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| Titre | Date | Durée | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strategy's Yield Machine & SEC Unlocking DeFi Front Ends | 16 Apr 2026 | 01:02:09 | |
Crypto is quietly rebuilding the financial system from the ground up, but what happens when traditional structures like yield, regulation and creative financial engineering get reassembled onchain?
This week, we explore new financial primitives, focusing on Strategy’s STRC product and the evolving DeFi regulation shaping institutional adoption.
We discuss synthetic yield products, Bitcoin treasury strategies, DeFi front-end rules, and how policy shifts could unlock tokenized securities and accelerate crypto’s integration into mainstream finance. Enjoy!
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
01:46 Vault Insurance Arrives
04:21 STRC Explained
10:14 Why STRC Works
16:45 Why Others Cannot Copy
25:19 The Real DAT Debate
30:05 Would You Buy STRC?
34:22 SEC Opens DeFi Front Ends
45:08 Routing Rules Get Messy
52:03 Genius Act Rulemaking
56:03 Stablecoin Insurance Debate
01:00:38 Hyperliquid Founder Profile
FOLLOW THE SHOW
› Inflection Point – https://x.com/BWInflection
› Marc – https://x.com/marcarjoon
› Matt – https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
› David – https://x.com/dlawant
› Michael – https://x.com/marcryptonio
› Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks
RESOURCES
› Colossus Jeffrey Yan Profile – https://colossus.com/article/beyond-the-sky-jeffrey-yan-hyperliquid/
DISCLAIMER
Nothing said on Inflection Point is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. | |||
| Vaults Are The Next Asset Management Revolution | 11 Apr 2026 | 01:02:35 | |
Vaults promise to rebuild asset management from scratch and do it faster, cheaper, and fully programmable, but the path from niche DeFi product to institutional backbone is far from straightforward.
We sit down this week to unpack how vaults are evolving from crypto-native yield tools into a serious contender for institutional capital.
We explore programmable funds, institutional adoption, risk and regulation, recent DeFi hacks, and what still needs to happen before vaults scale into a multi-trillion dollar opportunity. Enjoy!
TIMESTAMPS:
00:00 Intro
02:45 Why Bitwise Likes Vaults
05:16 What Vaults Actually Are
09:02 Vaults As Smart Funds
14:13 Transparency And Customization
20:18 Are Vaults Securities?
27:12 Ads (Blockworks Investor Relations)
28:01 What Curators Actually Do
35:22 Beyond Yield Strategies
40:17 Why Institutions Lag
43:21 DeFi Hack Risks
51:18 Centralization Or DeFi
FOLLOW THE SHOW
› Inflection Point – https://x.com/BWInflection
› Marc – https://x.com/marcarjoon
› Matt – https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
› David – https://x.com/dlawant
› Michael – https://x.com/marcryptonio
› Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks
DISCLAIMER
Nothing said on Inflection Point is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. | |||
| Supply Shock | Quantum Risk Is Forcing Institutions To Rethink Bitcoin | Christopher Jensen | 03 Feb 2026 | 00:33:18 | |
In this episode, Director of Digital Asset Research at Franklin Templeton Christopher Jensen discusses why quantum computing is a real threat to Bitcoin, why the topic is resurfacing now, how institutions are pricing and managing that risk, and what potential upgrade paths could look like. Enjoy!
—
Follow Franklin Templeton: https://x.com/FTI_Global
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_.
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_.
Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
—
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:15 Quantum Computing Risks & Concerns
03:55 Institutional Perspective on Quantum Threat
07:28 Quantum Computing and Bitcoin Security
10:46 Market Impact and Risk Assessment
16:23 Future Outlook and Institutional Strategies
27:31 Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock | |||
| CTV/CSFS: Is THIS Bitcoin's Next UPGRADE? | Jeremy Rubin | 18 Mar 2025 | 01:08:34 | |
In this episode, Jeremy Rubin joins the show to discuss the Bitcoin roadmap he’s endorsing, the value of adding new functionalities to the Bitcoin network, and the relevance of technical consensus for Bitcoin. We also delve into the Segwit and Taproot upgrades, Jeremy’s vision for Bitcoin improvements, and more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Jeremy: https://x.com/JeremyRubin
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Join Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.co/Kh8aZKlcqO
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
00:58 Jeremy Rubin's Bitcoin Upgrade Proposal
04:46 The Evolution and Challenges of Bitcoin
07:54 Bitcoin vs. Other Cryptocurrencies
14:13 Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
15:47 Bitcoin vs. Other Cryptocurrencies
18:35 Bitcoin Core Community & Upgrades
28:50 Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
30:55 Technical Consensus
38:54 The Evolution of Bitcoin Development
45:06 The Future of Bitcoin Upgrades
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| TRUMP VS. PUTIN: THE BITCOIN COLD WAR IGNITES! | Weekly Roundup | 13 Mar 2025 | 00:57:57 | |
This week, we discuss lawmakers reintroducing the Bitcoin Act, takeaways from the White House crypto summit, and what Russia’s crypto proposal suggests about Bitcoin sovereign game theory. We also delve into a single Bitaxe mining a block, why proof-of-work consensus is so important, and more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Nolan: https://x.com/countbtc
Follow Michael: https://x.com/mpmcsweeney
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Join Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:12) Biggest Bitcoin Headlines
(04:01) Greenland's Political Shift
(06:31) Michael Saylor's Manifest Destiny
(11:29) White House Crypto Summit
(14:27) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(16:00) White House Crypto Summit (Con't)
(22:35) Russia's Bitcoin Regulation
(26:15) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(28:22) BRICS & Bitcoin Game Theory
(42:37) Bitaxe Miner & Value of Proof-of-Work
(53:40) Final Thoughts and DAS 2025
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| A Bitcoin Bull Run Is Coming | Dan Held | 11 Mar 2025 | 00:59:27 | |
In this episode, Dan Held joins the show to discuss bringing crypto innovations into Bitcoin DeFi, metaprotocols like Bitcoin ordinals, and the future of Bitcoin fees and security. We also delve into the outlook for Bitcoin asset listings, Bitcoin updates and soft forks, and more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Dan Held: https://x.com/danheld
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: https://ignition.coredao.org/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: https://stake.coredao.org/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:05) Bitcoin & DeFi Opportunities
(11:58) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(13:31) The Role of Speculation in Bitcoin Adoption
(18:12) Ordinals and NFTs on Bitcoin
(20:54) User Experience and Bitcoin's Competitiveness
(25:57) Price Sensitivity and Transaction Costs
(28:30) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(30:36) Price Sensitivity and Transaction Costs (Con't)
(32:39) The Future of NFTs and Bitcoin Tokens
(35:11) Exploring Bitcoin Layer 2 Solutions
(40:22) The Debate on Bitcoin's Game Theory
(53:28) The Case for Bitcoin DeFi
(56:57) Is the Super Cycle Here?
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Trump's Crypto Stockpile Plan: Genius or Disaster? | Weekly Roundup | 06 Mar 2025 | 01:04:02 | |
This week, we discuss whether crypto assets other than Bitcoin should be in a US reserve, the meaningful differences between Bitcoin and other crypto assets, and the opportunity Trump has to transition America away from a broken system. We also delve into the IMF attacking El Salvador’s Bitcoin policies, the differences between Fartcoin and Bitcoin, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Nolan: https://x.com/countbtc
Follow Michael: https://x.com/mpmcsweeney
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(03:08) Should the US Own Crypto Other Than BTC?
(11:42) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(13:15) Should the US Own Crypto Other Than BTC? (Con't)
(22:33) The US Bitcoin Opportunity
(30:43) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(32:48) El Salvador's Bitcoin Battle with the IMF
(38:03) IMF Concerns and El Salvador's Bitcoin Strategy
(46:28) Meaningful Differences Between Bitcoin & Everything Else
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Trump vs Utah: The First To Buy Bitcoin | Dennis Porter | 04 Mar 2025 | 00:58:21 | |
In this episode, Dennis Porter of Satoshi Action Fund joins the show to discuss Trump's crypto reserve announcement, the states fighting to become the first to buy Bitcoin, and the legislative goals of the Trump Administration. We also delve into the bipartisan support of crypto legislation, the importance of Bitcoin rights, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Dennis: https://x.com/Dennis_Porter_
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:47) Trump’s Crypto Reserve Announcement
(12:38) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(14:11) The Case Against ADA, XRP, & SOL
(18:38) State-Level Bitcoin Legislation
(29:01) Lawmakers' Evolving Understanding of Bitcoin
(32:03) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(36:19) Bipartisanship and Democrat Party Restructuring
(46:54) Stablecoin Legislation and Market Structure
(51:24) Importance of Bitcoin Rights
(56:14) Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| The Truth About Jack Dorsey & Satoshi Nakamoto | Jameson Lopp | 27 Feb 2025 | 00:53:28 | |
In the first official episode of Supply Shock, Jameson Lopp joins the show to explain why Jack Dorsey is NOT Satoshi, threat vectors for Bitcoiners, and security prevention strategies to protect yourself. We also delve into attacker stories, how Jameson protects his own financial and physical security, and more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Jameson Lopp: https://x.com/lopp
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:01) Is Jack Dorsey Satoshi Nakamoto?
(05:50) Debunking the Jack-Satoshi Theory
(13:04) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(14:38) Debunking the Jack-Satoshi Theory (Con't)
(31:00) The Threat Vectors for Bitcoiners
(31:39) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(33:44) The Threat Vectors for Bitcoiners (Con't)
(37:04) Mitigating Security Risks
(49:19) Rapid Fire Questions
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Introducing: Supply Shock with The Bitcoin Historian | 27 Feb 2025 | 00:44:50 | |
A new chapter starts today. On the Margin is becoming a new show: Supply Shock, covering all things Bitcoin. Felix is back in the host seat for one last episode, passing the baton to Supply Shock's new host, Pete Rizzo AKA the Bitcoin Historian. They discuss Rizzo's deep lore, sovereign adoption of Bitcoin, and the state of Bitcoin innovation. They also delve into the rise of meme coins, the industry’s future, and more. Enjoy and check out the first full episode of Supply Shock with Jameson Lopp - it's already in the feed!
—
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
The Bitcoin Historian Newsletter: https://bitcoinhistorynewsletter.com/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. USE CODE SHOCK10 FOR 10% OFF general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Bitcoin DeFi is here. Stake, bridge, swap and earn real yield on Core - Bitcoin’s consumer chain and staking layer.
Join Ignition and get onchain: ignition.coredao.org/blockworks
Stake your Bitcoin with Core: stake.coredao.org/blockworks
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Supply Shock. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
Need liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing.
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:04) New Show & New Host: Pete Rizzo
(04:19) Bitcoin's Historical Significance
(07:16) Sovereign Adoption and Bitcoin's Global Impact
(13:17) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(14:49) Sovereign Adoption and Bitcoin's Global Impact (Con't)
(25:56) Ads (Core, Ledger, Ledn)
(28:02) Innovations and Challenges in Bitcoin
(33:40) The Future of Bitcoin and Crypto
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Supply Shock should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Trading Crypto's Weekend Meltdown | 1000x | 04 Feb 2025 | 00:59:58 | |
This week, we discuss crypto's liquidation event over the weekend and how to trade the upcoming week. We deep dive into the weak performance of altcoins, Bitcoin's role in a multipolar world, shorting in this market environment & more. Enjoy!
--
Go follow the new 1000x feed to keep up to date with all new episodes!
Spotify: https://blckwrks.co/3WADHnL
Apple: https://blckwrks.co/4aEt5u0
--
Follow Avi: https://twitter.com/AviFelman
Follow Jonah: https://twitter.com/jvb_xyz
Follow 1000x: https://twitter.com/1000xPod
Join the 1000x Telegram: https://t.me/+fz-2f0cwC6o0MWNh
--
Kraken OTC unlocks premium, personalized services for high-net worth individuals and institutional clients to execute large orders. Trade over chat or access our self-service automated trading feature to receive executable quotes in seconds. Get 24/7 access to private and secure trading services and deep liquidity for competitive execution. Get in touch today: kraken.com/blockworks
Availability of products may vary by jurisdiction. Not investment advice. Crypto trading involves risk of loss and is offered to US customers (excluding WA, NY and ME) through Payward Interactive, Inc.
--
Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Empire podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world’s crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets.
For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today.
Buy now at Ledger.com
--
Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/
--
(00:00) Introduction
(00:57) Carnage In Crypto
(04:21) Shorting This Market
(13:57) Ads (Kraken OTC and Ledger)
(15:00) When To Buy This Market?
(19:29) WIF
(23:48) Privacy Coins
(27:26) What's Next For Markets?
(39:05) Ads (Kraken OTC and Ledger)
(40:44) Bitcoin In A Multipolar World
(50:16) The AI Trade
--
Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed | |||
| On the Margin: The Future Of Crypto & Stablecoins Under Trump | Austin Campbell | 30 Jan 2025 | 00:44:03 | |
In this episode, Austin Campbell joins the show to discuss stablecoin regulation under the Trump administration, the impact of Trump's executive orders on the crypto ecosystem, and the case against a strategic bitcoin reserve. We also delve into the potential for a more cooperative regulatory environment, global adoption of stablecoins, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Austin Campbell: https://x.com/CampbellJAustin
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
00:35 Stablecoin Regulation Updates Post-Election
03:27 Congressional Bills and Bipartisan Efforts
06:29 Executive Orders and David Sacks’ Role
14:42 SEC vs. CFTC: Regulatory Shifts
19:24 Global Adoption and Future of Stablecoins
26:20 Debate on Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
35:52 Bitcoin's Role and Future Projections
40:58 Closing Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Fed’s Tools Aren’t Made For Fiscal Dominance | Lyn Alden | 23 Jan 2025 | 00:54:57 | |
In this episode, Lyn Alden joins the show to discuss the economic tensions from fiscal dominance, the major factors driving liquidity, and what to expect under the Trump presidency. We also delve into the dollar wrecking ball, the outlook for Bitcoin, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Lyn Alden: https://x.com/LynAldenContact
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:31) Global Macro Outlook
(02:31) Liquidity Conditions
(08:44) Shifting Treasury Issuance
(12:04) Ads (Ledger, Mantra)
(13:11) Tensions Under Fiscal Dominance
(18:32) Trump Fiscal Outlook
(22:44) Cutting Rates To Zero
(27:38) Energy Outlook
(32:04) Ads (Ledger, Mantra)
(33:36) Interview Continues
(35:45) Trump Vs Reagan Approach
(37:41) Dollar Wrecking Ball
(42:45) Currency Negotiations
(45:39) Bitcoin Big Picture
(50:00) Gold Outlook
(52:18) Bitcoin Outlook
(54:31) Learn More About Lyn’s Work
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Supply Shock | Bitcoin Racehorse: The First Real-World Asset Financed By Bitcoin | 27 Jan 2026 | 00:31:04 | |
In this episode, we dig into one of Bitcoin’s strangest early stories; the time a group of OG Bitcoiners pooled BTC to buy a real racehorse. We explore early crypto finance experiments, on-chain sleuthing, unanswered questions about the investment, and what this forgotten episode reveals about Bitcoin’s earliest believers. Enjoy!
—
Follow Satshoshi Daemon: https://x.com/SatoshiDaemon
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:20) The Crazy Story of Satoshi’s Damon
(18:03) Investigating the Names Behind the Story
(23:21) Richie’s Journey into Bitcoin
(27:57) Reviving the Original Website
(29:19) Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock | |||
| On the Margin: 2025's Crypto ETF Pipeline | James Seyffart | 16 Jan 2025 | 00:50:29 | |
In this episode, James Seyffart joins the show to discuss the wild success of crypto ETFs, how allocators and holders are thinking about crypto ETFs, and all the future ETF filings in the pipeline. We also delve into the impact of ETF options on the crypto market, the ETF gap risk, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow James Seyffart: https://x.com/JSeyff
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:24) Bitcoin ETF Anniversary
(06:29) Evolving Allocator Perspective
(10:50) Largest ETF Buyers
(14:40) BTC Spot-Futures Arbitrage
(16:46) ETH ETFs
(19:58) Ethereum Narrative Problem
(21:13) New ETF Filings
(26:16) Ads
(27:50) Impact Of Options On Crypto
(30:52) Crypto Narratives To Drive Demand
(33:29) Potential Altcoin ETF Filings
(38:38) ETF Gap Risk
(41:12) Basket ETFs
(46:17) 2025 Outlook
(49:48) DAS 2025
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: FLASH UPDATE: The Dollar Rally Isn’t Over — What It Means For Risk Assets | Joe McCann | 08 Jan 2025 | 00:40:37 | |
In this episode, Joe McCann joins the show to discuss why he’s tactically bearish, the US dollar’s implications for risk assets, and his crypto shopping list. We also delve into bottom signals, the outlook for 2025, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Joe McCann: https://x.com/joemccann
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:12) Macro & Crypto Overview
(09:19) Implications Of Hawkish Fed
(12:54) Inauguration & The US Dollar
(18:01) Ads
(19:35) Crypto Market Outlook
(23:34) Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
(26:30) Crypto Shopping List
(31:56) Bottom Signals
(35:47) 2025 Outlook
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Debating The Impact Of A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve | Travis Kling | 23 Dec 2024 | 00:56:25 | |
In this episode, Travis Kling joins the show to discuss financial nihilism, the logistics of a Bitcoin strategic reserve, and the potential impact of the incoming administration. We also delve into the crypto market outlook, product market fit across the industry, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Travis Kling: https://x.com/Travis_Kling
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:32) Macro Outlook
(06:26) Philosophical Vibe Shift
(11:51) Financial Nihilism
(15:52) Unpacking The Next Administration
(19:24) Misaligned Incentives
(22:35) Ads
(23:59) Bitcoin Strategic Reserve
(36:51) BSR & The US Dollar
(45:42) Crypto Market Outlook
(48:40) Crypto Product Market Fit
(53:53) Fundamentals Bearish?
(55:42) Learn More About Travis’ Work
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: This Is Peak Hawkishness From The Fed | Joseph Wang | 18 Dec 2024 | 00:51:03 | |
In this special crossover episode with Forward Guidance, Joseph Wang joins the show to discuss the latest Fed decision, its December economic projections, and what to expect from markets going into 2025. We also delve into why he expects way more than two rate cuts next year, why he’s bearish on US equities in 2025, and much more. Enjoy!
__
Follow Joseph Wang: https://x.com/FedGuy12
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:26) Hawkish FOMC Conference
(06:03) Immigration Impact
(09:32) 2025 Surprises
(12:16) Trump, Trade, & Tariffs
(14:43) What Is The Fed Thinking?
(20:07) Peak Hawkishness
(21:41) Long-Term Rates
(23:07) SEP As A Psychological Tool
(25:16) Ads
(26:41) Fed Surveys & Politics
(28:29) The Neutral Rate
(30:27) How The Fed Gauges Restrictiveness
(32:11) Reverse Repo
(37:52) Treasury Coupon Issuance
(39:38) Equities & The Dollar
(43:15) Gold & Crypto
(45:07) Long Bonds, Commodities, & Inflation
(49:42) Main Takeaways
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Convertible Bond Expert Breaks Down Why MicroStrategy Is Soaring | Richard Byworth | 10 Dec 2024 | 00:54:50 | |
In this episode, Richard Byworth joins the show to discuss MicroStrategy’s convertible bond strategy, the biggest MicroStrategy misconceptions, and why he thinks the premium to NAV should expand over time. We also delve into MicroStrategy's concept of Bitcoin Yield, the risks and opportunities of Saylor’s strategy, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Richard Byworth: https://x.com/RichardByworth
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:50) Richard Byworth And Convertible Bonds
(09:45) MicroStrategy’s Convertible Bond Strategy
(15:28) Accretive Dilution & The Value Of A Convertible Bond
(21:13) Breaking Down The Convertible Bond Trade
(27:07) Ads
(28:42) Risks & Opportunities In MicroStrategy’s Strategy
(36:55) Bitcoin Yield & Bitcoin Per Share
(38:28) Leveraged Upside And Downside
(42:47) MicroStrategy Index Inclusion
(44:06) Biggest MicroStrategy Misconceptions
(49:09) Impact Of Levered MSTR ETFs
(51:52) The Changing Market Paradigm
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Everything Code: Debt, Demographics, And The Infinite Human Future | Raoul Pal | 03 Dec 2024 | 00:58:17 | |
In this episode, Raoul Pal joins the show to discuss the new revolutionary economic regime, how AI is driving the economic singularity, and the younger generation’s changing perception of markets. We also delve into geopolitics, the banana zone, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Raoul Pal: https://x.com/RaoulGMI
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Join Real Vision and learn more from Raoul here: http://realvision.com/join
—
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:19) Regime Shift
(05:55) Labor Vs Debt
(10:53) Setup For The New Conflict
(14:19) Rethinking Business Cycles
(16:42) No More Cowbell?
(19:55) Scott Bessent
(23:16) Geopolitics
(29:27) Ads
(30:43) Inflation Trend
(34:15) Finding Treasury Buyers
(36:42) Cynicism Vs Optimism
(38:28) Macro-Crypto Intersection
(45:46) Crypto's Addressable Market
(49:52) Changing Perception Of Markets
(54:53) The Banana Zone
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Are You Ready For The 1st Turning? | Michael Millerman | 27 Nov 2024 | 00:56:46 | |
In this episode, Michael Millerman joins the show to discuss Peter Thiel’s philosophical framework, the Straussian Moment, and the post-liberalism era. We also delve into Bitcoin’s role in a multipolar world, the great awakening, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follo Michael Millerman: https://x.com/M_Millerman
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:47) Incorporating Political Philosophy Into Investing
(03:44) Michael's Background
(05:06) Peter Thiel & The Straussian Moment
(11:00) The Friend-Enemy Distinction
(19:39) The Vulgar Vs The Wise
(23:08) The Post-Liberalism Era
(26:27) Ads
(28:18) Interview Continues
(37:32) Multipolarity & Decentralization
(41:58) The Fourth Political Theory
(46:16) Looking Where Others Are Not
(49:48) The Great Awakening
(55:01) Learn More About Michael's Work
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Everything You Need To Know About The New Bitcoin ETF Options | Jeff Park | 21 Nov 2024 | 00:54:40 | |
In this episode, Jeff Park joins the show to discuss how the new Bitcoin ETF options will impact the market, what the options trading is already telling us, and whether a gamma squeeze is likely. We also delve into the arbitrage opportunities for retail traders, how to follow the new market landscape, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Jeff Park: https://x.com/dgt10011
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin.
As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code MARGIN10 for 10% off general admission!
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:50) Bitcoin ETF Options Expectations
(06:14) Bitcoin's Volatility Skew
(10:52) Bitcoin's Unique Supply Dynamics
(14:22) Corporates Rewarded For Having Bitcoin
(16:02) Biggest Options Trading Takeaways
(27:30) Ads
(29:20) Interview Continues
(31:26) Implications On Dealers & Gamma
(37:18) Impact Of Synthetic Bitcoin Through Derivatives
(41:56) How Options Will Impact Market Structure
(45:16) Following The New Options Landscape
(48:52) The New Risk Model
(52:35) Retail Opportunities
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Why Bitcoin Miners Are Pivoting To AI Data Centers | Josh Solesbury | 11 Nov 2024 | 01:15:44 | |
In this episode, Josh Solesbury joins the show to discuss the bitcoin mining landscape, the ongoing transition to AI/HPC, and the future of the industry. We also delve into industry bottlenecks, the risks of transitioning to AI, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Josh Solesbury: https://x.com/joshsolesbury
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:32) Josh's Background
(03:52) Overview Of The Bitcoin Mining Landscape
(10:44) Bitcoin Mining Cyclicality
(12:55) Industry Consolidation
(16:18) Differentiating Miners
(22:39) Miner Transition To AI/HPC
(36:44) Ads
(38:53) Miner Transition To AI/HPC (Continued)
(42:09) Chips & Bottlenecks
(49:18) Why Don't Miners Abandon Bitcoin For AI?
(59:18) CoreWeave & Core Scientific
(01:04:30) Risks To Transition To AI/HPC
(01:07:55) The Future Of The Mining Industry
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: What People Get Wrong About MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Plan | Dylan LeClair | 04 Nov 2024 | 00:53:21 | |
In this episode, Dylan LeClair joins the show to discuss MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin strategy, the insane performance of its convertible notes, and its $42 billion capital plan. We also discuss how to value MicroStrategy, the company’s liquidation risk, how other companies can replicate its strategy, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Dylan LeClair: https://x.com/DylanLeClair_
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors On The Margin. As Bitcoin adoption grows, Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing over 20% of the world’s crypto. Buy a LEDGER™ device now for true self-custody and peace of mind in securing your Bitcoin. Devices are also available in Bitcoin orange. For every device ordered in BTC Orange, we’ll donate $5 to brink.dev. Buy now at Ledger.com.
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Key Features:
Built using Cosmos SDK, IBC compatible, with CosmWasm supported
Secured via a sovereign PoS validator set
Scalable up to 10k TPS
Built-in Modules, SDKs and APIs to create, trade and manage regulatory compliant RWAs
Improved User Experience to onboard non-native users and institutions to Web3
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(03:19) MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy
(09:41) Who Is Buying MicroStrategy?
(14:24) How To Value MicroStrategy
(16:02) FASB Regulation Change
(19:05) MicroStrategy’s Dilution & NAV Premium
(21:49) MicroStrategy’s Convertible Notes
(24:14) MicroStrategy’s $42 Billion Capital Plan
(27:14) Why Is This Strategy Accretive to Shareholders?
(30:48) Advertisements
(32:45) Impact Of The Capital Plan
(36:11) MicroStrategy Risks
(44:07) Replicating MicroStrategy’s Strategy
(49:09) Crypto Market Outlook
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Supply Shock | Bitcoin Has Entered The Quantum Event Horizon | Charles Edwards | 22 Jan 2026 | 00:37:27 | |
In this episode, Charles Edwards joins the show to discuss why quantum computing has become a real market risk, the valuation impact, upgrade paths, and what could unlock the next move. We also explore why Bitcoin’s classic cycle may be breaking, how institutional flows and liquidity are reshaping price action, and more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Charles: https://x.com/caprioleio
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:34) Bitcoin’s Quantum Risk
(09:19) Expert Opinions on Quantum Timelines
(12:48) Potential Quantum Attacks on Bitcoin
(18:55) Evaluating Bitcoin’s Vulnerability to Quantum Computing
(28:38) Debating Bitcoin’s Long-Term Security and Value Proposition
(34:32) Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock | |||
| On the Margin: The BTC/ETH ETF Flows Are Just Getting Started | Matt Hougan | 17 Oct 2024 | 00:45:53 | |
In this episode, Matt Hougan joins the show to discuss BTC vs ETH ETF flows, the biggest ETF misconceptions, and the importance of regulatory clarity. We also delve into the value of incorporating BTC in a portfolio, future crypto ETF strategies, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Matt Hougan: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:51) BTC vs ETH ETFs
(03:18) Success of BTC ETFs
(04:28) Marginal Buyers of Crypto ETFs
(06:49) Lackluster ETH ETF Flows
(08:45) Surprise ETH ETF Approval
(09:56) Value Proposition of Ethereum
(12:41) Sacrificing ETH Utility in ETF Wrapper
(13:55) Crypto ETF Options
(18:38) The Future of Crypto ETFs
(21:51) Bitwise Filing Process
(23:27) Biggest ETF Misconceptions
(26:17) Advertisements
(27:32) Compliance Process
(29:43) Election & Regulation
(33:18) Regulatory Clarity
(36:03) Incorporating Bitcoin Into A Portfolio
(40:00) Gold vs BTC
(42:10) Crypto Market Forecasts
(44:29) Learn More About Matt & Bitwise
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Economy is in Goldilocks | Ram Ahluwalia | 15 Oct 2024 | 00:49:25 | |
In this episode, Ram Ahluwalia joins the show to discuss his macro view of markets, why he thinks we’re in goldilocks, and his thought process for asset allocation. We also delve into NVIDIA and AI, factor investing, and the role of risk-adjusted returns. Enjoy!
—
Follo Ram: https://x.com/ramahluwalia
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:56) Ram & Lumida Wealth
(02:32) Macro Overview
(05:54) 50 Bps Cut Was a Mistake
(07:19) Economic Goldilocks
(11:27) Fed Mandate
(12:33) Cutting Cycle Path
(14:32) The Neutral Rate & Animal Spirits
(17:05) Election Impact on Markets
(18:55) Advertisements
(20:11) Asset Allocation Strategies
(25:27) NVIDIA & AI
(28:55) Factor Investing
(33:09) Mathematical Model Shortfalls
(35:53) Risk-Adjusted Returns
(39:24) Digital Asset Framework
(45:40) Market Outlook
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Great BTC ETF Debate: Bearish or Bullish? | 11 Oct 2024 | 00:31:50 | |
In this episode, Jim Bianco and James Seyffart join Felix at Permissionless to discuss who has been buying the BTC ETFs, whether ETFs are consistent with crypto ideals, and why the BTC ETFs were more successful than the ETH ETFs. We also delve into the difference between buying to hold and arbitrage, BTC ETF options, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Jim Bianco: https://x.com/biancoresearch
Follow James Seyffart: https://x.com/JSeyff
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:49) Have Bitcoin ETFs Been A Success?
(02:27) Who is Buying Bitcoin ETFs?
(06:58) Are ETFs Consistent with Crypto Ideals?
(11:13) Basis Trade vs Holding
(15:46) Advertisements
(17:21) ETH ETFs vs BTC ETFs
(22:08) Bitcoin ETF Options
(26:59) Crypto Ideals at Risk?
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Last Bitcoin Cycle That Matters | Charles Edwards | 26 Sep 2024 | 00:42:42 | |
In this episode, Charles Edwards joins the show to discuss why the current cycle is the last that will matter, the impact of Bitcoin ETFs, and what the on-chain data is signaling. We also delve into the approval of options on the IBIT ETF, the key top signals, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow Charles Edwards: https://x.com/caprioleio
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:04) Macro Overview
(03:54) Soft Landing vs Hard Landing
(06:09) Bitcoin Seasonality
(09:22) Current Bitcoin Cycle Dynamics
(12:57) Bitcoin Macro Index
(14:41) Future Bitcoin Cycles Won't Matter
(17:10) On-chain Data
(19:50) Bitcoin ETFs
(23:09) Ads
(24:23) Interview Continues
(27:38) Impact of IBIT Options
(29:05) Financialization vs the Bitcoin Ethos
(31:53) The Bitcoin Endgame
(34:44) Leverage & Funding Rates
(38:35) Top Signals
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Fed’s Dilemma: Deflationary Cliff Or Debt Spiral | James Lavish | 19 Sep 2024 | 01:01:22 | |
In this episode, James and Felix discuss the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision, the impact of quantitative easing & tightening, and the consequences of trillion-dollar annual deficits. We also delve into the repo market, why the Fed is disconnected from inflation, the role of hard assets like Bitcoin and gold, and much more. Enjoy!
—
Follow James Lavish: https://x.com/jameslavish
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
—
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
—
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:11) Unpacking The Fed Decision & Dual Mandate
(12:53) Quantitative Easing & Tightening
(18:24) 2019 Repo Spike & Dollar Shortage
(24:39) Trillion-Dollar Annual Deficits
(36:22) Advertisements
(37:36) Why The Fed is Disconnected from Inflation
(44:47) Is Bitcoin the Solution?
(48:46) Gold & Bitcoin As Stores of Value
(53:13) Permissionless Ad
(53:54) Bitcoin Use Case For Global Sovereigns
(58:58) Where to Follow James' Work
—
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Fed Cutting Cycle Imminent, What's Next for Markets? | Weekly Roundup | 14 Sep 2024 | 01:08:25 | |
This week we discuss the split odds between a 25 and 50 basis point cut at the Fed’s next meeting, market cutting cycle dynamics, and the rotation from growth to value. We also delve into the latest inflation data, rising labor productivity, and the outlook for crypto Enjoy!
–
Follow Ram: https://x.com/ramahluwalia
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
–
Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1XMVpZ672sX1qJV-admNYvznOPFXR737S
–
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
–
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:22) Ram's Background
(03:26) 25 Bps vs 50 Bps
(08:42) Inflation Data
(11:01) The Economy Is Okay
(12:36) Fed Opening the Door to 50 Bps Cut
(16:08) Parsing the Economic Data
(18:12) Labor Productivity
(20:27) Ads
(21:44) Chinese Economy & Red Flags
(28:08) US Equities
(32:02) Growth Vs Value
(34:31) Factor Market
(36:34) Market Rotation
(44:24) Permissionless Ad
(45:02) Narratives Driving Markets
(48:21) Digital Assets
(54:49) Bitcoin & Crypto Price Action
(59:05) Hot Money Rotation
(01:00:37) Cutting Cycle Dynamics
–
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Breaking Down the Disconnect Between TradFi & Crypto | Austin Campbell | 12 Sep 2024 | 00:51:39 | |
In this episode, Austin Campbell joins the show to discuss the modern banking system and how crypto is driving innovation. We also delve into stablecoin designs, their role in dollar hegemony, the pros and cons across the spectrum of decentralization, and much more. Enjoy!
–
Follow Austin Campbell: https://x.com/CampbellJAustin
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
NYDFS Stablecoin Guidance: https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/regulatory/us-regulatory-nydfs-stablecoin-guidance.pdf
–
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
–
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:46) Austin's Background
(03:21) Unpacking the Banking System
(06:15) Money Markets & Reverse Repo
(10:35) Crypto's Role in Banking
(14:05) Stablecoin Designs & Reserves
(22:00) What is Crypto Solving?
(27:33) Mantra Ad
(28:14) Spectrum of Decentralization
(32:34) CBDCs
(36:41) Blockchains vs Databases
(40:06) Permissionless Ad
(40:46) Crypto & Dollar Hegemony
(44:52) Backlash to Crypto
(47:46) Crypto Market Outlook
–
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Fed Easing Will Match Weakness In The Labor Market | Weekly Roundup | 07 Sep 2024 | 00:56:49 | |
This week we discuss the soft jobs report and how it compares to the other data, the state of the yield curve and credit markets, and how China is bringing down commodities. We also delve into AI centralization, the outlook for Bitcoin and crypto, and much more. Enjoy!
–
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
–
Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1GnXSyf79KLMoG5p0RRFoNBoAQUet_TOE/view?usp=sharing
–
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
–
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:37) Non-Farm Payrolls
(09:52) Comparing Other Labor Market Data
(12:47) The Fed's Reaction Function
(17:54) The Yield Curve Uninverting
(19:13) Credit Spreads & Equity Rotation
(25:54) Buy What The Government Is Incentivizing
(28:34) Advertisements
(29:48) Tyler's AI Rant
(33:25) What's Going On In China?
(39:30) Flight From China
(41:52) Permissionless Ad
(42:32) Crypto Market Update
(44:54) The Effects Of Rate Cuts
(47:13) Bitcoin Downside & Outlook
–
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: Why The Fed Shouldn’t Cut Rates | Eric Wallerstein | 04 Sep 2024 | 00:57:51 | |
In this episode, Eric Wallerstein joins the show to discuss why the labor market is cooling (not crashing), the decline in the personal savings rate, and increasing labor productivity. We also break down GDP, the credit markets, and how to rethink asset allocation in today's market. Enjoy!
–
Follow Eric Wallerstein: https://x.com/ericwallerstein
Yardeni QuickTakes: https://www.yardeniquicktakes.com/
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
–
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
–
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:14) Eric's Background
(03:07) The Labor Market Is Okay
(08:17) Why The Fed Is So Dovish
(11:08) Consumer Savings
(14:22) Real Wages
(16:53) Labor Productivity
(20:38) Breaking Down GDP
(24:08) Economic Big Picture
(26:46) Mantra Ad
(27:25) Risks To The Consumer
(29:52) The Fed Doesn't Need To Cut
(33:34) Private Credit Markets
(37:08) The Fed Supporting Credit Markets
(39:17) Bond Markets
(41:54) Stock & Bond Correlations
(44:10) Rethinking Asset Allocation
(46:22) Permissionless Ad
(47:02) Global Markets & The Carry Trade Unwind
(49:36) Chinese Economy
(52:15) Europe Doesn't Issue Debt
(55:31) Key Takeaways
–
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: NVIDIA Passing The Baton From Growth To Value | Weekly Roundup | 31 Aug 2024 | 01:07:00 | |
This week we discuss NVIDIA's latest earnings, the ongoing market rotation from growth to value, and the connection between credit spreads and unemployment. We also delve into the health of the consumer, the future Federal Reserve balance sheet, and Bitcoin geopolitics. Enjoy!
--
On the Margin Survey: https://on-the-margin.beehiiv.com/forms/5c7fc920-a57a-496b-9708-1d137bd3014b
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fUP_rOgvrTDONP2DfYnJyrzgbmWFt0mP/view?usp=drive_link
Kansas Fed Paper: https://www.kansascityfed.org/Jackson%20Hole/documents/10443/Anil_Kashyap_Remarks_JH.pdf
–
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
02:27 NVIDIA Earnings
08:12 Growth Vs Value
11:36 S&P 500 Earnings Growth
14:02 Yield Curve Steepening
17:40 High Yield Spreads
19:58 Credit Spreads, Unemployment & Recession
23:00 The Health Of The Consumer
29:59 Advertisements
31:14 The Future Fed Balance Sheet
37:05 Consequences Of Controlling Volatility
38:57 Central Bank Independence
41:18 Permissionless Ad
41:57 A Weaker US Dollar
44:54 Bitcoin & Geopolitics
53:19 Nobody Makes Money In Perps
56:51 Are Rate Cuts Bearish?
59:29 Will We Ever See Negative Real Rates Again?
01:02:02 Altcoins & Macro
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Supply Shock | Bitcoin Hasn’t Bottomed & the Cycle Still Controls Everything | Michael Terpin | 20 Jan 2026 | 00:44:22 | |
In this episode, Michael Terpin returns to the show to discuss whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle still holds, how whales and institutions shape market tops and bottoms, what signals matter most during drawdowns, and why the next bull market may look very different from the last. We also dig into regulation, altcoin narratives, and cycle timing. Enjoy!
—
Follow Michael: https://x.com/michaelterpin
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(04:56) Impact of Whale Activity on Bitcoin
(07:57) Regulatory Challenges and Market Sentiment
(10:59) DATs, Institutions and CLARITY Act
(20:32) Bottom Predictions and Trading Strategies
(25:19) Market Cycles and Bitcoin Dominance
(32:40) Challenges in Token Investments & New Narratives
(39:02) Market Predictions and Strategies
(41:46) Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock | |||
| On the Margin: The Bull Market Will Continue Into 2025 As Liquidity Heads Higher | Michael Howell | 28 Aug 2024 | 01:01:28 | |
In this episode, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital joins the show to discuss the uptrend in global liquidity, a possible Shanghai Accord 2 to weaken the dollar, and the relationship between debt and liquidity. We also discuss the real breakeven inflation rate, the yield curve, and why you need monetary inflation hedges. Enjoy!
--
Follow Michael Howell: https://x.com/crossbordercap
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On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:18) Powell's Jackson Hole Speech
(04:20) Uptrend In Global Liquidity
(05:53) Global Risk Exposure
(12:10) A New Shanghai Accord
(18:44) Mantra Ad
(19:24) Mechanics Of Yen Intervention
(22:01) The Treasury Market
(30:20) Breakeven Inflation Rates
(32:56) Debt-To-Liquidity Ratio
(35:52) Permissionless Ad
(36:33) US Public Debt
(40:14) Monetary Inflation Hedges
(43:11) Managing Bill Issuance
(47:03) Bull Vs Bear Steepener
(48:50) The Structure Of Global Liquidity
(50:08) The MOVE Index
(53:49) Treasury Buybacks
(55:06) Real Interest Rates
(56:38) Equity Market & PBOC Liquidity
(59:37) More Upside In Gold & BTC
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| On the Margin: The Fed Put Is In & Global Easing Has Begun | Weekly Roundup | 24 Aug 2024 | 01:03:54 | |
This week we discuss Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole speech, employment outweighing inflation, and Kamala Harris’ newly-proposed economic policies. We also dive into the credit markets, crypto regulation, and altcoins. Enjoy!
--
On the Margin Survey: https://on-the-margin.beehiiv.com/forms/5c7fc920-a57a-496b-9708-1d137bd3014b
Roundup Chart Deck: https://blckwrks.co/4dUUAj5
--
Follow Zaheer: https://x.com/SplitCapital
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
–
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:13) Jackson Hole Speech
(08:17) Employment Outweighing Inflation
(09:33) Zaheer's Macro View
(11:18) Housing Comeback
(13:49) Polkadot Ad
(14:26) Global Liquidity
(18:01) Credit Isn't The Problem
(23:02) New Cycle Of Investing
(26:22) Kamala's Economic Policies
(34:45) Permissionless Ad
(35:27) Crypto Regulation
(42:27) Election Impact On Crypto
(44:19) Crypto Market Outlook
(50:42) The Bull Market Hasn't Even Started
(54:55) Altcoins
(59:21) Attributes Of Value
(01:01:37) Don't Fight The Fed
(01:03:11) Polkadot Ad
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Generating Alpha In Macro | Capital Flows | 21 Aug 2024 | 00:54:42 | |
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to discuss his macro philosophy & framework, why he was bullish after the VIX surge, and his views on the yield curve. We also discuss the equity bull market, whether the Fed will allow a recession, and the key drivers of bitcoin's price. Enjoy!
--
Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows
Capital Flows Substack: https://www.capitalflowsresearch.com/
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability.
Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:59) Capital Flows Research & Strategy
(04:49) Macro Philosophy
(07:48) Macro Framework
(11:39) Bullish After VIX Surge
(15:26) Credit & Duration Risk
(18:46) Mantra Ad
(19:26) Interest Rate Expectations
(25:51) Bull Vs Bear Steepener
(27:27) What's Priced Into The Curve
(30:38) Permissionless Ad
(31:17) What's Driving The Equity Bull Market
(36:31) Upside Tail Risks
(39:31) Will The Fed Allow An Extended Recession?
(43:58) Bitcoin Price Drivers
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Has The Dust Settled? | Weekly Roundup | 17 Aug 2024 | 00:56:09 | |
This week we discuss the back and forth between recession and soft landing, the bond market’s economic signals, and the Fed's measured response to the market sell-off. We also delve into the massive VIX decline, July’s CPI, and the frustrating crypto market. Enjoy!
--
On the Margin Survey: https://on-the-margin.beehiiv.com/forms/5c7fc920-a57a-496b-9708-1d137bd3014b
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
–
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:39) Schrödinger's Soft Landing
(04:19) What Is The Bond Market Saying About The Economy?
(06:54) The Fed Kept Its Cool
(09:05) Massive VIX Decline
(11:40) Will Markets Adjust To The Sell-Off?
(18:06) The Role Of Flows
(21:57) July CPI
(24:58) What's Going On With China?
(29:13) The Fed's Next Move
(31:26) Market Overreaction
(34:17) Bitcoin & ETFs
(40:06) Frustrating Crypto Market
(42:48) How Many New Balances Does Tyler Own?
(44:09) What Can Stop The Fiscal Debt Spiral?
(47:53) Why The BOJ Backpedaled
(53:41) The Globalization Of Central Banks
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| The Mystery Behind The Stock Market Sell-Off | Alex Campbell | 12 Aug 2024 | 00:49:59 | |
In this episode, Alex Campbell joins the show to discuss volatility, "Magnificent Seven" concentration, and dispersion trades. We also unpack the mechanics of the carry trade, how short volatility and hedging strategies are shaping the markets, and the role of artificial intelligence in finance. Enjoy!
--
Follow Alex: https://x.com/abcampbell
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:06) Market Volatility Overview
(04:51) Magnificent Seven Concentration
(06:24) Dispersion Trades
(10:49) Market Risks & Correlations
(14:09) Mantra Ad
(15:15) The Carry Trade
(18:14) Market Volatility Vs Credit & The Economy
(23:44) Impact Of Short Volatility & Hedging On Markets
(31:25) Permissionless Ad
(32:04) Artificial Intelligence And Alex's Startup Rose AI
(34:54) Collecting & Using Market Data
(39:44) The Future Of Finance
(43:46) Future Of The AI Industry
(46:20) Alex's Thoughts On Crypto
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Recession vs Rebound Debate | Weekly Roundup | 10 Aug 2024 | 01:13:59 | |
This week we discuss the unwinding of the carry trade, the impact of correlations during deleveraging events, and which assets stand to benefit the most from increased liquidity and upcoming rate cuts. We also delve into the widening of credit spreads, steel man the recession argument, and examine the state of the labor market. Enjoy!
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network’s future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now’s the time to join.
Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:38 Reflecting On The Market Unwind
07:41 No Asset Spared In Deleveraging Events
12:23 Polkadot Ad
13:22 Navigating Extreme Volatility
18:39 Assessing Liquitidy Signals
21:23 What Benefits The Most From Liquidity & Rate Cuts?
23:36 Looking At Credit Spreads
26:14 Steel Man-ing The Recession Argument
42:30 Permissionless Ad
43:10 State Of The Labor Market
45:38 Where Is Economic Growth?
50:37 Is The Recession On Its Way?
55:18 Crypto Market Overview
01:03:36 Biggest Trading Mistakes
01:08:26 How Much Of The Carry Trade Is Unwound
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Sahm Rule Triggered, Are We In A Recession? | Claudia Sahm | 07 Aug 2024 | 00:46:01 | |
In this episode, Claudia Sahm joins the show to discuss her namesake recession indicator the Sahm Rule. We deep dive into unemployment, whether or not we are in a recession, and how the Federal Reserve should be reacting. Enjoy!
--
Follow guest: https://x.com/Claudia_Sahm
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:13) What is the Sahm Rule?
(06:29) Sahm Rule Triggered
(08:37) Purpose of the Sahm Rule
(10:20) Are We in a Recession?
(14:05) Mantra Ad
(15:18) Unemployment Dynamics of the Sahm Rule
(18:16) Unemployment Dynamics of a Recession
(21:22) Sahm Rule 2.0
(22:56) Blame the Fed, Not the Sahm Rule
(24:35) July Unemployment Report
(32:10) Permissionless Ad
(32:49) How the Fed Looks at the Labor Market
(38:14) Should the Fed be Cutting Rates?
(40:38) Are We Heading for a Hard Landing?
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Why Are Markets Unwinding? | Weekly Roundup | 02 Aug 2024 | 00:48:06 | |
This week we discuss another volatile week in markets with the continuing deleveraging that took place as on the back of a data heavy week. We discuss our takeaways from FOMC, QRA, economic data & the market reaction. Enjoy!
--
On the Margin Survey: https://on-the-margin.beehiiv.com/forms/5c7fc920-a57a-496b-9708-1d137bd3014b
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
Referenced In The Show: https://a16z.com/the-crypto-price-innovation-cycle/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:28) QRA & FOMC Takeaways
(16:07) Why Are Markets Unwinding?
(23:51) The Yen Carry Trade Unwind
(26:11) Permissionless Ad
(26:50) What's Happening In Crypto?
(31:13) Coinbase Earnings
(35:39) Tether Earnings
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| The Economy Remains Strong, Stocks Continue To Melt-Up | Danny Dayan | 01 Aug 2024 | 00:43:17 | |
In this episode, Danny Dayan joins the show to break down what he is seeing in markets post FOMC. With rate cuts expected & markets continuing to melt up, Danny makes the case for why the Fed shouldn't be cutting rates here. Enjoy!
--
Follow Danny: https://x.com/DannyDayan5
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:32) FOMC Takeaway's
(03:24) The Economy Is Strong, Should The Fed Cut Rates?
(11:03) Mantra Ad
(12:10) Why Is This Economic Cycle Different?
(17:56) QRA & The QT Impact
(22:08) What's The Trade?
(28:27) Permissionless Ad
(29:05) Stock Market Rotation & The Yen Carry Trade Unwind
(37:51) What's Next For Markets?
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Is It Time To Be Bullish? | Weekly Roundup | 27 Jul 2024 | 01:02:15 | |
This week we discuss the volatile week in markets with the deleveraging that took place as the Yen carry trade unwound. With markets quickly bouncing back, we discuss is it time to be bullish? We then deep dive into the launch of the ETH ETFs, the path forward for crypto & the inflation outlook. Enjoy!
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow Mike: https://x.com/MikeIppolito_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
Referenced In The Show: https://a16z.com/the-crypto-price-innovation-cycle/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| Supply Shock | Bitcoin’s Next Decade Will Run Through Public Companies | 08 Jan 2026 | 00:44:14 | |
In this episode, Rizzo is interviewed by Tyler Rowe from Treasury Orange to explore how Bitcoin’s narrative is shifting from grassroots rebellion to corporate balance sheets, why Bitcoin treasuries have become the defining theme of this cycle, how figures like Michael Saylor reframed Bitcoin for institutions, and what this means for payments, capital markets, and the next decade of adoption. Enjoy!
—
Follow Tyler: https://x.com/TylerCompiler
Follow Rizzo: https://x.com/pete_rizzo_
Follow Supply Shock: https://twitter.com/SupplyShockBW
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Supply Shock Telegram: https://t.me/+SpmLg6P_QcgxNDcx
—
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:50) Rizzo & His Coverage of Bitcoin’s Story
(03:50) Adoption of Bitcoin As Payments & Prevailing Store of Value Narrative
(05:48) Corporate Adoption and the Future of Bitcoin
(09:47) Bitcoin’s Shift from Counterculture to Mainstream Finance
(17:19) Which Bitcoin Treasury Strategy Will Win Out Next?
(24:48) Navigating Financial Metrics and Data in Bitcoin Companies
(28:54) The Yin and Yang of Individual and Corporate Bitcoin Ethos
(34:05) XXI: Jack Mallers x Tether x Softbank Treasury Company
(37:03) Block’s (Square) Entrance Into ASIC Hardware Design
(38:27) Preferred Equity Models and Market Sentiment
(41:11) Strategy Bitcoin Holdings Projection For 2026
(42:45) Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Supply Shock is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #SupplyShock | |||
| The Rise Of Fiscal Dominance | Lyn Alden | 24 Jul 2024 | 00:48:52 | |
In this episode, Lyn Alden joins the show to discuss the rise of fiscal dominance & it's impact on markets in H2 2024 & beyond. We then deep dive into Bitcoin as a reserve asset, the election impact, what asset classes should perform well over the next 3-6 months & more. Enjoy!
--
Follow Lyn: https://x.com/LynAldenContact
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:49) The Rate Cutting Cycle
(05:09) Is The Economy Slowing?
(08:51) Will We See A Recession?
(11:02) The Small Cap Rotation
(13:34) Mantra Ad
(14:43) The Rise Of Fiscal Dominance
(18:12) The Election Impact
(21:34) Bitcoin As A Strategic Reserve Asset
(33:13) Permissionless Ad
(33:54) Oil & Energy
(42:05) Stocks, Bonds & The Three Pillar Portfolio
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| The Stock Market & Crypto Are Turning | Weekly Roundup | 20 Jul 2024 | 01:06:13 | |
This week we discuss what is happening in crypto & traditional markets. With rate cut expectations building, are we on the verge of a massive small cap rotation? We then deep dive into the dispersion trade unwind, is crypto about to catch up to the momentum in traditional markets, the U.S election impact & more. Enjoy!
--
Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Tyler: https://twitter.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow Mike: https://x.com/MikeIppolito_
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
--
Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. | |||
| A Soft Landing Is Unrealistic | Andy Constan | 17 Jul 2024 | 00:38:01 | |
In this episode, Andy Constan joins the show for a discussion on the current state of the U.S economy & inflation continues to roll over & financial conditions remain loose. We deep dive into the outlook for stocks, bonds & markets into H2 2024. Enjoy!
--
Follow Andy: https://x.com/dampedspring
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_
On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin
--
MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:27) Why The Economy Has Remained Strong
(04:39) Financial Conditions Are Still Loose
(11:32) Mantra Ad
(12:39) Relief In The Long End Has Been Fueling A Stock Market Rally
(23:01) What To Expect From The QRA?
(29:24) Permissionless Ad
(30:02) Alpha vs Beta
--
Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii | |||
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