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| Titre | Date | Durée | |
|---|---|---|---|
| If You’re Making More Money Than Ever But Still Feel Broke, Hear This | 22 oct. 2026 | 00:37:44 | |
The affordability crisis isn’t improving. Gas is above $4 per gallon, inflation just hit 3.7%, and paychecks aren’t keeping pace. This is a tough spot for the American economy, but why does it feel like we’re getting hit on all sides of the affordability spectrum? Today, I’m breaking down the American household’s affordability crisis, and whether it’s a modern spending problem or something much, much deeper.
We’re going into each lever that’s curbing affordability in the United States: wages, prices, savings rates, which generations are being hit hardest (not much of a surprise), overconsumption, and subscriptions that used to be one-time charges. I’ll also track the progress from the past three decades (2019, 2009, and 1999) to see where we went so wrong.
If you make more money than ever but are still shocked by how little you can save or how much necessities cost, you’re not alone. We’re breaking down why Americans feel so squeezed, which prices are hitting hardest, and why a pay raise (unless it’s colossal) may not be enough to solve this.
In This Episode We Cover
The affordability crisis broken down and why rising wages aren’t solving the problem
The biggest price jumps on products and services that are outpacing wages
America’s biggest failure when it comes to economically setting up the next generation
Why even the higher-income earners still feel broke in 2026’s economy
Generations that are hit the hardest by a myriad of expenses
The overconsumption and subscription traps that are keeping Americans spending
What real estate investors must do to prepare now for the affordability crisis among renters
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Property Manager Finder
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On the Market 469 - A Housing Market “Recovery” Is Further Away Than We Thought
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| The “2nd Wave” of the Commercial Real Estate Crash Is Close w/Brian Burke | 20 oct. 2026 | 00:39:38 | |
Commercial real estate prices have fallen 20%-50% from their peaks just a few years ago—but the slide may not be over yet. A “second wave” of the commercial real estate crash is on the horizon now that interest rates are back around 7.5%, and struggling multifamily, office, and commercial investors who thought a long-term refinance would save them are now in a stickier spot.
So…how much lower can commercial real estate prices go?
He was right about past crashes, so we asked Brian Burke to join us again on the show for his take. Brian, quite famously by now, sold most of his multifamily portfolio at the peak of the post-COVID boom, took profits, and sat on the beach for a few years while strategizing when (and how) to get back into the market.
But even Brian isn’t convinced this is the bottom for the multifamily market—rent concessions are plentiful, lease trade-outs are negative (new renters are paying less than previous renters), and cap rates haven’t expanded enough. But the time to strike could be coming soon.
Today, Brian shares the game plan he uses to gauge when to get back into a bottoming-out market, and what buyers must do to get a great deal, great funding, and a great exit.
In This Episode We Cover
Why the commercial real estate crash may not be over yet (a “second wave” is coming)
Incoming cap rate expansion and why brokers are still pushing almost illogical multiples
The “four-way traffic collision” that caused the commercial real estate value drop
Why trying to time the bottom will cost you, but getting in a little bit late will not
What a “good” multifamily deal looks like to Brian in today’s market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Property Manager Finder
On The Market 440 - Commercial Real Estate Is Quietly Setting Up for a Decade-Long Bull Run
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Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Praxis Capital
Grab Brian’s Book, The Hands-Off Investor
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| A Housing Market “Recovery” Is Further Away Than We Thought | 15 oct. 2026 | 00:37:36 | |
The housing market isn’t going back to “normal” anytime soon. In fact, it could take significantly longer than many of us thought. Rates are around 7.5%, median home prices hover near $400,000, but your salary is not keeping pace. Something needs to change: is it rates, prices, incomes, or a combination of all three?
I did the math and have an answer for how long it will actually take for the housing market to recover.
So first, what does a "normal" housing market actually mean? We’re going to look at two data sets: 1989-2026 and 2019 levels, the last year before pandemic-fueled inflation started to boil the housing market. Back in 2019, Americans spent only around 15% of their income on housing payments; today, it’s nearly 25%. So, how do we return to a market where homes are actually affordable?
I’ll walk through each scenario: wages rising significantly, mortgage rates falling, and home prices crashing, and then paint a picture of what happens if all of them (reasonably) move in the right direction.
If someone is convincing you the market is about to get much cheaper, or much more affordable, or that you should just wait until it’s easier to buy…good luck.
In This Episode We Cover
Exactly what needs to happen for housing affordability to return to “normal” levels
The three “levers” that control housing affordability, and which are likely to move
Why it could take years (or even decades) to get back to the average affordability level
Are we stuck in a new era of mega-expensive housing payments?
Why waiting to buy a home (or your next rental) could be a very long bet
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market 461 - You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates
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NAR Housing Affordability Index
Grab the Book, Real Estate by the Numbers
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| Nearly Half of Buyers Get Concessions as Fed Warns Prices Must Drop | 13 oct. 2026 | 00:25:35 | |
A Fed official says what we’re all thinking: home prices must drop—and sellers seem to have gotten the message. Per a recent Redfin report, 44.7% of home sales included seller concessions such as price cuts, rate buydowns, covering closing costs, or even renovations, repairs, and expensive layout changes. So, if you’re a buyer, how do you get the most from your seller on the next deal?
We’re back with this week’s headlines! We’ve brought good news for buyers, scary news for sellers, and strange-smelling stories about multifamily investors. Seller desperation is peaking as concessions offer buyers the biggest opportunity in six years. Even the Fed is taking note, as one official warns about home affordability and why prices need to drop to make progress.
Now, what the heck is that black stuff behind the fridge? That’s the question multifamily investors are asking themselves as mold-based litigation ramps up and renters prepare to get paydays thanks to some severe spores. If you own a home in the Northwest, the South, or anywhere else that gets humid, here is what you should do to avoid a pricey repair.
In This Episode We Cover
The rise in seller concessions and how to unlock price cuts, lower mortgage rates, or covered closing costs
The $70K concession James is making to literally rearrange a floor plan to sell a house
A Fed official’s warning on home prices and why they may still be too high
The deals popping up and sitting on the market that could be solid rentals
A major mold problem: Why you should check your rental ASAP (before a lawyer gets involved)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Redfin: Nearly Half of Homebuyers Get Concessions From Sellers as Most Markets Tip in Buyers’ Favor
Realtor: Fed Official Sounds Warning on Housing as Affordability Hits 21-Year Low
Bisnow: Mold Is Growing Into Major Problem For Apartment Owners
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-468.
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| The American Economy Enters Its “Lost Decade” | 08 oct. 2026 | 00:36:11 | |
America could enter what nobody wants—a “lost decade.”
No huge gains, no massive price drops, just a slow, stagnating market where inflation eats away at the returns we once thought were normal. Stocks are already massively overpriced according to the CAPE Ratio and the Buffett Indicator, real estate is unaffordable and already seeing real price declines, and commercial has fallen off the proverbial cliff. Can we go up from here? The argument isn’t looking optimistic.
So, if it’s about to be a whole lot harder to make a return on real estate, in the stock market, or anything else worth buying, what should you do?
Today, Dave breaks down America’s “lost decade” and what to do to protect your wealth from inflation erosion that looks more likely by the day. There are ways to maintain strong real estate returns along the way, but most investors take the easy route and fail to profit because of it.
You can escape this “lost decade,” but only if you’re prepared for it.
In This Episode We Cover
America’s “lost decade” that could upend returns for real estate, stocks, and more
The one asset class that has potential upside in the coming years
Why “not investing” is not a strategy that will save you from wealth erosion
Why we could go years without home price appreciation or solid stock gains
The two indicators flashing right now that are signaling an overpriced market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
Sign Up for the Investor Brief Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
On the Market 461 - You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-467.
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| America Doesn’t Have a Housing “Shortage” (It’s Something Much Worse) | 06 oct. 2026 | 00:44:06 | |
For years, we’ve been told that the United States is short millions of homes, and that building more units is the key to solving the affordable housing crisis. But a 2024 study from Kirk McClure and Alex Schwartz reaches a different conclusion and suggests that the housing shortage narrative may be built on a shakier foundation than we’ve been led to believe.
Kirk, professor emeritus at the University of Kansas, joins today’s show to dig into the actual Census data gathered from 2000-2020 and whether it really points to a nationwide shortage…or something much different.
If we don’t have a supply problem, why are homes and rents still so expensive? Should policymakers rethink their push for new construction? And where could government dollars have the greatest impact?
We’ll unpack the implications of Kirk’s findings, why home prices can remain elevated when there are millions of vacant homes available, and whether today’s housing policies are actually helping the people who need it most. These answers could upend how we think about the housing crisis and give real estate investors another perspective on where the market might be headed.
In This Episode We Cover
Findings from Kirk’s research on America’s housing “shortage”
Where government dollars can actually help solve housing affordability
The real reason home prices and rents haven’t fallen, despite oversupply
Why declining household formation is tied to affordability, not housing supply
Why America’s K-shaped economy continues to worsen
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
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Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
A Glut of New Inventory is on the Way—How Should Investors Prepare?
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Study: Where Is the Housing Shortage?
Decennial Census Data
Buy the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-466.
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| The Trillion-Dollar Bubble Grows Bigger | 01 oct. 2026 | 00:36:23 | |
AI could lead to an extinction event, but don’t worry, the stock market will be hitting all-time highs on the way there!
We’re entering a new phase of the artificial intelligence race where now CEOs from OpenAI and Anthropic are practically begging for industry-wide regulation. This all seems too… convenient. What’s really behind this new AI regulation push, and how close are we to a society-shaking event?
Dave is back to give his full take on the AI race. A lot has happened recently—warnings of dangers to humanity, rogue agents setting up untraceable communications, and AI CEOs conveniently wanting to join forces. First, we’ll touch on the Hugging Face incident that triggered an unprompted cyberattack that human oversight was kept out of; then the economic risks to all Americans (what happens if this AI bubble bursts); and finally why these CEOs are suddenly pushing regulation so hard.
Let’s get into the financials, though: these companies are losing billions of dollars every year and have extremely optimistic projections to hit. The question is, what happens if they’re off the mark? Past bubbles resulted in an almost 80% stock market crash…but this time, the AI industry is even bigger.
In This Episode We Cover
Why top AI companies suddenly want the government to “regulate” the industry
The chances of an extinction event now that AI agents can go rogue without our knowledge
The risks to real estate, the stock market, and many Americans’ retirement accounts
The trillion-dollar bubble that is looking a lot like the dot-com and railroad bubbles of decades past
Why citizens from other countries are so much more optimistic about AI than Americans
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market 390 - An Economic Bubble is Forming…Just Not for Real Estate
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Grab Dave’s Book, Start with Strategy
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| The Path to 8% Mortgage Rates | 29 sept. 2026 | 00:27:54 | |
8% mortgage rates are now on the table, and unfortunately, that’s not even the high end of estimates for where we’re going next. With bond yields hitting 20-year peaks and no end in sight for rising inflation, we may be stuck here for a while. If you’re starting to sweat, don’t worry—we are, too. Thankfully, it’s not all bad news for the housing market, because those who pivot will profit.
After a little too much anxiety, Dave called James and Kathy to get their read on mortgage rates—what does an investor do when refinancing is off the table, selling means cutting prices and concessions, and even renovating is still so expensive? The housing market is splitting, with some sides doing great, and the others struggling to survive.
James gives his full take on how flips, renovations, and BRRRRs are doing right now, plus why he’s still excited for what is about to come in winter. Kathy is loving the builder concessions that are only getting more plentiful as rates rise, with a surprising rental helping float her portfolio. Dave is still a bit nervous and asks: should he sell the house he’s living in?
Buyers, this winter is about to be a big one. Sellers, it’s time to prepare. Investors, look at your property plans immediately after this episode.
In This Episode We Cover
The case for 8% mortgage rates (or even 11%-12% rates in the near future!)
Why we (probably) still won’t see a housing crash scenario
How to change your investment property plan if refinancing or selling was your exit
It’s about to be a “dead winter” for sellers, but what about for buyers?
Should Dave sell his own home and go back to renting? (serious question!)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
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On The Market 461 - You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates
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James' BiggerPockets Profile
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HousingWire: Mortgage rates: 8%, 6% or the base case?
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| The Housing Market Correction Is Spreading | 24 sept. 2026 | 00:35:53 | |
The housing market correction is about to get worse. Before, the Northeast and Midwest markets were insulated from the sizable price drops happening in places like Texas and Florida, but not anymore. The correction is spreading, and the once “safe” markets are creeping closer and closer to price cuts, concessions, and desperate sellers becoming the norm.
The question is: does this snowball into a full-blown housing crash, or is the housing market strong enough to keep us in “correction” territory? Dave is back, and this time, he’s going deep on what’s next for the housing market.
Things are changing, and not in the way sellers would want. Demand is starting to fall as buyers get boxed out of the market and high mortgage rates make homes more unaffordable. Sellers once stuck to their prices or took properties off the market to wait, but now they're offering sizable concessions and price cuts. The supply-demand equilibrium has shifted, and deals are about to get even sweeter.
So, if you’re buying today when prices very well could continue to slide, how much of a discount should you go for, and at what point do prices start to bottom?
In This Episode We Cover
Signs of more seller distress as concessions rise and price cuts grow
Why you should not believe the home price appreciation most data reports
The real reason why homebuying demand is steadily falling, and sellers have fewer options
The housing market “flip”: Why safer markets (Midwest, Northeast) could start to see price pressure
How much of a discount you should ask for when buying in this housing market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market 461 - You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates
Calculated Risk Blog
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Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| Rates Were Hiked: Here’s What Investors Should Do Now | 22 sept. 2026 | 00:31:43 | |
The Federal Reserve hiked rates last week, but did it actually help the housing market? Our panel of real estate investing experts isn’t all that bummed by potentially higher rates and less housing market activity—why? Because new opportunities are forming thanks to the Fed’s recent rate hike—opportunities that could make deals even better to buy in 2026 and into 2027.
We’re back discussing the biggest housing market headlines from last week. Obviously, we can’t talk about headlines without touching on the Fed meeting and subsequent rate hike. Ripples from that decision could start showing up in the real estate market soon—price cuts for some properties, canceled listings for others, and stalled sellers who refuse to budge but won’t get bids.
So, what should investors do now to ensure they’re picking up solid deals with the likelihood that prices could continue dropping across many markets? The full panel is sharing what they’re actually doing now—from paying points to cutting insurance costs, getting HELOCs ready, and more.
You can use this market to your advantage—and we already are.
In This Episode We Cover
The aftermath of the first Fed rate hike since 2023 (and what it means for home prices)
Trump's 1% federal funds rate demand and whether it could actually happen
Will sellers begin pulling out of the market as buyers begin to drop off?
What we’re doing right now to buy better deals and sell the ones that aren’t performing
The things that must be solved before interest rates can come back down
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market 461 - You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates
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Quartz: Trump demands 1% interest rates after Fed hike, backs Warsh
Reuters: US homebuilder sentiment drops to 12-month low in September
Grab Henry’s Book, Real Estate Deal Maker
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| You’re Not Gonna Like What Happens to Mortgage Rates | 17 sept. 2026 | 00:31:55 | |
The U.S. government may have just lost the war on mortgage rates.
Last week, the U.S. Treasury announced one of its biggest bond buyback programs in years—a whopping $6 billion allocated to (hopefully) lower bond yields, and by proxy, interest rates. Not only did it backfire, but it may have angered the bond investors so much that the market’s recovery is now in jeopardy. Do we still have any hope of lowering bond yields and mortgage rates so the housing market can get back in business?
Today, we’re breaking down the good, the bad, and the ugly buybacks of the bond market, how this will affect your mortgage rates over the next year, and what can be done to spur confidence in bond yields (and the U.S. government). Dave even gives his mortgage rate prediction for 2027, with a range of where we could end up by this time next year.
If rates stay high and housing demand gets even more subdued, the buying opportunities, price cuts, and seller concessions could only increase. Are you going to take advantage?
In This Episode We Cover
A full update on the bond market and how the U.S. government is trying to save yields
Dave’s 2027 mortgage rate prediction and whether we could go even higher than we are now
The failed bond “buyback” strategy that could take a long time to recover from
Three reasons why bond yields (and mortgage rates) are surging right now
How the Fed raising rates could actually lower your mortgage rate in the future
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market 436 - The Fed Signals a Reversal in Rates
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Grab Dave’s Book, Start with Strategy
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| This Is Better Than the 1% Rule (New Real Estate Rule) | 15 sept. 2026 | 00:30:41 | |
The rules of real estate investing have changed.
For years, investors were using the one-percent rule to quickly determine if a real estate deal would cash flow. But the one-percent rule, rent-to-price ratio, and other common rules of thumb have a glaring blind spot. They account for purchase price, but they don’t account for expenses.
Meanwhile, mortgage rates, taxes, and insurance have all risen across the board—expenses that can easily kill your cash flow.
So, Dave’s come up with a new rule of thumb you can use to quickly analyze rental properties and markets. He’s calling it the rent-to-payment ratio. By comparing estimated rents to the estimated PITI payment itself, you’ll have a much better idea of whether a rental property will actually cash flow month to month.
And today, we’re not just breaking down how the formula works. Dave also built an entire spreadsheet that ranks U.S. real estate markets by their rent-to-payment ratios. Whether you’re looking for the best cash flow markets to invest in or a quick way to weed out unprofitable properties, this is the kind of math you need to make sharper investing decisions in 2026.
In This Episode We Cover
The “new” rule of thumb for finding great real estate deals and rental markets
Why rent-to-price ratio is a flawed metric (and which ratio to use instead)
Why the popular one-percent rule no longer works in 2026
The top 10 real estate markets with the highest rent-to-payment ratios
How to bake today’s mortgage rates, taxes, and insurance into your initial analysis
And So Much More!
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The Summer 2026 Rent-to-Payment Report: Where You Can Still Cash Flow with Real Estate
Grab Dave’s book, Real Estate by the Numbers
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| We Asked Brokers: Where Is the Biggest Buyer's Market Today? | 10 sept. 2026 | 00:37:55 | |
Are the price cuts deeper than you think? Do buyers have even more power than we’ve been led to believe?
National housing data tells us one thing, but local-level expertise can paint a completely different picture. While national data points to marginal price cuts, brokers in major markets are seeing significantly more volatile numbers. We wanted to know what’s actually happening in big markets like Austin, Atlanta, Seattle, Tampa, Long Island, and beyond—so we called the actual brokers who do business there and got them on the show.
Today, we’re talking with Justin Hroch, Micah Mortag, and William ODonnell, brokers in the South, Southeast, and Northeast doing real deals for buyers, sellers, and investors. It’s no surprise that areas like the South are struggling, but how is (very expensive) New York faring with a changing political landscape and so many more regulations?
We’re getting into how long homes are sitting on the market, how much power buyers and sellers have, the price cuts you can anticipate, and what to look at before you buy a property in any of these markets.
In This Episode We Cover
Areas of the country seeing the biggest price cuts or bidding wars
What type of properties are selling fast even in slow markets like the South
The cities being buried in inventory where sellers are taking big haircuts on price
One market seeing strong appreciation, even in 2026 (we’re talking 8% price jumps!)
The “sweet spot” properties you can find in each of these areas to make a profit (regardless of how the market moves)
And So Much More!
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On The Market 450 - A Buyer’s Summer Is “On” as Asking Prices See Steepest Decline Since 2017
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Micah's BiggerPockets Profile
William's BiggerPockets Profile
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Realtor August Housing Report
Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate
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| Fewer Investors Are Buying Homes as the Housing Market Shifts (Again) | 08 sept. 2026 | 00:27:43 | |
The housing market is sending mixed signals—or so it seems. Foreclosures are rising, yet many investors are pulling back. Cash buyers are retreating, competition is cooling in many markets, and affordability challenges appear to be catching up with investors. Are these signs of another 2008-like collapse, or is there context behind the numbers?
This week’s headlines largely point to waning investor activity. Investor home purchases are down, and the share of cash buyers is decreasing. Meanwhile, foreclosures are returning to levels we haven’t seen in several years.
But when you dig beneath the surface, nothing is as dire as it appears. Pent-up foreclosure starts are still well below historical norms. And while the market continues to cool in many areas, it’s creating rare opportunities and negotiation power for investors who are willing to go against the grain.
So where are these opportunities hiding, what secret “edge” do mom-and-pop investors have that others overlook, and how do you ensure today’s deals don’t become tomorrow’s disasters? We’re breaking it all down on today’s show.
In This Episode We Cover
How small investors can gain an edge in the current housing market
Why rising foreclosures aren’t the “warning sign” most think it is
New investing opportunities coming from decreased competition
Why many investors are leaving the housing market in 2026
How affordability challenges and regulatory risks are affecting investors
And So Much More!
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ATTOM: Foreclosure Activity Posts Annual Increase in First Half of 2026
Redfin: Investor Home Purchases Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020
CNBC: Cash Is No Longer King in Home Sales
Mortgage Defaults and Foreclosures Are Surging in Key Markets: What Investors Need to Know
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| AI-Fueled Mini Housing Bubbles Form as Commercial Delinquencies Rise | 03 sept. 2026 | 00:27:50 | |
AI is bringing 6,000 jobs to a small Texan town, and home prices are seeing a sizable jump…but what happens once the job is done? Is this just a mini housing bubble waiting to happen, or is buying near an AI boomtown actually worth the risk? These scenarios may begin popping up more and more—what happens when it’s in your neck of the woods?
We’re back with more headlines on what’s affecting the housing market. AI-induced housing bubbles could be coming in hot as small, overlooked areas of the U.S. turn to boomtowns with more jobs and more housing demand (at least temporarily). If you are going to buy in or around one of these cities, this is what to buy so you don’t get burnt once the construction workers leave.
Fresh distress hits real estate as the “maturity wall” grows even taller. Multifamily delinquencies are up 600% from just a few years ago, and office space is struggling even with so many return-to-office announcements over the past two years. And it’s not just commercial real estate. Flippers are stuck with listings getting stale, with some 2/3 of house flippers seeing longer days on market. How do Henry and James, our house flipping experts, avoid holding a hefty hard money loan while waiting for a property to sell?
In This Episode We Cover
New AI boomtowns forming in small investing markets (and whether you should buy)
Why big properties, even though distressed, may not all fall to foreclosure any time soon
What to buy if you’re investing near a newly approved data center
Why not buying right now could be a huge mistake (even as investors struggle)
The one thing James asks from his lender to save him serious cash when a property won’t sell
And So Much More!
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“The Largest Infrastructure Buildout in Human History” Could Be a Massive Opportunity For Real Estate Investors
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Texas Standard: Data center construction spurring a housing crisis in Abilene
CRED IQ: Property Types Feeling the August Heat
HousingWire: Fix-and-flip market shows signs of strain as mortgage rates climb
Grab James’s Book, The House Flipping Framework
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| The Bulletproof BRRRR in 2026 (Buying One Tomorrow!) | 01 sept. 2026 | 00:49:55 | |
Today’s guest is buying a perfect BRRRR tomorrow. Even with today’s interest rates, even in this housing market, Zach Kepes is still making serious money with the strategy everyone has assumed is dead—the BRRRR method. He’ll walk away with tens of thousands in equity, get a trophy rental property that will bring in rent for decades, and add to his already impressive 300+ single-family home portfolio.
He’s been BRRRRing for over 20 years, and he’s not stopping in 2026, especially when everyone else is. The question is…how is he still doing it?
Zach is one of the only humans on the planet who can match James’s deal-junkie energy. He’s been buying rentals since 2002, using the same strategy, but with different prices, financing, and renovations. Zach says it loud and clear: the BRRRR method still works in 2026, and he’s showing you his exact buy box to find perfect BRRRR properties, how to check comps to confirm they work, and how he pays for them, refinances them, and what new BRRRR investors can do today to start.
If the BRRRR method is so dead, how is Zach still making money with it?
In This Episode We Cover
Zach’s “four pillars” for a profitable BRRRR in 2026 (the rules to follow)
The quick BRRRR renovation Zach does on repeat for his rental properties
How to start BRRRRing today, even if you’re new to a market or investing
An actual BRRRR deal Zach is buying tomorrow (full numbers and projected returns)
The “key” to getting this strategy right (you need this on every deal you do)
And So Much More!
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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1320 - How to Execute the “Slow” BRRRR Strategy in 2026 (Full Walkthrough)
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| Capital Calls: What to Know Before You Put In More Cash | 27 août 2026 | 00:43:09 | |
You invested in a real estate syndication, fund, or partnership. Now, the operator is coming to you asking for more cash. Whether expenses went up, income went down, mortgage rates had to be refinanced, or a combination of all three, you’re on the line—do you put more cash into the deal with hopes it saves your principal, or do you walk away, take a loss, and try again? This is what we do when the capital calls come our way.
A “capital call” is exactly what it sounds like—an operator is calling for more capital to be invested in a deal. But, more often than you’d think, you don’t have to say yes. Kathy recently told an operator “no” when they needed another sizable investment. Why? The money wasn’t going to the right place, and it wouldn’t have saved (or improved) the deal.
So how do you know when you should put in more money? Today, we’re talking all about capital calls—when to invest, when to walk away, what to ask for, when there’s fraud, and the three rules we personally follow before putting another dollar into the deal. More capital calls are coming, and you'd better be prepared before they do.
In This Episode We Cover
Capital calls explained—when it’s to improve a property vs. delay an inevitable loss
Three rules Kathy and James follow before putting any money into a capital call
When to (sternly) say “no” to an operator who’s trying to pocket your extra investment
Signs that it is worth it to invest more and your return will be saved (or increased)
The four people who must look over the documents with you before you invest and during a capital call
And So Much More!
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On The Market 214 - What to Know About “Capital Calls” As Multifamily Syndications Get “Squeezed” w/Brian Burke and Mauricio Rauld
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Grab the Book on Syndication Investing, The Hands-Off Investor
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| Home Builders Are Bleeding as Sales Run Dry, Workers Vanish | 25 août 2026 | 00:34:04 | |
Builders are struggling to survive, let alone sell homes, in 2026. Prices aren’t keeping pace, home sales are falling, and nobody can find the labor to build the houses in the first place. With concessions rising, buyers who stayed in the market are getting great deals. With the potential to boomerang back to regional undersupplied housing markets, the deals may very well be worth it.
It’s a new week, with new headlines that affect anyone buying, selling, or building wealth with real estate. First, we’ll touch on the 300,000 vacant lots for sale. With the price of dirt down far below where it was just a few years ago, those with development and building ambitions could stand to profit, but with the entire homebuilding industry struggling, how long will you have to wait?
Washington is trying to investigate “private listings” from real estate brokerages, but could they actually be hurting the seller by removing the exclusivity agents are going for? Finally, an update on home sales, prices, and why Kathy is seeing a big uptick in investor buyers for a certain type of rental property.
In This Episode We Cover
The land sale happening this summer and a sign of just how bad our housing shortage is
Builders get squeezed as buyers (and even laborers) refuse to budge
The newest threat to “private” home listings that could hurt sales prices
The homes that are taking the longest to sell in 2026 and one type of rental property that investors are getting steals on
And So Much More!
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Major Homebuilders Have Not Sold Homes This Cheap in Nearly a Decade—Here’s How Investors Can Take Advantage
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PR Newswire: More than 300,000 empty lots for sale could close America's housing shortage by 6%
NBC 24: Construction job openings rise as overall job openings soften slightly
HousingWire: The off-MLS debate moves to Washington, and agents need a clear script
Newsweek: America’s New Home Sales Plummet to Weakest Rate in Years
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| JPMorgan Makes a $750B Bet on the Housing Market | 20 août 2026 | 00:33:50 | |
JPMorgan Chase, America’s largest bank, just made a big bet on housing—a $750B bet to be exact. At a time when most people hope home prices will fall, JPMorgan is gearing up to lend and invest in a huge way. Could this be a sign that those who buy now will be thanking themselves in the years to come? We’re getting into the details in today’s show.
It’s another housing market update! First, we’re touching on whether or not the market has already peaked in 2026. We still have four full months left in the year, but with home sales falling in July, it could signal that the hot summer is starting to cool. But a surprising type of home is still selling fast—it’s not the newly renovated house flip—it’s the ugly, outdated home next door. Why? We’re explaining in this episode.
JPMorgan Chase makes a $750B bet on housing, signaling that America’s largest bank is bullish on a certain type of real estate. Finally, the latest inflation rate update—the CPI (consumer price index) stayed in check last month, but is it enough to stop the Federal Reserve from raising rates?
In This Episode We Cover
Inside JPMorgan Chase’s $750B investment into affordable housing
The latest inflation rate update and what it could mean for your interest rate
Why buyers don’t want your renovated home (they want the ugly one next door)
A new 2026 home sale prediction and whether or not prices are still rising
Two types of homes that are selling fast in 2026 (and why yours might not be)
And So Much More!
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JPMorgan Chase's $750B Investment
Inflation Update
On The Market 436 - The Fed Signals a Reversal in Rates
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Find Real Estate Deals That Work in Today’s Market with Henry’s Book, Real Estate Deal Maker
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| Finding Discounted Real Estate Just Got Easier | 18 août 2026 | 00:27:00 | |
This is a game changer for real estate investing. In minutes (or even seconds), you can find every motivated seller in your area, see how desperate they are to sell, and even find new markets with discounted real estate deals. This used to take hours, even days, before—now you can do it in minutes. We can’t really even believe that this is so easy.
Today, Dave is walking through the new “Motivated Sellers Index,” a tool that helps real estate investors find motivated sellers and discounted real estate deals across the United States. It ranks motivation based on three factors: 1. Days on market, 2. Price cut frequency, and 3. Price cut magnitude, to see which sellers are the most willing to give you a deal on their property.
Dave demos it live, showing which markets are the most and least motivated in the country, and how to use the tool whether you’re buying or selling. Plus, how you can pinpoint the fire sale rentals in your market—wherever you are!
In This Episode We Cover
The easiest way to find motivated sellers in 2026 (no off-market experience needed)
US housing markets where sellers are the most motivated to sell their homes
How to uncover all of the “fire sale” rentals in your area (and get them at big discounts)
Markets where sellers can ask for the most from buyers
How to use this new tool to pick a market, identify properties to buy, and make a killer offer
And So Much More!
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*Motivated Seller Index:*
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| Signs That Your Rents Will Slow (or Grow) in 2026/2027 | 13 août 2026 | 00:34:40 | |
National rent prices are down year-over-year, but that’s not telling the whole story. Different properties in different markets are seeing an opposite reality. Some markets are seeing 3%-5% rent increases, while others are seeing that flipped negative. There are definitive reasons why some markets are growing while others are slowing and outright declining. Today, Dave is going to show you how to forecast rents in your own market, no matter where you invest.
We’re getting into all the latest data: single-family vs. multifamily rents, real estate markets seeing the most (and least) growth, what happens when renters can’t pay more than they’re at, and the factors giving real estate investors the biggest tailwinds.
We could have a year (or longer) without rent growth for certain asset classes and markets, but what happens when the supply is finally absorbed and the deficit returns? Dave is going to show you how and where to get this data so you can be prepared for what’s about to come, and hopefully not sell a deal that could be struggling now but seriously performing in a few years.
In This Episode We Cover
Dave’s 2026-2027 rent forecast and where rents could grow or continue declining
The two factors that will decide rent prices more than anything else in the market
How to forecast rent growth in your own market using public data
Markets Dave would bet on for future rent growth (and affordability for renters)
Single-family vs. multifamily rents and the stark difference between these two asset classes
And So Much More!
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Property Manager Finder
Rent Prices Are Down Nationwide—Here’s How Investors Can Protect Their Cash Flow in a “Renter-Friendly” Era
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Latest Apartment List National Rent Report
CoreLogic National Rent Growth Report
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| A Buyer’s Summer Is “On” as Asking Prices See Steepest Decline Since 2017 | 11 août 2026 | 00:26:57 | |
Most investors understand that real estate is local. While the national headlines usually tell one story, regional and local data often tell a very different one.
This week’s headlines only reinforce this idea. On a national level, asking prices are declining at the fastest pace in nearly a decade, inviting many buyers to participate in the summer housing market despite ongoing affordability challenges.
But at the local level, buyers and sellers are responding in very different ways depending on the market. Some real estate markets remain at a standstill, with muted demand and very little activity, while others are poised to benefit from new job growth and other economic tailwinds.
Finally, we’ll take a closer look at one of the best-performing but still overlooked asset classes. Demand is ramping up, and yet there is a massive supply shortage for this type of residential real estate. Could we be on the verge of the next self-storage-like boom, and if so, are real estate investors even ready to fill the gap?
In This Episode We Cover
Why housing market activity is starting to tick up this summer
The “cash crunch” affecting home affordability and rent growth
How to properly price your house flips and avoid long days on market
The rental markets poised to benefit from new small business growth
The high-performing asset class facing a massive supply shortage
And So Much More!
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6 Signs You Need to Lower Your Asking Price
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Realtor.com: After Years of Waiting, Buyers Are Getting Their Summer
Realtor.com: The Housing Cash Crunch That Has Everyone Pointing Fingers
GoDaddy: GoDaddy Reveals 2026 Most Entrepreneurial Cities; Zillow Spotlights the Real Estate Trends Fueling Their Growth
Lument: Steady Growth Accelerates: 2026 Seniors Housing and Healthcare Market Outlook
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| Vacation Rentals Are Officially on Sale: Where They’re Worth Buying | 06 août 2026 | 00:31:13 | |
Vacation rental markets were some of the biggest winners of the housing boom several years ago. But where are those real estate markets today?
New data suggests that many of the operators who chased cash flow in the Airbnb gold rush are now looking to cut their short-term rentals loose. As it turns out, running a profitable Airbnb is much harder than it looks. So, does that make this the perfect time to buy?
Our resident short-term rental expert, Garrett Brown, joins the show to break down exactly what’s happening and why it could be worth making a few “disrespectful” offers on these types of properties in 2026.
Sellers are highly motivated, and more properties are hitting the market, but investors must be able to distinguish the “good” rental properties from the homes that should never have been vacation rentals in the first place. We’ll get into market analysis, the amenities that actually drive bookings, and why the next wave of successful short-term rental investors will win with hospitality—not hype.
In This Episode We Cover
The exact type of operator being squeezed out of vacation rental markets
The two types of short-term rentals that are still wildly profitable in 2026
Why there are so many motivated sellers in the short-term rental space right now
Garrett’s favorite short-term rental markets to target in 2026
The number one thing you must do when entering a new Airbnb market
And So Much More!
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Investing in Short-Term Rentals: A Beginner’s Guide & How to Get Started
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Parcl: Trouble in Paradise: America’s Vacation-Home Sellers Are the Most Motivated in Housing
AirDNA
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| 2026's "Discounted" Properties Aren't the Bargain They Look Like | 04 août 2026 | 00:32:12 | |
If you’re investing in real estate, you’re probably asking, “How much can this property make me?” But in 2026, it’s the opposite question that actually builds your wealth: “How much can this property cost me?” You’re seeing discounted deals on the listing sites; realtors and brokers may even be sending you off-market listings that look like steals. How do you know whether you should pass on them or not?
James and Kathy are on today to talk about which deals they’re passing on, and the underrated land play that’s making serious returns and requires no building to profit. Kathy almost closed on the perfect medium-sized multifamily deal in a great location, newly built, and with a pool of tenants nearby. But one seemingly small problem made her walk away—if she hadn't, she could have lost tens or hundreds of thousands. Would you be able to spot the mistake?
But a land investment is making both Kathy and James very excited. You don’t need to build anything on the land, you don’t need to rent the land, you don’t even need to get utilities on the land. This strategy, especially the way Kathy is using it, could profit big time if interest rates drop even slightly or demand picks up. The question is, how do you get into it without the risk of speculation?
In This Episode We Cover
The real estate deals we’re actively passing on in 2026 (they aren’t worth the headache)
A land investment play that could come with big profits if done the right way
One small problem that made Kathy walk away from a multifamily deal with exceptional numbers
Are the 30%-off multifamily deals finally worth the money, or are sellers asking for too much?
Kathy’s exact buy box for what she will and won’t invest in this year
And So Much More!
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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1039 - The Hidden Opportunity of Property “Rezoning” Making This Investor Wealthy
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Run the Numbers Before You Buy with Real Estate by the Numbers
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| Fannie Mae IPO Could Have Serious Side Effects on Mortgage Rates | 30 juil. 2026 | 00:35:15 | |
Nearly 50% of mortgages in the U.S. flow through Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac—but a push from the Trump Administration could sell shares of these government enterprises and put them in the hands of the public. The side effects could be significant to those getting or refinancing a mortgage—from interest rates to regulations.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac alone take up about half of the mortgage market. The reason you can get a 30-year loan, a lower interest rate, and do it all with standardized regulations is largely thanks to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. So, if these enterprises are sold on the private market with Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae IPO-ing, would it put so much privatized pressure on the mortgage market that it could begin to break?
Today, we’re getting into the major consequences from a sale of Fannie and Freddie—currently owned almost entirely by the government. With a $250B payday sitting in limbo, the government could be pushed to sell off the enterprises that enabled average Americans to buy houses. The question is, should it even happen?
In This Episode We Cover
The Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac IPO possibilities and the side effects it would have on mortgage rates and regulations
Why the government took over Fannie and Freddie and whether re-privatizing them will encourage these enterprises to do anything to profit
The massive payday that could come out of a selective sale of Fannie and Freddie
Pros and cons of a sale going through and whether Dave thinks it’s a smart idea
And So Much More!
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How Privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Could Have Seismic Impacts On Real Estate
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| New Construction Falls to 5-Year Low as Price Floor Nears | 28 juil. 2026 | 00:31:56 | |
This isn’t a “good” housing market for anyone. Affordability remains a major barrier to homeownership. Sellers aren’t getting what they want for their homes. Now, builders are signaling that the current housing shortage could get even worse. It’s bad news for aspiring homeowners, but could it finally put a floor on this housing market correction?
This week’s headlines highlight how affordability challenges are reaching every corner of the housing market—not just for buyers. A perfect storm of high interest rates, stagnant home prices, and rising material and labor costs is putting builders under pressure, too. As a result, housing starts and single-family home completions have reached their lowest levels since 2020. But could this slowdown ultimately limit how far home prices can fall?
At the same time, there are other factors keeping homes off the market—like a potential capital gains tax problem discouraging many baby boomers from listing their homes for sale. Meanwhile, house flippers are worried about another tax coming down the pipeline that could eat into even more of their profits. Everyone’s feeling the squeeze, but could these pressures causing the market to bend be the same forces that prevent it from breaking?
In This Episode We Cover
Why the single-family market correction may have just found its floor
Why many homebuilders are building less amid a national housing shortage
Whether we should raise the capital gains tax exclusion for homeowners
A new tax that could cost house flippers even more of their margins
Three issues that are potentially contributing to a stagnant housing market
And So Much More!
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Flippers Supplied 2x More Starter Homes Than Builders in 2025
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CRE Daily: US Housing Starts Slow, Giving Apartments Room to Recover
AEI Housing Center: Capital Gains Rules on Home Sales and Senior Homeowner Lock In
The Real Deal: “The math has stopped working”: NYC home flipping drops as state legislators propose new tax
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| You Can Retire with Even Less (Only Using Real Estate) | 23 juil. 2026 | 00:29:06 | |
The average American will not be able to retire. 50% are going into their golden years with less than $500,000—significantly short of what would even be considered a livable retirement amount. Social Security only has so long before payments begin to get cut, and retiring during a stock market crash, or even a correction, can put you at sizable risk of returning to work.
But one asset can help you retire with less, reach retirement (or even early retirement) faster, and do so without putting your future freedom at risk—real estate. Today, Dave is going to prove why so many of his retirement plans sit on rental properties as a stable base, and how Americans can retire with up to 50% less using real estate, as opposed to stocks and bonds.
This flips the entire retirement equation on its head. Now you don’t need to bet on the market, you don’t need to hope and pray Social Security will exist when it’s your turn to collect, and you don’t need to hit some sky-high ($4,000,000+) retirement number just to live a comfortable life.
This is the faster, and arguably safer, formula for retirement in 2026 and beyond.
In This Episode We Cover
How to retire with far less using real estate cash flow (instead of selling stocks)
How much you actually need to retire in the United States (inflation-adjusted)
The real estate retirement framework that gives you better returns, more cash flow, and a simpler path
Why 81% of Americans are at risk of never being able to comfortably, confidently retire
The problem with building a cash flow-focused real estate portfolio too early (it will cost you)
And So Much More!
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How Much Passive Income is Enough to Retire With?
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| Zillow: $1,000/Month Cash Flow Exists in These Markets | 21 juil. 2026 | 00:28:09 | |
Zillow is seeing “signs of life” emerging in the housing market. Strong demand, days pending hitting pre-pandemic levels, and serious cash flow in specific markets. How long will this last, and what happens when new construction completions fall off a cliff in the near future? Will rents and home prices reverse, going from stable (and even falling) to rising as demand outpaces supply even more?
Orphe Divounguy, Zillow Senior Economist, is back to share the most up-to-date housing market data. Orphe brings good news—sales are increasing, demand is surprisingly strong, and a recovery (albeit fragile) for the housing market is underway. Some markets are seeing a drastic increase in sales; others are seeing almost unbelievably strong cash flow (Orphe is talking $1,000/month), so which markets are which?
Finally, how long will this last? We keep talking about buyers getting discounts off of list price or serious seller concessions, but are we months or years away from this ending? With multifamily supply about to see a serious dropoff, the demand for housing (and rentals) could get even higher. Orphe breaks it all down!
In This Episode We Cover
The housing markets currently seeing strong cash flow even at list price (up to $1,000/month cash flow!)
Markets with the most home sales and why they’re beating many other major metros
Why rent and home prices could “firm” up once this happens in the housing market
No escaping this housing supply shortage? The reason why flat/declining population won’t crash housing
Sellers: How to price your home to get the highest (and quickest) sale (do not overprice)
And So Much More!
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On The Market 433 - New Data: U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Their Floor
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| You Won’t Believe Why Mortgage Rates Are Going Up (Again) | 16 juil. 2026 | 00:34:31 | |
You won’t believe why mortgage rates are going back up. It’s not because of the war, it’s not because of gas prices, and it’s not because of the Federal Reserve. Something nobody is talking about is playing a much bigger role in mortgage rates than most Americans think. It’s making big corporations richer while the average American continues to struggle to buy a home.
What is the hidden factor nobody’s talking about?
Today, Dave is getting into it, unpacking not only the real reason why mortgage rates are heading back toward 7%, but the loaded week of housing market news. First, we’ll touch on mortgage rates and the two reasons why they’re shooting back up even after a surprisingly positive inflation report. Then, the historic housing bill that successfully became law and what it really says in the fine print (is Wall Street actually banned?).
Finally, why rising student loan delinquencies could mean more renter demand and fewer home sales for millions of Americans.
In This Episode We Cover
The real reason why mortgage rates are going up even if inflation readings are falling
What’s actually in the historic 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act?
Wall Street’s “ban” on buying houses and what the fine print says
Cracks forming in student loan repayments and how it could trickle down to housing (more renter demand?)
And So Much More!
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| 2026 Housing Market Predictions: Seller Pain is Far From Over | 14 juil. 2026 | 00:29:56 | |
The first half of the 2026 housing market is over, and now it’s time to answer the question everyone wants to know: What’s next? Will the market slow down even more and bring lower prices for patient buyers, or will a (surprisingly) resilient US economy finally give buyers what they’re looking for? We’re split. We’re disagreeing. And today, we’re giving our updated 2026 housing market predictions.
A long, slow, painful housing market could be in store for some, while a “booming” environment could be coming for others—which one will it be for you? We’re breaking it down, based on your exact market, property type, and whether you’re buying, selling, or holding and waiting.
One type of property James is warning you to actively avoid; Kathy is saying certain markets will bring huge benefits to those who buy in them early; and Dave sees bad signs for the American consumer, which could spill even more into the housing market.
Get ahead of the housing market—these are our H2 2026 housing market predictions.
In This Episode We Cover
Why an even slower, more painful market could be in store for 2026 sellers
The passive income play that Dave is doubling down on as rentals suffer
Flipping a house? What James warns you to do so you don’t lose money on your sale
The rental markets Kathy is currently eyeing to get deals before prices pop
Sobering signs that American consumers are still far from ready to buy
And So Much More!
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On The Market 431 - The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack
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Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing Cycle | 09 juil. 2026 | 00:42:57 | |
Workers Are Feeling the AI Squeeze: How It Could Define the Next Housing CyclePodcast Description
If you ask the average American, AI is taking over, as are the headlines warning that it’s coming for our jobs. Open LinkedIn, and you’ll see stories about chatbots replacing employees, hiring freezes, and departments being downsized. But when you dig into the actual data, it’s murky at best. So, what’s really happening, and how should real estate investors prepare?
On one hand, unemployment remains relatively low, and layoffs aren’t surging across the U.S.—not yet at least. In fact, many economists are still projecting positive job growth in the short term. On the other hand, you have growing concerns among what seems like most American workers. Fear about job displacement. Career uncertainty. The pressure to stay employable.
Then there’s the trickle-down impact on the housing market. Rising unemployment affects the biggest renter demographic in the nation. Do real estate investors need to temper expectations for rental demand and rent growth for the foreseeable future? Does “conservative” investment analysis need to go to another level? We’re breaking it all down, plus much more, on today’s show.
In This Episode We Cover
What to make of “murky” data surrounding AI’s impact on the U.S. job market
Why Americans are becoming increasingly worried about AI-caused layoffs (despite “positive” forecasting)
Two ways that widespread adoption of AI could affect the housing market
Why real estate investors should prepare for lower rental demand and rent growth
Which real estate markets are the best long-term bets as AI reshapes the economy
And So Much More!
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Worried About AI? Here’s How Real Estate Is Changing Faster Than Ever
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McKinsey Global Institute: Agents, Robots, and Us: Skill Partnerships in the Age of AI
National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER): Firm Data on AI
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| Commercial Real Estate Is Quietly Setting Up for a Decade-Long Bull Run | 07 juil. 2026 | 00:42:41 | |
We’ve officially reached the halfway point of 2026, and the housing market still feels…stuck.
The economy is in limbo. Home prices haven’t tanked. And we aren’t seeing significant large multifamily distress...not yet at least. Is it just a matter of time before the other shoe finally drops, or is this market more resilient than we expected?
Brian Burke is back to give his pulse check on the 2026 housing market. What has changed? Has anything changed?
We’re breaking down some of the predictions we made earlier in the year, the biggest surprises from the last six months, and how we’re adjusting our expectations for 2027 and beyond.
The truth is, this “boring” market is exactly the kind of environment that has made disciplined real estate investors very wealthy. Residential real estate values are holding steady, and commercial real estate could be set up for a 10-year bull run.
So, is it a better time to buy than the headlines suggest—or will those holding out for a 2008-style housing crash be proven right?
In This Episode We Cover
Brian Burke’s mid-year pulse check on the 2026 housing market
The 10-year commercial real estate bull run that could kick off in 2028
How to create long-term wealth with “smart” portfolio construction
Why we haven’t seen significant large multifamily distress (yet)
The three “types” of real estate syndication failure (and why they matter)
And So Much More!
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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1293 – The Strongest Sign for the Housing Market in Years | June 2026 Update
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| The Data Is Lying: What Buyers Are Really Paying in 2026 (Less Than You Think) | 02 juil. 2026 | 00:30:37 | |
We’ve all seen the data. Home prices are falling but remain relatively “flat,” year over year.
There’s just one problem: the data is lying.
We’re in a full-blown buyer’s market now, and what investors are actually paying for homes is much less than most people realize.
Behind the scenes, buyers are negotiating thousands—even tens of thousands—of dollars in seller concessions that never show up in home sales data. Closing costs. Interest rate buydowns. Repair credits. Even cash.
These concessions are quietly driving the real cost of homes much lower than the numbers suggest. In fact, nearly half of all home sales now include some kind of seller concession, and that’s on top of the price drops we’re seeing in many markets.
How much are investors really saving? The amount is often capped based on the deal and the loan. But even these concession limits have workarounds.
If you use this two-pronged strategy for negotiating asking price and concessions, you’ll have a clear path to saving 3%, 5%, or maybe even upward of 10% on your next deal. This is the kind of advantage that can make the numbers work, even in the toughest of markets.
In This Episode We Cover
Why the median home sale price isn’t what investors are actually paying in 2026
How to negotiate massive discounts on properties in most markets
Two ways to get around the seller concession limits for investors
The markets with the highest percentage of home sales with seller concessions
A “balanced” strategy for scoring a lower purchase price and seller concessions
And So Much More!
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11 Items You Can Negotiate in a Real Estate Deal
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Redfin: 46% of Home Sellers Gave Concessions to Buyers in May, the Highest Share on Record for That Month
Redfin: America’s Housing Market Favors Buyers—But Their Advantage Is Starting to Shrink
Grab the Book on Negotiating Real Estate
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| Trump Just Stalled the Biggest Housing Bill in Decades | 30 juin 2026 | 00:32:35 | |
You’ve seen the headlines. The housing market is stuck. Distress is rising. But if you dig beneath the surface, the actual data tells a different story. The market isn’t in freefall, and in many places, there’s more “stability” than most people think. And small investors are quietly taking the lead.
This week’s stories all point the same way. Inventory is essentially “flat,” up just 0.25% year over year. Luxury supply is rising, but homes floating around the median home price—the kind “mom-and-pop” investors like you and I are buying—remain tight. Meanwhile, the percentage of home sales to investors is climbing, with the dial gradually swinging toward the “small” investor.
And then there’s what’s happening in Washington. On Wednesday, President Trump canceled the signing of the biggest housing bill in decades. For now, we’ll have to wait a little longer until it becomes law. But if (or when) it gets passed, how will it actually impact the housing market? Are its benefits for the average American being overstated, or is this the supply-side reform we’ve been waiting for?
In This Episode We Cover
Why the 2026 housing market is more “stable” than most investors think
Where “small” investors are taking a larger share of recent home sales
What comes next after President Trump canceled the signing of the new housing bill
How the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act will affect the market (if or when it’s passed)
The two types of markets where inventory is either rising up or trending down
And So Much More!
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| Peace Deal Signed: Where Mortgage Rates Are Actually Headed | 25 juin 2026 | 00:36:19 | |
The peace deal between the U.S. and Iran has been agreed to (at least for now). The Strait of Hormuz, the chokehold on 20% of the world’s oil, is starting to open back up, and trade can, at least temporarily, continue. The question is, will inflation begin to fall if oil flows (more) freely through the Middle East? And if inflation falls, could mortgage rates be right behind them?
Today, we’re talking about what could actually happen from here on out. We’ve seen a lot of opinions recently saying this deal could boost the economy and the housing market, or bring mortgage rates back down to earth. The question is, will any of that actually happen? As real estate investors, knowing what’s coming down the pipeline can give you a huge advantage, but believing the wrong narrative can cost you.
So today, I’m giving you my honest, data-backed take on what happens next. Will inflation and mortgage rates retreat? When could we begin to see the effects of the open Strait? Will the housing market bounce back as the supply chain heals? And what should a real estate investor be on the lookout for before the changes hit our economy?
In This Episode We Cover
What really happens to mortgage rates when oil begins to flow and inflationary pressures ease?
Why economists are saying we could be “warm for a while” in this economy
Does Dave think rates will fall below 6% any time in 2026 (and if not, where will they be)?
The two things that could lead us to lower mortgage rates (one is good, one is…not)
The real effects the housing market will feel once the Strait is fully opened again
And So Much More!
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On The Market 432 - J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy Begins to Break
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Oxford Economics: US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%
CNBC: Bank of America expects three Fed hikes this year, says inflation is getting ‘unambiguously worse’
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| The Fed Signals a Reversal in Rates | 23 juin 2026 | 00:34:23 | |
The new Federal Reserve Chair is already making news, signaling a major change to rates—and not in the way Americans were hoping for. With inflation up, the Fed has eyed raising, not cutting, the Federal Funds rate, all while changing key language on price stability at its most recent meeting. The question is, will they do it, or is this simply a bluff to stop the market from getting out of control?
We’re back to break down this week’s top housing market headlines, from the Fed’s recent meeting to a surprising comeback in a few markets most believed were dead, and the massive HELOC pull that is taking billions more out of the housing market and into owners' hands.
First, we’re touching on the Fed. Will they really raise rates by this fall, defying the exact hopes of President Trump, or is this just a bluff to cool an already hot economy? Why is office, of all things, seeing a major comeback, and why are America’s most divisive housing markets leading the charge? Finally, homeowners pull out a massive $47B (with a b) in home equity. Is this a cry for help from struggling homeowners? We’re getting into it all!
In This Episode We Cover
The Fed’s latest announcement on inflation, rate movements, and their next moves
What investors are doing now before rate hikes make their way back
One commercial real estate asset class seeing a surprising comeback
Is America’s boom-then-bust market (Austin, Texas) finally seeing its turnaround?
$47B in equity pulled: Are homeowners in trouble, and using equity to save themselves?
And So Much More!
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Kevin Warsh is the Next Fed Chair—Here’s What Investors Should Expect From Him
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| Wall Street is Locking You Out of the Housing Market (Unless You Pay Up) | 18 juin 2026 | 00:32:32 | |
Wall Street is quietly monopolizing the housing market—and we’re not talking about them buying homes. It’s something more far-reaching, something that will affect every investor in every market on every single deal.
Your local HVAC, pest control, drywall, and plumbing companies are seemingly raising prices in tandem, and each year it gets more expensive. Your material costs are jumping, sometimes 100% higher than they were just a few years ago, and every single brand seems to be owned by the same parent company. Now, your real estate agent is telling you that you’re unable to view listings from another brokerage.
Slowly, piece by piece, you’re being locked or priced out of the housing market, or you’re paying exorbitant amounts of money just to stay in the game. Why? Two words—corporate consolidation—the final play from Wall Street to make as much money as possible on every single thing you do for your home and real estate portfolio.
There are only a few ways to escape it. Today, I’m explaining how.
In This Episode We Cover
The “corporate consolidation” machine gobbling up small businesses and raising prices on everything
Why your material costs are rising so much more than the inflation rate
The brokerage that’s trying to lock you out of the market unless you work with them
How the American housing market became a corporate profit playground
Three things you can do today to keep your costs down and stay in the loop on real estate deals
And So Much More!
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How To Estimate Rehab Costs In Real Estate
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| What We're Buying During The 2026 Multifamily Crash | 16 juin 2026 | 00:30:42 | |
This is exactly what we’re buying, selling, and trading in Summer 2026. It’s a strange time for real estate—multifamily prices are crashing hard, single-family is staying stable, rents aren’t moving much, mortgage rates are back up—what do you do? Today, we’re sharing exactly what we’re doing with our real estate portfolios to make the most of a market many are too scared to buy (or sell) in.
The not-so-obvious news—a couple of us are actively selling rentals. Why? Because deals are getting almost irresistible in one sector of the market. Prices are crashing hard, sellers have almost no negotiating power, and you can pick up profitable, cash-flowing properties for a fraction of what they were worth just a couple of years ago. The best part? Most investors are completely skipping over these deals.
For those looking to make money a little quicker, Henry and James are sharing the flip criteria that’s helping them make even more cash with less effort and way less risk in 2026. Want proof? Henry is making $70,000 on a deal he barely had to even sweep out to get ready to sell. If you’re looking for lower-risk, lower-expense returns, this may be exactly what to do this season.
In This Episode We Cover
How to take advantage of the multifamily crash without buying 100+ unit properties
We’re selling our rentals! Here’s what we’re doing with the money
The quick house flip that is making Henry a killer return with a tiny renovation budget
How Kathy picked up a massively discounted deal on a medium-sized multifamily
Why buying “portfolios” of properties could be the cheat code for scaling at a much better per-unit price
And So Much More!
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On the Market 393 - Why I’m Buying Large Multifamily in 2026 (Commercial Real Estate Outlook)
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| New Data: U.S. Home Prices Are Hitting Their Floor | 11 juin 2026 | 00:37:41 | |
Did home prices just hit their floor? New demand data is showing something no one expected—buyers coming back. If the supply-demand balance hits equilibrium, we could see the national housing market begin to settle at prices like these. One thing that could change all that? Mortgage rates—and with a potential peace deal on the table between the U.S. and Iran, we could finally get some relief.
A lot of housing market news hit over the past week, and we’re getting into all of it. If you’ve been waiting for the market to thaw, this could be a sign it’s starting. Demand for home purchases is rising, even though news outlets are telling you otherwise. What does that mean for buyers? We could be at the bottom for home prices—and we have proof.
Will a peace deal in the Middle East bring mortgages back down to the 6% (or sub-6%) range? It’s looking possible. We’ll get into exactly what could happen if a peace deal is struck soon or if the war drags on longer. The consequences could be massive for the housing market, inflation, and the economy. But one thing you can be sure of? A certain type of real estate is seeing massive pressure to sell at a discount—every investor should be looking at these properties.
In This Episode We Cover
What happens to mortgage rates if a peace deal with Iran is finally struck?
The one type of residential rental property seeing unparalleled discounts (and incentives)
Signs that we have hit the floor for national home prices (crash chances are dwindling)
A very positive sign for the real estate industry as buyers come back to the market
The one thing that could cause rate hikes and spiking interest rates in the near future
And So Much More!
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On the Market 432 - J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy
On the Market 429 - The Ultimate "Stress Test" for the Housing Market
Begins to Break
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| J Scott: We Have 1-2 Months Before the Economy Begins to Break | 09 juin 2026 | 00:44:59 | |
The next global recession is a lot closer than many Americans think. We’ve been (fairly) insulated from supply chain shocks stemming from the War in Iran, but within the next few months, things will begin to break. Oil reserves could run dry, energy costs could spike, and a new age of inflation could hit Americans in a way many of us are not prepared for.
In other words: We’re a bit screwed…at least temporarily. The question is, how long do we have?
There’s no one else but J Scott that we’d invite on to answer this question. J, aside from being one of the most principled real estate investors over the last two decades, is a student of the global economy, arguably more up to date on inflation, energy prices, and the effects to come than anyone else we know.
J recently mentioned on a podcast that “we’re screwed”...just using a bit harsher language. Today, we’re asking “why?” and going over the delayed economic shocks that could be hitting us soon, the domino effect of ships being stalled at the Strait of Hormuz, whether or not this will impact the U.S. housing market, and what J is doing to protect himself right now.
In This Episode We Cover
Why we may be closer to a global recession than most Americans think
What happens when the U.S. depletes its emergency oil reserves?
What’s truly causing inflation more than supply-strained commodities
How the housing market (home prices) will be affected if we slip into a recession
The countdown until the oil crisis begins to hit Americans…hard
And So Much More!
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On the Market 431 - The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack (It Will Affect Housing)
On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think
Connect with J
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| The “Engine” of the U.S. Economy is Starting to Crack (It Will Affect Housing) | 04 juin 2026 | 00:35:45 | |
The “engine” of the U.S. economy is starting to crack—and real estate is already feeling the effects. Just last week, we touched on the hidden “recession” affecting many Americans. Today, we’ve got even more data to back up that analysis. Americans are at a breaking point, and the long-term trends are not looking good for spending, GDP, the economy, and real estate.
If you feel economic strain, you’re not alone. We just hit a level of low confidence that hasn’t been seen in 70 years. So, how is the economy still growing? How is GDP still rising? Why haven’t we seen a traditional recession with high unemployment, stock market declines, and a pause in consumer spending? It’s not a question of “why not,” but “when will it happen?”
If you invest in real estate, this will affect you. Home prices, rent prices, and activity in your local market will change. Dave is sharing the markets where investors are quickly leaving, the others seeing the most money pour in, the property types that still make sense in this market, and what to prepare for so your rentals weather any economic storm.
In This Episode We Cover
New economic data showing just how worried the average American is about the economy
How consumer confidence problems can quickly seep into the housing market
What to do now to start preparing your rentals for a slow season ahead
The reasons why the average American is struggling so much in 2026
How is GDP still growing when consumer confidence is so low?
What (and where) investors are buying in 2026 (property types, markets, etc.)
And So Much More!
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On the Market 427 - The 2026 Recession Is Here
On the Market 429 - The Ultimate “Stress Test” for the Housing Market: Do We Pass in 2026?
Redfin: Investor Home Purchases Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| Home Listing Prices Fall for 16th Straight Week (and It Could Keep Coming) | 02 juin 2026 | 00:41:44 | |
Home listing prices have been falling for weeks, and it’s not just sellers who are getting fed up. Real estate agents have finally decided to call it quits, with many reaching their breaking point and leaving the industry altogether. But a glimmer of hope is on the horizon for the market, as one of the biggest housing bills in years just passed the House of Representatives. Could this get us back on the right track?
Welcome back to this week’s headlines episode. If you thought the deals couldn’t get any better…well, it’s your lucky day (or weeks). Home listing prices have now fallen consecutively for over a dozen weeks. Buyers aren’t buying what sellers are selling, and the deals are getting sweeter. If you’re a seller, we have some crucial tips your average agent won’t tell you to start a bidding war on your property, even during a slow market.
Agents have finally decided to step away from the industry altogether, but a new housing bill could spark some life back into the housing market—this is good news for buyers! Finally, we’re going over the states with the lowest property tax bills—but are any of them worth investing in?
In This Episode We Cover
Huge changes coming to the housing market? A monumental housing bill that’s making its way to the President’s desk
Are these sellers serious? Why listing prices are falling nationwide for weeks on end
The great real estate agent exodus (and why good agents are sticking around)
The states with the lowest property tax bills (and how to ensure yours won’t jump)
James’s undeniable loathing of the Seattle, Washington permitting department
And So Much More!
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On the Market 429 - The Ultimate “Stress Test” for the Housing Market: Do We Pass in 2026?
Realtor: Weekly Housing Trends
WSJ: Real-Estate Agents Are Quitting the Slow Housing Market
U.S. News: Inside the Sweeping Bipartisan Housing Bill Headed to Trump
Kiplinger: States With the Lowest Property Tax Bills Ranked by Affordability
Grab Henry’s Book, Real Estate Deal Maker
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| The Ultimate "Stress Test" for the Housing Market: Do We Pass in 2026? | 28 mai 2026 | 00:39:14 | |
Every recession, crash, and major change in the real estate market has its warning signs. And while most people think these can only be seen in hindsight, we have “stress tests” today that signal corrections, crashes, or rising prices to come. These tests not only test the housing market, but also the economy as a whole, to tell us whether we’re going to spiral down for years or stay afloat.
Today, we’re looking at one of the greatest “stress tests” of the housing market—credit.
The “canary in the coalmine” of real estate is forced selling. Once this begins, the domino effect can easily get out of control. When sellers can’t pay their bills, and are forced to sell, a race to the bottom is almost inevitable—and there’s one part of the real estate market where this exact scenario is ramping up—fast.
In today’s show, we’re detailing the assets and regions most at risk, comparing 2026’s economy to 2008/2009 to see where we stand, going over foreclosure and delinquency numbers, and touching on the newest (concerning) consumer debt numbers quickly starting to rise—will the spillover put the housing market in danger?
In This Episode We Cover
Our latest “credit stress” report and who is (and isn’t) paying their mortgages
2008 vs. 2026 housing market stats: foreclosures, delinquencies, and more
Forced selling has already begun for one (formerly profitable) type of real estate
The corner of the housing market seeing double-digit delinquency rates in 2026
Newest consumer debt numbers and why they should concern many Americans
And So Much More!
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On the Market 427 - The 2026 Recession is Here
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New York Fed Household Debt and Credit Report
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| James’s Exact Criteria for Finding High-Return, Overlooked Deals in 2026 | 26 mai 2026 | 00:41:49 | |
More and more Americans are feeling confused about the housing market. Home prices are coming down, and mortgage rates are jumping back up. One day, everyone wants one type of property; the next, it’s being sold at a discount. If you get stuck in the herd mentality, you’ll miss what’s right in front of your eyes—profitable real estate deals 99% of investors are passing over.
Don’t believe us? Today, the most active investor we know, James Dainard, is sharing how he’s scoring a 95% projected return real estate deal, found in May 2026 (that’s right!).
James does more deals than anyone we know, making him the perfect person to give his take on how to win in this housing market. In James’s view, investors are overlooking many solid real estate deals—and this is where the real money is made. But how do you find opportunities when the market changes every few weeks? James breaks down exactly what he does to find the hidden gems that turn into outsized returns—including one with a huge potential payoff.
In This Episode We Cover
How to find real estate deals even in a quickly changing housing market
Buy what others ignore: the profitable properties most investors are sleeping on
Ask your real estate agent/broker THIS to spot the hidden gems in your market
How James turned a sub-par renovation project into a 95% projected return house flip
The vendors you need to get in contact with now to be ready to strike
And So Much More!
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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1278 - Homes Sit on Market for Longest in Years | May 2026 Housing Market Update
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| The 2026 Recession Is Here | 21 mai 2026 | 00:32:29 | |
The 2026 recession is here. You feel it. I feel it. GDP is growing, but the cost of living is rising, affordability is at a multi-decade low, and consumer sentiment is at its lowest level in 70 years. The stock market is ripping, but Americans are struggling daily. Economists will tell you it’s not a recession (at least not yet), but according to my recession indicator…we’re there.
Last November, I created a new recession indicator. It wasn’t tied to GDP, asset values, or sentiment. It was tied to the average American struggling to get by. As of last week, this recession indicator threw up a strong yellow flag, signaling that we’ve reached a turning point—and the direction we’re going isn’t giving us much hope.
This will affect the housing market and rent prices for real estate investors. I give my full forecast on how this could affect the market, but also share exactly what I’m doing right now to put myself in the best position to weather the storm and, hopefully, pick up discounted deals as they come along.
Well-situated investors can survive this, but those that are already running their portfolios with little wiggle room might be in for a big surprise.
In This Episode We Cover
The recession indicator that got triggered just last week (and what it means for the economy)
My new definition of “recession” and why we must rethink what a “recession” even is
How this new recession could hurt the housing market and investors
What I’m doing right now to prepare for the recession and put my portfolio in a strong position
A concerning data point about the affordability of average Americans (this includes renters)
And So Much More!
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On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought
On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| Inflation Is Back, and It's a Warning Sign for Mortgage Rates | 19 mai 2026 | 00:32:48 | |
Just when we thought it was handled, inflation is starting to surge back—and mortgage rates are already adjusting fast. But, for real estate investors, there’s a silver lining. Some markets are seeing rising rents and lower home prices, making it an ideal buying scenario for investors if they can hang on to the property during these high-rate times.
It’s been a wild week in the housing market, and we’re unpacking everything in this headline episode.
First, we’ll talk about the new inflation numbers. You probably already know they’re not great, but could they force the Fed to resume raising rates? We have a…lively…discussion about it. Next, investors lose millions of dollars in the newest real estate “scam” run by a trusted community member. This isn’t something new, so we’re sharing the exact steps you should take before ever wiring someone money for a real estate deal.
Big buyers gain ground on a new housing bill as an amended version drops language many investors had considered a lock. Finally, we’re going over the cities with the fastest rising (and falling) rent prices in 2026—and which markets are seeing the perfect storm of rising rents and declining home prices.
In This Episode We Cover
Inflation surges, but what effect will it have on mortgage rates?
The cities that saw the highest rent increases in 2026 (and where rents are falling)
The newest passive investing “scam” that’s costing real estate investors millions
Big buyers aren’t getting banned? A new update to the latest housing bill
The argument for the Fed reversing course and raising rates once again
And So Much More!
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On the Market 399 - Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier (New Bill)
TheRealDeal: House knocks build-to-rent provision from amended Senate bill
AP News: Ex-Brooklyn judge accused of swindling real estate investors out of millions of dollars
SmartAsset: Where Rent Increased and Decreased Most – 2026 Study
Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers
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| Housing Market Forecasts Flip as Zillow, NAR, Fannie Mae Make New Predictions | 14 mai 2026 | 00:27:47 | |
New 2026 housing market forecasts have changed…dramatically. A major downgrade for home sales from NAR, a home price forecast revision from Zillow, and a new mortgage rate range from Fannie Mae. The industry is quickly growing much more anxious.
At the start of the year, the consensus was for modest price growth, lower mortgage rates, and improved home sale numbers—that’s not where we’re at right now. Between inflation fears resurfacing, interest rates climbing again, and major geopolitical earthquakes, just months into the year, real estate forecasters are changing course.
Today, we’re going through all the top forecasts for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales from Fannie Mae, JP Morgan, NAR, and Zillow.
But what about Dave’s 2026 forecast? How has it held up through wars, oil price spikes, and a changing Federal Reserve? Dave reviews his exact 2026 housing market forecast and whether he would change it now.
In This Episode We Cover
Updated home sales, home price, and mortgage rate predictions from major players in real estate
Zillow’s latest home price downgrade and why we’re inching toward falling home values
NAR slashes their home sales forecast significantly, but what do they say it’ll do to prices?
Housing crash consensus? What major forecasters and economists are saying about the chances
Reviewing Dave’s 2026 housing market forecast and whether he’s changing it in this new economic climate
And So Much More!
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On the Market 408 - Melody Wright's Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Claim
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| Senior Living Has 100% More Demand Coming…with Barely Any Supply | 12 mai 2026 | 00:28:55 | |
One type of investment property is experiencing severe undersupply with a 20-year demographic tailwind on the way. Demand is growing, new supply isn’t even hitting a quarter of the need, and investors are writing off much of this industry as already past its peak. Is this a strategic opportunity to invest in an asset so obvious it’s been overlooked?
Of course, we’re talking about senior living investments.
Jerry Vinci, founder of CCR Growth, growth partners in senior housing, saw firsthand why investing in senior living is so crucial. Jerry watched all four of his grandparents move into senior living and witnessed the chaos, stress, and struggle of navigating such a crucial time in their lives.
Now, Jerry works to help underwrite and optimize senior living facilities, and as an industry insider, he’s seeing a change.
Demand is growing…fast. Even the youngest boomers are turning 65 in 2030, and the pipeline of 80+ year olds needing housing is starting to reach a bottleneck. Today, we’re talking about the wave of demand coming (and expected to sustain for two more decades), how investors can get started if they have no experience, the questions to ask before investing in a senior living facility, and why in senior living your market is more crucial than traditional real estate investing.
In This Episode We Cover
The “20-year cycle” that could funnel millions more Baby Boomers into senior housing
Who should be investing in small senior housing properties (5-10 residents)
The different types of senior living investments (from independent living to memory care and more)
Ask these questions to any operator you may be investing with
The massive supply bottleneck that cannot keep pace with senior living demand
And So Much More!
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Investing in Senior Housing Can Be Extremely Profitable—But You Need To Know What You’re Doing
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CCR Growth
Nordon Advisory
Real Estate by the Numbers
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| U.S. Debt Surpasses GDP: Why Mortgage Rates Could "Spiral" From Here | 07 mai 2026 | 00:40:42 | |
The national debt just hit a dangerous new milestone, surpassing GDP—and the last time this happened, we just ended a world war. You already know the U.S. is heavily in debt—most Americans do—but nobody is asking the right question: at what point does this spiral out of control and force something in the economy to break?
Today, Dave is unpacking the next steps and the scenarios that could unfold once our debt reaches a point where our options to solve this become dangerous. And the effects could be massive for real estate investors, unless they begin preparing themselves now.
First, we’ll go over how we even got here, what makes up the majority of our national debt, and what we can cut to end this out-of-control spending. Next, the two scenarios, one of which could put real estate investors in a dangerous position. Dave is preparing, starting now, even if the worst effects don’t hit for years.
With no sign of either political party meaningfully lowering the debt, this isn’t a matter of “if” real estate is affected, but when.
In This Episode We Cover
The dangerous new milestone our national debt has just hit (can we reverse course?)
What real estate investors need to start doing now to protect their future selves
Why mortgage rates could “spiral” up as the U.S. looks for a solution to pay off debt
Who’s to blame? Which administrations caused the debt to grow
Where 75% of our tax revenue is going (why the debt keeps rising)
And So Much More!
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On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think
Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing
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| U.S. Home Prices Turn Negative, Sellers Finally Give Up Ground | 05 mai 2026 | 00:32:13 | |
U.S. home prices have officially turned negative. For many months, sellers have resisted adjusting to current market conditions—until now. This could bring short-term pain for flippers and sellers, but overall, it’s a step in the right direction for a housing market that desperately needs prices to soften before it can become unstuck.
We’re back with more headlines from last week, including new data that suggests foreclosures are quietly approaching pre-pandemic levels. Inflation remains high, and affordability continues to be an issue, but how close are we to seeing serious distress?
On the topic of affordability, home builders are no longer being held to the 2021 International Energy Conservation Code, meaning new construction homes could become available at an even more affordable price point in the future. Meanwhile, wages are up. Despite rent growth remaining relatively flat, renters have more breathing room, which is ultimately a good sign for the overall health of the housing market, as well as for investors who want more predictable rental income.
In This Episode We Cover
Sellers are finally backing down as national home prices turn negative
New investing opportunities from rising foreclosures and bank-owned homes
Why new construction could become even more affordable in the future
Home builders get a big break as energy-efficiency standards are rolled back
Why higher wages are a big win for investors, despite stagnant rent prices
And So Much More!
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BiggerPockets Real Estate 1210 – 2026 Home Price Predictions: The Correction Continues?
Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending April 18, 2026)
Auction.com: Q1 2026 foreclosure auction activity is nearing pre-pandemic levels
HUD, USDA Rescind Rule Tying New Homes to 2021 Energy Code
Renters gain more than $2,300 in breathing room as rent growth hits slowest pace since 2020
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