The Middle East Breakdown With Dan and Hayvi – Détails, épisodes et analyse

In this episode of The Middle East Breakdown, Dan Feferman and Hayvi Bouzo are joined by Hussein Abu Bakr Mansour, Egyptian-American writer, analyst, and author of The Abrahamic Metacritic. The conversation unpacks a significant and underreported shift in the Gulf: growing tensions between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, two countries long seen as close strategic allies and partners.

The discussion examines Saudi Arabia's recent pivot—from pulling major media platforms out of UAE hubs like Dubai and relocating them to Riyadh, to diverging positions on South Yemen, Somaliland, Sudan, and even the Palestinian issue. This is not just diplomatic friction. It's a reassertion of power, influence, and regional leadership. The panel explores where Qatar actually fits into this realignment, and how conflicts in South Yemen, Sudan, and the Horn of Africa have become arenas for Gulf competition.

Mansour breaks down the conditions that gave birth to the Abraham Accords framework—the Iranian axis of resistance, US involvement, and Arab Gulf alignment—and explains why those conditions no longer structure regional politics. The episode dives into the asymmetries of power: Israel's military dominance, Qatar's narrative control empire, Turkey's drone industry and regional projection, and the UAE's elite legitimacy versus street-level unpopularity. The conversation tackles uncomfortable questions about ideology, ego, oil prices, fiscal pressures, and whether the Abraham Accords honeymoon is over—or just transforming into something far more complex.

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In this episode of The Middle East Breakdown, Dan Feferman and Hayvi Bouzo are joined by Dr. Jonathan Schanzer, executive director and senior vice president at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. The conversation takes a wide angle look at how Washington is weighing its options on Iran, and how those decisions connect to Gaza’s next phase and the shifting balance of power across the region.

The discussion examines the collapse of planned US Iran talks, what it signals about Trump’s red lines, and the range of scenarios on the table, from coercive diplomacy and regime alteration to military degradation and outright regime change. Schanzer also assesses the opposition’s leadership vacuum, the role of the exiled crown prince, and the risk of unintended consequences as pressure on Tehran rises.

The panel then turns to Gaza and the “Board of Peace,” arguing that Hamas cannot be allowed to hold reconstruction hostage, and exploring whether a phased model could emerge where non Hamas areas move forward while Hamas controlled zones stagnate until disarmament. The episode closes with a deeper dive into the Turkey Qatar axis, why Washington continues to work with both despite their Islamist agendas, and how Saudi UAE friction is reshaping Gulf competition, normalization prospects, and regional alignments.

Watch, listen, and subscribe for the full episode.
Website: https://middleeast24.org

YouTube: / @middleeast_24

Instagram: / middleast24

X: https://x.com/middleeast24

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3ZJcMz0