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Édouard Philippe 2027, and The Socialist Party in 202404 Sep 202400:08:30

Macron's first prime minister ever clarifies his plans in an interview with Le Point. He doesn't say it ambiguously - he's doing it.


And the Socialist Party released a statement clarifying their intentions with Macron too - no alliance.


Show Notes

- ⁠Édouard Philippe : « Je serai candidat à la prochaine élection présidentielle »⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Présidentielle 2027 : l’ancien premier ministre Édouard Philippe annonce officiellement sa candidature⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Socialist Party statement⁠ (fr)

More Context From Flap24

- ⁠The PS Wants To Govern With Macron⁠ (en)

- ⁠A Socialist Party and a Constitutional Coup⁠ (en)

- ⁠Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government⁠ (en)


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.


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Macron Ministry02 Sep 202400:06:57

Two months out with no new prime minister, Macron might be drawing closer to the moment...but it looks like he still wants to name his own ministers to key positions. Macron's goal is clear: no change in policy whoever's leading the next government.


And apparently Marine Le Pen played a card to get her way with Macron. Is Xavier Bertrand out?


Show Notes

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Candidatures à Matignon : Macron maintient le flou (fr)

- Nouveau Premier ministre : Larcher, Bayrou et Attal reçus tour à tour à l’Elysée (fr)

- Le président refuse une cohabitation (fr)

- Matignon : Bernard Cazeneuve, l’homme qui fracasse le PS (fr)

- The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis (en)

- The Bernard Cazeneuve Hypothesis (en)

- The PS Wants To Govern With Macron (en)


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠⁠⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠⁠⁠.


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It Would Feel So Empty Without Me(lenchonistes)24 Aug 202400:10:17

Melenchon makes a surprising offer to the Macronists - why did he do this?

The ranks of La France Insoumise continue to grow, and without the dissidents, the party remains more convinced than ever of its strategic orientation.


Meanwhile the Greens have their congress with new arrivals in their ranks.


Olly's recent Jacobin article on the state of France:


https://jacobin.com/2024/08/macron-journalism-fixing-france-reivew


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Is This A Coup?23 Aug 202400:13:00

Macron meets the representatives of the NFP... and refuses to name a Prime Minister.


Attal says the centrist bloc will censure any government with LFI in it. Mélenchon calls Macron an autocrat and Roussel calls his actions a coup.


Show Notes

- Our episode with Charles Devellenes on Macron's thirst for power

- Olly's Jacobin article

- Mediapart's rundown of the day


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The PS Wants To Govern With Macron22 Aug 202400:06:50

In dribs and drabs the Socialist Party is signalling - sometimes openly - that they want to break with LFI and govern with Macron. Will they take the plunge?


Over in the presidential camp, Élisabeth Borne announces that she's running to lead Macron's party, Renaissance. But there are whispers that Gabriel Attal wants the post as well. A bloc is forming to block his ambitions.


And Renaissance deputies are trying to strip LFI Eurodeputy Rima Hassan of her parliamentary immunity after appearing at a protest in Jordan against Israel's genocide in Palestine that they say was "pro-Hamas."


Show Notes

- Avant la rencontre avec Macron, le PS replonge dans ses divisions sur l’alliance avec LFI

- Politico Playbook Paris newsletter

- Élisabeth Borne : « Je suis candidate à la direction de Renaissance »

- Bergé et Beaune annoncent soutenir Borne pour diriger Renaissance, au nom de «l'esprit collectif»

- Manifestation des 25 et 26 octobre 2014 contre le barrage de Sivens (wiki)

- Une cinquantaine de députés Renaissance demandent la levée de l'immunité parlementaire de Rima Hassan

- En Jordanie, la député européenne insoumise Rima Hassan s’affiche dans une manifestation pro-Hamas

- Rima Hassan s’affiche pro-Hamas sans réserve en Jordanie

- Two previous episodes about the Socialist Party inching towards a coalition with Macron


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A Socialist Party and a Constitutional Coup21 Aug 202400:06:50

There's discontent in the Socialist Party over the alliance with La France Insoumise. Nicolas Mayer-Rossignol and Hélène Geoffroy want out again.


Éric Ciotti's party is defining its political course in the National Assembly - trotting faithfully along behind the National Rally, the most powerful force on the right.


And Gabriel Attal sent letters to his ministers laying out the cap on their budgets for 2025 - for many a political move, given the fact that Attal's government lost an election over a month ago now.


Show Notes

- Paris Playbook, August 21st, 2024

- France’s Once-Mighty Socialist Party Must Change or Die (Marlon's article)

- Les députés du groupe d’Éric Ciotti, À droite, entrent dans l’arène

- Coup d’envoi pour le budget 2025, décisif sur le plan politique

- Le camp présidentiel prêt à amender certains de ses dogmes économiques

- « On est vraiment dans l’inconnu » : le scénario d’une Assemblée incapable de voter le budget agite les constitutionnalistes

- Fixing France: How to Repair a Broken Republic

- Emmanuel Macron’s France Is a Broken Republic (Olly's article)


Send us questions for our Friday interview at flep24pod@gmail.com


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Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government20 Aug 202400:09:12

LFI is on guard against reports that the Socialist Party won't oppose Bernard Cazeneuve as Macron's Prime Minister pick.


Raphaël Glucksmann is out with a long interview in Le Point where he talks about turning the page on Macron and Mélenchon, rebuilding French social democracy, and his presidential ambitions.


And the National Rally is preparing for another election in a year's time, resigned to what they say is inevitable paralysis whoever gets picked for PM anyway.


Show Notes

- La gauche se déchire après la menace d’une procédure de destitution d’Emmanuel Macron défendue par LFI

- Jérôme Legavre Tweet

- Antoine Léaument Tweet

- Aurélien Saintoul Tweet

- Lucie Castets affirme que le sujet « n’est pas la destitution mais la cohabitation » avec Emmanuel Macron, sur fond de divisions à gauche

- Raphaël Glucksmann : « Il faut tourner la page Macron et Mélenchon ! »

- Le RN dit se préparer à une « nouvelle dissolution » au terme d’une « année de paralysie »


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Bayrou Says No To The NFP19 Aug 202400:05:50

François Bayrou talked with Le Figaro yesterday and called for...a government that avoids the extremes.


He also excluded Lucie Castets from becoming Prime Minster, the NFP candidate for the position, saying she has no experience.


We also take a look at a Senate Bill which would require a President under the Constitution to name a Prime Minister within 8 days of an election...it's been about 7 weeks now.


Show Notes

- François Bayrou : «Il est urgent de sortir du jeu des partis politiques qui feignent de vouloir gouverner»

- Pourquoi Emmanuel Macron prend son temps pour nommer un nouveau premier ministre

- Destituer Macron? "Chaque jour qui passe est une sorte d'abus de pouvoir," assène un député LFI

- Recent Senate Texts

- Propositions de loi constitutionnelle, Texte n° 742 (2023-2024): Statut de Gouvernement démissionnaire

- Texte n° 742 (2023-2024), Exposé des motifs


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The NFP Outside of LFI Says No To Impeachment19 Aug 202400:07:07

The Socialist Party and the Greens reject the LFI's impeachment puch as the way forward against Macron.


The Socialist Party says a vote of no confidence is the way to go if and when Macron names a Prime Minister outside of the New Popular Front's candidate, Lucie Castets.


And a brief note on Alain Delon's death, the new moment for secular sainthood and a possibility for Macron to continue avoiding politics.


Show Notes

- Gérald Darmanin Tweet

- Olivier Faure Tweet

- Jean-Marie Le Pen Tweet

- Les Insoumis accentuent la pression et menacent Emmanuel Macron de destitution

- Destitution d’Emmanuel Macron : le Parti socialiste ne soutient pas la menace brandie par La France insoumise

- Menace de destitution d’Emmanuel Macron : le coup de com de LFI agace les autres membres du NFP

- Mort d’Alain Delon : pluie d’hommages à droite, la gauche plus circonspecte


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Mélenchon Wants to Impeach Macron18 Aug 202400:07:33

Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the LFI want to impeach Macron under Article 68 of the French constitution.


They say that's he's derelict in his duties to be a neutral arbiter by refusing to accept the democratic verdict of the recent legislative elections.


Impeaching Macron would be difficult to get through both chambers of France's parliament, but Mélenchon's party has enough deputies to get the ball rolling with a resolution in the National Assembly.


Show Notes

- ⁠« Démettre le président plutôt que nous soumettre » (par Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Mathilde Panot et Manuel Bompard)⁠

- ⁠Article 68 - Constitution du 4 octobre 1958⁠

- ⁠LOI organique n° 2014-1392 du 24 novembre 2014 portant application de l'article 68 de la Constitution (1)⁠


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Macron Picks a Prime Minister17 Aug 202400:07:20

The title is clickbait - sorry! Marlon takes a solo look at an announcement by Macron to host all the country's political forces on the 23rd of August to determine who the next prime minister will be.


The news sets off the typical paper-selling speculation about who the next Prime Minister might be (mostly familiar names, though one wacky hypothesis).


And Marlon goes over a minor Trotskyist sect and why the National Rally wants to kick it out of a beautiful beach side summer blitz.


Show Notes

-⁠ Office de Tourisme de Leucate⁠

- ⁠Gouvernement : Macron va consulter les chefs des groupes parlementaires et des partis le 23 août⁠

- ⁠Nomination du premier ministre : les noms qui circulent pour Matignon⁠

- ⁠Nomination d'un nouveau Premier ministre : Macron va discuter avec les chefs de parti vendredi prochain⁠


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RN Cleans House & NFP Divides16 Aug 202400:05:52

Marlon takes a solo look at a report from Le Point into how the National Rally is laying the blame for their election results on bad candidate choices. The solution? Get rid of the people who chose the candidates.


The NFP's prime minister choice Lucie Castets looks like she's backing away cautiously from a commitment to immediately implement the program as she searches for a coaltion.


And Place Publique inches boldly towards a governmental coalition - away from the NFP's program too.


Show Notes

- Le RN fait le grand ménage parmi ses cadres locaux

- Rassemblement national : après l’échec des législatives, le parti entame une restructuration au niveau local

- Le smic à 1600 euros et l’ISF sont des «horizons», estime Castets, qui veut aller «chercher des accords» avec les députés, hors RN


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The Bernard Cazeneuve Hypothesis01 Sep 202400:06:38

Emmanuel Macron is taking another look at Bernard Cazeneuve - there's reporting that the French president met with the former Socialist Party Prime Minister recently to consider him again for the top position in the government after the New Popular Front's candidate Lucie Castets was definitively ruled out.


A look at Cazeneuve's political career and his policy priorities, from fiscal hawking to violent repression in the Interior Ministry.


Show Notes

- ⁠Retour à la case Bernard⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Les socialistes face à leurs vieux démons⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Bernard Cazeneuve, wikipedia⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Taxe tobin: de "l'ennemi de la finance" au refus de taxer la spéculation, itinéraire d'un reniement⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Ludivine Bantigny Twitter thread on Cazeneuve's politics⁠ (fr)

- ⁠Flap24: Glucksmann and Cazenueve to the Government ⁠(en)


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Impasse!15 Aug 202400:05:21

Marlon takes a solo look at the boring impasse French politics finds itself in as Macron continues to refuse to name a government. A veritable democratic scandal, which LFI President of the National Assembly's finance commissions calls an attempt by Emmanuel to essential cohabit in government with...himself.


Show Notes

- Un nouveau Premier ministre nommé fin août ou «début septembre», prédit le chef des sénateurs macronistes

- La gauche s'exaspère : « Emmanuel Macron veut une cohabitation avec lui-même »


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Attal's Grand Coalition on the Horizons14 Aug 202400:05:51

Gabriel Attal calls for a grand coalition (excluding LFI and RN).

Horizons call for a grand coalition (excluding LFI and RN).

Vague policy proposals, of course, from a sweltering France.


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The Country's Heating Up13 Aug 202400:05:17

It's hot hot hot in France, and the post-Olympic truce is over. Plus, Macron's spokespeople use the language of Maurras again (not French).


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Power Lifting11 Aug 202400:06:37

Marlon runs through a quick solo episode on the fear of another RN surge, the goings on at the gym in the national assembly, the struggles of the poor lobbyists and the left in Paris.


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How to Lobby the Left10 Aug 202400:13:04

Olly talks about two stories, one in which the media tries to signal the return of Anne Hidalgo and one in which lobbyists lament the presence of La France Insoumise, who are unlobbyable!


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Is France on the Right or the Left? Plus Paris gets rid of crime09 Aug 202400:09:36

Marlon takes a solo look at a new interview with Agnès Pannier-Runacher, who's on the left of the Macron grouping. She says there needs to be a coalition government which excludes LFI and RN, and that France is not a right wing country.


Plus, did Paris get rid of crime during the Olympic games?


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Antifa, Austerity and Aubrey's resignation08 Aug 202400:26:43

Olly and Marlon discuss Olly's meeting with Raphael Arnault, the looming austerity budget, the resignation of Lille's mayor and her history on the left of the PS as well as the possible failure of the flagship Olympic clean water measures.


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The Xavier Bertrand Hypothesis08 Aug 202400:06:58

Xavier Bertrand's name keeps coming up as Macron's next choice for Prime Minister. We've talked about him before on this podcast, so Marlon goes through some of it in this solo episode.


Also - what to do with phone numbers? I want your answers and feedback on this.


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Summer Conferences, Nice, and Popular Committee07 Aug 202400:06:41

Marlon takes a solo spin through the tension in Nice, as the opening salvo in a battle for the country and the French right charges up between Christian Estrosi and Éric Ciotti.


A rundown on the summer conferences.


And LFI continues with its investigation into just how much the Olympic Games cost.


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A Limbo Government of Non-Ministers05 Aug 202400:10:33

Olly discusses some articles on the strange stasis French politics has entered into in which Macron is still governing as he always has, but no one really knows if this is actually a legitimate thing to be doing.


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Can the NFP Last? 01 Sep 202400:13:10

Olly takes a solo look at the civil war in the PS. The integrity of the NFP hinges on it, but it's uhhh not looking great.


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We're so back: SocDem edition04 Aug 202400:14:40

Olly and Marlon discuss the centre's attempts to rebuild, Sophia Chikirou getting in hot water over Hamas and why nazis are calling Olly a collaborator on Twitter.


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Olympic Pride, Dinners with Michel, and France Goes to Claremont03 Aug 202400:06:14

Marlon takes a solo look at the renewed national pride in France the Olympics are spreading.


Plus, Sarah Knafo head to California with the Claremont Institute, and presidential hopeful Laurent Wauquiez spent over 1200 euros in regional funds on a diner with Michel Houellebecq.


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Macron's Theater Days, His Unpublished Novels, and the Permanent Crisis of his Regime with Charles Devellennes02 Aug 202401:05:56

Marlon and Olly interview Charles Devellennes, who's the Senior Lecturer in Political and Social Thought at the University of Kent.


Charles tells the about Macron's literary style, the unpublished novels Macron wrote, and the enduring effect Milan Kundera's "Jacques et son maître" had on young Emmanuel.


Charles also tells us about the own trajectory his interest in philosophy took him on down the path of political science, which culminated in his 2022 book The Macron Régime: The Ideology of the New Right in France.


We talk about that book, and about security, merit, and hope.


There's also speculation about the state of the left in France today and tomorrow, and a look at the right in France of yesterday and the future.


Charles' Twitter: https://x.com/cdevellennes


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A Former Macronist Spills the Beans01 Aug 202400:18:33

Olly and Marlon discuss sabotage, the possibility (again) of Xavier Bertrand becoming Prime Minister, and an interview with a former Macronist discussing what the president is really like (we've mentioned him once or twice beforeon the show).


Marlon's interview with Marc Endeweld.


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Macron's Cold Coup31 Jul 202400:11:39

The Constitutional Council says that vote rigging in the National Assembly is none of its business. Mediapart reports on a "cold coup" enacted by the Macronists. And Attal shows that the French state would do anything for love... but should they do that?


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How to Blow Up a Railway Line31 Jul 202400:11:46

Olly discusses the sabotage at the French Olympics, Macron's attempt to rehabilitate his image, the reactions to the opening ceremony and the plot in the PS.


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A Neo-Nazi Security Guard and a Prime Minister Who Wants To Be President31 Jul 202400:05:18

Marlon takes a solo survey of some news as France swelters, groans, and cracks under a heatwave (projection maybe? sure!).


There's the neo-nazi security guard on the private island owned by the mega-reactionary media mogul.


There's an action packed action pact from the outgoing current resigned who knows Prime Minister Gabriel Attal, and there's even a report that Attal still wants to be President.


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A Tale of Two Exorbitant Spending Sprees30 Jul 202400:08:13

It's the 50th episode of Flap24!


Marlon takes us on a solo trek through two reports which came out today about just how much all these politicians are spending.


First there's one from Libération about the vice-president of the RN splurging on 4 star hotels to the tune of 400 euros a night during the 2022 campaign, which isn't illegal at all.


Then there's a Mediapart report on the recent report by the presidential palace's auditors on the 8 million euro deficit produced by nearly half million euro dinners for kings like Charles III and state dinners for leaders like India's Narendra Modi.


Plus, an announcement about the future of the show.


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Arcane Assembly #129 Jul 202400:10:46

As news slows down in the holidays, Marlon takes a solo look at some of the arcana of the National Assembly, from important dates in the upcoming fall session, to a look at how parliamentary immunity works in the French parliament.


Marlon also ponders what guerrilla National Assembly warfare could look like.


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Foreign Influence and Oppression Olympics27 Jul 202400:07:17

Marlon takes a solo look at those on Macron's right flank who are decrying wokism in the Olympics.


In more interesting news, a quick overview of the French Senate's report on foreign influence, and its plan for a massive public influence campaign on behalf of France's values, including massive narrative crafting to combat France's "enemies."


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Jean Luc and the Giant Impeach 30 Aug 202400:06:57

Sarkozy gives us his two cents, Melenchon's impeachment plan climbs in the polls and Ruffin tries to find a new role.

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Dodgy envelopes, Olympic breakfasts, and plans on the horizon(s)26 Jul 202400:06:17

Marlon stops in for a brief solo episode and runs down what the NFP's Prime Ministerial candidate is saying about voting with RN, the possible envelope fraud in a recent National Assembly vote, and some meetings of the various parliamentary commissions.


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Assembly Commissions, Airwaves and Asahi Olympics24 Jul 202400:11:21

Marlon & Olly reunite for a duo episode, the first one in awhile, and discuss Olympic news, the latest updates from the National Assembly commissions, and polemics around athletes being allowed to compete in the Olympics under their national flags or not.


They also discuss the potential new Prime Minister's podcast, and take a diversion into Japanese politics, believe it or not.


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Another NFP Candidate for Macron to Reject23 Jul 202400:05:54

Marlon looks at the new joint New Popular Front candidate for Prime Minister, Lucie Castets. She's a long time civil servant with a public profile of advocating for public services and close links to the Socialist Party.


Everybody in the New Popular Front is publicly in favor of her being the one - but Macron's already saying that he still needs a majority and won't be appointing anybody new until after the Olympics.


Don't get too attached!


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Which Way French leftist? 22 Jul 202400:15:41

The left has different visions for its future, Macron attempts to call an Olympics truce and there is yet more accusations of antisemitism flung at critics of Israel.


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Project Périclès and The National Assembly Bureaus21 Jul 202400:07:10

Marlon takes a solo look at who one some of the new elected positions in the National Assembly.


Marlon also briefly reviews Project Périclès, a 150 million euro plan by an ultrareactionary Catholic billionaire to help the RN win the 2027 presidential and municipal elections.


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Up all night to get lucky20 Jul 202400:17:19

Marlon's away so Olly runs you through yet another turning of the tables as the left regains the balance of power within the assembly.


He also talks about Megabasin protests and climate change.


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Marlon's book, which we have somehow forgotten to plug:

https://www.ebb-magazine.com/books/p/zemmour-and-gaullism

Bourgeois Bloc Blues w/ Bruno Amable20 Jul 202400:53:31

Olly & Marlon host Bruno Amable, the co-author with Stefano Palombarini of The Last Neoliberal: Macron and the Origins of France's Political Crisis.


Bruno's a political economist and a Professor at the University of Geneva, so this guys knows his stuff.


This is Olly's favorite book, so we really get into it.


Marlon hasn't read it but we have a good discussion about what the bourgeois bloc was, what it is, what alliances it's pursuing, its relationship to racism, and the way it dissimulates - to itself and others.


Bruno's recent publications: https://www.unige.ch/sciences-societe/dehes/membres/bruno-amable/


Bruno's Twitter: @bruno_amable


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17 Deadly Sins19 Jul 202400:29:03

The first vote since the election is held, on who will be the head of the assembly and the Macronists play dirty to win.


The left remains without a PM candidate, and Marlon discusses rumours of a plot in Drancy.


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Bello again, Baron Noir? (fixed)17 Jul 202400:22:27

Marlon is away so Olly takes you through the complex negotiations on the eve of choosing a prime minister. The left still doesn't have a candidate! An intervention by friend of the show Stefano Palombarini puts Marine Tondellier in a tight spot and provokes a revolt in the ranks of the greens.


The PS and the Communists have other ideas.

The left did manage to find a unity candidate for the presidency of the national assembly however, and Olly goes over what he thinks is wrong with an article comparing Olivier Faure to Rickwaert from Baron Noir.


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A pied-noir, a Trotskyist, and an ecologist walk into a bar17 Jul 202400:20:23

And she says "ow, that hurts!"


In this episode Olly and Marlon discuss Laurence Tubiana, the PS, PCF, and Green candidate for NFP Prime Minister. They go over why LFI opposes her, her past and present Macron-compatibility, and her eco-anarchist offspring.


Olly goes into one possible centrist scenario for a President of the National Assembly, which will start to be decided on Thursday, and Marlon discusses how some long ago LFI parliamentary strategy may help the left overturn the retirement reform...if they can get a Prime Minister in the door at all.


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Macron goes to Belgrade, Panot to the Counsel, Le Pen to court29 Aug 202400:20:23

Macron meets with mayors, goes to Belgrade and is distrusted by a majority of the French people.


Mathilde Panot goes to the Constitutional Counsel and Le Pen goes to court.


Send us questions and suggestions for our Friday interviews at ⁠flep24pod@gmail.com⁠.


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The left's forever war, the centre's civil war and Arcom's airwar. (fixed)15 Jul 202400:19:35

The first upload of this episode cut half the recording for some reason, but it should be fixed now.


Olly and Marlon discuss the day's news - this includes another front in the left's forever war, a rift opening up in the centrist camp, purges of the CFDT union of RN supporters and the battle for a spot on publicly funded tv continues.


Song: Prose Elite by Medine

Headlines: Left's PM power struggle continues, a new right wing party? More MacronoLepenism15 Jul 202400:22:08

Olly and Marlon recap today's French headlines - most notably the fact that a week has gone an still no PM has emerged.


Olly's twitter @reality_manager

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Huguette Bello's Prime Minister Shot14 Jul 202400:09:16

Marlon discusses La Réunion president Huguette Bello's unlikely Prime Ministerial shot.


He also goes over some of the objections to Bello in the role, including her positions on gay marriage over the years.


And Marlon touches on who in French politics is condemning what looks like a Trump assassination attempt.


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Bruno's Bercy Boys Build A Budget12 Jul 202400:19:43

Marlon and Olly discuss the latest left wing grouping in France, L'Après, an outfit set up by some of the LFI dissidents. But are things as they seem in the new group? And who are they preparing the after for?


More rigamarole on where the government will come from - the left or the right? The unions threaten to strike come the Olympics if Macron doesn't name an NFP Prime Minister quick.


Plus, economic news: Bercy is at a loss for how to plan all their budget cuts with all the political instability, and French M&A shops are waiting for things to cool off too.


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