Books Referenced in the Podcast
- Stocks for the Long Run by Jeremy Siegel:
- Buy on Amazon
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You can find out more information by listening to episode 11 of this podcast.
Buying Stocks is NOT a Zero-Sum Game (Investing First Principle) - Show Outline
The full show notes for this episode are available at https://www.diyinvesting.org/Episode31
Mental Model: Zero-Sum Games
- Any gains by one participant must be offset with losses by other participants.
- The sum total of all value for all participants is equal to zero
Why buying Stocks is NOT a Zero-Sum Game
- Stocks as a whole don't provide a positive expected value
- You don’t have to “take” from others in order to receive. When companies create value this is “new value.” The economy grows, everyone becomes wealthier.
Stock Picking vs Index Funds?
- The thought is that half of the money must underperform an index, and half of the money can outperform an index. The thought, therefore, is that buying stocks is zero-sum.
- Where is the fallacy?
- Index’s have historically had a positive expected value. If an index returns 10%, even if half of the money receives 8%, and half receives 12%, both parties are successful in growing their wealth.
What is a Positive-Sum Game?
Why is this true? - Capitalism grows the economic pie