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TitreDateDurée
The Printer Is Coming10 Nov 202500:30:26

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, and Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, are back to break down the latest macro news and market drivers after a brutal week for risk assets.

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Is China Winning the Trade War?03 Nov 202500:28:08

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research dissect the latest macro news and trends driving global markets. The Fed cut rates as expected, but was Powell’s hawkish tone a surprise?


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Global Trade Rewired10 Jul 202500:34:05

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm’s partner and head of geopolitics to disucss Sweden's Inflation surprises, AI disrupting jobs, and the next phase of the trade war. 

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#10 - A steeper curve to create a recession - Guest: Bob Elliot13 Aug 202300:42:59

The yield curve inversion was never a recession signal. An uninversion and higher rates (via bear steepening) is needed to push the economy in to recession.

We discuss the allocation playbook given the knowledge we have on the yield curve with Bob Elliot, former Bridgewater and now CIO of Unlimited Funds.

You can use Macro30 to get 30% off your subscription at www.stenoresearch.com

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#9 - Coups, YCC and the big rotation trade06 Aug 202300:38:47

Is the big rotation now ongoing in rates and equities after the BoJ steepened the JGB curve?

Find out as we discuss the bizarre developments in Niger, Jeddah and Japan in light of the material steepening of the USD curve.

You can find more on www.stenoresearch.com and use the exclusive code Macro30 to get 30% off your annual subscription.

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#8 - From recession to Goldilocks - USA USA USA - Guest: Darius Dale30 Jul 202300:43:03

From a technical recession in July-2022 to a widespread acceleration in July-2023. The US economy is not done performing and the interest rate sensitivity seems much smaller than usual.

What has changed in the US economy and is the soft landing an actual feasible scenario?

We host Darius Dale of 42 Macro for a discussion on the strenght of the US economy and how to trade it.

If you want more of our transparent and actionable research, you can use the code macro30 to get 30% off your subscription at www.stenoresearch.com

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#7 - Breaking: 3 reasons why the BoJ decision is NOT a gamechanger28 Jul 202300:13:03


Markets initially panicked after the Bank of Japan decision to move the needle on the yield curve control was leaked.

The new yield curve control regime is much more flexible, which can actually be seen as a positive.

We discuss the surprise decision by Bank of Japan in this short Breaking edition of “Macro Sunday”

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#6 - Geopolitical risks are back - Guest: Claus Vistesen23 Jul 202300:33:19

Why is the EUR so resilient? And will it continue to be so in the wake of renewed geopolitical turmoil in the Eastern parts of the continent?

We welcome Claus Vistesen of Pantheon Economics to discuss the European case. A buy or a sell relative to expectations?

Remember that you can use macro30 to get 30% off your subscription at https://stenoresearch.com/subscribe/

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#5 - 4 reasons why the recession never arrived - Guest: Dario Perkins16 Jul 202300:47:35

Andreas Steno and Emil Moller of Steno Research host Dario Perkins of TS Lombard for a discussion the recession that never arrived.

Steno Research had a tremendous trading week after acing the US Inflation Report. What is ahead for inflation after this dovish report and will central banks pause in a coordinated fashion from August and onwards?

Remember that you can use the exclusive code “Macro30” to get 30% off your subscription at www.stenoresearch.com - live portfolio, quant tools and full global Macro coverage and much more.

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#3 - Why is everyone so obsessed with the BRICS currency? Guest: Jacob L. Shapiro09 Jul 202300:43:39

What's actually going on in Russia? Is the US taking a softer stance towards China with visits from both Blinken and Yellen? And what's going on with the suggested gold-based BRICS currency? We take a deep-dive into current geopolitics with analyst and director Jacob L. Shapiro of Cognitive Investments.

Read our continued geopolitical coverage as well as our 15-20 weekly macro articles at Stenoresearch.com. Sign up for a 14 day free trial and use the promo code 'macro30' for 30% off your first purchase.

Hosts: Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold
Guest: Jacob L. Shapiro (@JacobShapiro)

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The weird resilience of the EUR - Guest: Jens Nordvig 02 Jul 202300:51:31

The EUR and European equities have proven surprisingly resilient to a string of weak data from Europe. Why is the EUR trade not rolling over? Andreas Steno hosts fellow Dane Jens Nordvig for a discussion on the Euro area.

Remember that you can get 30% off your subscription at www.stenoresearch.com with the discount code “Macro30”

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Housing rebounds - time to call off the recession? Guest: Warren Pies25 Jun 202300:40:19

Housing is rebounding and all the sudden the central bank hawks are back on parade. Is it time to call off the recession or will the downside risk increase due to central banks misreading the situation? Andreas Steno and Emil Moller of Steno Research hosts Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research for a discussion on housing and how to trade it.

Read more content from Andreas and Emil on Stenoresearch.com. We provide you with +70 macro insights each month as well as access to our live portfolio and macro datahub. Sign up now for a 14 day free trial and get 30% off your first payment with the code 'macro30'.

Hosts: Andreas Steno Larsen and Emil Møller
Guest: Warren Pies, 3Fourteen Research

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3 reasons why EUR liquidity is a MUST watch over summer18 Jun 202300:39:24

Welcome to the inaugural episode of Macro Sunday. Each and every Sunday, former Global Chief Strategist of Nordea Bank, Andreas Steno, invites colleagues and friends of Steno Research to share their views on the world of macro and geopolitics with loads of actionable content.

We will maintain FULL independence without capital interests in having specific views and provide 100% transparency around how we trade and view the world

The podcast will be the most entertaining and yet serious podcast in the Macro Space and as you will notice our trade ideas will be “SOMETIMES MAYBE GOOD, SOMETIMES MAYBE SHIT” (Listen to understand the context) 

Find out more about Steno Research with the 30% discount code “macro30” at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe

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Iran Tensions Over?24 Jun 202500:27:36

NOTE: This episode was recorded and streamed on Monday, before the Iranian strikes on Qatar and the subsequent cease-fire. To watch the show live in the future, follow Macro Mondays on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvQWgrDu1KI&list=PLSm3lKwpfZ_By9fz6p9bUBO8T9sPJijKF&index=1


Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, Steno Research partner and head of geopolitics, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets. From the Israel-Iran war to the future path of interest rate, they unpack how central bank policy and geopolitical factors are fueling volatility and shifts in market positioning.

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Welcome to Macro Sunday!17 Jun 202300:00:56

Welcome to our new podcast - Macro Sunday. Each and every Sunday, former Global Chief Strategist of Nordea Bank, Andreas Steno, invites colleagues and friends of Steno Research to share their views on the world of macro and geopolitics with loads of actionable content.

We will maintain FULL independence without capital interests in having specific views and provide 100% transparency around how we trade and view the world

The podcast will be the most entertaining and yet serious podcast in the Macro Space and as you will notice our trade ideas will be “SOMETIMES MAYBE GOOD, SOMETIMES MAYBE SHIT” (Listen to understand the context) 

Find out more about Steno Research with the 30% discount code “macro30” at www.stenoresearch.com/subscribe

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Geopolitics Driving Markets Again17 Jun 202500:21:33

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and trends driving global markets. From escalating Ukraine-Russia tensions and the Israel-Iran standoff to the latest twists in U.S.-China trade talks, they unpack how geopolitics is driving market volatility, shaping risk assets, and influencing macro positioning.

 

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Ukraine strikes and the state of sanctions03 Jun 202500:25:40

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, joins Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's partner and head of geopolitics, to discuss the latest Ukrainian drone strike on Russian air bases, surging commodity prices, the state of sanctions, and why the U.S. dollar is weakening.


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Downgrades, Debt, and Digital Gold19 May 202500:30:34

Andreas Steno, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, to break down Moody’s U.S. debt downgrade, Trump’s Middle East investment tour, and bitcoin's price action amid rising bond yields.

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A Path to Trade War Diffusion13 May 202500:26:25

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, to unpack the U.S.-China trade agreement, the market's reaction, and the key narratives and risks investors need to watch right now.

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Is Trump’s Plan Working?05 May 202500:30:03

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host, Mikkel Rosenvold, the company’s partner and head of geopolitics, to dissect whether Donald Trump’s trade war strategy is bearing fruit as China purchases U.S. Treasuries. Plus, they examine what sparked a sudden volatility spike in the New Taiwan dollar.

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Is Macro Data Dead?28 Apr 202500:30:01

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's partner and head of geopolitics, to examine the latest news and trends driving global markets. From Ukraine-Russia ceasefire talks to the U.S.-China trade war, dollar debasement, and the bitcoin rally, they cover it all.

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What Could Reverse This Market Meltdown?08 Apr 202500:29:36

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's partner and head of geopolitics, to make some sense of the latest news and trends moving driving global markets on this live edition of Macro Mondays.

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No more safe havens? Well, maybe...01 Apr 202500:27:55

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the volatile market environment, the impact of the incoming Trump tariffs, and why it's time to worry about China and Europe.

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The Tariff Battle Heats Up27 Oct 202500:29:13

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research unpack the renewed tariff talks with China and Canada, fresh inflation data shaking market expectations, and the other key macro forces impacting your portfolio decisions.

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How to Trade the Geopolitical Firehose25 Mar 202500:31:51

Steno Research partner and head of geopolitics, as well as COO of Asgard-Steno Global Macro, Mikkel Rosenvold is here to break down the many geopolitical events that are affecting investor sentiment right now and how to trade them, including tariffs, Ukraine, Turkey, and more.

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How to trade the inflation schism18 Mar 202500:36:47

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research and CIO at Asgard-Steno Global Marco, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets on this live edition of Macro Mondays. They discuss the American strikes against the Houthis in Yemen, European fund managers getting wary of Tesla, the global trade barriers, and whether they could bring back the inflation conundrum.

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Have We Reached the Bottom in Equities?11 Mar 202500:32:32

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research and CIO at Asgard-Steno Global Marco, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, Steno Research's head of geopolitics and the fund's COO, to break down the latest global macro trends and news. They dive into the state of the stock market, how much tariffs could affect inflation, where the U.S. dollar is headed, and much more.


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Why reciprocal tariffs are a GOOD thing17 Feb 202500:34:42

In the weekly macro update, Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold guide you through current macro events, including tariffs, Ukraine, liquidity and soft commodities.

Hear why:

- Peace in Ukraine might be imminent
- Reciprocal tariffs are GOOD
- Sugar might be the hottest commodity

And much more!

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Could Trump actually bring global tariffs DOWN?11 Feb 202500:29:49

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm’s partner and head of geopolitics, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets on this live edition of Macro Mondays.
 

Timestamps:
00:00:08 – Introduction & Market Overview
00:00:30 – Trump’s Tariff Moves: Market Implications
00:01:49 – Global Leaders Navigating U.S. Trade Policies
00:02:58 – Real Vision Sneak Peek & Macro Analysis
00:04:04 – Kanye West’s Surprising Take on Liquidity
00:06:08 – Ethereum Sentiment at Rock Bottom?
00:07:44 – The Business Cycle Outlook for 2025
00:10:07 – Manufacturing Rebound: The Key Bullish Signal
00:11:19 – Global Equities: Who’s Winning in 2025?
00:13:11 – Commodities & Inflation Trends to Watch
00:15:26 – The Impact of Trump’s Deregulation on Financials
00:19:08 – Geopolitical Risks Are Fading—What That Means
00:20:12 – The Dollar’s Future: When Will It Weaken?
00:22:48 – Tariff Wars: How Europe Might Benefit
00:25:13 – CPI Predictions & Market Expectations
00:28:17 – Key Investment Opportunities & Final Thoughts



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3 Good Tariff Trades for a Crazy Week!03 Feb 202500:29:31

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder, and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news in markets.

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01:46 - Macro Mondays: Global Markets and Trade Wars
3:15 - Deep Sea AI: From Major Breakthrough to Market Fizzle?
04:50 - Trade Wars: Tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada
10:00 - Trump’s Tariff Strategy: Bluff or Real Economic Policy?
13:00 - Crypto Market Crash
15:00 - Possibility of US Capital Gains Tax and A Weaker Dollar?
18:40 - Macro Meets Micro - The Eurodollar
19:50 - European Growth Challenges: Can the EU Compete?
21:30 - High Conviction Themes: Gold, The Dollar, And Manufacturing Cycle
25:00 - How Tariffs Impact Inflation

Music license ID: WJ6TRPVHFD

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DeepSeek panic or opportunity?28 Jan 202500:25:45

Apologies for the late update - we had some technical difficulties. Remember to check out RealVision.com for your options and extended coverage.

Hosts: Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno

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Trump Inauguration Preview - And everything NOT Trump20 Jan 202500:31:00

We preview the Trump Inauguration from a Macro perspective - AND try to take a break from all the Trump nonsense with some good old macro analysis!

Hosts: Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno

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Raoul Pal: What Happens If Trump's Dollar Playbook FAILS?13 Jan 202500:34:22

 🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report: https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. Andreas is back with Raoul Pal ‪@RaoulPalTJM‬  our special guest to break it all down live…

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, welcomes Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal to break down the strength of the US dollar, inflation expectations, and the role of liquidity in driving growth.

Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction:
01:32 - The Dollar Surge: What's Driving Currency Markets?
03:07 - Trump's Economic Strategy: Tariffs, Dollar Strength, and Negotiations"
05:20 - Monetary Policies in 2025: Echoes of 2016 and QE Predictions"
07:17 - Bitcoin and Markets: Parallels to 2017 and the Next Move
12:30 - UK Bond Market Troubles: A Canary in the Coal Mine?
15:43 - Inflation and Liquidity: Navigating the Economic Crossroads
20:40 - Retail Sales Boom: The Early Signs of Economic Revival
27:53 - Crypto’s Liquidity Role: How to Prepare for the Next Rally
33:07 - Closing Thoughts: Upcoming Events and Macro Strategies

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These Are the TOP Trades for 202507 Jan 202500:35:39

Bitcoin back over 100K! Andreas & Mikkel discuss tariffs, QE, and market strategies for 2025.

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to on the key market drivers of 2025, from Trump tariffs to the recent crypto surge plus 5 trades they see working in 2025.

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Are We in an AI Bubble?21 Oct 202500:30:55

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research are back to break down whether we’re entering a new AI bubble, what the Fed’s next move means for markets, and why retail investors are driving the rally while institutions hesitate

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5 good trades for 202516 Dec 202400:32:09

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to discuss the latest inflation fears and the impact of China’s stimulus plan on global trade dynamics and equity flows in the new year.

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Macro Mondays: Global Stimulus Signals10 Dec 202400:28:41

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's head of geopolitics, to explore the shifts in global markets as the civil war in Syria seems to come to an end. From why China’s “moderately loose” policy language suggests massive stimulus incoming to Fed rate cut hints and Europe's better-than-expected outlook, it’s a packed session of actionable insights.

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Trump vs. China: What’s Next for Global Markets?03 Dec 202400:34:10

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, the firm's head of geopolitics, to break down the latest forces driving global markets on another live edition of Macro Mondays. This week, they discuss crypto's surge, shifting trends within the fixed income, and the outlook on China after Trump's threats of higher tariffs.

Real Vision Black Friday Sale FINAL DAY: Up to 50% OFF https://rvtv.io/4eZ2PLr

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Markets Are Screaming for Liquidity25 Nov 202400:34:33

🔥 Black Friday SALE: Up to 50% OFF across Real Vision https://rvtv.io/4eZ2PLr. Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets on this live edition of Macro Mondays.

This week, they discuss how leveraged investing could impact bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto-related equities, where to find value in macro markets right now, what global financial conditions suggest about bonds and the Fed rate-cutting cycle, and much more.

And don’t miss up to 50% OFF Real Vision memberships, upgrades, merch and more. Black Friday is here: https://rvtv.io/4eZ2PLr


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Will the Fed Finish the Job?19 Nov 202400:26:14

Will the Fed Finish the Job? Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets on this live edition of Macro Mondays.

Check more from the duo at www.stenoresearch.com

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Macro Mondays #74 - When the Trump bet dies, here's what to look for11 Nov 202400:30:53

We assess the fallout from the Presidential election. How long will the Trump wave last and what's hiding behind it all in the macro world?

Host: Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold

Check out the episode on youtube to see the graphs & videos we look at:

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Macro Mondays #73 - What the f*ck is happening to Bonds?04 Nov 202400:41:51

As the election looms we take a closer look at the bond market in the aftermath of an abysmal jobs report on Friday. We also preview Fed and BoE meetings and Chinese stimulus news.

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #72 - Are markets prepared for a liquidity tsunami?28 Oct 202400:28:25

We take a closer look at the upcoming wave if liquidity expected from the US Fed. How is Andreas Steno positioned for this and how can you prepare?

We also dive into the current sell off in oil and rising bond yields - plus a very interesting election result in Japan

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #71 - the Polymarket effect21 Oct 202400:35:32

Has the volatile Polymarket betting on the US Presidential Election boosted the USD and what does this tell us about markets and the likely reception of a Trump win?


We cover the outlook for US inflation and growth as well as the ECB cutting season and the chances of a jumbo cut at their next meeting.


Read more about Andreas' new macro strategy right here: www.stenoglobalmacro.com"

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #70 - The Beijing Nothing Burger15 Oct 202400:35:40

The Beijing "fiscal bazooka" has been center of attention in global macro in recent weeks, but what did we actually get from the Chinese government and what is the outlook for the Chinese economy? We also cover the upcoming USD liquidity tsunami and how that should affect your risk balance in USD markets.

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

Check out the episode on youtube to see the graphs & videos we look at.

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Bitcoin Soars, Japanese Bonds Buckle06 Oct 202500:29:18

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research break down the latest news and trends driving markets, from inflation and labor data to Bitcoin’s rally and the Japanese bond market action.

 

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Macro Mondays #69 - Stimulating an OK economy07 Oct 202400:28:20

Is the Fed cutting into strenght, and will the economy make a comeback into 2025? We look at the models after the NFP surprise.

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #68 - China bringing a potent knife to a gunfight?30 Sep 202400:29:31

The rally in Chinese-linked assets is one of the most bizarre seen in newer financial markets history. Is the Chinese stimulus package a game-changer or is it insufficient to structurally turn the tide? Meanwhile, a wave of liquidity will arrive in Q4.

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #67 - How to position for the cutting season?23 Sep 202400:40:09

We digest the jumbo cut and take a deep dive into what our models tell us about the ideal positioning in this scenario.
We also cover key risk areas - both in the Middle East and in the US hiring numbers.

Check out the episode on youtube to see the graphs & videos we look at.

Monetary Metals pays a yield on gold and silver in physical ounces of metal, with free storage and insurance. Right now, you can earn  2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings.  Go to www.realvision.com/metals for more information.

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Macro Mondays #66 - 25BP or 50BP? And how to position16 Sep 202400:29:09

We evaluate last week's key CPI numbers and look ahead to the FOMC meeting this week. While a cut seems destined, it's going to be extremely key whether the Fed opts for a 25 or 50 bp cut. We gauge the chances and talks positioning - including Fixed Income and Commodities.

Check out the episode on youtube to see the graphs & videos we look at.

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