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Today we have on at times one of our harshest critics and at other times our biggest cheerleader, The Shipper (@shipthejustice on Twitter)

Shipper is that rare person who was successful as a trader at a book and then as a professional bettor. This experience makes him one of the go to experts on the topics of account longevity, priming, and maxing account value. This episode he presents a compelling case for why you should have a poker-style bluffing strategy for betting, talks on why the retweet is the perfect troll, and explains why everything sucks now and it was better before.

00:00:00 Intro

00:02:40 Tales from the PointsBet Trading Floor

00:23:50 Priming and Max Account Value

00:41:45 Why it's Better to Have a Partner

00:49:10 Build Your Own Models

01:00:30 Rorts!

01:11:00 Twitter Trolling & Sharp Content

01:22:00 PMs, Exchanges & State of the Industry

01:45:00 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

SP says that there may be nothing more predictive of whether someone is a winning bettor than how diligently they track their bets.

Is tracking your bets a magic pill that makes anyone profitable? It's not magic - but there are a lot of alpha generating benefits of tracking that go along with the important accounting hygiene and performance measuring.   

00:00 – Why Track Your Bets?
 05:00 – Taxes & Record Keeping
 07:00 – Performance Measurement
 16:00 – Alpha Generation & Model Insights
 33:00 – Exchanges & DFS Use Cases
 44:00 – News Roundup
 1:09:00 – Listener Questions

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This week we interview a man who wears many hats. TV Star, Tennis Bettor, and Author Isaac Rose-Berman.

You may know him from the CNN gambling documentary, you may know him as roundrobin42 on twitter, or you may have seen him on Circle Back. But on this show we go deep into his betting first - learning a lot about betting tennis on the way. After that we have a discussion on news/ industry topics where one person (Isaac) actually knows what he's talking about.

0:00 Intro to Advantage Gambling

9:00 Tennis Betting for Fun and Profit

27:30 How to Track Your Subjective Adjustments

36:45 Finding Good Non-Major Markets

41:30 What's Next in Betting for Isaac?

48:00 Isaac's Writing/ Consulting

1:02:30 News

1:20:40 Q&A

Isaac's Newsletter: https://howgamblingworks.substack.com/

Isaac's Twitter: https://x.com/roundrobin42

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Regardless of if you think we are in a simulation or not - there is no denying that simulations can make you money sports betting. GP & SP breakdown what a simulation model is, when you should use it, and how you can get started with your own sim this sports season.

We get a little technical early - but don't worry, we get really un-technical in the news and Q&A (ending with an actual discussion about sports).

00:00: Intro 
02:00: Simulations vs. Models in Sports Betting
50:00: The CNN Gambling Documentary
01:08:00: Prediction Market Rundown w/ TSwift Inside Trading
01:26:00: DraftKings Stops Credit Card Deposits & More News
01:29:30: Q&A + Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

We are joined by Casino AP turned Sports Bettor Dan aka Dr. Plop. Dan talks to us about getting into advantage play by multi-accounting Instacart signup bonuses. Then his journey continues through blackjack, slots, churn plays and finally ends up at "about 70%" sports betting.

Dan now runs a team of 4 that at any moment could be sitting at an electronic horse racing machine or betting six-figures on sports. Like a degen Oceans 11!

Follow Dan on Twitter: https://x.com/DrPL0P

00:00:45 – Instacart Advantage Play
00:13:40 – AP Lessons Applied to Sportsbooks
00:30:31 – Making the Switch to Sports
00:52:27 – Logistics & Scaling
01:15:45 – News
01:47:19 – Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Find an amazing edge yet still poor? If so - this episode aims to help you correct that. Along with advice on scaling an edge (including SP's vertical v. horizontal scaling lesson) - we break down a big week of industry news and field some questions regarding Kalshi, working with a group and GPs return to twitter.

00:00 Live from Las Vegas – First Impressions
02:15 Scaling an Edge: The Most Valuable Skill in Betting
04:33 Vertical vs. Horizontal Scaling – Two Paths to Growth
08:45 Operational Efficiency & The Big Spot Decision
17:09 Applying Skills Across Sports & Markets
29:05 Industry News – Ohio Micro-Bet Ban & Pinnacle API Shutdown 
1:17:49 Venmo “Gambling” Scandal & Rule vs. Integrity Violations
1:22:50 Illinois Surcharge Tax, No-Vig Launch & Exchange Betting
1:32:20 Listener Q&A & Book Recommendations
2:04:15 Closing Thoughts – Staying Ahead of the Next Edge

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

NBA prop crusher Calvin (CalvinandHobo) joins the show this week to talk about what it takes to win as a ball-knower who doesn't have a model.

Calvin had an interesting journey into professional betting that included becoming a cult hero on JuiceReel before he had to stop posting picks once he won too much and gained too many followers. (He explains why this is a big problem)

Calvin doesn't model - but puts in insane hours of research to understand rotations, coach speak and injury predictions. While some bettors rush to bet the injury report - he predicts it.

Calvin on Twitter: https://x.com/CalvinAndHobo

0:00 - Intro/ Calvin's start betting

9:35 – Inside Calvin’s NBA Prop Betting Process
14:00 – Coach Honesty Rankings & Rotation Intel
20:00 – Why Player Props > Sides & Totals
32:00 – Scaling Up, Quitting the Job & Betting Partnerships
41:00 – Turning Down Tout Life & Ethics of Selling Picks
52:00 – Future of NBA Props & Growth via Volume + SGPs
59:30 – Gambling Legislation, Kalshi & Tax Debate
1:20:30 – Listener Q&A, Dead Edges & Final Reflections

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Unfortunately...talking to other people and being social can be really +EV

In this episode we help by giving a dive deep into the how and why of building strong partnerships in the sports betting world. From meeting the right people and forming a core team, to scaling through network effects, online presence, and industry events like BetBash — we cover the strategies, pitfalls, and real-world experiences behind successful collaboration. 

Plus, we form opinions on key headlines around betting scandals and gambling laws that are very loosely researched then answer your questions. One of the questions involves how to get your wife to like you - so if you need help there it's covered.

03:00 Origin Story & Starting the Betting Partnership
09:45 Going Solo vs. Teaming Up Early
16:00 Expanding the Team & Building a Network
21:00 Growing an Online Presence
30:00 Best Practices for Networking & Outreach
44:00 Plans for BetBash & Guest Recruiting
49:30 News (You can get limited in PvP)
1:20:00 – Listener Questions: Strategy, Partnerships, Music & More

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

We are joined by Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes - the most profitable bettor on Kalshi this month and a professional bettor not afraid to bet huge on great spots.

Chris talks about scaling his betting from being a solo-bettor using OddsJam to running one of the bigger groups in operation. He also enjoys mixing it up on Twitter under the handle @flupnolide where you can find him posting some of the biggest bets that hit the exchanges. 

If you don't listen to this episode you must not like putting down big money on huge edges!

Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/flupnolide

0:00 Intro & Start of Betting
11:30 Rundown of Flup's Operation
22:00 Flup's Superpower: Account Priming
39:00 Benefit of Winning Circa Survivor
44:45 Why do content?
53:45 $300k Sinner Bet
1:00:00 Gambling Twitter 0 Poker IQ
1:06:00 Edge Graveyard
1:29:00 Everything Prediction Markets
2:05:00 Hot Takes & Bayesian Updates

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

After two weeks of bad news - the boys start to feel some hope this episode and explain how they have improved their betting during breaks in their sports.  With the sports calendar at its lightest, they dig into why the offseason is a high-leverage window for bettors to optimize their workflows, trim dead weight, and tackle big projects. From cleaning code and cutting distractions to poking around new betting markets, they share how smart time use now sets you up for a stronger fall.

00:00 – Offseason Mindset
06:30 – Cut, Clean, Optimize
14:00 – Big Projects That Pay Off
22:00 – Poking Around New Markets
33:30 – Learning, Documentation & Skill Building
48:00 – Industry News & What’s Next

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Are you relying on twitter to tell you if you should quite gambling or not following the gambling tax disaster in the BBB?

In this episode we sit down with Gary Kondler of Kondler & Associates - the gambling industry leading tax and consulting firm - to discuss the changes in the bill.

From the myths that exploded on Twitter to the real-life tax nightmares facing poker pros, slot whales, and DFS grinders, Gary walks us through exactly what’s changing, who’s most at risk, and how to protect yourself. Whether you're a solo bettor, a casual casino-goer, or part of a syndicate, this episode could save you thousands—and a major audit headache.

Kondler & Associates: https://kondlercpa.com/

00:00 – The Big Change: Understanding the BBB Bill
09:00 – Real Tax Impact: Examples That Hurt
21:00 – Filing as a Pro vs. Amateur
36:00 – Sessions Method, W2Gs & Audit Risk
51:00 – State-Level Chaos & Planning for 2026

1:12:00 - GP & SP React & Speculate Wildly

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

 This week, GP and SP go deep on what's arguably the most pivotal week for the gambling world in years. From legislative crackdowns and lawsuits to tax chaos and rigging scandals, the crew delivers a comprehensive State of the Union for sports betting and its gray-market cousins. If you care about betting—legally, professionally, or recreationally—this is a must-listen. 

0:00 – Opening Thoughts & Why This Episode Exists
5:30 – New Jersey Proxy Betting Bill
20:30 – The Sweeps Crackdown
29:30 – Prediction Markets: The New Gray Market Darling
38:30 – Underdog vs. California?
55:30 – The Federal Tax Bomb That Could Kill Sports Betting
1:08:30 – Malik Beasley’s Sketchy Rebounds Line Movement
1:15:30 – Fanatics Passes on Illinois Tax Hike (to You)
1:18:30 – SP’s “Bug” Speech
1:20:30 – Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

We’re so back with part two of Flaming Hot Sharp Sports Betting Takes! We offer some preeeety spicy opinions on:

• Why executing an edge beats finding one
• Embracing high-hold markets and "one-way" bets
• The value of betting first, asking questions later
• Why hating touts is no longer cool
• Whether being a pro bettor is a legit data science career
• Why going public with your gambling identity can pay off
• And… how much money it would take for us to quit betting forever?

00:00 – Intro
01:30 – Hot Take: Execution > Finding Edges
12:00 – Hot Take: High Hold = High Opportunity
21:00 – Hot Take: Bet First, Ask Questions Later
32:00 – Hot Take: Hating Touts Isn’t Cool Anymore
40:00 – Hot Take: Pro Betting is Good Data Science Job
44:00 – Hot Take: Why Being Public Helps
58:00 – News Roundup (Poker Scandal, FanDuel, CA Ban)
01:16:00 – Q&A: Working with Mules
01:36:00 – Q&A: How Much to Quit Betting Forever?
01:43:00 – Q&A: Model Graveyard + Project Ideas
02:01:00 – Teaser: Bayesian Update of the Week

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This week we learn how to make more money gambling from the lessons of "The Reverend" Thomas Bayes.

His theorem is the backbone of every successful sports bettor (even if they don't know it).

This week we walk through examples of priors, posteriors and general Bayesian betting hygiene. It's more electric than it sounds!

Andrew Mack's Book: Amazon

0:00 Bayesian Thinking Intro
10:05 Bayes in Sports Betting
51:23 News
1:07:30 SP v. DK Pick6
1:18:45 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Second guest episode of the SP era - with a guy living the dream. Akash worked in the front offices of the New York Yankees and Miami Dolphins as well as a Google data scientist before leaving it all behind to be a full-time bettor.

This builds on our recent modeling episodes as we take a jump from simple/ regression based models into the AI/ML blackbox.

You can find Akash in the GP Discord under the name joshroyale

00:00 Show Intro 
01:50 Yankees Front Office 
11:05 Transition from Sports Analytics to Betting  
23:30 Data Pipelines, Friction Reduction and Useful Features  
39:45 AI vs. Pro Sports Bettor
49:50 Modeling Philosophy: Transparency vs. Black Boxes  
1:11:35 Handling Downswings and Model Validation  
1:17:00 News Roundup: IL Tax, FanDuel Ban, Polymarket x Twitter  
1:30:50 Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Have you ever projected a player to get 23.2 points and wondered if under 24.5 -115 was a +EV bet?

The answer to this question and more can be found in this magic, exciting, adrenaline pumping thing called...distributions!

This week the lads follow up their episode on making your own numbers with an episode on how to turn those numbers into probabilities. And the news section gets very speculative as GP returns to gambling twitter to research a story that intersects the sports betting and poker worlds.

0:00 Intro
3:50 Distributions
1:02:31 Illinois Tax Hike
1:18:44 Poker Scandal
1:39:33 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Feeling overwhelmed when considering the jump from +EV betting to building your own model?

We don't blame you. The little content there is out there on how to get started makes it sound impossible. But the reality is, in the beginning, it's rather straightforward.

In this episode, the boys help you get started with your first sports betting model before getting into the news and Q&A

0:00 Intro
2:30 How to Build Sports Models
55:51 News
1:15:30 Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

GP slowly realizes he's a DFS fish as he recaps his high stakes PGA Championship lineup building strategy to SP. SP breaks down what a winning sports bettor needs to do to win in DFS (and vice-versa)

SP then weighs in on Underdog allowing RTA following GP's rant last episode and the boys discuss why the state of Wyoming determined anyone who wins betting is a cheater.

Questions range from how did the hosts learn to model to if SPs DraftKings VIP vacation is real?

0:00 How to Win at DFS
41:50 Underdog/ ETR RTA 2.0
1:00:27 Wyoming says you're a cheater
1:08:27 Q&A
1:11:15 Big liquidity on exchanges means...?
1:22:00 How did we learn how to model sports?
1:39:54 Is market efficiency inevitable?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

GP flies solo this week and takes the opportunity to ramble on about his journey from mediocre poker player to pretty good sports bettor. (This includes a quick double-up on the signing bonus he got in business school)

The news is dominated by the Real Time Assistance tool ETR released for Underdog best ball drafts. If you think that's the story - you're wrong. Because Underdog comes out and says they ALLOW this type of RTA in a move that blows the mind of anyone who's ever played online poker.

Q&A then goes into why GP doesn't plug GP Picks+ on the pod and some other odds and ends.

Remember - all things related to the podcast stem from the free discord at goldenpants.com

0:00 GP Origin Story
31:40 Key moments & lifestyle changes that lead to success
42:05 Underdog allows ETR's real-time assistance tool
1:04:00 Penn boardroom drama
1:09:00 What do you say you do for a living?
1:12:05 Why do you not plug GP Picks+?
1:26:40 How to find balance without set hours

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

This episode has it all. GP's childish morning routine, what music you should listen to while modeling, and some hot takes based on a cursory glance at the news.

The Q&A is dominated by a great question at the end regarding how achievable year-over-year profits are by someone who never models or scales a betting group.

Remember to join the discord (link below) if you want your question on a future episode. The discord is free and we answer almost every question - so hop and it participate in the show!

0:00 Day/ Week in Life of a Pro/Semi-Pro Bettor
39:39 AI beats Sean Perry, are we doomed?
48:07 Sweeps & prediction market update
1:09:00 Mass gaming wants to void Russia
1:18:35 Biggest leak of good bettors?
1:31:15 How to calc a middle?
1:37:37 Will Fliff pay & bet more to increase limits?
1:45:00 Can you make long-term money w/o model or betting group?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

"How can I make my accounts last longer?"

This is the question de jour - and in this episode, we discuss both answers to this question AND if this is even the right question to be asking...

We also spend a lot of time discussing Caesers stiffing Josk McPeek $800k. This leads to interesting discussions on "when is a bet a bet", kiosk jamming, slow cashouts, and more.

Then some great Q&A that tries to get us to stir the pot. Did we take the bait?

0:00 Intro
3:18 Account Limits & Increasing Longevity
35:15 Caesars $800k Stiff 
1:12:30 Kalshi Taking State Gaming Scalps
1:16:50 Why did Sanders fall in the draft?
1:21:35 What is a good partnership split?
1:27:23 Is GP coming back to Twitter?
1:31:50 Outlook on betting & surprises looking back
1:50:42 Overrated and underrated sports bettors

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Very special 100th episode where GP and SP reflect on the current sports betting ecosystem, the goal of the podcast and the best way to incorporate sports betting content into your process.

News includes a game-changing CFTC chair nomination, debate over a void at ProphetX, and the SAFE act keeps marching us towards our eventual doom.

To cap it off - the longest Q&A in podcast history. We took all the questions this week in honor of the 100th episode. If you want to join the discord and ask questions next week - join for free at goldenpants.com 


0:00 Intro
2:33 Lessons from GPs content evolution
17:40 How to best consume gambling content
39:11 News
1:03:05 Longest listener Q&A of all-time

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
1:20 Backtesting - All you need to know
40:08 News
1:09:00 Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
3:00 Betting Big Events
56:38 News
1:20:32 Listener Q&A
1:44:10 Masters Locks (after the Masters started)

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Today we have a very special episode. The first "edge graveyard" where we bring on a guest, talk about their betting strategies - and most importantly all share some of our favorite dead edges.

Today's guest is Mike, aka @MetroPassMike on Twitter. He's a very sharp bettor who was able to squeeze a quarter million dollars out of his PERSONAL LIMITED REC ACCOUNTS in 2024. Crazy stuff - tune in!

0:00 Intro
2:40 Who really IS MetroPassMike?
9:40 Leaking edges - is it good, and what constitutes a "leaked edge"?
17:00 How does Mike organize his betting w/ his job?
22:10 How to poke around sportsbooks like a pro
33:00 THE EDGE GRAVEYARD
1:02:30 Getting max value from a betting account
1:10:45 How to find others to work with in betting
1:18:38 Mike's hot take on sweeps + prediction markets
1:27:25 Listener Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
1:30 How to Determine Confidence in Edges
38:12 Robinhood under fire & sweeps updates
55:36 Florida regulator "hit & runs" Prizepicks & Underdog
1:06:48 What to do when exchanges show huge liquidity?
1:16:41 Should there be minimum bet requirements? (No)
1:26:30 Making life easier for P2s
1:40:10 What to do when you get stiffed?
1:52:45 How to increase your skills through learning/ networking?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
3:00 What are exchanges and how do they work?
28:34 Strategies for Profiting at Exchanges
49:15 Robinhood Sports Betting
55:36 Novelty Markets on Sweeps
1:10:38 John Oliver on Sports Betting
1:31:00 Q&A: Account Priming
1:55:20 Q&A: PPH
2:06:38 Q&A: Best time spent/ money made ratio and future episode topics

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
2:49 How to go from top down to bottom up betting
48:13 SAFE Act
1:01:38 Catastrophic week for Sweepstakes 
1:13:17 Hardrock somehow not biggest sportsbook in Florida
1:18:44 DK to enter prediction markets
1:24:21 Should I be a bookmaker?
1:29:27 What to do with limited accounts?
1:43:15 Is peer-to-peer betting a good next step after getting hit with limits?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
2:25 Adverse Selection Deep Dive 
40:35 Betting News
1:14:35 How to Tell your Friends & Family You are a Pro Degen
1:27:11 Live EV Betting v. Live Arbing
1:34:25 Dealing with Downswings
1:52:37 Why GP NO MORE PICKS?!?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
2:25 Kelly is flat out wrong
11:50 Odds screens are useless
19:00 Account priming is astrology for dudes
31:55 You need to be technical to be a great originator
39:00 Buy more picks, subscribe to more discords
45:50 Sharp books - not as sharp as we think?
52:40 Hot takes that missed the cut
59:00 NASCAR Parimutuel
1:20:40 Sweeps update/ WPT Gold
1:28:20 How to get betting to fit into your life
1:36:30 Logistics on betting partnerships
1:42:25 Best ways to evaluate new sports/ markets
1:52:15 Exchanges - can you win top down?
1:57:35 Edge grow / diminish over a season?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
1:33 Is it more profitable to be a "Specialist" or "Generalist" in sports betting?
42:16 iGaming legal blows a bad thing for sports betting?
53:51 How can sports betting skills transfer to other ventures / life?
1:04:55 Should you bonus churn with a $200k bankroll?
1:14:50 When should you take your bankroll and invest it elsewhere?
1:32:26 Does 1-click bet burn your accounts?
1:44:25 How do you win at betting if you are a "dunce"?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

0:00 Intro
0:33 What Sports Betting Market Should YOU Attack?
26:45 Super Bowl Betting
29:00 Health of Industry
35:45 Sweeps Trouble
45:40 Listener Q &A
46:15 Live Betting Tips
57:45 Are Futures Worth it?
1:09:15 How to Betsize for Parlays
1:16:40 Automation v. Hand Adjustments - How to Balance
1:32:06 Will Perception of Sports Betting & Sports Bettors Get Less Negative?

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Wow - very important and historic episode. My good friend SportsProjections joins the podcast as a permanent co-host and we start to actually have structure to our episodes.

Each week we will bring you the same educational deep-dives as always, but now we will be addressing any news that's relevant to someone looking to make money betting and answering audience Q&A.

If you want your questions on the show - join the discord at: https://www.goldenpants.com/

0:00 Intro
4:05 Education: Where Does Alpha Come From?
31:27 Current Events: Prediction Markets in Sports Betting?
53:00 Audience Q&A

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

You are losing but being told it's "just variance". Is that true? Is there anything you can do to prove or disprove that? And is there anything you can do to snap a losing streak?

All of your questions answered in this episode on how to interpret small samples of extreme results!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Today is for the nerds! Let's talk about the pre-model checklist you need to avoid some of the biggest mistakes I have made in my sports betting career.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Did my last episode make you think being a full-time bettor sucks? Then this episode may be for you!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

In this episode, John breaks down what it takes to be a professional gambler (and if it's even something you want to do)

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

The last episode of my working with others in betting series. This focuses on how to find and work with people who can take key operational items off your plate. Very VERY important for scaling and getting yourself squared away come tax season.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Today we break down how/why to team up with other bettors. Also - I am releasing my full course for free on YouTube! Link here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRiskTakersPodcast

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

3-Part Series ALERT

I have been trying to put together a podcast sharing what I have learned from working with others in betting (betting partners, movers, syndicate betting).

It turned out trying to squeeze it into one episode wasn't working - so I broke it into three logical parts that represent steps of the journey from "lone wolf" bettor to Billy Walters wannabe.

Hope you enjoy - please subscribe and rate the podcast, it does help!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

For the best hourly in sports betting, start playing with GP Picks+ : https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Today I explain a question we all need to be asking ourselves everyday when it comes to betting.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

A couple of spicy takes Trojan Horse an important lesson in choosing the right betting markets.

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

In this episode I discuss a few of the main characters from the Sabermetrics movement (and what we can learn from them to make money betting)

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

We are so BACK!!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Want to join the best sports betting discord server for FREE? Go here: https://discord.gg/goldenpants

For this podcast I'm joined by my friend Joseph to discuss betting goals, ethics of sports books, and why psychology is key to making money.

0:00 Intro
1:10 Joseph's Start
6:12 Keep Learning
10:42 Winning Makes You A Good Gambler
14:45 Different Gambling Goals
21:16 Psychology In Sportsbetting
28:33 Ethics of Sportsbooks
32:27 Finding Good Information
36:52 Beginner Betting Strategies
48:26 You Don't Need To Be A Genius
56:29 Not All Bonuses Are The Same
59:32 How To Not Look Sharp
1:09:10 Core Of Gambling
1:19:30 Human Aspect Of Betting
1:26:30 Outro

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Someone in my discord asked me a question about whether it was worth it for them to work with a mover or not. When I looked at the proposed deal - it didn't seem like the mover was providing any value.

In this episode I share my thoughts on what makes a productive professional relationship in the betting space. 

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Want to get the September promotion for GP Picks+? Check it out here: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

In this episode I talk about launching an automated bet feed - GP Picks+, and everything I learned about top down betting in the process. (Note - there is value for originators in learning top down)

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Learn why clicking the cashout button is similar to betting into a sharp book in this episode!

Big announcement - I have gone live with the most robust automated bet feed on the market in my discord.

If you want to save time, increase volume, and make money during the betting busy season - head over to https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks and check out what we have cooked up!

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Want to WIN sports betting? Go here: https://academy.goldenpants.com/ 

Want to START learning for free? Go here: https://discord.gg/goldenpants

For this podcast I'm joined by Dan aka Doctor Razz, and we discuss hedging bets, overbetting possibly being good, and an epic Phil Ivey story.

Use Dan's code 'SG20' at checkout for GP Academy to support Dan and get 20% off your first month!

Dan on Twitter-
https://x.com/DoctorRazzWSOP

0:00 Intro
0:40 Dan's Start
11:55 Two Plus Two Was Great
13:09 The Switch to Sportsbetting
32:53 Hedging in Golf
39:48 Scaling Golf Bets
45:12 How He Got The Name, Dr. Razz
50:37 Gambling & Sportsbetting Content
55:18 Overbetting/Bankroll Management
1:07:47 Emotions in Gambling
1:11:26 Laddering Explained
1:20:22 Randomness in Sportsbetting
1:24:33 Advantages Poker Players Have in Sportsbetting
1:32:04 Game Selection/Phil Ivey Story
1:42:44 Realizing Your Edge
1:57:34 Poker Stories
2:01:18 Outro 

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Want to WIN sports betting? Go here: https://academy.goldenpants.com/

Want to START learning for free? Go here: https://discord.gg/goldenpants

Check out this free GP Academy class on one of the most requested topics - "Bottom-up betting". This is a taste for what we are offering within the Academy. If you want to learn how to implement these strategies with practical code and database walkthroughs - sign up today: https://academy.goldenpants.com/

2:40 Why?
13:15 Scouting The Market
22:10 Building
25:10 Craft A Hypothesis
27:40 Find Your Sources
31:50 Gather The Data
33:30 Build The Database
37:00 Build The Model
38:55 Maintain The Model
40:10 Execute
43:00 Summary
44:35 QnA

Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.

My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/

Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj

Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.com

Want 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks