Money For the Rest of Us - J. David Stein

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The Power of Optionality: Small Bets, Big Payoffs

Épisode 492

mercredi 4 septembre 2024 • Durée 22:31

In this episode, we explore the concept of optionality—how small, strategic decisions can lead to outsized rewards with limited downside risk. From ancient philosophy to modern financial strategies, discover how recognizing and seizing options can unlock opportunities in both life and investing.

Topics covered include:

How call and put options work
The difference between American and European style options and why it matters
Why options are positively skewed
Examples of using optionality in business and life
Why it can be challenging to commit when an option is "in the money"

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Show Notes

Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb—Penguin Random House

The Wisdom Of Finance: Discovering Humanity in the World of Risk and Return by Mihir Desai—Harper Academic

Refuse to Choose!: Use All of Your Interests, Passions, and Hobbies to Create the Life and Career of Your Dreams—Penguin Random House

An Economist Walks into a Brothel: And Other Unexpected Places to Understand Risk by Allison Schrager—Penguin Random House

Related Episodes

482: Unlocking the Power of Positive Skewness: Strategies for Investing, Business, and Creativity

268: How To Better Manage Risk

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The Five Layers of Investing - Which Layers Is Your Portfolio Allocated?

Épisode 491

mercredi 28 août 2024 • Durée 31:13

In Episode 491, we explore the five layers of investing, including which assets fit into each layer, and give examples of advertisements targeting each layer.

The five layers are:

1. Short-term trading
2. Longer-term speculations
3. Individual securities
4. Diversified portfolios focused on underlying drivers and factors
5. Maximum diversification with few changes and just a few holdings

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Show Notes

Asset Camp

The Role of Emotions in Financial Decisions by David Tuckett—ResearchGate

Morningstar Active Passive Barometer

Related Episodes

486: How Retail Traders Lose Big While Enriching Wall Street

431: The Long-term Bullish Case for Gold

306: Three Approaches to Asset Allocation

Don't Lose Access to Your Cash: Comparing Banks, Neobanks, and Fintech Platforms for Cash Savings

Épisode 483

mercredi 19 juin 2024 • Durée 24:10

Millions of fintech app users have lost access to their cash. In this episode, we explain why this happened and show you how to protect yourself when placing cash with traditional banks, neobanks, and fintech platforms.

Topics covered include:

The mass chaos in the fintech space spawned by the bankruptcy of Synapse Financial Technologies
What are FBO accounts, and why they are so troublesome
What is the difference between a traditional bank, a neo bank, and a non-bank
What to look for and protect yourself when investing your cash savings

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Show Notes

CHAPTER 11 TRUSTEE’S INITIAL STATUS REPORT BY UNITED STATES BANKRUPTCY COURT CENTRAL DISTRICT OF CALIFORNIA SAN FERNANDO VALLEY DIVISION—CourtListener

Fintech platform Synapse raises $33M to build ‘the AWS of banking’ by TechCrunch—Synapse

X Post by Jason Mikula—X

How Population Trends Will Impact Growth, Inflation, Investing, and Well Being

Épisode 395

mercredi 27 juillet 2022 • Durée 27:11

How slowing population growth and an eventual population peak will lead to competition for foreign workers, potentially higher inflation, and ultimately the need to transition to a steady-state economy rather than one based on constantly producing more.

Topics covered include:

How longevity and birthrates impact population growth
What areas of the world are seeing population increases versus declines
Why high income countries will need more immigrants in order to sustain their population levels
When is global population expected to peak and at what level
Will greater dependency ratios lead to higher inflation
What is the difference between growth and development
How slowing population growth will impact investments
Why the world will need to transition to a steady-state economy focused on well-being rather than growth

For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

World Population Prospects 2022: Summary of Results—United Nations Department of Economy and Social Affairs

Five Key Findings from the 2022 UN Population Prospects by Hannah Ritchie, et al.

Germany Plans to Simplify Immigration Rules to Combat Labour Shortage—Schengen Visa

How To Get Better At Risk Taking

Épisode 394

mercredi 20 juillet 2022 • Durée 27:29

Five ways we can better take and manage risk.

Topics covered include:

How likely is it that China will invade Taiwan and the stock market will fall 80%
Why experts tend to be humble and don't make specific predictions
What is the difference between risk and uncertainty, and between loss capacity and loss aversion
What factors impact our degree of loss aversion and loss tolerance
Why the economy needs more risk takers rather than rentiers

For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

Investor Risk Profiling: An Overview by Joachim Klement, CFA—CFA Institute Research Foundation

Looming Large or Seeming Small? Attitudes Towards Losses in a Representative Sample by Jonathan Chapman, et al.

The Global Impacts of Climate Change on Risk Preferences by Wesley Howden and Remy Levin

Does Mood Take the Front Seat in Determining the Financial Risk-Taking Propensity of Individuals? Evidence from India by Crystal Glenda Rodrigues and Gopalakrishna B. V

What Happens If Your Brokerage Firm Goes Bankrupt?

Épisode 393

mercredi 13 juillet 2022 • Durée 24:35

How protected are you if the brokerage firm where you hold your stocks, bonds, and crypto assets files for bankruptcy? Why you shouldn't store your crypto assets with an online broker.

Topics covered include:

How traditional brokerage firms protect their client assets in case of bankruptucy
How cryptocurrency brokers, such as Voyager, mistreat their clients in bankruptcy proceedings
What is the safest way to hold cryptocurrency

For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

Voyager To Acquire Circle Invest Retail Digital Asset Business From Circle Internet Financial—Cision

Welcome, Circle Invest! Voyager Acquires Circle Invest's Retail Customers—Voyager

Crypto lender Voyager Digital files for bankruptcy by Shivam Patel, Sinead Cruise, and Tom Wilson—Reuters

Crypto lender Voyager addresses customer anger in first bankruptcy hearing by Dietrich Knauth—Reuters

Part 2 - What Is Money and How To Think About It

Épisode 392

mercredi 6 juillet 2022 • Durée 37:10

David and his son Camden conclude their conversation about money.

Topics covered include:

A review of money principles discussed in Part 1
How money is created
How money is energy
Why bank runs occur
How cryptocurrency fails as money
How money is debt backed by debt

For more information on this episode click here.

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Part 1 - What Is Money and How To Think About It

Épisode 392

mercredi 29 juin 2022 • Durée 38:08

David and his son Camden hold a conversation about money, its attributes, how it's created, and how money differs from investments.

Topics covered include:

How our earliest money memories impact our views on money
The difference between public and private money
What are the two primary attributes of money
Why money should be accepted with no questions asked
How some countries use more cash than others
How money differs from investing
Why private money can be risky

For more information on this episode click here.

Show Notes

Free email course and PDF on how to beat inflation

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How to Survive a Bear Market

Épisode 391

mercredi 22 juin 2022 • Durée 27:41

Three things investors can do to survive this bear market and thrive in its aftermath.

Topics discussed include:

What are bear markets, how often do they occur, and how long do they last
How the current bear market differs from previous ones
How severe have losses been for various asset classes
How have asset class long-term expected returns changed since last November when the sell-off began
What actions can investors take to make it through this bear market and take advantage of opportunities

For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

US Leading Indicators, Updated: Friday, June 17, 2022—The Conference Board

Investment Mentioned In this Episode

The Vanguard Total World Stock Market ETF (VT)

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK)

iShares Edge MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF (IVLU)

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)

Related Episodes

306: Three Approaches to Asset Allocation

Why David Isn't Podcasting This Week and Our New Closed-End Fund Course

mercredi 15 juin 2022 • Durée 13:47

This week on the show, David shares some investing lessons from fly fishing and introduces our new course on How To Invest in Closed-End Funds.

Between now and the end of June get 25% off the course. You can learn more here.

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