Mike Leone delivers his thoughts on the Week 9 DFS slate. He recaps his own lineups and explains the rationale behind each, while also examining winning lineups and strategies.

Mike Leone delivers his thoughts on the Week 8 DFS slate. He recaps his own lineups and explains the rationale behind each, while also examining winning lineups and strategies.

Mike Leone delivers a solo episode to discuss auction strategy for home leagues. For more on auction strategy, check out the following articles:

ETR's Auction Values (All Formats)

Cheap Players to Target in Auction Drafts

Game Planning for Auction Success

Mike Leone of Establish The Run adds context to his machine learning algorithm used to identify RBs and pass catchers who should score more points than they have in recent weeks. Last week, Leonard Fournette, Alvin Kamara, and Dalvin Cook were identified and broke out. This week, Mike is looking at:

-Jonathan Taylor
-Travis Etienne
-Rondale Moore
-JuJu Smith-Schuster

and others!

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Mike Leone and Adam Rauch of Establish the Run recap last week's GPP action from a game stacking perspective before turning their attention to this week's slate, identifying the best games to stack and why.

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Mike Leone of Establish The Run adds context to his machine learning algorithm used to identify RBs who should score more points than they have in recent weeks. Last week, Josh Jacobs and Dameon Pierce were identified and broke out. This week, Mike is looking at:

-Joe Mixon
-Dalvin Cook
-James Conner

and others!

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone recaps his Buy Leone model, identifying the big hits and misses from Week 4 and then turns his attention to targets for Week 5:

-Ja'Marr Chase
-Diontae Johnson
-Chris Godwin
-Darren Waller

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run explains his "Buy Leone WR and TE Under Performers" model, and how he uses it to try and identify trade targets in season long and high upside DFS plays.

This week, Mike discusses:
-Kyle Pitts TE2 in air yards
-Impending Brandin Cooks Bounce Back Game
-Davante Adams' Ceiling
-Signs of Life for SEA's passing game and DK Metcalf

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone recaps Week 2 in the NFL and how you should adjust your fantasy teams accordingly:

-Week 2 a quick reminder on why we can't overreact to Week 1
-Should we be worried about Kyle Pitts? Does it matter?
-Buying high on young WRs in Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jaylen Waddle
-Selling low on inefficient RBs in Najee Harris and Derrick Henry

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Mike Leone dives into 3 things he's convinced he got right after week wrong and 3 things he's convinced he got wrong:

-Davante Adams Blast Off
-Buy Low on JuJu Smith-Schuster
-Concern over 49ers pass catchers
-Tyreek Hill the Alpha in Miami
-Disappointing Aaron Jones usage
-Kadarius Toney playing time
-Hold/buy Treylon Burks and Kenneth Walker

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone talks about traveling out to Las Vegas to draft live high stakes leagues in both the FFPC and NFFC. Mike recounts what a pleasure it was to run into the Ship Chasing crew and multiple Establish the Run subscribers before diving into the results of his two separate $10k enty fee drafts.

Adam Rauch and Mike Leone of Establish The Run talk about the development of ETR's GPP Game Scores, a tool initially created by Adam to provide and objective overview of the best games to stack in DFS - accounting for ceiling, salary, ownership, and overall game environment.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Davis Mattek of SportsGrid joins Mike Leone of Establish the Run to talk bold predictions and hot takes for the NFL season:

-Patrick Mahomes' best passing season yet
-Davante Adams WR1
-Jaylen Waddle outscores Tyreek Hill
-Eno Benjamin the best late-round RB pick
-and much more!

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

In Part 8 of a special offseason projection series, Mike Leone and Ben Gretch analyze the NFC North and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to talk about legendary RB Upside:

-What does that mean?
-Why do we need it?
-Which RBs in the Top 2 Rounds have it?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone recaps his latest NFFC Auction draft, diagnosing what went right, what went wrong, and and what the best strategy is for this year's landscape:

-Being Disciplined
-Peppering Round 3-6 WRs
-Hero RB
-Commanding the End Game
-Strong Onesies Players

Mike also gives some thoughts about the FFPC ME:
-Pushing late-round RB upside picks a round or two earlier
-How to combat missing out on an elite TE

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Mike Leone of Establish The Run dives into his late-round running back strategy. From a macro perspective, he discusses end of season upside, high value touches, and mixing RB archetypes. From a micro perspective, Mike touches on a few of his favorite targets - including Kenneth Walker, Isaiah Spiller, Rachaad White, and Kenny Gainwell.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run breaks down why it can make sense to wait on taking a RB, sometimes until late in the draft as he, Evan Silva, and Adam Levitan did in their FFPC Main Event Draft.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run takes a look at the differences between best ball and managed leagues and how that should affect your strategy in each format:

-Early RBs more valuable in best ball
-Quantity versus Quality at WR
-The Importance of Elite Onesies

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run takes a look at how we can turn uncertain situations into an advantage when drafting against more risk averse league mates.

-Small Miss, Big Hit Players >>> Small Hit, Big Miss Players
-Targeting QB Changes (JuJu, DEN WRs)
-The Giants Coaching Change
-Why Not Green Bay?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run is joined by Pat Kerrane and Peter Overzet of Ship Chasing to discuss the FFPC Main Event, which has a $1million grand prize. The trio discuss:

-Prize and roster format and structure
-Using SOS and stacking to optimize the overall playoff weeks
-Understanding how drafts will change between now and the week before the season
-Prioritizing the onesie positions
-Hero RB versus Zero RB

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The final division up for the duo to tackle is the NFC South:
-Why CMC is the 1.01
-Tampa Bay is a fantasy haven
-The New Orleans WRs are overdrafted
-Kyle Pitts will see his TDs rebound


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Anthony Amico and Michael Leone of Establish The Run identify 5 breakout WRs that need to be on your fantasy draft radar.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The next division up for the duo to tackle is the AFC South:
-Why Jonathan Taylor is shaky as the 1.01
-Michael Pittman is overvalued
-Derrick Henry is a first round risk
-Bet on talent with Treylon Burks


Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

In Part 7 of a special offseason projection series, Mike Leone and Ben Gretch analyze the AFC North and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The next division up for the duo to tackle is the NFC North:
-Aaron Jones Target Ceiling
-Making Sense of GB Targets without Davante Adams
-Justin Jefferson is a Stud
-Amon-Ra St. Brown Is A Great Bet
-Can Justin Fields Bounce Back?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The third division up for the duo to tackle is the AFC North:
-The Baltimore Ravens will run more
-Rashod Bateman is Overhyped
-Ja'Marr Chase is Special
-The CLE backfield is as cheap as it's been
-Chase Claypool is Undervalued

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The third division up for the duo to tackle is the AFC West:
-Which KC RB should you be targeting?
-The Chargers Offense will be fantasy friendly
-Why you should take shots on the Denver pass catchers
-Davante Adams will be fine in Las Vegas

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The third division up for the duo to tackle is the NFC West:
-How efficient will Matt Stafford be?
-How do we attack a Niners offense with huge efficiency upside but volume concerns?
-Kyler Murray is locked in as a Top 5 QB
-Noah Fant is a screaming BUY
-Which RB is the best bet in Seattle?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The second division up for the duo to tackle is the NFC East:
-Bet on the Giants
-Can Antonio Gibson rebound?
-How much will the Eagles throw?
-Targets Up For Grab in Dallas

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run and Ben Gretch of bengretch.substack.com team up for this special offseason projections special series. It will be an 8-part series with 1 podcast for each division.

The first division up for the duo to tackle is the AFC East:
-Is Gabriel Davis worth his rising ADP?
-Will the Patriots pass more?
-Jaylen Waddle over Tyreek Hill?
-Does Zach Wilson sink the Jets?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mark Dankenbring and Mike Leone of Establish The Run take a first look at the home league landscape through the lens of current FantasyPros PPR ADPs. The duo take a look at the differences between best ball and managed, this year and last year, to come up with a draft strategy that will allow you to build truly dominant teams top to bottom.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run breaks down last season's most popular RB backfield pairings.

-How often did the field handcuff their RB1?
-How did handcuffing impact advance rates? Top 1% scores?
-Which type of backfields were most profitable to handcuff?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Shawn Siegele of RotoViz joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to talk about Quarterback strategy in SuperFlex Dynasty leagues.

-How important is it to get a stud QB?
-How do league settings impact QB value?
-What are the benefits and drawbacks of a patchwork QB team?
-Who are late-round QB targets who could quickly see a bump in their Dynasty value?

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Jack Miller and Mike Leone of Establish the Run describe what the RB dead zone is, why it was such a profitable area of the draft to target WRs and avoid RBs last season, and how you should approach that area of the draft in light of this year's ADP landscape.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

In Part 6 of a special offseason projection series, Mike Leone and Ben Gretch analyze the NFC West and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

Erik Beimfohr of SpikeWeek.com joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to talk about lessons learned from Best Ball Mania 2 and what we can do to position ourselves to win Best Ball Mania 3:

-Why the Trey Lance pick went wrong and we're buying again
-Falling in love with Week 17 game stacking
-When and how to get unique with roster construction
-The power of elite QBs

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone discusses why there is a unique opportunity in the FFPC TriFlex Dynasty leagues to try out a Zero RB strategy in your startup draft. The market doesn't quite fully value the benefits of being deep at WR and acquiring extra players in the first 10 rounds, especially in best ball.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Jack Miller of Establish The Run joins Mike Leone to discuss how the different best ball tournament structures on Underdog, FFPC, and Drafters work and how to tweak your draft strategies accordingly.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Underdog Fantasy has announced that their big summer best ball tournament, Best Ball Mania 3, will have a $10 million prize pool, including individual prizes of $2 million, $1 million, and $1 million.

The winner of the original Best Ball Mania, Justin Herzig, joins Mike Leone of Establish The Run to break down the macro strategy of how to best attack this tournament to maximize your odds of taking home a big prize and get a lot of entertainment along the way.

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run. First time depositors will received a deposit bonus up to $100.

Mike Leone of Establish The Run takes you through his rookie draft rankings and tiers, telling you which players to draft, when you should target them, and what trades you could make based on your league rules and team's positioning:

-Breece Hall the 1.01
-Pounding WR between 1.02 and 1.07
-How to approach the overvalued Kenneth Walker
-David Bell a priority target at current ADP
-How to take advantage of these market mistakes: overconfidence, short term thinking, and overreactions to positional scarcity

Use promo code ETR to sign up for Underdog Fantasy: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-establish-the-run

Jack Miller and Mark Dankenbring of Establish The Run join Mike Leone to recap the NFL draft and figure out where to rank all of the incoming rookies while implementing a sound Underdog tournament strategy:

-Are any QBs worth drafting outside of Kenny Pickett?
-Breece Hall is the clear rookie RB1. Who is RB2?
-Treylon Burks a surprise WR1 over Drake London among rookies on Underdog
-Impact of the AJ Brown and Marquise Brown trades
-And way more!

Evan Silva and Anthony Amico of Establish The Run join Mike Leone for a 2-round mock draft with a SuperFlex TE Premium format. Tune in to find out how a wild NFL Draft will impact your Dynasty Rookie drafts.

-Why Drake London is the 1.01
-How fall does Kenneth Walker fall?
-Where do we start taking the QBs?
-How to handle unexpected draft capital for athletic WRs like Christian Watson

Please check out the Establish the Run Youtube page to see the full video: https://www.youtube.com/c/EstablishTheRun

Anthony Amico and Mike Leone of Establish The Run take a look at how to evaluate QB and TE prospects in general, how that fits into Dynasty Rookie drafts, and how the 2022 class shakes out:

-Malik Willis is in a tier of his own
-Kenny Pickett's high floor but low ceiling
-Draft Capital will be important for Sam Howell and Desmond Ridder
-Trey McBride is the firm TE1 in this class
-Jelani Woods has a profile to bet on at the end of the 2nd Round in TE premium rookie drafts

Kyle Daily joins Mike Leone of Establish the Run to talk through the best ways to structure your dynasty leagues to maximize entertainment and competitiveness.

-Managed versus Best Ball
-SuperFlex/Tight End Premium
-The Importance of Slow Drafts
-Snake or Auction Startup
-The Best Rookie Draft Structure

Mark Dankenbring and Jack Miller of Establish the Run recap the crazy NFL offseason and give you their takes on who has gained and lost the most value and what opportunities exist at current ADPs on Underdog and FFPC.

-Russell Wilson to Denver
-Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper to Cleveland
-Tyreek Hill to the Miami
-Davante Adams to the Las Vegas
-Brady unretiring and getting the gang back together in Tampa Bay

and much more!

In Part 5 of a special offseason projection series, Mike Leone and Ben Gretch analyze the AFC West and turn their projections process into actionable advice.

JJ Zachariason of lateround.com joins Mike Leone to talk about evaluating RB prospects, both in general and specific to the 2022 draft class. 

Specifically, the duo discuss:
-What matters when evaluating RB prospects
-Why draft capital is important
-How to use speed score in RB evaluations
-College receiving share as an important indicator of versatility and talent (and a potential warning sign for Kenneth Walker)
-Breece Hall as the Top RB in the class
-Why both JJ and Anthony Amico are higher than the market on Rachaad White

Pat Kerrane of NBC Sports Edge and Ship Chasing joins Mike Leone to discuss Year 1 to Year 2 WRs and how we should value them in both dynasty and redraft:

-what metrics to look for in year 1 NFL performance
-how to weight that against prospect profiles
-Ja'Marr Chase da god
-Jaylen Waddle's value with Tyreek Hill in town
-Kadarius Toney changing minds
-Terrace Marshall disaster

and much more!

Anthony Amico joins Mike Leone to talk about evaluating WR prospects, both in general and specific to the 2022 draft class. Amico provides updated Dynasty rankings all year round on Establish The Run.

Specifically, the duo discuss:
-What matters when evaluating WR prospects
-Why age and early declares matter
-Why we care about stats like yards per team pass attempt
-ETR's tier 1 of dynasty WRs (Drake London, Treylon Burks, Garret Wilson)
-ETR's tier 2 of dynasty WRs (Jameson Williams, David Bell, Skyy Moore)
-Why Amico is lower than the market on Chris Olave
-Which other WRs could see a big rise in rankings if their draft capital came in better than expected