Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast Know More. Risk Better.

In this week’s episode of CreditSights’ “Know More. Risk Better.” podcast, host Winnie Cisar is joined by Mark Lightner, Head of Special Situations Legal Research. Together, they delve into the legal issues coming out of the U.S. presidential election, including what a contested election might look like, how major litigation may be impacted, and the Fed’s independence, among other topics.  Mark and Winnie provide detailed insights into these critical topics, making this episode a must-listen for anyone looking to understand the potential legal outcomes of today’s election.

In this week's episode of CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Winnie Cisar welcomes Cedric Chehab, Chief Economist for BMI. Cedric shares his perspective on the U.S. economy in 2025 and discusses the potential impacts of the upcoming U.S. presidential election. The conversation covers key economic indicators such as the yield curve and labor market trends, compares today's economy to the 1990s, explores various types of recessions, and addresses the U.S. fiscal deficit and government debt. Tune in for expert analysis and actionable insights into the fixed income markets.

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, we delve into the European real estate market with insights from industry experts Mary Pollock and Logan Miller. Discover what has driven the recent outperformance in the sector and get ahead of the curve as we discuss Q3 earnings, transaction volumes, and the broader property cycle. Learn about key themes such as macro strategy and sector outlooks that could impact your investments. Tune in to find out which sectors are showing signs of recovery and what challenges lie ahead for 2025. Don’t miss this chance to stay informed and make smarter investment decisions!

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy at CreditSights, and Senior Special Situations Analyst, Peter Sakon, dive into the evolving residential real estate brokerage industry. They discuss the challenges faced by real estate agents, traditional brokerages like Anywhere Real Estate’s (HOUS) Century 21 and RE/MAX (RMAX), the rise of low-cost cloud-based competitors, and new regulations from the National Association of Realtors. The conversation also touches on the financial pressures on these companies and potential long-term risks. 

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, we delve into the intricate dynamics of the housing market. Winnie Cisar and Michael O'Brian explore national housing market fundamentals, shifts in the regional housing supply, and the impact of elevated mortgage rates. They also discuss the strategies home builders are using to navigate this challenging environment, including rate incentives and the shift toward quick move-in homes. Whether you're a homeowner, prospective buyer, or industry professional, this episode offers valuable insights into what drives the housing market today and what to expect in the near future. Listen now!

In the latest "Know More. Risk Better." podcast episode, host Winnie Cisar and CreditSights Head of Energy, Chas Johnston, explore the dynamic energy sector. They discuss oil price stability, natural gas market volatility, and geopolitical impacts. The episode also covers industry consolidation, potential mergers, and investment opportunities in emerging markets, particularly Pemex. Packed with valuable insights and strategies for navigating fixed income and credit markets, this episode is a must-listen for investment professionals. Tune in now for expert perspectives on the latest trends and opportunities in the energy sector.

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights, and Mariya Nurgaziyeva, Head of Consumer Goods and Services, dive into the European consumer and retail sector. They discuss the impact of economic trends on consumer behavior, the outlook for 2025, and the potential opportunities and risks in the market. Don't miss out on these valuable insights!

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Winnie Cisar and frequent guest Davis Hebert, Head of TMT at CreditSights, dive deep into the booming world of podcasts. They explore the rapid growth of the podcasting industry, the economics behind mega deals, and the impact on traditional radio players like iHeart and SiriusXM. The discussion also covers how big tech companies such as Spotify, Apple, Amazon, and Google are influencing the podcasting landscape. Additionally, they examine the challenges and opportunities for monetizing podcasts, offering insights into what it takes to succeed in this dynamic space. Tune in now!

On CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Zach Griffiths is joined by fan-favorite guest Josh Esterov, CreditSights' Head of Insurance, to explore the implications of the upcoming US election on health insurers. They delve into the potential impacts of a Harris or Trump victory, examine the regulatory landscape, and discuss how different election outcomes could shape the future of healthcare policy. Gain expert insights into what insurers are hoping for and why gridlock might be their best bet. Tune in for a deep dive into the intersection of politics and health insurance.

On CreditSights' "Know More, Risk Better" podcast, host Zach Griffiths teams up with Ross Schaap and Iris Malone from GeoQuant for an engaging and timely discussion on the U.S. election.

Just a month away from Election Day, they discuss Geoquant's latest U.S. Presidential and Legislative model predictions with Kamala Harris at the top of the Democratic ticket and VP picks in place for both parties. They dive into the unique circumstances of this election and how the re-energized Harris campaign may affect voter turnout and ultimately the outcome of the race. Importantly, they also focus on the potential for unified government and how that likelihood has shifted since our prior U.S. election focused podcast.

This episode offers valuable insights and predictions that can help you understand the market implications of various potential outcomes for the upcoming election. Tune in to stay informed and ahead of the curve!

In the latest episode of LevFin Insights 'Levered Lines' podcast, Managing Editor Andrew Hedlund sits down with Shawn Robinson, co-head of Private Fixed Income at Apollo Global Management. Together, they explore the intricacies of private investment grade credit (Private IG), a notable example being Apollo's $11 billion deal with Intel.

Discover how Private IG offers flexible, bespoke financial solutions across diverse sectors like aviation and AI. Sean explains the numerous benefits, including higher spreads and robust protections, while addressing common concerns about liquidity and transparency. Learn how pension funds and institutional investors are leveraging Private IG for enhanced diversification and fixed income replacement.

Tune in for valuable insights on the future of private credit, especially in booming areas like clean energy and technology.

Join Winnie Cisar, the Global Head of Strategy, along with Zachary Griffiths, Head of US Macro & IG Strategy, and Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy, for a special episode of "Know More, Risk Better." This week, the Global Strategy team presented its 2025 Preliminary Outlook for the US, Euro, and Sterling markets, highlighting key themes for the upcoming year and providing initial forecast scenarios. Together, they discussed how the outcome of the US election could influence market performance, the trajectory of central banks, and potential risks to the outlook.

On CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, Davis Hebert and Erick Vega join host Winnie Cisar to explore the fascinating and often mysterious world of data centers. Dive into the infrastructure that powers our digital lives, from the storage of Instagram photos to the streaming of your favorite shows. Discover the inner workings of these massive facilities, the differences between hyperscale and colocation data centers, and how emerging technologies like generative AI are driving unprecedented demand. Tune in to unravel the complexities of data centers and understand their critical role in our ever-evolving digital landscape. Whether you're a tech enthusiast or just curious about where your data lives, this episode is packed with insights and expert analysis you won’t want to miss.

In the latest episode of the "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights, is joined by Jim Williamson, Senior European Autos Analyst. They cover key developments in the European automotive sector, including the shift from volume to value, the impact of rising dealer inventories, declining used car prices, and the challenges posed by stringent emissions regulations and Chinese EV competition. The discussion also touches on recent changes in sector recommendations and specific stock picks for investors.

On CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, Jesse Rosenthal, James Goldstein, and James Dunn join host Winnie Caesar to delve into the pressing questions surrounding consumer behavior and market conditions. They explore the current state of consumer health, spending patterns, and key indicators that signal broader market trends. Gain valuable insights into which metrics our experts rely on to forecast consumer spending and understand the underlying factors influencing the market today. Tune in to uncover the nuances and expert analyses that shape our understanding of the consumer landscape. Discover how factors like retail sales, credit card data, and discretionary spending are influencing the market, and what this means for the future of consumer behavior.

In this episode of "Know More. Risk Better.", Winnie Cisar is joined by Andrew Hedlund, Managing Editor at LevFin Insights, to discuss current trends in private credit. They highlight the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and their potential impact on the market, noting that tight pricing benefits borrowers with lower interest payments. The discussion also covers high leverage in private credit deals, a growing deal pipeline, and significant fundraising efforts, such as Ares' $34 billion in investable capital. Additionally, they address macroeconomic impacts, concerns about defaults, the use of payment-in-kind (PIK) options, and sector-specific challenges, particularly in healthcare.

In the latest episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights, is joined by Luke Millar, Global Editor-in-Chief of LevFin Insights, to explore current developments and forward-looking trends in the European leveraged finance markets.

They delve into key topics such as the performance of the high-yield market, driven by a recovery in stressed sectors like real estate, elevated carry from high starting yields and narrowing credit risk premiums. The discussion also covers the dynamics between fixed and floating rate leveraged debt, the market's appetite for risk, the pivotal role of CLOs, and the outlook for future issuance and refinancing activities amid shifting interest rates and M&A pipelines. 

In the latest episode of CreditSights' "Know More. Risk Better." podcast, host Winnie Cisar is joined by Kerry Kantin, US Bureau Chief at LevFin Insights. They delve into the recent increase in M&A and LBO-related financings against the backdrop of a falling-rate environment, resulting in a $39 billion leveraged loan pipeline. The discussion highlights how falling base rates benefit loan issuers and underscores repricing activities that extend loan maturities. Additionally, the episode covers fund flows, market technicals, and return prospects, noting that high-yield bonds should get a boost as rates decline. It wraps up with an insightful discussion on SOFR floors and CSAs in loan documentation.

The Know More Risk Better is back for Season 07! Join our host Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy as she is joined by Logan Miller, European Head of Strategy, as they set the stage for the season ahead.

This episode covers recent market dynamics and year-end expectations, focusing on US & European investment-grade (IG) and high-yield (HY) markets. Key topics include robust primary market activities, consumer trends, economic outlooks, US job reports' impact on credit spreads, and anticipated central bank easing cycles. They also examine the potential market implications of the upcoming US elections and the revival of the debt ceiling debate.

In the latest episode of "Know More, Risk Better," hosts Winnie Cisar and Zach Griffiths are joined by Mark Lightner, Head of Special Situations Legal Research at CreditSights, to discuss the ripple effects of two of the U.S. Supreme Court’s blockbuster decisions from this term: Purdue Pharma, which held that third-party releases are not allowed in bankruptcy, and Loper Bright, which overturned the 40-year-old Chevron deference doctrine for federal agency rule making.

Host Winnie Cisar is joined by Head of TMT, Davis Hebert to discuss Starlink's influence on the satellite sector. They explore Starlink's expansive low Earth orbit satellite system for global broadband service, its financial journey without corporate bonds, and its impact on established satellite players and potential regulatory challenges it faces.

In this timely episode of "Know More. Risk Better," host Zach Griffiths invites guest Ross Schapp of GeoQuant to dissect the evolving U.S. political landscape post-debate and its implications for investment strategies. They delve into the nuanced dynamics of party control, Biden's steadfast candidacy, and how these factors could influence market risks and fiscal policy as we approach the November elections.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.", CreditSights' strategists covering the U.S., Europe and EM unpack their mid-2024 to mid-2025 market outlook. They outline their preference for fixed over floating rate product, duration over credit risk and provide their rationale for recommending more defensive portfolio positioning. During the webinar they poll the audience to get a sense of client positioning and perception of economic and financial market risks. Finally, they answer top-of-mind questions from our broad base of global fixed income market clients.

In the latest episode of "Know More, Risk Better," host Zach Griffiths and Cedric Chehab, Global Head of Country Risk at BMI, explore the potential effects of a second Trump presidency on the US dollar. They discuss the impact of tariffs, Federal Reserve policies, and tax cuts. Additionally, they reflect on the alignment of today's currency management strategies with the historical Plaza Accord. The conversation highlights the enduring status of the US dollar as the preeminent global reserve currency.

In this episode of the "Know More, Risk Better." podcast, our hosts Winnie Cisar and Zach Griffiths discuss their recent travels and meetings with clients, sharing insights into the current sentiment in the credit markets. They explore topics such as the private credit market, global views from various meetings, and expectations for the economy and central bank policies.

In the latest episode of the "Know More, Risk Better" podcast, host Zach Griffiths is joined by Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy at CreditSights. Together, they delve into the evolving landscape of the credit market, highlighting shifts in European credit spreads. They explore the interplay between the ECB's cautious stance and the Fed's assertive moves and consider the market's response to political events in Europe and key policy changes.

In this episode of "Know More, Risk Better," host Zach Griffiths is joined by Andy DeVries, Head of Utilities at CreditSights to dive into his preferred ways to position in the rapidly evolving Utilities space. They explore the effects of data center demand on power markets, customer growth impact on utility bills and political risk, and the implications of the Inflation Reduction Act on clean energy. They also discuss potential political changes, the trend of hybrid financing in utilities, and their impact on fixed income investment strategies.

In the most recent episode of "Know More, Risk Better," Zach Griffiths discusses with Mark Lightner how the Biden administration has navigated policy implementation through legislation, executive action, and litigation. They examine key legislative successes such as the American Rescue Plan and the Inflation Reduction Act, and look ahead to imminent Supreme Court rulings and anticipated legal debates surrounding artificial intelligence.

Host Zach Griffiths and head of U.S. financials Jesse Rosenthal delve into the intricate dynamics of consumer credit and bank exposure to commercial real estate. Discover the nuanced take on credit card debt spikes, the resilience of the consumer in the face of rising rates and inflation, and what the future holds for office CRE. Don't miss their expert analysis on these critical financial trends.

Host Winnie Cisar delves into the world of AI with technology experts Jordan Chalfin and Andy Li. They explore the AI cycle's current state, NVIDIA's market impact, and the burgeoning trend of AI workloads shifting from cloud to on-premises, offering a nuanced perspective on the tech landscape.

Tune in to the latest CreditSights podcast episode where Winnie Cisar and Pat Luby dive deep into the Wealth Management universe, discussing the intricacies of municipal strategy and the shifting interest rate environment. They also explore the strategic use of ETFs and mutual funds within investment portfolios, offering valuable insights for wealth management clients and investors.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," host Zach Griffiths discusses the implications of recent elections in South Africa, Mexico, and India with strategy expert Regis Chatellier and GeoQuant founder and co-head Mark Rosenberg. They delve into the ANC's significant loss in South Africa, the sweeping victory of Morena in Mexico, and the BJP's expected win in India, exploring how these outcomes may influence market dynamics and policy direction.

Winnie Cisar and Kerry Kantin, U.S. Bureau Chief at LevFin Insights, are back with an update on the trends and dynamics of the leveraged loan primary market, emphasizing the surprising strength in 2024. They discuss how a decrease in recession fears and a lack of M&A activity have led to more demand than supply in the market, favoring issuers and sparking a wave of repricing.

Host Zach Griffiths explores the complexities of private credit with guest Lyle Margolis from Fitch Ratings. They examine the balance of strong earnings against the pressures of elevated base rates and liquidity challenges, providing insights into the current state and future trends of middle-market fundamentals.

In the latest CreditSights podcast episode, host Winnie Cisar dives into the complexities of liability management exercises with Justin Forlenza, Managing Director at Covenant Review. This episode unpacks the intricacies of balance sheet restructuring outside of bankruptcy, exploring various transaction types and how they impact investors, as well as the current trends driving an increase in these transactions.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," host Zachary Griffiths speaks with LFI Managing Editor Andrew Hedlund, exploring the complexities of private credit and the evolving interplay between banks and direct lenders. The discussion sheds light on the current state of deal flows, pricing trends, and the broader economic implications for companies navigating today's high-interest environment.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," hosts Winnie Cisar and Zachary Griffiths delve into the intricacies of private credit and its burgeoning role in U.S. investment strategy. They unpack the evolution of lending practices, the regulatory shifts affecting banks, and the interconnectedness of private equity and private credit in today's financial landscape.

Host Zach Griffiths and special guest, Josh Esterov, dive into the changing dynamics of fixed income markets, with a special emphasis on the growing presence of private credit in life insurers' investment strategies. They explore the risks and opportunities associated with this trend, particularly in the context of a potential economic downturn, while also discussing the increasing influence of private equity firms in the life insurance sector.

Season 6 of "Know More. Risk Better.," kicks off with a deep dive into the financial currents shaping the market. Join Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy, and Zachary Griffiths, Head of US Investment Grade and Macro Strategy, as they analyze the aftermath of 4Q23 and 1Q24's economic data and the Federal Reserve's nuanced policy signals.

In this episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," we invited Visa's Principal US Economist, Michael Brown, to explore the U.S. economy's resilience amidst Fed tightening and discuss how the Visa Spending Momentum Index provides a deeper cut into understanding recent consumer spending trends. Brown delves into the consumer spending dynamics post-COVID and analyzes the nuances of credit health and emerging payment trends. This episode provides key insights into today's economic trends and the future direction of the US economy and financial markets.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," host Zachary Griffiths is joined by Todd Duvick, Head of Autos research, to discuss the recent downgrade of the U.S. auto sector's performance rating. Despite the sector's significant outperformance since upgrading Autos to Outperform in November 2023, Duvick explains valuations reflect the auto sector’s improved supply-demand balance and the repricing of Ford’s bonds following its upgrade to investment grade. The episode delves into the implications of these factors on the auto market and explores the evolving dynamics of electric vehicle adoption and the potential challenges posed by Chinese competitors.

In this episode, host Winnie Cisar is joined by Euro consumer analyst Maryum Ali and Euro auto analyst Jim Williamson to discuss how premium consumer brands and the auto sector are navigating economic challenges. They focus on consumer trends in Europe and globally, earnings season outcomes, and the evolving landscape of electric vehicles. Tune in today as the conversation provides a deep dive into how these sectors are adapting and what indicators are key for future performance.

In the latest episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," host Winnie Cisar and Special Situations Legal Research Head Mark Lightner delve into the complexities of mass torts and bankruptcy, focusing on high-profile cases like Purdue Pharma's. They unravel the impacts of third-party releases and the controversial Texas Two-Step strategy for companies facing mass tort liabilities. This episode is a must-listen for anyone interested in how landmark legal battles shape creditworthiness for companies with mass tort exposure.

Winnie Cisar is joined by Dave Preston, Head of Structured Credit Research at AGL Credit Management. Together, they delve into the intricacies of the CLO market, discussing the appealing cash-on-cash returns of CLO equity, the significance of CLO manager performance, and the impact of banks and Japanese investors on AAA CLO tranches. Dave also sheds light on the increasing prominence of private credit CLOs and offers insights for investors navigating this complex landscape.

In the latest "Know More. Risk Better." episode, host Zachary Griffiths and GeoQuant's Head of Research, Ross Schaap examine the 2024 US presidential election, leveraging their model's impressive 83% success rate in predicting outcomes.

Tune into our latest "Know More. Risk Better." episode where strategy meets insight in the fixed income arena. Head of Financials, Simon Adamson joins to dissect the impact of US commercial real estate on European banks and what it means for investors. We also take a closer look at European bank performance and the potential shifts in the banking landscape. Essential listening for anyone looking to stay ahead in the world of credit investing.

In our latest "Know More. Risk Better." podcast episode, host Winnie Cisar and Global Editor-in-chief of LFI, Luke Millar unpack the European leveraged finance market's robust start in 2024. They tackle key drivers, CLO trends, and the evolving private credit landscape, offering expert analysis on the sector's opportunities and challenges. Tune in for critical insights into high-yield strategies and default outlooks.

In this episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," host  Zachary Griffiths joins Head of East Asia Corporates, Zerlina Zeng, to analyze China's unexpected five-year loan prime rate cut and its implications for market sentiment and investment strategies. They explore the nuanced impacts on the credit market, debate future policy shifts, and offer insights on navigating the current investment climate.

In this episode of "Know More. Risk Better.," Winnie Cisar and Zachary Griffiths unpack the implications of the latest CPI and PPI data on fixed income markets, and discuss the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate adjustments. They provide a strategic outlook for investors amid shifting economic indicators and market resilience.

In our latest podcast episode, we're thrilled to introduce Brian Conroy, the founder of Bixby – a company specializing in the leveraged loan market and the newest member of the Fitch Solutions family. Brian shares his journey from the investment banking world to creating Bixby, a platform addressing the need for transparent information flow in private markets. He discusses Bixby’s growth, its near-complete coverage of the US loan market, and its expansion plans into Europe. Tune in to hear how Bixby's data is revolutionizing the way clients approach the loan market and discover the synergy with CreditSights’ suite of products.