Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast Pathways

There is a clear shift in global priorities, moving from globalisation to more national interests. This is synonymous with a meaningful shift toward a prolonged fiscal-led era. However, many major economies are starting from a challenging fiscal position, raising concerns about debt sustainability, exacerbated by a high cost of capital and lingering inflation fears.

If this major shift in priorities were not enough for markets to grapple with, the hasty and abrasive execution of these fiscal initiatives by the US has also roused an erosion of trust. This raises questions about the continuation of US exceptionalism, as well as the risk of a potential reevaluation of overweight positions to US assets.

Listen as Brett Lewthwaite, CIO and Head of Fixed Income for Macquarie Asset Management, summarises Issue 01 of our Fixed Income Strategic Forum 2025, with Macquarie Asset Management’s Head of Research Daniel McCormack.

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Direct lending can provide several potential benefits to borrowers, including greater deal certainty, faster speed of execution, direct relationships with lenders, and more tailored solutions. In this episode, the panelists explore the evolution of the strategy, its role in a diversified portfolio and key decisions investors should consider when integrating it into their investments. 

Related content: Direct lending: Uncovering the strategic edge

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In today's episode, we're tackling a topic that has been at the forefront of global economic discussions: the Trump tariffs and potential fallout. Tune in to a conversation with Macquarie Asset Management’s Head of Research Daniel McCormack and Derek Hamilton, Economist at Macquarie Asset Management. They'll explore the origins of these tariffs, their intended goals, and the ripple effects they've had on both the U.S. and global economies. 

Related content: The human edge: Finding opportunities in 2025 

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What emerging trends and innovations should investors look for in the real estate and infrastructure sectors in 2025? Tune in for a conversation with Macquarie Asset Management’s Head of Research Daniel McCormack, Head of Real Estate Strategy David Roberts, and Global Infrastructure Strategist Aizhan Meldebek. They discuss the main drivers of growth next year, namely healthy GDP growth and falling interest rates, and where they see potential opportunities and risks.

Explore Outlook 2025 and our views on the year ahead.

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The second episode of our Outlook 2025 podcast series features an insightful discussion on where inflation and interest rates are headed in 2025 and the investment implications of President-elect Trump's policy agenda. Host Daniel McCormack, Head of Research, is joined by John Horner, Global Strategist for Global Fixed Income Markets, and Stefan Löwenthal, Head of Global Multi-Asset. 

Explore Outlook 2025 and our views on the year ahead.

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As we anticipate ongoing volatility, strong growth is still expected in the year ahead. Listen as Daniel McCormack, Head of Research, and Derek Hamilton, Economist at Macquarie Asset Management discuss growth drivers, concerns about inflation, and potential investment opportunities in 2025.

Explore Outlook 2025 and our views on the year ahead.

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Tune in to a fascinating discussion with Macquarie Asset Management’s Head of Research Daniel McCormack, and Kate Vidgen, Head of Industrial Transition and Clean Fuels in MAM Green Investments about global energy transition and the impacts that new technologies are having on the space. This conversation provides context on what’s driving the growing energy demand, the role of digitalisation and AI, and how Macquarie is finding innovative solutions to meet this demand as investment opportunities grow in this intriguing sector. 

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In the latest episode, we explore the impact of the fourth industrial revolution on the real estate market. Join host Daniel McCormack, Head of Research and James Holliday-Smith and John Lewis from our Global Listed Real Estate team for a conversation about the crucial role of data centres and telecommunication towers in the digital economy. They discuss the growing demand for data infrastructure driven by AI and 5G, how investors can capitalize on these trends, and what the future holds for the digital transformation of real estate. 

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In part 2 of our two-part series on global transport, we turn our focus to the aviation sector, responsible for about 10% of global carbon emissions. Join host Daniel McCormack and speakers Yufei Zhang and Audrey Lee as they explore cutting-edge solutions for aviation decarbonisation. From sustainable aviation fuels to hydrogen jets, and direct carbon removal, hear insights on the strategies and challenges in reducing aviation's carbon footprint. 

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Part 1 of our two-part series on global transport dives into the significant advancements and challenges of decarbonizing road transport and shipping sectors. Join host Daniel McCormack and speakers Yufei Zhang and Audrey Lee as they discuss the current and future state of electric vehicles and the potential of green shipping fuels. They examine the ambitious road to net zero, the role of policy and infrastructure, and what all this may mean for investors. 
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Markets are complex systems with many intertwined factors driving outcomes. Many participants and commentators however like to simplify these factors and embrace persuasive narratives to justify all market movements.  

As we approach the middle of 2024, there are two narratives we believe to be the most compelling and prevailing:  

1. The artificial intelligence revolution is here. 
2. Fiscal policy is back. 

Listen as Brett Lewthwaite, CIO and Head of Fixed Income for Macquarie Asset Management, summarises Issue 02 of our Fixed Income Strategic Forum 2024.

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With inflation and interest rates remaining sticky, and the intersection of infrastructure and private credit greater than ever before, infrastructure debt may be experiencing a revival. Our latest Pathways podcast delves into the transformation of infrastructure debt over the past 15 years, highlighting how it has become a critical component of private credit portfolios.
 
 Join speakers Daniel McCormack, Harlan Cherniak, and Gurjit Orjela for an insightful discussion on the current state and outlook of infrastructure debt. Their conversation sheds light on the evolution of infrastructure debt, from traditional sectors like bridges and utilities to newer areas such as digital infrastructure, decarbonisation, and emerging technologies. The strategy’s potential for attractive risk-adjusted returns and diversification benefits may also make infrastructure debt a valuable addition to a diversified portfolio in today's high-rate environment.
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A discussion between Daniel McCormack, Head of Research at MAM, and Larry Hu, Head of China Economics at Macquarie’s Commodities and Global Markets division highlights key themes and takeaways from the National People’s Congress that took place in March – an important political gathering in China where Premier Li Qiang addressed a wide range of issues including economic policies, social reforms and international relations. 

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When we met for the first Strategic Forum of 2024, the focus was on the notion of whether "To hold or to fold?" on to our economic outlook views. Issue 01 explores the potential scenarios facing fixed income investors at the start of another year. 

Listen as Brett Lewthwaite, CIO and Head of Fixed Income for Macquarie Asset Management, summarises Issue 01.

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As we gathered for Issue 03 of the Fixed Income Strategic Forum, the backdrop was one in which investors appeared to have increasingly embraced the possibility of a soft landing or no landing for the US and the global economy. Meanwhile, the evidence supporting the likelihood of a recession – higher rates, tighter credit, less liquidity – has continued to build and we remain of the view that the question is not if but rather when a recession will occur and how hard it will be.

Listen as Brett Lewthwaite, CIO and Head of Fixed Income for Macquarie Asset Management, summarises Issue 03.

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Valuations for private infrastructure investment have long been murky and at times challenging to compare to other asset types.

Using a large dataset of more than 1,000 transactions, MAM research has derived a time series of private infrastructure valuations to gain insights.

Global infrastructure strategist, Aizhan Meldebek, summarizes the work including a finding that infrastructure valuation multiples have a negative relationship with interest rates and a positive relationship with inflation. 

"We have created an infrastructure 'cap rate' that enables investors to directly compare infrastructure valuations with those of real estate," says Meldebek.

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One of the challenges with investment management is balancing the short-term noise of financial markets with a longer term assessment of the investment and economic landscape. The Macquarie Fixed Income Strategic Forum is held three times a year, comprising more than 130 investment professionals, and operates to establish our medium-term views and strategic portfolio positions. Listen as Brett Lewthwaite, CIO and Global Head of Fixed Income, recaps the latest edition of the Macquarie Fixed Income Strategic Forum.

Related content: Recession: Everything and all at once? - Investment summary

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Macquarie Head of Research Daniel McCormack details the landscape for real assets in 2023, amid inflation and headwinds to growth prospects across developed economies. Discussion covers the characteristics of infrastructure investments that may help position these assets for the expected environment ahead and also structural challenges facing global property markets and agriculture, where compelling opportunities exist amid a volatile landscape.

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Rising interest rate, high construction costs, and hybrid working are creating dislocations in commercial real estate markets.  Macquarie analyst David Roberts lays out challenges and opportunities ahead in global real estate.

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Electricity consumption is growing worldwide, making decarbonisation in the sector both a challenge and an imperative. Researchers Aizhan Meldebek and Thomas Studer examine net zero goals related to electricity and take a deep dive on key technologies, as well as the economics behind renewables, green hydrogen, and more.

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