Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast The Basewinner Podcast

Scott talks with the Basewinner about how great the 2023 model is doing (up more than 12 units!) and about the current state of starting pitching in the leagues.

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Make sure to go to basewinner.com and sign up for the premium package - it's only $99 for the season.

Scott talks with Basewinner about his modeling for the 2023 season.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming wildcard playoff games.

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about the importance of the 3-man starting rotation and its implications for the postseason.

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about the current status of Basewinner Crunch, then they look at the divisional futures and discuss the importance of bullpens.

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck".

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify defensive "luck" and what makes a pitcher "lucky".

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about the starter "Stuff+" metric from The Athletic and how it can be used for betting.

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The Athletic Article on Stuff+

Scott talks with the Basewinner about bullpens and the "Bullpen Stuff" metrics.

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Scott talks with the Basewinner about how standardizing the humidification and temperature of stored balls affect their travel. Basewinner also looks at hard Hard Hit vs. OPS numbers to see which teams might regress.

Here's the link to The Athletic article on MLB's plan to standardize humidors at all parks.

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On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the futures for home run leaders and the current OPS vs OPS with RISP.

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On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss how to use OPS with RISP to identify teams that are candidates for regression and the current futures markets for NL Cy Young awards.

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On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the Basewinner Pre-Season Component Ranks and the projected Division Win Percentages versus what the sportsbooks are offering. Download Episode Content

Scott talks with Basewinner about Atlanta and Houston's bullpens for the upcoming World Series games.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS recap with cumulative series BaseRuns and Basewinner ERAs, playoff projections, and the Bullpen command ratings.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoff race and identifying where his numbers show an edge over the book prices. They also discuss what Mark expects to see in the next two weeks. Will it be the Rays and the Dodgers again this year?   Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about dismal swing betting results with the Tigers and the Astros, a new five-inning model Mark is developing, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Tigers and the Blue Jays, the expected standings going into the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting results with the Cardinals, how the league futures are shaping up as we get closer to the playoffs, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about swing betting the Tigers and Cardinals, the effect the recent trades will have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about Mariners swing betting, the effect the upcoming trades might have on the standings, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about Astros swing betting, the next team to play on/fade based on expected standings plus 3M starter numbers, Home Run Derby strategy for Monday, and the 3M bullpen numbers.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about using applying financial trading concepts to sports betting and how MLB's crackdown on "sticky stuff" is going to affect pitching stats.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the effect on OPS when a batter can get to 2-1 in the count. Then they discusses the new baseball weather site they built.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model. Also find out why Mark thinks the Cardinals are the luckiest team in baseball.   Show Notes and Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the league standings, WRC+ RISP vs full, the top and bottom 20 starters based on the 3M model, and the bullpen ratings from the 3M model.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about his the three-metric bullpen pitcher rating tool (3MBP), the league-wide standard vs. component-based standings, league-wide WRC+ RISP vs full, and the top 20 starting pitchers.   Download Charts   Episode Website

Scott talks with Basewinner about his new three-metric pitcher ranking tool, moneylines and their implied implied odds, and WRC+ vs RISP WRC+.   Show Notes

Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming season, the NL West projections, team salaries, and what deadened ball controversies we can look forward to this year.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about the LCS results and gets his thoughts on the upcoming World Series.   Download episode charts  

Scott talks with Basewinner about the LDS results and thoughts about the upcoming league championship series. They also discuss why some people choose to play with legal sportsbooks despite having worse lines.   Download Episode Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the wildcard series results and thoughts about the upcoming league division series. They also discuss the pitcher rating tool and MLB weather tool on basewinnner.com.   Download episode content

Scott talks with Basewinner about the playoffs and we give final numbers and thoughts regarding the 2020 NL West Season. The guys talk about how to how to calculate house margin for playoff futures and why betting futures most likely is not the best available bet. Also, Basewinner goes over all playoff wild-card series calculations and tells you what he would bet if he was playing these and what he would do if investing in the Playoff futures market. Also, Basewinner talks about the weighted coin idea when calculating Playoff series prices.   Download Episode Charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming playoffs and Chris Paddack from the Padres. Is he having as bad a season as everyone says? Plus, the podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Sabermetric and Weekly standings and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression.

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Scott talks with Basewinner about 2020 MLB home and away splits. Basewinner takes a look at the leaders in home/away splits involving two stats he feels are very important. How can you use these stats and splits as a baseball handicapper? Also, we takes a look at the Diamondbacks' Zac Gallen. What will be Basewinner's general betting approach when looking at his games? Plus, the podcast regular segment of in-depth NL West standings, sabermetric, and weekly standings.   Download show charts

Scott talks with Basewinner about the Los Angeles Angels and answers two member questions: Why does Basewinner still have the Angels offense rated so high, and why is he backing off them now despite the daily model projections usually still showing value on them? Also, BW revisits Madison Bumgarner as he makes his return back to the D'Backs rotation. What is Basewinner's take away from MadBum's awful start to his D'Back career. Plus, podcast regular segments of in-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standing and review of RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression.

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Basewinner and Scott review the 2020 teams that hit the best vs. specific pitch types. This could be helpful with pitch mix game analysis. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric, and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Kenley Jansen. Basewinner still likes him goes over the reasons why plus a quick but important lesson in MLB analyzing him has brought out again.   Download extra content here

Basewinner and Scott review the teams that have outperformed or fallen behind their pre-season expectations. This could be helpful to identify potential regression candidates. In-depth NL West Standings, Sabermetric and Weekly standings. Basewinner reviews RISP vs. Full comparisons on both Offense and Defense to identify potential regression. NL West starting pitcher spotlight is on Merril Kelly. Basewinner is upbeat on him and goes over the reasons why.

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Mark and Scott discuss the NL West vs. sabermetrics, RISP vs. full disparity, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and the research Mark has been doing on fielding. We finish up by discussing Kevin Gausman from the Giants.

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Stat of the Week: The importance of defense

Mark and Scott discuss the NL West Standings, the Runs/100 metric compared to wRC+, and Madison Bumgarner's surprising lack of velocity and control.

Episode 2 Content

Madison Bumgarner is throwing 88 mph. How concerning is that?

Mark and Scott discuss the 2020 season, COVID outbreaks among the players, and how a shortened season will affect stats.

Mark takes us through one of his favorite stats, Runners in Scoring Position (RISP) and Weighted Runs Created Plus. (wRC+)

We finish out the episode by discussing German Marquez and his surprising home/road splits.

If you want to follow along, you can download the episode's extra content.

Intro music courtesy of MrRunnerholic.

Basewinner gives you some key NL West numbers so you can impress your dates and win money from the Vegas books. Detailed ratings are here for your pleasure.

3:00 -- NL West standings projections, wins and division probabilities
4:45 -- NL West Starting Pitching
11:40 -- NL West Bullpen
14:25 -- NL West Batting
17:20 -- Cool Statcast aggregates for NL West

Clear Data Sports is excited to welcome back The Syrian Pony and Riley after a long sports hiatus. They will be discussing the retooled NFL model and giving out ALL of our season win totals FOR FREE! 

If you want to be a member of the community, you can do so FREE through July. Contact customerservice@cleardatasports.com and Pony will take care of you.

The podcast discusses each division in the following order in case you want to jump around:

AFC East, North, South, West...NFC East, North, South, West

This edition of BW Crunch features our soccer expert, Riley Wichmann. A tasty play is given out in the Bournemouth v. Chelsea match.

The guys also talk about the ups and downs of handicapping and about what has gone right and wrong this year on the EPL modeling side. 

This edition of BW Crunch goes very deep as the Clear Data Sports Champions League handicapping process is broken down by our soccer expert, Riley Wichmann.

Basewinner hosts. He is in a generous mood and coaxes two official future UCL plays out of Riley that will pay out nicely if they hit. Riley highlights the depths of an amazing modeling process that has led to a nice 18 unit profit since the models inception.  

Also as a bonus, Riley deals out a breakdown on the Aston Villa v. Tottenham game with a strong official play.

Basewinner also talks about a couple exciting things that will be coming out of the Clear Data camp in the next month.

Basewinner goes over essential NL Playoff Numbers in hopes to find playoff value.

 Key topics covered:
1- Who is the 2019 MLB "Natural" in Basewinner's opinion.
2- Season win total review.
2- Basewinner playoff handicapping process at a high level.
3- Interesting notes regarding the NL playoff teams.
4- A small NL series play.

Basewinner gives you a breakdown of the CDSI 2019 Season win totals and his view on MLB.

 Key topics covered:
1- BW's take on SWT's -- the good, the bad, the remaining projections.
2- The most important thing you should look for when choosing a credible Sports Betting Information source.
3- The CDS 2019 baseball record broken down and BW's take.
4- Will the "elite under" make a comeback in 2020
5- Basewinner is baffled by lack of media response to juiced ball. He gets intense on this one.

Basewinner gives you a good look at the CHC v. CIN game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games.

 Key topics covered:
1- BW's take on CHC v. CIN including log cutters for Kyle Hendricks and Sony Gray.
2- Team bullpen ratings.
3- BBK to WRC+ Regression Chart Analysis for Reds and Cubs
4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.

Basewinner talks about a play with good value on the Friday card and goes rapid fire with bbk for 5 games on the card.

 Key topics covered:

 1- Key component numbers and model projections for Indians and Twins.
2- Basewinner's take and log cutter for Shane Bieber
3- Will Twins regress?
4- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only

Basewinner gives you a good look at the CIN v. ATL game on the Saturday card and gets you ready with bbk projections for 5 games.

Key topics covered:
1- BW's take on CIN v. ATL including log cutters for Trevor Bauer and Dallas Keuchel.
2- Man by man bullpen comparisons.
3- Team bullpen ratings.
4- Reds subtraction of Puig - how it affects our ratings and probability projections.
5- Look at futures for both teams.
6- Rapid fire probabilities for 5 games based on bbk model only.