Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast Future is Blue
| Titre | Date | Durée | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe’s reckoning: Trump’s “sharp power”, China’s trade shock — and a 2026 test of political will | 22 Dec 2025 | 00:30:08 | |
As 2025 draws to a close, Europe faces a harsher global environment shaped by a more assertive second Trump administration, intensifying economic pressure from China, and persistent internal weaknesses. In this episode of Future is Blue, Iain Begg (LSE) and Raymond Torres (Funcas) argue that Europe’s response over the past year has been largely defensive, constrained by fragmented leadership, stalled internal reforms, and a governance model ill-suited to a world increasingly driven by power and coercion rather than cooperation. They discuss how Trump’s use of “sharp power,” China’s growing trade imbalance with the EU, and Europe’s failure to translate diagnoses such as the Draghi report into action have left the bloc vulnerable. Looking ahead to 2026, both see cautious grounds for optimism — from easing financial conditions to renewed fiscal space — but stress that progress will depend on Europe’s ability to act collectively, particularly in areas such as defence, technology, and capital markets, rather than continuing to rely on national solutions in a geopolitical world. | |||
| Europe’s defence at a turning point: Guntram Wolff says “Plan B” can’t wait | 15 Dec 2025 | 00:32:18 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen speaks with Guntram Wolff, Senior Fellow at Bruegel and Professor of Economics at the Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management, about why Europe is facing a decisive turning point on defence and security. The conversation explores how Europe has underestimated Russia’s capabilities, the growing risks created by dependence on US high-tech military systems, and the implications of a more uncertain transatlantic relationship. Wolff argues that Europe needs a credible “Plan B”: deeper defence cooperation, more coordinated procurement, investment in new military technologies, and sustained support for Ukraine as a core European security interest. | |||
| Europe’s trade test: How to respond to Trump´s tariff offensive | 05 May 2025 | 00:24:18 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen speaks with Ignacio García Bercero, former EU chief trade negotiator, and Miguel Ángel González Simón, economist at Funcas, to unpack the resurgence of transatlantic trade tensions. As the U.S. reintroduces sweeping tariffs, the guests explore what’s behind Washington’s unpredictable trade stance, how the EU should respond—through both retaliation and global alliance-building—and the broader economic impact on growth, inflation, and investment in Europe. The conversation also highlights key strategic priorities for the EU beyond the U.S., including Mercosur, the Indo-Pacific, and WTO reform. | |||
| Inside the Eurozone’s periphery comeback | 23 Apr 2025 | 00:08:07 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen speaks with Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, to explore how the eurozone’s periphery—Spain, Portugal, Greece, Ireland, and Italy—has evolved since the sovereign debt crisis. They discuss the different causes of the crisis across these countries, the key reforms that followed, and how structural improvements in labour markets and fiscal policy are now driving stronger growth compared to core eurozone economies. The conversation also covers investor confidence, competitiveness challenges, and the critical question of whether this convergence trend is sustainable or just temporary. | |||
| Navigating a transatlantic storm | 04 Apr 2025 | 00:19:24 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, host Carlos Carnicero Urabayen is joined by Brad Setser (Council on Foreign Relations) and Miguel Ángel González Simón (Funcas) to unpack the global implications of President Trump’s newly announced 10% universal tariff on all imports — and an additional 20% duty on EU goods. The discussion explores the political motivations behind the move, the flawed logic of "reciprocal" tariffs, and the potential economic fallout for Europe, China, and the US. The episode also dives into Europe’s strategic options, from targeted retaliation to strengthening the single market and forging new alliances. | |||
| Rearmament push: Leveraging Europe’s often-ignored industrial strength | 19 Mar 2025 | 00:22:28 | |
In this Future is Blue episode, Sander Tordoir from the Centre for European Reform discusses his article Heavy Industry is Europe’s Trump Card. We explore how Europe’s manufacturing strength can drive defence rearmament, the potential of the EU’s REARM initiative, and the challenges of financing and coordination. Sander also highlights the UK’s role post-Brexit and stresses that now is a defining moment for Europe to leverage its industrial and financial power for security and resilience. | |||
| The contours of a policy shift in Germany, with Christian Odendahl European Economics Editor at The Economist | 06 Mar 2025 | 00:31:55 | |
The latest Future is Blue podcast explores Germany’s historic fiscal shift following the recent elections. Christian Odendahl (The Economist) and Raymond Torres (Funcas Europe) analyze the CDU-SPD coalition’s €500 billion investment package, which marks a break from two decades of fiscal conservatism. They discuss its implications for Germany’s economic recovery, European defense policy, and EU fiscal rules. With Berlin poised to play a more decisive role in Europe, the conversation delves into the challenges of implementing this bold policy shift and how it may reshape Germany’s leadership within the EU. Listen to the full episode here. | |||
| Can Europe Compete in a World Dominated by the U.S. and China? | 26 Feb 2025 | 00:32:09 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen speaks with Antonin Bergeaud, Associate Professor at HEC Paris, about Europe’s struggle to stay competitive in a world increasingly dominated by the U.S. and China. They discuss the Draghi report’s key recommendations, Europe’s lag in innovation, the impact of regulatory fragmentation, and what the EU must do to regain its economic edge. With Trump back in the White House and global trade dynamics shifting, is Europe’s response bold enough—or is it falling behind? | |||
| Calm, Cool, and United: How can the EU navigate Trump 2.0 | 20 Jan 2025 | 00:30:35 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Urabayen dives into the implications of the U.S.'s evolving trade policies under a renewed Trump administration. Joined by Arancha González Laya, Dean of Sciences Po and former Spanish Foreign Minister, and Raymond Torres, Europe Director at Funcas, the discussion explores how the EU can navigate its shifting relationship with the U.S., balance cooperation and rivalry, and strengthen resilience through strategic alliances, energy independence, and capital market reforms. With insights on multilateralism, defense, and global partnerships, this episode offers a roadmap for Europe in a time of economic and geopolitical turbulence. | |||
| 2024 in Review: Challenges, Triumphs, and What Lies Ahead for Europe | 23 Dec 2024 | 00:16:54 | |
In this podcast episode we take a deep dive into the key economic lessons Europe has learned in 2024. From the structural challenges facing the eurozone, such as sluggish growth and energy market shifts, to Spain’s surprising economic resilience and the implications of Donald Trump’s return to the White House, we explore how Europe is navigating an increasingly complex global landscape. Joined by Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director, we also look ahead to 2025, discussing the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead for Europe’s economy. | |||
| How the EU Can Navigate Industrial and Trade Challenges in a Fragmented World | 16 Dec 2024 | 00:28:22 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, we explore the challenges facing the EU’s industrial production and trade relationships in an increasingly fragmented global economy. Joined by Aslak Berg, Research Fellow at the Center for European Reform, and Miguel Ángel González Simón, economist at Funcas, we discuss Europe’s vulnerabilities, from energy dependence and export reliance to the diverging trajectories of Germany and Spain. The conversation also delves into the EU’s critical trade relationships with the U.S. and China, highlighting strategic risks and opportunities, and concludes with actionable insights on how the EU can adapt through diversification, domestic investment, and deeper integration. | |||
| Europe Prepares for Trade Battles Under Trump’s Second Term | 20 Nov 2024 | 00:29:43 | |
In the latest Future is Blue episode, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen is joined by Alicia Garcia-Herrero, Senior Fellow at Bruegel and Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, and Raymond Torres, Director of Funcas Europe, to discuss the potential consequences of Donald Trump’s return to the White House on EU-U.S. trade relations. The conversation explores the risks of sweeping tariffs, the vulnerability of key industries like Germany’s automotive sector, and the broader implications for European economic resilience. The guests also highlight opportunities for deeper EU integration, strategic alignment with the U.S. on China, and diversification of global trade partnerships to navigate the challenges ahead. | |||
| How fiscal choices and trade strategy shape Europe’s productivity | 27 Nov 2025 | 00:23:09 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, economist Luca Fornaro explains how fiscal policy shapes long-term productivity through public investment, taxation and aggregate demand, and outlines the risks of “fiscal stagnation traps” in high-debt countries. Miguel Ángel González-Simón adds the European perspective, discussing the limits of the EU’s fiscal architecture and the challenges facing Spain. The conversation then turns to trade policy, with Fornaro detailing how tariffs and global tech competition affect the geography of innovation, and González-Simón examining Europe’s dilemma between strategic autonomy and openness. Together, they unpack what Europe must do to revive productivity and stay competitive in a shifting global economy. | |||
| Demystifying the impact of migrants on public finances and labor markets | 31 Oct 2024 | 00:17:36 | |
Despite the common perception of migrants as a drain on resources, OECD data reveals that migrants contribute positively to public finances in most advanced economies. In a recent Future is Blue interview, Ana Damas de Matos, OECD senior policy analyst, explained how migrants support aging populations, add to the labor market, and contribute more in taxes and social security than they receive in services. With effective integration policies, countries can further boost the economic benefits of migration, proving that migrants play a vital role in sustaining and strengthening host economies. | |||
| The impacts of fiscal uncertainties in France | 25 Oct 2024 | 00:08:36 | |
In this Future is Blue episode, host Carlos Carnicero Urabayen speaks with Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, about the recent volatility in EU sovereign debt markets, particularly in the wake of France's turbulent elections. They explore how political instability and fiscal challenges have driven up French bond spreads, sparking renewed concerns about eurozone fragmentation. Alice provides expert insights into the broader EU implications, discussing limited contagion to other economies and the long-term need for fiscal reforms to stabilize debt markets. This conversation offers listeners valuable perspectives on navigating Europe's complex financial landscape. | |||
| What Mario Draghi’s report means for Europe | 18 Sep 2024 | 00:29:23 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen is joined by Sander Tordoir and Raymond Torres to discuss the key findings and implications of Mario Draghi’s recent report on Europe's competitiveness. | |||
| How the EU plans to lead the global green transition | 05 Sep 2024 | 00:34:33 | |
In this episode, Cecilia Trasi from Bruegel discusses the EU's strategy to lead global climate action, balancing decarbonization with economic competitiveness and fostering international green partnerships. | |||
| Navigating the ECB's new monetary policy: Implications for Spain and beyond | 31 Jul 2024 | 00:12:17 | |
In our latest episode, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen interviews Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, to discuss the European Central Bank's recent monetary policy changes. They delve into the ECB's long-awaited rate cut, contrasting it with the Federal Reserve's approach, and explore its implications for financial sectors and markets, particularly in Spain. The episode provides a comprehensive analysis of how these policy shifts affect households, businesses, and the broader economy, offering valuable insights for navigating the evolving financial landscape. | |||
| Europe's post-election economic landscape: key issues and strategic directions | 16 Jul 2024 | 00:28:58 | |
In this episode of "Future is Blue," host Carlos Urabayen discusses the post-election economic outlook for Europe with Sander Tordoir, Chief Economist at the Centre for European Reform, and Raymond Torres, Director of Funcas Europe. They explore the challenges and opportunities for the new European Commission, focusing on climate transition, economic growth, and digital transformation. The conversation highlights the need for increased investment, market integration, and strategic coordination to ensure sustainable growth and competitiveness in the EU. | |||
| How the EU is adapting to post-pandemic global trade shifts | 26 Jun 2024 | 00:07:43 | |
In this episode our host Carlos Urabayen talks to Alice Faibishenko from Funcas to discuss the profound shifts in global trade and investment since the pandemic. The conversation delves into the concept of re-globalization, highlighting the challenges and opportunities faced by the European Union amidst weakening export markets and changing foreign direct investment patterns. Despite these challenges, the discussion also points to positive trends, such as the intensification of intra-EU trade and investment, which offer stability in an uncertain global economic environment. | |||
| Navigating EU budget reforms: challenges, controversies, and future directions | 17 Jun 2024 | 00:28:11 | |
In this episode, we delve into the complexities of the European Union budget with insights from Professor Iain Begg of the London School of Economics and Political Science and Raymond Torres, Director of Funcas Europe. We explore the historical context, current challenges, and potential reforms needed to make the EU budget more flexible and responsive to new challenges, such as the potential enlargement with countries like Ukraine and Moldova. Our discussion covers the contentious Common Agricultural Policy, the impact of new fiscal rules, and the necessity for innovative solutions like an EU fiscal framework to ensure sustainable and transparent EU finances. | |||
| Addressing the housing crisis in Europe | 28 May 2024 | 00:21:38 | |
Carlos Carnicero Urabayen spoke with Hans Dubois, a Senior Research Manager at Eurofound, about the pressing issue of housing affordability in Europe. The discussion covered the factors driving unaffordable housing, the impact on different demographic groups, particularly young people, and the effectiveness of various policy measures being implemented across Europe. | |||
| Spain’s labour market: a story of convergence towards Europe | 30 Apr 2024 | 00:13:54 | |
There is a growing resilience in the Spanish labor force, highlighting evolution from the historical trends of high unemployment, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. In this podcast we discuss this topic with Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas. | |||
| Why Europe´s productivity is falling behind the U.S.—and how to catch up (with IMF’s Romain Duval) | 13 Nov 2025 | 00:23:10 | |
IMF’s Romain Duval joins Future is Blue to unpack Europe’s widening productivity gap with the U.S., Spain’s specific challenges, and the three priorities he says can reignite growth: finance, skills, and market integration. | |||
| Europe’s response to Chinese and American economic competition | 17 Apr 2024 | 00:22:50 | |
In this new episode hosted by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen, Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, delved into the intricate dynamics of the global geopolitical landscape, the rise of economic nationalism and Europe's strategic positioning amidst the assertive manoeuvres of superpowers like the United States and China. | |||
| The EU's trade dynamics in a changing global landscape | 27 Mar 2024 | 00:15:56 | |
In this episode Carlos Carnicero Urabayen interviews Patricia Sánchez Juanino to learn about current trade trends inside and outside the European Union. | |||
| Spain's economic outlook: Navigating through uncertainty | 06 Mar 2024 | 00:12:50 | |
In this episode Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, talks to our host Carlos Carnicero Urabayen about key aspects affecting the Spanish economy in 2024. The conversation is based on several of the articles featured in the latest SEFO report. | |||
| Unpacking the EU's new fiscal rules | 06 Feb 2024 | 00:22:58 | |
In this episode we analyze the new fiscal rules recently agreed by EU policymakers and what will be their impact on Europe's economy in the medium and long term. We are joined by Vinzenz Ziesemer, Director at the Institute voor Publieke Economie and Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director. The show is hosted by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. | |||
| EuroInsights: economic lessons in 2023 | 20 Dec 2023 | 00:18:35 | |
In today's show we analyse what are the key lessons learned for the EU economy in 2023. Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, together with Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director in conversation with Carlos Carnicero Urabayen, Future is Blue host. | |||
| Spain's resilience amidst geopolitical turmoil | 06 Dec 2023 | 00:15:10 | |
In our new podcast episode we discuss the latest SEFO publication by Funcas covering Spain's economic outlook, together with Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas. | |||
| Europe's public finances amidst pandemic, war, and energy crisis | 24 Nov 2023 | 00:16:39 | |
In this podcast show Carlos Carnicero Urabayen talks to Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director, to analyse the situation regarding public deficits and debt after the pandemic, the Ukraine war and the energy crisis. | |||
| Trade wars on wheels? The Commission investigates Chinese electric cars | 26 Oct 2023 | 00:18:51 | |
Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, shares great insights about the Commission investigation into Chinese state subsidies affecting cars imported to Europe. Carlos Carnicero Urabayen is Future is Blue host. | |||
| The uncertain duration of high interest rates | 17 Oct 2023 | 00:12:09 | |
In today's new podcast episode we feature Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, to analyse the implications of high interest rates for financial institutions, public bodies and other actors. This subject is covered in the latest SEFO report by Funcas that you can access here. | |||
| China's debt domino effect: Is the world economy at risk? | 28 Sep 2023 | 00:13:51 | |
In our new podcast show we analyse what's behind China's debt mounting debt and the risk this represents for the world economy. Our host, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen talks to Alicia García Herrero, Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, a French multinational financial services firm, and Senior Fellow at Bruegel think tank, and Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director. | |||
| Can Europe be sovereign and competitive in tech? | 02 Oct 2025 | 00:29:28 | |
In this episode of Future is Blue, Zach Meyers (CERRE) and Funcas economist Miguel Ángel González-Simón join Carlos Carnicero Urabayen to discuss whether Europe can reconcile digital sovereignty with economic competitiveness. They explore why Europe’s core challenge is a persistent productivity gap, why building an “end-to-end Eurostack” is unrealistic, and how focusing on emerging technologies like AI, quantum, or 6G could offer a path forward. The conversation also highlights Europe’s structural weaknesses — fragmented markets, lack of scale, and underdeveloped capital markets — and stresses the need to embrace disruption, allow innovative firms to grow, and make completing the single market a top priority. | |||
| Recession, Inflation, Stagflation? Insights from the ECB and fiscal policy dilemmas | 15 Sep 2023 | 00:10:47 | |
In today's show, we cover the most pressing economic topics on the EU's agenda:
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| Unpacking German economic troubles | 06 Sep 2023 | 00:21:39 | |
Is the German economy again the sick man of Europe, as it was once labelled back in the late 90s? We take a look at the current economic challenges of Germany together with Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, and Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director. | |||
| Money and machines: Navigating AI's impact on finance | 31 Aug 2023 | 00:10:40 | |
In this Future is Blue podcast episode, we cover the following questions about AI and the financial sector:
You can access here the latest SEFO report including an article about AI and finance. | |||
| Understanding the real impact of AI on labor markets | 31 Jul 2023 | 00:18:07 | |
The impact of Artificial Intelligence on labor markets is a complex topic. While AI has the potential to create new opportunities and increase productivity, it also raises real concerns about job displacement and changing workforce dynamics. To cover this subject we've been joined by Maria Jepsen, Deputy Director at Eurofound, the European Foundation for the improvement of Living and Working Conditions. Maria is featured in our new podcast episode, in conversation with our host, Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. | |||
| How can the EU stay relevant in a world dominated by US and China? | 25 Jul 2023 | 00:28:35 | |
Joaquin Almunia, who’s chairman of the CEPS think tank Board and former European commissioner for economic and monetary affairs and former Vice president of the European Commission, discusses how the EU can be ready to compete in a world dominated by a global economic race between the US and China. Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director joins the discussion hosted by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. | |||
| How can the EU have a successful China policy? | 27 Jun 2023 | 00:18:47 | |
In this show our host Carlos Carnicero Urabayen talks to Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, and Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director, about how can Europe implement the China policy it needs for a successful relationship with Asia's superpower. | |||
| Global outlook and key trends about inflation in Spain | 15 Jun 2023 | 00:14:02 | |
In our new podcast episode Alice Faibishenko, Senior Advisor at Funcas, presents some of the key insights that are included in the latest SEFO report by Funcas, touching on the global economic outlook, how Spain is dealing with inflation and what segments of the population are more exposed to the effects of inflation. The show is presented by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. | |||
| How to measure and fight inflation in the Eurozone? | 31 May 2023 | 00:22:48 | |
Jan Eeckhout, ICREA research professor of Economics at UPF Barcelona, talks to Carlos Carnicero Urabayen, Future is Blue host, about how to correctly measure inflation in the Eurozone and how to get it under control. | |||
| How to win the inflation battle? | 25 Apr 2023 | 00:19:17 | |
Sander Tordoir, Senior Economist at the Centre for European Reform, discusses with Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director, how the ECB and policymakers can get inflation under control in the eurozone. The show is hosted by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. | |||
| Rising interest rates and the impact on Europe's economy | 17 Apr 2023 | 00:14:17 | |
Alice Faibishenko, Senior advisor at Funcas, discusses with Carlos Carnicero Urabayen, how rising interest rates are impacting banks, the mortgage market, and the Spanish labor market, among other issues. | |||
| Europe between protectionism and openness: How to compete in a fragmented world | 02 Sep 2025 | 00:35:31 | |
In this episode, our guest Ana María Santacreu, Senior Economic Policy Advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, explains the twin pressures on Europe from rising protectionism and the “cost of openness.” Trade is fragmenting along geopolitical lines—especially in strategic sectors—while capital flows show less decoupling. Europe now faces China as a direct rival at the technological frontier and remains dependent on it for critical minerals and processing, creating choke points. Santacreu highlights three priorities: completing the single market, managing technological rivalry, and reducing supply concentration. She stresses that resilience “starts at home.” Miguel Ángel González-Simón, economist at Funcas, adds the need to advance Capital Markets Union and deepen ties with like-minded partners. | |||
| How concerning is the banking stress? | 29 Mar 2023 | 00:15:58 | |
In today's show we analyze the banking stress we've seen over the last couple of weeks on both sides of the Atlantic. Today's guests are Iain Begg, Professor at LSE and Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director. The host is Carlos Carnicero Urabayen. We explore questions such as: - Are banks better prepared to cope with a financial crisis compared to what we saw during the global financial crisis? | |||
| Can we avoid a trade conflict in the Atlantic? | 16 Mar 2023 | 00:20:09 | |
Lourdes Maldonado, Gail and Rob Cañizares Director at the Emerging Markets Institute in Cornell University, together with Raymond Torres, Funcas Europe Director, analyse the implications of the IRA programme in the US and its repercussions for the European industry. The show is hosted by Carlos Carnicero Urabayen | |||
| Record rises in interest rates and banks' financing in 2023 | 27 Feb 2023 | 00:12:21 | |
Alice Faibishenko, Senior Adviser at Funcas, shares some of the key insights that are included in the latest SEFO report, covering topics such as the impact of record spikes in interest rates and the challenges for banks financing. | |||
| Is the IMF getting it right about the world economy? | 03 Feb 2023 | 00:21:40 | |
In today's podcast, the first of a series jointly authored by Funcas Europe and the Centre for European Reform, we cover the following key aspects of the IMFs latest report: - Why is the world economy doing better than expected? | |||