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Saudi Cuts Europe Off, Burchett Wants a Diesel Export Ban & the Big Inch Plan | BDE 09.22.2622 Sep 202600:50:07

Saudi Aramco told at least two European term refiners they get zero crude in October, and all three Saudi export routes are impaired at once. Tim Burchett wants a diesel export ban, six EU countries want a windfall tax on oil profits, and Chuck pitches a Big Inch style plan to build Gulf Coast refineries under emergency powers. Plus Pakistan shutting markets at 9pm, Abbott freezing Texas data center permits, and an argument over behind the meter.

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00:00 Chuck's New Haircut
02:28 Burchett Wants an Export Ban
05:23 Saudi Cuts Europe Off
09:53 Germany's Energy Own Goal
15:47 EU Windfall Profits Tax
18:00 Chuck's Big Inch Plan
23:57 Pakistan Rations Fuel
28:11 AI Tokens and Data Centers
32:48 DeepSeek Undercuts Everyone
34:49 Abbott Freezes Texas Permits
40:58 Winning the AI Race
44:30 Airlines and Recession Risk
47:43 Which Models Collide Uses
49:25 Taco Bell Closer

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Heating Oil Hits 5.50, Europe Gas Panic & The Buffers Are Gone | BDE 09.15.2616 Sep 202601:04:20

Distillate inventories are scraping bottom right as winter shows up. Maine heating oil is already past 5.30 a gallon, the Exxon Joliet refinery went down on a utility failure, and Irving's Saint John plant is out 75 days. European gas ran from 23 to nearly 30 per MMBtu while the EU quietly cut its storage target, and Chevron's Mike Wirth says the buffers are gone. Plus Ukraine keeps hitting Russian refineries, AI CEOs ask Washington for a leash, and the quietest hurricane season since 1950.

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00:00 Chuckless Birthday Edition
1:10 Sark Manning And AI Slop
5:50 UT Photo Goes Viral
9:01 Diesel And Distillate Crunch
14:32 The Pipelines That Died
17:38 Nantucket Drought Loans
20:09 Europe Scrambles For Gas
22:46 Hormuz Mines And Deals
28:07 Ukraine Hits Russian Refineries
31:04 AI CEOs Want Regulation
36:07 Token Burn And AI Flaring
39:16 EPA Rescinds Power Rules
41:05 Quietest Hurricane Season
43:24 Wirth Says Buffers Gone
47:12 Where The Amateur Line Went
53:24 Listener Questions On Refining
59:58 Jacob Jumps In

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Chevron Bets 7 Billion on Venezuela, Citadel Hunts Shale Oil & No Iran Deal | BDE 09.08.2608 Sep 202600:57:29

Chevron is the only super major stepping into Venezuela, committing 7 billion across two JVs and targeting 600,000 barrels a day by 2031, while Exxon still calls the country uninvestable. Citadel keeps bidding on physical shale oil after Paloma and losing Wildfire to Magnolia. Energy Secretary Chris Wright says a nuclear deal with Iran may never happen. Plus Paul Ryan on the Overton window, 40 trillion in debt, diesel doing the real damage and the permitting reform that died with Manchin.

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00:00 Mark is back
00:55 Paul Ryan and the Overton window
03:39 Trump versus the Fed
05:48 Diesel is the real problem
08:49 Seven months and counting
10:57 Rhino politics and what comes next
15:11 Chevron bets seven billion on Venezuela
19:00 Nobody else wants Venezuela
22:31 Guyana as the better bet
25:26 What actually changed in Caracas
30:17 No nuclear deal with Iran
36:29 Safer but at what cost
39:14 The permitting reform that never came
43:05 Citadel hunts shale oil
46:51 Hedging as the real edge
50:58 Builders sell traders buy
55:27 Remembering September 11

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Venezuela Crude for the SPR, Bessent vs Druckenmiller & Oil Talked Down | BDE 09.01.2601 Sep 202600:56:35

Trump calls the Venezuela concession the biggest oil deal in world history, so Chuck Yates and Kirk Coburn pull it apart with Mark Meyer out of the room. Whether heavy Venezuelan crude can ever land in the SPR, why a hundred year lease looks a lot like the concession that became BP, and what PDVSA has to be paid to cooperate. Plus Druckenmiller calling out his old Soros desk mate Scott Bessent on Treasury buybacks, ranking the super majors, and 40 trillion in debt.

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00:00 Houston Food Dives Without Mark
04:55 Trump's Venezuela Oil Deal
07:17 Defending Trump on the SPR
11:12 PDVSA Royalties and Ohio Shale
14:48 Would You Take the Meeting
19:14 Persia, BP and the Hundred Year Warning
24:21 National Oil Companies and Real Operators
25:49 Conoco Claims and CEO Changes
27:48 Tim Cook, Apple and AI CapEx
31:53 Ranking the Super Majors
36:34 Bessent Versus Druckenmiller
40:40 Oil Talked Down and AI Editorials
42:49 Where the First Opportunity Lands
46:03 Lightning Round
48:35 Forty Trillion in Debt
52:13 Tier Lists and Shout Outs

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U.S. Energy In A Changing Global Market with Sean Maher26 Aug 202601:05:54

​Energy markets are shaped by more than a headline price. In this Community Call, Sean Maher, VP of IR and Chief Economist at Phillips 66, joins us for a macro-level conversation on the forces moving today’s energy landscape.
They’ll cover the uncertainty in the market, where refined products fit in, why American infrastructure matters, and how the U.S. connects to the rest of the world.

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00:00 Sean Maher and Phillips 66
0:02:15 Diesel Cracks and Margin Outlook
0:05:12 Damage to Russian Refining
0:09:15 Demand Resilience and Turnarounds
0:13:10 AI Inside the Plants
0:19:37 Gasoline Versus Diesel Demand
0:24:36 El Nino and Distillate Inventories
0:26:19 Global Demand and Record Exports
0:30:16 Value of US Infrastructure
0:33:17 Cost of Building New Capacity
0:36:00 Global South Priced Out
0:38:58 Fractionation and Permian NGLs
0:43:55 Export Dock Capacity
0:46:03 Canadian Egress and WCS Diffs
0:50:17 Venezuela Versus Canadian Heavy
0:53:35 Energy Sector Rerating
1:02:10 Why Energy Education Matters
1:04:39 Bonnies Basketball Sign Off

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Diesel Cracks Hit $102, Hormuz Day 176 & Token Burn Is Just AI Flaring | BDE 08.24.2625 Aug 202600:59:45

Diesel cracks just hit 102 dollars a barrel while the Treasury Secretary says he does not understand why oil spiked, which tells you everything about a products led market. Hormuz sits at day 176 with transits down 86 percent, Buc-ee's makes more on beaver nuggets than it does on diesel, and the SPR is now a strategic suggestion. Then there is AI flaring, the case that token burn on drifting bots is the same waste as burning gas you already paid to produce.

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0:00:00 Bessent doesn't understand the oil spike
0:02:34 Macro guys versus the physical traders
0:05:26 The 102 dollar crack spread
0:08:29 What it actually costs at the pump
0:10:25 A strategic suggestion, not a reserve
0:15:48 Hormuz, day 176
0:20:05 Who runs short on diesel this winter
0:22:55 Australia emptied the whole clip
0:29:55 Phillips 66, Elliott, and Streamline 66
0:33:27 Structural or cyclical
0:38:24 AI flaring and the token burn problem
0:46:52 Bots, drift, and Grok running all night
0:49:05 Amazon builds an island in Pennsylvania
0:53:44 ERCOT's December audit math
0:57:18 A weekend in Telluride
0:58:43 Remembering Frank Beard

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Hormuz Deadline Expires, Diesel Crack Tops $102, Meta Wants 10 Gas Plants | BDE 08.18.2619 Aug 202600:48:50

The sixty day clock on the Islamabad MOU ran out and nobody blinked, so Hormuz is still a coin flip and the diesel crack just printed 102 dollars, bigger than the price of crude itself. Kirk, Chuck, and Mark get into why nobody will build a refinery, how FedEx surcharges quietly lock in higher prices, and whether Meta and Entergy are about to hand Louisiana ratepayers a very long bill. Plus live questions from the Collide audience and a heartfelt sendoff for OJ Brigance.

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00:00 Flock of Seagulls and concert stories

04:31 Hormuz deadline passes with no deal

08:43 Blaming the IEA for tight refining

12:16 Diesel crack spread hits a record

18:02 Fuel surcharges and the inflation ratchet

24:21 Meta, Entergy, and ten new gas plants

29:06 The case for behind the meter power

31:42 Capacity offline and the water question

37:29 Why nobody is building a refinery

41:50 OPEC unwind and closing tributes


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Amazon Builds a 7.6GW Gas Grid, EOG Strikes UAE Shale | BDE 08.14.2614 Aug 202600:41:05

EOG drilled two wells in the UAE that look suspiciously like the Eagle Ford, and Chuck has a theory about why. From there it's Amazon dropping a 7.6 gigawatt private gas plant on a West Texas ranch, Vivek Ramaswamy flipping the script on Ohio data centers, and a cattle rancher whose herd is spooked by the noise. Power demand is rewriting land use and politics at the same time, and we are here for it.

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00:00 Catching up
01:12 EOG's UAE wells
03:04 Chuck's theory on the rock
04:43 Who captures the value
10:07 The copycats are coming
11:52 Amazon's West Texas gas plant
14:14 Behind the meter is the grid now
17:45 A prediction about Ercot
19:38 Gas leaving the pipelines
21:13 Eminent domain and interconnects
24:40 Ferc and crossing state lines
26:13 Ramaswamy's Ohio data center plan
29:25 The rancher pushback
31:16 Costs, jobs, and tax abatements
35:14 Fermi America and the nuclear question
39:20 Wrapping up 

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Trump Steals Warren's Windfall Tax, Chevron Becomes Microsoft's Landlord | BDE 08.04.2605 Aug 202601:03:04

Trump wants the oil majors to hand their profits back to the public, and the crew has opinions. From taco trade whiplash in the Strait of Hormuz to Chevron reinventing itself as an infrastructure landlord through the Microsoft Kilby deal, this Collide roundtable unpacks windfall tax theater, BP fleeing a 78 percent North Sea tax bill, and the hidden demand destruction quietly showing up at Applebee's. Plus bling, beaver nuggets, and a heartfelt close.

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0:00:00 Van Halen reunion energy
0:00:53 Trump's tacos, tantrums, and the Strait
0:06:37 Windfall tax outrage and the margin math
0:14:49 Chevron's Kilby bet: oil company turns landlord
0:25:38 Refiners printing money and demand destruction at Applebee's
0:32:36 BP bails on the North Sea, eyes Houston
0:38:11 Darren Woods vs Brussels on methane rules
0:47:34 Bling, Bucky's, and beaver nugget economics
0:53:29 Landman cameo dreams and West Texas
0:56:22 Mark's reflection and a Collide thank-you

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Every Gas Shortage Call Has Been Wrong, PE Dumps Assets & SLB Chases GPUs | BDE 07.28.2628 Jul 202600:38:32

Somebody spent 18 months modeling every well, pipe, and storage facility in the US gas system and came out calling for a shortage by 2028. Collide is not buying it, and the receipts go all the way back to Greenspan. Then it is deal season, with Magnolia grabbing Wildfire and Matador stacking up two more, all cash and no leverage. Plus SLB is quietly building a billion dollar data center business with Liberty, and somebody deserves a raise for selling that one.

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00:00 A rough start
00:43 The 2028 gas shortage call
04:46 Why the shortage never shows up
06:16 Lessons from 2001
10:04 The reserves nobody modeled
14:16 Permian gas and LNG contracts
17:49 Deal season: Magnolia and Matador
19:19 Why private equity is selling
23:28 What the deals are really worth
30:32 SLB and the Liberty alliance
36:36 Jones Act next week

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Iran Kills US Troops, Houthis Blockade the Red Sea & Oil Shrugs | BDE 07.21.2621 Jul 202600:44:12

A listener named gopher27 fired back with Bastiat, Krugman, and Thomas Jefferson, and what followed might be the sharpest debate this show has had in two years. From whether Walmart really guts a small town to Middle East escalation rattling crude, a hurricane aiming at the refining corridor, and the messy fight over data centers, water, and farmland, the guys chase it all down.

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00:00  gopher27 vs Kirk: Walmart, corruption, and local dollars
07:28  Middle East escalation and the market shrug
13:10  Trump, a Beatles hoax, and a pipeline theory
15:27  Hurricane season meets the refining corridor
19:09  The Jones Act and record exports
23:05  Data centers vs farmland by the numbers
34:18  New York's moratorium and local pushback
36:39  Project Kilby, brackish water, and cooling
42:57  Almond milk math and signoff

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Trump's $32M Hormuz Toll, Houthis Break Truce & Oil Nears $90 | BDE 07.14.2615 Jul 202600:52:12

Slap a 20% toll on oil tankers, add drones that can sink a ship for less than the price of a pickup, and you get a Strait of Hormuz that keeps running out of off ramps. From there it spirals into why a 141 year old Ohio brick maker got hammered by its power bill, how data centers are quietly rewiring the grid and hollowing out small towns, and whether big oil earnings are about to spark another round of Washington theater.

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00:00  Concerts and catching up
04:12  Iran and the 20% tanker toll
09:08  Drones and asymmetric warfare
11:31  Houthis, Saudis, and the spillover
19:26  Midterms and the energy fallout
23:31  An Ohio brick maker gets crushed
24:40  PJM capacity charges and data centers
32:37  The Walmart effect on small towns
39:08  Q2 oil and gas earnings incoming
42:03  Remembering Lindsey Graham

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US Bombs 90 Iran Targets, Oil Yawns, & Russia's Diesel Export Ban Detonates Crack Spreads | BDE 07.09.2609 Jul 202600:33:33

Four energy supply shocks landing on three continents at once, and somehow the oil traders got bored before the generals did. The crew works through strikes on Iran, Russia's diesel export ban, and how drones you could build in a garage are quietly rewriting global markets. Then a turn into Palantir CEO Alex Karp warning that the big AI models are out to eat their own customers, why the knowledge stuck in your employees' heads may be your best data, and what Collide is doing to capture it.

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00:00 Iran strikes and a ceasefire coming apart
03:39 Should the US be the world's enforcer
06:59 Seizing an oil island and shale's quiet flex
08:21 A Saving Private Ryan soccer detour
10:09 SPR draws and where oil sits
12:00 Russia's diesel ban and refineries under drones
15:25 Diesel, inflation, and the midterm math
18:43 Four supply shocks, three continents
19:51 Cheap drones rewriting warfare
21:20 Alex Karp on AI models eating their customers
28:28 Who's really king of IP theft
30:15 Tribal knowledge as the real data goldmine

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Trump's Big Oil Witch Hunt, $58 Cracks Spike & California's Refinery Graveyard | BDE 07.03.2603 Jul 202601:02:47

Gasoline creeps past four bucks and everyone reaches for the same villain, but the real story lives in the refining margin, not the gas station down the street. Arjun Murti of Veriten joins Mark Meyer for a holiday-weekend conversation on why big oil doesn't set your pump price, how refining flipped from the worst business in energy to the best, what California's shrinking refinery count really signals, and the Lee Raymond mindset that still shapes how smart operators ride the cycle.

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00:00 Welcome and Arjun's background
02:55 Remembering Lee Raymond
10:09 Trump, gas prices, and the price gouging myth
18:17 When energy policy actually got it right
24:09 How refining went from worst business to best
28:21 Barriers to entry and the safety tightrope
32:47 California's refining wall
36:01 The Jones Act and shipbuilding
38:09 Environmental policy vs climate crisis
43:22 Ethanol, RINs, and ag politics
46:35 Capitalism, shale, and the LNG boom
49:45 What comes next for the upstream
53:40 Oil prices and the Big Tech double standard
57:48 Adapting to 2026 and the road ahead

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Trump Blinks on Iran, Cushing Hits Tank Bottoms & Warren's Big Oil Shakedown | BDE 06.23.2623 Jun 202600:52:00

Cushing is scraping tank bottoms, the SPR is back at 1980s lows, and somehow there is room to argue about soccer, the World Cup, and the audacity of parking your car at the Buc-ee's pump. Kirk and Mark break down the new Iran MOU and what the Strait of Hormuz standoff means for crude, why production keeps slipping while exports surge, and the recycled windfall profits tax playbook out of Warren and Whitehouse. It lands on the SpaceX IPO and the builder versus blame mindset worth chewing on.

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00:00  Cold open and weekend banter
02:35  Soccer, baseball, and the MLB labor cliff
05:38  The Iran MOU and the Hormuz standoff
12:14  Iran vs the Venezuela playbook
14:48  Cushing at tank bottoms
17:21  Physical vs financial and the SPR draw
22:15  Production, rigs, and capital discipline
25:55  Heavy crude and headlines vs reality
27:20  The Buc-ee's debate
32:19  Warren, Whitehouse, and the windfall profits tax
38:23  Attention spans and the state of discourse
41:31  The SpaceX IPO and the builder vs blame mindset
45:27  Rockets, methane, and ESG scores
48:18  US Open at Shinnecock and the wrap

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Lee Raymond Dies, Oil's Pavlovian "Deal" Swoon & Gunvor's $300M Enron Sequel | BDE 06.12.2615 Jun 202600:46:18

Lee Raymond gets his due first, the Exxon legend who turned the Valdez disaster into a safety overhaul and still holds the record for oil's biggest merger. Then it's whether the Iran deal is real or another oil market head fake, why trading houses like Gunvor are buying gas wells instead of pipelines, and the data center that paid fifty five million just to get its power line built four months early. Waha gas math, flaring pain, and a questionable David Lee Roth show close it out.

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00:00   Remembering Lee Raymond
04:58   The Bonneville and the triplets
06:40   Moving Exxon from Manhattan to Texas
08:08   The 357 million dollar retirement fight
10:13   Is the Iran deal real
16:01   Oil markets and the Trump deal tracker
17:52   Trading houses buying gas assets
21:22   The Enron playbook returns
23:49   Credit capital moves into gas
25:56   Gas to power and selling electrons
31:08   Waha gas below zero and flaring
33:55   Pipeline egress and the BTU problem
37:04   The 55 million dollar Twinkle Line
40:55   David Lee Roth and learning to Claude code

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Paxton vs Talarico Goes Nuclear, ERCOT Chokes Data Centers & BP Burns Its Boss | BDE 05.28.2629 May 202600:48:09

BP just fired its chairman after eight months, and that somehow is not even the wildest thing this week. The Texas Senate race opens with Ken Paxton and James Talarico already swinging, vegan campaign ads and all. ERCOT's interconnection queue is buried under 410 gigawatts of data center dreams at a 1.5 percent approval rate, so off grid gas starts looking real. Plus a quant trading lab built with Claude, Cushing draws getting tight, the shaky Iran ceasefire, and a Wuhan study with some nerve.

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00:00 - Texas Senate race kicks off, Paxton vs Talarico

08:22 - Welcome and a little name dropping

09:38 - Summer mode and baseball season

10:46 - Building a trading lab with Claude

15:02 - ERCOT's data center interconnection logjam

25:52 - BP fires another one at the top

33:45 - Iran strikes and the shaky ceasefire

37:40 - SPR and Cushing draws getting tight

43:44 - Iran's pollution plume and a Wuhan study


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Microsoft Kills Claude Code, Tank Bottoms Loom & NextEra's $67B Dominion Grab | BDE 05.22.2622 May 202600:47:26

Venezuela is suddenly back on the table after being branded un-investable, and the tone shift has Mark and Kirk picking apart who blinked and why Exxon's posture lines up with Chevron's quiet move next door. Summer driving season is squeezing crude inventories, Microsoft pulled the plug on Claude Code licenses, NextEra swallowed Dominion for $67 billion, Devon dropped $2.6B on a Delaware lease sale, and XAI is running 46 turbines without federal permits. Physics keeps showing up uninvited.

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00:00 Nantucket, baseball, and barehanded line drives
01:38 Venezuela back in play and Exxon's un-investable reversal
10:31 SPR draws, tank bottoms, and summer driving season
16:33 Sparkling water inflation check
17:03 Microsoft cancels Claude Code and the AI energy bill
22:22 Strait of Hormuz, insurers, and Iran's slow rebuild
24:33 Devon spends $2.6 billion on a BLM lease sale
27:17 Delaware Basin economics and Taylor Sheridan as an oil man
33:07 NextEra buys Dominion in a $67 billion deal
37:14 Nantucket property taxes and the ratepayer problem
40:07 XAI's 46 turbines, the EPA, and Colossus 2
44:30 Texas vs Massachusetts taxes and Memorial Day sign-off

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Reacting to Joe Rogan's Deranged Oil Take, Climate Doomsday Dies & Claude Mead Caged | BDE 05.14.2614 May 202600:40:47

Gas hits $7.90 a gallon in LA and Joe Rogan blames Big Oil, so Chuck and Mark grab the mic to set the record straight on California's fuel island, refinery shutdowns, and why nationalizing oil sounds great until you actually think about it. From there it's the death of climate model RCP 8.5, Anthropic's Claude Mead and the Glass Wing trusted partner group, EIA's call for higher residential power bills, and Geraldo Rivera's wild plan for the Strait of Hormuz.

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00:00 Rogan's gas price rant and California's fuel island
08:25 Nationalize oil? The shale revolution counterargument
13:13 John Fogerty backstage and the stolen guitar
16:33 Climate models, RCP 8.5, and a PSA about your PSA
26:25 Claude Mead, Glass Wing, and OpenAI's Daybreak
30:51 EIA outlook and rising residential power bills
34:27 Geraldo, the Strait of Hormuz, and the Zapruder film

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Iran Trade "Syndicate," SPR Drops Below 400M, & Musk's Memphis AI Power Play | BDE 05.07.2607 May 202600:54:35

Kirk and Mark fly solo while Chuck takes a break, and there is plenty to chew on. Crude took a hit on Iran peace talk leaks, and a suspiciously timed 925 million dollar short has even Marjorie Taylor Greene calling out insider trading. From there it is the upcoming Trump and Xi summit, SPR refill chatter on DoD lands, the voodoo science of reserves accounting, exec comp tied to flaring mitigation, and where Anthropic fits in the gigascale power buildout.

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00:00 - Cold open and Chuck on assignment
01:15 - Iran headlines and crude's air pocket
04:35 - The Trump and Xi summit ahead
07:00 - SPR refill ideas and DoD lands
13:00 - The voodoo science of reserves
21:00 - Goldman, BP and the reserve replacement game
25:00 - Exec comp and flaring mitigation
30:00 - AI tooling and grid intermittency
38:00 - Anthropic and the speed to power race
46:30 - An engineering project, not a science fair
53:30 - Wrap

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Permian Gas Goes Negative, Brent Tops $100, UAE Dumps OPEC & LIV Golf Implodes | BDE 05.01.2601 May 202600:46:21

Petroleum inventories are screaming lower, the SPR is down under 400 million barrels, and gas prices are creeping up just in time to sour the midterms. The guys break down the UAE walking away from OPEC+, Saudi PIF pulling the plug on LIV Golf, the brewing knife fight between AI data centers and the petrochemical industry over Gulf Coast gas turbines, and Permian gas trading at less than nothing. Plus a salute to David Allan Coe.

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00:00   SPR draws and screaming inventory declines
03:00   Gas prices and the run-up to summer driving season
04:30   Valero Port Arthur refinery still bleeding diesel and jet
05:30   Sub-billion M&A is rocking, Shell-ARC headlines the corporate deal
07:30   Kirk on the war, chokepoints, and food price spillover
11:00   UAE walks away from OPEC+
16:50   Saudi PIF defunds LIV Golf
19:30   The painful path back for LIV defectors
22:30   Cracks in Saudi's regional grip
23:30   Mary Barra still betting GM on EVs, and the hybrid case
27:00   What implodes next, NATO and the EU on the list
28:20   A wild idea, privatize the Strait of Hormuz
31:15   Big Tech's $750B data center CapEx party
33:40   The knife fight, AI versus petrochem for gas turbines
41:30   Brent over $100 while Permian gas trades negative
43:30   In memoriam, David Allan Coe

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Trump Begs Shale to Drill, Heathrow Jet Fuel Hell & EOG Cracks the Buda | BDE 04.24.2624 Apr 202600:50:39

Chuck and Mark rip through a week where the White House hauled oil and gas execs in for a drill baby pretty please moment, and capital discipline still isn't bending for $100 oil. They pick apart Trump's energy executive order and its cycle time problem, flag EOG quietly locking up Madison County's Buda play, unpack Paul Sankey on Heathrow jet fuel and Australia's refining collapse, then close with Rick Perry's push to legitimize ibogaine treatment for addiction and PTSD.

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00:00 Tex-Mex talk and black hoodies
04:16 Drill baby pretty please
13:14 Industry messaging and the greedy myth
18:49 Trump's energy executive order
25:22 Budagate and EOG in Madison County
26:30 Sankey on Heathrow and Australia
30:46 Blame game politics and gasoline sticker shock
37:17 Rick Perry's push for ibogaine

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Iran Talks Collapse, $100 Oil Rips & Ro Khanna's Windfall Tax Disaster | BDE 04.14.2614 Apr 202600:50:49

Chuck's back, freshly upgraded to co-founder, and Kirk and Mark have plenty to catch up on. This week the guys dig into the Iran nuclear standoff, JD Vance's Islamabad trip, what $100 oil actually means for US producers, Ro Khanna's windfall profits tax proposal, the case for moving BP to Houston, and a proper sendoff for Astros legend Phil Garner.

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00:00 - Chuck returns as co-founder
03:30 - Iran, Strait of Hormuz, and nuclear talks
09:00 - US oil production and export capacity
23:40 - Windfall profits tax debate
30:30 - Tesla, autonomous driving, and gas prices
32:30 - OJ Simpson and Fox News tangent
38:35 - BP, activists, and the case for Houston
46:00 - Remembering Phil Garner

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$100 Oil & Drillers Still Won't Drill, Fertilizer Crash & Harold Hamm's Bet | BDE 03.31.2631 Mar 202600:48:33

Oil markets are under siege and Kirk and Mark aren't sugarcoating it. From the Iran supply shock draining global inventories to the fertilizer fallout quietly heading for your grocery bill this fall, no topic is off limits. They also break down why US producers aren't just drilling on command, the capital discipline story behind the rig count, and Continental Resources' Mercury Pecos Power project proving Harold Hamm still runs circles around everyone.

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00:00 Welcome and Mark's big news
02:07 Iran supply shock and global oil markets
10:20 US producers and the drilling pressure debate
20:17 Fertilizer prices and food supply fallout
22:38 Energy policy critics and the IEA
29:52 EU energy vulnerability
31:02 Retail gas prices and demand destruction
37:31 Continental and Mercury's Pecos Power project
45:08 ERCOT opportunity and molecule-to-megawatt plays
47:31 Wrap up

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Big Tech's Dirty Energy Secret, Avatar's O&G Shark Tank & The AI Divide | BDE 03.27.2627 Mar 202600:50:30

Kevin Krausert, CEO and Co-Founder of Avatar Innovations Inc., brings a story that starts with a vegan roughneck and ends with a venture studio that's quietly changing how oil and gas companies innovate from the inside out. Chuck and Kevin get into the Avatar model, some clever bets that actually paid off, the coolest ideas that flopped, and why Kevin thinks AI early adopters in energy are about to leave everyone else in the dust.

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00:00 - Vegan Roughneck Origins
03:16 - Big Tech's Energy Wake-Up Call
07:14 - What Avatar Innovations Actually Is
08:33 - How the Program Works
11:10 - Bragging Rights: Production Optimization Win
14:25 - Turning Oilfield Emissions Into Beer CO2
15:13 - Smart Grid Splice Monitoring Tech
18:26 - How to Get Into the Avatar Program
22:00 - AI-Optimizing Condensate Stabilizers
24:05 - The Shale Revolution and Suspending Convention
27:14 - Who Drives Innovation in Oil and Gas
30:03 - AI as the Single Source of Truth
35:38 - Building AI Sandboxes for the Oilfield
38:09 - Open CLAW and Observations from Nvidia GTC
39:51 - What a VC Legend Taught Chuck About Markets
42:04 - The Best Ideas That Didn't Work
45:58 - Know Your Loss Point Before You Start
49:30 - How to Connect With Kevin and Avatar

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Qatar LNG Wiped Out, $200 Oil in Asia & Iran's Endgame | BDE 03.20.2620 Mar 202600:33:06

Chuck and Mark are back and wasting no time getting into it. Qatar's LNG infrastructure is heavily damaged, a Red Sea refinery just got hit, and oil markets are absorbing a shock that the IEA apparently never saw coming (surprise). The guys break down regime adjustment vs. regime change, what a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption could mean for a global recession, and why gas prices matter more politically than anyone wants to admit. Then somehow they land on Mean Joe Green, Chuck Norris, and Astros opening day.

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0:00 - Intro and catching up
2:00 - Iran conflict and energy infrastructure strikes
5:00 - Qatar LNG damage and supply disruption
10:00 - Regime change vs. regime adjustment
12:00 - Oil price predictions and IEA criticism
14:00 - Europe energy security concerns
17:30 - Strait of Hormuz and recession risk
18:30 - Gas prices and US political reality
23:30 - US military effectiveness
25:00 - RIP Mean Joe Green and Chuck Norris
28:00 - Astros opening day and the WBC
32:30 - Wrap up

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"Robinhood for Oil & Gas": Tokenized Energy, Blockchain Deals & Permian Access | BDE 03.17.2617 Mar 202600:55:01

Oil and gas deals have always been a handshake-and-know-the-right-guy kind of business, but Tokenized Energy is changing that. Chip Simmons and Adrian Macias, co-founders of Tokenized Energy, along with Tim Pawul, President of Minerals and Royalties Authority LLC, join Chuck to break down how blockchain is turning exclusive oil and gas investments into something anyone can access from their phone for as little as 500 bucks.

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0:00 - Intro and what Tokenized Energy actually does
3:01 - Breaking down the barriers to oil and gas investing
6:00 - Inside the platform: data rooms, deal structure, and SPVs
9:05 - Building your own personal oil and gas portfolio
10:11 - Deals on the platform and how they launched
12:23 - Buyer minimums, price setting, and the CarMax model
14:07 - How sellers get assets on the platform
17:14 - Early beta results and what surprised them
21:34 - Chuck's soapbox: making oil and gas sexy again
25:37 - 5-year vision: stablecoins, yield tokens, and secondary markets
31:44 - Why the US is behind on tokenization adoption
38:17 - WTI tokens, commodity-backed digital assets, and optionality
46:19 - Overcoming the "vaporware crypto" misconception
49:09 - Robinhood for oil and gas and where digital investing is heading
52:50 - How to access the platform and get in touch

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Iran Goes Hot, Oil Spikes & Sells Off, IEA Eyes the SPR | BDE 03.09.2610 Mar 202600:43:46

Oil prices swung wild overnight and the BD War Chronicles rolls on. David Pursell joins Kirk and Mark to break down the SPR numbers, the Jones Act waiver, and why the IEA's emergency reserve is starting to look more like a price cap than a crisis tool. They also get into Iran's mosaic defense, Strait of Hormuz shipping chaos, and why reservoir damage fears are mostly noise.

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0:00 Oil prices and SPR breakdown
7:00 IEA history and emergency reserve mission creep
10:00 Iran conflict update and Khamenei succession
17:00 Mosaic defense and Strait of Hormuz
22:00 Floating storage and curtailments
25:00 US crude exports and diesel prices
29:00 Reservoir damage myths debunked
35:00 Market predictions and wrap up

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US Bombs Iran, Oil Barely Flinches, OPEC Ramps & the Regime Change Gamble | BDE 03.03.2603 Mar 202600:48:08

The Persian Gulf just became a live fire zone and crude is barely flinching. What does that tell you about where oil markets really stand? David Pursell, EVP Planning Reserves and Fundamentals at Apache Corporation, joins Kirk and Mark to break down the US strikes on Iran, why this is nothing like Operation Midnight Hammer, what OPEC is actually capable of producing, how strategic reserves are everyone's insurance policy, and whether the real story here is regime change, not barrels.

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0:00 US strikes on Iran and initial oil market reaction
2:50 Shipping disruptions and Strait of Hormuz concerns
5:30 Weeks not days and the case for regime change
7:26 Who actually cares and global market impact
11:35 Iranian oil on tankers and strategic reserves
14:54 OPEC production increases and spare capacity questions
18:48 Strait of Hormuz as a chokepoint
21:03 The regime change problem and keeping the lights on
29:19 Sunni-Shia dynamics and what comes next
34:14 Structurally bearish factors and why the market yawns
41:50 US oil demand growth and fundamentals check
44:04 The IEA critique corner

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Texas Railroad Commission Candidate on Zombie Wells, Injection Crisis & CCS Scam | 02.23.2623 Feb 202601:15:41

Hawk Dunlap, 2026 Republican candidate for Texas Railroad Commission, pulls no punches on zombie wells, produced water injection, and why carbon capture is a taxpayer funded scam. From 27 years of international well control across 100 countries to excavating 150 leaking wells on a Texas ranch, Hawk brings the kind of boots on the ground credibility this conversation demands. The primary is March 3rd.

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0:00 - Intro and Hawk Dunlap origin story
4:46 - Well Control Management and international career
8:19 - The Container Ranch and zombie wells
13:43 - Excavating 150 wells and what they found
18:20 - Litigation, Railroad Commission, and accountability
27:18 - Produced water injection as the defining issue
28:53 - Water recycling and the orphan well fund
36:21 - Orphan well plugging program problems
45:01 - Carbon capture and why Hawk opposes it
56:28 - Railroad Commission name change
1:01:11 - AI and risk assessment for orphan wells
1:12:21 - Campaign trail and closing thoughts

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Chevron Buys Texas Ranch to Dodge Lawsuit, Wind Blade Graveyards & Musk's Space AI | BDE 02.13.2613 Feb 202600:42:34

Kirk, Chuck, and Mark cover Chevron's settlement to buy a West Texas ranch rather than face trial over decades of alleged pollution, Ken Paxton's lawsuit against a fiberglass recycling site turned wind turbine blade graveyard, and Elon Musk's plan to put AI data centers in space powered by solar panels. They debate whether the space data center concept is real or just Musk messing with software guys, discuss BP suspending share buybacks to reduce debt after their energy transition distraction, and reflect on Expand Energy leaving Oklahoma City nearly a decade after Aubrey McClendon's death, marking the end of an era for the company he built.

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00:00 - Welcome and first concert stories
02:11 - Chevron West Texas ranch settlement
08:27 - Environmental litigation implications
11:12 - Wind turbine blade graveyard lawsuit
17:23 - Green energy waste problem
19:02 - Elon Musk's space AI data centers
24:24 - Building data centers in space
27:35 - Earth's electricity limitations
30:55 - Space compute infrastructure race
33:16 - BP suspends share buybacks
37:38 - Expand Energy leaving Oklahoma City
41:19 - Houston's oil and gas consolidation

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Devon-Coterra Mega Merger, Data Center Cancellations Spike & Rubio's Mineral OPEC | BDE 02.06.2606 Feb 202600:43:09

Kirk Coburn, Mark Meyer, and Chuck Yates tackle Devon's $58 billion merger with Coterra—a Delaware Basin land grab with Marcellus as an afterthought. They break down why scale matters when your cost of capital beats everyone else's, why Oklahoma keeps building great companies Houston eventually swallows, and why data center cancellations reveal America's infrastructure crisis. The real insight? PJM's grid failures prove you can't bolt 21st century AI demand onto 20th century infrastructure with 19th century permitting. Plus: Trump's trade flurry, China's mineral monopoly, and why we have 2 icebreakers while Russia has 54.

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00:00 - Goldman's Jersey City building and Connecticut commuters
01:36 - Collide's IRR triples with software sales
03:19 - Why retail AI can't handle deep energy verticals
05:50 - Devon-Coterra merger breaks: $58B Delaware play
08:29 - $1B in synergies means AI replaces people
11:03 - No-premium stock mergers finally catch on
13:19 - Panther to WPX to Devon Delaware journey
15:11 - Oklahoma builds energy companies Houston acquires
17:12 - Grok's brutal take on the merger
20:15 - Scale drives cost of capital advantages
22:13 - Data center cancellations spike from 6 to 25
25:23 - Microsoft's Azure growth disappoints Wall Street
27:18 - Why AI compute costs become investor concerns
29:20 - Collide builds Spindletop for on-prem processing
31:40 - Data centers pivot from urban to distributed models
33:40 - PJM cancellations expose grid reliability crisis
36:31 - Trade policy lightning round begins
39:14 - US shipbuilding can't compete with China's 300x capacity
41:37 - Rubio builds OPEC for critical minerals

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Winter Storm Fern Flops, ERCOT Grid Survives & IEA's $15 Trillion Oil Mistake | BDE 01.29.2629 Jan 202600:43:27

Winter Storm Fern exposed the grid's contradictions, New England burned 40% oil for power while sitting 300 miles from the Marcellus Shale, ERCOT's batteries sat idle during $2,000/MWh spikes, and solar panels disappeared under snow. Meanwhile, the IEA quietly restored their realistic demand forecasts after five years of transition fantasy, revealing a $15 trillion underinvestment hole. Toby Rice reminded everyone what actual energy leadership looks like by getting wells back online in a hard hat instead of pontificating from Davos.

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You're Not Getting Another Corporate Job (Here's the Bypass) | Unrigged 001
https://youtu.be/l9Afd5ZsoFw?si=Gu8-y7S-S0MxfpJl

00:00 - Grading Winter Storm Fern's impact across regions
00:27 - Texas holds steady while Tennessee takes the hit
01:30 - Ice driving disasters make great Instagram content
03:26 - Trucks on ice: the overconfidence problem
04:33 - Casino trips and Livingston's reputation
05:27 - New England burns 40% oil during peak demand
06:25 - Marcellus Shale produces 28 BCF/day but can't reach Boston
07:40 - The hypocrisy of Massachusetts energy lectures
09:29 - Still importing LNG into Boston after 22 years
10:28 - Tennessee outages hit harder than expected
12:00 - Why batteries didn't discharge during price spikes
14:16 - Cold weather physics limits battery performance
16:05 - ERCOT as the world's biggest Rube Goldberg machine
17:32 - Tax subsidies create grid dysfunction
18:16 - Snow coverage kills solar instantly
19:22 - 95 gigawatts of renewables vs 85 gigawatt peak demand
20:27 - ERCOT's unique generation philosophy
21:37 - 10 BCF/day of gas production offline from freeze
22:47 - Toby Rice gets wells back online in the field
23:39 - IEA's five-year detour from reality
26:14 - $15 trillion underinvestment hole in upstream spending
27:58 - Shale revolution changed exploration economics
30:27 - Exploration skills at historically low capacity
32:05 - Why supermajors can't compete in unconventional
33:28 - Shell's struggles in Argentina and Eagle Ford
35:13 - Nothing cures prices like prices
36:32 - Europe's transition policies cause real damage
38:28 - IEA leadership needs radical overhaul
39:42 - Software sales and oil company workflows
41:27 - Corvette shopping and career transitions

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Trump at Davos, Natural Gas Spike & Continental Energy Halts Drilling | 01.23.2623 Jan 202600:43:16

Kirk, Chuck, and Mark reunite on the Big Digital Energy Show to dissect the week's chaos - from natural gas spiking 75% in five days while Waha trades negative, to Trump's Davos windmill rant and the mainstream media's Greenland invasion hysteria. They break down why Harold Hamm's decision to shut down Continental's drilling makes perfect economic sense at $70 oil, debate whether 50% well-level returns ever translated to actual corporate performance, and explain how OPEC's Amine Nasser is signaling that global spare capacity is actually lower than the 2.5% he's publicly claiming. Plus, the crew explores how AI-native workflows are creating trillion-dollar opportunities by capturing decision-making data that Excel spreadsheets and Salesforce never could, all while Kirk dodges the incoming Dallas ice storm from his parents' house.

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Cody Jinks & Ward Davis - Full Interview | Late August Sessions Ep. 1

https://youtu.be/p2qmKBTrWLU?si=t5q3HXo8-bp9cU7x


00:00 Winter storm forecast and natural gas price spike
04:36 Waha pricing chaos and infrastructure bottlenecks
07:49 Trump's Davos speech and windmill comments
15:16 Military action in Greenland media hysteria explained
19:00 UK turning North Sea into museum of regret
21:14 China's climate strategy and green technology positioning
26:20 Harold Hamm shuts down Continental drilling completely
31:14 Well-level returns versus corporate performance disconnect
35:15 Aramco CEO on global spare capacity concerns
40:07 AI-native software capturing workflow data

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Trump vs Exxon on Venezuela, Chevron’s Caution, & Conoco’s $6–$12B Problem | BDE 01.19.2619 Jan 202601:02:20

Venezuela’s “open for business” moment gets a reality check, plus a wild Chavez-in-Houston story that tells you everything you need to know. Mark and David Pursell unpack why Exxon and friends are hesitant, what the EIA gets right and wrong, why the forward curve is the real lie detector, how Iran risk actually moves barrels, BP’s renewable hangover, and Tesla casually speed-running a lithium refinery in Texas.

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00:00 Tech hiccups and setup
01:00 Chavez Houston story
05:00 Trump press conference and Venezuela hype
08:00 Why Venezuela isn’t investable
14:30 EIA outlook and US production
19:00 Rigs, frac spreads, and revisions
22:00 Backwardation vs contango
27:00 Iran supply risk
30:30 Condensate and power constraints
38:30 Geopolitical risk premiums
40:30 BP write-downs and strategy shifts
46:30 Energy transition reality check
53:30 Tesla lithium refinery in Texas
56:30 Data centers and power scramble
01:01:30 Wrap-up and outlook

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Landman Pay Stagnates, AI Hits the Field, & NAPE Signals a Bigger Energy Shift | 01.14.2614 Jan 202600:42:54

Landman day rates have basically been stuck in neutral since 2000, and Kyle Reynolds of RBG Permian walks Chuck through why that’s turning into a real problem as the field vets age out. Along the way they hit what AAPL actually does, why records still aren’t fully digital, how AI is speeding up title work without replacing judgment, and why NAPE is quietly turning into a marketplace for way more than just oil and gas.

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00:00 Oscars cold open and grim stats tease
01:00 AAPL basics and what it actually does
03:20 The field landman shortage and aging workforce
05:10 Day rates vs inflation and the ROI argument
06:05 Why tech hasn’t removed courthouse work
12:15 Speeding up drill readiness with better pay and tools
15:30 AI in land work, productivity, and replacement fears
20:00 Why humans still need the rules to break them
26:00 Data centers, minerals, and land becoming the bottleneck
33:20 NAPE dates, format changes, and what’s new
36:20 Hubs: bitcoin, minerals, rare earths, offshore, data centers
39:05 Energy is really electrons now
41:10 Paying for quality and avoiding expensive cleanup later

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Year-in-Review: WTI Whiplash, EIA vs Texas Data & Venezuela Shock | BDE 01.09.2610 Jan 202601:08:02

Oil prices, gas at the pump, Venezuela headlines, and a brutally honest scorecard on markets, politics, and global conflict all collide as Chuck and Mark walk through what actually mattered this year. From WTI whiplash and frack spread confusion to Trump’s energy strategy, midterm math, and why narratives keep beating fundamentals, this one feels like a whiteboard session that got a little too real.

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00:00 New year banter and market mood
02:00 WTI and gasoline reality check
05:00 Frac spreads, rigs, and production confusion
10:30 Venezuela headlines vs fundamentals
16:00 Energy stocks and discipline
19:00 Grading the administration
25:00 Immigration, wars, and geopolitics
39:00 Tariffs, trade, and supply chains
47:00 Energy transition reality check
53:00 2026 oil and gas predictions
59:00 Midterms outlook and wrap-up

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Can Venezuela Replace the Permian? Not a Spigot + What to Watch Next | BDE 01.09.2509 Jan 202600:58:47

Headlines love tossing around Venezuela’s “303 billion barrels” like it’s a magic switch, but the reality is messy, expensive, and slow. Mark and David Pursell, Adjunct Professor of Petroleum Engineering, walk through why heavy oil, busted infrastructure, and shaky politics make this a long-cycle rebuild, not a drill-and-chill moment, plus what to watch in markets when the story sounds too easy.

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00:00 Intro and why Venezuela is everywhere
02:10 David’s Venezuela background and PDVSA history
07:40 Why production is hard to restart
09:20 Reserves vs resources and the heavy oil problem
12:45 Refining limits and why Canada filled the gap
16:05 Capital, contracts, and what companies actually watch
24:45 Guyana, Argentina, and above-ground risk
29:00 Inventories, OPEC, and where the “surplus” is hiding
37:15 What to watch over the next 18 months
50:10 Saudi data story and why numbers get political
55:20 Teaching, capstone, and wrapping up

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Public E&P Is Broken, Cambridge Activism, & Why Energy Stocks Stay Unloved | BDE 12.24.2524 Dec 202501:05:28

Trading rigs and rock samples for spreadsheets and shareholder battles, Mark Viviano, CFA from Kimmeridge walks through how he stumbled into energy investing, why shale rewired valuation thinking, and how the sector managed to grow like crazy while lighting free cash flow on fire. The convo hits consolidation, why big institutions mostly hide in the top names, and why activism plus a technical bench might be the only way to get boards to move faster.

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00:00 Safe harbor and why this convo exists
01:15 Mark’s path into investing
03:05 Building credentials and breaking into research
05:16 Landing on the energy team
08:03 Conventional to shale and valuation shifts
13:18 The negative free cash flow era
16:29 Why energy shrank inside the S&P
17:24 Too many public E&Ps and consolidation
20:18 Institutions hug the biggest names
23:06 Expertise drain and small caps struggle
28:54 Leaving Wellington and joining Kimmeridge
32:03 Why activism matters in energy
37:05 Timing the move into 2020
40:10 How activism fits the sector today
47:57 Portfolio quality over top down labels
57:39 Gas, power, and AI data center demand
01:01:11 New revenue streams and the next cycle

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2025 Community Year In Review: How Collide Evolved This Year (And What's Next)23 Dec 202500:42:33

Collide basically did its own Spotify Wrapped and the punchline is simple: the community doubled, the conversations got more technical, and the team got way clearer on what Collide is now and where it’s headed. Crystal, Todd, Jacob, and Sydney walk through 2025 stats, why events evolved, how Energy 101 came back, what university partnerships unlocked, why Collider AI took a pause, and the platform upgrades and community goals lined up for 2026.

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00:00 Collide Wrapped setup
 00:24 Why an energy specific platform works
 01:29 LinkedIn fatigue and the Collide vision
 02:55 Community calls and Power Hours
 03:33 Member growth stats
 04:26 2025 output highlights
 05:04 Events evolved and ETN sunset
 09:38 What members missed most
 10:28 Energy 101 comeback
 13:24 University partnerships
 18:56 Student field trip recap
 21:49 Talent pipeline and students
 25:24 Collider AI update
 29:31 Gamification and Dog House
 33:02 Platform UX roadmap
 33:48 2026 goals and favorite moments
 42:02 Wrap and thanks

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Collide AI 2025 Wrapped Part 1: Why Forward Deployed Engineers Ship When AI Pilots Fail23 Dec 202500:48:02

Collide AI 2025 Wrapped Part 1 turns into a real talk on why forward deployed engineers win where AI pilots stall, with Michael Cortez, John, and Nick Smart swapping war stories from completions, geophysics, and the startup trenches while they map out how Collide Enterprise moves past basic chat tools into search plus workflows that actually hold up in the real world.

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00:00 Setup and intros
 00:45 Michael’s path and joining Collide
 01:59 Nick’s background and role shift
 03:08 Collide Enterprise vs community
 04:16 Search, RAG, and workflow evolution
 06:31 Why out of the box AI falls short
 08:41 Time savings and real work focus
 11:39 Single source of truth vision
 13:16 Small teams scaling bigger assets
 17:18 AI adoption vs past tech hype
 19:26 Digital transformation missing link
 20:20 Why FDEs make pilots work
 23:36 Biggest learnings this year
 31:52 What’s next in 2026
 38:57 Bold predictions for 3 to 5 years
 47:37 Fine tuned models teaser and wrap

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Collide AI 2025 Wrapped Part 2: Scaling AI From Proof of Concept to Production23 Dec 202500:54:37

Catching yourself rereading last year’s VC emails while you’re back in Silicon Valley is a pretty good way to realize how wild the last 12 months have been. Colin, Chuck, Canisius, and Todd break down how Collide AI is turning fast POCs into real production workflows, why change management is the actual moat, and how a stacked forward deployed team plus community driven distribution is setting up 2026 to be the year everything scales.

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00:00 Product market fit jokes and kickoff
00:28 VC email flashback and velocity
01:29 Forward deployed model and AI first mindset
02:18 Sam Texas and AI coding shift
04:04 What AI first actually means
06:18 Not just podcast bros anymore
07:00 AI breaks silos across the business
08:21 Doglegs example and incentives
09:57 Change management is the advantage
10:18 Client story and regulatory filings win
12:42 Selling outcomes not hype
13:36 Building the FTE team and faster delivery
16:24 AI strategy as workflow ROI first
18:26 Grok as a thought partner and GPU cluster
20:15 Shale revolution mindset parallel
22:29 Recruiting, software DNA, and stacked team
26:16 Content and community as a recruiting engine
29:11 Distribution flywheel in the real world
30:22 Team distribution vs product debate
32:32 2026 is the scaling year
34:02 Community platform finally clicking
36:09 Building the community platform the hard way
39:20 Scaling clients, POCs, and production
41:09 Why mom and pops matter
41:55 Energy demand tailwinds and macro impact
44:44 One word answer for next year: scale
45:20 POC to production cycle time focus
47:12 Scaling tech, sales, and financing
49:45 Moving at AI speed story
50:14 Raising capital and building serious software
52:56 Collide as the operator layer vision
54:02 Gratitude and community over everything

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Ford Takes $19.5B EV Hit, BP Dumps CEO, & Trump “Blockades” Venezuela | BDE 12.19.2519 Dec 202500:53:36

Studio one glow up and the gang is officially back as Kirk Coburn, Chuck Yates, and Mark Meyer trade Texas football and tamale truths, then jump into Ford’s EV write down, BP’s CEO shuffle and what it signals, a quick tour of PE continuation funds around Ascent, and Trump turning up pressure on Venezuela before sliding into holiday stories and band lore.

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00:00 Studio one return and catching up
02:05 Nantucket, offshore wind, and moving to Dallas
11:20 Ford EV impairment and the pivot back
21:05 BP CEO exit and Meg O’Neill incoming
32:10 Ascent bid and continuation fund basics
39:57 Venezuela pressure and oil angle
45:28 Holiday stories and Christmas rituals
50:57 Rice band legends and sign off

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Can One Governor Candidate Rewrite Alaska’s Energy Future?02 Dec 202500:50:41

Adam Crum brings some serious Alaska energy, literally and figuratively, as he sits down with Chuck to talk about where the state’s headed and how he thinks it can get there. He opens up about everything from playing football at Northwestern to steering Alaska through COVID, all the way to why he thinks the state’s future depends on smarter energy development, fixing outdated policies like the Jones Act, and protecting the culture that makes Alaska, well… Alaska. It’s a mix of big ideas, real talk, and a few stories you probably haven’t heard before, all centered around what it takes to lead and build a sustainable path forward for the Last Frontier.

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00:00 - Intro
01:00 - Alaska Governor Candidacy Motivation
04:50 - Journey to Northwestern University
09:57 - College Football Experience
11:49 - Early Career Path
18:04 - Current Professional Role
22:46 - COVID-19 Challenges
25:54 - Effectiveness of COVID Regulations
29:54 - Ranked-Choice Voting in Alaska
33:19 - Overview of Alaska's Energy Industry
37:02 - Energy Policy Discussion
38:40 - Impact of the Jones Act
48:40 - Outro
49:50 - Connecting with Adam Online

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DOE's $1B Nuke Bet, China’s Coal Loop, & Al Gore’s COP Circus | 11.21.2521 Nov 202500:39:08

Chuck and Mark crank up the camp as they riff on the Landman season two premiere, bouncing from the show’s oil-patch chaos to the real-world energy circus. They torch the DOE Loan Programs Office’s messy reputation while breaking down its latest billion-dollar moves, like the $1B revival of Three Mile Island for Microsoft and AEP’s $1.6B transmission upgrade, along with its surprisingly strong 3.3% default rate and Tesla’s quick 2013 repayment. Then it’s off to China, where a coal-to-liquids boom big enough to replace 1.3 million barrels a day pairs with thorium molten-salt reactors and plans for a 200-MW nuclear-powered mega-ship by 2035, all signaling Beijing’s trademark long-game dominance. And in peak absurdity, ManBearPig strolls into COP30 as media fawns over Al Gore’s “climate rockstar” entrance, even as new studies warn of a potential Gulf Stream collapse that could freeze Europe like Arctic Canada. All the chaos, all the laughs, all the BDE energy.

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00:00 - Intro
02:43 - DOE LPO Funding
12:15 - China Energy Policies
19:59 - Energy Tariffs Impact
23:15 - Thorium Molten Salt Reactors
26:17 - Closing the Energy Loop
28:17 - Al Gore COP26 Speech
34:14 - MIT Gulf Stream Collapse
36:00 - Episode Wrap-Up

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Congress Chaos, FAA Close Call & COP30’s Amazon Irony | BDE 11.15.2515 Nov 202500:41:53

COP30’s giving big “save the trees… after we bulldoze them” energy, and Kirk and Mark are all over it. They roast the idea of hosting a climate conference in the Amazon while clearing land for roads, hotels, and runways, right as private jets zip overhead and new drilling permits get stamped. It’s peak irony, wrapped in green branding. They unpack the politics, the money, the energy realities no one onstage wants to mention, and why these climate summits keep feeling more like PR tours than solutions. Sharp takes, spicy commentary, and a whole lot of uncomfortable truth about what “going green” really looks like when the cameras are rolling.

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00:00 - How are you
01:17 - FAA Shutdown News
07:13 - Sanctions Update in Energy Sector
11:16 - Shell vs BG Venture Global Analysis
13:58 - COP26 Climate Conference Highlights
21:56 - IEA World Energy Outlook 2022 Insights
36:28 - College Football Roundup
40:00 - Last Minute Energy Update
40:31 - Wrapping Up Discussion
41:38 - Goodbye and Closing Remarks

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The Sable vs. Coastal Commission Showdown, Explained | BDE 11.04.2504 Nov 202500:52:14

California’s energy situation is getting messy, and the story behind it isn’t what most people think. Mark sits down with Mike Umbro, founder of Californians for Energy & Science, to break down how policy decisions, refinery shutdowns, and halted oil production are reshaping the state’s entire energy mix. They dig into why geothermal isn’t the quick fix it’s made out to be, how rising energy costs and job losses are hitting local communities, and the surprising environmental fallout from natural oil seeps along the coast. It’s a raw, honest look at what happens when politics and energy collide, straight from someone who’s been in the trenches.

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00:00 - Intro
03:58 - California Oil and Gas Industry Overview
06:38 - Santa Barbara Channel Environmental Issues
09:10 - California Energy Commission Hearings
18:40 - Offshore Oil Exploration in California
19:30 - Sable Offshore Energy Insights
23:50 - SB 237 and Coastal Commission Impacts
26:30 - Restarting Sycamore's Significance for California
29:55 - Environmental Benefits of Responsible Oil Production
40:44 - Economic Consequences of Inaction
43:43 - SYU Crude and Import Displacement
49:00 - Final Thoughts on Energy Policy
51:29 - Outro

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Gates Backpedals on Climate, Trump’s China “Win,” & US Hits Russia’s Oil Giants | BDE 10.31.2503 Nov 202500:54:14

Bill Gates’ latest climate pivot is stirring things up, and the guys are all over it. Kirk, Chuck, and Mark break down why Gates is stepping away from the emissions-only mindset and putting people back at the center of the climate conversation, think healthcare, infrastructure, and everyday quality of life. From the ripple effects across the energy world to Big Tech’s growing influence, they don’t hold back. The crew also tackles U.S.-China trade tensions, Russian oil sanctions, and how AI could shake up the future of energy. It’s a sharp, funny, and surprisingly optimistic take on one of the biggest climate conversations happening right now.

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00:00 - Halloween Shenanigans
03:20 - Bill Gates Emissions Priority
09:02 - Oil Prices Increase Since 2015
21:00 - US-China Trade Talks Update
24:10 - Jensen Huang on US-China Trade
27:39 - Russia Oil Sanctions Impact
32:52 - Final Thoughts Before We Go
46:24 - Kirk's Surrender Video Insights
51:00 - Mark's Final Thoughts
54:05 - Weekend Wishes and Closing Remarks

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Sable Offshore Stalled, BP’s ICC Win, Oil Glut or Tightness?, Waha $0 Gas | BDE 10.18.2518 Oct 202500:45:50

California’s energy mess is heating up, and Kirk and Mark aren’t holding back. They’re calling out what happens when regulators, like the California Coastal Commission, start flexing too hard, leaving companies like Sable Offshore tangled in lawsuits over something as basic as fixing old oil platforms near Santa Barbara. Between the fallout from the 2015 pipeline spill, shrinking refining capacity, and a growing dependence on imported crude, California’s energy future looks messy at best. The guys dig into whether regulation is protecting the environment or just strangling innovation and property rights. And because no episode’s complete without a few curveballs, they also weigh in on Phil Mickelson’s surprise energy takes, Venture Global’s LNG drama, and the weirdly booming-yet-bloated Permian gas market. It’s sharp, fiery, and full of big-picture takes on how policy, money, and power collide in the energy world.

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00:00 - Intro
01:25 - California Offshore Oil & Gas Industry
08:12 - Trump and Drug Trafficking Boats
09:11 - California Gas Prices Analysis
11:18 - Emergencies and Property Rights Erosion
14:08 - BP Arbitration Victory over Venture Global
19:15 - Waha Price Fluctuations Explained
28:50 - Energy Information Forum Highlights
31:51 - Forecasting vs. Energy Planning Strategies
37:27 - Golf in the Energy Sector
41:00 - LIV Golf Financial Overview
43:19 - Weather Impact on Energy Markets
44:23 - Thanks for Tuning In

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Oil Markets Go Schizo, OPEC+ Blinks & Cenovus Doubles Down on Canada’s “Peak Oil” Bet | BDE 25.10.0909 Oct 202500:46:11

Oil at $500? Yeah, not happening, at least not anytime soon. Kirk, Chuck, and Mark unpack the hype around that wild prediction and explain what’s actually driving oil markets right now. Between OPEC’s chess moves, shifting U.S. production, and global demand swings, there’s plenty to keep traders guessing. They also get into the ripple effects of renewables, how countries are juggling sustainability with economic reality, and a few curveballs, like the MEG Energy deal, that have everyone talking. It’s a smart, unfiltered look at where the energy world’s really headed.

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Click here to view the episode transcript.

00:00 - Chuck’s Medical Emergency
02:34 - Show Intro and Overview
06:28 - OPEC+ Surprise Announcement
08:41 - Trump’s Peace Plan and Oil Markets
17:54 - Future of Renewables in Energy
21:15 - Investing in Energy Technology
22:37 - China’s Energy Strategy and Impact
25:00 - Knowledge Gaps in Energy Sector
27:30 - Costs of Bad Energy Policy
30:25 - Addressing Grid Challenges
36:31 - Ambler Mining Road Discussion
39:08 - Finger of the Week Highlight
45:50 - Show Closing Remarks

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