Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast RiskReversal Pod

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: ⁠http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us⁠ Guy Adami welcomes Mike Tracey, Vice President of Risk at Apex Fintech Solutions, to discuss how credit and debt markets are increasingly driving equity action, with bond volatility and elevated yields pressuring the AI CapEx trade now funded more by debt. They examine revenue-whisper risk around OpenAI and Anthropic and describe Oracle as a tracking stock for OpenAI expectations, given its dependence on data-center buildouts. Despite the S&P 500 near highs and a VIX around 16, they argue dispersion and rotation are masking risk and that investors should watch more targeted measures like VXN and SMH volatility. The conversation highlights cybersecurity as a major “unknown unknown,” the fragility of hyperscaler CapEx “sanctity,” gold’s appeal amid persistent deficits, uninspiring Bitcoin flows, risks from short-vol positioning, and potential market impacts from midterm-election surprises and Middle East escalation feeding into inflation, yields, and corporate debt. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Checkout David's Book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1997701774?lv=shuf&channelId=500&plpRedirect=mhFallback Checkout Rosenberg Research: https://www.rosenbergresearch.com Subscribe to our Substack: http://riskreversal.substack.com On the RiskReversal Podcast, Dan Nathan interviews David Rosenberg (aka Rosie) about the CPI report, Fed policy, and what Rosenberg views as an AI-driven market “mania” and one-trick-pony economy. Rosenberg says the latest core CPI print is disappointing but argues inflation is being driven largely by energy-related supply shocks, with weakening real wages, slowing real spending, cracking housing, stable money growth, and range-bound inflation expectations. He warns the Fed’s hawkish pivot risks a consumer-led recession, and highlights extreme market concentration, deteriorating breadth, negative equity risk premium, and heavy household equity exposure as signs of fragility reminiscent of 1999. The conversation also covers AI capex crowding out broader investment, cracks in credit-sensitive sectors, and Rosenberg’s new book, Bear in the Bull Ring, whose proceeds he donates to charity. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan welcomes Deirdre Bosa to the Okay, Computer podcast to discuss her upcoming daily Yahoo Finance show, “Deirdre Bosa Live,” launching November 9 and airing weekdays 1–2 PM PT. They dig into how Microsoft has shifted Copilot toward a model-agnostic approach—routing tasks to the most cost-effective models amid open-source commoditization—while also launching its Maia 300 custom AI chip to manage supply and spending uncertainty. The conversation touches on Meta’s product-driven resurgence, enterprise adoption dynamics, and investor concerns about AI infrastructure capex and debt. They compare emerging personal AI assistants (Muse, Instinct, and OpenAI “Dot”), emphasizing utility, branding, and trust/security as prerequisites for broader adoption, with Apple and identity layers like 1Password seen as potential catalysts. They close on China’s low-cost, high-volume token usage pressuring global pricing and shaping open-source competition. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

CHECKOUT CALEB'S SUBSTACK: investopedia.substack.com/t/caleb-silvers-signal It’s the most critical week of the year as investors face a wave of earnings reports and the latest inflation reading with bond yields and oil prices pushing higher. Risk Reversal’s Dan Nathan drops in with what to watch and listen for as the stock market inches higher on weak breadth and hopes that there are still leaves on the money tree for the AI buildout. Plus, the bull market turns four this week and history teaches us that they’ve been running longer and stronger in recent history, but the older they get, the harder the gains. And, the new price tag on the “American Dream,” tops $5.3 million, but most households are trapped in an under-funded reality. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami reunite to preview the week, focusing on two late-week tech stories: a Nikkei report that Apple may have cut iPhone 18/18 Pro component orders, and market volatility sparked by questions around OpenAI’s revenue figures, including debate over annual run-rate calculations and implications for AI-linked stocks and “NeoCloud” customers. They discuss a macro backdrop of a 10-year yield around 5.24%, a firm dollar, subdued VIX, and sticky crude near $91 amid heightened Middle East tensions and election-related timing concerns. The pair critique Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s approach as yields rise despite policy aims, and debate what could bring rates down. They also discuss AI build-out financing, pulled IPOs, and upcoming CPI/PPI plus major bank earnings, emphasizing guidance, consumer delinquencies, and potential volatility into the midterms. Show Notes Inside Bessent’s Treasury: Tension, Turnover and Unmet Economic Goals (WSJ) Bessent rips Wall Street Journal after report on ‘tension, turnover’ (The Hill) Exclusive: Apple cuts iPhone 18 Pro orders due to soft demand (Nikkei) OpenAI annualised revenues $20bn less than previously signalled (FT) AI agents could cost banks $500bn — by winning savers better rates (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Dan Nathan and Peter Boockvar discuss why longer-term yields are rising globally, arguing the bond market is increasingly setting the cost of capital as investors push back on excessive debts and deficits, highlighted by France’s fiscal issues with spillovers across Europe and relevance to the U.S. They debate whether Fed rate hikes can address inflation tied to AI-driven data center construction and supply constraints, while noting hyperscalers may issue up to $500 billion of debt to fund massive CapEx. They review credit-market stress, including triple-C spreads above 1,000 bps and refinancing shocks versus 2021-era borrowing. The conversation shifts to AI agents, potential monetization, and disruption risks to search, e-commerce, and banking. They cover weak market breadth, elevated oil amid Middle East conflict dynamics, and preview key themes for upcoming bank earnings, including deposit costs, loan demand, and consumer resilience. Show Notes On The Tape with R.P. Eddy (YouTube) The Latest Viral AI Assistant Rocketing Across Silicon Valley (WSJ) SpaceX looks to raise $40bn to buy Nvidia chips (FT) AI agents could cost banks $500bn — by winning savers better rates (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Go follow the 'What Are We Doing' Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ LIVE from the HOOD Summit in Houston: Dan Nathan hosts as the guys walk through the short seller's checklist: short interest, valuation, cost to borrow and, most importantly, a real catalyst. They explain why shorting is so much harder than it looks and how they manage risk by pressing into rallies and covering into weakness. Porter then morphed into a combination of Carter Worth and Steve Kornacki by pointing out technicals on the big screen while Vinnie and Danny argued about whether or not trading options is a decent alternative at times to trading stocks. Vinnie is right that most of the time the option market makers win (i.e. Ken Griffin). They hit a few single names like Fair Isaac (FICO), Carvana (CVNA), Tesla (TSLA), Upstart (UPST) Circle (CRCL) and Goldman Sachs (GS). They also discuss why owning gold as a way to express the debasement trade may beat trying to short the S&P 500. The session wraps with audience questions on meme stocks, stop losses and finding shorts in a market that only seems to go up. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami welcomes back Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at Mastercard, to dig into what Mastercard's data is saying about the American consumer heading into the holiday season. With mortgage rates above 7% and sentiment surveys still gloomy, Michelle explains why spending keeps holding up. The answer is a healthy labor market, strong household balance sheets, and a K-shaped economy where upper-income households are spending faster but every income group is still growing. She breaks down Mastercard's forecast for 5.5% holiday spending growth (excluding autos and gas), the strongest in four years, and how much of that is real volume versus inflation. They also discuss why real wages are sitting right on the line and why diesel prices are worth watching. Michelle shares new research showing that AI power users shop across more merchants and start their holiday buying earlier. The conversation closes with what to watch in the labor market and a preview of Mastercard's 2027 outlook, coming in early December. Michelle's holiday forecast report is linked in the show notes. Show Notes Holiday 2026: AI assists and last-minute lists (MasterCard Economics Institute) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Live from the HOOD Summit in Houston, Guy & Dan sit down with Robinhood's Steph Guild, Porter Collins, Vincent Daniel to make sense of a market sitting near record highs despite a war, $95 oil and a 10-year yield pushing past 5%. The panel digs into horrific market breadth and the passive flows propping up a handful of mega-caps. They discuss why private credit may be the canary in the coal mine for the AI buildout, and whether Nvidia's lending to its own customers makes it look more like a bank than a chipmaker. They also cover the case for energy after years of underinvestment, opportunities in Latin America ahead of Brazil's election, the debasement trade in gold and Bitcoin, and whether AI will ultimately create or destroy jobs. The episode closes with audience questions on agent trading, cybersecurity risk and AI's impact on healthcare. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Tonight we're at Hunt and Fish Club talking with Anthony Scaramucci. Most people know him for his famous two weeks in the Trump White House, but he's so much more than that. He's the founder of SkyBridge Capital, a fixture on Wall Street, and one of New York's most resilient comeback stories. In 2015, he co-founded Hunt and Fish Club, a tribute to 1960s New York and old-school hospitality. Listen in while we discuss inflation, Bitcoin, and what’s broken in America. Timecodes: 00:00 – Cold open: Wall Street vs. Washington 00:30 – Show Intro 01:08 – Meet Anthony Scaramucci + Hunt & Fish Club 02:30 – Childhood, family values & early influences 04:47 – Career start: Goldman Sachs & lessons learned 05:30 – Inflation, debt & the state of the economy 08:24 – Wealth gap & what’s broken in America 11:24 – Culture, mentorship & paying it forward 16:15 – Bitcoin, money & the future of finance 21:10 – Politics, life lessons & gratitude — FOLLOW US Instagram: ⁠https://www.instagram.com/riskreversalmedia/⁠ Twitter: ⁠https://x.com/riskreversal⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/company/riskreversalmedia/⁠ Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: ⁠https://apexfintechsolutions.com/⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/company/apex-fintech/⁠ SUBSCRIBE: RiskReversal Pod for more from Guy and Dan: ⁠https://apple.co/3RzvgpD⁠ RiskReversal Media channel for more episodes and content: ⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCRAOycPjsSgcEyQcuJD_ENA⁠ The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.​​

Today we're doing lunch at Manhatta, towering 60 stories above the financial district. Joining us is Rick Heitzmann, co-founder and partner at one of New York's most influential early stage venture firms, First Mark Capital.  Rick has been early to some of the most category defining companies of the last decade, backing names like Pinterest, Airbnb, and DraftKings. That foresight has landed him on the Forbes Midas list, not once, not twice, but five times. And if that wasn't enough, he's living the dream of every New York sports fan, joining the ownership group of the New York Yankees. Timecodes: 00:00 – Cold open: The Vilification of AI 01:08 – Meet Rick Heitzmann 03:18 - Philly Sports Fan Turned Yankees Owner 05:02 - How Rick Got Into Yankees Ownership 06:00 - Spotting Trends Early: DraftKings, Airbnb & Pinterest 07:50 - Sports Betting, Prediction Markets & Integrity in Sports 09:40 - Danny Meyer, Hospitality & NYC Restaurant Culture 11:27 - Why the Restaurant Business Is So Tough Right Now 12:46 - AI, Digital Health & The Future of Healthcare 15:45 - The Explosion of Women’s Sports & Sports Merch Culture 18:02 - The Great Jersey Debate: Should Adults Wear Them? — FOLLOW US Instagram: riskreversalmedia   Twitter: https://x.com/riskreversal LinkedIn: riskreversalmedia   #investing #stocks #stockmarket #ApexFintechSolutions Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/ LinkedIn: apex-fintech SUBSCRIBE: RiskReversal Pod for more from Guy and Dan: https://apple.co/3RzvgpD RiskReversal Media channel for more episodes and content:    / @riskreversalmedia   The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.​​

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss historic moves in U.S. Treasuries, with yields jumping 20 bps in two days, the 5-year above 5%, and the average Treasury yield above 5%, signaling a new inflationary regime and forcing investors to rethink allocations. Despite higher discount rates, stocks have held up due to a rotation back into mega-cap tech and AI-driven CapEx supporting GDP expectations, even as the bond market “story” looks ominous. Thomas outlines a “balance by extremes” approach—overweight AI/tech while holding 10-year Treasuries, gold, and commodities—and warns a prolonged war and $90+ oil could push the Fed into hikes that risk recession. They debate gold’s outlook amid technical pressure and reduced central-bank buying, and review banks rolling over as a flatter curve squeezes net interest margins and weaker deal-flow expectations pressure investment banks. They also flag midterm-election volatility, with healthcare favored, and note Tony Robbins appeared on “The Important Part.” —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE HERE Checkout Gary's Substack: https://garymarcus.substack.com/ Jim Chanos returns, this time with AI researcher/professor emeritus Gary Marcus. The two join Dan to discuss AI's build-out technology, economics, and risks. Marcus argues modern LLMs lack durable technical moats, remain unreliable and hallucination-prone, and are becoming commoditized, driving token price wars and challenging profitability for OpenAI/Anthropic; he favors neurosymbolic approaches and warns that “agent” systems are causing serious security incidents, saying OpenAI should be temporarily shut down or put into receivership until fixed. Chanos explains his bearish focus on data centers as capital-intensive, low-return “equipment leasing” businesses being marketed like REITs, with hyperscaler incremental returns declining and credit tightening. They compare the AI cycle to late-1990s TMT, discuss NVIDIA’s unique position versus its customers, highlight IPO/financing as a potential breaking point, and debate regulation, surveillance “dystopia,” and political risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan sits down with Fahad Hassan and David Cusatis, co-founders of Range, an AI-native wealth management platform that just crossed $1 billion in assets under management. Fahad and David built Range without any traditional finance background, starting from a simple frustration: the old 1% AUM model is expensive, opaque, and hasn't changed in 100 years. We get into Range's AI agent, Rai, which can execute backdoor Roth conversions over text message, and why the founders believe AI is already outperforming human financial advisors. Plus: a live demo of Meta's Muse booking a flight and ordering an Uber mid-dinner, why they think Salesforce and other legacy SaaS tools are becoming obsolete, how Range is regulated by the SEC, and why they think they can become "the JPMorgan of the next 100 years." Topics discussed: the founding story of Range, AI agents replacing financial advisors, Rai and backdoor Roth conversions, Meta's Muse in action, why legacy software (Salesforce, Notion) is under threat, SEC compliance and trust in AI, and Range's path to disrupting Schwab, Vanguard, and the wealth management industry. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management on the Risk Reversal podcast to discuss a rallying market amid a 5% 10-year yield, rising global rates, and negative September seasonality ahead of the midterms. Niles argues AI-driven data-center spending has powered 2024 returns, but warns of risks from Texas’s data-center moratorium, potential political pushback, comments by Altman, Anthropic’s Dario, and Musk about slowing AI, falling model pricing and profitability concerns, and possible compute-reducing architectural shifts; he cites early signs of spend shifting toward cheaper open-source models. They discuss how hiking cycles, deficits, and weak equity risk premium could pressure valuations and unwind carry trades, and compare today’s AI buildout to the dot-com era, where backlogs and circular financing can reverse quickly. Niles sees AI ultimately consolidating to a few winners, favors Anthropic in enterprise, expects Google to reassert leadership due to data and cloud acceleration, views Meta as a dark-horse beneficiary via consumer distribution, explains Microsoft’s advantage through its OpenAI stake and security-focused Copilot, and outlines a bullish 2025 view on Apple driven by a foldable-phone upgrade cycle despite near-term execution risks. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

TRY NOW: Rosenberg Research Free Trial Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research to discuss his new global macro multi-asset ETF, ROSY, built from his conviction-based model portfolio and launched with Corton Capital, with plans to list in the U.S. in Q1, and preview his upcoming October book, “Bear In The Bull Ring.” The conversation then turns to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s 25 bp rate hike and hawkish messaging, which Rosenberg argues misreads economic trends and overstates labor-market strength amid slowing wage growth and weak year-over-year momentum in jobs, incomes, and industrial production. He contends inflation is primarily an oil-driven supply shock and that the Fed’s focus on “relative prices” implies tightening that could force deflation elsewhere and trigger recession, prompting him to raise cash and de-risk. Rosenberg also warns of extreme valuations, concentration and correlation risk tied to AI/tech, and credit-market stress including rising private-credit defaults. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Checkout the WAWD Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Watch Danny's Interview with Cameron Dawson: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zh-wizTNeC0 Guy hosts Danny Moses on the RiskReversal Podcast, recorded on September 11, and they discuss Japan as an epicenter for global markets as the Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates, highlighting Japan’s ability to sell over $1.2 trillion in US Treasuries and the implications for US yields amid $40 trillion in debt, a $2 trillion deficit, and heavy near-term refinancing needs. They argue oil is inflationary but not the sole driver, citing AI CapEx, tariffs, and rising business costs, with wage growth lagging inflation and consumer stress showing up in delinquencies and weak performance in stocks like homebuilders and American Express. Moses critiques Treasury Secretary Bessent’s “I am the house” stance and discusses gold’s strength, European gold repatriation, and the idea of marking US gold to market. They also cover bullish energy themes, including refiners and LNG name Golar, and end with updates on Danny's Substack and some NFL bets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, for a deep dive into Apple's foldable iPhone Duo launch and what it means for AAPL — plus a broader tour through the week's biggest tech and AI stories: Meta's new agentic AI product Muse, Google's Gemini momentum, Tesla's Cyber Cab and what it means for Uber, and the AI safety debate sparked by a departing Anthropic researcher's warning. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Watch MRKT Call on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/riskreversalmedia SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: ⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, September 9th. Articles Mentioned Checkout ⁠Rosenberg Research⁠ Checkout ⁠The Boock Report⁠ Bessent Dares Traders to Bet Against Yen: ‘I Am the House Now’ ⁠(Bloomberg)⁠ States That Gave Data Centers Billions in Tax Breaks Are Now Ripping Up the Deals ⁠(WSJ)⁠ Google, Blackstone Venture Faces Delays at Data-Center Sites ⁠(Bloomberg)⁠ Anthropic Researcher Quits Over ‘Out-of-Control’ AI Fears ⁠(WSJ)⁠ Chewy Stock Tumbles as Sales Guidance Not Enough to Outweigh Mundane Earnings ⁠(Barrons)⁠ Iran Signals Readiness to Escalate Fight in Face of Rising U.S. Pressure ⁠(NYT)⁠ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild week of macro data and single-stock news heading into the Fed's September meeting. They dig into the surprisingly strong August jobs report and what it means for a Fed already boxed in by political pressure on Kevin Warsh, why the VIX sitting near 14 might be dangerous complacency, and why the bond market's reaction to a potential rate hike could be totally counterintuitive. They also cover the yen intervention, the structural case for energy stocks amid the Iran conflict, and Dan's argument for why the U.S. isn't as "energy independent" as the trade-war rhetoric suggests. Plus: Tesla's Cybercab event falls flat, Apple heads into its biggest product week in years, and Meta's $17 billion settlement gets called out as an embarrassment next to Big Tobacco's 1998 payout. They close with a reminder to check out Dan's conversation with Paul Kedrosky. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Go checkout The Dick & Paul Show on YouTube Dan Nathan interviews Paul Kedrosky about the AI-driven surge in non-residential fixed investment and why today’s data-center buildout resembles prior overbuild cycles like railroads and fiber. Kedrosky argues the current moment is unusually risky because it combines technology hype, loose credit, government-policy urgency, and real-estate speculation (including “powered land/shells”), with more hyperscaler data-center spend now externally financed. He discusses Nvidia’s growing role as a potential single point of failure via ecosystem financing, and warns that large language models are rapidly commoditizing as performance converges and token prices deflate, pressuring heavily levered players. Kedrosky expects neoclouds to be squeezed as marginal suppliers, while hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google benefit by hosting many models and providing enterprise distribution. He also rejects “SaaSpocalypse” extinction claims, predicting compression in SaaS pricing rather than collapse. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan interviews Phill Rosen, CEO/CTO and co-founder of Astraeus, an AI infrastructure company for wealth management. Rosen recounts his path from college dropout to fintech builder, including Orchard Platform and Even Financial (later MoneyLion Engine), explaining how API-embedded distribution and machine-learning signals improved lending decisioning while navigating regulatory explainability. He argues many “AI companies” mainly deploy or fine-tune others’ models and that value often lies in data pipelines, governance, and deterministic software around AI. Rosen describes Astreus targeting independent RIAs and private-equity roll-ups (from ~$2B to ~$200B AUM) by unifying siloed legacy data, codifying compliance rules, and deploying “digital workers” with 90-day pilots to show operational ROI and enable scalable, auditable agentic workflows. They prefer model portability (often Gemini; testing Kimi 3) to manage cost and data sovereignty, and Rosen weighs whether LLMs commoditize into cloud-like infrastructure as tooling matures. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Guy Adami and Dan Nathan open by recounting a fan’s Guy-themed T-shirt sighting on CNBC’s Fast Money, then discuss Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks as largely status quo, with the S&P 500 near all-time highs and the VIX around 14 despite potential catalysts like the August jobs report. They argue markets appear complacent ahead of midterms and cite historical midterm drawdowns, while noting election-related tensions, Canada trade friction, and Russia/NATO risks as possible volatility drivers. The hosts highlight a widening disconnect between strong equities and weakening consumer signals seen in recent retail earnings, alongside rising delinquency rates and persistent inflation pressures. They review key earnings and themes: Nvidia’s extraordinary growth but complex circular AI financing relationships and competitive chip efforts, Salesforce’s sharp rally and software rebound, and previews of Dell and Broadcom amid hardware and TPU demand dynamics, before plugging an interview with Imran Khan. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: https://www.fidelity.com/investing/trading-platforms Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity products or services discussed are offered by Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. The trademarks and service marks appearing herein are the property of their respective owners. Dan Nathan sits down with Imran Khan, CIO and founder of Proem Asset Management, to break down one of the wildest weeks in tech earnings. They dig into Nvidia's latest quarter and why the stock keeps trading well below the market multiple despite the growth — and make the bull case for why that's about to change. From there: the increasingly circular web of financing between Nvidia, OpenAI, Microsoft, and CoreWeave, why OpenAI is building a chip to compete with its own biggest investor, and what Imran learned on a recent trip to South Korea about the memory market (Micron, SK Hynix, and the trade that's already up huge). They also unpack Salesforce's surprise post-earnings pop after Marc Benioff and Anthropic's Dario Amodei sat down with Jim Cramer, and close out with the question everyone's asking: are we in an AI bubble, and if so, who's left holding the bag? Articles Referenced Would There Be an AI Revolution If There Were No Nvidia? (WSJ) Nvidia’s $279 Billion Supply-Chain Gamble (WSJ) Nvidia Has Become a Banker to the AI Boom, Putting It on Dangerous Ground (WSJ) OpenAI Claims Its New Chips Can Outperform Nvidia Processors in Tests (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan sits down with Matt Turck, Managing Director at First Mark Capital and creator of the annual MAD (Machine Learning, AI & Data) Landscape, for a wide-ranging look at where AI investing stands right now. They cover the power-law dynamics driving venture dollars to a handful of companies, why Nvidia is starting to look like "the bank" of the AI industry, Anthropic's surge past $65 billion in revenue and its first profitable quarter, and how OpenAI, Microsoft, Google, and Meta are each positioning for what comes next. The conversation turns philosophical with a discussion of AGI, superintelligence, and the idea that Altman, Musk, and Amodei are all, in their own ways, trying to build God — before closing with a deep dive into China's AI progress, open source, and the robotics race. Matt also talks about his own podcast, The MAD Podcast, and his Data Driven NYC event series. Links Referenced The MAD Podcast (Apple Podcasts) The MAD Landscape (Matt's Website) Nvidia Has Become a Banker to the AI Boom, Putting It on Dangerous Ground (WSJ) Read "AI 2027" and "AI 2040" —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Danny Nathan and Danny Moses discuss recent Treasury Secretary Bessent comments and plans to increase long-dated Treasury buybacks, arguing the amounts are largely signaling, yields quickly reverted, and the move effectively constrains Fed Chair Warsh ahead of Jackson Hole and a potential September hike. They connect rising yields, debt/deficits, inflation pressures, dollar/yen dynamics, and Bank of Japan policy to higher market volatility, tighter funding conditions, and renewed interest in gold, while noting capital may favor high-grade corporates over Treasuries. They review Walmart’s earnings beat but same-store-sales miss and valuation-driven selloff as a consumer and defensives litmus test. Looking ahead, they frame Nvidia, Salesforce, and CrowdStrike earnings as key narrative tests for AI demand, software AI strategy, and cybersecurity, and they flag scrutiny around Carvana’s loan sales and potential related-party buyers. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

WATCH 'The Dick & Paul Show' on YouTube: https://youtu.be/LtLBhBp5T40 This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: https://Fidelity.com/TraderPlus Fidelity Investments and MRKT Call are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. Dan Nathan sits down with Paul Costolo, former CEO of Twitter and current VC. They start with Dick's early comedy days (Second City alongside Steve Carell, two SNL auditions that didn't pan out) and his stint writing for HBO's Silicon Valley, before diving into his path from founding FeedBurner to running Twitter through its IPO — including candid stories about the culture shift from private to public company life, and a surreal late-night run-in with Jack Dorsey in Paris in the middle of Elon Musk's takeover drama. From there they get into Dick's venture firm, 01 Advisors, and his thesis on investing in the AI "enablement layer" (the infrastructure sitting above the models) rather than chasing the flashiest apps. Dick shares his read on today's eye-popping valuations — including Stripe's $7 billion acquisition of OpenRouter and a leaked investor letter claiming "the singularity happened on New Year's Day" — and gives his predictions for the coming wave of AI IPOs, arguing Anthropic and SpaceX are well positioned while OpenAI could face a tougher road given its executive turnover and messaging challenges. They close by talking about prediction markets (and the striking gap between how well people think they're doing on platforms like Kalshi versus reality), before wrapping up with a plug for Dick's own podcast, the Dick and Paul Show. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan hosts FirstMark Capital partner David Waltcher at the firm’s HQ to discuss Waltcher ’s path from an Accel internship to investing in enterprise software, security, and AI. They compare the consumer-to-SaaS shift, the post-2021 “SaaSpocalypse,” and how public markets can overreact to AI narratives, using Salesforce as a system-of-record case study. Waltcher argues many incumbents will prove durable due to switching costs, ecosystems, and trust, while M&A is accelerating amid volatile publics, strong buyers, and fast-growing AI businesses, citing deals like Stripe–OpenRouter and interest in Workday. The conversation turns to Chinese and open models driving token cost deflation and model routing, and to rising security threats, including agent-related incidents, fueling demand. Waltcher highlights FirstMark investments Onyx (agent security), Nebulock (agentic threat hunting), and Tracebit (assume-breach deception), and says innovation risk is highest if recession or a market crash hits, not from AGI timing debates. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Checkout The Boock Report: https://boockreport.com/about/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Peter Boockvar, CIO at OnePoint BFG Wealth Partners, to unpack recent inflation data and why yields remain resilient, with the curve steepening as the two-year dips while the 10-year holds around 4.65%. Boockvar argues the Fed must weigh PPI alongside CPI, noting persistent producer pressures and limited pass-through that squeezes margins and hiring, contributing to weak consumer confidence and “running to stand still” wages. They discuss why the S&P 500 continues to levitate, attributing much of earnings and market leadership to massive AI CapEx spending and its spillovers into financials. The conversation previews key retail earnings (Home Depot, Lowe’s, Target, TJ Maxx, Walmart) and highlights strong energy stocks amid high gasoline prices and inventory drawdown risks. They also debate U.S.-China AI competition, pressure on OpenAI/Anthropic business models, and Japan’s yen intervention, rising odds of a BOJ rate hike, and potential repatriation flows. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Checkout the WAWD Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Dan Nathan welcomes Vincent Daniel, partner at Seawolf Capital and one of the investors who called the 2008 housing crash, for a deep dive into where markets stand heading into year-end. They break down new Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh's "immaculate economy" problem, why passive fund flows are quietly the most powerful force in the market, and the hedge-fund blowup that briefly rattled the S&P. From there, Dan and Vincent get into the real meat of the episode: the new wave of GPU-backed financing deals from Nvidia, Apollo, and Blackstone, why Vincent thinks the AI trade is less a Ponzi scheme and more a "debt-infield CapEx initiative," and where the credit risk is really hiding. They also debate capital availability, return on invested capital, which software names survive the AI shakeout, and whether this all ends up looking more like the dot-com bust or the GFC. Plus: an unprompted case for why Vincent should be the next GM of the Mets. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout WAWD on Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/OTT Sonali joins the podcast on the one-year anniversary of moving from Bloomberg to iCapital, discussing her media series “The Bridge” and iCapital’s reach across wealth and asset managers. The conversation centers on AI economics, especially how declining token costs shift value along the “AI food chain,” with hyperscalers capturing a large share while software and enterprises benefit as costs fall, and with demand (Jevons paradox) potentially sustaining aggregate spend and CapEx. They address rising APAC innovation, why frontier labs pursue IPOs amid heavy cash burn and broad access to debt and equity, and the new NVIDIA-led $500B compute financing platform as Wall Street crowds into AI while investors struggle to diversify as infrastructure, power, and data centers converge. They discuss abundant 2026 liquidity that may tighten, oil’s impact on consumers and second-half caution, hedge fund crowding and the situational awareness leverage unwind, valuation dispersion (semis vs financials/utilities), and rate risks including Treasury basis-trade leverage, a 10-year yield range of 4–4.8%, Japan’s carry trade, and selective interest in Japan and parts of APAC for international exposure. -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses3 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami dig into the biggest story in markets: Nvidia's roundtable with Wall Street's top financiers — Jensen Huang, David Solomon, Jon Gray, and Stephen Schwarzman — and the multi-hundred-billion-dollar backstop deal getting compared to a modern-day CDO. Dan lays out why he thinks this AI CapEx build could make the dot-com bust and the GFC look tame, walks through Nvidia's doubling credit default swaps, and answers a listener question on exactly what would signal the bubble has popped. Plus: the cautionary tale of The Trade Desk's collapse from $140 to $14, why valuations are only richer once before in history (the dot-com peak), and a preview of what to watch in Cisco's earnings after the close today. Show Notes A short history of valuing stocks (FT) Wall Street just endorsed Jensen Huang’s ‘big concept’ for AI. What now? (CNBC) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami speaks with Jim Swartwout, CEO of Prosperum Fintech Holdings about Swartwout's four-decade career across Schwab, Fidelity, E-Trade, TradeMonster, Scottrade, Robinhood, and more, and what it reveals about the evolution of retail investing. Swartwout argues retail is in a “golden age” driven by better data, tools, fractional trading, extended-hours markets, and lower costs, and says payment for order flow is not a meaningful issue at current levels. They discuss social-media-driven concentration and communities, Prosperum/Avantgarde’s education and partner communities, and AI features aiming to deliver “full service broker” support via bots. They cover options becoming more mainstream with education, market strength amid uncertainty, valuation risk, low VIX versus single-stock volatility, hedging demand, competition among brokers, access to private markets for accredited investors, interest in prediction markets, and potential election-related volatility. After the break, Dan Nathan hosts Jay Jacobs, BlackRock’s US head of equity ETFs, to discuss the growth of ETFs and new product tools for investors. Jacobs explains the launch of IQQQ, an iShares NASDAQ-100 ETF designed for long-term compounding with a low fee (12 bps, waived to 10 bps through July 31, 2027) and a lower share price to improve accessibility for smaller investors and options traders. They address Nasdaq-100 concentration and BlackRock’s related products QTop (top 30 names) and QNext (next 70) to help investors manage concentration. Jacobs contrasts iShares’ diversified semiconductor ETF SOXX, which caps top holdings around 7–8%, with more concentrated alternatives, and frames semiconductors as foundational to AI-driven growth. He outlines ETFs’ role in expanding market access, discusses tokenization’s potential for 24/7 global trading and operational efficiency while emphasizing market structure and liquidity needs, and notes BlackRock has not launched daily inverse or leveraged ETFs. The conversation closes with AI as a major economic force and BlackRock’s active AI ETF BAI, which seeks diversified exposure across the full AI value chain. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform.Try Fidelity’s most powerful trading experience yet: https://www.fidelity.com/trading/trading-platforms?immid=100734&imm_pid=428905629&imm_aid=a&dfid=&buf=99999999 Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are notendorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity BrokerageServices LLC, Member NYSE, SIPCApex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Mike Wilson, Chief Equity Strategist and CIO at Morgan Stanley, joins Dan Nathan and Guy Adami for his 15th appearance on the pod. Mike breaks down why he thinks the S&P 500 is headed to 8000, why he's calling for 10-year yields to hit 5%, and why the market has quietly rotated from low-quality "enablers" like semis into higher-quality names like the hyperscalers. The conversation digs into the AI capex debate (Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Micron), what a new Fed chair means for rate policy, the risk of retesting the recent lows, and how China's rare earth dominance factors into the AI arms race. They also go long-horizon — space economy, humanoid robots, and drone warfare — before closing with a walk down memory lane through the dot-com bubble. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout WAWD on Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/OTT On this week's podcast, Danny Moses speaks with Nicole Kagan, head of research at Kalshi, about her path from Bridgewater to Oxford and then to Kalshi to help build the contract-writing and research functions. Kagan explains how Kalshi sources market ideas internally, from partners, and from users, then evaluates whether a contract is objective, economically justified, and resolvable, often reusing pre-certified templates or submitting new rules for CFTC self-certification. She discusses how Kalshi reviews underperforming markets, prioritizes price discovery, and can keep low-volume markets live. They cover Kalshi’s prediction markets conference, institutional hedging examples, and Fed research finding Kalshi markets more accurate on inflation and Fed funds, including an FOMC pricing divergence versus CME futures. Moses highlights Kalshi’s research links and AI/compute work, then shares his weekly Kalshi picks focused on the Bank of Japan and USD/JPY. -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan hosts Amish Jani, co-founder and partner at FirstMark Capital, to discuss his tech investing career and why AI represents the fastest, largest technological sea change he has seen. Jani argues historical comparisons break down as markets and capital needs have scaled, and that gen AI’s apparent “intelligence” has surprised even early researchers. They debate token optimization, enterprise adoption timelines, and whether model routing, open source, and alternative chips will reshape demand without collapsing frontier-model growth. The conversation explores the massive, debt-fueled AI infrastructure build, parallels to late-1990s fiber, NVIDIA’s incentives to diversify customers, and the risk of a new algorithmic or hardware paradigm making today’s spend obsolete. Jani expects value to shift from infrastructure to application software, with incumbents needing rapid product execution and targeted M&A, and he highlights opportunities in vertical AI, agent security, AI infrastructure tooling, consumer agents, and stablecoin/blockchain adoption. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

In this episode we’re at The Dead Rabbit, grabbing a pint with serial entrepreneur and operator, Bill Harris, best known as an early CEO of PayPal. Bill is a veteran FinTech executive who has also served as CEO of Intuit. He later founded Personal Capital, a digital wealth management firm that grew to manage billions in assets before being acquired - and he's now founder and CEO of Evergreen.ai, continuing to innovate in financial technology and investment management. We discuss the early days of Fintech, the gamification of the market, and what it was like working with Elon Musk. — FOLLOW US Instagram: ⁠riskreversalmedia⁠ Twitter: ⁠https://x.com/riskreversal⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠riskreversalmedia⁠ #investing #stocks #stockmarket #ApexFintechSolutions Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: ⁠https://apexfintechsolutions.com/⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠apex-fintech⁠ SUBSCRIBE: RiskReversal Pod for more from Guy and Dan: ⁠https://apple.co/3RzvgpD⁠ RiskReversal Media channel for more episodes and content: ⁠@riskreversalmedia⁠ The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.​​

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami is joined by Peter Boockvar, CIO of OnePoint BFG Financial, to break down the growing cracks in the Bank of Japan's decades-long rate repression experiment and what a yen reversal could mean for global bond markets. They dig into the historic move in Treasury yields following Kevin Warsh's press conference, rising credit stress in the AI trade (including Meta's off-balance-sheet financing and CoreWeave's blown-out credit default swaps), and why single-stock volatility may be signaling something bigger. They close out with a deep dive on gold — why central banks keep buying even as the metal cools off. Then, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami sit down with Jin Hennig, Managing Director and Global Head of Metals at CME Group, live from CME's New York office. They cover gold's pullback from its 2026 highs, the case for why central bank demand isn't going anywhere, the launch of CME's new 24/7 gold futures product, and what the September Fed meeting could mean for prices. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE On today's show, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild Thursday in the markets: Microsoft up 15% and Meta down 9% post-earnings, a huge bounce in semis and memory names, and software getting crushed. Guy makes the case that this price action looks more like a topping formation than a bottom. They dig into Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's post-meeting commentary and the bond market selloff it triggered, Bank of Japan intervention on the yen (and what it could mean for volatility), the dollar's potential breakout, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley's pullback from all-time highs, China's AI and chip progress and what it means for KWEB, and where gold goes next after holding the $4,000 level. Plus, Dan sits down with Tim McCourt, Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Equity, FX and Alternative Products at CME Group, to talk about the newly launched Single Stock Futures — how they work, why CME launched them now during earnings season, and how traders can use them alongside stocks, ETFs, and options for risk management. Show Notes AI Lowers Wages But Doesn't Cut Jobs (Apollo) Why the bond market is doubting Fed chairman Warsh (Axios) FactSet Insight (FactSet) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan sits down with Adam Nelson, fintech-focused VC partner, to break down why stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets are set to reshape the financial system. They cover the GENIUS Act’s impact on regulatory clarity, why Circle’s net income now rivals major banks, how Visa and Mastercard are responding to the threat, and the rise of companies like Rain and Velocity building the infrastructure layer. They also dig into why traditional banking moats are eroding, and close with a look at Hyperliquid, perpetual futures, and the growth of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami and Danny Moses discuss rising global yields and stress points in markets, focusing on Japan’s weakening yen, deteriorating bond market, and risks around Japan’s role as a major US Treasury holder and potential carry-trade unwind, with BOJ and Fed meetings ahead. They note August’s tendency toward volatility and how attention may shift from strong earnings to macro concerns as AI-driven CapEx pressures free cash flow at hyperscalers, raising valuation questions and fears of open-source competition. They preview key earnings including Apple (seen as a defensive AI conduit despite a rich valuation), Microsoft, Meta, and major energy firms, which may post strong results but avoid political blowback. They discuss mixed consumer signals from Capital One, AmEx, and retailers, reiterate a constructive longer-term view on gold tied to Fed policy, and share updates on Moses’s podcasts, Substack work, and a veterans charity event. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Cameron Dawson, CIO of NewEdge Wealth, joins Dan Nathan to break down her "Metallica Market" outlook and why the hyperscalers are undergoing a fundamental transformation — from capital-light monopolies to capital-intensive AI infrastructure builders. They dig into Google's first negative free cash flow quarter since 2004, why 80% of its Q2 earnings came from a one-time $99 billion investment gain, and whether the Mag 7's current dominance echoes the Nifty Fifty and dot-com eras. Cameron also lays out the risk that 2027 S&P earnings estimates could be near their peak, why semiconductors (now 19% of the index) are driving the bulk of 2026's earnings growth, where she still sees strength in financials, and what a Fed Chair Warsh rate move next week could mean for stocks heading into a seasonally choppy back half of the year. Checkout Cameron's 'Metalica' note at NewEdge: https://www.newedgewealth.com/mid-year-outlook-the-metallica-market/ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan sits down with Rick Heitzmann, co-founder and partner at FirstMark Capital, to kick off a new Okay, Computer. series on AI investing. They dig into the circular financing behind the AI infrastructure boom — from Nvidia backstopping Apollo's private credit for xAI to Meta's off-balance-sheet data center deals with KKR and Blue Owl — plus the shift from "tokenmaxxing" to an efficiency era, the rise of Chinese open-source models, memory stock froth, and what's next for the IPO market after SpaceX. Show Notes Big Tech Is Hiding $1.65 Trillion in Debt. How Worried Should Investors Be? (Yahoo Finance) SpaceXAI Explores Major Data Center Expansion in Texas (The Information) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Today we’re in the East Village, having cocktails at Please Don’t Tell - one of the most iconic cocktail bars in New York City. PDT is currently run by award-winning bartender Jeff Bell. Jeff started as a bar back in 2010, and now he owns the place. How about that? He joins us alongside Richard Betts. There are fewer than 300 Master Sommeliers in the entire world, and Richard was one of them. He’s also built some of the most distinctive brands in the industry, including Sombra Mezcal, Astral Tequila, and most recently Tequila Komos. We discuss the business of restaurants and hospitality, building a luxury tequila band, and trends in how alcohol is being consumed. Timecodes 00:00 Why Premium Brands Are Winning 00:50 Standing Table Opening 01:30 Inside PDT: New York's Iconic Speakeasy 02:47 Meet Jeff Bell & Richard Betts 03:35 How PDT Became a Global Cocktail Destination 05:29 Becoming a Master Sommelier 08:03 The Business of Restaurants & Hospitality 10:59 Building a Luxury Tequila Brand 14:04 Are Younger People Drinking Less? 16:03 The Secret to Building Authentic Brands 19:27 Social Media, Hospitality & Customer Experience 24:16 Advice for Future Entrepreneurs 25:38 Closing Thoughts — FOLLOW US Instagram: riskreversalmedia Twitter: https://x.com/riskreversal LinkedIn: riskreversalmedia #investing #stocks #stockmarket #ApexFintechSolutions Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/ LinkedIn: apex-fintech SUBSCRIBE: RiskReversal Pod for more from Guy and Dan: https://apple.co/3RzvgpD RiskReversal Media channel for more episodes and content: @riskreversalmedia The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.​​

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild week across markets — memory stocks in freefall, Google's brutal two-day selloff, and why China's AI models are closing the gap without top-tier Nvidia chips. Micron cratered from its all-time high of $1,255 to $800 in a matter of weeks, and the DRAM ETF whipsawed right along with it. Guy and Dan dig into whether this is a routine flush or something bigger. Google sold off 10% after Gemini news broke the hyperscaler rotation narrative, and they debate whether the moat still holds given decelerating margins and ballooning capex. On the China front: DeepSeek raised $7B at a $52B valuation, Alibaba announced $50B in capex, and Moonshot's new model is narrowing the gap with US labs — all without access to Nvidia's most advanced chips. Dan and Guy also revisit the Nvidia-vs-component-suppliers margin debate, unpack Apple's surprising rally into earnings, and call the technical line in the sand on Netflix after its cash flow miss cut the stock in half. Plus: a quick check on crude, refiners hitting new highs, and what's next for energy names like Exxon and ConocoPhillips. Show Notes Google Gemini Launch Delayed as Tech Falls Short of Internal Goals (Bloomberg) Chinese Models vs. Frontier Models (The Daily Spark) China’s Moonshot Unveils AI Model That Narrows Gap With US Firms (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Dan and Guy speak with legendary short seller Jim Chanos about extreme market dispersion beneath an S&P near all-time highs, rising retail speculation, and a new wave of IPOs, secondaries, and insider selling. Chanos explains his hedged 40-stock model portfolio and argues the AI build-out is driving a torrent of equity and debt financing, often off balance sheet, into long-lived assets with uncertain economics. He warns that long-term projects are being justified by spot pricing, while “construction in progress” accounting and depreciation timing defer costs, inflating earnings and masking obsolescence. He compares today to—and “worse” than—the late-1990s infrastructure boom, highlights falling incremental returns on hyperscaler invested capital, notes shifting neo-cloud business models toward “asset light,” and says bull markets price promises while ignoring financial reality. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Checkout WAWD on Substack: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/OTT Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Danny Moses welcomes Porter Collins and Vincent Daniel back to the On The Tape podcast as Q2 earnings begin amid renewed inflation concerns, Middle East tensions, and continued AI-driven equity enthusiasm. They discuss the Fed being “in a box” between cooling inflation, housing softness, and rising government interest costs, and use Kalshi markets to frame views, including expecting no Fed hike before 2027. The conversation shifts to oil staying elevated due to war-driven disruptions, tight refined-product markets, and high crack spreads amid limited U.S. refining capacity, with mentions of core energy holdings. They cover gold’s pullback from 5,500 to around 4,000, the role of central-bank and China buying, and momentum-driven market structure. They debate AI’s CapEx cycle, margin benefits versus later unemployment risks, and then examine midterm election implications and Brazil’s election odds. The episode ends with Open Championship Kalshi picks and a Substack trial offer. Timecodes 0:00 - Intro 3:00 - The Fed 8:30 - Energy 16:30 - Gold 23:30 - AI & Jobs 31:30 - Elections & National Debt 41:30 - British Open Picks -- ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Ben Emons of FedWatch Advisors to discuss shifting Fed communication under Kevin Warsh, including a push away from strong forward guidance like recent comments from Waller. Emons distinguishes disinflation from deflation, noting a negative month-to-month CPI driven by energy declines but warning energy has already rebounded, making expectations volatile. He highlights “funflation” in categories like recreation and food away from home alongside broad underlying price pressures. The group debates whether AI is inflationary, with Emons pointing to supply-constrained memory prices and AI-related investment as drivers, and discusses IBM’s sharp drop after clients shifted CapEx toward servers, storage, and memory. They also cover Middle East Strait closures adding an oil war premium, positioning risks across crude, rates, and equities, yen weakness and potential BOJ action, and heightened volatility and leverage in a “Parabolic Seven” chip/memory cohort that could trigger broader market rotation and tightening financial conditions. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Learn more about Astraeus Wealth Management: http://astraeuswealth.com/partner-with-us Guy Adami and Liz Thomas discuss recent “momentum on, momentum off” volatility, with semiconductors swinging and earnings season starting with banks that have traded well despite a flattening yield curve. They debate rising long-term Treasury yields, arguing hikes aren’t appropriate in a slowing economy and tying yield pressure to Middle East conflict, oil inflation fears, and U.S. fiscal indiscipline, with the bond market challenging the Fed’s 2% target under new Chair Kevin Warsh. They touch on private equity weakness versus tight credit spreads, whether credit cycles still exist amid repeated policy “saves,” and upcoming CPI (3.8% expected) and PPI (6.2% expected). They flag Japan’s weakening yen and stressed bond market as an underappreciated risk, review gold’s move as central-bank and retail flows shift, and outline a second-half view: stocks higher but volatile, with opportunities in Mag Seven, financials, healthcare, commodities, and energy. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Dan Nathan sits down with Peter Boockvar (CIO, One Point BFG Wealth Partners) and Louis-Vincent Gave (CEO, Gavekal) to break down the AI arms race, the dollar's structural decline, and where the smart money is rotating next. They dig into China's "Toyota vs. Ferrari" AI strategy and why cheap, open-source models threaten to commoditize OpenAI and Anthropic's trillion-dollar valuations, the sustainability of a $6.5 trillion AI CapEx buildout, and why record semiconductor concentration in global indexes is creating a crowded, fragile trade. The conversation moves through the energy crunch driving refining shortages worldwide, the case for gold and commodity stockpiling in a post-Hormuz world, and why long-term bond markets in France, the UK, and Japan may crack before the US does. They close with where Boockvar and Gave are actually putting money to work right now: financials and cyclicals over crowded tech. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.