Off the Tee

0:12:00 - Two-Foot Fescue Rough and Why Missing Fairways Is Death

0:19:00 - Brian Harman Accuracy Angle vs. Minwoo Lee Bomber Risk

0:21:00 - Par Four Scoring Is the Key Filter at Shinnecock

0:25:00 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance on Impossible Conditions

0:30:00 - Comp Courses: Pinehurst, Links Style, and Open Championship Data

0:34:00 - Very Difficult Scoring Filter in the Rabbit Hole

0:36:00 - Model Output: Scottie, Rahm, Xander, Henley on Top

0:53:00 - Cam Smith, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ty Hatton as Live Plays

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0:00 - JT Poston's Memorial Win and What It Means

0:02:00 - TPC Toronto: Why Form Matters More Than Stats Here

0:06:00 - DFS Strategy: Fading the Bomber Narrative in GPPs

0:08:00 - Andy's Five-Man Card and How He Built It

0:14:00 - Burns at 16-1: The Only Short Price Andy Can Back

0:22:00 - Wyndham Clark at 46-1: Birthday Bonus Bet

0:25:00 - Kristoff Reiten: Wedge Work and Tee to Green Form

0:27:00 - Bobby Mac Rolling the Wrong Way at the Same Price

0:34:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard: Six Top Tens in Last Seven Starts

0:36:00 - Is Scottie's Dip the Kids Factor? The Spieth Comparison

0:38:00 - Alex Fitzpatrick Inside 15 Feet Data Deep Dive

0:47:00 - DFS Targets: Burns, Wyndham, Eric Cole, and Alex Fitz

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0:00 - Memorial Recap, JT Poston Wins, Golf's Longest Day

0:01:30 - RBC Canadian Open: Year Two at TPC Toronto

0:02:00 - Why Bombers Win Here and How to Approach the Wedge Edge

0:05:44 - Odds Board Overview: Fleetwood, Fitzpatrick, Burns, Clark

0:07:00 - Morikawa Health Watch and What to Make of His Price

0:08:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard, Wyndham Clark, Brooks Koepka Value Case

0:10:00 - TPC Toronto Course Profile and What Last Year Taught Us

0:14:00 - Why Driving Distance Is the Primary Handicapping Filter

0:18:00 - Last Year's Leaderboard Deep Dive: Fox, Burns, Cam Young

0:20:00 - When the Bomber Narrative Gets Over Leveraged in DFS

0:22:00 - Rolling Form: Wyndham, Eric Cole, Aaron Rai, Sam Burns

0:28:00 - Model Breakdown and Who Separates at the Top

0:36:00 - Where the Model Bunches and Finding Value Lower Down

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0:00 - Colonial Recap and Russell Henley Wins

0:02:00 - JJ Spaun in the Mix and JJ Spaun Recap

0:05:00 - Memorial Field and the Signature Event Format

0:07:00 - Why Muirfield Village Is One of Golf's Hardest Tests

0:14:00 - Scotty at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:20:00 - How to Think About Probability on Short Prices

0:21:00 - Andy's Card: Matt Fitzpatrick as the Primary Bet

0:25:00 - US Open Prep Factor and Who This Week Favors

0:32:00 - Model Breakdown: Scotty, Si Woo, Fitz on Top

0:37:00 - Patrick Cantlay Course History and Why Andy Won't Click

0:38:00 - Nick Taylor: DFS Value but Hard to Win Outright

0:40:00 - Kurt Kitayama at 80-1 and Ryan Gerard at 110-1

0:51:00 - Cam Young Without Scotty and the Double Winner Discussion

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0:00 - Colonial Recap and JJ Spaun Hopes

0:01:45 - Memorial Tournament Field and Signature Event Format

0:02:00 - Muirfield Village Course Overview and 2020 Renovation

0:04:20 - Why Finding the Fairway Is Paramount Here

0:05:00 - Small Greens, Thick Rough, and Around the Green Importance

0:07:00 - Comp Courses: Augusta, Innisbrook, Bay Hill, Oakmont

0:08:00 - Scoring Conditions: Playing Over Par Is the Norm

0:14:00 - Course History and Why Experience Here Matters

0:20:00 - Recent Leaderboards: Hovland, Cantlay, Scottie's Back-to-Back

0:22:00 - Henley and Sepp Straka as Stylistic Fits

0:35:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Difficult Ball Striking Filter

0:42:00 - Spahn, Rory, Cam Young, Xander Rise to the Top

0:44:00 - Scottie's Recent Form Drop and What It Means

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0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Craig Ranch Beatdown

0:02:00 - Could Byron Nelson Become a Fall Event?

0:03:00 - Colonial Course Breakdown and Two Years of Data

0:05:00 - Inside 15 Feet: Most Predictive Stat at Colonial

0:08:00 - Ludvig Åberg at 10-1: Too Short to Bet?

0:13:00 - JT Back in Play: Has He Fixed the Putter?

0:20:00 - JJ Spaun at 33-1

0:24:00 - Bobby Mac and Ben Griffin as Fades

0:27:00 - Rickie Fowler in Pencil at 27-1

0:28:00 - Ryo at 40-1 and the Course Fit Case

0:37:00 - Max Greyserman at 66-1: Tee to Green Sleeper

0:38:00 - Tony Finau at 70-1: Big Tone is Back

0:45:00 - Gary Woodland, Pierceson Coody, and Tom Hoge Longshots

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0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Wyndham Clark Wins

0:02:10 - Charles Schwab Challenge Field and Odds Board Overview

0:04:25 - Ludvig Åberg as the Prohibitive Favorite at Colonial

0:05:00 - Colonial Country Club History and Course Profile

0:07:00 - How the Renovation Changed the Way Colonial Plays

0:09:00 - Small Greens, Narrow Fairways, and Bermuda Rough

0:13:00 - Why Iron Play Is the Key Handicapping Filter This Week

0:18:00 - Course History vs. Course Fit: Which One to Trust

0:20:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Comp Course Data

0:28:00 - Model Output: JJ Spaun Rises to the Top

0:33:00 - Alex Smalley Value Spot vs. the Odds Board

0:36:00 - Final Model Rankings and Early Betting Angles

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0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Andy's Tough Week

0:07:00 - Craig Ranch vs. Aronimink: Night and Day Handicap

0:09:00 - Scottie at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:13:00 - Andy's Model and Scottie Separating From Everyone

0:18:00 - Weak Field Scoring Filter and Who Pops Up

0:20:00 - Inside 15 Feet Rankings: Si Woo, Spieth, Davis Thompson

0:23:00 - Brooks and Si Woo as Fades at Their Current Price

0:25:00 - Andy's Top Bet: Rico Hoey at 30-1 Without Scottie

0:27:00 - Keith Mitchell Number One in the Model

0:33:00 - Beau Hossler at 80-1 and the Puerto Rico Corollary

0:35:00 - Karl Vilips as the Bomber Longshot Play

0:36:00 - Chandler Blanchet at 150-1 Without Scottie

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0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Aaron Rai Wins

0:03:00 - Why Small Field No-Cut Events Need to Go

0:07:00 - Aaron Rai's Back Nine Run That Closed It Out

0:09:00 - Craig Ranch Course Overview and New Setup

0:12:00 - How the Renovation Changes the Handicap

0:17:00 - Scotty Scheffler: Without Market vs. Each Way

0:19:00 - Scheffler's Byron Nelson Connection and Motivation

0:22:00 - Modeling Craig Ranch: Easy Scoring Conditions Filter

0:25:00 - Strokes Gained Rankings: Rye, Si Woo, Thor Lead

0:30:00 - Gary Higgo Tee Time Incident Breakdown

0:33:00 - Approach Shot Distribution at Craig Ranch

0:38:00 - Tee to Green Ceiling Plays and Birdie Opportunity Names

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0:00 - PGA Championship Intro and Course Overview

0:02:00 - Why 2018 BMW Data at Aronimink Is Useless

0:04:00 - Rory's Presser: Driver Heavy Despite Course Setup

0:07:00 - Three Types of Courses and Where Aronimink Fits

0:13:00 - Green Complex Difficulty and Putting Strategy

0:18:00 - Morikawa Health Watch and Whether to Bet Him

0:22:00 - Truist Recap and Cam Young's Scrambling on Friday

0:24:00 - Odds Board: Scotty 5, Rory 9, Cam 12, Rahm 15

0:28:00 - Why Andy Is Chasing the Cam Young Dragon Again

0:33:00 - Henley and Hatton as Mid-Range Value Plays

0:37:00 - Andy's Card

0:38:00 - JJ Spaun and Sepp Straka as Long Shot Plays

0:55:00 - DFS Strategy: Fading Bryson and JT at Their Price

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0:00 - Truist Result, PGA Championship Preview

0:02:20 - Why the PGA Championship Delivers Elite Winners

0:02:55 - Aronimink: Donald Ross Design and Course Overview

0:05:00 - 176 Bunkers and What That Means for Accuracy

0:07:00 - Crowded Leaderboard Potential With Top Names In Form

0:13:00 - Par Seventy Comps and Approach Distance Ranges

0:19:00 - Par Four Scoring as the Key Handicapping Filter

0:24:00 - Major Performance Data and Who Shows Up

0:26:00 - Russell Henley and Morikawa as Wild Cards

0:33:30 - Scoring Proximity and Getting Inside Fifteen Feet

0:36:00 - Ron's Hole-by-Hole Approach Model Breakdown

0:50:00 - Top Names for the Week: Scheffler, Rory, Cam Young

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0:00 - Double Header Week: Truist and Myrtle Beach

0:02:30 - No-Cut Signature Events and Why They Fall Flat

0:04:10 - Rory and Xander Course History at Quail Hollow

0:06:00 - Using the Right Data: Avoiding the Potomac Trap

0:08:00 - Driver Heavy, Long Approach Shots Full Stop

0:14:00 - Cam Young: Why He's Still the Bet This Week

0:22:00 - Cam Young Caddy Change and What's Different Now

0:26:00 - Hojgaard, Min woo Lee, and the 40-50 Range

0:29:00 - Gotterup, Ben Griffin, and the Bomber Overlay

0:37:30 - Fitzpatrick, Denny McCarthy, and DFS Putters

0:40:15 - Andy's Final Bets: Cam, Minwoo, Gotterup, HOJ

0:51:00 - Myrtle Beach: ADDC and Why the Field Is Thin

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0:00 - Cam Young Win Recap and Cadillac Thoughts

0:02:00 - Signature Event Model Problems and Schedule Issues

0:05:00 - Scheffler, Henley, Morikawa Missing the Truist

0:08:00 - PGA Tour Schedule Needs a Closer Look

0:10:00 - Quail Hollow Course History and Event Background

0:14:00 - Course Profile: Driver Heavy and Long Approaches

0:21:00 - Approach Shot Distribution at Quail Hollow

0:25:00 - Comp Courses: Bay Hill, Memorial, Torrey South

0:31:00 - Modeling Philosophy: Form Over Fit Over History

0:35:00 - How to Use Sample Size in the Rabbit Hole

0:43:00 - Cam Young Separates at the Top of the Model

0:45:00 - Quail Hollow Course History Names to Know

0:49:00 - Myrtle Beach Alt Field Quick Look and PGA Championship Futures

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0:00 - One and Done Recap and Scheffler Discussion

0:03:00 - Why Five Top Players Skipped the Cadillac

0:07:30 - No-Cut Format and What It Changes in DFS

0:12:00 - Model Breakdown: Cam Young and Scheffler on Top

0:18:30 - Andy's Betting Filters: Distance, Bogey Avoidance

0:20:00 - Consensus Rankings and Cam Young at the Top

0:22:57 - Gotterup Bet and Why He Fits the Blue Monster

0:26:00 - Woodland and Hojgaard as Longer Shot Plays

0:28:00 - Sam Stevens and Kitayama as Near Misses

0:33:00 - One and Done Advice: Cantlay, Morikawa, Henley

0:35:00 - DFS Targets: Knapp, McNeely, Low-Owned Options 

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0:00 - Zurich Recap and Fitzpatrick Brothers Win

0:03:59 - Cadillac Championship Field With Key Withdrawals

0:05:08 - Doral Blue Monster History and Course Changes

0:07:30 - Why This Is One of the Toughest Tee Challenges All Year

0:15:00 - Long and Difficult Course Filter in the Rabbit Hole

0:19:00 - Key Names Rising: Henley, Tommy, Morikawa, Cam Young

0:21:36 - Driver vs Accuracy: How to Approach the Tee Stats

0:25:00 - Distance From Fairway Edge as the Key Off-Tee Metric

0:33:36 - Bermuda Short Game and Putting Filters That Matter

0:37:00 - Scheffler's Approach Struggles and What It Means

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0:00 - Zurich Classic Format and Why It's Hard to Bet

0:07:00 - Tournament Format Explained: Best Ball vs Alt Shot

0:11:30 - Key Handicapping Factors and What Stats Matter

0:15:23 - Fades: Gerard/Yella, Fitzpatricks at the Price

0:16:00 - Koepka and Lowry Case For and Against

0:18:26 - Andy's Bets: Haotong Li/Jordan Smith at 28-1

0:20:11 - Eckroat/Davis Thompson at 33-1

0:22:11 - Smotherman/Putnam as the Long Shot Play

0:28:00 - DFS Strategy: Finding Cheap Teams With Upside

0:32:30 - Why Alt Shot Round Kills Teams That Go Low Thursday

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0:00 Fitzpatrick holds off Scottie at Harbour Town

1:55 Matt and Alex Fitzpatrick team up

3:00 Zurich format and TPC Louisiana breakdown

7:05 Key stats to target: scoring and par 5s

9:30 DraftKings opens the board

11:15 Recent form and sleepers in the field

14:30 Alt shot strategy and team chemistry

18:30 Novig deal for Betsperts Golf access

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0:00 - Masters Recap and Rory's Back-to-Back Win

0:03:14 - RBC Heritage Field and the Post-Major Scheduling Problem

0:08:00 - Cam Young Breakdown After the Masters

0:19:30 - Course Handicapping: Less Than Driver and Key Filters

0:24:00 - Course History, Pete Dye Tracks, and Comp Courses

0:27:15 - Who's a Fade and Why Long Shots Are Tough Here

0:39:00 - Andy's Betting Card: Siwoo, Sepp Straka, and Daniel Berger

0:45:52 - Andy's Picks: Jordan Spieth, Mav McNealy, Victor Hovland

0:48:30 - Each Way Market Explained

0:51:06 - DFS Targets: Berger, Ben Griffin, Keegan Bradley, Sanjay

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0:00 - Masters Recap and Rory's Back-to-Back Win

0:07:00 - RBC Heritage Field and Odds Board Overview

0:09:00 - Scotty's Masters Bounce-Back and Collin Health Watch

0:17:43 - Course History Repeaters and Who Fits Harbortown

0:21:48 - Harbortown Course Profile and Key Stats to Target

0:22:50 - Course Renovations and How Scoring Has Changed

0:35:00 - Comp Courses and Foundational Names for the Week

0:38:19 - Small Greens Approach Filter and Who Rises to the Top

0:44:49 - Around the Green Short Grass and Scrambling Metrics

0:47:47 - Spike Approach Filter and DFS Showdown Angles

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0:00 - Masters Week Intro and Prop Betting Overview

0:03:38 - Weather and Course Conditions Setting the Stage

0:06:30 - Experience and Caddie Knowledge at Augusta

0:14:00 - Odds Board Breakdown and Who's in the Win Pool

0:22:37 - Fades: Bryson, Ludwig, and Rory Questions

0:32:00 - Approach Play Deep Dive on Long Difficult Courses

0:38:45 - Patrick Reed Case and Who Models Well Here

0:51:14 - Andy's Actual Bets: Rahm, Xander, Cam Young

0:53:13 - Tommy Fleetwood and Patrick Reed Picks

0:54:44 - Minwoo Lee and Nikolai Hojgaard Value Plays

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0:00 - 2026 Masters First Look and Welcome

0:04:37 - Field Breakdown and Odds Board Overview

0:06:54 - Scotty Scheffler Form Concerns and John Rahm's Rise

0:15:41 - The Tee to Green Trend That Has Hit 14 Straight Years

0:20:30 - Distance and Driving Stats That Matter at Augusta

0:32:47 - Par Five Aggression and Going for the Green

0:35:39 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance on Difficult Courses

0:43:00 - Around the Green Proximity on Fast Greens

0:46:56 - Weather Outlook and Conditions Preview

0:49:59 - Approach Scoring Ranges and Iron Play Breakdown

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0:00 - Gary Woodland's Houston Open Win Recap

0:02:13 - Valero Texas Open First Look at TPC San Antonio

0:04:47 - Field Breakdown and Odds Board Overview

0:06:12 - TPC San Antonio Course Profile and Key Changes

0:12:00 - Why This Course Rewards Ball Strikers

0:17:06 - Masters Tune-Up Factor and Collin Morikawa WD!

0:20:09 - Masters Futures Advice Before the Reshuffle

0:22:50 - Course History Deep Dive and Denny McCarthy Angle

0:33:53 - How to Approach Wind Scoring at Valero

0:39:13 - Approach Shot Ranges and Scoring Opportunity Stats

0:43:44 - Shot Distribution by Player at TPC San Antonio

0:47:11 - Par Five Scoring and Final Bets

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 - Gary Woodland's Houston Open Win Recap

0:02:13 - Valero Texas Open First Look at TPC San Antonio

0:04:47 - Field Breakdown and Odds Board Overview

0:06:12 - TPC San Antonio Course Profile and Key Changes

0:12:00 - Why This Course Rewards Ball Strikers

0:17:06 - Masters Tune-Up Factor and Collin Morikawa Watch

0:20:09 - Masters Futures Advice Before the Reshuffle

0:22:50 - Course History Deep Dive and Denny McCarthy Angle

0:33:53 - How to Approach Wind Scoring at Valero

0:39:13 - Approach Shot Ranges and Scoring Opportunity Stats

0:43:44 - Shot Distribution by Player at TPC San Antonio

0:47:11 - Par Five Scoring and Final Handicapping Tips

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Timestamps

0:00 - Welcome and Scheffler withdrawal news

0:01:10 - Rough start to the season recap

0:02:12 - Field breakdown without Scheffler

0:04:37 - Distance vs. all-around skillset debate

0:05:49 - Course conditions drier than recent years

0:07:36 - Memorial Park archetype breakdown

0:22:01 - Around the green stats and short grass

0:35:27 - Model breakdown and scoring projection

0:41:13 - Gotterup bet at 23-1

0:43:10 - Nikolai Hojgaard bet discussion

0:47:53 - Brooks Koepka as a live pick

0:50:29 - Sleepers/DFS/One and Done

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0:00 — Welcome and Valspar recap

5:15 — Memorial Park course overview

7:00 — Scoring history and conditions

12:00 — Key course stats and demands

19:00 — Using the Betsperts tool

22:00 — Off the tee breakdown

25:00 — Approach shot analysis

30:00 — Short grass scrambling deep dive

37:00 — Around the green filters

43:00 — Rolling averages and DFS tips

46:00 — Novig promo and wrap-up

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0:00 - Cam Young Valspar recap

3:31 - Copperhead course overview

5:10 - Positional golf breakdown

7:12 - Driver usage stats

16:01 - Key stats to target

19:37 - Building your model

22:56 - Victor Hovland last year

28:51 - Course history as tiebreaker

31:43 - Akshay pricing concerns

44:07 - David Ford sleeper pick

46:47 - Ryo Hitsatsune bets

47:07 - Subscribe!

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0:00 - Intro & Players Championship recap (Cam Young wins, Ludvig collapse)

3:57 - Valspar/Copperhead preview

4:12 - Copperhead course overview

5:25 - Tee shot demands

7:33 - Odds board overview

10:00 - Course stats deep dive: what skills matter most

14:37 - The Snake Pit (holes 16-18) and par distribution breakdown

21:00 - Using the tournament cheat sheet and filtering tools on Betsperts Golf

26:00 - Long iron/approach stat filters and key names emerging from the data

33:00 - Around the green metrics

40:00 - DFS considerations: par 3 scoring, bogey avoidance, final thoughts and wrap

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0:00 - Intro / Solo Show Today, Ryan's at Pinehurst

1:10 - Tournament Overview: $25M Purse, 123-Player Field

1:50 - The Scheffler Problem: Iron Struggles & Tinkering

2:30 - Rory's Back Injury: What It Means for Bettors

4:30 - TPC Sawgrass Course Breakdown: Water, Bunkers, Rough

7:00 - Miss Left vs. Miss Right: Does Shot Shape Matter Here?

10:30 - Key Stats & Model Breakdown: Approach Heavy Weighting

24:20 - Bet #1: Colin Morikawa at 18/1

26:40 - Bet #2 & #3: Hideki Matsuyama (38/1) and Siwoo Kim

32:00 - Bet #4: Cam Young at 35/1 + Long Shot Discussion

35:00 - DFS Strategy: Navigating the Messy Top of the Slate

38:44 - Promo Code SAWGRASS + Closing Thoughts

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