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TitreDateDurée
Exploring Corporate America's Nearly Unchecked Power in D.C.03 sept. 202401:00:26

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Brody Mullins to the show. Brody is a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative reporter and author of the new book The Wolves of K Street. He joins the podcast to share insights from his two-plus decades spent investigating the Washington political scene. 

Brody kicks off the show by discussing his history reporting on antitrust regulation. He notes that recently, both major political parties in D.C. have become less friendly to Big Tech companies and are using antitrust regulation to slow their growth. After, Brody talks a bit about how he got started in journalism, the importance of holding those in power accountable, and why he has dedicated his life to investigating companies. (1:27)

Next, Brody shares some details about his book. He points out that for most of this country's history, companies had very little influence in Washington. Things only changed in the 1970s once the economy cratered and stagflation hit. Then, companies began to lobby in order to twist regulations and gain an advantage in the market. Brody also explains lobbying in simple terms, including how lobbyists raise money for members of Congress. He argues that legal loopholes and undisclosed funds to influence constituents have made companies nearly untouchable. (15:10)

Finally, Brody discusses why there's still hope for the American people to fight back. He explains that negative public perception about these big, powerful corporations (such as Amazon and Google parent Alphabet) has influenced antitrust regulators to begin taking action. He also talks about insider trading among members of Congress and emphasizes that all of these conflicts of interest are not limited to one party. (33:38)

An Exceptional Trading Season Is Right Around the Corner26 août 202401:01:49

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Greg Diamond back to the
show. Greg is a fellow analyst at Stansberry Research and editor of the trading advisory Ten
Stock Trader. With nearly two decades' worth of experience trading and managing every
asset class, Greg is an expert at technical analysis and interpreting market cycles.


Greg kicks things off by reviewing the inflection points he predicted last time he was on the
podcast. He explains what these time cycles mean and how they've influenced his trading
strategy this year. He also discusses the upcoming presidential election and how crucial it is
for investors to put aside their biases. According to Greg, the market's wider emotional
reactions to the election could present some fantastic buying opportunities. (0:55)


Next, Greg breaks down famed trader W.D. Gann's technical strategies into simple terms. He
emphasizes that the "why" in market cycles is not really important. What matters is whether
history is repeating or not. Greg warns of cycle inversions, however, and points out that
many charts and algorithms in technical analysis just reflect human emotion. Investors will
naturally reach different conclusions about the market, which creates volatility. (17:03)


Finally, Greg talks about short-term trading versus holding stocks for the long term. He
shares that this presidential election is the most excited he has been about trading since
2022. Greg foresees "an exceptional trading season" after a fairly boring start to the year.
And he hammers home that investors should be careful of increased volatility for the next
few months and possibly even the next few years. (39:41)

Beware the Market's 'Expectations Bubble'19 août 202400:57:57

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Bob Elliott back to the
show. Bob is the co-founder, chief investment officer, and CEO of Unlimited. The investment
firm uses machine learning to replicate the index returns of hedge funds, venture capital,
and private equity. Bob explores a wide range of topics in the podcast, from counteracting
inflation with certain investments to the worsening future of globalization.


Bob kicks off the show by talking about the importance of holding yourself accountable with
investing and about bonds in relation to the Federal Reserve's next moves. Many investors
are expecting an aggressive rate-cutting cycle, but as Bob points out, the Fed may not live
up to those expectations. He also discusses the flaws of the 60/40 portfolio in today's
market, why you should hold gold as part of your portfolio, and two primary factors that
could contribute to a long-term inflationary environment. (1:02)


Next, Bob explores ways to properly balance your portfolio to preserve wealth and minimize
volatility. This leads to a conversation about Treasury inflation-protected securities. Bob
describes why they're a better investment today than they were a few years ago and what
gives them an edge over nominal bonds. After, he discusses the supply-and-demand
imbalance in natural resources, oil's supply sensitivity versus precious metals, and the
green-energy movement. (20:57)


Finally, Bob makes his case for investing in natural resource companies and warns listeners
about roll costs when trading in the futures market. He then talks from a macro perspective
about productivity in relation to AI. As he explains, AI has not yet led to large productivity
advances like we saw with the advent of the personal computer. (37:58)

How to Identify the Best Mining and Exploration Companies12 août 202400:59:26

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Brent Cook back to the
show. Brent is an economic geologist, as well as the founder and senior adviser of newsletter
company Exploration Insights. With more than 30 years of experience in property economics
and geology evaluations – spanning 60-plus countries – Brent has seen it all. He is one of the
most credible, successful, and knowledgeable mining-stock investors in the world. If you
invest in mining stocks, this episode is an absolute must-listen experience.

Brent kicks off the show by discussing what's happening at Yellowstone and what he learned 
from attending Rick Rule's mining conference. Brent warns investors to beware of mining
and exploration companies that are picking up old, "dead" projects and redrilling holes,
purely to bump up their share price and raise capital. After, Brent details a bit about his
career history and how he ended up in geology. (0:43)

Next, Brent discusses what investors should look for when trying to find a mining company 
worth buying. This includes the narrative of the broader economy, the risk profile, and
knowing what kinds of results you want to see from the company in terms of drill results. As
he explains, folks should seek high-margin companies with good management teams and
with deposits in friendly jurisdictions. He lists off several regions and countries that he
believes look promising today, plus some complications he has faced in the past. (19:21)

Finally, Brent names a copper-mining company that he's interested in today. It has water 
rights, no environmental liabilities, and a project that looks auspicious. He also shares a
gold-mining company he likes that's developing a very high-grade deposit in Australia. Brent
then explains the difference between mining and extracting gold and copper, and he makes
a bullish case for the red metal. (34:02)

We're Entering a New Bull Market in Gold05 août 202400:59:32

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Rudi Fronk back to the
show. Rudi is the founder, chairman, and CEO of Seabridge Gold (SA). With more than 35
years of experience in the gold industry, Rudi is an expert in his field. He joins the podcast to
talk all about precious metals mining, future opportunities for gold and copper, and what
sets his company apart from the rest.


Rudi begins by giving a brief history of how he got into gold mining. He shares the reason he
started Seabridge with shareholder value in mind. He also breaks down some of the risks
involved in mining – including working in politically unstable countries – and why he'll never
build another mine again. After, he talks a bit about the technical aspects of drilling,
exploration, and the process behind estimating how much gold is in the ground. (1:14)


Next, Rudi discusses potential joint-venture opportunities with leading mining companies for
Seabridge's KSM property, mainly thanks to increased demand for copper. He also talks
about the importance of permitting, catalysts that could move Seabridge's share price
higher, offsetting share dilution, and early-stage projects that are in the works. And Rudi
makes his case for why gold is entering a new, interesting bull market. (16:55)


Finally, Rudi shares his opinion on bitcoin, talks further about soaring copper demand, and
delves into Seabridge's goal of giving back physical gold to investors. As he explains, the
KSM property is expected to produce more than 1 million ounces of gold per year for the first
33 years. And 35% to 49% of gold produced will be returned to the company. (33:56)

Buy What Wall Street Hates29 juil. 202400:58:15

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by investor and bestselling author Larry McDonald. Larry founded The Bear Traps Report, an investment newsletter that looks at global political and systemic risks when making actionable trades. He is also a frequent contributor on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business News.

Larry kicks off the show by sharing his history as a trader at Lehman Brothers and how certain parts of today's market mirror the 2008 crash. He notes that commodities are extremely cheap while semiconductors just hit an all-time high. Larry predicts that capital will migrate back toward real assets. He also discusses what a second Donald Trump presidential term would mean for the bond market, the huge risk with inflation, and a possible bright spot for the housing market as Baby Boomers age. (1:01)

Next, Larry breaks down his trading strategy involving capitulation. He brings up the extreme 20% discount in copper today and makes a five-year bull case for natural gas. This leads to a conversation about the current hot stocks in artificial intelligence ("AI"). Larry says that the AI mania has gotten so bad, chief financial officers at tech companies have to invest in AI even if they don't want to, for fear of losing their jobs. He believes we're in the early stages of an unwinding. And he notes that many companies adjacent to AI, like those relating to the electrical grid, have been left for dead. (17:36)

Finally, Larry explains that the pain cycles following market bubbles should be longer, but quantitative easing has gotten in the way of that natural process. Bad businesses used to be cleaned out, but now they're able to survive. Larry condemns "evil" passive investing and talks about how much worse the practice has gotten in the past decade and a half. He then lists off a few specific stocks he finds attractive today and advises investors to be careful about buying dips. (36:56)

Stop Paying Too Much for Stocks22 juil. 202401:02:41

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague Mike
Barrett back to the show. Mike is editor of Select Value Opportunities and senior analyst of
Extreme Value. He joins the podcast to talk extensively about valuations, why you should
never pay too much for a stock, and the opportunities he sees in the market today.


Mike kicks off the episode by giving updates on his pecan plantation and his weekly Select
Value Opportunities newsletter. He explains that this service helps subscribers beat the
market while taking on less risk. The portfolio has returned about 14.5% since inception and
has outperformed its benchmark for nearly 80 straight weeks. Mike's secret to
outperformance is his system... It focuses on valuations and gives daily rankings of 100 well-
known stocks. That way, subscribers can enter positions at an ideal moment. Mike
emphasizes the importance of valuation and reminds listeners that it's a metric for future
performance. (1:34)


Next, Mike analyzes the differences between valuing stocks in public markets and his past
experience with valuing real estate in private markets. Plus, he talks more about momentum
being another important factor in picking stocks and how valuations have changed in recent
times. As Mike explains, the first year he started his service, only 5% of stocks were
overvalued. Now, in the past year, 30% are. This is "unprecedented" and a "warning sign"
that investors should be aware of. Still, Mike's system can help prevent huge losses. (19:28)


Finally, Mike gives his opinion on the overall market action and the broader economic
picture. He brings up market cycles, his belief that unemployment is about to be a big issue,
and factors that will lead gold and silver prices higher from here. He points out that there are
fewer higher-paying jobs available now and that most growth has been in lower-paying jobs.
This is skewing the jobs data. And he also discusses the importance of the housing sector
when it comes to inflation. (37:27)

250 Million Americans Could Die If the Power Grid Goes Down15 juil. 202401:09:06

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by investor and award-winning filmmaker David Tice. David is the chief investment officer and senior adviser of a short-selling exchange-traded fund. He also is partner at Moran Tice Capital Management, an investment-advisory firm. 

David kicks off the show by discussing his documentary starring Dennis Quaid, Grid Down, Power Up. The film centers around what would happen if the U.S. power grid went down and the country was left without electricity for a lengthy period of time. David talks about how preventable the catastrophe could be if the government invested in utilities. And he shares that a disaster like this could result in hundreds of millions of Americans dying of starvation or water deprivation. As David emphasizes, this is a very real danger, as America's adversaries are already in the grid from a cyberattack standpoint. (1:36)

Next, David details his short-selling AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear Fund (HDGE). He explains that the fund is up year to date since many bad companies are finally starting to do poorly in the market, especially in commercial real estate. And several factors – overvalued stocks, high interest rates, massive national debt – are setting the country up for a huge decline. David urges listeners to prepare for the worst rather than try to eke out a few more percentage points in gains, especially considering today's geopolitical conditions. (17:44)

Finally, David breaks down how he and his team at HDGE discover companies to short. He cautions, however, that bad stocks can soar just as much as good stocks, so timing is the key factor. After, David discusses his precious metals hedge fund and the huge opportunity he sees in mid-cap producers that are selling extraordinarily cheaply. He lists off two particular gold stocks he's a fan of and explains why he has so much hope for this sector. (34:57)

Be Greedy and Let Your High-Quality Winners Run08 juil. 202401:04:00

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by their colleague Whitney Tilson. Whitney is the lead editor on Stansberry's Investment Advisory – Stansberry Research's flagship newsletter – as well as Commodity Supercycles and his free e-letter Whitney Tilson's Daily. Once dubbed "The Prophet" by CNBC for his prescient calls, he joins the podcast to share some financial wisdom with listeners. 

Whitney kicks off the show by talking about the value of attending investing conferences and other company meetings. You can gain insights, talk to fellow investors, share ideas, and either discover promising trends or discover which trends are "bombs." Whitney emphasizes that avoiding calamities is just as important as finding the next big investment idea. He shares his experience with short selling and how he actually lost a lot of money by employing the technique. This leads to a conversation about value traps – what they are and how they can lead to ruin. (1:24)

Next, Whitney details his storied history with Netflix and why he went from shorting the company to investing in it. Ultimately, he found a 90-bagger. But he sold the stock early and left money on the table. The "most important lesson" he learned from that experience is to let your winners run. As Whitney explains, that's why index funds outperform almost all active managers over a long period of time – because they never sell their winners. (16:40)

Finally, Whitney hammers home that investors should be selective with stocks and only buy the best-quality businesses. Many of these companies see large drawdowns at some point, which can be perfect buying opportunities... even if you're not able to find the exact bottom. Whitney predicts that Nvidia could see a sizable drop since the company is relatively young and volatile. After, he shares that value stocks, small-cap stocks, and international stocks are all at 20-plus-year lows. This extreme underperformance presents an opportunity for investors wanting to diversify their portfolios. And Whitney also breaks down how to spot a high-quality business that may be struggling in the short term versus a value-trap business that will only head lower. (35:02)

You Can't Cut Corners in Investing or in Life01 juil. 202401:10:03

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by E.B. Tucker. E.B. is an
author, editor of The Tucker Letter, and investor with decades of experience in the precious
metals market.


E.B. kicks off the show by discussing the unavoidable loss of privacy in the modern era, how
societal pressures influence the lives of people of all ages, and the strength it takes to
challenge these conventional systems. As he explains, in both the real world and in the
world of finance, you need to learn to let go in order for something better to come along.
E.B. also breaks down why voting as a shareholder is so important. (1:42)


Next, E.B. recommends a few nonfinance books – one about the philosophy of happiness and
one about Yemeni coffee. He reminds listeners that life is about doing what makes you feel
fulfilled and that you should never live according to others' expectations. This leads to a
discussion about the role money plays in giving you the freedom to do whatever makes you
happy. (23:16)


Lastly, E.B. talks about his new book he's working on and how he hopes it'll make readers
reflect on their own life and learn lessons to help them evolve as people. He relates this to
financial teachings, where many readers want shortcuts instead of actually learning for
themselves and growing their techniques. E.B. emphasizes that understanding your own
relationship to an investment is the real secret to success. (40:44)

Where to Find the Biggest 'Hidden Gems' of the AI Boom24 juin 202400:58:43

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Marc Chaikin back to the show. Marc is a 50-year Wall Street veteran and the founder of our corporate affiliate, Chaikin Analytics. He also created a popular Wall Street indicator that appears in every Bloomberg and Reuters terminal in the world.

Marc kicks off the show by describing why he's so bullish in this presidential-election year. He explains that we're now entering a "sweet spot" for the market, and if there are any election surprises, that would be even more reason to buy in. Marc also lists off some sectors that he's bullish on today, especially in mid-cap stocks. These areas of the market aren't making headlines, but they're seeing steady gains and present attractive buying opportunities. (1:38)

Next, Marc shares his thoughts on the current AI boom and compares it with the introduction of the Netscape web browser in 1995. He discusses profit margins versus valuations, the potential loss of jobs due to AI, and the usefulness of large language models like ChatGPT. According to Marc, there are companies across a variety of industry groups that are going to benefit from AI. Investors just have to find them. (15:45)

Lastly, Marc shares all the details about his newest, most personal newsletter service that will be launching soon. He explains that it's going to focus on finding "hidden gems" – mid-cap or small-cap stocks that are undiscovered but have great valuations. As Marc says, "The focus is prospecting for gold nuggets." With his custom Power Gauge system by his side, Marc is going to find hidden winners – in a range of sectors – that are set to profit from the AI revolution. (34:32)

We Need to Stop Thinking About Climate in an Anti-Human Way17 juin 202401:02:15

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome author Alex Epstein to the
show. Alex has written several books advocating for the use of fossil fuels, including his most
recent work, Fossil Future. The self-described "energy-freedom advocate" joins the podcast
to challenge the popular climate-change narrative and provide more context for the crucial
role fossil fuels play in society.


Alex kicks things off by weighing in on the debate around climate change and the effects of
fossil fuels. He argues that the benefits of using fossil fuels far outweigh the negatives and
that, in many cases, energy can be used to overcome any adverse effects. Alex also breaks
down the myth of unsustainability, the anti-human bias implicit in environmentalism, and
the incorrect belief that more folks die of climate-related catastrophes today than in the
past. (2:38)


Next, Alex discusses his impact with politicians and lawmakers. He explains that 200 major
political offices use his content to direct policy and become more informed on energy topics.
Alex then shares his opinion on climate change, pointing out that we're currently in a climate
renaissance and that the Earth has never been more livable for human beings. He brings up
geoengineering as a way to cool the climate, asserts that the negative environmental
impacts are severely overblown, and emphasizes the crucial role energy plays in the
economy. (21:30)


Finally, Alex talks about climate-change rhetoric dominating in elections, the harm that tech
companies have done by blatantly lying about being 100% renewable, and why humans
should take pride in the fact that we're progressing as a species and learning to use the
Earth in new ways. He puts the anti-impact perspective into both a philosophical and
historical context, noting that primitive religions believed "sinning" against nature had dire
consequences. (34:19)

A New Government Act Could Disrupt the Biotech Industry10 juin 202401:09:23

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague John Engel
to the podcast. John is the lead equity analyst on the Stansberry Innovations Report
newsletter, where he finds companies that are revolutionizing their respective industries
with cutting-edge technology. He also works on Prosperity Investor, a newsletter that
focuses on opportunities in the health care sector.


John kicks off the show by detailing the new Biosecure Act that's currently moving through
Congress. Its purpose is to limit China's access to U.S. biological information. As he explains,
this legislation is going to disrupt the industry, hurt biotech companies, and possibly even
bankrupt the smaller players. But, conversely, it's going to allow other contract development
and management organizations to replace Chinese ones, creating massive opportunities for
investors. John also shares how he got his start in the biotech field at a fermentation lab and
as a molecular biologist before shifting to the world of finance. (2:19)


Next, John talks about the pandemic, vaccines, and the current bear market in biotech. He
mentions one big story in biotech that he believes isn't getting enough attention – bispecific
antibodies. This development allows one drug to hit two targets, so patients no longer have
to receive two different drugs for treatment. This leads to a conversation about gene editing,
personalized medicine, and rare diseases. (22:01)


Finally, John delves into AI, Nvidia, and the "hype cycle" surrounding the technology. He
points out that companies are desperate to use AI to their advantage, but for many of them,
there's no use for it in their business. Plus, John discusses "advanced general intelligence,"
which involves systems that can reason like human beings. (42:27)

The U.S. Is Headed Off a Cliff03 juin 202401:32:08

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Dave Collum back to the
show. Dave is a professor of chemistry at Cornell University and associate editor of the
Journal of Organic Chemistry. He's outspoken about many topics and issues ranging from
finance to politics and everything in between. And he brings this same no-holds-barred
attitude to today's podcast. Dave starts off by discussing the link between vaccines and autism, why "live" attenuated vaccines are better than "dead" ones, and the effects of the COVID-19 vaccine. He specifically mentions how children in the U.S. receive about 72 vaccinations during
childhood, while children in Europe receive only three. He also argues that the war in
Ukraine is a direct result of NATO interfering and forcing Russian President Vladimir Putin's
hand. (5:31)


Next, Dave talks all about the U.S. government. He breaks down why the U.S. has never
supported burgeoning democracies abroad and why it's a better move geopolitically for the
country to work with a single leader or a select few in power. He compares President Joe
Biden with former President Donald Trump and asserts that Biden wouldn't be able to make
tough calls in a time of crisis. After, Dave makes his case for why we're headed for a 40-year
bear market that will drag down Americans' standard of living. (24:27)


Lastly, Dave contends that AI risks taking the human element out of everything, dampening
creativity, and cluttering scientific literature. He then discusses the role of pedophilia in geopolitics and the prevalence of child trafficking. And he leaves younger listeners with some sage financial advice. (45:39)


Dan and Corey close the show by discussing the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge – the core personal consumption expenditures ("PCE") index. The newest core PCE data shows that inflation has stabilized at 2.8% for the past three readings. Even though this is down from much higher levels in 2022, Dan and Corey point out that everyday consumers are still struggling with far higher prices while their paychecks don't keep pace. (1:11:12)

You Can Profit From the Government's 'Corrupt' Banking Program28 mai 202401:22:45

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Chris DeMuth Jr. Chris is a co-founder and managing partner of hedge fund Rangeley Capital. He invests in
mispriced securities with limited downside and corporate events that unlock value for shareholders. Chris kicks things off by explaining what event-driven investing is, how he uses it, and how
the concept of "counterparty selection" is involved. He also breaks down what demutualization and remutualization are and how there are numerous opportunities in the banking sector today to deploy these strategies. According to Chris, many small-cap
community banks out there are attractive in terms of valuation versus large caps. (3:11)


Next, Chris describes the U.S. Treasury Department's "inept, corrupt, and profligate" Emergency Capital Investment Program ("ECIP"). He gives two in-depth examples of ECIP bank stocks that were trading for far less than they were worth – Bay Community Bancorp and Ponce Financial. And he discusses why investors who got in early enough will profit from them greatly. (16:03)


Lastly, Chris names three stocks that he's excited about right now and details the specifics of each one. The first is a tax-efficient real estate and financial-services conglomerate trading at a discount to its asset value. The second is a Russian-owned mining company operating in Venezuela that should soon benefit from litigation against the Venezuelan government. And the final one is a hospice provider with a lot of potential for a private-equity shake-up and then subsequent acquisition by a larger health care company. Plus, you won't want to miss Chris' answer to the final question, where he explains how you can gain an edge as an investor simply by researching topics you're genuinely interested in. (29:44)


Dan and Corey close the show by discussing Nvidia's recent blowout earnings, including its 262% revenue gain. Since the company provides the "picks and shovels" of AI, it's benefiting
massively from the boom in this space. This leads Dan and Corey to compare AI stocks with Internet stocks during the dot-com bubble, speculate on what could happen next, and
explore the disconnect between the markets and the economy. (57:56)

2021's Crazes Are Still Kicking Today20 mai 202401:28:07

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome their colleague Bryan
Beach back to the show. Bryan is the editor of Stansberry Venture Value and a senior analyst
on Stansberry's Investment Advisory. Bryan kicks the show off by discussing the GameStop
meme-stock craze and the deep-value market dynamics that were at play during the whole
debacle. He argues that the "dumb money" folks (such as Keith Gill) got a bad rep and the
self-titled "smart money" folks weren't very smart. (3:13)


Next, Bryan talks about the bubbles in special purpose acquisition companies ("SPACs") and
Software as a Service ("SaaS"). He points out that the pendulum can quickly swing from
overloved to overhated. Bryan shares that, because of this, he's still finding winners in the
SPAC scrap heap and he believes SaaS valuations are far too low today. He also explains how
retail investors got clobbered by the smart money on SPACs and why cannabis stocks
present such a good opportunity now with the impending reclassification of marijuana.
(17:33)


Lastly, Bryan emphasizes the importance of stop losses and "guideposts" since they take the
emotion out of investing. This leads to a discussion of Amazon and its many drawdowns over
the course of its trading history that would have stopped investors out. After, Bryan brings
up small-cap restaurant-software company Par Technology and why he has so much hope for
its future performance. (28:02)


Dan and Corey close things out by talking more about the resurgence of meme stocks –
GameStop and AMC Entertainment, in particular – and what it means for the market as a
whole. Plus, they talk about this new era of inflation we're in, the worst-case scenario of
rebounding inflation, and the long-lasting consequences of low interest rates. (55:39)

Fiscal Dominance Is Threatening the U.S. Today13 mai 202401:24:39

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Lyn Alden to the show. Lyn is an independent analyst, bestselling author, and founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy – an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors. She kicks the podcast off by describing how her background in engineering has influenced her macroeconomic investing style. She explains why she became so interested in macroeconomics in the first place and why 2017 was a turning point for the U.S. economy. Lyn also talks about fiscal dominance – or when fiscal deficits and federal debts are large enough that they start reducing a central bank's options. She puts this in the historical context of the 1970s and clarifies why inflation and interest rates are so complexly intertwined today. (4:39)

Next, Lyn shares her outlook for the U.S. economy, including higher-than-baseline inflation for the foreseeable future and the country being in a similar situation to emerging markets. She discusses areas of the market where fiscal dominance has been appearing over the past few years, how the 2010s taught investors the wrong lesson, why the U.S. may experience the same economic troubles that Japan is facing right now, and the divergence between sectors going through recessions versus those that benefit from deficits. (16:42)

Lastly, Lyn cautions listeners against using the traditional 60/40 portfolio in inflationary environments like today's and instead urges them to prioritize energy, precious metals, and hard assets. She also breaks down why she finds Latin America so attractive today (particularly Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico) and gives an in-depth explanation of how technology impacts money. (34:03)

Dan and Corey close things out by discussing the backlash to Argentine President Javier Milei's economic shake-up, including his devaluing the peso against the U.S. dollar and laying off thousands of government workers. Plus, they share their thoughts on the latest speculative meme craze – closed-end fund Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) – and what it means for the broader market. (54:28)

Get Into Oil Before It Hits $100 Per Barrel06 mai 202401:16:33

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by the founder and president of Chisholm Exploration, Cactus Schroeder. Cactus kicks off the conversation by describing the current economics of the oil industry, why rig counts are deceptive, what's happening with the Haynesville Shale and Marcellus Shale, and the upside in natural gas. He also explains why the Barnett Shale has become so attractive, how Chisholm Exploration differs from the oil majors, and how these larger companies essentially control the price of oil. (4:18)

Next, Cactus discusses why his company prefers oil to natural gas, earthquakes as a side effect of drilling, and how the Biden administration has been hampering exploration and pipeline development. He also details his experience in the Eastern Shelf region, including both good and bad wells and royalty interests. (21:52)

Lastly, Cactus covers the oil major he finds the most interesting today, the green-energy movement, and what's on the horizon for oil. He brings up Saudi Arabia cutting oil production in an effort to make prices reach $100 per barrel, the consequences of the war in Gaza, and the ongoing fight between land ownership and mineral rights in different states. (31:03)

Dan and Corey close things out by discussing the consequences of the Drug Enforcement Administration moving to reclassify marijuana as a Schedule III drug. They analyze what has
been happening with cannabis stocks since the announcement and the tax implications behind the move. Plus, they talk about Starbucks' recent disappointing earnings report and what weight-loss drugs becoming more available could mean for the economy and certain stocks. (53:32)

AI Is Changing Everything You've Learned About Investing29 avr. 202401:14:48

David Trainer, the founder and CEO of New Constructs, joins the show. He kicks off the conversation by describing how his company takes value investing to the next level with AI. He explains that the days of buying stocks and holding them forever are gone. Today's investing landscape requires investors to be more agile, and AI helps with this. David specifically mentions how he uses AI to sort through millions of financial filings, footnotes, and data points to give him an edge and produce better results. However, he warns that AI is only as good as the data that goes into it. (3:49)

Then, David talks in depth about how humans are still involved in the investing process, including making decisions when the AI is unsure how to interpret certain findings. He breaks down how New Constructs' technology is giving clients a competitive advantage and augmenting the rest of their strategy. Plus, David discusses the importance of using both technicals and fundamentals when investing, and he shares why expectations matter so much to valuation. (14:34)

Lastly, David names the two sectors he finds most attractive and two that folks should avoid. This segues into a conversation about a recent pump-and-dump scheme used to take advantage of retail investors, why the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission doesn't take action even when it should, and the damage done by years of low interest rates. (33:35)

Dan and Corey close things out by discussing inflation and the hotter-than-expected numbers for the personal consumption expenditures index. They cover unrealistic investor expectations for rate cuts, the government's misplaced priorities, and the very real consequences of this persistent inflation on workers and small businesses. (51:20)

Savvy Investors 'Buy Straw Hats in Winter'22 avr. 202401:09:47

David Daglio, the chief investment officer and global investment strategist of wealth-
advisory firm TwinFocus, joins the show. He kicks things off by describing himself as a
contrarian, and he explains that understanding who you are as a person will lead to the best
investing results. After, he goes into detail on how TwinFocus looks for creative "straw hat"
solutions that the market isn't seeing. Plus, he talks about risk premiums, the current
opportunity in natural gas, and the 30-year discount in gold-mining stocks. (3:29)


Next, David discusses the advantages and disadvantages of working at a large firm versus
being an individual investor. He shares that individual investors have the advantage of not
being overloaded with information, plus they're their own boss and can make their own
decisions. David also details the three conditions TwinFocus looks for before jumping into an
investment, the importance of recognizing your own intellectual biases, and how market
skepticism can be a huge opportunity. (15:29)


Lastly, David talks about "net-net" companies in the biotech sector that are trading for less
than their total assets... he breaks down what capital imbalance is and how to spot it... and
he explains that the savviest investors try to be like Spock from Star Trek, valuing facts over
feelings. (28:49)


Dan and Corey close out the podcast by discussing the Stansberry Research editorial
meeting that happened last week. This meeting brings Stansberry's editors and analysts
together to discuss different investing ideas and pertinent world news. One of the hot topics
at the meeting was the presidential election in November. Dan and Corey emphasize that
the best investors keep politics out of their investing decisions and stick to their core
strategy regardless of which candidate takes office. (49:22)

Stick to Your Process, Even When It's Painful15 avr. 202401:12:25

Gary Mishuris of Silver Ring Value Partners talks about today's market being one of the most challenging periods for bottom-up investing since 2007. In terms of the quality of a business
versus its stock price, there isn't a lot of opportunity right now. But he emphasizes that transparency and candor with clients is essential, as is prioritizing the long-term process
over short-term performance. (5:19)


Next, Gary describes what sets Silver Ring Value apart from other fund managers. He shares why he left the "sausage factory" of larger firms behind, how his firm makes money for
clients rather than off of clients, and how his unique temperament and behavioral models allow him to make better investing decisions. (14:38)


Gary also goes into detail on the psychology behind investing and compares it with a game of poker. He talks about trying to avoid making mistakes, continuously learning from past
errors, the importance of having guardrails in place, and cutting your losses. (21:44)


Then, Gary explains why you should never be ashamed to change your mind, even when you haven't received any new information. It's OK to reanalyze the same set of facts and admit
that you were wrong, and he cites several examples of investors who have learned and grown from their past mistakes. (31:21)


Lastly, Dan and Corey discuss the consumer price index and gold. Inflation came in hotter than expected, while gold has broken out to new highs. Dan and Corey speculate on how long gold's bull run can last. Plus, they detail gold being a good hedge for retirement against the government's money-printing addiction. (48:18)

Ignore the Mega-Bubble Mania and Prioritize Shareholder Yield08 avr. 202401:16:50

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing inflation staying persistently higher, rampant government spending and money-printing, and the repercussions of the Federal Reserve's decade-plus of low interest rates. (0:41)

Next, Cambria Investment Management's Meb Faber joins the conversation to talk about the exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") at Cambria and why the team focuses on shareholder yield when picking stocks for these ETFs. He breaks down the importance of shareholder yield in mega-bubble markets like today's and urges investors to pay more attention to it. (24:25)

Meb then discusses managing risk on a portfolio level, including focusing on quality and value. He also covers why emerging and foreign markets are so attractive today, the opportunity in fixed-income investments like bonds and Treasury bills, and how higher interest rates have changed the game. (38:21)

Finally, Meb describes himself as a value investor and shares which areas of the economy he's most concerned about. He talks about inflation driving commodities sharply higher, gold hitting new highs, and why investing at all-time highs can still be a smart choice. (56:43)

The Best Investors Treat Trading Like Blackjack01 avr. 202401:14:53

Dan and Corey kick off the show by reviewing the most recent PCE number, what's
happening with inflation, and the current state of the economy. (0:41)


Next, real estate expert and entrepreneur George Gammon joins the conversation and
explains how he became a self-described "macro addict" without any formal education in the
world of finance or economics. Plus, he discusses why he considers himself a libertarian and
why most investors and billionaires would fall into this category, even if they don't self-
identify as such. (21:59)


Further, George describes how his investment style is influenced by being a libertarian. By
default, his view is that the government is always going to do the wrong thing, resulting in
unintended, net-negative consequences. George also goes into detail on the similarities
between value investing and trend following. He argues that successful value investors are
always looking for a catalyst so that they can catch the trend at its very beginning stages,
while stereotypical investors are happy to catch the middle portion of the trend. (34:16)


Lastly, George explores the biggest differences between retail investors and professional
investors. He details the strategy that the best hedge-fund managers use: starting with a
macro view and then looking at the fundamentals and the narrative later. George
emphasizes that these experts spend most of their time deciding how to position themselves
and using asymmetry to stack the odds in their favor like in a game of blackjack. (46:32)

Finding the Winning 6% of Drugs25 mars 202401:00:31

Dan and Corey kick off the show by arguing against the Federal Reserve potentially cutting rates this year. They point out that inflation is persistently volatile, gas prices are soaring and hurting everyday consumers, and the Fed is "pretending that everything is OK," according to Corey. Dan also brings up the fact that 2024 being an election year may have something to do with this. (0:43)

Next, Stansberry Venture Technology editor Dave Lashmet joins the conversation to discuss the biotech industry. He explains that he doesn't see biotech as a sector, and rather he looks bottom up at biotech companies to find a drug that will have a macroeconomic effect. Because only 6% of drugs that start a Phase I trial succeed, he says being selective is crucial. Dave also describes the three phases of drug testing and the importance of efficacy and safety data. (17:55)

After, Dave talks all things weight-loss drugs. He reflects on how he knew Ozempic was going to be a blockbuster drug from his boots-on-the-ground research, the incredible room for growth in this area, and the unprecedented amounts of money that biotech companies are spending on factories to develop these weight-loss drugs. (24:36)

Further, Dave discusses why the obesity epidemic has worsened over the decades and how exactly weight-loss drugs work to increase metabolism and suppress appetite. It involves something he calls the "winter switch." Plus, Dave brings up the U.S. Food and Drug Administration approving these drugs for the purpose of reducing strokes and heart attacks by nearly 20%. (32:40)

Lastly, Dave talks about the widespread economic implications behind weight-loss drugs and other areas of the market that could be impacted, such as the airline industry. However, Dave emphasizes once again that any mass changes are still years away due to supply constraints. (41:20)

Why Biotech Is an Excellent Contrarian Play Today18 mars 202401:00:06

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing both bubbles and "anti-bubble" stocks. Dan
mentions how the S&P 500 Index's cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, with data
going back to 1871, is currently in the top 1%. He even believes this is the biggest mega-
bubble in all of recorded history. (0:41)


Next, Porter & Co. analyst Erez Kalir joins the conversation and shares his financial
philosophy. He talks about investing legends who have influenced his investing style, the
importance of avoiding labels, and how successful investing is similar to using a Swiss Army
knife. Plus, Erez explains the yin and yang of macroeconomics versus security-specific
fundamentals and how there are extreme periods where one can entirely dominate the
other. (13:00)


After, Erez goes into detail about biotech – the sector's history in the stock market, how it's
shaped by interest rates, and how you can find companies trading at an extreme discount
with negative enterprise value. He argues that not being able to time the markets is merely
a myth, and he shares the seven factors he uses to evaluate whether a biotech stock is
worth buying. (21:59)


Lastly, Erez explains why the conditions are right for biotech stocks today. He covers the
sector being hated and how this gives savvy investors a chance to break away from the herd and profit. (38:36)

'Boring' Times Ahead Could Mean Fantastic Gains11 mars 202401:07:33

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing famed economist Nouriel "Dr. Doom" Roubini
and his current bullish stance. They explore whether Dr. Doom is correct in his optimism, if
gold's new all-time highs are here to stay, and what could happen next with bitcoin. (0:41)


Next, Stansberry Research editor Brett Eversole joins the conversation and talks about
where he thinks stocks will go this year thanks to the election. After, he analyzes the overall
health of the market using several different metrics, urges investors to invest based on the
size of a company's market capitalization, gives his thoughts on whether small-cap stocks
can catch up to the rest of the market, and reviews moments of extreme volatility in history.
(16:49)


Further, Brett describes a shareholder yield fund and how it works. He points out that if you
buy companies that return a lot of cash to shareholders, those companies tend to go up a lot
over time. He also discusses the strategies he uses in his True Wealth publication to find
winning stocks, buy in at the right time, and protect capital. (29:35)


Finally, Brett explains why he isn't investing in individual Chinese stocks today, but he
provides one unique way to still profit from China that you may have never heard of. (47:15

You're Only Ever a Contrarian or a Victim in Natural Resource Investing04 mars 202401:11:42

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing Warren Buffett's recent letter to Berkshire
Hathaway shareholders. In it, he honored his late colleague and friend Charlie Munger, plus
gave updates on some of Berkshire's businesses. Dan and Corey also cover Apple switching
its resources over from electric vehicles to artificial intelligence. (0:41)


Next, Rick Rule – president and CEO of Rule Investment Media – joins the conversation. He
goes into depth on models, such as the discounted cash flow model. He talks about the flaws
with models, why models are only useful for apples-to-apples comparisons, and how a model
can be used on exploration companies or similar companies that don't have revenues.
(24:32)


After, Rick goes into detail on the uranium market. He describes why uranium companies
have mothballed production, what makes uranium so unique in the natural resources world,
the differences between the spot and term markets, and how to interpret uranium
companies' financials. (33:18)


Lastly, Rick calls out several commodities that present good investing opportunities today.
He describes one of them as "stupidly cheap"... another he says is hated by investors and its
market is in disarray... and the final two, he explains, are being sold off because of an
incorrect belief that we don't need internal-combustion engines anymore. Rick even goes
one step further and namedrops specific companies that could be worth looking into to take
advantage of these price discounts. (49:15)

Tactical Turning Points Are the Secret to Finding Winners27 févr. 202401:06:46

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing new highs in the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index, Japan's Nikkei 225 Index, and chipmaker Nvidia's stock. They analyze what these new highs mean, whether the U.S. is still in a mega-bubble, what's happening with the Japanese economy, and if Nvidia can continue its outperformance. (0:41)

Next, Chaikin Analytics Chief Market Strategist Pete Carmasino joins the conversation and describes his investing style. He notes that he mainly looks at price. By using technical analysis and studying the fundamentals, trends, and the relative strength versus the market, he can decipher whether a stock is overbought. (20:28)

Further, Pete talks about the importance of risk management and taking advantage of tactical moves. He gives investors advice for how to determine when something is a tactical sell or a tactical buy, discusses the relationship between technicals and fundamentals, and explains why he looks at both offensive and defensive sectors for investing opportunities.(25:55)

Pete then details why he's never too bullish or bearish at any given time, plus how the Chaikin Analytics Power Gauge system helps him find potential winners. He describes his process for interpreting the signals and discusses the fundamentals he needs to see to be interested in a stock. (39:47)

Lastly, Pete hammers home the importance of rates – particularly the unemployment rate, since the Federal Reserve uses it to determine the federal-funds rate. He also shares the top five subsectors currently and names a few stocks within those sectors that could be worth keeping an eye on. (51:15)

Now Is a Great Time to Be a Bond Investor21 févr. 2024

Dan and Corey kick things off by discussing Lyft shares soaring after a numeric typo in the company's earnings report, market volatility after the latest consumer price index release, the possibility of "Volmageddon" 2.0, and the harms of passive investing. When speaking about all the trouble brewing in the markets today, Dan notes, "Risks don't register until they happen." (0:41)

Next, Stansberry Research editor Mike DiBiase joins the conversation and shares his concerns about the bond market. Specifically, he believes that we're in the early stages of the next credit crisis. He goes into detail about why we're overdue for such an event, which specific indicators are signaling turbulent times ahead for the market, and whether the Federal Reserve could do anything to lessen the inevitable damage. (24:53)

Mike also analyzes the stock market and how it paints a bleak picture. As he explains, corporate earnings declined in 2023 even though many companies had a fantastic year and posted incredible numbers. And despite this "earnings recession," stocks are still trading at all-time highs. (32:25)

Then, Mike covers why he believes the struggling U.S. consumer is going to usher in the next credit crisis, how today's market is so similar to 2008's, and why corporate bonds still make for good investments. (35:38)

Lastly, Mike discusses how this new era of high interest rates has irreversibly altered the investing landscape that people have grown accustomed to over the past 40 years. He explains that stocks were the favored investment when the Fed was keeping rates near zero, but bonds are back on a more equal playing field thanks to high interest rates. (48:34)

Don't Let Your Ego Drive You to Make Bad Decisions | Harley Bassman14 févr. 202401:12:08

Dan and Corey kick things off by discussing bitcoin hitting a new multiyear high. They also critique a popular bullish argument for bitcoin, which is based off the U.S. dollar collapsing. After, they talk about the S&P 500 Index surpassing 5,000 for the first time ever and whether this level is sustainable in the long term. (0:40)

Next, Harley Bassman of Simplify Asset Management joins the conversation and explains a concept called "convexity." He covers the three kinds of risk in bond investing, why short convexity is always lurking during market downturns, and why negative convexity is so difficult for investors to process. (24:53)

Harley also goes into detail on mortgage-backed securities funds. He describes what mortgage bonds are, why they yield more than corporate bonds, and how the Federal Reserve plays a huge role in all of this. (32:20)

 Lastly, Harley talks about Simplify and how it offers a unique service by jamming derivatives of all kinds (futures, options, etc.) into ETFs so civilians can invest in them. He also discusses what it was like working at Merrill Lynch during the great financial crisis, gives general investing advice, and explains what pin risk is. (48:55)

It's Time to Upgrade Capitalism05 févr. 202401:32:02

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing debt spirals, death spirals, their effect on 
things like GDP and economic growth, and the increasing reliance on debt spending. They
point out that the U.S. government's annual interest payment on debt will soon surpass the
budget for national defense. Dan also speculates that the government is using illegal
immigration as a means to depress wages. (0:41)
Next, crypto expert Eric Wade joins the conversation by discussing his current thoughts on
the crypto market as a whole. He notes that the U.S. just approved bitcoin spot ETFs, which
will allow investors to profit from bitcoin without actually holding the token. He also brings
up the bitcoin halving that's happening this April, AI's role in crypto, and how crypto is being
used to solve real-world problems. Eric briefly name-drops two such cryptos that have real-
world applications today. (22:08)After, he goes into detail on his new book called America vs. Americans: How Capitalism Has
Failed a Capitalist Nation and What We Can Do About It. This book focuses on American
"laborism," the shortcomings of our current capitalist system, and how all of this could be
improved. Eric describes that government, economics, and politics are a lot closer together
than they should be. He explores the history of capitalism and talks about the glaring flaws
of the economic system that preceded it – mercantilism. (35:30)
Eric then transitions into talking about laborism and how it could be an upgrade from
capitalism. He spends the rest of the episode detailing how it could pull millions of folks out
of poverty, why it would be so closely tied to education, and the fact it would call for a hard
currency and a smaller government with less government intervention. As he explains, it
could solve many of the country's problems. (42:35)

Successful Trading is the Antithesis of Human Nature30 janv. 202401:09:54

Dan and Corey begin the show by discussing evidence that we're still in a bear market. They bring up equal-weight indexes fizzling out since December, the now "Magnificent Six" tech stocks still dominating, and the possibility of a decade long sideways market. 

After, contrarian trader Jason Shapiro of digital publishing company Crowded Market Report joins the conversation and gives an overview of his trading style, his financial journey, and how his strategy differs from many other traders'. While others are looking to ride the trend, Jason explains that he's looking to "fade" it and find when the trend will turn. When speaking specifically about putting the risk-reward ratio in his favor over time, he says the discounting mechanism in the market is not price – it's participation.

This segues into a discussion about how Jason's process works. He gives advice to individual investors who are just starting out, including warning of the dangers of following trends and "copy trading." He also details how trading goes against human nature.

Then, Jason discusses automation in his field of work – when he uses it and when he ignores its advice – and provides some examples of his strategy in action. He emphasizes that market confirmation should always come first

Lastly, Jason explains why he's so adamant about sharing his approaches and techniques with everyday investors that they can't find in traditional financial media. And you won't want to miss Jason's answer to the final question... He shares what he believes is the real secret behind making money in the markets.

The Easiest Way to Rank Almost 5,000 Stocks29 janv. 202401:07:01

Dan and Corey kick things off by discussing Argentine President Javier Milei's incendiary speech at the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. They start by quoting some passages from it and covering the main themes – from the negative consequences of government intervention to potentially abolishing the central bank. After, they talk about why this type of rhetoric from a politician would never fly in the U.S., even though it reflects a lot of people's feelings.

Next, Stansberry Research Director of Research Matt Weinschenk joins the conversation and elaborates on what type of investor he considers himself to be. He brings up value investing, the importance of bottom-up business-quality analysis, and how he uses quantitative tools to find the best businesses.

Matt then explains the "Stansberry Score," which ranks nearly 5,000 stocks from first to last. It assigns each stock both an overall number and letter grade, plus letter grades for financials, capital efficiency, and valuation. Investors can use it to check ratings on stocks they may be interested in, or they can use it to find hidden gems. If you're interested in learning more about this tool and trying it for free, you can check it out at StansberryAnnouncement.com.

Matt also goes into detail on The Quant Portfolio. This new portfolio is fully optimized and uses Stansberry Score data to evaluate each stock. Entirely using computers and algorithms, it looks at the relationships between each stock and picks out the best ones that will work together to provide the highest returns. And so far, it's blowing the market out of the water! Matt emphasizes that in the past two years of live testing, The Quant Portfolio is up 20%, while the market is only up 5. 

Lastly, Matt talks all things econometrics – what it is, whether it's worth studying, and its interplay with machine learning.

Get Ready for Volatility warns Greg Diamond17 janv. 202401:14:50

Dan and Corey kick off the show by discussing car-rental company Hertz selling one-third of its electric-vehicle ("EV") fleet and planning to reinvest in gas-powered cars. They talk about the reasons for this move, why EVs might not be a popular choice as rentals, signs that oil and gas companies are still thriving, and how the green-energy transition could lead to higher inflation.  

Next, welcome Stansberry Research analyst Greg Diamond joins the conversation and analyzes the current volatility in the markets. He explains that investors and the financial media believe the Federal Reserve has beaten inflation and is going to start cutting rates soon. But as Greg notes, the opposite is most likely to happen. He also goes into detail on his study of cycles.  

Then, Greg predicts important inflection points for 2024, describes how legendary trader W.D. Gann influenced his trading strategy, and explores the potential ramifications of the Fed ending its bank lending program in March. He also details why he'll be trading sectors for the first half of the year rather than individual stocks. 

Lastly, Greg talks about correlations between the S&P 500 and specific exchange-traded funds. He assesses what it means for the markets when divergences happen and how extreme volatility leads to great buying opportunities. As Greg sums things up, "I think it's going to be a rough ride for bulls and bears."

Don't Place all Your Chips on One Outcome08 janv. 202401:10:18

Dan and Corey begin the show by discussing Disney. They cover the company's ongoing
proxy battle with Nelson Peltz, its recent deal with activist investor ValueAct Capital, the
negative impacts of its "wokeism," the new Star Wars director's controversial past
comments, and whether the stock is worth buying today. (0:40)

Next, Jeff Muhlenkamp joins the conversation and gives his reaction to a "surprising" 2023. 
Plus, he talks about what's in store for the markets this year, why it's unclear whether we're
headed for a recession or not since, and how you should structure your portfolio to protect
you no matter what happens. (26:23)


Then, Jeff explains what he learned from the great financial crisis in 2008 and how he applies
it to his investing strategy today. He gives investors advice on everything from keeping
some cash on hand to handling stocks that soar quickly. (35:40)


Lastly, Jeff discusses regional banking (44:00), two notable stock buys (46:47), and his
process for picking stocks (51:31). He details which metrics he looks at, why financial
newsletters are good places to look for ideas, and how to know when to exit a stock.

The Top 10 Potential Surprises for 202403 janv. 202401:00:17

Dan Ferris and Corey McLaughlin kick the episode off by reviewing their list of Top 10
Potential Surprises from 2023 and seeing if any of the surprises materialized. Included in this
list was what could happen to the S&P 500 Index, meme stocks GameStop and AMC
Entertainment, inflation, bitcoin, mortgage rates, and gold. (0:32)

After, Dan and Corey share their new list of potential surprises for 2024... 
Magnificent Seven perform poorly (9:38)
S&P 500 negative annual return (13:16)
Rate cuts (15:58)
Gold hits $3,000 (19:15)
Bitcoin falls 50%-plus (24:04)
PCE at 4% (28:08)
Donald Trump presidency (31:51)
Nasty recession (37:27)
10-year yields above 4% (42:15)
S&P 500 drops 20% in a single day (44:52

Stansberry Investor Hour's 2023 Year in Review - Mailbag Edition27 déc. 202300:51:46

On this week's special mailbag episode of Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan Ferris and Corey McLaughlin are answering some of the most interesting questions they've received in recent weeks from subscribers. They tackle everything that has been on your mind – and a few things that you probably haven't even considered. Dan and Corey kick things off with questions about whether the green-energy movement and threats to eliminate fossil fuels will boost the price of oil... the broken housing market in the U.S. and what it means for homebuilders... nuclear energy's potential as a big source of power in America... and where uranium prices are headed next based on the supply-and-demand picture. 

Next, Dan and Corey address a listener who hates that they let the cat out of the bag on the upside in farmland... and respond to another listener who wants them to talk more about specific stocks and less about the Federal Reserve. Plus, Dan and Corey answer questions about political correctness, the love of money being the root of all evil, how to profit from war, and why they prefer U.S. Treasurys to money-market funds. 

Finally, Dan and Corey discuss the threat the high national debt level poses for the U.S., the development of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) as a geopolitical and economic power, and whether the U.S. losing its world reserve currency status would really be such a bad thing.

How to Avoid Losing Your Mind in the Market with Hari P. Krishnan19 déc. 202301:14:57

Dan and Corey kick off the podcast by discussing 2023 as a whole. They talk about the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting a new all-time high recently and investors looking forward to the Federal Reserve cutting rates. Plus, they go over what they're bullish on for 2024 – including homebuilders, bitcoin, and energy, among others.

Next, author and hedge-fund manager Hari Krishnan joins the podcast to discuss his toolbox of strategies for profiting after a market sell-off. He notes that there are times that are great for buying credit, while other times aren't so good. And the same principle applies to other areas of the market as well, like with volatility.

The conversation then shifts to how the average investor could utilize Hari's strategies. He gives a few examples of what to do in different scenarios. And he especially emphasizes the importance of having a plan. 

Further, Hari details how he assesses and categorizes risk. He describes why he looks at consistency across different asset classes and how this helps him find winning investments. Plus, Hari talks about the cycles of volatility, using equities as an example. He explains that risk taking drives the market upward, which leads to even more risk taking. It then becomes a vicious cycle that feeds on itself until it breaks.

Finally, Dan asks Hari for his opinions on the S&P 500 Index's recent rally. Hari brings up the fact that there are currently high levels of complacency in the markets, and he argues that now is a great time for investors to think about hedges for their portfolios. He finishes by urging investors to look beyond the U.S. stock market and to broaden their opportunities with other asset classes. 

Why Companies Are Afraid of Being Politically Correct with Whitney Tilson12 déc. 202301:13:26

Dan and Corey kick the show off by discussing the newest unemployment number and its implications for inflation, rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the stock market, and the future of the economy. They speculate that this unemployment rate could result in the Fed putting off rate cuts for even longer.

Next, Whitney joins the conversation by discussing the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks and explains why he thinks smaller-cap, more value-oriented stocks will be driving the markets next. He also compares Tesla CEO Elon Musk's "rampant narcissism," "bro culture" at the company, and antisemitic tweets with exemplars like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger.

This leads to a discussion about how cultural differences affect businesses. Whitney brings up Anheuser-Busch's Bud Light ad campaign with a transgender influencer and Disney fighting Ron DeSantis' controversial bill in Florida. He shares why he thinks companies are "running pretty darn scared these days" after seeing both those iconic businesses suffer for taking political stances.

Then, Whitney talks about his Top 10 list. He details why Berkshire Hathaway continues to be such an attractive opportunity today and why it's the perfect foundation for any portfolio. And he also emphasizes that we are no longer in a TINA world, or "there is no alternative."

Finally, Whitney gives his opinion on what he thinks the Fed will do next in terms of interest rates and what the potential outcomes could be. You also won't want to miss his answer to Dan's final question, where he explains why it's crucial to limit the amount of "partisan and polarized" information you're consuming in traditional media, since it could be affecting your investing choices. 

It's About to Be 2008 All Over Again04 déc. 202301:06:46

Dan and Corey start by remembering Charlie Munger, reviewing his career and legacy. Plus, they cover Elon Musk's recent remarks against Disney, the chances of X (formerly known as Twitter) going bankrupt, and Musk's efforts to bring free speech to the platform. (0:40)

Next, Joel and Rob join the show to discuss the narrative around a soft landing, the rolling- recession "nonsense," and investors getting lulled into a false sense of confidence and believing everything is fine in the markets. Joel details the macroeconomic signals that are flashing globally – from China's failings dragging the world down to hyperinflation and recession in multiple Latin American countries. Joel explains why he and Rob have recently made a major change in their forward market outlook. (26:18)

Rob adds that another reason for their bearishness is the current credit environment. Credit is the lifeblood of the American economy. But now, it's disappearing. And according to Rob, that will further hurt economic growth. Plus, Joel explains that this same setup happened at the beginning of the great financial crisis. (34:21)

The conversation then shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's devotion to lowering inflation to 2%, the reality of "structurally higher" inflation, and how high interest rates are leading to massive investing opportunities in near-term cash-flow companies. (38:37)

Finally, Joel and Rob discuss the bond market and why they find it so attractive today... give their opinions on "terrifying" business development companies... and analyze the Fed's next moves in regard to unemployment. (46:18)

Don't Let Money Be Your Master Warns Jared Dillian27 nov. 202301:05:18

Dan and Corey kick off the show by giving a sneak peek at their list of 10 things that would surprise investors in 2024 and where they predict the markets are headed. Specifically, they discuss the unassailable Magnificent Seven – which are "priced for more than perfection" – and why the high valuations aren't sustainable. While the other "Unmagnificent 493" stocks in the S&P 500 Index are essentially flat and it's "still a bear market for everything else," the Magnificent Seven have screamed higher. Dan warns that they're not safe.

Afterward, Jared joins the conversation and gives some tips on how to make finance less stressful. He shares that it's important to not cut out small luxuries that bring you happiness, like a Starbucks coffee every now and then. Rather, he says to focus on cutting costs for the bigger items. He also explains that being too conservative with your money can be detrimental. 

The conversation shifts to discussing the two main sources of financial stress: debt and risk. Jared explains that these sources of stress aren't correlated with how much money you have and instead are entirely based on how you structure your finances. 

Jared then talks about the market as a whole and shares some predictions. He covers why he has been focused on the bond market for the past six months, why he expects a recession next year, what he thinks will happen to Treasurys and interest rates, and the psychology behind inflation. 

 Lastly, Jared details why he owns essentially no U.S. stocks and instead has his money in Argentine stocks. Plus, he describes another emerging market that presents a "huge opportunity" for investors. As he says, "There's other places in the world to go where there's a lot more growth that are a lot more promising." Don't miss his thoughts on the best way to get exposure to that potential growth story. 

The Imminent Death of the Middle Class with Porter Stansberry20 nov. 202301:16:05

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Porter Stansberry back to the show. Porter founded Stansberry Research in 1999, and he recently returned as CEO and chairman of parent company MarketWise (MKTW). With more than 25 years of experience as a financial analyst and publisher to draw on, Porter shares his opinions on the current state of the markets and which areas of the economy look most attractive today.But first, Dan and Corey talk about investors' unfounded hopes for falling interest rates and some Wall Street analysts predicting that the Federal Reserve will soon cut rates by 150 basis points. "I just don't see that happening," Corey says. Afterward, the conversation shifts to the bond market, the drop in demand for U.S. Treasurys, China "imploding minute by minute," and the biggest "turkeys" who have made the most absurd financial decisions this year. Plus, Dan explores investor psychology and how it has been warped by a decade-plus of low rates and the longest bull market in history. (0:00)

Porter then joins the show and discusses why Ayn Rand's 1957 book Atlas Shrugged continues to be relevant today, General Motors' chances of going bankrupt again, and his "new, old" job as CEO of MarketWise. He explains his strategy for the company going forward. (25:08)

Moving on to the broader economy, Porter shares an updated prediction of what he sees
coming for the market. In mid-September, he was concerned we were on the cusp of another major financial crisis. But now he thinks the immediate danger may be past. (42:34) 

Porter also shares that most quality businesses out there trade for high valuations, but those
with unrecognized quality still present fantastic buying opportunities today. Even companies
that have recently made negative headlines can still have incredible underlying value.(48:48)

Finally, Porter details what's happening in the bond market right now and why he believes it's worth investing in. And you won't want to miss his parting message, where he explains why it's a great time to be alive despite any global issues or societal problems. "Most investors make the mistake of not being optimistic enough," he says. (57:35)

A Needed Dose of Reality in a Sea of Pessimism with Marc Chaikin 13 nov. 202301:02:31

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Marc Chaikin. After 50 years working on Wall Street, Marc founded our corporate affiliate – Chaikin Analytics – to guide everyday investors. Marc starts by describing how his Power Gauge helps investors identify stocks, excel in timing investments, and most importantly, prevent portfolio losses. "No matter how good your fundamental research is or quant model [is], if the market doesn't agree with you, guess who wins? The market always wins; you're investing in what I call "dead money," he states.

Then, Marc explores 2023 being a difficult year for bearish investors, the likelihood of a recession, and how artificial intelligence ("AI") has led to unprecedented productivity enhancements. "That's where this whole convergence of technology, data, and machine learning
comes in. I think it's going to unleash unbelievable advances in medicine, data analytics for retail, and self-driving cars eventually," he asserts.

Finally, Marc shares his thoughts on today's market, including the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, the U.S. national debt, the real estate sector, and 10-year Treasury yields. He explains that he and many other leading investors are bullish on stocks, but the media prefers doom-and-gloom headlines for clicks. "They just don't want to put optimists on TV because it's not controversial," he concludes.

The Weight Loss Revolution is Underway06 nov. 202301:05:15

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by David Cervantes, principal and founder of Pinebrook Capital Management. David shares his groundbreaking thesis that could transform not only health care but also the broader economy. But first, Dan and Corey discuss disgraced FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried being found guilty of fraud, coworking-space company WeWork's impending bankruptcy, and fluctuating Treasury yields. (00:48)

Next, David joins the conversation to detail the far-reaching consequences of obesity, plus the potential impact of new weight-loss drugs on the economy. He notes that obesity not only places a significant financial burden on the health care system but also hampers overall productivity and gross domestic product ("GDP") growth rates. However, David clarifies that GLP-1 (or glucagon-like peptide 1) drugs have the potential to revolutionize obesity treatment. (26:28)

David then explores the potential winners and losers of this medical innovation. He stresses that it's not too late to make money off the drug manufacturers since there are plenty of companies developing and trying to improve these weight-loss drugs right now. He also touches on other sectors that will benefit from mass weight loss. (41:45)

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Why Gold Is on the Brink of a Historic Surge30 oct. 202300:51:19

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Rudi Fronk, chairman, CEO, and co-founder of Seabridge Gold (SA). But first, Dan and Corey kick off the podcast by discussing the latest numbers for gross domestic product ("GDP") and the core personal consumption expenditures price index. Then, they also explore what they think the Federal Reserve will do next and what will happen to the stock market. (00:41)

Next, Rudi joins the show to chat about Seabridge Gold, the outlook for the gold market, and risk within the industry. Rudi emphasizes that Seabridge is not a mining company, and it instead partners with major mining companies to co-develop assets while retaining around 40% to 49% interest in projects. (16:21)

He believes the current challenges in the Treasury market as well as hedge funds using leverage to accumulate positions will ultimately drive gold prices to new heights. Rudi boldly predicts that gold will surpass its previous all-time high of approximately $2,063 an ounce by the end of this year. Moreover, he details why he foresees gold's price surging to multiples of its current value over the next few years. (24:26)

Rudi concludes by explaining why it's so difficult for mining companies to turn a profit and why so many of them never get any dollars out of the ground. "I don't have a high respect for most of my industry," he says simply. If you're interested in investing in the gold industry or just want to know more about it, don't miss this week's show. (36:32)

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It's the End of Globalization as We Know It with Peter Zeihan23 oct. 202300:53:43

In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome geopolitical strategist and critically acclaimed author Peter Zeihan back to the show. But first, reporting live from the conference, Dan and Corey share their insights from this valuable event for subscribers. They offer a recap of the presentations delivered by notable figures, including Stansberry Research founder Porter Stansberry, legendary cyclist Lance Armstrong, and respected financial writer Morgan Housel. (:41)

Then Peter joins the show to dissect the ongoing Ukraine situation and other geopolitical conflicts dominating the headlines. Peter discusses Israel's strategic shift from being a technology consumer to a producer, saying "Israelis, almost to a Chinese scale, were stealing tech... and so they decided to go in the business of making tech." Dan and Peter also explore investment prospects in Israel, what a peace treaty between Saudi Arabia and Israel would mean, how Iran could disrupt the peace process, and incompetence in the Israeli government. (16:50)

Finally, Dan and Peter shift their focus to China. The nation is undergoing dramatic shifts in demographics and experiencing a severe population decline, which has profound implications for the nation's future. Peter predicts that China will cease to exist as a unified industrialized nation within the next decade. (36:18)

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Mindless Buying: The Driving Force Behind Modern Market Dynamics with Michael Green17 oct. 202301:05:22

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Michael "Mike" Green. Mike is the chief strategist and portfolio manager of Simplify Asset Management – an investment advisory firm. He has spent nearly 30 years studying markets and market structures, and he brings his decades of insight to today's show.

But first, Dan and Corey discuss the evolving landscape of the bond market, the opportunity in Treasury bills, and the potential impact of high bond yields on the broader investment world. Corey warns...

Take advantage of it now, because if the economy goes in the crapper in the future, the [bond] rates are going to go down when the Fed cuts [interest] rates.

Mike then joins the conversation to delve into the world of passive investing, which involves never transacting and only ever holding assets. This leads to a strategy of mindless buying:

[The stock market is] marching upwards, being led by a very few number of extremely large-cap stocks that have relatively limited growth prospects... In real terms, PepsiCo's sales are down over the last decade. This is true for companies like Apple where their sales growth, since the introduction of the iPhone 5, [is] stagnant... certainly not justifying the types of valuations that we see.

Finally, Mike details how the Federal Reserve can influence the markets with interest rates, and in turn how interest rates can affect passive investing. Moreover, he highlights the unique opportunity in the bond market and explains why bonds are an attractive option for investors.

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'Investing Is Back' – But It Looks Different09 oct. 202301:01:22

In this week's episode of Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey welcome Harris "Kuppy" Kupperman back to the show. But first, Dan and Corey discuss the surprising employment numbers that exceeded expectations and fueled speculation about further interest-rate hikes. They also cover the turbulence in the bond market and the significance of the yield curve finally correcting after more than 18 months of inversion. (00:41)

Next, Kuppy joins the show to express his skepticism about the widespread belief that the world can revert to "normalcy," that interest rates will decline, and that another bull market will kick off. Instead, he explains why he thinks there will be significant changes in the next couple of years while "everyone's playing the old playbook." (20:22)

Kuppy also gives his take on the overall economy, addressing sectors with inflationary correlations. He describes his outlook on inflation as a series of sine waves, with periodic fluctuations of heating up or cooling down. However, he focuses on the overarching trend of upward inflation and predicts that it will surpass previous highs in the coming years. (31:24)

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Why the BRICS Expansion Isn't the End of the Dollar02 oct. 202301:05:56

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by renowned economist Jim Rickards, who details his illustrious career, the development of the BRICS currency, and its potential ramifications for the global monetary system. But first, Dan and Corey kick off the podcast by discussing store closures, Amazon's monopoly allegations, and commercial real estate's decline. (00:41)

Next, Jim joins the conversation to share some of what he has learned during his storied career, specifically from being the general counsel on a hedge fund's $3.6 billion rescue deal. He also explains why he grew dissatisfied with risk management and how he became one of the first in finance to use "complexity theory." (20:06)

Dan then steers the conversation to the BRICS initiative – i.e., the five countries' goal to create an alternative currency that will challenge the dominance of the U.S. dollar. Jim explains the origins of BRICS, highlighting how they have created financial institutions similar to the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. (33:31)

Jim stresses the significance of the BRICS currency, as it would facilitate trade among member nations without the need to rely on the U.S. dollar. However, Jim emphasizes that a BRICS currency should not be interpreted as the end of the U.S. dollar's reign. Rather, it would be a formidable competitor in the global currency arena. (41:41)

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Why U.S. Stocks Are Flashing Code Red25 sept. 202301:04:36

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by Joel Litman, the founder of our corporate affiliate Altimetry. But first, Dan and Corey kick off the podcast by discussing the latest Federal Reserve meeting, a recent study about what happens to stock price when artificial intelligence ("AI") gives answers at earnings calls instead of humans, and the emergence of a robot CEO for a rum company. (00:00)

Next, Joel joins the conversation and gives the reasons for his growing bearish sentiment. He points out some significant red flags that have caught his and his fellow analysts' attention, including the historical pattern of a credit crisis preceding every major bear market. Joel explains that the current sentiment and valuation trends are heading in the wrong direction. (16:42)

Joel then moves on to the impact of high interest rates on the market. He explains that he and the folks at Altimetry employ "Uniform Accounting" principles, meaning they do not use the same price-to-earnings multiples as Bloomberg or CNBC. Instead, they perform their own calculations. Joel argues that, to control inflation, interest rates need to be maintained at a level higher than what Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems to favor. (20:56)

Finally, Joel discusses U.S. stocks being overallocated in investors' portfolios today and why this serves as a concerning indicator of market conditions. Plus, looking globally, he details why he finds Chinese and Russian stocks unattractive for investment. (37:36)

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