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Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine Fantasy Football Podcast! In this episode, we are breaking down our complete Week 10 Waiver Wire & FAAB Bidding Guide, showing why the "FAAB Bubble" is officially crashing down to double-digit bids, teaching the game-winning "Half Box-Out" strategy, and providing exact dollar-amount valuations for every fantasy-relevant NFL player across all 32 teams.Plus: Big announcement—Episode 100 drops this Wednesday featuring the literal creator and inventor of Guillotine Leagues, Paul Charchian!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:02:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - The Midseason-to-Late-Season Shift & The FAAB Bubble Reality03:00 - The Week 11 "Bye-Nado" Warning: 6 Massive Teams on Bye!05:30 - Thanksgiving Week Staggered Schedule Advantage07:15 - The 3 Golden Rules of FAAB & Roster % Sorting Hacks09:40 - The "Half Box-Out" Strategy: How to Dominate Without Overpaying15:15 - Announcement: Paul Charchian Joins Us for Episode 100!16:45 - Jaguars vs. Ravens: Trevor Lawrence & Derrick Henry 2-Week Rental21:30 - Bengals vs. Falcons: Chase Brown's Workload Floor & Fading Bijan25:40 - Cowboys vs. Colts: Javonte Williams Buy Window & CeeDee Lamb29:15 - Jets vs. Chiefs: Breece Hall / Braelon Allen Split & Kenneth Walker33:20 - Lions vs. Dolphins: Jahmyr Gibbs Standalone Tier & Laporta Streaming36:45 - Browns vs. Saints: Fading Judkins & Post-Bye Chris Olave Value40:30 - Giants vs. Eagles: Cam Skattebo & Fading the Post-Hurts Eagles43:45 - Rams vs. Commanders: Blake Corum Volume & Puka Nacua Injury Watch47:15 - Broncos vs. Panthers: Jonah Coleman Post-Bye Stash & Chuba Hubbard51:00 - Texans vs. Chargers: CJ Stroud Surge & Nico Collins Floor53:30 - Packers vs. Patriots: Watson / Golden Floor & Jacobs Hand Injury56:15 - Raiders vs. 49ers: Brock Bowers & Christian McCaffrey58:30 - Cardinals vs. Seahawks: Trey McBride Concerns & JSN Ceiling1:00:15 - Week 10 Bye Discounts: Buccaneers (Bucky Irving) & Bears (Burden/Swift)1:01:30 - Monday Night Football Preview & Episode 100 Mailbag Callout━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 KEY STRATEGIES & FAAB VALUES IN THIS EPISODE━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The Week 11 "Bye-Nado": Start preparing right now! Week 11 features six fantasy-loaded offenses on bye (Falcons, Browns, Packers, Rams, Patriots, Seahawks). If we don't stash replacement starters on waivers this week, our league mates will box us out when the cutline gets tight.• The "Half Box-Out" Rule: When holding a dominant budget lead (e.g., $700 vs. competitors at $300), don't bid $301 to box them out. By bidding half of their budget (e.g., $151 on Gibbs/JSN and $101 on Javonte), we guarantee ourselves an elite stud at a massive discount, force our opponents to torch their entire bankroll if they want to beat us, and maintain total board control for the rest of the season!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN OUR COMMUNITY & SUBMIT QUESTIONS FOR PAUL CHARCHIAN:Got a question for the literal creator of Guillotine Leagues, Paul Charchian, on our upcoming 100th Episode? Drop your questions and team review requests in the comments below, or email us at dontgetlast@gmail.com! Hit those buttons that give us that dopamine, and Don't Get Last!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week10Fantasy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #StartSit

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! In this midweek strategy masterclass, host Joe Harris is joined by fantasy industry analyst Ben Cummins (@BenCumminsFF from Footballguys) to break down the most disastrous FAAB bids from Week 8, teach game-winning bidding game theory, review community rosters, and deliver opponent-adjusted Week 9 Starts and Sits.First, we react to the wildest bidding disasters from Week 8 waivers. Then, Joe introduces the revolutionary "Half Box-Out" bidding strategy, showing how we can exploit our league mates' overpays to guarantee ourselves elite studs while preserving a massive budget advantage.Next, we review five real community rosters, analyze the Week 9 FAAB deflation crash, and provide rapid-fire Starts, Sits, and Scary Starts across every position.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:18:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro: Welcome Back Ben Cummins (@BenCumminsFF)01:15 - Honorable Mentions: Knockout Fantasy Football Worst Bids06:00 - Worst Bids #10–#7: Guillotine Fantasy Football Worst Bids12:30 - Worst Bids #6–#2: Chop Fantasy Football Worst Bids15:15 - The #1 Worst Bid: Eliminator League Fantasy Football Worst Bids17:40 - Catching Winners: The Power of $2 and $6 Bids ($82 Wilson & $102 Nico)19:30 - The FAAB Bubble Reality: Why High Bids Plunge from $300 to $15024:45 - The "Half Box-Out" Strategy: How to Dominate Without Overpaying32:15 - A Mystery Nuclear Strategy Teaser (Coming Next Week!)34:40 - Community Team Review #1: Alex D's Best Ball / TE-Premium Roster (7/10)40:15 - Community Team Review #2: Justin S's Slow-Chop Powerhouse (8/10)44:30 - Community Team Review #3: Aaron I's FAAB-Heavy Squad (Need RB Help)46:45 - Community Team Review #4: Our FIRST 10/10 Team of the Season! (David S)50:15 - Community Team Review #5: Moshi's 866 FAAB Monster (9/10)54:40 - Rapid-Fire WR Starts & Sits: Jakobi Lane, Jordan Addison & Fading AJ Brown58:30 - Tight End Smash Spots: Greg Dulcich vs. DET & Fading Kincaid vs. MIN1:01:15 - Quarterback Matchups: Why Malik Willis Over Caleb Williams?!1:06:40 - Running Back Starts & Traps: Ashton Jeanty Floor, Judkins & Fading Seattle1:11:30 - Chopped Team Autopsy: What Went Wrong with Ben's Guillotine Team?1:17:15 - Where to Find Ben's Work & Outro (Don't Get Last!)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 KEY STRATEGIES & BIDDING TAKEAWAYS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The "Half Box-Out" Strategy: When we hold a dominant FAAB lead, bid half of your opponent's budget to guarantee ourselves an elite stud at a massive discount, force our opponents to torch their entire remaining budget if they want to beat us, and maintain total board control for the rest of the season!• The FAAB Bubble Has Popped: Historical data shows that top weekly bids crash from $300 in Week 8 down to $200 in Week 9, and plunge to $150 by Week 10. Do not pay Week 4 prices in November!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN OUR COMMUNITY & SUBMIT YOUR TEAM:Want us to review your roster on next week's episode with the creator of Guillotine Leagues, Paul Charchian? Send a screenshot of your lineup, your remaining FAAB, and your league budget landscape to dontgetlast@gmail.com! Drop your worst league bids in the comments below, and please hit the buttons that give us that dopamine!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #WorstFAABbids #FAABStrategy #Week9Fantasy #StartSit #GuillotineStrategy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #FantasyFootballRankings

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! In this episode, we are breaking down our complete Week 9 Waiver Wire & FAAB Bidding Guide, revealing game-changing data on the "FAAB Bubble Crash" and providing exact dollar-amount valuations for every fantasy-relevant NFL player across all 32 teams.First, we examine groundbreaking historical data from Owen at ChopFantasyFootball.com showing that the median high bid in Guillotine leagues experiences its sharpest drop of the entire season right now—crashing from $300 in Week 8 down to $150 by Week 10! If we've held our budget, our remaining cash is about to double in purchasing power. We break down why maintaining between 600 and 900 FAAB gives us nearly double the championship win rate, why we must avoid players who go on bye in Week 10, and why we must start planning for the six-team Week 11 bye-week gauntlet right now.Then, we dive into a full game-by-game breakdown of the Week 8 slate—covering Lamar Jackson's injury fallout in Baltimore, the collapse of Derrick Henry's ceiling, target values for post-bye teams (49ers, Saints, Texans, Giants), and why targeting players heading into their bye weeks will sink your season!Plus: Big announcement—our 100th episode is right around the corner, featuring the literal inventor of Guillotine Fantasy Football, Paul Charchian!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:03:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - The FAAB Bubble Has Popped! Median Bids Crash from $300 to $20003:45 - Win Probability Data: Why 600–900 FAAB Gives Us a 2x Win Rate06:15 - The 3 Golden Rules of FAAB & Roster % Sorting Hacks08:40 - Bye Week Minefield: Week 9, Week 10 Traps & The 6-Team Week 11 Gauntlet11:20 - Real Bidding Cards: Joe's Exact 15-Player Waiver Card from Last Week13:15 - Big Show Announcement: Paul Charchian Joins Us for Episode 100!15:00 - Ravens vs. Bills: Lamar Injury Fallout & Derrick Henry Floor Collapse20:30 - Titans vs. Bengals: Chase Brown RB2 Workload & Chase/Higgins Floor25:00 - Cardinals vs. Cowboys: Trey McBride Uncertainty & Javonte Williams29:45 - Vikings vs. Lions: Jahmyr Gibbs Standalone Tier & Laporta Concerns34:10 - Raiders vs. Jets: Brock Bowers Lockdown & Braelon Allen's Bellcow Window38:30 - Browns vs. Steelers: Harold Fannin Volatility & Jaylen Warren Post-Bye Buy42:00 - Falcons vs. Buccaneers: Bijan Robinson Reality Check & Bucky Irving45:30 - Colts vs. Jaguars: Jonathan Taylor Trade Smoke & Bhayshul Tuten Value49:00 - Chargers vs. Rams: Fading the Chargers & Kyren / Puka Dominance51:45 - Chiefs vs. Broncos: Kenneth Walker Floor & Trade Deadline Traps54:15 - Patriots vs. Dolphins: Drake Maye Streaming Floor & Ollie Gordon II56:30 - Panthers vs. Packers: Chuba Hubbard & Packers Wideout Target Values58:15 - Eagles vs. Commanders: Saquon Barkley Alarm Bells & Jayden Daniels1:00:15 - Monday Night Preview & Post-Bye Values (49ers, Saints, Texans, Giants)1:02:15 - Best Buys (Jaguars Schedule), Worst Traps & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN OUR COMMUNITY & SUBMIT YOUR TEAM:Want us to review your roster on our midweek show? Send a screenshot of your lineup, your remaining FAAB, and your league budget landscape to dontgetlast@gmail.com! Drop your waiver dilemmas in the comments below, and please hit the buttons that give us that dopamine!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week9Fantasy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! In this midweek masterclass, we are breaking down our complete Week 8 survival guide—featuring live community roster reviews, the Top 10 WORST FAAB bids of the week, game-changing bidding psychology, and opponent-adjusted Starts and Sits.First, we announce our brand-new Last Chance / Leftovers Listener League. Then, we react to the wildest bidding disasters from Week 8 waivers—including an $801 Derrick Henry panic-bid, $1,000 blown on Amon-Ra St. Brown and Bijan Robinson, and a manager who spent their literal LAST $1 of FAAB on an injured Alec Pierce!Next, we dive deep into the math behind bidding tiebreakers using data from Owen at ChopFantasyFootball.com. We break down why bidding on 2s and 6s (e.g., $26 and $76) systematically beats common clusters, why the "FAAB Bubble" cuts player prices in half between Weeks 8 and 10, and why starting QB/WR stacks increases your double-bust risk by 30% while the "Friends with Benefits" wide receiver strategy reduces chop risk by 13%.Finally, we review five listener rosters, explain the "Wait Until 3 PM" quarterback decision hack, and deliver rapid-fire Week 8 Starts and Sits using opponent-adjusted data.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:14:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro & Announcement: The "Last Chance" Listener League!02:15 - Honorable Mentions: $123 Joe Burrow & $500 JSN04:00 - Worst Bids #10–#7: $801 Derrick Henry & The 400 FAAB Trade08:45 - Worst Bids #6–#2: The $1,000 Club (Gibbs, Amon-Ra, Bijan) & $41 JK Dobbins12:30 - The #1 Worst Bid: Spending Your Very Last $1 on Alec Pierce13:15 - What A Real Waiver Run Looks Like: Joe's Exact 15-Player Bidding Card17:45 - The RNG Bidding Myth: Why Overthinking Predictability Hurts You20:30 - Bidding Psychology & Last Digits: Exploiting the $26 & $76 Dead Zones29:10 - Roster Structure Data: Stacking Risks vs. Friends With Benefits (+13% Floor)33:45 - The FAAB Bubble Pops: Why Prices Cut in Half Between Weeks 8 and 1037:15 - The "Wait Until 3 PM" Quarterback Game Theory Strategy41:00 - Community Roster Review #1: Alex D's Best Ball / TE-Premium Squad47:15 - Community Roster Review #2: Mike Hawkins' 7-Team Accelerated League51:30 - Community Roster Review #3: Andre's 9/10 Masterclass (2-for-1 Trades)54:15 - Community Roster Review #4: Evan M's RB2 Scramble & Burrow/Chase Stack57:30 - Community Roster Review #5: Freezing Sea Lions & Week 11 Bye Planning1:01:00 - Rapid-Fire Week 8 Starts: Egbuka & Michael Wilson vs. DAL1:04:15 - Rapid-Fire Week 8 Sits: Fade AJ Brown vs. MIA, Waddle & Luther Burden vs. SEA1:06:45 - Tight End Matchups: TJ Hockenson vs. DET & Fading Sam LaPorta vs. MIN1:08:40 - Quarterback Streamers: Kyler Murray, Sam Darnold & Fading Mahomes vs. DEN1:10:15 - Running Back Starts & Traps: Smash Stevenson & Fading Jonathan Taylor vs. MIN1:12:00 - Chopped Obituaries: Heartbreakers for Jake P & Sam W & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN OUR LAST CHANCE LEAGUE & SUBMIT YOUR TEAM:Want in on our Leftovers / Last Chance Guillotine League drafting this week? Drop a comment below, shoot us an email, or hit us up on Twitter (@DontGetLast) to claim a spot. If you want your roster reviewed on next week's episode, send over a screenshot of your lineup and league budget!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #Week8Fantasy #StartSit #GuillotineStrategy #ChoppedFantasy #FAABStrategy #WorstFAABbids #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #FantasyFootballAdvice

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! In this episode, we dive deep into our complete Week 8 Waiver Wire & FAAB Bidding Guide, breaking down actionable, dollar-by-dollar valuations for every fantasy-relevant player on all 32 NFL teams.

First, we break down essential midseason bidding theory and answer listener mailbag questions using game-changing historical win-rate data from ChopFantasyFootball.com. We explore the "Deflation Value Cliff," why our remaining FAAB is about to double in purchasing power, why capping our largest single bid at $250 gives us the highest statistical championship odds (+30%), and the exact digits we should be ending our bids on to win tiebreakers.

Then, we dive into a comprehensive game-by-game breakdown of the entire Week 7 slate—covering injury fallout, post-bye stashes, and sneaky targets for the Bills, Jaguars, Chargers, and Commanders!

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📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:24:00)

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00:00 - Intro & The 3 Golden Rules of Midseason FAAB Strategy

03:15 - Bye Week Roadmap: Navigating Weeks 8, 9, 10 & The Week 11 Bloodbath

06:45 - Mailbag: How to Handle a Missing RB2 Without Nuking Your Budget

10:30 - FAAB Deflation Data: Why Player Prices Are About to Crater

14:15 - The $250 Max Bid Rule: Historical Championship Win Rates

18:00 - Tiebreaker Psychology: Why Winning Bids End in 2 and 6

21:30 - Patriots vs. Bears: Drake Maye's Surge & Luther Burden's Star Turn

29:45 - Steelers vs. Saints: Fading DK Metcalf & Post-Bye Saints Discounts

35:20 - 49ers vs. Falcons: Christian McCaffrey Bye Value & Bijan's 20-Touch Floor

41:40 - Browns vs. Titans: Quinshon Judkins 3-Week Window & Fading Cam Ward

47:15 - Colts vs. Vikings: Jonathan Taylor Trade Rumors & Jordan Mason

53:30 - Dolphins vs. Jets: Ollie Gordon II RB2 Value & Breece Hall Buy Window

59:40 - Buccaneers vs. Panthers: Bucky Irving Breakout & Chuba Hubbard Bounceback

1:04:15 - Bengals vs. Ravens: Chase/Higgins Stack & Derrick Henry Warning Signs

1:10:00 - Giants vs. Texans: Cam Skattebo Hamstring & Nico Collins Bye Discount

1:14:15 - Broncos vs. Cardinals: Trey McBride Monster Volume & Fading Denver Backs

1:17:30 - Packers vs. Lions: Josh Jacobs Return & Jameson Williams Upside

1:20:15 - Rams vs. Raiders: Kyren Williams, Blake Corum & Brock Bowers

1:21:45 - Chiefs vs. Seahawks: Kenneth Walker Workhorse & Trade Deadline Traps

1:22:45 - Monday Night Football Outlook & Post-Bye Values (Jags, Bills, Commanders)

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🧠 KEY STRATEGIES & FAAB VALUES IN THIS EPISODE

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• The Week 11 Bye-Week Apocalypse: We need to start planning NOW. Week 11 features six fantasy-loaded teams on bye (Falcons, Browns, Packers, Rams, Patriots, Seahawks). Elite rosters will get chopped if they don't prepare their bench depth ahead of time.

• The $250 Max Bid Rule: ChopFantasyFoot data proves that managers who blow $400 to $1,000 on a single marquee player are significantly less likely to win their leagues. The mathematical sweet spot for championship teams is capping your single highest bid of the year between $200 and $250 (20–25% of your total budget).

• Optimal Bidding Digits: 25% of all bids end in 0, and 15% end in 1. By ending our bids in a 2 or a 6 (e.g., $152 or $206), we systematically snipe tiebreakers against lazy managers for minimal capital.

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💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?

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In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!

#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week8Fantasy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #StartSit

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! In this episode, we are rolling out a fresh midweek format tailored for where we are in the fantasy season: deep midseason game theory, listener roster reviews, trading blueprints, and rapid-fire matchup-adjusted starts and sits.First, we make a big show announcement: as our leagues shrink to 12 teams, we're shifting our midweek episodes toward high-level strategy, game theory, and live community team audits. We dive into the math behind the "Max Bid Rule" using historical win-rate data from Owen at ChopFantasyFoot.com—breaking down why dropping $600+ on Jahmyr Gibbs destroys your title odds, why holding 75–90% of your FAAB gives you a 70% win-rate boost, and why saving too much can also leave you stranded.Next, we reveal our complete trading playbook for Guillotine leagues (how to sell high as a juggernaut, consolidate 2-for-1s as an average squad, and execute Monday Night "Survival Trades" from your flex spot), followed by live reviews of two community rosters. Finally, we close with rapid-fire Week 7 start/sit matchups using opponent-adjusted data from Josh Larky!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:00:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Midweek Show Announcement: Shifting to Strategy & Community Reviews05:00 - The FAAB Win-Rate Data: How Much Budget Should We Have in Week 7?10:00 - The Max Bid Rule: Why $200–$300 Wins Championships (And $600 Loses)13:40 - When Is Saving Good vs. Bad? Navigating League Economies26:00 - The Guillotine Trading Playbook: Good, Average & Struggling Teams35:00 - Community Team Review #1: Hammy's 8/10 Roster39:00 - Community Team Review #2: Jake P's Chase Brown & CeeDee Lamb Dilemma46:00 - Rapid-Fire Matchup Metrics: Josh Larky's Opponent-Adjusted Data49:00 - WR Starts & Matchups: 49ers Outside Options, Malik Nabers & Shakir50:00 - WR Fades & Traps: Garrett Wilson, Keenan Allen & Chiefs Receivers51:20 - Tight End Smash Spots: Tucker Kraft vs. Detroit's Historical Funnel (+14.2 PPG!)55:40 - Quarterback Streamers & Sits: Jordan Love, Bo Nix & Fading Mahomes vs. Seattle56:30 - Running Back Landmines: Why Jonathan Taylor & Tony Pollard Face Brutal Walls57:45 - How to Submit Your Team for Review, Community Feedback & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 KEY MIDSEASON STRATEGY TAKEAWAYS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The "Sweet Spot" Max Bid: Historical data shows that champions rarely drop 60–90% of their starting FAAB on a single superstar. Teams whose largest single bid of the year was between $200 and $250 (20–25% of starting budget) had the highest correlation with winning the entire league (+30% above average).• Budget Sweet Spot in Week 7: Teams holding between 75% and 90% of their starting FAAB right now are 70% more likely to win their league outright compared to average. However, managers holding 90%+ without upgrading are only +20% more likely—proving that hoarding too hard and refusing to buy high-floor starters is also a trap.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN OUR COMMUNITY & SUBMIT YOUR TEAM:Want us to review your roster on next week's episode? Shoot us an email or a Twitter DM with a screenshot of your lineup, your remaining FAAB, and your league's budget landscape. Drop your thoughts on our new format in the comments below, and please hit the buttons that give us that dopamine!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #GuillotineStrategy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #FAABStrategy #StartSit #TuckerKraft #FantasyFootballRankings

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! We go over your complete Week 7 waiver wire blueprint, giving actionable dollar-by-dollar FAAB valuations (out of $1,000) for every fantasy-relevant NFL player across all 32 teams.First, we detail the 3 Golden Rules of FAAB Management, highlight upcoming bye-week minefields (Bills, Jags, Chargers, Commanders on bye this week; Texans, Saints, Giants, Niners in Week 8), and answer listener mailbag questions—including how to value quarterbacks in 2QB/Superflex formats and historical win-rate data from ChopFantasyFootball.com proving why early budget-hoarders dominate championships.Then, we dive into a full game-by-game breakdown of every Week 6 contest, plus post-bye valuations for the Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, and Vikings!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:19:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro & The 3 Golden Rules of FAAB Strategy02:15 - Bye Week Planning: Weeks 7, 8, 9 & 10 Roadmap05:10 - Mailbag: How to Value Quarterbacks in 2QB & Superflex Formats09:40 - Data Deep Dive: Historical FAAB Win Rates (ChopFantasyFootball.com)15:30 - Seahawks vs. Broncos: Bo Nix, Zach Charbonnet Stash & JSN20:45 - Texans vs. Jaguars: CJ Stroud Value, Woody Marks & Post-Bye Jags Targets27:10 - Bears vs. Falcons: Luther Burden Breakout, Bijan & Drake London33:20 - Ravens vs. Browns: Fading Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers & Cleveland RBs39:40 - Titans vs. Colts: Jonathan Taylor Reality Check & Josh Downs Trade Plea44:15 - Jets vs. Patriots: Breece Hall Buy Window, Drake Maye & AJ Brown Return51:00 - Saints vs. Giants: Tyler Shough, Kendre Miller & Malik Nabers Fog56:30 - Panthers vs. Eagles: Jaylen Hurts Injury Fallout & Bryce Young / Chuba Surge1:02:15 - Steelers vs. Buccaneers: Bucky Irving Rebound & DK Metcalf / Bernard Stack1:06:40 - Cardinals vs. Rams: Puka Nacua, Kyren & Davante Adams Injury1:09:50 - Chargers vs. Chiefs: Kenneth Walker Workhorse Role & Fading the Chargers1:12:15 - Bills vs. Raiders: Josh Allen Floor, James Cook & Brock Bowers Value1:14:00 - Cowboys vs. Packers: Dak Volume, Javonte Williams & Green Bay RB Mess1:15:30 - Monday Night Football & Post-Bye Values: Lions (Jahmyr Gibbs), Bengals & Vikings1:17:40 - Chopped Bad Beat: The 92-Point Heartbreaker & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💡 KEY STRATEGIES & FAAB VALUES IN THIS EPISODE━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The Remaining FAAB Win-Rate Reality: Historical data shows managers who maintain 50-75%+ of their FAAB by Week 6-7 are up to 30% more likely to win their league outright, while teams with under 10% budget left are 50% less likely to survive the late season.• Key FAAB Dollar Tiers (Out of $1,000): - Top Workhorses: Jahmyr Gibbs (\$302–\$352), Kenneth Walker (\$252–\$302), Bijan Robinson (\$252–\$302), JSN (\$252–\$302), Ja'Marr Chase (\$252). - High-Floor Value Plays: Javonte Williams (\$152–\$182), Chuba Hubbard (\$152–\$182), Parker Washington (\$102 post-bye), AJ Brown (\$102–\$152).━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). The eliminated team’s complete roster is dumped onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION:Who got chopped in your league this week? Are you bidding on Jahmyr Gibbs or holding your cash for November? Drop your questions and start/sit dilemmas below, and please hit the buttons that give Joe that serotonin!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week7Fantasy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #StartSit

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine Fantasy Football Podcast! I'm joined by returning guest Akash Patel (@YZR_fantasy) to deliver your ultimate Week 6 survival guide, complete with game-by-game Start/Sit decisions, Scary Starts, Shocking Sits, and an all-new Guillotine Defense/Special Teams (DST) streaming masterclass.Before setting your lineups, we break down the Top 10 WORST FAAB bids of Week 6. Stick around until the end for Akos’s roster post-mortem autopsy (exploring the risk of holding too much FAAB in half-PPR formats) and an essential breakdown of how to play fantasy defenses in elimination leagues without spending a dime.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro: Welcome Back, Akash Patel! (@YZR_fantasy)02:15 - Top 10 Worst FAAB Bids in Guillotine Fantasy Football Week 612:30 - Wide Receiver Starts And Sits For Guillotine Fantasy Football Week 622:00 - Tight End Starts And Sits For Guillotine Fantasy Football Week 630:00 - Quarterback Starts And Sits For Guillotine Fantasy Football Week 636:30 - Running Back Starts And Sits For Guillotine Fantasy Football Week 643:00 - Guillotine DST Strategy: Streaming Free Defenses Against Your Own QB!45:00 - Chopped Team Autopsy: Why Akash Got Eliminated (Half-PPR RB Theory)48:30 - Outro (Don't Get Last!)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💡 KEY START/SIT & STRATEGY TAKEAWAYS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• Quarterback Landmines: Bench Jayden Daniels against the 49ers juggernaut defense and consider benching Patrick Mahomes in a run-heavy Chiefs game script. Target high-volume shootouts with Kirk Cousins, Matthew Stafford, and Jameis Winston.• Running Back Floor Plays: Start MarShawn Lloyd vs. Dallas, Cam Skattebo vs. New Orleans, and smash start Rhamondre Stevenson against the Jets. Avoid Dameon Pierce against Carolina's sneaky run defense and fade the messy Chargers three-headed committee.• Wide Receiver Outlook: High-floor targets include Josh Downs (exploiting the middle of the Titans secondary), Khalil Shakir, and Jakobi Meyers. Fade all secondary Texans receivers (including newly acquired Marvin Harrison Jr.) until target volume stabilizes.• Guillotine Defense/Special Teams (DST) Hack: NEVER spend FAAB on defenses. Stream for free off waivers every week by targeting the defense playing against your own starting quarterback—it acts as natural insurance to protect your weekly scoring floor!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🔗 GUEST LINKS & CONNECT━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• Follow Akash Patel on X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/YZR_fantasy• Host: Joe Harris (@DontGetLast)• Listen to the Don't Get Last Podcast on Spotify & Apple Podcasts!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff matchups. Each week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). The eliminated team’s complete roster is dumped onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Ceiling doesn't matter—surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION:Who is your top start/sit dilemma for Week 6? Did someone in your league blow their budget on Saquon Barkley or Jalen Hurts? Drop your matchups in the comments below, call your grandma, and hit the subscribe button to help us grow!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #Week6Fantasy #StartSit #GuillotineStrategy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #FantasyWaiverWire

Welcome to the Ultimate Guillotine Fantasy Football Mid-Season Strategy Guide! I get a little deeper than usual with the mathematical, economic, and tactical principles needed to transition from early-season survival to winning your league championship.Most managers make the fatal mistake of playing scared—blowing FAAB early just to crawl into Week 12, only to have zero purchasing power when super-teams form. In this 40-minute overview, I'll explain why your league is currently experiencing FAAB deflation (and why your remaining budget has effectively doubled in purchasing power), how to self-assess your roster using the "3 J's" framework, and 5 tactical rules to maximize your championship equity.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (40:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro: Mid-Season Pivot & Playing to Win the Championship01:30 - Economics 101: Understanding FAAB Deflation in Guillotine Leagues06:00 - The Remaining FAAB Metric: Why Your Dollars Have Doubled in Value10:00 - The "3 J's" Self-Assessment Framework: Diagnosing Your Roster13:00 - Roster Tier 1: The Juggernaut (Why You Must Stop Spending Money)17:00 - Roster Tier 2: Just A Team / JAT (Buying Groceries vs. Big Splurges)19:00 - Roster Tier 3: The JIFU Team (How to Rebuild from Zero FAAB & Win)21:00 - Risk Theory: Why Taking High-Floor Risks NOW is Statistically Safer24:00 - Why And How We Bid In Guillotine Fantasy Football25:00 - JJ Zachariason Data: How Much Do Early Weeks Actually Predict?30:00 - Tip #1: Schedule Mapping & The Post-Bye Value Boost31:40 - Tip #2: Correlation Stacking & Shadow "Head-to-Head" Game Theory34:10 - Tip #3: Weather Risk Floors & Avoiding Catastrophic Duds35:30 - Tip #4: The "Always Be Selling" Bench Strategy & Roster Construction37:45 - Tip #5 & Philosophy: Championship Equity vs. Crawling to Week 1239:00 - Listener Community Shoutout & Outro (Don't Get Last!)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 KEY CONCEPTS & STRATEGIES IN THIS EPISODE━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The FAAB Deflation Phenomenon: In sharp leagues, roughly 40-50% of the total starting FAAB has already evaporated through chops and early bids. That means remaining FAAB is twice as valuable per dollar today as it was in Week 1. Stop paying Week 1 prices for Week 6 players!• The "3 J's" Roster Audit: 1. Juggernaut: High-floor studs, 600+ FAAB, zero bench depth. Do NOT buy luxury players like Brock Bowers—let your cash appreciate. 2. J.A.T. (Just A Team): Average floor with 1-2 holes. Buy cheap "groceries" ($15-$25 fill-ins) instead of blowing your budget on elite names. 3. J.I.F.U. (Joe, I F***ed Up): Low projections, depleted FAAB. Exploit trading, target cheap volume on waivers, and lean into variance.• Tactical Bench Management: Run a lean bench! Hold only ONE versatile backup flex (preferably an RB). If a player isn't in your starting lineup, aggressively trade them for FAAB before their value depreciates.• Shadow Head-to-Head Matchups: When battling another cellar team on the cutline, match their key players (e.g., starting Joe Burrow against their Ja'Marr Chase) to cap their ceiling.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"), and their entire roster is dumped onto waivers for remaining managers to bid on with FAAB. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION:What percentage of FAAB is left in your league? Which of the "3 J's" describes your roster right now? Drop your questions and team dilemmas in the comments below, and please hit the buttons that give Joe that dopamine!#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #GuillotineStrategy #ChoppedFantasy #FantasyFootballStrategy #GameTheory #FAABStrategy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #StartSit

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine Fantasy Football Podcast! This week, we deliver your ultimate survival blueprint for Week 6 chopped waiver wires, breaking down exact dollar-amount FAAB valuations (out of $1,000) for every fantasy-relevant NFL player.First, we go through the 3 Golden Rules of FAAB Management, highlight why the "Chop Line" flattens between Weeks 4 and 7 (aim for 90+ points!), and reveal how to exploit the "Second-Best Player" waiver bidding strategy. Then, we dive into a comprehensive game-by-game breakdown—covering every team from the Week 5 slate, plus post-bye valuations for the Chiefs and Panthers!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (58:00)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro & The 3 Golden Rules of FAAB Strategy01:45 - Bye Week Planning (Weeks 6–9) & Avoid the Vikings Trap!03:00 - The "Chop Line" Data: How Many Points Do You Need to Survive?06:20 - The "Second-Best Player" Waiver Bidding Strategy08:15 - Eagles vs. Jaguars: Buying Back on Jalen Hurts, Devonta Smith & Parker Washington13:40 - Bears vs. Packers: Roschon Johnson Value & The Green Bay Backfield19:10 - Texans vs. Titans: Nico Collins, Woody Marks & Fading Carnell Tate24:30 - Bengals vs. Dolphins: Chase Brown Buy-Low & Ollie Gordon's True Worth29:20 - Raiders vs. Patriots: Brock Bowers, Ashton Jeanty & Rhamondre Stevenson34:00 - Vikings vs. Saints: Jordan Addison Bye Discount & Chris Olave37:45 - Browns vs. Jets: Quinshon Judkins Value & Garrett Wilson41:30 - Colts vs. Steelers: Jonathan Taylor Realism & Jaylen Warren Bellcow Role45:15 - Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: Bucky Irving, Dak Prescott & Javonte Williams48:20 - Giants vs. Commanders: Cam Skattebo & Jayden Daniels Bye Stash50:40 - Broncos vs. Chargers & Lions vs. Cardinals: Amon-Ra & Trey McBride53:00 - 49ers vs. Seahawks: CMC, Emanuel Wilson & JSN54:20 - Ravens vs. Falcons: Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers & Bijan Robinson55:30 - Post-Bye Bids: Panthers (Chuba Hubbard) & Chiefs (Kenneth Walker)56:45 - Bills vs. Rams Preview, Listener Victory Lap & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💡 KEY STRATEGIES & FAAB VALUES DISCUSSED━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The 90-Point Survival Rule: In Weeks 4 through 7, league cut lines flatten as bye weeks kick in. You do NOT need ceiling—you need a safe 90-to-100-point floor.• The "Second-Best Player" Hack: Instead of joining the league-wide bidding war on the marquee name (e.g., CeeDee Lamb), target the second-best player (e.g., Chris Olave or Devonta Smith) at a fraction of the cost.• Core FAAB Valuations (Out of $1,000): - Elite Difference Makers: Kenneth Walker (\$252–\$272), Brock Bowers (\$252), JSN (\$252), Bijan Robinson (\$252), Derrick Henry (\$202), Nico Collins (\$202), Christian McCaffrey (\$202). - High-Floor RB Targets: Rhamondre Stevenson (\$82–\$122), Jaylen Warren (\$122–\$162), Chase Brown (\$122–\$162 post-dud discount), Chuba Hubbard (\$102–\$132). - Sneaky Bye/Injury Fill-Ins: Emanuel Wilson (\$22–\$32), Ollie Gordon II (\$12–\$32), Roschon Johnson (\$3–\$12). - Wide Receivers: Parker Washington (\$152–\$182), Christian Watson (\$150+), Garrett Wilson (\$152–\$182).━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine league, there are no head-to-head matchups. Each week, the lowest-scoring team across the league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"), and their entire roster is dumped onto waivers for remaining managers to bid on with FAAB. Surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION:Who got chopped in your league this week? Did you score a discount on post-bye Panthers or Chiefs? Drop your waiver targets and start/sit questions below, and please hit the buttons that give Joe that dopamine!#FantasyFootball #GuillotineLeagues #NFLFantasy #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week6Fantasy #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #StartSit

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! I'm joined by Kent Weyrauch (@KentWeyrauch) from Fantasy Football World and DraftAcxis.com to break down essential Week 5 Guillotine & Chopped survival strategy.First, I make Kent react to the wildest, most destructive FAAB bids from Week 4 waivers—in which at least 5 teams absolutely nuke their seasons.Then, we dive into full Start/Sit breakdowns across Wide Receivers, Tight Ends, Quarterbacks, and Running Backs, highlighting must-start high-floor plays, deep waiver streamers, and dangerous trap matchups to make sure your roster stays above the cut line. Finally, Kent walks through the post-mortem of his own recently chopped team to highlight the critical balance between holding FAAB and managing roster injuries.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:15:17)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro: Welcome Kent Weyrauch (@KentWeyrauch)02:15 - Honorable Mention Worst Bids08:20 - Top 10 Worst FAAB Bids In Week 428:40 - Wide Receiver Starts: Keon Coleman Monday Night Miracle & Jameson Williams34:15 - Wide Receiver Sits: DK Metcalf vs. Indy & Non-Trey Harris Chargers37:45 - WR Scary Starts & Shocking Sits: Dontayvion Wicks, Kendrick Bourne & Tee Higgins43:10 - Tight End Starts & Sits: Isaiah Likely, Kenyan Sadiq Bounceback & Mayer Trap48:30 - TE Scary Start (Greg Dulcich) & Shocking Sit (Mark Andrews)51:00 - Quarterback Starts & Streamers: Aaron Rodgers, Matthew Stafford & Jacoby Brissett54:20 - Quarterback Sits & Trap Matchups: CJ Stroud, Tyler Shough & Kyler Murray57:45 - QB Scary Start: Jaylen Daniels vs. Dallas Cowboys Defense1:00:15 - Running Back Starts: Bijan/Brian Robinson, David Montgomery & Ollie Gordon1:04:10 - RB Sits & Landmines: Tony Pollard, Tyjae Spears & Saints Backfield1:07:30 - Deep RB Scary Starts: Austin Ekeler & Corey Kiner1:10:00 - Chopped Team Autopsy: Kent's Roster Breakdown & When to Spend vs. Save FAAB━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🏈 KEY TOPICS & PLAYERS IN THIS EPISODE━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• The Week 4 FAAB Disaster Reel: Why spending 50%+ of your starting budget on ANYONE (much less Justin Herbert and Thomas Fidone) guarantees a slow bleed to elimination.• Wide Receiver Outlook: Why Keon Coleman is a prime Monday Night target with D.J. Moore banged up; Parker Washington's target volume; why you must sit outside receivers against Indianapolis; and Kendrick Bourne as a sneaky deep play.• Tight End Navigation: Why Isaiah Likely and Kenyan Sadiq offer elite bounce-back floor, while Michael Mayer and Tucker Kraft run into brutal defensive funnel matchups.• Quarterback Streamers: Safe weekly floors from Aaron Rodgers, Jacoby Brissett, and Matthew Stafford; why you must bench Kyler Murray and Jaylen Hurts; and Jaylen Daniels as a high-upside Thursday night runner.• Running Back Survival: Handling the RB injury apocalypse with David Montgomery, Brian Robinson Jr., and Samaje Perine; avoiding Tony Pollard against Houston; and scraping the wire for Corey Kiner.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🔗 GUEST & HOST LINKS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• Follow Kent Weyrauch on X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/KentWeyrauch• Check out Draft Axis: https://draftaxis.com• Listen to Fantasy Football World: https://ffworldshow.com• Host: Joe Harris (@Don'tGetLast)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED FANTASY FOOTBALL?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━In a Guillotine (or Chopped) league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown onto waivers, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Ceiling doesn't matter—surviving the weekly cut line is everything!#FantasyFootball #GuillotineLeagues #ChoppedFantasy #NFLFantasy #FantasyFootballWeek5 #StartSit #WaiverWire #FAABStrategy #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast

Welcome back to the Don't Get Last Guillotine and Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! Where we break down critical waiver wire targets, FAAB bidding dollar amounts, and survival strategy heading into NFL Week 5 (Week 4 Chopped Waivers).In this episode, we detail the 3 Golden Rules of FAAB Management, answer listener mailbag questions on bidding too low, explore the "Friends with Benefits" wide receiver roster-stacking strategy, and go into every single NFL game from the week to provide exact dollar-amount FAAB valuations for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.Plus: Stay tuned until the very end (1:10:00) to help me tell off a sketchy gambling sponsorship offer sent to the podcast!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS (1:11:20)━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━00:00 - Intro & The 3 Golden Rules of Early FAAB Strategy03:30 - Bye Week Roadmap (Weeks 5, 6 & 7) + Sort Waivers by Roster %06:20 - Mailbag: What to Do If You're Bidding Too Low (Cast a Wider Net!)09:15 - The "Friends With Benefits" Stacking Strategy11:45 - Steelers vs. Browns: Jaylen Warren, Quinshon Judkins & Target Values17:00 - Colts vs. Commanders: Jonathan Taylor, Daniel Jones & Austin Ekeler23:15 - Patriots vs. Bills: Is Drake Maye Back? Romeo Doubs, James Cook & Kincaid30:30 - Jets vs. Bears: Fading the Jets Offense & Kyle Monangai's Big Day35:10 - Jaguars vs. Bengals: Bidding on Jamar Chase, Tee Higgins & Chase Brown41:40 - Giants vs. Cardinals: Malik Nabers, Trey McBride & Michael Wilson47:20 - Rams vs. Eagles: Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua & Saquon Barkley Injury Fallout52:45 - Packers vs. Buccaneers: Bucky Irving Concerns & Green Bay Backfield Mess56:30 - Titans vs. Ravens: Derrick Henry Revenge Game & Zay Flowers Breakout1:00:15 - Cowboys vs. Texans: C.J. Stroud, Dak Prescott & Javonte Williams Surge1:03:50 - Vikings vs. Dolphins & Chiefs vs. Raiders: Ollie Gordon, Worthy & Bowers1:06:40 - 49ers vs. Broncos, Chargers vs. Seahawks & Panthers vs. Lions (Bryce Young!)1:09:45 - Chopped Mourning: Rest in Peace Brandon Kola1:10:00 - Scam Sponsorship Mailbag: How Should We Reply? & Outro━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💡 KEY STRATEGIES & TOPICS IN THIS EPISODE━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• 3 Rules of Early FAAB: Don't blow your budget on one player, plan 3-4 weeks ahead for NFL bye weeks (Chiefs & Panthers on bye in Week 5; Bengals, Lions, Dolphins, Vikings in Week 6), and ALWAYS sort waiver wires by roster percentage instead of projected weekly points.• Key FAAB Bidding Dollar Tiers: - High-Tier Target Values: CeeDee Lamb (\$182-\$222+), Zay Flowers (\$222-\$262), Brock Bowers (\$250-\$300), JSN (\$222-\$262), Kyren Williams (\$180-\$212), Jonathan Taylor (\$162-\$212). - High-Floor RB Values: Jaylen Warren (\$152-\$182), Chuba Hubbard (\$120-\$162), Chase Brown (\$160-\$180). - Discounted/Injured Stars: Ja'Marr Chase (\$112-\$152), Lamar Jackson (\$60-\$80), Drake Maye (\$32-\$42).━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💀 WHAT IS A GUILLOTINE / CHOPPED LEAGUE?━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━There are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). That team’s complete roster gets thrown into the free agent pool, triggering intense weekly FAAB bidding wars among surviving managers. Ceiling doesn't matter—surviving the weekly cut line is everything!💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION:Who got chopped in your league this week? How much FAAB are you dropping on the waiver wire? Leave a comment below, give the video a thumbs up (give Joe that dopamine!), and don't forget to submit your funniest reply to the sketchy sponsor email!#FantasyFootball #GuillotineLeagues #NFLFantasy #FantasyWaiverWire #FAABStrategy #Week5Fantasy #StartSit #NFLStats #DontGetLastPodcast #FantasyFootballAdvice

Update! The wrong audio was briefly available for this episode, the error has been corrected and we are now live for real! I apologize for the inconvenience!

Welcome back to Season 4, Episode 20 of the Don't Get Last Chopped Fantasy Football Podcast! I'm joined by football data specialist Jon (@mibpj) from YunoSports.com to bring you the ultimate survival blueprint for Week 4 of the NFL season.In a Guillotine / Chopped fantasy league, ceiling doesn't matter—SURVIVAL is everything. One bad lineup choice or bust candidate can get your team instantly chopped. Today, we break down critical Week 4 Starts, Sits, Scary Starts, and Shocking Sits across Quarterback, Running Back, Wide Receiver, and Tight End, plus review the most outrageous FAAB bidding mistakes of Week 3.Stay tuned until the final segment for an exclusive live demonstration of UnoSports.com, covering NFL data slicing in "The Lab," weekly team injury metrics, and the 4th-quarter clutch drive analyzer!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

📌 EPISODE BREAKDOWN & CHAPTERS

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

00:00 - Intro: Welcome Jon (@mibpj) & Setting Up Week 4

02:15 - The Worst Week 3 FAAB Bids

09:40 - Week 4 Wide Receiver Starts & Sits: Deebo, Jameson Williams & Fading the Bears

18:10 - WR Scary Starts & Shocking Sits: Malik Nabers vs. Christian Watson Regression

25:30 - Tight End Strategy: Darren Waller, Revenge Narratives & The Dalton Kincaid Trap

34:10 - Quarterback Breakdown: CJ Stroud, Target Matchups & Sits to Avoid Elimination

43:30 - Running Back Survival Guide: High-Floor Starts, Sneaky Backups & Brutal Matchups

52:15 - RB Scary Starts & Shocking Sits: Fade Javonte Williams & Keaton Mitchell Upside

1:01:20 - Guillotine RB Game Theory & Navigating Thin Waiver Wires

1:07:00 - UnoSports Walkthrough: "The Lab" & Meet "Chad" the AI Data Engine

1:13:40 - Advanced NFL Metrics: Live Team Health Index & The Joe Burrow Clutch Debate

1:18:20 - Fantasy League Sync Tools, Free vs. Pro Features & Outro

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🔗 LINKS & RESOURCES

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

📊 Explore UnoSports & Test "The Lab": https://yunosports.com

🐦 Follow John on X / Twitter: https://twitter.com/mibpj🎙️

Subscribe to the Don't Get Last Podcast for weekly survivor & waiver wire advice!━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

💀 WHAT IS GUILLOTINE FANTASY FOOTBALL?

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In a Guillotine / Chopped league, there are no head-to-head records or traditional playoff brackets. Every single week, the lowest-scoring team across the entire league is instantly eliminated ("chopped"). The eliminated team’s entire roster is released to the waiver wire, triggering high-stakes Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB) bidding wars among surviving managers. Playing Guillotine requires high-floor players, risk mitigation, and disciplined budget management.

💬 JOIN THE CONVERSATION: What was the craziest FAAB bid in your league this week? Who is your top survivor play for Week 4? Drop your start/sit questions in the comments below, and we'll help you stay off the chopping block!

#FantasyFootball #GuillotineLeagues #NFLFantasy #FantasyFootballWeek4 #StartSit #FantasyFootballAdvice #NFLWaiverWire #UnoSports #NFLAnalytics #FantasyFootballRankings

In today’s Week 4 waiver wire breakdown, we’re diving deep into the math and game theory behind Guillotine and Chopped-league-style fantasy football. Surviving until the end requires balancing roster safety with long-term FAAB capital. We get into the statistical "Expected Value" of your FAAB budget, how to price mid-tier floor stabilizers versus elite superstars, and why holding all your cash can actually kill your team.Plus, we run through full Sunday game recaps, injury fallout (Devon Achane, Jaylen Coker, Baker Mayfield, Justin Jefferson), droppable quarterbacks, and exact dollar-amount FAAB bid recommendations for EVERY major target on the wire.Key Takeaways & Strategy Rules:The Golden Rules of Guillotine FAAB: Why you shouldn't blow 500+ on top-tier bids early, how to exploit exponential FAAB inflation, and why low-balling the chopped player pool works.Bye-Week Planning: Look 2–3 weeks ahead to scoop up stash players for free instead of panic-bidding later.Roster Sorting Hack: Why you must sort the waiver wire by Roster Percentage rather than projected points to find injured stars (Puka Nacua, A.J. Brown, Justin Jefferson) sitting on the wire for cheap.FAAB Expected Value (EV): Why spending 250 on a solid starter (Javonte Williams tier) yields better long-term survival equity than saving 100% of your budget or overpaying 500+ for one player.Episode Timestamps00:00-2:15 – Intro: Week 4 Waiver Wire & Guillotine Strategy Mindset02:15-04:10 – The 3 Core Rules: Avoiding Mega Bids & Casting a Wide FAAB Net04:10-05:45 – Bye-Week Preparation: Planning 2–3 Weeks in Advance05:45-07:30 – The Waiver Sorting Hack: Target High-Roster% Zero-Projected Players07:30-10:45 – Advanced Strategy: The Math of FAAB Expected Value (EV) to Week 1210:45-14:50 – Case Studies: Aaron Jones vs. Bijan Robinson vs. Javonte Williams14:50-16:30 – Surviving vs. Thriving: Why Floor Beats Upside in Cut Leagues16:30-21:15 – Chargers at Bills: Justin Herbert Droppable? & James Cook Bidding21:15-26:40 – Browns at Panthers: Jaylen Coker Injury, Darren Waller & Tet McMillan26:40-33:20 – Lions at Jets: Geno Smith Surge, Garrett Wilson & Breece Hall Concern33:20-38:50 – Colts at Texans: Jonathan Taylor Trap, Tyler Warren & Houston Woes38:50-42:10 – Chiefs at Dolphins: Devon Achane Injury Fallout, Rashee Rice & Backup RBs42:10-46:20 – Giants at Titans: Cam Skattebo & Tennessee WR Volatility46:30-51:45 – Bengals at Steelers: Chase Brown Dip, Jaylen Warren Takeover51:45-56:10 – Seahawks at Commanders: Marcus Mariota Stunner & Backfield Chaos56:10-1:00:40 – Patriots at Jaguars: Dropping Drake Maye & Bhayshul Tuten Bids1:00:40-1:04:30 – 49ers at Cardinals: Brock Purdy MVP Tier & Jeremiah Love Breakout1:04:30-1:07:45 – Vikings at Buccaneers: Baker Mayfield Out, Justin Jefferson & Addison1:07:45-1:12:15 – Ravens at Cowboys: Lamar Jackson Floor, Zay Flowers & CeeDee Lamb1:12:15-1:16:15 – Raiders at Saints: Brock Bowers Dominance & Tyler Shough Fantasy Magic1:16:00-1:18:45 – Rams at Broncos: Kyren Williams, Matthew Stafford & Receiver Values1:18:45-1:22:00 – Falcons at Packers: Drake London Explosion & Jordan Love Outlook1:22:00 – Wrap-Up: Subscribe & Hit the Buttons That Bring Serotonin!

Guillotine fantasy football strategy, worst FAAB bids, and full positional Start/Sit advice for this week! In this episode, we break down the biggest overpays and bidding mistakes from chopped leagues, followed by comprehensive Start/Sit rankings across Quarterbacks, Running Backs, Wide Receivers, and Tight Ends to help keep your roster alive and avoid elimination.

📌 TIMESTAMPS / CHAPTERS:

00:00 - Top 10 Worst FAAB Bids in Guillotine Fantasy Football

26:00 - Start / Sit Guillotine/Chopped Wide Receivers

49:00 - Start / Sit Guillotine/Chopped Tight Ends

1:02:00 - Start / Sit Guillotine/Chopped Quarterbacks

1:15:00 - Start / Sit Guillotine/Chopped Running Backs

🏈 TOPICS DISCUSSED:

- The biggest FAAB overpays & bidding mistakes in Guillotine / Chopped leagues

- Floor vs. ceiling Start/Sit strategy for elimination formats

- Positional breakdowns: WR, TE, QB, and RB survival targets

- Roster management and waiver strategy to avoid getting chopped

🔔 Subscribe to Don't Get Last for weekly Guillotine Fantasy Football strategy, FAAB bidding breakdowns, and Start/Sit advice!

#GuillotineLeagues #FantasyFootball #FAABStrategy #StartSit #FantasyFootballAdvice #GuillotineFantasyFootball #ChoppedFantasyFootball #KnockoutFantasyFootball

After a slew of Week 2 injuries, who might be on your guillotine/chopped/knockout league waiver wire and how much should you spend to acquire them? Tune in to find out now!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball #choppedfantasyfootball #knockoutfantasyfootball

What do you do when half of the NFL is down a starting wide receiver? How do you recover from a Kyler Murray or Brock Bowers injury this early in the season of guillotine fantasy football? Is Jalen Coker the greatest player of all time? We answer all these questions and more today, breaking down Week 2 Starts and Sits for Guillotine/Chop/Knockout Fantasy Football!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball #chopfantasyfootball #knockoutfantasyfootball

Owen from Chop Fantasy Football.Com joins me on the show today as we break down every game from week 1 of the NFL season and how you should bid on the players in them in Guillotine, Chop, and Knockout Fantasy Football!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball #chopfantasyfootball #knockoutfantasyfootball

If you have Brock Bowers, AJ Brown, or Davante Adams in a guillotine fantasy football league, a chop fantasy football league, or a knockout fantasy football league, this episode is for you! We break down the best starts, sits, and pickups you can make before Week 1 starts in your chop leagues. Plus, stick around until the end for a brief guide on how to spend your FAAB depending on your league!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball #chopfantasyfootball #knockoutfantasyfootball

Breaking down the best guillotine fantasy football draft strategies out there, plus some good guillotine fantasy football tips to help you win your league in a breeze!

#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

Today we break down some of the most valuable sleepers and breakouts in guillotine fantasy football, and of course we talk about the biggest busts in guillotine fantasy football as well. The wrong pick will sink your ship! Find out who they are here!

We're taking Jalen Coker over Carnell Tate. We're taking Jaylin Noel over Alec Pierce. We're taking Dallas Goedert over Travis Kelce. You don't win your league swinging for the fences around these parts, you win your league aiming for MID.

#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

How do the players on the Steelers, Bengals, Browns, and Ravens stack up on your guillotine draft board? Find out here! Also be sure to check out our guillotine leagues in the links below!Normal PPR:https://sleeper.com/i/QBMZmbkQj3qw432 Person League:https://sleeper.com/i/V98LnE0OPA2Rk#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

After a few more weeks of news, I hop back into the draft rooms to see what drafting from the 3rd, 8th, 13th, and 18th positions looks like in a guillotine league. I used ESPN settings to emulate their "Knockout League" style drafts for those of you playing over there! Enjoy!

#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

Jordan Loupe drops by to talk about his home division, the AFC East!Tune in to hear all about two of the best teams in the NFL, filled with exciting players and savvy sleepers! The Dolphins and Jets also play in this division.Plus, stick around for the end to hear if we can name 100 running backs better than Isaiah Pacheco!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

If you want exciting players, this is the wrong division, but if you want good players, this is also the wrong division.Wan'Dale Robinson is a better pick than Carnell Tate and I'm gonna die on that hill this season. Click on the video to find out why!#fantasyfootball #GuillotineFantasyFootball

I brought the world's least concerned Falcons fan to discuss the outlook of NFC South players for Guillotine fantasy football! Tune in to hear the prospects for elite players such as Kenneth Gainwell, Jalen McMillan, and everyone's favorite- Jalen Coker!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball #newwaystoplayfantasyfootball

This week Adam Stark of the Honolulu Blues Show joins me today to discuss how the NFC East fantasy football prospects stack up for a Guillotine League!Stefon Diggs, Jalen Hurts, Ceedee Lamb, and Javonte Williams all get rave reviews while Makai Lemon and Malik Nabers get pushed down the boards in favor of stronger early season options. Find out why here!#fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

I'm joined by Dynasty Wolf whose name is actually Wolf, I thought it was a bit this whole time. Who knew?

We break down one of the best divisions in football and analyze how each player can fit into your guillotine lineup! Listen to hear why:

CMC is the RB2

Kyren Williams is being drafted too low

Davante Adams is barely draftable

Every Cardinals player is a bust

Are we breaking the no-rookie rule with Price?

#guillotine #fantasyfootball #guillotinefantasyfootball

How does a guillotine draft strategy look in practice? We cover 4 different ways to go about it, talking about the best late round picks and team chemistry

Patrcik Mahomes is going later than he ever has, Ladd McConkey is getting bounceback hype, Jaylen Waddle may break the Broncos offense wide open, and the Raiders are there too.

Kent Weyrauch joins me to talk AFC West and his performance in the FantasyGazette Memorial Guillotine League!

We kick off our summer series where we look into each division and break down which players should be on your guillotine radar. Make sure to check us out on Youtube as well to see some cool graphics and watch me die choking on water like an idiot at minute 52!

Honestly, probably not a lot! But can Ben Ditlevson and I talk about it for an hour and a half anyways? You bet!

We discuss the abysmal Simpson pick (Rams fans, the Lakers are still playing- it's okay), excitement for Tate and Tyson, and of course the Next Clyde Edwards-Helaire: Jadarian Price! Get all that and more!

The game has been changing over the last few weeks and it changes the most this week. It's not about scoring a ton of points in a vacuum, your team needs to match up against your opponent! Play those matchups, and listen here to find out how!

Good luck this week! Thank you all for a great season!

I love that I don't have to talk about Audric Estime this week. But, if you didn't have Puka, it's time to make some adjustments! Listen in to find out what they are. Good luck, and don't get last!

It's a hard part of the season! No fantasy podcasts are talking about whether to start Puka Nacua or Ceedee Lamb, they're too busy talking about 'Emanuel Wilson' and 'Devin Neal'. Get the discussion about the studs at the top of the fantasy landscape here- because that's all that's left in your league!

Plus, stick through to the end for a few matchup-managing tips to keep you ahead of the team below you!

Gonna be honest I get tired of writing these descriptions I may just start shitposting in the descriptions. 5 new spotify followers and I'll do it!

Steve joins me to help you all, how does he put it? "Climb the ladder of fantasy football." In reality we just spend way too long talking about whether Davis 'The Neck' Mills is gonna get Nico Collins to 12 fantasy points on Thursday (he will trust me).

You guys want to see me start Alec Pierce again?

This episode breaks down a few strategies going forward for the guillotine season and I get really excited about Alec Pierce.

Shane and I work out the absolutely most terrifying week 8 fantasy starts to get you through the hell of 6 teams on bye. Tune in to hear all about Cam Ward, Tyler Algeier, and of course Alec Pierce (I told you they were scary!) and also hear us break down a particular listener's lineup dilemma.

I found another analyst who says sit Derrick Henry this week, surely our combined ball knowledge will prevail and he wont average 2 yards per carry but still score a touchdown! Surely!

Gridiron Greek joins the show this week to discuss options like Hunter Long and Jake Tonges while he explains that Wong Teasers are NOTHING like how they sound!

(No idea why there is video of the notes doc but it's there! Enjoy!)

I want you all to know that in the description of the episode, the Spotify upload portal says "What do you want your audience to know?" and this week I want my audience to know that Justice Hill is outscoring Derrick Henry in full PPR.

No guests today :( just me talking about what situations it's okay to start Sterling Shepherd over Jamar Chase.

Mike Kash is the most recent elimination from the Fantasy Gazette Memorial Guillotine league! His punishment is talking with me about his failures and having to make some nasty pulls on start/sits (which is what this program is all about babey!) Listen in to hear all about why Jalen Nailor is better than AJ Brown and Hunter Renfrow should slot in over Brian Thomas Junior!

Part 2 of the great long recording session with Ben Cummins earlier today! Starts, Sits, Sells, Stashes, and Drew Lock tangentially causing my sister to become a single mother! (Don't believe me? Listen in!)

Ben and I sit down to discuss the unfortunate series of events that led to his demise in the Fantasy Gazette memorial guillotine league, and we start the Start/Sit discussion (you'll have to get the rest of it in part 2!)

Looking for tips, strategies, and other guillotine fantasy football advice? Look no further! 3 years and 9 leagues worth of experience condensed down into an hour and 15 minutes. Find me on twitter to join a Dont Get Last Guillotine League!

I talk about the first two rounds of my recent guillotine draft featuring fantasy football Twitter celebrities!

The Don't Get Last Guillotine Podcast is back for season 3! We kick it off with an interview and season review, along with breaking down how guillotine fantasy football works. Excited to be back! You should check out the Twitter for updates!

Bring it home. Don't get last!

Can you trust Derrick Henry and Cooper Kupp to keep you alive in your Guillotine Fantasy Football leagues? How do you avoid the fear of a nuclear Justin Jefferson or Jamar Chase? Are the Chiefs practicing voodoo rituals to keep Patrick Mahomes healthy? I actually don't know the answer to that last one, but you can hear all about the rest here!