World Class – Détails, épisodes et analyse

Steven Pifer is an affiliate with the Center for International Security and Cooperation, and at The Europe Center at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University, where his research focuses on nuclear arms control, Ukraine, Russia and European security.. In addition to working in the Foreign Service for more than 25 years, Pifer served as a U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine from 1998 to 2000. He is a non-resident fellow at the Brookings Institution. 

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Oriana Skylar Mastro is a Center Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University, where her research focuses on Chinese military and security policy, Asia-Pacific security issues, war termination, and coercive diplomacy. She is also a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. She also serves in the United States Air Force Reserve, where she currently works at the Pentagon as Deputy Director of Reserve Global China Strategy.

Her latest book, Upstart: How China Became a Great Power, is available from Oxford University Press, and many major book retailers.

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Michael McFaul is joined by:

Oleksiy Honcharuk, who served as the 17th prime minister of Ukraine from 2019-2020, during which time he introduced important policy initiatives in Ukraine including the institution of business privatization processes, efforts to combat black markets, and the launch of the Anti-Raider Office to respond to cases of illegal property seizures. Prior to serving as prime minister, Honcharuk was deputy head of the Presidential Office of Ukraine and was a member of the National Reforms Council under the president of Ukraine. In 2021, he was the Bernard and Susan Liautaud Visiting Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI).

Serhiy Leshchenko, formerly a journalist with Ukrainska Pravda and member of Ukrainian Parliament (2014-2019). He first rose to political prominence during Ukraine’s 2014 Maidan Revolution, and has continued to serve in government and civil society since. He is an advisor to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s chief-of-staff, working and living in the governmental bunkers during the start of Russia's invasion and siege on Kyiv in 2022. He is an alumnus of the 2013 cohort of the Draper Hills Summer Fellows program (now the Fisher Family Summer Fellows Program) at FSI’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law at Stanford University.

Oleksandra Matviichuk, a human rights advocate and founder of the Center for Civil Liberties, which was recognized as a co-recipient of the 2022 Nobel Peace Prize. The mission of the Center for Civil Liberties is to protect human rights and establish democracy in Ukraine and the OSCE region. The organization develops legislative proposals, exercises public oversight over law enforcement agencies and judiciary, conducts educational activities for young people, and implements international solidarity programs. Matviichuk was a visiting scholar from 2017-2018 with the Ukrainian Emerging Leaders Program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law.

Oleksandra Ustinova, who serves as the People's Deputy of Ukraine and a member of Ukraine’s parliament. Since the beginning of Russia's invasion in 2022, she has met repeatedly with lawmakers in the United States to advocate on behalf of Ukraine, including an address before the U.S. House of Representatives on February 28, 2022. Prior to her government service, Ustinova was the head of communications and anti-corruption in healthcare projects at the Anti-Corruption Action Center (ANTAC), one of the leading organizations on anti-corruption reform in Ukraine. She was a visiting scholar with the Ukrainian Emerging Leaders Program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law from 2018-2019.

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The way Iranians interact with their government is changing. With information more readily available through the internet, it is easier for citizens to organize protests but also to make an impact without leaving home. Since the Iranian Green Movement in 2009, the political elite has changed dramatically, but a small, stagnant group at the top still holds the most influence. Mehdi Yahyanejad, a senior researcher in computer science at USC, and Mehrzad Boroujerdi, a professor of political science at Syracuse University, spoke to FSI Director Michael McFaul about how Iran's youth are changing the way the country interacts with its politicians. They visited Stanford to speak at a conference about whether politics and culture are changing in Iran, co-hosted by FSI and and the Hamid and Christina Moghadam Program in Iranian Studies.

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The 2016 cyber campaign to influence the U.S. election has been well documented, but represents only a fraction of what information technology makes possible. Drawing on extensive experience in both the private and public sectors, Paul Stockton, the managing director of Sonecon, outlines how foreign adversaries might use information operations for an increasing number of alarming purposes, sowing discord in a manner that U.S. security forces are unequipped to deal with. Stockton also explains the devastating impact that a cyberattack on American power grids could have, and urges the government to draw on the expertise of the private sector to stay one step ahead of potential threats.

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Civil wars have changed. In the last 20 years, the average duration has increased and organizations like the UN have had a harder time keeping the peace. This has been particularly true in the Middle East and North Africa where most peace-keeping and state-building efforts have failed. James "Jim" Fearon, an FSI senior fellow, tells us why civil wars have changed.

Fearon is one of eight FSI scholars confronting civil war threats with the "Civil Wars, Violence, and International Responses" project. Supported by the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, FSI's Karl Eikenberry and Stephen D. Krasner gathered experts from around the world to talk about changing international policy to meet these new challenges. We will be speaking with each of the scholars about how civil wars are changing, how they might affect the rest of the world, and what we can do about it.

To learn more about the project, check out the fall 2017 and winter 2018 issues of Daedalus, the journal of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the outreach projects Eikenberry and Krasner are embarking on around the world: www.amacad.org/content/Research/…ject.aspx?d=22262.

#civilwarthreats
#endingcivilwars

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Ertharin Cousin, the former Executive Director of the United Nation's World Food Programme, leads a panel discussion on the future of African agriculture. African political leaders from the Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa concur that more private industry and technological advancement is needed for the continent. Given that famine and corruption is still all too common, African governments need to increase their focus on the security of their food systems. In order to do so, AGRA is working on developing a disease-resistant strain of cassava, a common starch grown throughout the continent. However, high-tech research is not the only solution. Paying attention to the demands of small farmers and creating simple phone apps to track fertilizer use and rainfall can bring just as much benefit.

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Countries created after the Soviet Union dissolved provide a unique window into state development. The Baltic states — Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania — have emerged as geopolitical and economic leaders in Eastern Europe. Former President of Estonia and FSI Affiliate Toomas Hendrik Ilves and FSI Director Michael McFaul discuss the reasons for these states’ unlikely success, delve into Estonian history, and discuss the ongoing challenges posed by Russia.

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Looking for a reliable source on climate change? Marshall Burke is an assistant professor in the Department of Earth System Science at Stanford University and an FSE fellow. He has studied climate change extensively throughout his career. He tells FSI Director Michael McFaul how the world has already warmed one degree Celsius since pre-industrial times, causing more extreme weather events, a small rise in sea levels and a greater amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. There is virtually no disagreement among scientists that the world is warming, he says, and the vast majority of scientists agree that humans are causing the change. Unless we reduce our emissions, the world will warm four to five degrees in the next century, making bad weather worse and gradually increasing average temperatures everywhere. If this happens, the world's GDP will decrease by about 20 percent, causing massive disruption to the world's economy.

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The liberal world order that arose after World War II did not occur because of the intellectual superiority of liberal ideas, argues Dr. Robert Kagan, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Instead, it was the military and geopolitical might of the United States that converted countries like Germany and Japan into Western-style democracies. However, in today's world, Kagan believes the United States is ceding this role as a worldwide protector of liberal values, enabling countries like Russia and China to become more authoritarian and threatening the world order. Going forward, only a realistic foreign policy that employs military strength to spread American democratic values can prevent a further decay of democracy, he says.

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