Welcome to Circles Off. This is your source for educational sports betting content powered by The Hammer Betting Network. This channel looks to provide you with the highest quality sports betting content across multiple divisions. On this feed, we house the Circles Off flagship podcast hosted by Rob Pizzola as well as the Circle Back show which covers the latest from Gambling Twitter.
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LeBron James Sends Cease and Desist To AI Sports Betting App | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX
lundi 9 novembre 2026 โข Durรฉe 01:47:25
LeBron James is going after an AI sports betting app, and the cease and desist letter raises a question the industry hasn't answered yet: how much of a famous name can a betting product borrow before it crosses a line? Then French police are investigating a series of bets that predicted the exact order of the top five finishers in last month's Ballon d'Or, which puts insider trading and prediction markets back in the spotlight. The Circle Back crew of Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg reacts to it all live.
We also get into whether sportsbook VIP programs actually serve bettors or just the books, and look at what the data on prediction market combos says about who is really winning, and what it means if market makers can recognize repeat accounts and decide who to quote.
The weekend gave us plenty to react to too. We break down NFL Week 9, from the walk-off field goal and the Giants stunning the Eagles in Philadelphia to Joe Burrow taking over as the MVP favorite, then run through the rest of the sports world, including Philip Rivers heading to NC State, Notre Dame's win over Miami, and Kyle Larson's Cup Series win.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg
5:21 - NFL Week 9 Reactions
22:52 - Other Weekend Recap
33:33 - LeBron's Cease and Desist to Bron AI
43:02 - Ballon d'Or Insider Trading Investigation
50:21 - Hitman and King Ye on Sportsbook VIP Programs
1:03:13 - Prediction Market Combos
1:20:35 - Establish The Run Chnages To Their Service
1:32:57 - Chopping Block
Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#CircleBack #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #NFLWeek9 #NFL #LeBronJames #BallonDor #SportsBettingNews
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The Right Way To Use AI For NBA Betting Models | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX
vendredi 6 novembre 2026 โข Durรฉe 44:01
How AI is helping sharp NBA bettors connect their models and find more plays than ever. After a full offseason working with AI, Kirk Evans breaks down how his props, futures and awards screens, sides and totals, and WNBA series sims now feed each other, why he can act on smaller edges with more confidence, and why you should never let AI make its own decisions inside a betting model. Then, Kirk explains why he called the NBA's new ban on same-player under parlays, "first of" markets, and unders on low-minute players a nothing burger, and whether anything has changed a few weeks into the season.
Also on this episode: Kirk's biggest mistake as an NBA bettor and how injury cluster effects changed his process, the price a 99% future would need to trade at to tie up your money, and the one stat he wishes existed for his models. Plus a rant on optimism versus pessimism, a rant on birthday messages, and a pair of +EV moves of the week. Jacob Gramegna hosts Off Script with sharp NBA bettor Kirk Evans.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 - Work In Progress Check
12:28 - Have the NBA's betting bans changed anything?
19:19 - Mailbag: Answering Your Questions
29:57 - What Grinds My Gears
37:48 - +EV Moves Of The Week
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#NBABetting #AIBetting #SportsBetting #BettingStrategy #BettingTips #NBA #SharpBetting
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Sportsbooks Make Huge Mistakes.. If You Know Where to Click | Presented by ProphetX
mercredi 4 novembre 2026 โข Durรฉe 10:44
How do pro bettors find their biggest edges, and what do they do differently once they have one? Pro Sports Bettor and Trader Chris "Flup" Dierkes breaks down how he got paid at 30-1 on a futures price closer to 10-1, then found correlated parlays priced as if every leg were independent. He explains why he spammed it all season without getting banned, the masking mistakes he'd fix today, how throwing junk legs into a parlay hides a 100% ROI edge, and why bringing other people in to get more money down would have been the real move.
On this episode of Legendary Loopholes, a Circles Off series where sharp bettors share the biggest edges of their past, Jacob Gramegna sits down with Flup to cover what he'd do differently and the one habit that leads to edges like this: click around and try everything.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
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Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#LegendaryLoopholes #SportsBetting #ProBettor #BettingEdges #Parlays #SharpBettor #CirclesOff
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Never Follow Betting Advice Like This... | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX
lundi 2 novembre 2026 โข Durรฉe 01:34:57
Would you lay the Cowboys at -200 after they closed -340 against the Cardinals? We break down a viral take on heavy favorites, what professional bettors actually do when the price gets that steep, and why it's the kind of betting advice you should never follow. We also react to NFL Week 8, get into Saquon Barkley selling his stake in a prediction market, and run through the rest of the weekend: F1, Beat Luke Littler, the WNBA Finals finishes, Kucherov's trade request, and Indiana vs Minnesota ending with two 60 yard field goals. Then we read comments from last week's show, cover an online fight between Haralabob and Kent Lacob over the Valkyries and CD Castellon, and close with the Chopping Block.
Streamed live with host Jacob Gramegna and guests Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg
1:56 - Do Pros Bet -200s?
26:24 - NFL Week 8 Reaction
40:48 - Other Weekend Recap
52:44 - Saquon Barkley Sells Stake
1:00:36 - Comments From Last Week
1:15:58 - Haralabob vs Kent Lacob
1:27:46 - Chopping Block
Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#CircleBack #SportsBetting #NFLBetting #NFLWeek8 #SaquonBarkley #PredictionMarkets #CowboysCardinals #BettingAdvice #CirclesOff #ProphetX
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How a Pro Finds Edges in Same Game Parlays (No Model Required) | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX
vendredi 30 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 01:01:30
Why is right now the golden age of same game parlays? Professional bettor and trader Rishi breaks down how he finds correlated outcomes with nothing but game knowledge and no model, why prices on prediction markets are beating what he sees at sportsbooks, and what the new NBA prop unders mean for his approach. Plus, the Thursday Night Football position he took when Christian Watson went to the hospital, the Bermuda Championship cancellation that cost a market maker $185K, viewer mailbag questions, what grinds our gears, and the +EV moves of the week. This is Off Script hosted by Jacob Gramegna and presented by ProphetX.
๐ฅ Watch Rishi's earlier interview with Rob: https://youtu.be/0bvC0KjTr1E
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 - Work In Progress Check
16:14 - Breaking News: Thursday Night Football
26:50 - Breaking News: Bermuda Championship
37:26 - Mailbag: Answering Your Questions
45:52 - What Grinds My Gears
52:57 - +EV Moves Of The Week
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#SameGameParlays #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #NBAProps #OffScript
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The NASCAR Road Course Edge That The Bookies Missed | Presented by ProphetX
mercredi 28 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 10:35
China breaks down a NASCAR edge from a time when betting meant calling in plays on a recorded line and almost nobody had an odds screen. It was a loophole built on how one bookie priced the races, and it turned into one of the best spots of his betting career.
In this episode of Legendary Loopholes, recorded at BetBash, Jacob Gramegna sits down with China to talk about what betting looked like before line movement was a thing and how that edge shaped the way he thinks about betting.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
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Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#LegendaryLoopholes #NASCAR #SportsBetting #BetBash #CirclesOff
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Can You Middle NFL Games and Win Long Term? | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX
lundi 26 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 01:39:06
One of the most shocking weeks of NFL survivor carnage, led by the Texans' overtime loss to the Giants, plus NFL Week 7 reactions and the rest of the weekend recap, including the World Series Game 2 check swing that may have been the wrong call. We react to Raheem Palmer's take on middling NFL games and whether risking 10 cents to win 2 dollars is worth it, go through your comments from last week's show, break down a viral post from a bettor who is down about a DoorDash lunch after 7 years of betting, cover Dr. Jesse Morse retiring from NFL injury analysis and Rob's plan to start his own version, and close with the Chopping Block. Live with Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
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SHOW INDEX
0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg
3:00 - NFL Week 7 Reactions + NFL Survivor Carnage
25:33 - World Series Game 2 Check Swing
34:01 - Is Middling Worth It?
43:35 - Reading Your Comments
1:00:16 - Down A DoorDash Lunch After 7 Years Of Betting
1:08:29 - Dr. Jesse Morse Retires From NFL Injury Analysis
1:15:28 - Chopping Block
Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#CircleBack #NFL #NFLSurvivor #SportsBetting #WorldSeries #Middling #SurvivorPool
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Find One Edge, Bet It Everywhere: A Pro NBA Bettor's Approach | Off Script | Presented by ProphetX
vendredi 23 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 53:29
Peanut breaks down how he rebuilt his NBA player prop model from the ground up into an automated dashboard, what changed from the old manual process, and how he decides which assumptions to adjust when a player's role or shot profile changes. He also explains the futures and awards model he's building, how to account for voter behavior, and the early season question every NBA bettor faces: how much to react to a team's first ten games, how to tell a real change from noise, and how to read rookies and later picks who start hot.
The mailbag covers whether the link between defensive RAPM, height and assist rate is a real effect, Peanut's biggest betting mistake and how it changed his process, and political debate hypotheticals. The episode closes with What Grinds My Gears, from fourth down analytics to touts who reset every season, and the +EV Moves Of The Week. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Peanut, a pro sports bettor, for this episode of Off Script.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
๐ต Sign up with EDGE Boost - https://www.edgeboost.bet/guide?oid=553&affid=117
๐ JuiceReel picks - https://links.juicereel.com/friendRequest?redirectUri=anVpY2VyZWVsOi8vYWRkRnJpZW5kL1RoZUhhbW1lci85OWE0YTA2NDRiMDIyYzhjZmU2MDI0YTk2YWRiNWFhOS00N2NlZWEzZTg1YTdmOTFlOGQxN2JiYzhlZmRjZDlhMA%3D%3D
๐ Scale with Betstamp PRO โ https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW
LINKS
๐ฎ Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer
โ๏ธ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/
๐จ The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/
SOCIALS
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โฌ๏ธ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq
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FOLLOW
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๐ต Follow Peanut - https://x.com/peanut_bettor
OUR OTHER CHANNELS
๐จ https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ
SHOW INDEX
0:00 - Work In Progress Check
17:47 - Early-Season Overreactions
21:14 - Rookies And New Faces
26:10 - Mailbag: Answering Your Questions
37:04 - What Grinds My Gears
45:58 - +EV Moves Of The Week
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#NBABetting #NBAProps #PlayerProps #SportsBetting #OffScript
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Watch This Before You Start Betting NBA Same Game Parlays | Presented by ProphetX
mercredi 21 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 12:44
Most same game parlays lose because bettors stack two good legs that have nothing to do with each other. In this episode of Legendary Loopholes, full time NBA bettor Calvin breaks down the same game parlay that paid +4000 when some sportsbooks priced a rookie center's blocks and double double as if they were unrelated, and shows how to find correlation the market hasn't accounted for.
Calvin walks through the Portland Trail Blazers' Donovan Clingan, his foul trouble, and why four blocks means four contested shots with no foul, which means more minutes. He explains how some books simulated that correctly while others just added a tax, what he'd do differently today, including laddering the legs, and how to check whether a correlation is real before you bet it. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna.
๐ฅ Watch Calvin's full interview: https://youtu.be/x50poL3Uv-A
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
๐ Scale with Betstamp PRO โ https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW
LINKS
๐ฎ Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer
โ๏ธ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/
๐จ The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/
SOCIALS
๐ต Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ
โฌ๏ธ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq
๐ช Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/
FOLLOW
๐ต Follow Calvin - https://x.com/CalvinAndHobo
๐ต Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna
OUR OTHER CHANNELS
๐จ https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#SameGameParlay #SGP #NBABetting #SportsBetting #LegendaryLoopholes
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$513,333 Up in Smoke: Grandissimo Entry Misses Deadline | Circle Back | Presented by ProphetX
lundi 19 octobre 2026 โข Durรฉe 01:34:51
A Grandissimo entry worth an estimated $513,333 never got its Week 6 pick in, and the player says his proxy forgot to submit it. That left 14 entries chasing the $7.7 million winner-take-all prize, and then the Rams lost to the Cardinals and the Colts fell to the Titans, wiping out more than half of the Survivor field. Over 1,600 of 2,908 entries were gone in a single Sunday.
We also ask whether LA is a fraud, break down Cam Skattebo seeing zero touches after his fourth fumble, and dig into the NBA and sportsbooks agreeing to ban same-player under parlays, "first of" markets, and unders on low-minute players. Plus a bettor who says he got stiffed on a wager and a pick seller's bonus bet mix-up. Live with Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg.
๐ข Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF โ Trade $50, get $75: https://www.prophetx.co/
๐ New episodes of Circle Back every Monday, Interviews/Industry Insights/Standalone videos every Wednesday, and new episodes Off Script every Friday, all at 1:30 PM ET on their respective days
๐ต Sign up with EDGE Boost - https://www.edgeboost.bet/guide?oid=553&affid=117
๐ JuiceReel picks - https://links.juicereel.com/friendRequest?redirectUri=anVpY2VyZWVsOi8vYWRkRnJpZW5kL1RoZUhhbW1lci85OWE0YTA2NDRiMDIyYzhjZmU2MDI0YTk2YWRiNWFhOS00N2NlZWEzZTg1YTdmOTFlOGQxN2JiYzhlZmRjZDlhMA%3D%3D
๐ Scale with Betstamp PRO โ https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW
LINKS
๐ฎ Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer
โ๏ธ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/
๐จ The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/
SOCIALS
๐ต Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ
โฌ๏ธ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq
๐ช Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/
FOLLOW
๐ต Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna
๐ต Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola
๐ต Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg17
OUR OTHER CHANNELS
๐จ https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ
๐ https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ
SHOW INDEX
0:00 Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg
1:44 - Grandissimo Entry Misses Deadline
18:55 - Survivor Carnage and Rams Fraud Watch
32:18 - Skattebo Gets Zero Touches
41:17 - Bettor Says He Got Stiffed on a Wager
1:00:04 - NBA Bans Same-Player Under Parlays and "First Of" Bets
1:10:26 - Pick Seller and the Bonus Bet Mix-Up
1:17:01 - Chopping Block
Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions.
Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly.
#CircleBack #NFLSurvivor #Grandissimo #SurvivorPool #NFL #LARams #CamSkattebo #NBA #NBABetting #PlayerProps #SportsBetting #SportsBettingNews
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