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FICC Focus Special: Baring's Slaven Is Cautious on Complexity
vendredi 2 octobre 2026 • Durée 27:04
Asset allocators should prepare for continued bouts of volatility, as negative asymmetry in market fundamentals, valuations and technicals is causing investors to trim equity exposure and move up the capital stack. Trevor Slaven, Global Head of Asset Allocation and Multi-Asset Portfolio Solutions at Barings, joins Damian Sassower, Bloomberg Intelligence’s Chief EM Fixed Income Strategist, to assess the AI-induced transformation taking place across the global economy. Slaven and Sassower explore the impact of IT-related capital expenditure on labor markets, inflation expectations and corporate margins, with high-beta asset classes exposed to greater downside risk.
Listen to this episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Macro Matters: Rabobank’s Lawrence on Rates and Global Markets
jeudi 1 octobre 2026 • Durée 21:06
With global bond yields at multi-decade highs and markets pricing further central-bank tightening, investors are reassessing the relative value of rates, equities and currencies. Christian Lawrence, chief cross-asset strategist at Rabobank, joins Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest rate strategist Ira Jersey to discuss that and more on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Lawrence argues that the recent surge in Treasury yields has been driven more by real rates and strong growth than by rising inflation expectations, and says the latest move increasingly resembles a pain trade that could partially reverse. The two discuss how higher yields are already weighing on market breadth beneath equity indexes, why large-cap companies with strong free cash flow may remain better positioned and how changing hedge ratios and interest-rate differentials are influencing the dollar. They also examine whether markets are pricing too many rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks, the global trend toward looser fiscal policy and why relative-value trades may offer better opportunities than outright directional bets while volatility remains elevated.
The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
Credit Crunch: Ellington’s Vranos on MBS Innovation and Alpha
lundi 28 septembre 2026 • Durée 56:55
“You want to buy the security based on this yield, but you have to protect against the risks,” says Mike Vranos, CEO and founder of Ellington Management Group. “What you see is many investors just ignore the option they’re short or, in the extreme example, they ignore the left tail risk,” Vranos adds when discussing how to deliver alpha in securitized products. He joins Bloomberg Intelligence’s Erica Adelberg and Noel Hebert on the latest episode of Credit Crunch to discuss innovation in the mortgage-backed market during his time at Kidder Peabody and later at Ellington, the rise of non-qualified mortgages and the merits of CLO equity. The three discuss the role of insurance capital, investment discipline and where value resides in the current landscape, before closing on the importance of philanthropy.
The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
State of Distressed: Latham’s Sobolewski on Evolving LME Tactics
vendredi 25 septembre 2026 • Durée 01:24:40
“’Co-op first, ask questions later’ is down a bit from its peak, though not dead,” observes John Sobolewski, Global Chair of Latham & Watkins’ Liability Management Practice, as he addresses the latest dynamic between debtors and lenders in distressed situations. In this episode, Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Negisa Balluku and Phil Brendel sit down with John to explore the current state of Liability Management Exercises (LMEs) and why stakeholders are ultimately motivated to find negotiated resolutions over value-destroying, multiyear litigation. The conversation unpacks the delicate mechanics of these negotiations, including why repeat market players will give minority holdouts a fair shake but “hold the line” against nuisance value to avoid giving an inch that turns into a yard. John also breaks down the massive bid-ask spreads — think “Grand Canyon” — between debtors and creditors, why debt funds continue to resist taking back equity, and the software sector’s growing interest in LM solutions.
The podcast concludes (53:10) with BI’s Noel Hebert joining Negisa and Phil for a roundup of their latest research on Air Baltic, QVC, DISH DBS, DISH Wireless, Hughes Satellite Systems, Telesat, and Xerox.
The State of Distressed Debt podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series. Listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Macro Matters: Rockefeller’s Chang on AI, Rates and Bond Markets
jeudi 24 septembre 2026 • Durée 22:17
With AI investment accelerating, energy costs rising and Treasury yields pushing to multi-decade highs, investors are confronting a market where few assets look obviously cheap. Jimmy Chang, chief investment officer of Rockefeller Global Family Office, joins Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest rate strategist Ira Jersey to discuss that and more on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Chang explains how the extraordinary scale of AI-related capital spending is supporting economic growth while also adding inflation pressure through shortages of power, semiconductors and other inputs. The two discuss why 10-year Treasury yields above 5% may be consistent with strong nominal growth, when extending duration could become attractive and how additional Federal Reserve tightening might ultimately slow the economy. They also examine the record amount of cash in money-market funds, why Chang doesn’t view it simply as “dry powder” and how higher yields are reinforcing a K-shaped economy. The episode closes with a longer-term discussion of AI investment, potential overcapacity, power demand and why family-office portfolios may benefit from diversification across bonds, precious metals and other hard assets.
The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
Macro Matters: Post-Fed Thoughts From BI Rates Strategist Jersey
jeudi 17 septembre 2026 • Durée 09:18
With the Federal Reserve beginning a new tightening cycle and markets pricing additional rate increases, investors are reassessing where the Treasury yield curve may be headed next. Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest-rate strategist, discusses this and more in a solo Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Jersey explains why Chairman Kevin Warsh’s latest press conference offered a clearer view of the Fed’s reaction function, with resilient economic growth allowing policymakers to focus more directly on above-target inflation. Jersey outlines why BI expects another 50 bps of tightening, though likely at a slower pace than markets currently price, and examines how previous Fed cycles suggest further curve flattening could follow the first hike. Jersey also discusses why two- to five-year Treasuries may offer attractive carry and downside protection as the curve flattens, how inflation expectations will influence the Fed’s next moves and why solid nominal growth continues to support relatively high long-term Treasury yields.
The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
Credit Crunch: Manulife’s Purdie on AI, ESG and Relative Value
lundi 14 septembre 2026 • Durée 01:01:21
“We want to encourage risk-taking, but we want to encourage the right type of risk-taking, which is informed risk-taking,” says Colin Purdie, global CIO of public markets for Manulife Investment Management. In this episode of Credit Crunch, Purdie joins Bloomberg Intelligence’s Noel Hebert to discuss portfolio construction and decentralized decision-making within a global platform. The two explore the material growth in equity and credit issuance to fund data centers, where the benefits of AI may accrue, why physical climate risk could be mispriced and where to find relative value. Purdie also explains why the 2022 gilt crisis was an important lesson, offers thoughts on whether de-dollarization is done or delayed, and speaks to the source of demand for corporate new issuance and the potential effect of a less-transparent Federal Reserve.
The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series. Listen on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
FX Moment: The Fed Meeting & What It Means for Bonds, the Dollar
vendredi 11 septembre 2026 • Durée 15:43
In this episode of the FX Moment podcast, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief FX Strategist Audrey Childe-Freeman talks to BI’s Chief Interest Rate Strategist Ira Jersey for a flavor on what to expect from the Fed at the Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting. The hotter-than-expected August CPI data is boosting the case for September policy action, though that isn’t a done deal and there’s still uncertainty as to what to expect on policy messaging and on whether any September action would mark the beginning of a tightening cycle or whether it’s more about removing some of 2025’s policy easing. The implications for the bond market and the dollar are different depending on the scenario that unfolds. Ira and Audrey also discuss the implications that a no-change policy outcome would have on the bond market and the dollar, via the cyclical and structural channels.
Listen to this episode on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Macro Matters: Insight Investment’s Murphy on Fixed Income
jeudi 10 septembre 2026 • Durée 20:01
The angst, consternation and hand-wringing over debt levels may be a contrarian indicator that rate markets are oversold, says Brendan Murphy, North American head of fixed income at Insight Investment Management. Murphy joins Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest rate strategist Ira Jersey on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast to discuss the outlook for fixed income. Murphy attributes elevated yields to a stronger macro backdrop, persistent inflation uncertainty, the Fed leadership shift to Chair Kevin Warsh and fiscal concerns amplified by heavy AI-driven corporate issuance. He outlines Insight Investment’s base case that the Fed holds at its upcoming meeting, favors the five-year part of the curve and prefers non-agency securitized credit and agency mortgages over investment grade on valuation grounds. The episode closes with Murphy’s contrarian view that widespread market pessimism may signal a fixed-income buying opportunity, with high-quality portfolios now yielding around 6%, competitive with long-run equity return expectations.
The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI’s FICC Focus series.
All Options Considered: Bond Volatility, USD/JPY and Gas Tail Risk
mardi 8 septembre 2026 • Durée 07:16
Cross-asset volatility has declined over summer even though the path of resistance for yields has been higher. In this edition of the All Options Considered podcast, BI’s Chief Global Derivatives Strategist Tanvir Sandhu gives an update on macro dynamics, bond market volatility, yen, S&P 500 dispersion strategies and the fat tails on gas prices.