Crossing Thin Ice

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https://riskviews3.wordpress.com/before-and-after-regime-change/
2 partages
https://crossingthinice.podbean.com/e/fear-vs-danger/
2 partages
https://actuary.org/article/three-components-of-risk-intelligence/
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Complexity - TheTwist in VUCA

Épisode 76

mardi 17 février 2026 • Durée 25:14

A jet engine is complicated. Your company is complex. The strategies for managing the risks of each are fundamentally—and dangerously—different.

We call Complexity the "twist" in VUCA because it fundamentally changes the nature of the problems we face. While Volatility, Uncertainty, and Ambiguity describe challenging conditions, Complexity introduces a system where the parts are interdependent and adapt. This means you cannot solve a complex problem by simply breaking it into smaller, complicated parts and fixing them.

Complexity is the twist: it's the element that makes VUCA environments truly unmanageable with old playbooks. You cannot apply a "complicated" solution to a "complex" problem and get the result that you want.

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The New Age of Strategic Uncertainty

Épisode 75

lundi 2 février 2026 • Durée 28:03

Uncertainty is rising and AI is one of the most significant drivers.

Not because there is something wrong with AI, but because it is so different and so powerful. We just do not know what changes are right around the corner. We do believe that the future belongs to the companies who learn to best combine human empathy, creativity and the ability to navigate uncertainty with AI's speed of processing and power of connection making between existing ideas and new human insights.

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Muddling Through 2026

Épisode 74

mardi 20 janvier 2026 • Durée 28:17

We are entering a period of high risk coming from every direction that our current systems cannot hope to mitigate.

This episode of Crossing Thin Ice looks ahead to 2026's major challenges. Hosts Dave and Max analyze interconnected risks—from economic fragility and climate change to AI's inflection bubble. They explore whether our systems are drifting toward crisis or a path to resilience. Tune in for a systems-thinking discussion on navigating financial, geopolitical, and technological headwinds.

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Perils of Monoculture Farming

Épisode 73

mardi 6 janvier 2026 • Durée 24:01

Diversify food strategies, not just portfolios.

Solutions like the Green Revolution and widespread monoculture farming boosted food supply but created long-term ecological and social vulnerabilities. We link population ideas from Franklin and Malthus to modern pressures—climate change, resource scarcity, migration—and warns these risks could cause solvency issues for insurers. Max discusses solutions for the agriculture sector as well as for insurers. You might consider adding this to your emerging risks list.

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Rethinking Volatility

Épisode 72

mardi 16 décembre 2025 • Durée 27:40

Replace "this won't happen" with "what if" and give your strategy a fighting chance.

Volatility isn’t just a number — it’s the signal that tells you whether your strategy will survive shocks or be blindsided by them. This podcast starts our VUCA series and shows why time horizon, human bias, and narrative scenarios matter more than averages. Uncertainty, Complexity and Ambiguity to follow.

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Good Execution: The Final Ingredient to Business Profits

Épisode 71

mardi 2 décembre 2025 • Durée 17:43

Execution isn’t speed or perfection. It’s reliable delivery under chaos. Use these six steps to get there.

Great ideas can fail simply because execution breaks down? In episode 70 of Crossing Thin Ice, hosts Max Rudolph and David Ingram show how risk management helps with good execution to turn plans into predictable profit. This episode walks through six practical pillars that make execution reliable even when reality diverges from the plan.

You’ll hear real-world examples you can take up and apply with the help of your ERM program. This conversation is practical, practitioner-focused, and geared to leaders who want execution that survives stress and delivers consistent results.

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When ORSA Rides the Elevator

Épisode 70

mardi 18 novembre 2025 • Durée 18:35

Most ORSA reports definitely fall into the TLDR category. But you can tell the ORSA with a clear, fast story that will become a part of the strategy discussion. This podcast tells how to turn a dense solvency exercise into an elevator pitch that earns attention, builds confidence, and links risk work to strategy. You’ll see why some ERM programs thrive and others wither, and how a small change in communication can protect capital and enhance decision-making. Read this if you want your next ORSA to be useful, not just compliant — and to get executives listening. Skip the noise—make your ORSA count today.

Read the blog post: https://crossingthinice.substack.com/p/orsa-rides-the-elevator

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Data Centers: Thirsty and Power Hungry

Épisode 69

mardi 4 novembre 2025 • Durée 17:14

Data centers, AI, and local energy and water systems are colliding — and communities are feeling the strain. In this episode, we break down how data centers drive local jobs and growth but also demand massive electricity and millions of gallons of cooling water. We dig into real-world impacts (with Memphis as a case study), the strain on local grids, and the tradeoffs between diesel, natural gas, and renewable power.

You will learn about closed-loop cooling, reclaimed-water and air-cooling options, and why narrow, task-focused AI could cut future energy use. We also discuss the economic risks when data-center buildouts outpace real demand and what municipalities should demand from operators — from rate guarantees to public environmental review.

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Good Timing and Risk Management

Épisode 68

mardi 21 octobre 2025 • Durée 16:37

Good timing is a critical advantage in product launches and broader risk management. But you need to be ready. Readiness is internal - organizational alignment, product, operations, finance, and sales - and external - economic, technology, regulatory, cyclical, customer, and competitive timing. Risk management helps by monitoring the environment, promoting transparency, running stress tests and scenarios, setting limits and early warnings, and building adaptability. Real examples from variable annuities and long-term care show how well‑timed hedging or market entry can protect companies — and how bad timing can be costly. The takeaway: ensure both internal and external readiness before you launch.

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When Investing for Float Makes Sense

Épisode 67

mardi 7 octobre 2025 • Durée 26:27

Can insurers treat premiums like a cheap loan — and when does that bet blow up? In this episode we unpack “investing for float”: where it can boost returns, why annuities and life blocks are fragile, and how gaps in ALM, liquidity and regulation can turn clever strategies into industry-wide risk. Practical checks for boards, investors and regulators throughout.

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Crossing Thin Ice – Détails, épisodes et analyse

Détails du podcast

Classements récents

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Liens partagés entre épisodes et podcasts

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Derniers épisodes publiés

Podcasts Similaires Basées sur le Contenu

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Podcasts Similaires Basées sur le Contenu

Crossing Thin Ice – Détails, épisodes et analyse

Détails du podcast

Classements récents

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Liens partagés entre épisodes et podcasts

Other5

Substack3

Qualité et score du flux RSS

Historique des publications

Derniers épisodes publiés

Podcasts et contenus similaires

Podcasts Similaires Basées sur le Contenu

Apple Podcasts

Spotify

Podcasts Similaires Basées sur le Contenu

Other5

Substack3