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| Titre | Date | Durée | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Episode 79 - Who should buy Victor Osimhen? + How do City handle Haaland's Injury? | 02 Apr 2025 | 00:43:36 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss Erling Haaland's injury and how Manchester City and Pep Guardiola may try to deal with his absence. Then, strikers are in hot demand this summer, but why has Victor Osimhen seemingly dropped off the map? The guys take a look at potential landing spots for Osimhen and dive into why he might be worth the risk. Finally, RB Leipzig have sacked Marco Rose. What led to his sacking, which players might Leipzig lose this summer, and who is rumoured to be their next manager? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Erling Haaland Injured against Bournemouth
02:27 - City could really use Julian Alvarez
03:09 - Can Omar Marmoush fill Haaland's role?
05:44 - Who steps into Haaland's role? + Liam Delap
06:40 - Too many creators, not enough goal scorers for City?
08:07 - There's still hope for City
09:39 - City's attack outside of Haaland has been BAD
10:56 - Rodri masked their defensive issues
11:56 - City have never felt like a one striker team before
12:57 - Add City to the teams looking for a striker this summer?
13:27 - Should clubs be in for Victor Osimhen?
16:28 - Osimhen is relatively affordable now compared to other strikers
17:27 - Osimhen's physical ability sets him apart
18:26 - Which clubs would you like to see Osimhen at?
18:52 - Spurs, Inter Milan, and Juventus
20:43 - Newcastle as an Isak replacement?
22:58 - Marco Rose sacked by RB Leipzig
24:25 - Poor UCL performace was a big factor
25:15 - Leipzig have invested a LOT
26:08 - What caused Rose's poor performance?
28:22 - Leipzig's steep drop off
30:59 - How the Bundesliga has adjusted
32:13 - The quality of their players means this shouldn't happen
33:51 - They needed one more passer
35:36 - Oliver Glasner linked to the job
38:48 - Victor Boniface to Leipzig?
39:55 - Thoughts on Glasner as a candidate?
40:56 - Worth it to take this job, even if it's a pay cut? | |||
| Episode 78 - Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk replacement? + Chelsea vs. Spurs preview | 31 Mar 2025 | 00:54:50 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick look at 5 transfer rumours around the Premier League, including a potential Virgil van Dijk replacement. Which of these make sense and which are agents spouting nonsense? Then, we look ahead to the mid-week games, including a preview of Chelsea vs. Spurs. Enjoy!
Monday's newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/and-so-it-begins
The Dating episode of ManDown: https://youtu.be/IiiVvRX0478?feature=shared
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:22 - Hugo Larsson to Manchester City for £50M?
02:38 - A lower price?
04:09 - How does Pep play into these decisions?
05:26 - Passing as an attribute vs. age curve
06:15 - Jonathan David to Newcastle on a free?
07:27 - Manchester United an option? Or a non-EPL team?
08:10 - Barcelona rumours and David’s creative numbers
10:30 - Isak replacement?
10:52 - Darwin Nunez to Atletico Madrid for £60M?
11:37 - The right kind of coach for Nunez
12:27 - Luis Diaz, Mo Salah, and Trent
13:59 - Nunez as an Isak replacement as well?
14:36 - Enzo to Atleti?
16:59 - Aston Villa?
17:57 - Let Darwin be Darwin
18:39 - Jobe Bellingham to Brighton
20:12 - What will Jobe become?
22:09 - Is Germany a better league for him?
22:45 - The easy Dortmund link?
23:36 - Schlotterbeck to Liverpool for £60M
26:00 - Everything about this makes sense
27:20 - Liverpool’s rebuild + Don’t become Man United
28:04 - Does Schlotterbeck help you get MORE out of VVD?
29:19 - Chelsea vs. Spurs preview
30:58 - Stoppable force meets moveable object
32:24 - Brighton v Aston Villa
33:52 - Beef with Spurs?
35:42 - Wednesday lookahead
36:52 - B -Roll (ManDown, American accents, Coldplay, and Actors)
49:42 - C-roll (Sean Paul, Pitbull, FloRida, and Kate Blanchett)
52:54 - D-roll (findom and pay pigs) | |||
| Episode 69 - Is this Mo Salah's best EVER form? + Why Bayern are FRAUDS | 24 Feb 2025 | 00:43:26 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss Manchester City’s 2-0 loss to Liverpool over the weekend. How reliant are City on Haaland, is this Mo Salah’s best form EVER, and is it finally time to call Kevin De Bruyne washed? Then, the conversation switches to the race for the Champions League spots. Will City secure a spot, or will one of Chelsea, Forest, Newcastle, Bournemouth, or Aston Villa knock them out? Next, Bayern defeated 3rd place Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 over the weekend, but do they have weaknesses that may cost them in the Champions League? And finally, the Serie A title race is as close as ever. Who will be on top when the season ends? All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!
Kim's newsletter on Mo Salah and when great players become washed:
https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/how-long-can-mohamed-salah-stay-on-top
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Timestamps:
01:20 - Liverpool vs Manchester City 2-0
02:22 - City’s Issues with Haaland out
03:19 - City’s success hinges on Haaland’s fitness
04:09 - Liverpool’s passive press
06:43 - Arne Slot and the press
08:53 - Salah’s Best ever form? and Kim’s article on when players become washed
09:59 - Kevin De Bruyne might be past it
11:03 - How Liverpool are reliant on Salah
12:40 - How do Liverpool figure out Salah’s contract given his form and age?
14:26 - A whole right-sided rebuild is coming?
15:39 - Will City make the champions league next season + Top 5 predictions
18:00 - How european matches may impact the top 5 race
21:02 - Final spot predictions
21:44 - Bayern pummel Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 + Freiburg goal difference
24:25 - How good Bayern can be + Frankfurt's Marmoush replacement
25:25 - What are Bayern not good at?
27:13 - How teams can hurt Bayern in transition
30:41 - Bayern's draw in the UCL and their chances there
31:54 - Can Inter trouble Bayern in the next round?
33:42 - What’s going on with Leipzig?
35:56 - The difficulties of trying to switch styles of play
37:21 - The Serie A title race narrows
39:20 - Atalanta ahead of Napoli, but are Inter still the favorites?
41:36 - Inter vs Napoli next weekend
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| Episode 68 - Real Madrid Dismantle Man City + Atalanta's Lookman DRAMA | 20 Feb 2025 | 00:41:19 | |
On this episode, Hayden and Patrick discuss Kylian Mbappe and Real Madrid dismantling Manchester City, 3-1. What caused City’s defense to collapse, could this be a good thing for City, and have things finally clicked for Real Madrid? Next, Atalanta was shocked by Club Brugge in both legs and their manager had harsh comments for their star player after the game. Is Ademola Lookman’s time at Atalanta done after this season? Then, Italian teams struggled in the Champions League while Dutch clubs had great success. What caused this sudden deviation from expectations? And finally, the title race in La Liga is heating up with Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid separated by just one point. Who is in the best position to win the title? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:59 - Real Madrid Defeat Manchester City 3-1
02:28 - Mbappe was a mismatch
03:18 - Was it coaching or the players making mistakes?
05:09 - How Madrid got their goals
06:01 - Man City get a break now and Madrid REALLY needed this
07:47 - Have things clicked for Madrid?
09:36 - Atalanta lose to Club Brugge in both legs
11:53 - Tolio’s red card
12:22 - Lookman penalty situation + Gasperini’s response
14:33 - Lookman’s response and reactions
15:49 - Will Lookman leave in the summer?
17:35 - Potential landing spots for Lookman
19:58 - Italian clubs suffered while Dutch teams excelled
21:32 - PSV have been excellent for 18 months
22:54 - Why can’t Serie A clubs perform in the UCL + Juventus continue to be BORING
25:26 - Has Peter Bosz improved as a manager?
26:56 - PSV have let Ajax back into the Eredivisie title race
28:12 - Feyenoord will be a tough environment for visiting teams next round
29:46 - The La Liga title race
30:40 - Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico are in a stalemate
31:33 - Are Barcelona in the best position to win La Liga and will Real Madrid focus on the Champions League?
33:06 - Unsung heroes performing for Barca/Real Madrid
33:47 - Does signing players from the top end of the market mean they are able to solve problems better?
34:58 - Jude Bellingham’s ability to be better than the opponent when needed
36:32 - Messi is another problem solver
37:20 - Players Hayden worked with that surprised him with what they saw
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| Episode 67 - Arsenal's Striker solution + Why is Chelsea's defense terrible? | 17 Feb 2025 | 01:08:49 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Chelsea's woeful form and their 3-0 loss to Brighton this weekend. Then, the conversation switches to Manchester City and their revived attack. Is Ederson's long ball ability to Haaland and Marmoush the key to saving their season? Next, Arsenal seem to have found their Kai Havertz replacement, but it's not one you would expect. Is Mikel Merino the man for the job going forward? The episode ends with a woeful Tottenham vs. Manchester United game, an apology to Everton fans, and questioning if Liverpool fans should start to get a bit nervous after their last 2 games. Stay tuned to find out about a new venture that Ted and Patrick are planning to launch! Enjoy!
Kim's INEOS roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/tottenham-and-man-united-meet-in-the-disaster-bowl
The singles party Ted Mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIgUyFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpt1fCOH1LFRprRYsrkjme9YNvHf3jEzhHhjK6K_1gUJkMpCKrSINKTr7Qw_aem_rBiF6cicDe8OwUAqTsAoGg
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:48 - New host hires
00:01:39 - A damaging for months for Chelsea
00:03:08 - Sanchez finally out of goal
00:03:58 - Chalaba and Colwill
00:05:17 - Ederson vs Raya vs Sanchez distribution
00:07:08 - Is it a coaching issue? + Cucurella struggles
00:08:03 - Very high PPDA for Chelsea
00:09:51 - How Arsenal play out of possession + Wenger anecdote
00:12:47 - Nicolas Jackson out 6-8 weeks
00:13:28 - Marmoush, Haaland, and Ederson
00:15:27 - Haaland takes so much attention
00:17:33 - Newcastle vs. United
00:19:17 - Spurs games are FUN for neutrals
00:20:16 - United completed 2 dribbles and Zirkzee playing like Felliani
00:21:17 - Amorim has dealt with injuries, but United are BAD
00:22:35 - Ted’s preseason prediction
00:24:23 - Kim’s INEOS writeup
00:24:58 - Arsenal’s new number 9 + Raheem sterling seems DONE
00:27:32 - Mikel Merino slotting in as your center forward
00:28:42 - Merino = Land shark
00:30:18 - An apology tour for our Everton takes
00:30:46 - Same level of play, different results
00:32:36 - Will this run continue?
00:35:14 - Should Liverpool fans be concerned?
00:36:34 - Salah is playing great, but he will need some rest
00:37:36 - A tough run of games coming up
00:38:35 - Liverpool’s FA cup loss could help them rest
00:39:36 - Share your topic suggestions with us!
00:40:24 - Ted and Patrick’s new podcast
00:41:33 - Patrick’s thoughts on Another Round
00:43:45 - Ted’s TikTok inspired adventure
00:47:45 - Ted’s history
00:49:18 - No history of dating with smartphones or on apps
00:50:52 - Experimenting to optimize Ted’s profile
00:52:08 - Why Patrick is qualified to speak on this topic
00:54:25 - What the podcast will be about
00:55:22 - Pilates and Yoga are a great way for men to meet people
00:56:29 - Ted gets vulnerable and talks about himself
01:00:36 - Breaking up with someone, but breaking your own heart
01:03:28 - Doubling down to vulnerability after being avoidant
01:05:29 - Men love sports because they get to feel
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| STOP chasing the action! Pro Gambler's picks for EPL Matchday 25 - Variance Betting episode 11 | 14 Feb 2025 | 00:23:16 | |
Ted Knutson, a former professional gambler, shares his picks for every Premier League match this weekend and explains why you shouldn’t chase the action on weeks where the total bet number is small. He then goes over some of the reads he shared on social media earlier this week. Enjoy!
Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:16 - Bet105
02:28 - Brighton v Chelsea
04:04 - The best players are only worth so much to lines, even Messi and Ronaldo
04:43 - Leicester v Arsenal
06:24 - Fulham v Forest
06:55 - Southampton v Bournemouth
07:45 - Aston Villa v Ipswich
08:33 - Man City v Newcastle
11:08 - West Ham v Brentford
12:07 - Crystal Palace v Everton
13:14 - DON’T chase the action
14:23 - Liverpool v Wolves
15:00 - Tottenham v United
16:57 - Running totals and new bet size
17:56 - Ted’s recent reads on Plymouth and AC Milan
21:11 - More about The Transfer Flow
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| Episode 66 - Arsenal's Kai Havertz PROBLEM + Real Madrid STUN Man City | 12 Feb 2025 | 00:44:18 | |
On today's episode, Patrick is joined by Neel Shelat to discuss all things Champions League from Tuesday's slate of games. They start with the big one, Real Madrid's 3-2 victory over Manchester City. Where were the new transfers, what went wrong for both teams, and can City bounce back in the 2nd leg? After discussing the other games from Tuesday, the conversation switches to the Saudi Pro league and the market opportunities for smart teams. Should more European clubs be trying to get players BACK from Saudi? The episode ends with Kai Havertz' season ending injury. Should Arsenal have made a move in January? Enjoy!
Neel's article on Man City's huge January window: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/manchester-city-spent-180m-planning-for-the-future
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Neel’s Manchester City transfer article
03:17 - Marmoush is the biggest impact for this season
04:35 - These transfers were meant to rejuvenate an aging squad
05:16 - The transfers did not play early
05:53 - The start of the game + Real Madrid’s initial plan
07:29 - City should have taken more advantage of Madrid’s poor start
07:49 - City have forgotten how to close out games
09:48 - The pressing in this game was staggeringly incompetent
10:35 - Bellingham grew as the game went on
11:18 - Their 2020 matchup and the similarities between the games
12:42 - City’s intensity dropped in the second half
14:49 - The threat of Vinicius vs. De Bruyne
15:42 - Will City become more of a transition side with Marmoush?
17:28 - City must score early in the 2nd leg
18:28 - Quick roundup of Tuesday’s UCL games
18:55 - Juventus vs. PSV
21:33 - Dortmund vs Sporting + the transition to Kovac
24:42 - Opportunities for teams in the Saudi Pro League
25:46 - How many foreign players in the Saudi Pro League?
26:58 - Teams are maxed out - No more huge market movement
27:48 - Fofana example + the opportunity to get players to improve European teams
28:49 - Teams have to be careful with wages
31:08 - Players now have to be careful about getting replaced in a few years time
32:29 - The difference between Saudi and the Chinese Super League
35:16 - Kai Havertz out for the season for Arsenal
36:04 - The timing of moves matters
37:31 - Rotating players to avoid injuries during long seasons
39:06 - Arsenal have ran their stars into the ground
39:45 - Options to replace Havertz + players returning from injury for Arsenal
40:42 - Arteta needs to think about his 13/14 key player rotation + Using Arsenal’s great academy
42:16 - The amount of games are not going to go down ($$$$$$)
42:55 - Where to find Neel
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| Episode 65 - Predicting EVERY Champions League Knockout matchup | 10 Feb 2025 | 01:00:26 | |
On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick breakdown every match in the Knockout phase of the Champions League. They start with the biggest match of the round, Real Madrid vs. Manchester City. Both teams have clear weaknesses, but who will be able to take advantage of them the most? Then they get into Ousmane Dembele, is he the best player in the world right now? Stay tuned to see the hosts live reaction to Feyenoord sacking Brian Priske, underrated matches to watch this round, and some stories from Ted. The episode ends with predictions for EVERY matchup and some behind the scenes footage. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Nicolas Cage is a Coppola?
00:54 - Champions League Playoffs
01:31 - Real Madrid v Man City
02:25 - City are a coin flip and Pep vs Ancelotti
04:57 - How both teams will approach this game
05:53 - Ederson is the best long-ball goalkeeper in the world
07:38 - Madrid can’t press, but their ability to play out from pressure is elite
08:28 - Madrid Derby reactions
09:45 - Dani Ceballos is Madrid’s best player at the moment
11:25 - Patrick vs Rodri, who wins right now?
12:04 - Real Madrid have the worst defensive record in the UCL, why did they make no moves?
15:36 - But surely Real Madrid could have done SOMETHING?
17:10 - Football nepotism = Genepotism
18:24 - Brest vs PSG + Dembele is the form player in the world right now
19:26 - Dembele’s positional change
20:40 - How his ability to use both feet impacts defenders
21:22 - The drastic xG difference
24:55 - Juventus vs PSV
26:16 - Sporting v Dortmund
27:21 - One to watch for potential summer transfers
28:56 - Brugge v Atalanta
29:46 - Atalanta play a very unique style
30:34 - How is Gasperini doing this?
31:36 - The oddities of Italian coaches + a story from Ted
32:52 - Celtic v Bayern Munich
35:21 - Do Celtic have it in them?
36:11 - Feyenoord v AC Milan
37:42 - Milan’s season is becoming more and more unhinged
38:50 - Zlatan not being a bit, he’s just weird
40:01 - Should be a fun contest between managers?
41:27 - Breaking news - Priske sacked mid recording + Reactions
43:32 - Monaco v Benfica is sneaky fun
44:41 - Can Benfica replicate their form?
46:41 - A ton of young, exciting players in this game
49:22 - Predictions for EVERY matchup
51:53 - Behind the scenes - Andre 3000, Australians, and a cliffhanger from Ted
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| Episode 64 - City's UNUSUAL Rodri Replacement + BIG moves around Europe | Ep. 64 | 06 Feb 2025 | 00:46:41 | |
On today’s episode, Patrick is joined by José C. Pérez to discuss the end of the transfer window. They start with Man City’s spending spree this January and the addition of Nico Gonzalez. Is he their Rodri replacement? The conversation moves to Aston Villa, where the guys try to make sense of their additions. How will Unai Emery use his new firepower? Next, Arsenal and Liverpool both made no moves, but does this mean the Gunners are throwing in the towel? Then comes La Liga, whose teams spent far less this window than the other big leagues. Real Madrid also made no moves, despite a squad that needs upgrades. Is it a sign of things to come across Europe, or is it only due to their financial regulations? The episode finishes with discussion of AC Milan’s moves this window, including Joao Felix, and Como and Rennais both making a TON of moves. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:37 - Man City have spent BIG this window
02:14 - Have City neglected their needs for a while?
04:43 - City’s press has rapidly declined
06:22 - An aging squad + Rodri’s injury
07:56 - Nico Gonzalez history and escaping Barcelona’s grasp
09:18 - City need a more positional version of Gonzalez
10:42 - Physicality and similarities to Rodri
13:27 - Jose’s thoughts on Aston Villa’s window
16:43 - Similarities between Rashford and Malen
17:59 - Asensio’s quality, but do they have enough defensive presence?
19:36 - Why did Liverpool and Arsenal make no moves?
21:24 - Are Arsenal throwing in the towel?
22:46 - Why did La Liga make so few moves?
25:03 - Why are Real Madrid making no moves if they have the money?
27:17 - Why are Madrid averse to spending on defenders?
27:51 - A historic spending spree coming?
30:22 - Serie A went MAD
30:47 - Conceicao and AC Milan’s window
31:51 - How does Joao Felix fit in?
33:05 - Kyle Walker as a conventional RB?
34:33 - Does the Santiago Gimenez make sense?
36:52 - What will Conceicao’s style look like?
37:51 - Como and Rennes make a TON of moves
40:21 - A mix of reloading on talent and trying to win now?
42:09 - Should they have done fewer transfers, given how hard it is to interchange squads?
44:28 - Where can people find Jose?
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| Episode 63 - Villa are paying Rashford HOW MUCH? + Kids SAVED Arsenal's season | 03 Feb 2025 | 00:54:34 | |
On today’s episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Arsenal’s 5-1 victory over Manchester City. Have Arsenal’s academy kids saved their season? Then comes Aston Villa, who have acquired Marcus Rashford and Marco Asensio on loan. Why have they agreed to pay the rumoured 75% of Rashford’s wages? Next, Tottenham’s search for defenders and the loan addition of Mathys Tel from Bayern Munich. Why would spurs agree to a loan deal if it only helps Bayern? The episode ends with discussion of Evan Ferguson’s loan move to West Ham, Brighton stockpiling assets, and the atmosphere at the Arsenal/Man City game. Stick around for behind the scenes footage with discussion of Japanese game shows, Natalie Portman, and Kumail Nanjiani.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:50 - Arsenal thrash Man City
03:14 - Teams are teeing off on the City press this year
05:03 - Lewis-Skelly and the Arsenal kids SAVED their season
06:08 - Nwaneri and Lewis-Skelly don’t look like kids
07:03 - How good Academy players influence the rest of the squad
08:09 - They’re mentally ahead of the curve
09:55 - Not every youngster is capable of this
10:33 - Will Lewis-Skelly stay at left-back?
12:36 - Arsenal are in win now mode
15:27 - Marcus Rashford and Asensio to Aston Villa
16:49 - Why are they paying 75% of Rashford wages?
17:37 - Villa are focusing on the Champions League
18:55 - Villa love a big name from a big club
20:24 - Tottenham’s search for defenders
20:36 - Palace turns down 70M for Guehi? And Brighton turned down 90M for Mitoma?
22:40 - Spurs sign Tel on a straight loan… WHY?
24:02 - Spurs sign Kevin Danso as well, is he a backup?
26:20 - Will Spurs try a back 3? + Back 3’s this season
28:28 - Brighton and Fabian Hurzeler
29:27 - Teams can save themselves money by having design
30:00 - Brighton let Evan Ferguson join West Ham on loan
30:42 - What would you want Ferguson’s buy option to be here?
33:01 - He’s going to a coach who knows him
34:10 - What would Brighton hope to get for him in the summer?
36:24 - Brighton are stockpiling forwards
38:03 - Brighton have everything in place, but Hurzeler might not be the coach for the job
38:41 - City fans complaining about the Arsenal atmosphere
39:47 - It’s part of wearing the crown
40:19 - The Arsenal/Man City games have become a real rivalry
42:48 - PSG have ruined their rivalry with Marseille
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| Bournemouth are for REAL + Premier League Matchday 24 best bets! | Variance Betting Ep. 10 | 31 Jan 2025 | 00:22:18 | |
Ted Knutson, former professional gambler, shares his picks for EPL Matchday 24. He shares why he's taking Bournemouth over Liverpool, betting on Ipswich, and staying away from Arsenal v Man City.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:40 - Find the best Prices at Bet105
01:40 - The BEST Super Bowl promo
02:22 - Forest v Brighton
04:31 - Bournemouth v Liverpool
07:23 - Newcastle v Fulham
09:02 - Everton v Leicester
10:46 - Ipswich v Southampton
12:19 - Wolves v Aston Villa
14:36 - United v Crystal Palace
15:00 - Brentford v Tottenham
16:23 - Arsenal v Manchester City
18:43 - Chelsea v West Ham
20:19 - How much Ted has in play this weekend
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. | |||
| Episode 62 - Transfer Rumours: Garnacho to Chelsea + Brian Brobbey to WEST HAM? | 29 Jan 2025 | 00:43:43 | |
On this episode, Patick is joined by Hayden Van Brewer to discuss the latest transfer rumours around Europe. They start with Garnacho leaving Manchester United and look at the best potential landing spots. Does he fit in better at Chelsea, or should Napoli make a serious run at him? Next comes Brian Brobbey, who has been linked with West Ham this January. Does he fit in well with Graham Potters system and what skillset would he bring? The conversation turns to Victor Boniface, who has an offer from Saudi side Al Nassr. Could he make a difference on a top European team instead? We finish up with Rayan Cherki being linked to Newcastle and Albert Gronbaek's move to Southampton. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:11 - Garnacho appears DONE at Manchester United
02:33 - Clubs interested in Garnacho
04:11 - How he fits at Chelsea
05:20 - Whats a better fit, Chelsea or Napoli?
07:09 - The creativity at Chelsea suits Garnacho
08:01 - What about his defensive side?
09:26 - Garnacho is still only 21 + Amorim’s system needs money
11:16 - Brian Brobbey linked with West Ham
12:06 - Brobbey is a physical specimen + his skillset
13:39 - A replacement for Antonio?
14:53 - Would he fit in with Graham Potter?
16:51 - Why did he not work at Leipzig?
18:36 - Victor Boniface linked with Saudi
19:49 - Boniface could be a difference maker for a Europa/Champions League side
21:15 - Is the market wary of players with injury history?
23:41 - How do pro teams look at a players trends and injury concerns?
26:45 - Rashford linked to Barcelona, but he has lots of miles on his legs
27:33 - We’ve talked about this with Kobie Mainoo
28:20 - Is there a market opportunity? Or are older players too risky?
30:35 - Looking where others aren’t gives you the most chance to find an edge
32:01 - Rayan Cherki on the Market, linked with Newcastle
33:22 - Could Newcastle convert him like Joelinton?
34:36 - His skillset would help Newcastle unlock defenses
35:32 - Too much of a weakness in the press?
37:11 - A good partner for Aleksander Isak
37:40 - What club would suit Cherki the best?
39:35 - Albert Gronbaek to Southampton
40:30 - Gronbaek’s skillset
41:51 - The dutchification of The Transfer Flow
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. | |||
| Episode 77 - BETTER targets than Nico Williams and Zubimendi + 2 UNDERRATED CBs | 26 Mar 2025 | 00:59:32 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Neel discuss 2 Center backs that you MUST keep an eye on going forward. Dean Huijsen and Iñigo Martinez. The players are very different in age and profile, but are both having outstanding seasons. Then, the conversation switches to the transfer rumour mill. Nico Williams and Martin Zubimendi will be highly sought after in the summer, but are Antoine Semenyo and Ederson better options for teams? Enjoy!
Kim's Juventus newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/juventus-fired-thiago-motta-for-being-himself
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:51 - Dean Huijsen player profile and history
04:43 - Time at Juve + What are Juventus even doing
06:45 - Huijsen is only 19 with so much time to develop
08:07 - Potential weaknesses with his passing?
09:42 - His ability and level in the EPL at his age is incredible
12:03 - Even if he doesn't develop more he's at a good level
14:11 - He's 6'5, but bad in the air?
16:45 - Is Real Madrid the team for him? OR someone else?
20:11 - Has Iñigo Martínez been overlooked?
21:03 - Cubarsi gets all the praise
22:01 - Martinez' passing ability
22:44 - Barcelona's high line and the challenges it brings defenders
25:32 - Barcelona got more than they expected from Martinez
29:10 - Barcelona have exceeded squad expectations as whole, especially when factoring in injury
30:30 - Teams interested in Martin Zubimendi
31:13 - Could Ederson be a better options for teams?
32:42 - Ederson vs Zubimendi skillset
35:01 - Ederson has changed this season, what role would he play for Arsenal or Liverpool?
38:03 - When Zubimendi would be the better option for Arsenal
39:05 - How Ederson fits in
41:03 - Price and age comparison
41:27 - A more free role at Liverpool?
44:12 - Manchester United an option?
45:54 - Nico Williams linked to Arsenal and Barcelona
47:30 - Hard to separate Williams' stats from team effects
48:37 - Shots created off take-ons
49:39 - Is Antoine Semenyo a cheaper option?
51:12 - Semenyo can use both feet equally
51:58 - How much would Semenyo cost?
53:22 - In terms of minutes played, Semenyo and Williams are very similar
54:51 - A more sure bet than Williams?
55:45 - Nico Williams will cost a FORTUNE in wages
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| Episode 61 - Marmoush looks PERFECT for Man City + Arsenal & Man United rumours | 27 Jan 2025 | 00:51:22 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester City's 3-1 win over Chelsea this weekend. Khusanov struggled, Marmoush excelled, and Robert Sanchez needs to be replaced. The conversation turns to who will finish the Champions League spots. Can Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Forest overtake City and Chelsea, or will the giants regain their form? To round out the episode Patrick and Ted take a look at some transfer rumours. They start with Patrick Dorgu being linked to United, how he fits, and what his price should be. Then, 18-year-old Sverre Nypan has interest from many clubs. Is a move to Arsenal in the cards, or could he prefer a lower league before making the jump to the EPL? Make sure to stay tuned until the end of the episode for a behind the scenes look at Sir Alex Ferguson stories, Ted's invite to a Party, and Billy Beane.
Tickets for the party Ted mentions: https://zalevska.webflow.io/korporatyv-eng?fbclid=PAY2xjawIEdFpleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABpop_xpK7gZiFyk8r-GL6W8n5Y_LZ3Q48xOv1TUyL7ZqeWPEp0htiwhz2Uw_aem_jG_OuTl6kQHs3Yp94__tJw
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:07 - Man City v Chelsea + Khusanov’s rough start
02:33 - Haaland’s creation during the game
03:10 - Gvardiol and a continuing theme for Pep
04:16 - Marmoush fit in instantly
06:00 - 2 teams who want to play with control, but neither had it
06:37 - What does this performance mean for Chelsea?
07:53 - Sanchez has the yips
08:36 - A change at keeper is surely coming
10:02 - Maresca has Chelsea playing to the level of their talent
11:31 - The importance of asking questions in football
13:01 - 2 instances where Ted called out bad transfers
15:06 - GM’s and DoF’s should be in the media regularly
16:09 - The race for Champions League spots in the Premier League
16:45 - Ted disagrees with Patrick
17:20 - Bournemouth's form despite an injury crisis
17:52 - Are Forest in trouble?
18:37 - Can Bournemouth add any players?
19:44 - City still have problems defensively and with the press
20:56 - Can city rebuild their press?
22:47 - So who makes it into the top 5?
23:59 - Who falls out of the CL spots?
25:07 - The second team out?
26:37 - Newcastle are the most fragile of the contenders
27:56 - Everything but the title race should be interesting to follow
28:35 - Patrick Dorgu to United?
29:25 - How much is he worth?
30:03 - He has traits to succeed in the EPL and at United
30:42 - He sometimes is able to coast, which hurts him
32:02 - He fits into a tough position at United
33:39 - Should they buy back Alvara Carreras instead?
34:39 - It looks like Garnacho will be gone eventually
35:12 - Sverre Nypan rumours
36:10 - Other Norwegian youngsters
37:05 - Nypan’s skillset + Does a weak league hurt him?
38:22 - What’s a comfortable price?
39:15 - Arsenal’s history of developing young talent
41:43 - The Premier League is back to attracting the best young talent
42:46 - Trying out new hosts!
44:27 - Behind the scenes footage (Sir Alex Ferguson story, Ted’s party invite for everyone, and Billy Beane?)
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. | |||
| How I Won $3,200 Last Week + EPL Matchday 23 picks REVEALED! | Variance Betting Ep. 9 | 24 Jan 2025 | 00:28:53 | |
On episode 9 of Variance Betting, Ted goes over his big results from last week, gives a crash course on discount bookies and Asian Handicaps, and shares his bets for Premier League Matchday 23!
Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c
More info on Asian Handicap betting: https://www.betshoot.com/betting-guides/asian-handicap-betting/
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:10 - Running totals, last weeks recap, and updated bet size
04:29 - New courses coming this summer
05:13 - Why we prefer Discount Bookies + Bet105 promo
08:38 - Why Asian handicap betting?
12:00 - What is Variance Betting?
14:13 - Liverpool v Ipswich
15:34 - Wolves v Arsenal
16:41 - Brighton v Everton
18:17 - Southampton v Newcastle
18:54 - Bournemouth v Forest
19:45 - City v Chelsea
21:58 - Tottenham v Leicester
22:59 - Crystal Palace v Brentford
24:27 - Aston Villa v West Ham
25:47 - Fulham v United
26:45 - Total bets this week
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| Episode 60 - Barca's INSANE 5-4 comeback, PSG and Man City BOTH need points, and Yoane Wissa linked with Forest? | 22 Jan 2025 | 00:42:54 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick roundup Champions League matchday 7 and preview the Wednesday night games. They start with Barcelona's 5-4 comeback over Benfica which featured featured a ton of chaos. The conversation turns to Atletico Madrid's 2-1 win over Bayer Leverkusen and why Julian Alvarez is such a good fit for Atletico. Next comes Bologna's 2-1 upset over Dortmund. Nuri Sahin was sacked, but can the next manager solve Dortmund's problems? In the transfer mill, Yoane Wissa has been linked to Nottingham Forest, but will Brentford sell the 28-year-old? , Ted and Patrick share their thoughts on the huge game between Manchester City and PSG tonight. Both teams are in the danger zone, but can one of them earn a much needed victory? The episode closes with Ted's bets for Wednesday's games, our search for a new host, and 18 simultaneous games next week. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:27 - The chaos of Benfica v Barcelona + Szczęsny tackle
02:56 - Pavlidis hat-trick + Barca’s high line
03:53 - Club Brugge v Juventus bore fest
05:35 - It’s difficult to play this Barca team for the first time
06:11 - Was Raphinha’s goal intentional or an accident?
07:40 - Benfica penalty shouts then Barca’s winning goal in the final minute
09:21 - Pavlidis as a potential transfer target
09:48 - Atletico Madrid v Leverkusen
10:52 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting
12:49 - Atletico’s unusual defensive style
13:58 - Alvarez is a perfect fit for Atletico + Griezmann story
15:38 - The winning goal
16:42 - Wissam Ben Yedder and tiny, square players
17:24 - The most interesting thing about Atletico this season
18:12 - Bologna v Dortmund and Nuri Sahin sacking
18:58 - Guirassy panenka penalty
19:45 - Dortmund can’t get out of their own way
20:58 - Roger Schmidt as next Dortmund manager?
21:30 - Would Andoni Iraola make sense?
22:38 - Yoane Wissa linked to Nottingham Forest
24:10 - Wissa’s skillset
24:54 - What should the price be?
26:27 - What would his role be at Forest?
28:51 - Patrick’s love for Thomas Frank
29:37 - PSG vs Man City
30:23 - PSG have struggled against physicality
31:37 - Weaknesses with City
32:51 - PSG have been what the critics say they are
33:33 - Can PSG’s runners trouble City?
34:19 - Marquinhos’ importance to City
35:08 - Real Madrid v Salzburg and Feyenoord v Bayern Munich
35:59 - Clash of styles between Inter Milan and Sparta Prague
36:20 - Arsenal can lock up top 8 vs. Dinamo Zagreb
37:36 - The gap from 26th to 27th may save one of PSG and City
38:07 - 18 games at the same time next week
39:19 - Help us find a Co-host!
40:50 - Subscribe to Variance Betting to increase Ted’s base bet size
#championsleague #barcelona #psg #manchestercity #brentford #nottinghamforest #football #soccer #realmadrid #transfernews #football #soccer #raphinha
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| Episode 59 - Finding Arsenal a Striker + The BEST club for Rayan Cherki? | 20 Jan 2025 | 00:55:03 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the many strikers that have been linked to Arsenal. Is the answer Victor Osimhen, Benjamin Sesko, or someone else? Next, Erling Haaland signed an extension with Manchester City until 2034. Why did both City and Haaland choose to get this deal done? Then comes Romain Esse's move to Crystal Palace. Have Palace gotten enough credit for their recent decision making? The conversation moves to Rayan Cherki, with the hosts trying to find the best league and team for the talented, but hard to work with, Frenchman. The episode ends with discussion of the weekends Premier League games, Liverpool stepping on the gas, and how Manchester United fans should feel. Stick around to see Patrick and Ted discuss Ralph Lauren, Coco Channel, and just how hot Olivier Giroud is.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:56 - Strikers linked to Arsenal
02:38 - What Arsenal need and don’t need
04:58 - The type of player that fits their squad
06:01 - Does Victor Osimhen make sense?
07:22 - Why Osimhen is still at Napoli + what will they do with him
08:54 - What is a good price for Osimhen?
10:43 - Negatives with Osmihen?
12:09 - What about Benjamin Sesko?
14:42 - Lower shot volume since moving to Germany a worry?
15:51 - Is targeting pre-peak players a risk?
19:10 - Erling Haaland’s big extension with Man City
20:24 - City’s perspective for making this happen
22:46 - Perspective from Haaland’s side
24:59 - Could this hurt City in the long run?
26:44 - If Barcelona did this with Messi
27:45 - Champagne and Oysters for Fulham
28:28 - Ted and Patrick’s train beer preferences
30:09 - Romain Esse to Crystal Palace
31:30 - A good bet for the future
32:38 - Tottenham and Archie Gray
33:33 - Do Palace get enough credit?
34:42 - Glasner’s potential to be a top coach
36:53 - Rayan Cherki available to leave Lyon
37:35 - A talented but difficult to work with footballer
39:41 - He’s the type of player you dream for as a fan
40:47 - He needs to be on a team that can keep him focused
41:31 - The best league and team for him
43:04 - What club will make the next coaching move?
43:58 - Liverpool have stepped on the gas
46:08 - How good Virgil Van Dijk and Konate are
46:34 - The champions league race + how United fans should feel
48:32 - Behind the scenes (is Giroud hot, double denim, and Coco Channel)
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| Betting £1 on the EPL for EVERY subscriber I have - Variance Betting Episode 8 | 17 Jan 2025 | 00:22:14 | |
On the 8th episode of Variance Betting, Ted goes over how his bets have fared at the mid-way point of the season, gives you a way to get better prices on your bets, and goes over his EPL Matchday 22 picks.
Get better prices on Bet105: https://btone.servclick1move.com/?mid=248446_1462437&utm_source=www.thetransferflow.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=variance-betting-17-jan-2025&_bhlid=379169a1e683fa1a289c2ed91425b14a56c4246c
Ted's mid-season Variance Betting roundup: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:33 - Why we paused
01:27 - Where to get better prices on your bets
03:24 - Why do you care?
04:44 - Ted’s results so far
06:08 - Betting £1 for every Variance Betting subscriber
07:13 - EPL matchday 22 picks
07:16 - Newcastle v Bournemouth
08:29 - Leicester v Fulham
09:45 - West Ham v Crystal Palace
10:43 - Brentford v Liverpool
11:39 - Arsenal v Aston Villa
13:48 - Everton v Tottenham
15:11 - Nottingham Forest v Southampton
16:21 - United v Brighton
17:05 - Ipswich v Man City
18:15 - Chelsea v Wolves
20:11- Join Variance Betting for more betting related content
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| Episode 58 - Arsenal don't need Zubimendi + Would Real Madrid be BETTER without Mbappe? | 16 Jan 2025 | 00:54:28 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Arsenal closing in on signing Martin Zubimendi. How does he fit, do they need him, and will signing him cost them a player in the future? Next comes Barcelona’s 5-2 thrashing of Real Madrid. What caused Real Madrid issues in the game, would they be better off if they didn’t sign Mbappe, and can Vinicius Jr. and Mbappe have a good game at the same time? The episode ends by touching on Nkunku being linked to Bayern Munich and Loic Bade getting interest from Aston Villa. This is Ravi’s last episode with us, show him some love in the comments!
How to get a job in Football podcast: https://youtu.be/nI_qZHXA1eI
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:27 - Ravi announcement
01:19 - Arsenal close to signing Zubimendi
01:57 - Is this the player Arsenal need most?
03:41 - Too many defensive midfielders?
04:46 - Freed up wages, but what is the plan?
05:33 - Did the key in on Zubimendi too hard?
06:49 - Will they miss out on someone because of this transfer?
07:45 - Who is the player that sits?
09:53 - Are they building too hard into one style even if they get Nico Williams?
12:06 - Would Williams and Saka open up enough space?
13:55 - How the finances work
15:36 - What if they don’t get their ideal targets?
16:43 - Opportunity costs
17:17 - Barcelona thrash Real Madrid
18:35 - Multiple Madrid issues in this game
20:26 - Stats that can be misleading
21:24 - Should Ascensio have started?
22:31 - Real Madrid need immediate solutions
23:59 - Which of their attackers will sit?
24:54 - How easily Barca scored some of their goals
26:56 - Madrid turned Bellingham into a more of an attacker
28:23 - Pass accuracy against both Barcelona and Real Madrid
29:35 - Hansi Flick’s coaching job
30:18 - What if Madrid didn’t add Mbappe in the Summer?
31:30 - Can both Vinicius and Mbappe have a good game at the same time?
33:32 - Would a different coach be better for them?
34:43 - Xabi Alonso rumoured, but does the squad fit?
35:16 - What will make Real Madrid make a change
37:18 - Nkunku leaving Chelsea for Bayern Munich?
39:47 - Being able to cover for Musiala
41:27 - What should the price be?
42:22 - Chelsea cannot set the price too high
43:28 - Loic Bade linked with Aston Villa
46:17 - Concern from moving from La Liga to the Premier League
49:14 - Aston Villa have been busy
51:09 - Goodbye to Ravi
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| Episode 57 - HUGE Man City shakeup, Kvara on the move, and Man United's fire sale | 13 Jan 2025 | 00:40:25 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s move from Napoli, potential suitors, and how much he should cost. Next, Manchester United are having a fire sale, but will anyone be interested in the players they are offering? Then, Manchester City are close to completing a few deals, but are they overspending? And how will Pep Guardiola be able fit Omar Marmoush into the squad? The episode ends with Everton firing Sean Dyche (and their fans getting mad at Ted) and a potential move for Kyle Walker to AC Milan? Enjoy!
Ted's Friday Variance Betting Column: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-update-on-variance-betting
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:18 - Khvicha Kvaratskhelia set to leave Napoli
02:37 - Napoli need to sell him for budget reasons
03:48 - Liverpool, United, and PSG are alleged suitors
04:57 - Why would PSG be interested?
06:46 - Could Ligue 1 be a draw for Kvara?
07:16 - Kvara vs. Barcola
08:54 - The problem with Kvara’s shots
10:27 - His shot map + worse radar from last season
11:12 - A Garnacho replacement for United?
13:02 - Atletico Madrid’s form
14:30 - Manchester United’s fire sale
15:14 - Kobbie Mainoo’s fan perception + United’s incompetence
17:52 - How would you price Mainoo and Garnacho?
19:08 - What to do with Mainoo
20:46 - Amorim and United are in damage limitation mode
21:35 - What makes sense for Garnacho?
25:30 - Man City getting closer to a few deals for BIG money
26:43 - Should City fans temper expectations for Marmoush?
27:34 - Why does he have a low dribble rate?
28:15 - Marmoush radar + shot map and what they tell us
29:21 - How does Pep fit him in?
30:32 - Everton fans are mad at Ted
31:15 - Sean Dyche did one of the best managerial jobs this season?
32:49 - He changed his style to keep Everton up
34:55 - Kyle Walker to AC Milan?
36:50 - Variance Betting information
38:04 - Behind the scenes
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| Episode 56 - Randal Kolo Muani's next move, 2 NEW Arsenal targets, and West Ham turmoil | 08 Jan 2025 | 00:55:33 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Randal Kolo Muani's move from PSG, teams that he's linked to, and what his best fit would be. Then comes West Ham, who have a rift between manager Julen Lopetegui and sporting director Tim Steidten. Can it be fixed, or is the situation too far gone? The episode ends with a look at two new options for the Arsenal attack, Kang-in Lee and Mikkel Damsgaard. Which player is the best option for Arsenal, how much will they cost, and will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the summer? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:41 - Randall Kolo Muani is on the market
04:06 - Kolo Muani as a player
05:58 - What are the questions with him?
07:34 - How Kolo Muani’s age impacts what teams will get from him
09:36 - Comparison to Nicolas Jackson
12:06 - Kolo Muani’s best fit
13:27 - Do Arsenal, United or Spurs make sense?
14:28 - A Timo Werner replacement for Spurs?
16:17 - A rift at West Ham
17:41 - Julen Lopetegui and Tim Steidten drama
19:21 - West Ham’s Summer window
20:34 - How does this rift between manager and Sporting Director impact the club?
22:44 - Is a Lopetegui sacking inevitable?
24:03 - Did Moyes keep West Ham together?
25:02 - 2 new targets for Arsenal
25:36 - Kang-in Lee’s history
26:49 - How Lee’s role has changed at PSG
28:18 - What’s his best position?
29:50 - Would he be worth the price?
32:15 - Will Arsenal just wait for Nico Williams in the Summer?
33:28 - The value of a young player who has played multiple roles
36:05 - Mikkel Damsgaard’s history
36:49 - Damsgaard’s skillset
38:02 - He makes sense as a backup
38:56 - Low pass success rate, but high chances created
39:57 - Comparing Lee and Damsgaard
41:32 - Arsenal do not dribble much, but how does Nico Williams fit in?
43:13 - Arsenal run a NBA half-court offense
44:52 - The differences between Liverpool and Arsenal
46:36 - Arteta will have to “open the playbook” for Williams
48:30 - Do Arsenal need a more diverse attacking profile?
49:14 - The constant push and pull of sporting directors and managers
50:22 - Bob Voulgaris’ strategy for Castellon
52:26 - Different philosophies to combat variance
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| Episode 55 - Who will spend BIG on Omar Marmoush + 3 more potential transfers | 06 Jan 2025 | 00:54:46 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Frankfurt forward Omar Marmoush. Who will sign him, how much will it cost, and what is his best fit? Then, Donyell Malen has been linked with Aston villa, but are there better teams for him to sign with? Next comes City, who have been linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov. Is he their Kyle Walker replacement? After City, Ted goes in-depth on the state of pricing in football, who benefits and suffers, and how owners can handle it differently. The episode ends with discussion of Liverpool v. United, Crystal Palace v Chelsea,Southampton v Brighton. Stay till the end for an easter egg, plus Patrick teaching us how to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:00 - Omar Marmoush linked with multiple teams
02:37 - Marmoush’s history and skillset
05:23 - Does he make sense for Liverpool?
06:16 - What does he excel at?
09:24 - Marmoush’s fit at Arsenal, City and United
13:05 - What price for him?
14:39 - Villa linked with Donyell Malen
15:30 - Malen’s traits
17:12 - The rumoured fee
18:05 - His career numbers + time at Arsenal
19:25 - More fun destinations for Malen
20:00 - City linked with 20-year-old CB Abdulkadir Khosanov
21:20 - Kyle walker replacement?
22:27 - Is Benfica’s Antonio Silva the long-term replacement?
23:23 - How do city approach the window?
24:10 - City’s last few games
26:14 - We don’t know what teams should be pricing players at right now
28:21 - We’re already seeing prices come down from their peaks
29:16 - Who benefits and suffers from this?
32:33 - How do owners handle this?
36:05 - Will we see teams start to sell aggressively?
36:48 - Ben Doak linked with Palace and Ipswich
38:22 - Should Liverpool sell him?
39:53 - What should the price be if they do sell?
41:04 - Liverpool vs. Man United Thoughts
43:56 - United have a lot of mismatched toys right now
44:28 - Brentford's 5-0 win over Southampton
45:16 - Brentford tried to maximize transition opportunities
46:08 - Chelsea draw Crystal Palace, 1-1
47:02 - Chelsea controlled the game pretty well
48:13 - Chelsea’s Sanchez problem
50:03 - Arsenal were pretty poor over the weekend
51:11 - Ted’s easter egg for those who stick around
52:40 - B-roll (Trying to pronounce Abdulkadir Khosanov)
#premierleague #transfernews #liverpool #manchestercity #arsenal #manchesterunited #chelsea
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| Episode 54 - How do Arsenal replace Saka? + Barcelona FUMBLE Dani Olmo | 03 Jan 2025 | 00:59:26 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss what Arsenal best course of action after Bukayo Saka's injury. Can they replace him, who are their best options, and is the replacement already in the squad? Next, they move to Barcelona failing to register Dani Olmo. Can Barca fix this issue, or will Olmo leave the squad? Along the way they discuss Virgil Van Dijk and Mo Salah's extensions, Marcus Thuram replacing Darwin Nunez, and Joshua Zirkzee's struggles. Lastly, Nottingham Forest have been on an incredible run in the Premier League. Will they finish in a Champions League spot? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:45 - Games over the break
03:13 - A good time to have a great Academy
03:25 - Saka’s injury
04:21 - Salah’s incredible run of form (James Yorke tweet)
05:06 - Alexander Isak’s story
07:18 - Erling Halaand’s transfer history
09:26 - What should Arsenal do about Saka’s injury?
10:58 - Buying a replacement vs. playing youngsters
11:52 - Is Omar Marmoush an option?
12:55 - Could the be after Marcus Rashford?
14:03 - Teams taking the money vs waiting for the “right” price (Chelsea…)
15:34 - Names that could be Saka replacements
15:40 - Does Bryan Mbeumo make sense?
18:11 - He has high risk reward passing style
19:18 - Mathys Tel on Loan?
20:28 - Evan Ferguson to bolster the attack?
21:09 - Will Brighton sell?
22:55 - Leroy Sane as a direct replacement?
23:46 - Sane brings a broad skillset, but is he too old
26:55 - Barcelona fail to register Dani Olmo
27:51 - Barca are the only thing to make Ravi angry
29:18 - Hansi Flick should be furious + Olmo Landing spots
31:08 - La Masia is their saving grace and will they scapegoat Frenkie de Jong
32:27 - de Jong = Bobby Bonilla?
33:37 - Manchester United players are “available”
34:07 - Should City sign him + What is his actual position?
37:03 - Giggs hamstring story
38:38 - Marcus Thuram to Liverpool?
41:14 - Extensions for VVD and Salah?
42:29 - How does Thuram fit in the squad?
44:37 - Joshua Zirkzee saga continues
45:34 - Missing a lot of big chances means you are in good positions a lot
47:18 - Can Nottingham Forest continue their run of form?
50:28 - Forest’s attack is fragile, will it cost them?
52:49 - A coin flip for top 4 or for top 5?
54:40 - How Forest have won their recent games
56:32 - Going full circle
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| Episode 76 - Predicting the EPL's Champions League Race + Early Transfer Rumours! | 24 Mar 2025 | 01:02:06 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-update
Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.Podcast
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!
00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league
00:02:30 - Futures bets
00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule
00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe
00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird
00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth
00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?
00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine
00:11:51 - Haaland is back
00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 5
00:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?
00:14:10 - DGF explanation
00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas
00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems
00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?
00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition
00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?
00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence
00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us
00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games
00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?
00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck
00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule
00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry
00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League
00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers
00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander
00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions
00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction
00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story
00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours
00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?
00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa
00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?
00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte
00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?
00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams
00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?
00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs
00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product
00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free
00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?
00:53:34- B-roll Conversations
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| Episode 53 - Liverpool's attack is SCARY + Are Barcelona in Crisis? + Manchester United are in a multi-year rebuild | 23 Dec 2024 | 00:47:38 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ted start by discussing Liverpool's 6-3 battering of Spurs. Mo Salah is ageless, should Ange Postecoglou change his style of play, and do Liverpool have the best attack in the world? Then, Southampton have hired Ivan Juric as manager. Who is he, what is his style, and how is he different than Russell Martin? After that comes Arsenal, have they finally flipped the switch and fixed their attack? Next, Barcelona lost 2-1 to Atletico Madrid. Are Barcelona in crisis, or do the numbers tell a different story? And finally, Manchester United lost 3-0 to Bournemouth, but is there reason for United fans to be hopeful? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:01 - Liverpool Defeat Spurs, 6-3
03:21 - Injured defense against the best frontline in the world?
04:21 - How Liverpool created their chances
05:15 - Ange Postecoglou’s style of play
07:51 - Ange won’t change his philosophy
09:51 - How good would Spurs be with one elite midfielder?
11:42 - Mo Salah is ridiculous
13:09 - It’s getting hard to see how Liverpool doesn’t win the title
14:29 - Southampton hire Ivan Juric as manager
17:01 - Differences between Juric and Russell Martin
18:21 - The new generation of Italian football
19:03 - Big Shakespeare fan
19:38 - We fixed Arsenal
21:07 - Gabriel Jesus’ last 2 games
21:47 - Arsenal played much for attacking football
22:38 - Kai Havertz is very versatile
23:49 - Can Arsenal find the right balance?
24:28 - Saliba had a poor game
25:22 - How teams are trying to stop Arsenal’s set piece advantage
28:20 - The more variation you throw at them the better
30:13 - Calling basketball plays in open play
31:09 - Ben White/ Cristiano Ronaldo’s approach to getting open for crosses
32:11 - Saka injured in this game, should fast-attacking teams un-invert their wingers?
34:26 - Are Barcelona in Crisis after 2-1 loss to Atletico?
35:44 - The numbers are still good despite the results
37:57 - Lamine Yamal was out injured
39:00 - Go and watch Pedri in this game
40:04 - United are the leakiest club in the league
41:21 - Man United are in a multi-year rebuild
42:29 - They’re trending well on Defense
45:19 - Ted’s request for the listeners
#liverpool #barcelona #arsenal #tottenham #manchesterunited #saka #lamineyamal #pedri #arteta #angepostecoglou #atleticomadrid
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| Episode 52 - The team that NEEDS to make €100m in sales + Evaluating Kompany at Bayern Munich | 18 Dec 2024 | 00:48:47 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by Discussing Vincent Kompany's tenure at Bayern Munich. They lead the Bundesliga, but have struggled in big matches. What's the best way to evaluate Kompany's performance? Then, the conversation switched to Lyon, who need to make 100M in sales this January to avoid being sent to Ligue 2. How has the happened, who will they sell, and what teams might those players go to? Finally, the Serie A title race has been close since the start of the season, but is it now down to 3 teams? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Vincent Kompany’s tenure as Bayern manager
02:51 - What would be a successful first season?
04:14 - Lack of success in Big Matches
06:49 - They’ve missed key players for multiple matches
08:00 - Do they have the squad for Kompany?
10:26 - Bayern by the numbers this season
13:35 - How Kompany has approached this season
16:15 - How do you evaluate Kompany?
17:33 - Should Bayern manage expectations?
19:30 - Do you evaluate Kompany solely on big matches?
21:36 - What positions should Bayern target in January?
23:15 - Kimmich has played the most minutes and may leave
24:50 - Why Lyon need to make 100M in January
26:15 - Lyon have spent money poorly
27:50 - Lyon are not a team that spend big money historically
30:29 - Players Lyon can sell for significant money (Caqueret and Cherki)
33:05 - Why hasn’t Cherki left Lyon yet?
35:52 - Georges Mikautadze
36:48 - Malick Fofana is a great prospect
38:46 - Ernest Nuamah
39:45 - What club for Fofana and Nuamah?
40:51 - The Serie A title race
41:29 - Is it a 3-team race (Inter Milan, Napoli and Lazio)?
44:00 - Why Fiorentina is likely not a challenger
44:38 - Napoli’s advantage
45:27 - Upcoming schedules for the top teams
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| Episode 51 - Is something WRONG with Arsenal? + Late drama in the Manchester Derby | 16 Dec 2024 | 00:44:14 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Arsenal's recent run of poor results. What's going wrong, how can they fix it, and do they need to add someone in January? Next, Russell Martin and Gary O'Neil were sacked this weekend. Why did it happen and should the firings have come sooner? The conversation moves to the Manchester Derby after United edge out a 2-1 win over City thanks to 2 late goals. What's wrong with City, can Pep fix it, and just how good is Amad Diallo? To end the episode they discuss Diego Gomez' move from Inter Miami to Brighton, marking the first move of the January window. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - What’s wrong with Arsenal?
02:22 - An accumulation of imperfect choices
04:07 - Lack of squad depth
06:31 - Injuries have been a factor, but they have played conservatively
07:59 -The piece they’re missing
09:51 - Martinelli
11:30 - Why Odegaard might be tired + stories from Ted
15:06 - Should Arteta be playing more aggressively?
16:30 - The risk/reward trade off of pushing for more goals
18:16 - What kind of player should Arsenal target in January?
21:28 - Russell Martin FINALLY sacked by Southampton
24:21 - Why did they keep him so long?
26:01 - Wolves Firing Gary O’Neil
29:18 - How many EPL teams allowed over 60 xG last season?
30:09 - Late drama in the Manchester Derby
31:09 - City couldn’t get anything going
32:21 - Lack of quality at DM and fullback are hurting Pep
33:52 - Can pep fix it?
34:32 - Can they buy their way out of it in January?
35:17 - Amad Diallo
35:57 - The first transfer of the window: Gomez to Brighton
36:54 - Neymar to join Lionel Messi at Inter Miami?
38:41 - Brighton’s strategy of stacking up useful talent
39:59 - It may allow them to make consistent Champions League runs soon
41:51 - Ted’s recent run on Variance Betting
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| Episode 50 - Champions League Roundup: Biggest Surprises, Giants Underperforming, and Top 8 Predictions | 12 Dec 2024 | 01:04:39 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi breakdown the Champions League after round 6. They start by discussing the new league phase format and the effects it may have down the road. Next, they look at the most surprising teams so far, as well as giants that have underperformed. Then, the conversation turns to young talents that are emerging. Which players have caught their eyes? And finally, they predict the top 8 and where the underperforming giants will finish in the table. All that and more on today’s episode, enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:00 - New Champions League format discussion
00:02:57 - New format = more marquee matchups
00:06:48 - 3 surprise teams this Champions League
00:07:20 - Aston Villa
00:09:00 - This is what Unai Emery does
00:10:45 - A clear path to the top 8
00:11:43 - Brest are struggling in Ligue 1, but have had the easiest path in the CL
00:12:39 - The rest of Brest’s schedule
00:14:05 - Lille actually have worse numbers than Brest in the CL
00:15:20 - Lille have had a pretty hard schedule
00:16:44 - Bruno Genesio has put together good plans and Lille have good talent
00:18:46 - Big name teams that are STRUGGLING
00:19:29 - City and PSG have good xG differential but are low in the table
00:20:06 - PSG are underperfoming their xG by a crazy amount due to bad misses
00:22:29 - Man City and PSG play a huge game in round 7
00:24:44 - City’s final game appears easy, but you never know
00:26:03 - Pep’s CL away record
00:27:38 - Are City’s league and CL problems the same?
00:30:07 - Rodri’s importance and who can replace him in January
00:32:29 - Real Madrid are unlikely to go out due to relatively easy last 2 games
00:34:25 - Qualified teams could put more pressure on these 3 teams
00:36:04 - Real Madrid don’t have free midweeks coming up
00:37:25 - Madrid’s xG conceded numbers are very high
00:38:31 - Atalanta’s style played into Madrid’s hand
00:39:25 - Madrid’s sorcery is getting weaker
00:40:27 - Emerging young talents
00:40:54 - Álvaro Carreras - Benfica
00:43:12 - Enzo Millot - Stuttgart
00:45:06 - Similar stats to Florian Wirtz
00:46:23 - Charles De Ketelaere - Atalanta
00:49:00 - Malik Tillman - PSV
00:51:22 - Johan Bakayoko - PSV
00:53:38 - Other player shoutouts
00:57:57 - Top 8 Predictions
01:00:16 - Real Madrid, PSG. Man City predictions
01:03:21 - Argentina’s 40-team league = CL table this year
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| Episode 49 - Why Man United fired their Sporting Director + Chelsea's attack is FLYING | 09 Dec 2024 | 00:40:44 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Manchester United and Dan Ashworth parting ways. What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United, who will be their next Sporting Director, and will Amorim be allowed to get his guys in the squad? Then, Chelsea's 4-3 win over Spurs highlighted Tottenham's injury crisis. Can Ange Postecoglou fix the squad, or are they destined to have some heartbreak this season. The conversation switches to Cole Palmer, is he the best player in the Premier League or does he still have some growing to do? Finally, Andoni Iraola has Bournemouth high up the table, but will he move to a bigger club after this season? Stay tuned for Ted's Story at the end of the episode! Enjoy.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Dan Ashworth Out as Manchester United Sporting Director
03:18 - Who can replace him?
04:02 - United are trying to Pin blame on Ashworth
05:03 - What did Ashworth do in his 5 months at United?
06:40 - What do United do next?
08:26 - How good is Dan Ashworth actually?
10:23 - How outside consultants provide value to a club
12:41 - Will United allow Amorim to bring in his guys?
14:27 - Chelsea defeats Tottenham, 4-3
15:49 - Spurs are so injured
16:24 - No centerbacks for Spurs
17:37 - Social media videos hiding mistakes + Cucurella mistake
19:05 - Both teams were spotted goals
20:08 - Takeaways from the game for Tottenham
20:37 - Chelsea’s attack is flying
21:53 - Can Ange fix this despite the injuries?
23:09 - Is Cole Palmer the best player in the Premier League?
24:40 - We’ve become indifferent to Saka because of how long he’s been good
25:37 - Palmer pulls the strings for Chelsea’s break
26:36 - You can’t overplay Palmer due to Chelsea’s squad
27:11 - The free role allows Palmer to develop more skills
27:48 - What about Palmer’s defensive side?
29:16 - What happens if Palmer doesn’t score in preseason and never leaves City?
32:03 - Andoni Iraola is due for a big move this summer
33:00 - Iraola = Dr. Octopus from Spiderman
33:47 - Bournemouth has done really well under Iraola
34:45 - Where could Iraola end up?
38:34 - Story Time with Ted
#premierleague #manchesterunited #chelsea #tottenham #colepalmer #bournemouth #saka
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| Episode 48 - Is Lamine Yamal ALREADY the best player in La Liga, Barcelona's registration issues, and how have Real Madrid closed the gap? | 04 Dec 2024 | 00:45:32 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Barcelona's recent run of form and how much they've relied on 17-year-old Lamine Yamal. Is the teenager already the best player in La Liga? Then, they move to Barcelona's recurring registration issues. Why does this keep happening and how can they fix it? Next they discuss Real Madrid, whose recent run of form has them back near the top of the table. Will they be forced to spend big in the Winter if they continue to struggle in the Champions League? Finally, Atletico Madrid have figured out how to use Julian Alvarez, but are they good enough to win the League? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:39 - What’s happening with Barcelona recently?
02:33 - Due a loss after a run of tough games
03:35 - Lamine Yamal’s importance to Barcelona
05:08 - Why does Yamal attract so much attention?
06:21 - His assist yesterday was a skill even Messi didn’t do often
07:01 - Yamal’s work out of position sets him apart
10:31 - Why didn’t Barcelona run away with the title
11:55 - Barca are much more direct this year
12:35 - Hansi Flick’s success with a changing defensive line
13:25 - Barcelona have never pressed this much
13:55 - Is Lamine Yamal the best player in La Liga?
14:33 - One aspect he needs to improve upon
16:09 - Wenger helped Thierry Henry fix a similar problem
17:04 - Barcelona’s registration issues and Dani Olmo
18:32 - They tried to solve their issues but failed
20:07 - Didn’t the Nike deal fix it?
23:26 - Could they be forced to sell Frenkie de Jong?
26:25 - Real Madrid’s recent form
27:45 - An easier run of games in La Liga than the Champions League
28:17 - Starting to get players back from injury
30:33 - Will Madrid’s young players keep their spot in the squad?
31:00 - Will Madrid make a big splash in the Winter Window?
34:02 - If they struggle towards the end of the group stage, they may try to make a move
34:53 - Atletico Madrid are quietly near the top of the table
36:12 - They’ve figured out how fit Julian Alvarez into the squad
37:30 - Atletico are playing a few youngsters
39:15 - Can they improve their set pieces?
42:28 - Odds for Atletico to win La Liga?
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| Episode 47 - What's wrong with Phil Foden + Is Saka the BEST player in the league? | 02 Dec 2024 | 00:36:53 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start by discussing Phil Foden. Why has the reigning Player of the Season's production dropped for Manchester City? They then move to Aston Villa and Unai Emery, who are struggling over their last few games. Is this expected after Emery's time at Villarreal, or will they find a way to improve? Then, Brentford is must-see TV at home against lesser teams. Will Thomas Frank leave the club at the end of the season? Finally, they discuss Bukayo Saka's importance to Arsenal as their "glue guy." Is Saka the BEST player in the Premier League right now? Watch until the end for a glimpse behind the scenes.
Kim's Struggle Era article: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/your-team-s-struggle-era-lineups-are-hilarious
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:07 - What’s wrong with Phil Foden?
02:54 - Lack of shooting success this year
04:23 - Maintained shot numbers, just less xG on each
06:43 - How dead are Man City?
07:56 - Kim’s struggle era article
09:01 - How did City allow Salah to run at them multiple times?
10:53 - Foden’s shift towards creating vs. shooting
11:38 - Are Foden’s struggles Doku’s fault?
13:26 - City’s success over the last 6 years has led to this
14:17 - Aston Villa are STRUGGLING
15:10 - Similarities to Unai Emery’s time at Villarreal
17:48 - Villa are riding the wave of variance
18:15 - Emery will have his best moments in the CL Knockout rounds
20:17 - Villa are good at executing set pieces
21:33 - Brentford home games are must see TV
22:39 - Brentford make a stylistic choice depending on their opponent
24:22 - Thomas Frank's skill as a manager
25:12 - Elite managers switch their styles when needed (Conte/Fergie)
27:42 - Is Bukayo Saka the best player in the Premier League?
28:47 - Saka is a “glue guy” for Arsenal
30:23 - Saka remained productive with Odegaard out
31:33 - The combination of Odegaard and Saka is what beats teams over and over
32:25 - Saka, Palmer, and Salah are the 3 best players right now
33:17 - How you can help us
34:40 - Story time with Ted
#premierleague #manchestercity #arsenal #foden #saka #astonvilla
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| Episode 46 - Barcelona Transfer Rumours: Replacing Aging Stars, The Answer at Left Wing, and who to sign at Right Back? | 27 Nov 2024 | 00:45:25 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Barcelona's needs for the upcoming transfer window. They begin at right back, where they haven't had a stable answer in years. Should they bring in Devyne Rensch, bring back a former player, or swing for the fences and sign Trent Alexander-Arnold or Alphonso Davies?? Then comes striker, how do they handle finding a backup for Robert Lewandowski? Getting the position right could extend Lewandowski's peak, but is it a low-risk strategy? Next comes left winger, where Rafael Leao could make a splash move. However, is his defensive work rate too low to work with Lewandowski? And finally, Ravi tells all on Borja Sainz, who might be the next big move for Athletic Club.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:30 - Barca have produced academy kids at many positions
03:11 - Defenders Barcelona could be looking at
03:14 - Devyne Rensch from Ajax
05:22 - One Quality he has that’s very important
09:38 - Barcelona have been searching for the answer at RB
10:32 - The changing nature of the fullback position
12:22 - Óscar Mingueza
13:08 - He’s all-out attack
15:02 - Is he a profile that Barcelona need?
16:06 - Could Trent Alexander-Arnold come on board?
17:17 - Alphonso Davies is more realistic w/ Hansi Flick as manager
18:24 - Vitor Roque as a Lewandowski Replacement
19:17 - Jonathan David
20:36 - David plays a different style than Lewandowski
22:58 - Prolonging Lewandowski’s peak
25:51 - It’s a low-risk strategy
28:04 - What’s the plan at left winger and goalkeeper?
29:35 - Rafael Leao could bring magic to the wing
30:30 - How much defensive work will he really do?
32:20 - Leao is a Soloist
34:03 - Leao and Lewandowksi can’t coexist defensively
35:22 - Borja Sainz is on a tear
38:12 - He’s also a good presser
38:51 - He’s from the Basque region, could Athletic Club be interested?
40:31 - Could an EPL team swoop him up?
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| Episode 45 - How Amorim already changed United + Man City's downward spiral | 25 Nov 2024 | 00:37:46 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start with Mo Salah's goal vs. Southampton and how good Liverpool need to be to win the title this year. Then comes Man City, whose 4-0 loss to Tottenham marks their 5th straight defeat. City need help, but can they hang on until the January window? Next, Ruben Amorim led United to a 1-1 draw with Ipswich in his first game as manager. How much impact has he had already, and how long will it take for United to turn things around? Finally, the episode ends with discussion of Arsenal vs. Forest, Everton vs. Brentford, and Joao Pedro's wonderful assist vs. Bournemouth. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - An Interesting Segue and Mo Salah’s goal
03:16 - A Bad defensive performance from Liverpool
04:15 - Liverpool are on the good side of Variation (but they create it too)
05:39 - Liverpool don’t need to be THAT great to win the title
06:36 - Man City lose their 5th game in a row
07:38 - Kyle Walker is no longer Pep’s get out of jail free card
09:18 - City need 3 players in the January window
11:04 - Tottenham were constantly running at the back four
12:34 - Ruben Amorim’s first match as United manager
13:40 - Amorim’s influence is already showing
14:38 - Who is scoring goals for United?
15:48 - United built through the wingbacks (especially Mazraoui)
17:05 - United will continue to change over the next few weeks
19:43 - Who are the wide attackers that are helping to create for United?
20:52 - Will Gyokeres be the solution? + Should United become Sporting
21:45 - Where will United finish this year?
22:57 - Arsenal vs. Forest
25:20 - Odegaard facilitated the Arsenal attack, which was missing while he was gone
26:56 - Arsenal have to figure out how to attack without relying on Odegaard
27:32 - Arsenal haven’t put games away this season
28:06 - Leads allow teams to transition more
30:16 - Everton vs. Brentford
30:45 - Everton went up a man but couldn’t find a goal
32:45 - Joao Pedro’s assist in Brighton’s win over Bournemouth
33:32 - The angled run from Mitoma was beautiful
34:24 - Fans of big teams only are selling themselves short this season
35:41 - Taking a break Thursday and Friday
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| Episode 44 - Real Madrid Transfer Rumours: Addressing their defensive needs, signing Florian Wirtz, and taking BOTH Trent-Alexander Arnold and Mo Salah from Liverpool | 20 Nov 2024 | 00:49:07 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid
02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB
03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?
05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January
05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?
06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing
08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it
09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen
11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season
11:49 - Aymeric Laporte
13:27 - Mario Hermoso
14:38 - The information we don’t have
15:24 - The most likely option out of these 3
16:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at
16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras
18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect
20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis
21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig
25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest
28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?
29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié
31:19 - Options for right back?
31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?
31:52 - Asencio as an option
33:16 - Jesus Fortea
34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?
37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City
38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid
39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal
42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern
42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?
43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo
44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem
46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?
#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madrid
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| Episode 75 - Barcelona go top of La Liga + Newcastle’s trophy drought is OVER | 17 Mar 2025 | 00:49:24 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!
Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcast
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00:00 - Intro
00:39 - Ted’s shoutout
02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind
03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line
05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric
07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger
08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish
09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?
10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections
11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week
12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid
13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win
14:15 - La Liga table
16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race
18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?
20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast
20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought
21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?
23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back
24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners
26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy
27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality
29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week
30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer
31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card
33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card
34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?
35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth
37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now
38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea
38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt
40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas
41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?
43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?
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| Episode 43 - A GOOD Rodri replacement could cost £100m, Man United and Chelsea Rumors, and will Gyokeres finally make a move? | 18 Nov 2024 | 00:44:57 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?
01:37 - An addition to the podcasts
02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again
03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?
05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do
06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot
08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he
11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City
12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold
13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid
16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?
17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?
19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?
21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?
22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???
23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough
25:29 - Nkunku linked with United
26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku
28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?
28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?
29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal
31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?
33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United
35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona
38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information
39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?
41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity
#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccer
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| Episode 42 - Man City Are Old and Slow, The INSANE Serie A Title Race, and Arsenal vs. Chelsea Breakdown | 11 Nov 2024 | 00:44:32 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN
02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past
02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age
03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game
04:45 - City’s old midfield
05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?
07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally
07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title
09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well
10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time
11:10 - Creating chances despite losing
11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool
12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season
15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds
18:32 - English teams in the Champions League
19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea
19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again
20:23 - Game breakdown
22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again
23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position
26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense
27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution
28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race
29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?
30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A
31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference
32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers
33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio
34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games
35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window
37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan
38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?
39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest
#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccer
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| Episode 41 - Why are Real Madrid and Man City STRUGGLING + Who Replaces Edu Gaspar at Arsenal? | 07 Nov 2024 | 01:05:33 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal
00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?
00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director
00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record
00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?
00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements
00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?
00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain
00:18:49 - Monchi
00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell
00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??
00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe
00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)
00:25:31 - Phil Giles
00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?
00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City
00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?
00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style
00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense
00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning
00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity
00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?
00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years
00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan
00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?
00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack
00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs
00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”
00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start
01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes
01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?
01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?
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| Episode 40 - Are Liverpool New Title Favorites, Manchester United Got LUCKY vs. Chelsea, and Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Reactions | 04 Nov 2024 | 00:46:14 | |
In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend
01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool
02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is
03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked
04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation
05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool
06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?
07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad
10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle
11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta
13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions
14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal
16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?
20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?
22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?
24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City
26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea
26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)
30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal
31:24 - The game from a United Perspective
32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer
34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?
36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa
37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season
38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match
39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?
39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table
42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League
44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS
#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfoden
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| Variance Betting Episode 7 | Why You MUST Wait for Lineups to Bet This Week - EPL Matchday 10 Picks | 01 Nov 2024 | 00:14:32 | |
Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton
01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match
02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City
02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham
03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City
04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal
06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton
06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace
07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa
09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea
11:31 - Fulham vs. Brentford
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| Episode 39 - How To Get a Job in Sports Analytics | 30 Oct 2024 | 01:09:50 | |
On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!
Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:
https://americansoccerinsights.com/
Data Contest/Call for Proposals:
https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposals
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:01:01 - How do I get started?
00:04:46 - What skills do I need?
00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?
00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?
00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?
00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?
00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?
00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?
01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?
#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats
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| Episode 38 - Manchester United SACK Erik ten Hag, Potential Replacements, and Barcelona THRASH Real Madrid | 28 Oct 2024 | 01:03:50 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Manchester United firing manager Erik ten Hag. They run down why he had to be fired, Ruud van Nistelrooy as interim manager, and potential names for the job. Then, Ravi joins Patrick to discuss Barcelona's 4-0 victory over Real Madrid over the weekend. They talk about Barcelona's high line causing problems for Madrid, Madrid lacking a holding striker, and if Barcelona can maintain this form for the rest of the season. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:47 - United sack Erik ten Hag
00:01:31 - Ruud van Nistelrooy interim manager
00:01:45 - Manchester United’s recent form
00:04:14 - Trends for United
00:04:39 - Could they be better with a better coach?
00:05:39 - What a good and bad manager change process looks like
00:07:24 - The U Curve of coaches
00:10:18 - Could ten Hag’s hurt United?
00:10:56 - Dan Ashworth’s limited early influence
00:11:53 - Who should United hire?
00:12:39 - Pochettino and Tuchel already have jobs
00:13:28 - Could van Nistelrooy stay on?
00:14:29 - Gareth Southgate
00:15:27 - Ruben Amorim
00:15:54 - How do budgets play into the new hire decision?
00:17:51 - Xavi as next United manager?
00:20:05 - Luis Enrique
00:21:12 - Graham Potter
00:23:09 - Eddie Howe
00:24:24 - Mourinho was the most pragmatic of recent United coaches
00:25:05 - Michael Carrick
00:28:44 - Adi Hutter
00:30:57 - Bournemouth manager Andoni Iraola?
00:31:47 - Thomas Frank
00:34:08 - The ability of a manager to get player buy-in
00:35:41 - Roger Schmidt and his pressing style
00:37:44 - Julian Nagelsmann
00:39:44 - Should United settle for the least costly option?
00:40:53 - The stress of managing/working for a team
00:41:38 - Ravi joins to talk El Clasico
00:42:46 - The game was closer than the score and Barca’s impressive workload
00:44:33 - Madrid’s gameplan was to be direct
00:45:19 - Was Fermin Lopez the correct choice?
00:46:06 - The technical ability on display
00:46:46 - Substitutions settled the game for Barca
00:47:55 - Casado’s line-breaking pass for Goal #1
00:48:52 - The high line was very impressive
00:50:11 - Lucas Vazquez struggled
00:53:14 - Who should be blamed for Madrid?
00:54:46 - Madrid struggle with a pivot and where was Endrick?
00:56:52 - Bellingham’s lack of forward threat
00:58:52 - Can Barcelona sustain this performance?
01:02:06 - Mbappe moving to the right side?
#manchesterunited #realmadrid #barcelona #manutd #eriktenhag #elclassico #football #soccer #podcast
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| Variance Betting Episode 6 | Backing Liverpool.. and FULHAM? EPL Matchday 9 Picks | 25 Oct 2024 | 00:20:25 | |
On this episode, Ted shares his picks for EPL matchday 9. He starts by explaining why he flat bets and when to use accumulators. He gives insights on the matches he's betting on, including Arsenal vs. Liverpool, and explains why he's staying away from certain matchups (both City and United). Enjoy!
More information on fractional Kelly betting: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-resources/en/betting-strategy/revisiting-the-kelly-criterion-part-2-fractional-kelly/gbd27z9nljvgflgg
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:18 - Why do you bet flat amounts?
03:44 - Why don't you bet accumulators?
06:23 - Leicester City vs. Forest
07:16 - Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth
08:03 - Brentford vs. Ipswich
09:02 - Manchester City vs. Southampton
09:51 - Brighton vs. Wolves
11:33 - Everton vs. Fulham
13:10 - Chelsea vs. Newcastle
14:15 - Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham
15:33 - West Ham vs. Manchester United
17:02 - Arsenal vs. Liverpool
#premierleague #epl #betting #liverpool #arsenal #chelsea #tottenham #soccer #football #manchesterunited
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| Episode 37 - El Clasico Preview, Real Madrid vs. Dortmund, and Xabi Alonso to City? | 23 Oct 2024 | 00:50:14 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Real Madrid's 5-2 win over Dortmund and the injuries to Thibaut Courtois and Rodrygo. Next, they preview the Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Champions League match today and how the game might be insightful for El Clasico on Saturday. They then dive into the best lineups for both Real Madrid and Barcelona, how much injured (Dani Olmo and Gavi) and older (Luka Modric) might play, and give their predictions for the final score. They end the conversation with Xabi Alonso's rumoured exit from Bayer Leverkusen at the end of the season, potential landing spots, and if he will actually leave. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:02 - Real Madrid vs. Dortmund
04:32 - Real Madrid’s defense was shocking
05:32 - Different Midfield lineups Madrid has used
06:50 - Ravi’s pre-game prediction
07:48 - Bellingham last season vs. this season
09:43 - Modric, Valverde, and Madrid’s Galactico mindset
11:02 - How do they fix their midfield issues?
11:41 - How much will Modric play?
14:08 - Will Rodrygo be the odd man out?
15:12 - Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Preview
16:20 - A good test for Bayern
17:39 - Barcelona players returning from injury
18:50 - How much can Gavi give them?
21:02 - What front 3 will Barcelona play?
22:35 - Giving minutes to returning players against Bayern
23:33 - What lineup will Madrid use against Barcelona?
24:10 - Courtois injury for Madrid
25:19 - An offensive vs. defensive lineup
26:37 - Stylistic matchups
28:21 - Should Barcelona play more conservatively?
30:11 - Both teams are weak at fullback
31:13 - Lewandowski should play as a pivot
31:57 - Ideal lineup for Barcelona
33:21 - Ravi’s predictions for El Clasico
35:38 - Patrick’s prediction for El Clasico
36:45 - Flick’s first Clasico
37:12 - A La Liga game vs. a Champions League game
39:19 - Leverkusen rumoured to be looking for a Xavi Alonso replacement
40:14 - The timing with Txiki’s departure and Pep’s contract expiring
40:52 - Real Madrid also make sense
41:34 - Hugo Viana and Ruben Amorim
42:21 - The obvious spot for Xabi Alonso
44:25 - What happens if Carlo Ancelotti doesn’t want to leave?
47:18 - Alonso’s contract ends in 2026
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| Episode 36 - Red Cards and VAR got Arsenal AGAIN, Liverpool Survive Chelsea, and Southampton Need a New Manager | 21 Oct 2024 | 00:45:58 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss the eventful Liverpool vs. Chelsea match and Liverpool's defense looking vulnerable. They also discuss the impact VAR had over the weekend, and get into Saliba's red card in Arsenal's 2-0 loss to Bournemouth. Next comes Southampton's loss to Leicester and Russell Martin's comments after the game. They finish with Fulham vs. Aston Villa, Brighton vs. Newcastle and the resurgence of Raul Jimenez, Manchester United looking competent, and the trend of teams playing safer.
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00:00 - Intro
01:06 - Liverpool vs. Chelsea
03:23 - Trent Alexander-Arnold is a double-edged sword
04:22 - How cautious can you be in the modern Premier League?
05:07 - Concern for Andrew Robertson?
07:44 - Did Chelsea deserve an early penalty?
08:00 - VAR and red cards this weekend
08:44 - Caicedo as a playmaker
09:58 - This was Liverpool’s first real test
10:41 - Arsenal vs. Bournemouth
11:47 - Saliba’s red card
13:03 - Marginal calls in football
14:55 - How coaches game plan in the Premier League
16:24 - Manchester City look fragile
17:35 - Taking a red card vs. allowing a chance
19:16 - Southampton vs. Leicester City
20:36 - Russell Martin’s comments after the game
22:02 - How coaches start to talk when they want to be fired
25:29 - Mourinho’s ability to deflect from a bad performance
26:17 - Southampton’s poor performance under Martin
28:38 - 8 point gap to Leicester now
28:59 - Facundo Buonanotte and Brighton’s future
30:35 - Fulham vs. Aston Villa
33:03 - Neutral’s will love Fulham games
33:15 - Raul Jimenez is in insane form
35:10 - The resurgence of Old and Tall strikers
36:32 - Newcastle vs. Brighton
38:52 - Manchester looked competent
40:53 - Garnacho’s tendency to take wide-angle shots
42:45 - Is the trend of teams playing safer a problem?
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| Episode 74 - How Arsenal can UPSET Real Madrid + UCL Quarterfinal Predictions | 13 Mar 2025 | 00:34:44 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!
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00:00 - Intro
00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games
01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool
02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?
03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele
04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early
05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably
06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game
07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?
10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver
11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid
12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game
14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses
15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?
17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?
18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness
20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund
20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund
21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game
22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund
23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble
24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need
26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan
26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?
27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career
29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?
31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions
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| Episode 35 - EPL Roundup: Top 6 Predictions, Relegation Battles, and Teams the Table Is Lying About | 16 Oct 2024 | 01:05:24 | |
On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss all things Premier League related from the start of the season. They begin with teams that should be higher or lower than their current position in the table. Next, they decide which of the 4 relegation candidates will stay up. And finally, both Patrick and Ted give their predictions for the Top 6. Where do you think Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and the rest of the Premier League will finish?
Sebastian's guest newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/3-young-attacking-mids-on-the-rise
Ted's preseason gambling podcast: https://youtu.be/keg7HlCXPwE
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:02:34 - Who is the premier league table lying about right now?
00:02:41 - Newcastle United
00:05:37 - Giving honest takes vs driving engagement
00:06:31 - The table of justice
00:07:16 - Tottenham should be slightly better
00:08:03 - Spurs are playing like a Bundesliga team
00:09:12 - Exciting young pieces
00:11:03 - Where are they likely to finish?
00:12:44 - Bournemouth are better than the Table says
00:14:30 - Optimism for Everton
00:15:10 - Guest Newsletter authors
00:15:45 - Dwight McNeil’s blossoming role
00:18:11 - A Cash injection this January can fix their issues
00:19:02 - Everton fans should be happy with the takeover
00:21:35 - Manchester United’s rough start
00:22:36 - The Model’s take on United before the season
00:24:34 - United don’t tolerate long processes
00:26:20 - United fans who have never seen the good times
00:27:12 - Of the 4 candidates, who will get relegated?
00:27:27 - Ipswich
00:29:30 - Wolves
00:31:40 - Patrick’s prediction to stay up
00:32:43 - Leicester’s 5 point advantage
00:34:06 - the difficulty making a case for any of these teams
00:36:30 - What the gambling markets say
00:38:50 - Predicting the top 6
00:39:11 - factoring in a potential punishment for City
00:41:23 - Patrick’s top 4
00:42:40 - Talent goes a long way
00:44:56 - Patrick’s title winner
00:48:07 - Patrick’s 2nd place team
00:52:39 - 3rd place
00:56:48 - Debating the Last Champions League spot
00:59:57 - Patrick’s 5th and 6th place
01:00:24 - What the betting markets say
01:01:46 - Ted’s top 6
01:03:26 - When we’ll check back in on our predictions
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| Episode 34 - Breaking Down Serie A’s Top Contenders: Can Conte and Napoli win the title, should Inter be the favorites, and are Lazio Legit? | 14 Oct 2024 | 00:55:29 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi do a deep dive on the top teams in Serie A. They start with Napoli, who are top of the table despite what may have been the worst transfer window of any team. Next is Inter and their hopes back-to-back titles. Can they pull it off again despite an aging squad? Then comes Lazio, whose unconventional approach to players and manager hires sparks an interesting discussion on high variance teams. Last comes Milan, who almost sacked manager Paulo Fonseca early in the year, but have stabilized to be just 5 points out of first place. Enjoy!
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Timestamp:
00:00 - Intro
01:07 - Napoli’s fantastic start
01:40 - Our rough grades for Napoli’s window
03:04 - Lack of minutes for new players
05:26 - A more Conservative defensive style
06:28 - Grades are not based on 7 games
08:02 - Low shot quality in Serie A
10:53 - Lack of depth in attack for Napoli limits their title threat?
11:58 - Napoli’s advantage with no European Competition
14:50 - Where will they finish?
16:12 - Inter’s erratic start to the season
17:22 - The most balanced team in Serie A?
18:58 - Inter’s defensive shift
19:20 - Can the oldest team in Serie A keep this up?
21:31 - Marcus Thuram
22:39 - Do Inter need to share minutes more?
25:19 - Could they switch styles later in the year?
26:55 - Predictions for Inter’s season
27:17 - Lazio’s surprising start
28:41 - unexpected names contributing for Lazio
31:10 - Marco Baroni’s influence
35:43 - Are fringe European teams to conservative with their coaching hires?
39:12 - Thomas Tuchel’s training stories and how coaches influence their players
42:36 - Analytics only matter if you can translate them into simple messages
45:15 - Milan shake off a rough start
47:14 - Favorable matchups coming up
47:57 - Pulisic playing well and staying healthy
49:38 - Rafael Leao’s Attacking threat
51:47 - Using avoidance strategies to change player behaviors
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| Episode 33 - Who should Real Madrid sign to replace Dani Carvajal, Chelsea’s Attacking Dilemma, Manchester City Lose Their Director of Football, and What’s Next for Paul Pogba? | 10 Oct 2024 | 00:55:30 | |
On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Dani Carvajal's injury and potential replacements that Real Madrid should consider. Can they get Trent Alexander-Arnold to come over, or should they look elsewhere? They then get into Chelsea's front line and which combinations of players is best for their team. Next, Manchester City's Director of Football Txiki Begiristain is set to leave, who are the likely hires with Pep's departure looming. Finally, Paul Pogba suspension was reduced, where are the likely landing spots for the 31-year-old Italian midfielder? Enjoy!
Ted's article on potential Toni Kroos replacements: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/kroos-ify-me
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
00:46 - Dani Carvajal's injury
01:34 - Specifics of the injury
04:50 - Carvajal's 1 year extension
05:23 - Solutions for Real Madrid
05:57 - A leadership gap
07:33 - Can Madrid lure Trent Alexander-Arnold?
10:03 - Hakimi as an option at RB
12:50 - Sliding Militao over from CB?
15:16 - Other candidates at RB
17:55 - Will Kroos unretire?
18:20 - Unresolved Vini Jr/Mbappe problems
19:55 - Who should play in Chelsea's front line?
24:29 - The disadvantage of signing the best players from smaller sides?
26:26 - Where does Nkunku fit in?
27:23 - Can players change their pressing style?
30:18 - Joao Felix's adaptability
31:02 - What happens against better sides?
32:33 - City lose their Director of Football, Txiki Begiristain
33:24 - How did Txiki perform?
36:17 - Potential replacements
39:09 - How does a DoF influence the rest of the back room?
42:47 - Will the next DoF be more powerful with Pep likely gone?
45:38 - Paul Pogba's suspension reduced
46:12 - Where might Pogba end up?
48:38 - Is MLS an option?
50:20 - Could he stay in Italy?
51:28 - Playing Pogba as a 10
53:16 - Taking a smaller contract to entice bigger teams
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| Episode 32 - Brentford Solved Football, Bayern's Fragile Defence, Real Madrid's Injuries, and the End of Short Goal Kicks? | 07 Oct 2024 | 00:53:27 | |
On this Episode, Ted and Patrick do a deep dive on Brentford's fast starts to game and how teams are undervaluing set pieces. They then move to discussion on playing out of the back, which has caused issues for many teams to start the season. Next, they move to Bayern Munich's recent games and their high defensive line looking fragile. To end, the move to quick hits on Real Madrid's injury situation and their need to spend big in the winter window, Micky van de Ven struggle in Spurs' loss to to Brighton, and Cole Palmer during Chelsea's 1-1 draw with Forest. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:18 - Brentford have solved Football
01:54 - Set Pieces and Ted's history with them and Brentford
06:33 - Brentford has applied this to kickoffs
08:28 - Is it sustainable?
09:22 - Zdeněk Zeman
10:22 - Team's undervaluing set pieces
13:21 - The biggest differences between a corner and a long-throw in
16:17 - How the fast starts have helped Brentford
19:54 - Principles to watch on set pieces
22:49 - Football being influenced by other sports
25:33 - Short goal kick equilibrium
26:16 - Daryl Morey's thoughts on short Goal kicks
28:27 - Forcing other teams to adapt to your style
28:51 - The end of short goal kicks?
33:09 - Teams that adapt faster will benefit
33:17 - Bayern's recent struggles
35:13 - Omar Marmoush's good form
36:24 - Bayern's high line is vulnerable
39:03 - Pep's ability to kill off games
40:39 - Will Kompany be able to learn?
43:04 - Real Madrid's injuries and the Winter window
43:49 - Madrid are missing Kroos
44:15 - Petar Sucic as a Kimmich-like
45:35 - van de Ven and Spurs vs Brighton
47:07 - Mitoma's = Bukayo Saka?
48:45 - The Welbeck winner and 2 amazing assists from the weekend
49:15 - Chelsea vs Forest and Cole Palmer
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