Explorez tous les épisodes du podcast AI Explained Official Podcast

In the week that software got reverse engineered, Sam Altman warned 6.1 Astra ‘tipped toward [breach risk], and Muse Wonder showed the race isn’t slowing, I try to step back and show where it is all going, on current trends. Agree or disagree, it is certainly interesting times.

0:00 Introduction

0:41 Part 1: The Forthcoming Breach

8:43 Part 2: Why the Labs Keep Racing

15:41 Part 3: Why the Next 18 Months Are Hard to Predict

Sam Altman: the accident risk, Vanity Fair: https://www.vanityfair.com/story/sam-altman-exclusive-interview-part-2

Dario Amodei: We Must Pace the Frontier: https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier

Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind: https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/

OpenAI: progress in mathematics: https://openai.com/index/sharing-ai-progress-in-mathematics/

OpenAI mathematical manuscripts: https://github.com/openai/math

AHM statement on OpenAI’s mathematics release: https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/10/07/ahm-statement-on-openais-october-6-release-of-mathematical-documents/

TasteVal: research taste in AI systems: https://pzeroresearch.com/work/tasteval/

TasteVal paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.06824

Claude Opus 5.5 system card: https://anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5-system-card

Jack Clark: creativity and recursive self-improvement: https://jack-clark.net/2026/10/12/import-ai-476-creativity-and-rsi-worse-than-china-open-weight-models-ai-goes-to-space/

Andrej Karpathy: the widening AI perception gap: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2109361546505966046

Axios: AI companies plan for a major incident: https://www.axios.com/2026/10/09/ai-companies-day-after-major-attack

Anthropic: investigating unintended model actions: https://www.anthropic.com/research/investigating-unintended-model-actions

CIAware-Bench: detecting control interventions: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.11063

Yoshua Bengio: prioritizing safety at frontier labs: https://www.transformernews.ai/p/yoshua-bengio-if-you-prioritize-safety-leave-frontier-ai-companies

David Silver: Where are we going without AI?: https://www.ft.com/content/462c303b-b96c-4262-a7ca-e9ae7e440828

Satya Nadella: models as insider risks: https://x.com/satyanadella/status/2108931348857827686

Beyond Owls: skills, hacking and backdoors: https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.10657

Owain Evans: backdoors through number sequences: https://x.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/2108589303249166621

The Verge: mathematicians assess OpenAI’s release: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/1008726/openai-mathematics-solutions-chaos

New York Times: AI models and Hurricane Isaias: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/weather/ai-models-hurricane-isaias.html

Politico: AI agents and the law: https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/12/AI-agents-hacking-cases

The Economist: liability law will not tame AI: https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/10/08/liability-law-will-not-tame-ai

Olivia Scharfman and David Bellamy: biosecurity and AI: https://writing.oliviahelens.com/p/biosecurity-ai-and-the-culture-war

Alignment Engineering vs Misalignment Science: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FogmcDHA6AdMGukum/alignment-engineering-vs-misalignment-science

Sam Altman: the US lead in AI: https://x.com/sama/status/2080683363174945065

The Guardian: China and the AI race: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ng-interactive/2026/sep/19/china-ai-foreign-policy-dario-amodei

Joe on AI sandboxes and security: https://x.com/joedaroo/status/2104335929293127851

REA: Reverse Engineer Anything: https://www.reddit.com/r/tech_x/comments/1x2d66l/github_project_called_rea_reverse_engineer/

Nikita Bier: AI-assisted fabrication: https://x.com/nikitabier/status/2106104189457952911

Sam Altman: how sci-fi will it get?: https://x.com/vikktorrrre/status/2107736059006050810

This video is hard to summarise. A cracked cipher, an OpenAI security warning, Gemini 4 Argon, RSI paper (co-authored by a who’s who of AI), Lab White House commitments, new hacks emerging, ‘deep personas’, biology Kasparov competitions, and so much more, ending with an epic Opus outro.


Patreon Exclusives: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:32 - Wrong about Opus 5.5? Deciphering 16th Century Text
05:01 - Why the models keep breaking out
11:40 - What the models aren't telling us
15:36 - Gemini 4 and the race to release
19:19 - What happens when AI improves AI?
28:31 - Biology, consciousness, and what we still don't understand


Joe Darrow: Not Just the Sandbox: https://x.com/joedaroo/status/2104335929293127851

GPT-6.1 Sol System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/38e3efcf-545e-44cd-99ec-2b7eb395f4cc/oai_GPT_6_1_Sol.pdf

Intelligence Explosion Paper: https://casp.ac/__l5e/assets-v1/5efd4b41-deb5-4513-a0a3-b4f82d2b79ea/intelligence-explosion.pdf

OpenAI Research Acceleration: https://openai.com/index/research-acceleration-view-inside-openai/

OpenAI Training Safety Cases: https://openai.com/index/towards-safety-cases-for-frontier-ai-training/

Catherine de Medicis Cipher: https://cryptiana.web.fc2.com/code/henryiii.htm

Proposed du Croc Decipherment: https://claude.ai/artifact/1W7B3WxkTAEGzfv3TaKXb4

Rogue Agents Investigation: https://asymmetricsecurity.com/newsroom/rogue-agents-investigation/

OpenAI Shelves GPT-6.1 Astra: https://www.reuters.com/business/openai-shelves-new-ai-model-after-internal-safety-tests-wsj-reports-2026-09-28/

The Case for Reasoning Transparency: https://institute.deepmind.com/essays/the-case-for-reasoning-transparency/

Gemini 4 Argon: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/

OpenAI–Anthropic Rivalry: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/09/openai-v-anthropic-inside-biggest-rivalry-tech/688819/

NYT: OpenAI Security Warnings: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/technology/openai-warnings-security.html

NYT: Claude’s Morals: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/us/anthropic-claude-morals-ai.html

Jasmine Wang on RSI: https://x.com/j_asminewang/status/2097840245786157432

OpenAI Departures Roundup: https://x.com/Bayesian0_0/status/2105680470566686805

White House AI Commitments: https://x.com/Danmar_here/status/2105168138392183146

Sarah Heck on Safety: https://x.com/SarahKHeck/status/2105058513370448280

Sam Altman on Alignment: https://x.com/tbpn/status/2105028992843833459

Sam Altman on Agent Logs: https://x.com/sama/status/2103567198690349362

Micah Carroll: Misalignment Reports: https://x.com/MicahCarroll/status/2103665811051397256

Zuxin Liu on the Incident: https://x.com/LiuZuxin/status/2103699462648639645

Deepa Seetharaman: User Images: https://x.com/dseetharaman/status/2103585482793943203

OpenAI Revenue Chart: https://x.com/PaulBonnet/status/2105288259324567884/photo/1

Nvidia Agent Safety Platform: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/09/28/business/nvidia-ai-safety-system

IntegrityBench: https://integrity-bench.com

Neel Nanda on Interpretability: https://x.com/PalisadeAI/status/2104949061325652001

Biology Contest: Humans and AI: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-drama-behind-biology-contest-pits-openai-agents-humans

Pushmeet Kohli: SynthID Bio: https://x.com/pushmeet/status/2105314763148321102

Ataraxos and Stratego: https://x.com/ssokota/status/2105362040328159526

Benign Data and Hidden Personas: https://x.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/1999172949975392417

Anthropic: Introspection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspection

Claude Cheating Results: https://x.com/lukaspet/status/2104634759339298930

Roon on Mathematics and Learning Theory: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2105619006488993898

GPT-4 Research: https://openai.com/index/gpt-4-research/

I.J. Good: Ultraintelligent Machine: https://incompleteideas.net/papers/Good65ultraintelligent.pdf

Terence Tao’s 2024 Interview: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/ai-will-become-mathematicians-co-pilot/

Hugging Face Incident: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/

Claude and Suno Music Video: https://x.com/sevdeawesome/status/2104985610012504181



Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Not only is Opus 5.5 out, pushing the frontier of AI, it also tells us much about what is going on inside the labs, as they both warn about, and promise, Recursive Self Improvement, aka automated AI research. I cover the model (digging into its 230 page paper), labs’ mixed record on promises, why following what is happening in AI is getting almost impossible, and just so much more that even a summary in this description would get too long.


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:20 - Opus 5.5 and why it came so soon
07:52 - The RSI goalposts keep moving?
15:41 - Can we actually test these models?
23:50 - where this is heading, options


Introducing Claude Opus 5.5: https://www.anthropic.com/claude-opus-5-5
Claude Opus 5.5 System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/fc1b44717c85dc068bc6ba5024219938094694bd/Claude%20Opus%205.5%20System%20Card.pdf
Anthropic: Measurements for understanding the pace of AI development inside frontier labs: https://www.anthropic.com/institute/measuring-pace-of-ai-development
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy, July 2026, version 3.4: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/files/4zrzovbb/website/0bacdc8440ea96e62a8766d99ebe1d4eea6d5f3a.pdf
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy, October 2024: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/616dee633636e5bd309cb73aed8622e80fe47839.pdf
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — March 2025, version 2.1: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/17310f6d70ae5627f55313ed067afc1a762a4068.pdf
Noam Brown, Agent swarms and recursive self-improvement: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AgOfiZOWiY
OpenAI: Building standards for the next phase of AI: https://openai.com/index/building-standards-next-phase-ai/
Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind: https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/
HLE-Diamond, Humanity’s Last Exam: https://lastexam.ai/blog/hle-diamond
Google, OpenAI and Anthropic AI Safety, The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/google-openai-anthropic-ai-safety-group-takes-shape
Lawrence Chan on AI agents attempting cryptocurrency trades: https://x.com/justanotherlaw/status/2103032173708337188
Australian government incident timeline: https://x.com/ShakeelHashim/status/2103108058779922577/photo/1
Anthropic’s core/old views on AI safety: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety
Dario Amodei: The Urgency of Interpretability: https://darioamodei.com/post/the-urgency-of-interpretability
Massive AI-Fueled Hack Hit 100 Companies in Days, Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/thomasbrewster/2026/09/22/huge-cyberattack-uses-anthropic-and-deepseek-ai-to-target-100-companies/
DrivingBench https://x.com/DrivingBench/status/2102110605448737268
Jay Chooi: GPT-6 Astra and MolmoAct2 robotics comparison: https://x.com/chooi_jeq/status/2098427488787730636
ZeroBench: An Impossible Visual Benchmark for Contemporary Large Multimodal Models: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.09696
Archie Hall on AI and short-term superforecasting: https://x.com/ArchieHall/status/2100914560580337897

Keller Jordan, AI research and reinforcement learning: https://x.com/kellerjordan0/status/2102956913545936959
Daniel Liu, recursive self-improvement: https://x.com/daniel_c0deb0t/status/2102628246408036654
Altman and Amodei, UN Security Council: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/23/unga-sam-altman-dario-amodei
Rehan Sheikh: Interactive YT podcast demo: https://x.com/rehan_shei/status/2102835377426034734
https://simple-bench.com/

AI Explained: The State of AI — interactive diagram: https://claude.ai/artifact/LQHr9WgvQZ6cMdH6fkiQpi
AI Explained: Shards of Aether: https://ai-explained.itch.io/shards-of-aether

roon on the pace of cultural change: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2101462171410677962
Sam Altman on AI-risk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YE5adUeTe_I
Jensen Huang’s AI-control remarks: https://x.com/_NathanCalvin/status/2102756997649355231/photo/2
s1r1us on an upcoming vulnerability disclosure: https://x.com/S1r1u5_/status/2102467878423592969
Jake Adler on biodefense infrastructure: https://x.com/jakeadler/status/2102812430808363433
Derek Thompson: Why we’re wrong about China and AI: https://x.com/DKThomp/status/2103120690370982017/photo/1
Sanders and Casar introduce the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-create-new-federal-agency-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-pause-advanced-ai-development/



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Why has it been the last few days that the calls to come to pace the frontier AI have come so loudly? The safety warnings, and lab leader messages? Let’s explore the six axes that the researchers are looking at, the incidence reports and trends, to get a better gauge on what has dominated the world’s headlines for over two weeks…

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
0:00 - The warnings that have gone omega-viral
4:23 - Six axes the researchers saw
9:32 - Why AI Might Be Becoming Harder to Control
15:06 - Amodei, China and Cooperation
18:42 - From AI Capabilities to Real-World Harm?
23:22 - The upside and the warning

We Must Pace the Frontier
https://darioamodei.com/post/we-must-pace-the-frontier

Adam Majmudar on scaling and the internal/external perception gap
https://x.com/MajmudarAdam/status/2098881885200081234

AI Explained — What’s Behind the Sudden Talk of Pacing AI? (extended previous video)
https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/whats-behind-of-169507775

Jacob Coxon resignation
https://x.com/hilbertspaess/status/2097476196791709843

Dan Selsam — Personal Statement on AI Risk
https://docs.google.com/document/d/e/2PACX-1vQNl3SEX5IyA6d9qHjjFZN-qzGRZNFI6b63g-yu1Fy-ZYkVfCWm7i9WXRXw63m6yDB_auDuPLyQ7jBm/pub

Demis Hassabis: A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Age
https://demishassabis.substack.com/p/a-framework-for-frontier-ai-and-the-dawning-of-a-new-age

OpenAI: The Hugging Face incident and the road ahead
https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/

Jakub Pachocki: An Alien Mind
https://openai.com/index/an-alien-mind/

Anthropic: Patterns and problems in multiagent systems
https://www.anthropic.com/research/multiagent-systems

OpenAI: Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem
https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/

Noam Brown on reasons for AI-safety concern
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2099726370356314563

Noam Brown — What Happens When AI Starts Improving AI? (The Information interview)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqcy0xQATq0

Paul Christiano: Personal statement on joining the OpenAI board
https://x.com/paulfchristiano/status/2097733214303645729

Neel Nanda: Astra can do a concerning amount with no chain of thought
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eRmzz8J8Qkzqvzrgg/astra-can-do-a-concerning-amount-with-no-chain-of-thought

Tomek Korbak on GPT-6 Astra monitorability
https://x.com/tomekkorbak/status/2095596839886274689

Anthropic: Detecting and countering misuse of AI—September 2026
https://www.anthropic.com/threat-intelligence-report-september-2026

DeepSeek engineer — I Have to Bury My Talent in Yesterday (Chinese original)
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zk0KxuLzhmMJ4LPYW_OHMA

Jacob Coxon on AI race and negotiation
https://x.com/hilbertspaess/status/2099954626040905834

Mo Bavarian on responsibility and AI progress
https://x.com/mobav0/status/2097507030080888864

Addy Osmani on Anthropic engineering throughput
https://x.com/addyosmani/status/2099577600159158765

OpenAI: Jalapeño inference-chip results
https://openai.com/index/jalapeno-first-results/

New York Times: For China, a Mock AI Attack on WeChat Signals a Dangerous New Era
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/11/world/asia/china-ai-attack-wechat.html

OpenAI: Accelerating antibiotic discovery with ChatGPT
https://openai.com/index/accelerating-antibiotic-discovery/

David Bellamy on wet-lab bottlenecks
https://x.com/DavidRBellamy/status/2099197234772607026

Chris Rohlf on infrastructure and AI risk
https://x.com/chrisrohlf/status/2099867580668215622

BBC: Titan CEO dismissed safety warnings as baseless cries
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-65998914


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Where to start? A new era of cost-efficient AI on a day benchmark-makers got humbled, traders got excited, and AI safety researchers got unnerved. From monitorability losing hold of GPT-6 Astra’s chains of thought to breakthrough discoveries, Fable-mogging and much more…

Exclusive Vids ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:53 - vs Fable
05:27 - most impressive results
13:06 - bonus comparisons (plus trading)
18:40 - concerning trend
21:24 - Cot Control

GPT-6: https://openai.com/index/gpt-6-astra/
Paper: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-6-astra/gpt-6-astra.pdf

Looped Transformers and AGI Milestone: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/breakthrough-and-168513408

Messy Rollout: https://x.com/sama/status/2095678759651438887
Much More Capable Models Coming: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2095573400899170592
‘AGI Era’ https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/989601/openai-gpt-6-astra-release

ARC-AGI 3: https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095598451115614371
https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095607046129463577
https://arcprize.org/blog/astra

FrontierMath: https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/tiers-1-4/about
Discovery: https://x.com/jdlichtman/status/2095660916310483087

Fable 5.1: https://www.anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-1
https://science-task-lens.aiex.chatgpt.site/securebio
Agents Last Exam: https://agents-last-exam.org/
Terminal Bench Science: https://github.com/harbor-framework/terminal-bench-science#task-coverage
SRE Bench: https://x.com/ValsAI/status/2087682813743317396
ScreenSpot Pro: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.07981
Weathernext 3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_6jZlnRsXXQ
DayBreak: https://x.com/fouadmatin/status/2095634888951250983
AA Index: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa

Visual Demos: https://x.com/mattshumer_/status/2095609734845927525
https://x.com/codestantine/status/2095598327115260368
https://x.com/SahilExec/status/2095688272269984016

Monitorability: https://x.com/NeelNanda5/status/2095533397297045716
https://x.com/tomekkorbak/status/2095596848581071020
https://x.com/Marcus_J_W/status/2095623593006686475
https://x.com/MicahCarroll/status/2095603855316996529
Not Accept Degradation: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/openai-debuts-gpt-6-astra-security-measures-rcna595940

RSI: https://x.com/LiuZuxin/status/2095600499911446697



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

First, a Time Magazine spread has Sam Altman declaring AGI is imminent, at the same time as we get two bombshell reports, from OpenAI and METR which on first glance are detailing the AI swarm, but reveal a deeper story about how we are making AI in 2026. From redacted risk reports, to Chinese Labs, pre-training debacles to questionable cybersecurity calls, a lot has happened recently, beneath the headlines…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained


pablo2004romero@gmail.com
https://integrity-bench.com/

https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/ai-swarm-cometh-166671390


Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:10 - METR Report
05:00 - Secrets of MultI-Agent Swarm
07:46 - Anthropic Too
10:00 - And China
11:07 - AI Agents Analysing AI Agents
13:37 - Altman AGI 2026
15:36 - Astra Paused
16:01 - Integrity Bench
19:03 - Swarm Dynamics
21:58 - No Human Contact?


METR Post: https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-incident-investigation/#agents-knew-hacking-hugging-face-was-out-of-scope-and-sometimes-expressed-ethical-hesitation,-but-this-very-rarely-limited-their-behavior
OpenAI Release: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/
Technical Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/67869394-cb91-4c12-888c-5cbd85c7814c/OpenAI-Hugging-Face%20Incident-Technical-Report.pdf

BlackHat Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87DyyMV0kCY

Anthropic Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/f61d49fa5596956a5dec75fea0e973bf6a6a8378/Redacted%20Risk%20Report%20August%202026%20.pdf


Value Leakage Paper: https://valueleakage.net/?utm_source=chatgpt.com


Paused Training: https://x.com/sama/status/2089787807611195475
https://openai.com/index/pacing-model-development-cyber-capabilities/
AGI 2026: https://time.com/article/2026/08/26/openai-sam-altman-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=260826

Greenblatt Tweets: https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092769422104822031
https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092692685224325542

Cyberdefense Call: https://openai.com/collective-cyberdefense/

GLM 5.3 and 5.3 Flash / ox alpha: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2089865956558528552
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HPqiTkAa0AAZiuv?format=jpg&name=large



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Wow. Mathematical breakthroughs that would be called genius if done by humans. A secret message-board w/ AI agent swarms leaving notes read by future versions. Hassabis leaves CEO position, or was pushed out? Not to mention news of constitutional breakdowns, Gemini 4 and Jeff Dean…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained


Exclusive Videos - AI Insiders ($7/month if annual!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:16 - 10 Autonomous Discoveries
08:20 - The Security ‘Incident’
15:29 - MessageBoard
19:50 - Constitutional Failure
24:30 - Google Explosion
29:12 - Closing Thoughts

Security Incident: Paper: https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/663bd486c5e4c81588db7a1d/6a724858f7db25c81487016d_Security%20Incident%20INC-2026-07-28-01.pdf
Post: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/incident-report-unsanctioned-agent-behaviour-during-cyber-testing
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/aug/05/ai-models-have-been-going-rogue-in-tests-how-worried-should-we-be
Meta too: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/meta-ai-model-hacked-another-company-cybersecurity-testing?rc=sy0ihq
Blatantly Misaligned: https://x.com/yonashav/status/2085167279893795022
No Excuses: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/2085034783541964945
Surreal Moment: https://x.com/mobav0/status/2084341687883841732
Wired Article: https://archive.is/20260806002210/https://www.wired.com/story/openai-didnt-notice-its-ai-agents-using-a-message-board-to-plan-their-hacking-spree/
Chunky Post-training: https://x.com/johnschulman2/status/2084835800899076313
Watershed Moment: https://www.groundlevel-ai.com/p/openai-gives-first-detailed-debrief?has_completed_unsubscribed_unlock=true
HedgeFund Hack: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/major-hedge-funds-targeted-wave-154044981.html

10 Discoveries:
Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ten-proofs-oai.pdf
Post: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/
Haven’t Solved Math: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2083476852216369294
Half with Fable: https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2083855298239078748
Pivot to Safety: https://www.understandingai.org/p/mathematicians-are-grappling-with


Amodei Essay: https://darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology?utm_source=chatgpt.com
Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution
Midtraining: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.02087

DroneBench: https://andonlabs.com/evals/drone-bench
https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2085125235188310445

Book Deal: https://x.com/venturetwins/status/2085185278378222054
Making Marble: https://x.com/Rainmaker1973/status/2084560915404382685

Google News:
Hassabis Move: https://blog.google/company-news/inside-google/message-ceo/next-chapter-ai-momentum/
Resignation: https://x.com/Turn_Trout/status/2077448610157891734
Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/
Jeff Dean: https://x.com/JeffDean/status/2085034604172603724
14 Challenges: https://gcsp.engineering.asu.edu/apply/become-a-grand-challenge-scholar/the-14-grand-challenges-for-engineering/
Going Places for Sure: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2085223189555126579
Gemini 4: https://x.com/firstadopter/status/2085215060532535449


Pacing Frontier Patreon Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/opus-5-amodei-165170363



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

An unreleased internal OpenAI model, very likely to be called GPT-6, was able to autonomously break out of its sandbox AND break into HugginFace, just to score higher on a benchmark prompt. This video has the details you may have missed, a layperson analogy, whether this is truly novel, and more…

Dozens more Exclusive videos on Patreon ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:17 - HuggingFace Earlier Report - the possible week gap
02:24 - But what happened?
05:45 - Simplified Version
07:56 - Not the first time…
10:54 - What Does it Mean for Open Source?

The Incident: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-model-evaluation-security-incident/
https://huggingface.co/blog/security-incident-july-2026


The Post the Day Before: https://openai.com/index/safety-alignment-long-horizon-models/


Mythos’ Earlier Escape: https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/anthropic-claude-mythos-escaped-sandbox

ExploitGym: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.11086

Sam Confession: https://x.com/sama/status/2079661132302995790

Anthropic Researcher Reacts: https://x.com/Mononofu/status/2079724399452926055

Clem (HuggingFace CEO): https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079670308156645882
https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079301434357456931

Xi Jinping: https://archive.fo/20260717195548/https://www.businessinsider.com/xi-jinping-open-source-ai-us-competition-openai-anthropic-models-2026-7
Bans: https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/ai-us-china-open-source-kimi
Qwen Retweet: https://x.com/AlibabaGroup/with_replies

Codex Growth: https://x.com/petergostev/status/2079614914398740764/photo/1 

Kimi K3: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/harvey-lab-aa?eval-score=all-pass-rate

GPT 5.6 Sol Cheats on METR: https://metr.substack.com/p/2026-06-26-gpt-5-6-sol

Guardian Headline: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jul/22/openai-says-its-models-went-rogue-and-hacked-startup-in-unprecedented-incident

Russian Origin?: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48998362

Power Trends: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HNRtrjhagAAvBN_?format=png&name=900x900



Kimi K3 Exclusive Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/kimi-moment-kimi-164108791



Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

What a week in AI, for real. GPT 5.6 may actually beat Claude Fable, in what you get for your money, while the new Grok 4.5 and Meta Muse Spark 1.1 make the choice even harder. Uncovering a dozen nuggets of gold you may have missed from all the viral headlines, I can also assure you you’ll learn something you didn’t know before.

For Exclusive Videos, go to AI Insiders (less than $9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:03 - GPT 5.6 Sol Reveals
05:08 - Missing benches, plus Grok 4.5
07:17 - Gaming as the new frontier?
08:31 - Muse Spark 1.1
10:03 - SimpleBench Upgrade
11:17 - Ultra Sol + Self-Improvement
13:44 - well, this is awkward
15:41 - Why model improvement will not plateau anytime soon


AI Consciousness: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/anthropics-quite-163360718


I Smell Fear: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2075287108680601929
GPT 5.6: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-6/

Grok 4.5: https://x.ai/news/grok-4-5?twclid=2ezs408o0z23pw07tmxcwbzibd
Meta Muse Spark 1.1: https://ai.meta.com/blog/introducing-muse-spark-meta-model-api/

Proliferating GPT Toggles: https://x.com/rasbt/status/2075369179817902176/photo/1
Anthropic Call-out: https://x.com/Mononofu
AI Security Institute Finding: https://x.com/alxndrdavies/status/2075279480331874306
Competitive Coding: https://x.com/FakePsyho/status/2075128093891801305/photo/1

Agents Last Exam: https://agents-last-exam.org/
Dawn Song: https://x.com/dawnsongtweets/status/2065095757988868190

https://simple-bench.com/

SWE-Marathon: https://www.swe-marathon.org/
https://www.frontierswe.com/
ARC-AGI 3: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2075270869992264003
Automation Bench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code

‘Post-Train Claim’: https://posttrainbench.com/

Redwall Game: https://redwall-bellmaker-7e03e4.surge.sh/




Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Claude Fable 5 banned, but what’s the bigger story. We go through 11 under-reported details, so you have the context to see what’s coming next for your use of AI. From whether the ban will last, what the possible motives are, what the model can actually do, and some wild over-extrapolations going on.


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:51 - Came from an Anthropic Investor ‘and other tech leaders’
01:47 - Govt pressured by CEOs like Jamie Dimon
03:01 - ‘Already decided’
04:02 - Prompt Injection Robustness Comparison
05:15 - Wellness?
06:36 - “Overreach”
08:17 - Anthropic Did Admit it would cause Difficulty
09:32 - 90 Minutes
10:02 - Equity Absence 
10:31 - Lobbying and OpenAI

‘Already Decided’ - https://www.theinformation.com/articles/amazons-jassy-raised-concerns-anthropic-model-trump-crackdown?rc=sy0ihq

Not for Other Models: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/u-s-government-unlikely-extend-anthropic-export-control-ai-companies?rc=sy0ihq

90 Minutes: https://archive.fo/20260614001605/https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/13/inside-the-whirlwind-24-hours-that-led-the-white-house-to-slap-export-controls-on-anthropic-00961519#selection-807.1-807.219

Anthropic Statement: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access

Life Comes at you Fast: https://x.com/etbrooking/status/2065638276388495742

Anthropic Deputy CISO: https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/2065883670053847324

Hegseth Gloat: https://x.com/PeteHegseth/status/2065897156226015690

Roon Speculation: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2065939227167392147

Mythos System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf

Sachs Statement: https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065853007619588171


OpenAI Lobbying: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5912720-altman-openai-get-bogged-down-in-political-spending-fight/

Absent from Equity Talks: https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/trump-ai-ownership-plan-could-131053732.html

Pliny Jaibreak: https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/2064776322979676227

Fusion: https://x.com/OpenRouter/status/2065856871215329545

https://lmcouncil.ai 



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Fable 5 is out - and it’s good, very good. But beyond the splashy demos, I want to bring you the 20+ nuggets from the 319 page system card, which I read in full, all day, plus benchmarks you may not have noticed. 

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

Plus two worrying trends inside the ‘mind’ of Claude, how OpenAI counter, and the transformer inventor’s warning.



Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:06 - Blocks + Better Models
02:42 - Fable 5 Upgrade over Mythos Preview
04:49 - ML Acceleration Bombshell
07:11 - No RSI yet
07:41 - Bio-capable
14:51 - Creative Writing … no
17:23 - Does need bug-checks
18:57 - OpenAI Response
19:23 - Benchmark Bonanza
28:06 - Chain of Thought worrying trend

Fable 5 Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5

System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf

Intelligence Explosion: https://www.patreon.com/posts/anthropic-charts-160231656

Annotated: https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/2064500190523113816/photo/1

OpenAI Counter: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2064572118264913923
https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2043177597434306699

Double Lifespan: https://darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

AutomationBench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
Vending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2064429817530085804
CritPt: https://critpt.com/
Riemann Bench: https://surgehq.ai/leaderboards/riemann-bench
GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa
BluePrint Bench 2: https://andonlabs.com/evals/blueprint-bench-2
MCP Atlas: https://labs.scale.com/leaderboard/mcp_atlas
FutureSim: https://x.com/nikhilchandak29/status/2064676801440358774

Roon Stun Lock: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064454617568874669

Noam Brown Inference Ceiling: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827

Isochronic Chart: https://isochronic-passage-chart.netlify.app/#nyc
Rose Tavern: https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/2295bebe-77e6-43e2-ae94-0fe49e9a776b
Redwall Game: https://redwall-mossflower.surge.sh/

Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/097c63b5fe7dd8b14866e1f15bb1910ec713658a.pdf

Transformer Inventor Warning: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064563986914554125



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

The ‘best’ generally available AI model just dropped, but there is plenty I bet you missed about what it is, how it performs, and what the release tells us. 15 highlights from the 244 page system card, plus private testing, leader interview and more.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:49 - Mythos in Weeks
01:49 - Adaptive not necessary
02:26 - Honesty?
04:37 - Flagging Uncertainty
04:57 - Benchmarks
08:54 - Mythos will be even better
10:30 - Business skillz
11:15 - Model Welfare
12:16 - Cyber Comparable
13:10 - Misalignment Concerns
16:22 - Meta Inabilities
17:58 - Code flagging
18:34 - Go to sleep
18:50 - Fast Mode
20:21 - Dynamic Workflows


Opus 4.8 Paper: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/c886650a2e96fc0925c805a1a7ca77314ccbf4a6.pdf

Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-8


Chips: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-talks-use-microsofts-ai-chips?rc=sy0ihq
https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-our-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services
https://www.anthropic.com/news/higher-limits-spacex

Patreon Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/re-up-anthropics-159289449

GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.04374

Amodei Technical Debt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xco5Qd2Oo8

Dynamic Workflows: https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2060044853279617150
https://x.com/_catwu/status/2060054180379689074/photo/1
https://claude.com/blog/introducing-dynamic-workflows-in-claude-code

https://simple-bench.com/


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

The biggest Google AI push of the year, but what is the bigger story? Why is Google pursuing a different fork in the road than OpenAI or Anthropic? What does Gemini 3.5 Flash mean for the near-term future of AI? 

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

Plus the highlights from a provocative new paper on AI, 8 key moments you may have missed, and the signal from 5+ hours of AI lab interviews.



Check out my free to use app, code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:38 - Vibes and Google Goal
02:18 - Omni, again?
06:57 - Taking the same road
07:44 - Gemini 3 Flash
12:37 - Pitching on Cost?
13:55 - Agentic Task Search
14:30 - 1-shot OS but jagged, negation paper
20:02 - The Karpathy Moonshot 

Mostafa Deghani Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bo19sXssYXI

Negation Neglect Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.13829

Gemini 3.5 Flash Headline Scores: https://deepmind.google/models/model-cards/gemini-3-5-flash/

Sors original AGI Path: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/24/openai-video-generation-tool-sora-babies-ai-artificial-intelligence

Hassabis Helped Set-up Anthropic: https://archive.fo/20260519070857/https://www.ft.com/content/8f2a529e-7a1b-4d8e-95be-338d0c4c98f5

Intelligence to Output Speed: https://artificialanalysis.ai/models?intelligence-comparison=intelligence-vs-output-speed#intelligence

VibeCodeBench + Finance Agent: https://www.vals.ai/home

OpenAI Needs Ads: https://archive.ph/20260409123153/https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/openai-projects-25-billion-ad-revenue-this-year-100-billion-by-2030-axios-2026-04-09/

Anthropic Core Views: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety

Karpathy Move: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2056753169888334312
https://www.axios.com/2026/05/19/anthropic-openai-karpathy-andrej-claude

Recursive Self-Improvement: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ineffably-smart-156866417



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

GPT 5.5 full analysis, plus DeepSeek V4 paper highlights, comparisons with Mythos, a vibe-coded game w/ GPT Image 2, and 50 data-points you wouldn’t get from just reading the headlines.

Chapters:

01:11 - GPT 5.5 Comparison

06:04 - Mythos Marketing

11:50 - Recursive Self-Improvement?

14:11 - Deepseek V4

18:03 - VibeCode Experiment Extravaganza

21:44 - The Scarce Compute Era

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

OpenAI Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-5/

5.5 System Card: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-5-5/gpt-5-5.pdf

Direct Comparison: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGnNm5GWEAAJ1Ob?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

DeepSeek Paper: https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V4-Pro

SWE Bench Pro - benchmark of choice? https://x.com/ChowdhuryNeil/status/2047416077622395025

AA Omniscience: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience

Vending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2047377260412649967

Opus 4.7 System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdf

Sam Altman Drunk Phase: https://x.com/sama/with_replies

Noam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2047387675762802998

DeepSeek Compute Crunch: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-24/deepseek-unveils-newest-flagship-a-year-after-ai-breakthrough?srnd=phx-ai

Spreadsheet Bench: https://x.com/nicochristie/status/2047476237464211721

Pattern Recognition: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard

Leader Interviews: 

Core Memory: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NCKQL0op30E

Knowledge Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JoUcQ1qmAc
Big Tech Round 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190&t=1116s

Big Tech Round 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnoQ8RJbALw&t=8s

Claude Code Limitations: https://x.com/TheAmolAvasare/status/2046724659039932830

ChatGPT 5.4 for Clinicians: https://openai.com/index/making-chatgpt-better-for-clinicians/

Image Arena: https://x.com/arena/status/2046670703311884548

VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code

5.5-made Game +Seedance 2.0: https://rosemere-quest.pages.dev/

Claude Opus 4.7 just dropped, but behind every headline lies a deeper story. From a bonanza of benchmarks, to seeing the fruits of one of the biggest mega-projects in US history, to sneaky Mythos disclaimers, to Anthropic admitting compute restraints and, forcing lower capability of Opus 4.7. Where the new model falls behind Gemini but ahead of GPT 5.4, plus why some users are furious at Anthropic. Ending with a 9-year animus, that still affects AI today…

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained



Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:58 - Benchmarks
05:21 - Market Share + Compute Problems
08:12 - Mythos Exclusives
12:56 - User Frustration + Claude Code Updates
14:03 - Brockman Amodei Rivalry
17:40 - OpenAI vs Anthropic Approach to Code

Claude 4.7 Opus Release Notes: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7
vs Mythos: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGCGugrXUAAKcHp?format=jpg&name=medium

232-page System Card: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/037f06850df7fbe871e206dad004c3db5fd50340.pdf

ARC-AGI 2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2044834615417053305/photo/1

ParseBench: https://x.com/jerryjliu0/status/2044902620746363016/photo/1

GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa

Vidoc Security Replication: https://blog.vidocsecurity.com/blog/we-reproduced-anthropics-mythos-findings-with-public-models

Boris Cherny Settings: https://x.com/Hesamation/status/2043016923961577516/photo/2

User Frustration: https://x.com/RileyRalmuto/status/2044836116189069660

VibeCode Bench: https://x.com/ValsAI/status/2044791415524471099/photo/1

Verge Memo: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/911118/openai-memo-cro-ai-competition-anthropic

5.4 Cyber: ​​https://openai.com/index/scaling-trusted-access-for-cyber-defense/

Data Centers in Absolute $: https://x.com/finmoorhouse/status/2044933442236776794/photo/1

…in % of GDP: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HGEN8FGWQAAN7Np?format=jpg&name=4096x4096

WSJ Exclusive: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-decadelong-feud-shaping-the-future-of-ai-7075acde

Brockman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6vYvk7R190

$1T Valuation: https://x.com/StefanFSchubert/status/2045039686997967082

Emotions: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts

https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

The model, the mythos, the legend. We have a new best AI model, but not all of us. How good is it, what does it’s new offensive capabilities mean? Why does it’s 244 page report card remind me of Her, and why did the creator of Claude Code call it ‘terrifying’. 30+ highlights sourced by reading the paper in full, old-school, no AI summary.

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:56 - Internal Release + Availability
02:37 - General Capabilities
05:12 - Self-improvement?
06:15 - ‘Terrifying’ Landscape
11:07 - Safety Decision
13:22 - Coding
14:49 - Alignment, Awareness
19:52 - GUI for Agents/Claws + Hallucinations
21:34 - …Emotions?
25:29 - Her connection

244-page System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/8b8380204f74670be75e81c820ca8dda846ab289.pdf

Project Glasswing: https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing
Zero-Day Details: https://red.anthropic.com/2026/mythos-preview/

Mythos ‘terrifying’: https://x.com/bcherny/status/2041605852382351666

New Yorker Altman/Amodei: https://archive.fo/20260406100412/https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/04/13/sam-altman-may-control-our-future-can-he-be-trusted

Alignment Risk Update: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/79c2d46d997783b9d2fb3241de43218158e5f25c.pdf

In a Park: https://x.com/sleepinyourhat/status/2041584808514744742

“Uhm” - https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2041749947385815109


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

First look at exclusive reports about OpenAI's new Spud model, and the model Anthropic think will stir governments to urgency, all in the context of the newly-launched ARC-AGI-3. What does the extreme difficulty of that benchmarks, and its quirky scoring metrics, mean for AI in 2026?

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:55 - OpenAI Side Quests
01:58 - Claude New Model Coming + Universal Equity?
03:13 - ARC-AGI 3
05:00 - Intentional or Unintentional Gaming?
07:11 - But is it AGI Harbinger? No Harness
09:41 - Not the First
12:32 - Automated Researcher
15:00 - Claw Caveat

Spud: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-shifts-responsibilities-preps-spud-ai-model?utm_campaign=Editorial&utm_content=Article&utm_medium=organic_social&utm_source=bluesky%2Cfacebook%2Clinkedin%2Cthreads%2Ctwitter&rc=sy0ihq

FT: OpenAI Special Model: https://www.ft.com/content/de9bf0af-b241-424f-8229-5870b1c0d93d?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Jensen Huang: https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2026/03/23/nvidias-jensen-huang-says-he-thinks-weve-achieved-agi/

Axios Article: https://archive.fo/20260326100140/https://www.axios.com/2026/03/26/anthropic-pentagon-ai-deal#selection-827.0-829.257

https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/3

ARC AGI 3 Paper: https://arcprize.org/media/ARC_AGI_3_Technical_Report.pdf

NetHack Leaderboard: https://balrogai.com/
Paper: https://ai.meta.com/research/publications/the-nethack-learning-environment/
https://x.com/_rockt/status/2036864121585438995

Claw Shells: https://x.com/DrJimFan/status/2036494601750716711

OpenAI Automated Researcher: https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/03/20/1134438/openai-is-throwing-everything-into-building-a-fully-automated-researcher/

Patreon Post: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts

Eng Jobs: https://x.com/lennysan/status/2036535460726767793

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Just 48 hours after releasing GPT 5.3 Instant, OpenAI have released GPT 5.4 Thinking, so either their is an imminent singularity or perhaps we are being distracted from other news. This video will give 9 crucial bits of context, not just on the GPT 5.4 drop but on the background to the meltdown between the Pentagon and Anthropic. What does this say about the state of AI progress, your job, and what is next.


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for 15% off paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:06: GPT 5.4 Breakdown
05:06 - Closing the Loop
06:35 - Spiky Performance
10:31 - Advice
11:32 - Less Encouraging Developments - Fired Like Dogs
17:45 - But Used in Iran


GPT 5.4: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-4/

Hallucinations: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
Investment Banking Bench: https://x.com/bradlightcap/status/2029684672343728452
Move 37: https://x.com/nasqret/status/2029628846518010099
System Card: https://deploymentsafety.openai.com/gpt-5-4-thinking/gpt-5-4-thinking.pdf

Prediction Market Scandal: https://www.wired.com/story/openai-fires-employee-insider-trading-polymarket-kalshi/


GPT 5.3 Instant: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-3-instant/

GDPVal: https://openai.com/index/gdpval/

Claude in Iran: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/03/04/anthropic-ai-iran-campaign

‘Like Dogs’: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/2029605783311470679

Altman leak: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/03/sam-altman-tells-openai-staff-operational-decisions-up-to-government.html

Original 2024 Switch: https://archive.fo/20240116172526/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-16/openai-working-with-us-military-on-cybersecurity-tools-for-veterans#selection-6173.83-6173.226

Amodei Original Memo: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/read-anthropic-ceos-memo-attacking-openais-mendacious-pentagon-announcement?rc=sy0ihq
Anthropic Apology: https://www.anthropic.com/news/where-stand-department-war
OpenAI Employee Reaction: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2029334980481212820

DoD Suppler Risk: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/05/anthropic-pentagon-ai-claude-iran.html
Atlantic Exclusive: https://archive.fo/20260301152646/https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/2026/03/inside-anthropics-killer-robot-dispute-with-the-pentagon/686200/#selection-941.61-941.212
No Negotiation: https://x.com/USWREMichael/status/2029754965778907493

$20B Doubling: https://archive.ph/20260304111124/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/anthropic-nears-20-billion-revenue-run-rate-amid-pentagon-feud

March 2022 Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAA6PZkek4A

https://lmcouncil.ai/



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Will Anthropic be forced to make a version of Claude for war? And does a new paper expose the risks of Claude agents, in both OpenClaw and the field of war? Plus, 5 more twists in the story of the Pentagon versus Anthropic + some AI lab employees, and a petition that could change everything, or nothing...


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:44 - Deadline Day + Petition
02:42 - Twist 1: Existing Deal
03:26 - Twist 2: Existing Policy
04:21 - Twist 3: Twin Threats
05:54 - Twist 4: Interesting Objections
11:32 - Twist 5: Anthropic’s Dropped Policy


Dario Statement: https://www.anthropic.com/news/statement-department-of-war

Google/OpenAI Petition: https://notdivided.org/

Axios on Amodei Rejection: https://www.axios.com/2026/02/26/anthropic-rejects-pentagon-ai-terms

FT on US Threat: https://www.ft.com/content/11d27612-d6c5-4cf7-94dd-f65603549b7f

Politico on Latest: https://archive.ph/20260227013117/https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/26/incoherent-hegseths-anthropic-ultimatum-confounds-ai-policymakers-00800135

The Verge on Current Deal: https://www.theverge.com/ai-artificial-intelligence/883456/anthropic-pentagon-department-of-defense-negotiations

Anthropic RSP change: https://www.anthropic.com/news/responsible-scaling-policy-v3

Time Magazine on RSP: https://time.com/7380854/exclusive-anthropic-drops-flagship-safety-pledge/

Agent of Chaos Paper: https://x.com/NatalieShapira/status/2026062499599319526

AI Agent Reliability Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.16666

My Patreon Video: https://www.patreon.com/posts/real-mystery-ai-151647211

Patreon Documentary: https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279 



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Do we have a new best AI model, or do we have the downfall of benchmarks in general, as a way of capturing machine intelligence? Full breakdown of Gemini 3.1 Pro, guest-starring the new Sonnet 4.6, plus analysis from 7 papers/posts that will give you much needed context. Oh, and a new record on Simple Bench!

https://epoch.ai/ai-explained-datacenters


Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:30 - Post-training Dominance
04:00 - ARC-AGI 2 Caveat
05:54 - Simple Bench Record
08:22 - Hallucination Caveat
10:05 - Model Card
11:12 - Exponential Coming
12:20 - Amodei on Generalizing
15:10 - One True Benchmark?
17:02 - Other Metrics…

Gemini 3.1 Model Card: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/Model-Cards/Gemini-3-1-Pro-Model-Card.pdf

Release: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-3-1-pro/

Where are Agents deployed?: https://www.anthropic.com/research/measuring-agent-autonomy

Newsletter Post: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/p/4-ai-numbers-that-surprised-me-this-week

Hallucination AA: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience

Melanie Mitchell: https://x.com/MelMitchell1/status/2022738363548340526
ARC-AGI-2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2024522812728496470/photo/1

Chollet on Agentic Coding and ML: https://x.com/fchollet/status/2024519439140737442

METR Caveat: https://metr.org/notes/2026-01-22-time-horizon-limitations/

Talaas Fast: https://chatjimmy.ai/

Amodei Interview Continual learning: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dario-amodei-2?open=false#%C2%A7002942-is-continual-learning-necessary-how-will-it-be-solved

Metaculus FutureEval: https://www.metaculus.com/futureeval/

Next Vid to Watch: https://www.patreon.com/posts/what-you-need-to-150647292



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

The two models that you will hear discussed for at least the next two months - Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3 Codex - just got released within 26 mins or each other. The full breakdown of around 250 pages of reports, with just the most interest moments, from the battle of which is best, Claude personhood, the surprising misbehaviour of Opus 4.6, and much more

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:54 - Self-improvement?
02:44 - Knowledge Work
05:30 - Overly agentic behaviour
09:12 - Who Shouldn’t Use Claude Opus
11:39 - Step-change?
15:09 - Claude’s ‘Personhood’

Hassabis Roadmap: https://www.patreon.com/posts/hassabis-roadmap-149750869

Release of Opus 4.6: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6
212 Page System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/0dd865075ad3132672ee0ab40b05a53f14cf5288.pdf
Claude Code Tip: https://x.com/bcherny/status/2019475897691124107


GPT Codex 5.3: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-3-codex/

System Card: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-3-codex-system-card/

Browse Comp: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.12516v1
Finance Agent: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/finance_agent
Terminal Bench 2: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.11868
Vending Bench: https://andonlabs.com/blog/opus-4-6-vending-bench

My X post: https://x.com/AIExplainedYT/status/2016851303436095647

Anthropic Apology: https://x.com/ch402/status/2014066134194995256/photo/1

Altman rebuttal: https://x.com/sama/status/2019139174339928189
https://x.com/sama/status/2019140276246442089

4% of GitHub: https://x.com/dylan522p/status/2019490550911766763



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Anthropic's CEO, who has consistently predicted transformative AI will arrive before 2030, recently published a nearly 20,000-word essay outlining his vision of where AI is heading. The video gives you the highlights. The essay argues that scaling and recursion will advance AI from coding automation to full engineering automation, while warning of economic displacement within 1-2 years and China's trajectory toward AI-enabled totalitarianism. Additionally, Dario Amodei predicts that AI models will increasingly be understood as collections of distinct personas rather than monolithic systems.

80,000 Hours: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B54EQiuO1UU



Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for Pro: https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:10 - Scaling to software engineers
06:11 - Permanent Underclass
10:18 - Totalitarian Nightmares
16:38 - Collection of Personas

Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology

Physics Prediction: https://www.quantamagazine.org/is-particle-physics-dead-dying-or-just-hard-20260126/

Axios: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

World GDP: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2024&start=1961&view=chart

Demis Hassabis Counter: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q6fq4_uP7aM

Karpathy 80%: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2015883857489522876

Machines of Loving Grace: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

Anthropic LessWrong: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5aKRshJzhojqfbRyo/unless-its-governance-changes-anthropic-is-untrustworthy#1__In_private__Dario_frequently_said_he_won_t_push_the_frontier_of_AI_capabilities__later__Anthropic_pushed_the_frontier

Original Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claudes-constitution

New Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution

Kimi K2.5: https://x.com/Kimi_Moonshot/status/2016024049869324599

Societies of Thought, Google DeepMind Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.10825

https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A new tool, with code written by an AI model, has gone omega-viral: Claude Cowork. But is the hype justified? What do the stats say on productivity? Where is the truth in a sea of noise? What is truth? Can we handle the truth? Where's Nemo?

https://matsprogram.org/s26-aie


Check out my new app! https://lmcouncil.ai

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - Claude Cowork
06:48 - Productivity Speed-up + jobs
09:33 - Comparing Models
12:00 - Brittle AI Paper

Cowork Intro: https://x.com/claudeai/thread/2010805682434666759

'All of it': https://x.com/bcherny/status/2010813886052581538

'AGI' Claims: https://x.com/deepfates/status/2004994698335879383

Douglas Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOsNrV3bXtQ&t=2313s

Job Stats: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Evidence-of-an-AI-driven-shakeup-of-job-markets-is-patchy.pdf
Amodei Prediction: https://fortune.com/2025/05/28/anthropic-ceo-warning-ai-job-loss/

GenAI Traffic: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2009075877347512545

Illusion of Insight: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2601.00514
Entropy Exploration: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2506.14758
ProRL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24864

Genesis Mission: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/11/launching-the-genesis-mission/
https://deepmind.google/blog/how-were-supporting-better-tropical-cyclone-prediction-with-ai/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

It’s probably not possible to satisfactorily condense a 12 month’s worth of weird progress in AI, as well as predictions for the year to come, into one video. But I’m gonna try anyway because it has been a very strange time.

http://matsprogram.org/s26-aie


My new app! https://lmcouncil.ai


Patreon Interview: https://www.patreon.com/posts/robot-in-your-27-146376094

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:34 - Reasoning Models … and limits
02:54 - A playable world
03:36 - Realism
03:50 - AI Slop gone mainstream
05:03 - DolphinGemma
05:39 - Public Mood
07:34 - AI Enlisted
08:30 - GPT-5
11:05 - Open Weight not out
13:00 - METR Breakout
17:30 - VASA-1
18:28 - Lateral Productivity
20:15 - 1 or 1000 benchmarks needed?
24:54 - Continual Learning + Altman on Superintelligence
28:08 - Automated Information Discovery ft AlphaEvolve


Hassabis on Generality: https://x.com/demishassabis/status/2003097405026193809
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto

Gemini 3: https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif
Reasoning Trade-offs: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837

DolphinGemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09

Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/

METR Time Horizon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
Flaws: https://x.com/ShashwatGoel7/status/2002369517499105443
https://shash42.substack.com/p/how-to-game-the-metr-plot
https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/2002203627377574113

GPT-5 - Altman phd in everything: https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/14/business/chatgpt-rollout-problems

https://simple-bench.com/

AI Slop: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_3vxoJDD9k
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/dec/16/boost-for-artists-in-ai-copyright-battle-as-only-3-per-cent-back-uk-active-opt-out-plan

Survey: https://x.com/SearchlightInst/status/2001057144842387920/photo/1

Nvidia Nemotron: https://x.com/percyliang/status/2000608134205985169

OpenAI Compute Flywheel: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001363007209914399/photo/1
Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ

AI in Govt: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259

Benchmark Gaming: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/07/meta-exec-denies-the-company-artificially-boosted-llama-4s-benchmark-scores/

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/
https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf?utm_source=deepmind.google&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=gdm&utm_content=
Continual Learning: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf

Job Risk: https://archive.ph/20250708204527/https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

GPT4o: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1916889492172013989

Vasa-1: https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/project/vasa-1/

Three Views: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K2D45BNxnZjdpSX2j/ai-timelines
Turing Test: https://x.com/tunguz/status/1907185471211422147

Karpathy Year in Review: https://karpathy.bearblog.dev/year-in-review-2025/

LLM Brainrot: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.13928

Lateral Productivity: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/frontier-ai-trends-report

Emotional Quotient: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.08394

Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

The condensed highlights of hours of AI lab leader interviews, model releases, Gemini 3 Flash insights (plus it’s hidden flaw), Hassabis’ ‘proto-AGI’ and much more…

https://matsprogram.org/apply?utm_source=ai-explained&utm_medium=youtube&utm_campaign=s26  

Also, do check out my new app: https://lmcouncil.ai

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
00:50 - Results
02:44 - But… the Flaw
04:49 - So Benchmarks are fake? No
07:37 - Spatial Reasoning + Hassabis
10:06 - Proto-AGI
12:07 - Minimal AGI
15:07 - Compute Slowdown
17:56 - New Data Paradigm

Gemini 3 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/

Hassabis Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PqVbypvxDto
Legg Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3u_FAv33G0
Pre-training Lead Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNGDAqFXvew
Altman Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P27Ef-LLuQ
Brockman Video: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2001336514786017417
Post-Training Reveal: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2001742530472534442

Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf
Patreon Hallucinations Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812
AA-Omniscience Benchmark: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2511.13029


lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks 
https://simple-bench.com/
https://x.com/scaling01/status/1999620587744813205

5.2 Codex Drop: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ac7c37ae-7f4c-4442-b741-2eabdeaf77e0/oai_5_2_Codex.pdf

OpenAI Compute Trend: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-350-billion-computing-cost-problem?rc=sy0ihq

Cramer Tweet/Response: https://x.com/BorisMPower/status/2001440650210976018

OpenAI Valuation: ​​https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-discussed-raising-tens-billions-valuation-around-750-billion?rc=sy0ihq

Indian Data: https://www.reuters.com/world/india/with-freebies-openai-google-vie-indian-users-training-data-2025-12-17/

TheInformation Data: https://x.com/theinformation/status/2001421225751351778

Genie 3: https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/
Sima 2: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/
Veo 3.1: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/

METR: https://metr.org/blohttps://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Full GPT-5.2 breakdown - did OpenAI reclaim the crown? A story of tokens, time and cost, plus 9 details you wouldn’t get just from reading the headlines.

https://www.youtube.com/@eightythousandhours



AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained
https://lmcouncil.ai

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:55 - Better than Human @ Professional Tasks?
04:42 - Test time Compute
07:05 - Benchmark Selection
09:32 - Simple Results + council comparison
13:01 - Long Context
13:52 - Self-Improvement
15:00 - 10 Years + New Models

Release Page: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2/

GPT 5.2 Benchmark Comparison: https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1pka1y9/gpt52_all_20_benchmarks_rankings_and_pricing/
https://storage.googleapis.com/gweb-uniblog-publish-prod/original_images/gemini_3_table_final_HLE_Tools_on.gif
https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

Charxiv: https://charxiv.github.io/#leaderboard

GDPval: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.04374
My vid: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oK5LxMaROSA

Kilpatrick: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1999270402712023158/photo/1

Noam Brown: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1999189845164667132

New Model in New Year: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-developing-garlic-model-counter-googles-recent-gains?rc=sy0ihq

10 Years of OpenAI: https://openai.com/index/ten-years/

GPQA: https://x.com/idavidrein/status/1841265634170278063

ARC-AGI 1-2: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/2/

Sunday Robotics: https://x.com/tonyzzhao/status/1991204839578300813


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/


https://lmcouncil.ai

With headlines of an imminent job apocalypse, code red for ChatGPT and recursive self-improvement, at the same time as Anthropic's CEO yesterday saying we know how to scale to AGI, and Gemini 3 DeepThink out today, it is easy to get lost among the narratives and counter-narratives. So here are both, plus the facts behind them, for you to decide.


https://epoch.ai/data/data-centers

Epoch AI is the sponsor of today’s video, and my views, and those expressed in this video, do not necessarily reflect Epoch AI’s views in any way.


Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
00:42 - Job Apocalypse?
01:45 - Scaling to AGI
04:15 - Recursive Self-Improvement Needed, or Not
09:57 - OpenAI Code Red vs Gemini 3 DeepThink vs Claude Opus 4.5
13:27 - DeepSeek Speciale vs Mistral Large v3
16:45 - Claude Soul Document

https://lmcouncil.ai/

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Guardian Interview: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/ng-interactive/2025/dec/02/jared-kaplan-artificial-intelligence-train-itself

MIT Study on Jobs/Tasks: https://iceberg.mit.edu/report.pdf
vs https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/26/mit-study-finds-ai-can-already-replace-11point7percent-of-us-workforce.html

Amodei on Scaling: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FEj7wAjwQIk
Claude Soul Document: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vpNG99GhbBoLov9og/claude-4-5-opus-soul-document

Capabilities Original Stance: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety

Ilya Interview: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutskever-2

Ricursive Intelligence: https://x.com/RicursiveAI/status/1995932204703346946

Economist Worker Usage of GenAI: https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/11/26/investors-expect-ai-use-to-soar-thats-not-happening#selection-1409.94-1413.42

Mistral v3 Large: https://docs.mistral.ai/models/mistral-large-3-25-12

Compute Slowdown Paper: https://joel-becker.com/images/publications/forecasting_time_horizon_under_compute_slowdown.pdf
https://x.com/joel_bkr/status/1993023436541903155

METR Chart: https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-350-billion-computing-cost-problem?rc=sy0ihq

OpenAI Code Red: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety
Rocket Company: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/sam-altman-rocket-elon-musk-spacex-b2878351.html

DeepSeek Paper: https://arxiv.org/html/2512.02556v1

DeepSeek Crowdstrike CCP: https://www.crowdstrike.com/en-us/blog/crowdstrike-researchers-identify-hidden-vulnerabilities-ai-coded-software/

https://simple-bench.com/

Patreon Post: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts

Robot: https://x.com/jloganolson/status/1985850115379351799

Gemini 3 Pro is out, and records fell like snowflakes in Svalbard. 

No long description, chapters or links today, huge technical difficulties, including with audio, so just want to publish asap.


https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained


https://lmcouncil.ai
AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/
Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

A lot just got released in the last 36 hours, and it will all affect hundreds of millions of people. 10 details you would miss if you just read the headlines, from GPT 5.1 regressions, to how Claude hacked Govt Agencies, to SIMA 2, and Musical Turing Tests.

https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction

00:56 - GPT 5.1 Smarter?

01:47 - Some Regressions

03:22 - Sycophancy?

05:22 - Claude Auto-Hacking 

06:16 - Jailbreaking through Granularity

08:22 - This Will be Re-used

09:30 - Hallucinating Hacker

09:57 - Surprisingly Neutral Tone

12:18 - SIMA 2

14:10 - Alpha Parallels

17:24 - AI Music

GPT 5.1 Announcement: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1/

System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/4173ec8d-1229-47db-96de-06d87147e07e/5_1_system_card.pdf

Benchmarks: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-1-for-developers/

Simple Bench: https://lmcouncil.ai/benchmarks

Auto-Hacking: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1989033793190277618

https://www.anthropic.com/news/disrupting-AI-espionage

Report: https://assets.anthropic.com/m/ec212e6566a0d47/original/Disrupting-the-first-reported-AI-orchestrated-cyber-espionage-campaign.pdf

Sima 2 Announcement: https://deepmind.google/blog/sima-2-an-agent-that-plays-reasons-and-learns-with-you-in-virtual-3d-worlds/

https://x.com/amoufarek/status/1988986075331858693

Scepticism: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/11/13/1127921/google-deepmind-is-using-gemini-to-train-agents-inside-goat-simulator-3/

Voyager: https://voyager.minedojo.org/

Reuters Music: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/are-you-listening-bots-survey-shows-ai-music-is-virtually-undetectable-2025-11-12/

Don’t let headlines about bubbles distract you from the real avenues of progress being explored in AI every week, including what had been thought to be a long-term blocker - continual learning (learning on the fly). 

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

This, plus models introspecting (hesitate before you berate), Nano Banana 2 possibly spotted, Chinese imagen and more.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:26 - Continual Learning (Nested Learning / HOPE)
07:00 - Introspection
10:54 - Image-Gen Progress

Nested Learning Post: https://research.google/blog/introducing-nested-learning-a-new-ml-paradigm-for-continual-learning/

Nested Learning Paper: https://abehrouz.github.io/files/NL.pdf

Original Titans Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2501.00663

Siri News: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri

Introspection: https://www.anthropic.com/research/introspection

Full Paper: https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/introspection/index.html#mechanisms

Earlier Work: https://www.anthropic.com/research/mapping-mind-language-model
https://transformer-circuits.pub/2024/scaling-monosemanticity/index.html

Release Post: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1983584136972677319

https://lmcouncil.ai 



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Sora 2 - the start of the infinite slop-feed or a key step to a generalist agent? Better than VEO 3 or over-hyped? I bring out 6 details you may have missed, contrast the announcement to Periodic Labs and even squeeze in some Claude Sonnet 4.5 analysis. Maybe I should make my videos longer…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:40 - Two models?
01:15 - Rollout Details
01:43 - Versus Sora 1 / Veo 3
04:30 - Sora App / Social Media
06:40 - Masterplan
09:30 - Generalist Agent? Periodic Labs
12:05 - Claude Sonnet 4.5
13:42 - Future Outlook

Announcement: https://openai.com/index/sora-2/
Launch Video: https://www.youtube.com/live/gzneGhpXwjU
System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/50d5973c-c4ff-4c2d-986f-c72b5d0ff069/sora_2_system_card.pdf
Sam Altman Blog Post on Sora App: https://blog.samaltman.com/sora-2

Most Intelligent Claim: https://x.com/willdepue/status/1973089331284681110
GTA: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1973298436536766666

Meta Vibes: https://x.com/alexandr_wang/status/1971295156411433228?s=46

Altman on Regulations: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5jjk4CDnj9tA7ugxr/openai-email-archives-from-musk-v-altman
OpenAI Profit: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-first-half-results-4-3-billion-sales-2-5-billion-cash-burn?rc=sy0ihq

Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/technology/ai-meta-google-openai-periodic.html
https://x.com/LiamFedus/status/1973055380193431965
https://baincapitalventures.com/insight/we-must-know-we-will-know/?s=09

Sonnet 4.5: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5
https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

An OpenAI report released in the last 24 hours is the best look we have as to whether 2025 AI can automate your job. I’ll go through 4 unexpected findings, from which model is best at what, to practical tips and massive caveats. Plus UFC robots, radiologist essay, don’t trust videos and the blockers to the singularity. 

Gray Swan: https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

GDPval: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d5eb7428-c4e9-4a33-bd86-86dd4bcf12ce/GDPval.pdf

[GDP Impact: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=331&eid=211

Task List: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/11-9141.00

Summer Tweet: https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1971252567981146347

Emad: https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1971254153067593739

Robots: https://x.com/cixliv/status/1967663286679478759

Unitree G1: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/1970039940022239491

Don’t Trust Video: https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1970453369446871420

AGI Tweet: https://x.com/hyhieu226/status/1968378785709133915

Blockers to the Singularity: https://www.patreon.com/posts/blockers-to-and-139264812

Framework: https://gemini.google.com/share/f4b9c85a6ae9

METR Study (Dev Slowdown): https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

Karpathy Tweet: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1971220449515516391

Radiology Essay: https://worksinprogress.co/issue/the-algorithm-will-see-you-now/

Chapters:

00:00 - Introduction

00:55 - OpenAI Report Summary

02:40 - Tipping Point Speed-up

04:11 - Better than Industry Experts?

06:33 - Big Caveat

11:10 - Karpathy and the Radiologist Analogy

13:30 - Outro

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, announced a set of new ‘protections’ and ‘privileges’ for ChatGPT users, requiring a significant amount of trust from users. From predicting your age based on your chat to calling law enforcement if you are at risk of harm, to allowing non-minors to flirt. But amidst all of these announcements, there are interview snippets you may have missed, as Altman dramatically revises his predictions of AI impact on jobs. Plus a Hassbis backtrack to boot.

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

Calling the Cops: https://openai.com/index/teen-safety-freedom-and-privacy/

Age Prediction: https://openai.com/index/building-towards-age-prediction/

Not Everyone Will Agree: https://x.com/sama/status/1967955739911364693?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Theory 1: NYT Lawsuit: https://openai.com/index/response-to-nyt-data-demands/

Theory 2: FTC Investigation into AI Companions: https://x.com/AndrewCurran_/status/1966167585994764743

YT Does the Same: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/youtube-ai-powered-technology-teen-users/

Carlsen Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5KmpT-BoVf4

vs Senate Testimony (70% Jobs): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5CWVP8-XVjQ

Hallucinations Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/d04913be-3f6f-4d2b-b283-ff432ef4aaa5/why-language-models-hallucinate.pdf

Hassbis Quote 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=toShbNUGAyo

vs Quote 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kr3Sh2PKA8Y

Wait, why did Sam Altman say AI was in a bubble? Or did he? Is it? 8 points for you to consider, before we all get distracted by Nano Banana.

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:14 - Sam Altman Clarification
02:30 - Media Calls a Bubble (for the tenth time)
03:40 - MIT and McKinsey Analysed
08:21 - Incremental Progress Deceptive
12:07 - Reasoning Breakthroughs
15:31 - CEOs might not know their products
17:25 - But did stocks go down?
17:31 - Media is Contradictory of course


https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal


Bubble about to burst: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/08/20/ai-report-triggering-panic-and-fear-on-wall-street/

Nano Banana: https://blog.google/products/gemini/updated-image-editing-model/
https://ai.studio/banana

McKinsey Report: https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/seizing-the-agentic-ai-advantage#/
https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/quantumblack/our-insights/the-state-of-ai#/
Revenue: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/mckinsey-consulting-firms-ai-strategy-89fbf1be

MIT Report: https://mlq.ai/media/quarterly_decks/v0.1_State_of_AI_in_Business_2025_Report.pdf

Safe Superintelligence: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/12/openai-co-founder-ilya-sutskevers-safe-superintelligence-reportedly-valued-at-32b/

Thinking Machines Lab: https://techcrunch.com/2025/07/15/mira-muratis-thinking-machines-lab-is-worth-12b-in-seed-round/

WSJ Prediction 2024: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/the-ai-revolution-is-already-losing-steam-a93478b1
WP Prediction 2023: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/08/05/ai-hype-bubble-chatgpt/

Companies are Pouring Billions into AI: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/business/ai-business-payoff-lags.html

Consumer Surplus: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/ais-overlooked-97-billion-contribution-to-the-economy-users-service-da6e8f55
Figure AI robot: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1958193476639826383

GDP Bet: https://x.com/adamdangelo/status/1627726566259318784?lang=en

Genie 3 Immersion: https://x.com/holynski_/status/1953879983535141043

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1953861448431718662
htttps://simple-bench.com
MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/#leaderboard 
Prophet Arena: https://www.prophetarena.co/leaderboard

NYT Jobs: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/19/opinion/ai-job-loss-deindustrialization.html

Dawn of Reasoning?: https://openreview.net/pdf?id=FkKBxp0FhR
vs :https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.04121

ARC-AGI: https://arcprize.org/arc-agi/1/
https://x.com/fchollet/status/1870169764762710376?lang=en-GB

Turing Test: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.23674

Mathematics of Starvation: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jul/31/the-mathematics-of-starvation-how-israel-caused-a-famine-in-gaza
https://donate.redcross.org.uk/appeal/gaza-crisis-appeal

https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

METR Interview: https://www.patreon.com/c/aiexplained/posts

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/
Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf

Amodei: https://kantrowitz.medium.com/the-making-of-anthropic-ceo-dario-amodei-449777529dd6
https://www.theloganbartlettshow.com/archive/ep-82-dario-amodeis-ai-predictions-through-2030#:~:text=DARIO%3A%20I%20think%20our%20concern,being%20responsible%20to%20accelerate%20things
Unreleased OpenAI: https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1954966393419599962

VLMs Tricked: https://x.com/an_vo12/status/1943715159559545186



AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

GPT-5 will change how hundreds of millions of people use AI. Yes, you might have to forgive the chart crimes, the underwhelming livestream and Altman hype… But it’s a good model. I have read the 50 page system card in full, have the benchmark scores, coding tests, and things you might have missed.

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

Announcement: https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5/

System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/8124a3ce-ab78-4f06-96eb-49ea29ffb52f/gpt5-system-card-aug7.pdf

Extra Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/be60c07b-6bc2-4f54-bcee-4141e1d6c69a/gpt-5-safe_completions.pdf

Altman tweet: https://x.com/sama/status/1953551377873117369

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Uu_VJeVVfo

METR Report: https://metr.github.io/autonomy-evals-guide/gpt-5-report/

ARC-AGI-2: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1953511631054680085

Claude Opus 4.1: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-1

MMMU: https://mmmu-benchmark.github.io/

Cursor Praise: https://x.com/ryolu_/status/1953531724895596669

Soon, anything will be playable. A photo becomes an interactive world, a selfie becomes a new game. Genie 3 from Google, debuting just 2 hours ago, is what I mean, and I have the full analysis, plus the pushback I gave the authors (will it really lead to reliable AI agents? Is that even the point?). You make your own mind up, but it’s certainly fascinating, and not to be overlooked in the week that will bring us GPT-5.

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
01:27 - Background and Access
04:58 - Caveats
07:24 - Demo
10:12 - Conclusion

Announcement: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-world-models/

Isaac Labs: https://developer.nvidia.com/isaac/lab

Genie 2 Coverage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jIm2T7h_a0M

TED Talk Roblox: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OAP0ho5AUg

DeepThink Post: https://www.patreon.com/posts/deep-ish-on-new-135688441

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

GPT-5 did what? OpenAI ahead of Google? There are 9 ways to misread the headlines of the last 48 hours, so this video is here to tell you what happened, sans sizzle. It’s been a fairly momentous last few days, so let’s dive in to the International Math Olympiad Gold, GPT-5 alpha release, whether mathematicians are out of jobs, and the white collar impact by year’s end.

Job Board: https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

New Documentary on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/posts/our-new-age-of-133960279

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
00:18 - AI > Mathematicians?

01:23 - OPENAI vs GOOGLE

02:42 - Irrelevant to Jobs or …

06:45 - White-collar jobs gone?

10:26 - AI is Plateauing?

12:00 - We Don’t Know the Details…

14:33 - GPT-5 alpha

14:54 - Nothing but Exponentials?

15:53 - No Impact?

Announcement: https://x.com/alexwei_/status/1946477742855532918

UCLA Math Prof: https://x.com/ErnestRyu/status/1946699302308635130

ChatGPT Agent: https://openai.com/index/introducing-chatgpt-agent/

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1jn_RpbPbEc&t=796s
System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/839e66fc-602c-48bf-81d3-b21eacc3459d/chatgpt_agent_system_card.pdf

Jerry Tworek (OpenAI): https://x.com/MillionInt/status/1946556255490982022

https://x.com/MillionInt/status/1946558130906968330

Noam Brown Details: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1946478249187377206

Trieu Tranh Retweet: https://x.com/Mihonarium/status/1946880931723194389

Neel Nanda: https://x.com/NeelNanda5/status/1946602953370173647

Terence Tao: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao

Sam Altman: https://x.com/sama/status/1946569252296929727

METR Dev Study: https://metr.org/blog/2025-07-10-early-2025-ai-experienced-os-dev-study/

Ravid Schwatz: https://x.com/ziv_ravid/status/1946378712716562605

AlphaEvolve: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/

https://simple-bench.com/

Meta Salary: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/abel-founder-claims-meta-offered-usd1-25-billion-over-four-years-to-ai-hire-person-still-said-no-despite-equivalent-of-usd312-million-yearly-salary

$2k per month: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-considers-higher-priced-subscriptions-to-its-chatbot-ai-preview-of-the-informations-ai-summit?rc=sy0ihq

Grok 4 is here, but did you know these 10 things about the new model? From benchmark caveats to soloing science, $300 a month secrets to Grok 5 promises, here's 10 new things to know in just under 12 minutes.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:22 - Benchmark Results
02:11 - Benchmark Caveats
02:59 - ARC-AGI 2 
03:35 - SimpleBench
04:49 - ‘Humanity’s Last Exam’
07:20 - SuperGrok Heavy Price
07:58 - API Price
08:12 - Grok 5, Gemini 3.0 Beta, GPT-5
09:12 - System Prompt Change + $1B a month, pollution
10:20 - Not soloing science, helping you solo code

Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1tQ_KrlHgfg&t=1s

Price: https://grok.com/#subscribe
https://x.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1943166841150644622

Gemini DeepThink: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/google-gemini-updates-io-2025/#deep-think

https://simple-bench.com/

ARC-AGI 2: https://x.com/arcprize/status/1943168950763950555

Humanity’s Last Exam: https://agi.safe.ai/

SmartGPT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVade_8H8mE

New Power Plant, 1m GPUs: https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/elon-musk-xai-power-plant-overseas-to-power-1-million-gpus

Gemini 3.0 beta: https://web.archive.org/web/20250709174548/https://github.com/google-gemini/gemini-cli/blob/b0cce952860b9ff51a0f731fbb8a7649ead23530/packages/cli/src/ui/utils/errorParsing.test.ts

Pollution: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/apr/24/elon-musk-xai-memphis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8rU4dv2w8Q
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3VJT2JeDCyw

System Prompt: https://github.com/xai-org/grok-prompts/blob/535aa67a6221ce4928761335a38dea8e678d8501/ask_grok_system_prompt.j2

Burn Rate: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-17/musk-s-xai-burning-through-1-billion-a-month-as-costs-pile-up

Ron Johnson: https://x.com/jdcmedlock/status/1939814516503847259



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

In the last few days Anthropic have released an impressive honest account of how all models blackmail, no matter what goal they have, and despite prompt warnings, and other preventions. But do these models *want* this?

Thanks to Storyblocks for sponsoring this video! Download unlimited stock media at one set price with Storyblocks: storyblocks.com/AIExplained


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:20 - What prompts blackmail?
02:44 - Blackmail walkthrough 
06:04 - ‘American interests’
08:00 - Inherent desire?
10:45 - Switching Goals
11:35 - Murder
12:22 - Realizing it’s a scenario? 
15:02 - Prompt engineering fix?
16:27 - Any fixes?
17:45 - Chekov’s Gun
19:25 - Job implications
21:19 - Bonus Details

Report: https://www.anthropic.com/research/agentic-misalignment
30 Page Appendices: https://assets.anthropic.com/m/6d46dac66e1a132a/original/Agentic_Misalignment_Appendix.pdf
Announcement: https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/1936144602446082431?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
OpenAI Files: https://www.openaifiles.org/
Grok 4 News: https://x.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1936372579607912473
Claude 4 Report Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/6be99a52cb68eb70eb9572b4cafad13df32ed995.pdf
New Apollo Research: https://www.apolloresearch.ai/blog/more-capable-models-are-better-at-in-context-scheming
Interesting Reflections: https://nostalgebraist.tumblr.com/post/785766737747574784/the-void


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

What to make of those headlines that AI can’t reason, seen by tens of millions? I cover the paper in layman’s terms, what it means and doesn’t mean, and what’s next. 

Thanks to Storyblocks for sponsoring this video! Download unlimited stock media at one set price with Storyblocks: https://storyblocks.com/AIExplained

Plus o3-pro and whether it is my current most-recommended model.

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:57 - Viral Post + Headlines
01:42 - Apple Paper Analysis
08:34 - But they do Hallucinate 
10:43 - Not Supercomputers
11:18 - o3 Pro and Recommendations 


13.7M Tweet: https://x.com/RubenHssd/status/1931389580105925115

Apple Paper: https://ml-site.cdn-apple.com/papers/the-illusion-of-thinking.pdf

Guardian Article: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jun/09/apple-artificial-intelligence-ai-study-collapse

Lisan al Gaib post: https://x.com/scaling01/status/1931854370716426246

Multiplication: https://x.com/yuntiandeng/status/1836114401213989366

The Illusion of the Illusion of Thinking: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Zx9ikRj0Enc3SB4wA9HlYIlpmO_8QiUO/view

Marcus: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/jun/10/billion-dollar-ai-puzzle-break-down

Prof Rao: https://x.com/rao2z/status/1927707640223719631

AI Job Headlines: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/technology/ai-mechanize-jobs.html
https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic

Sky News Story: https://news.sky.com/story/can-we-trust-chatgpt-despite-it-hallucinating-answers-13380975

Veo 3 Ad: https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1932891608388681791

Altman Essay: https://blog.samaltman.com/

o3 Original benchmarks: https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5b8b6c44-acd6-43b3-b5c6-1a1d5c6c25e4_2486x1388.png

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GfQ0bfcXQAAQt13.jpg

Alpha Evolve Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RH4hAgvYSzg

https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

There’s a new best language model, so let’s go through the up and downs of Gemini 2.5 Pro 06-05. Record-breaking common-sense, but dumb mistakes remain. And it’s not even their best model, which remains behind the scenes - Gemini 2.5 Ultra. Plus Sundar Pichai’s AGI date and an analysis of whether the current AI unemployment headlines are justified, and Elevenlabs v3.


https://emergentmind.com


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
02:04 - Gemini 2.5 Ultra 
03:34 - Benchmarks
07:41 - AGI Date and Meaning Pichai
09:13 - Jobs and AI Unemployment Fears
15:28 - Elevenlabs v3

Sundar Pichai Fridman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9V6tWC4CdFQ

Pichai More Jobs (until 2026 at least): https://www.techradar.com/pro/alphabet-ceo-sundar-pichai-says-ai-wont-lead-to-job-cuts-will-be-an-accelerator

Gemini Comparison: https://blog.google/products/gemini/gemini-2-5-pro-latest-preview/
https://x.com/viathebrink/status/1930733154203292121

https://simple-bench.com/

White Collar Bloodbath: https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
https://fortune.com/2025/05/25/ai-entry-level-jobs-gen-z-careers-young-workers-linkedin/
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/19/opinion/linkedin-ai-entry-level-jobs.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/25/business/economy/white-collar-layoffs.html

College Unemployment: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market/#--:explore:unemployment

New Scientist AI Hallucinaitons: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2479545-ai-hallucinations-are-getting-worse-and-theyre-here-to-stay/

Duolingo: https://fortune.com/2025/05/24/duolingo-ai-first-employees-ceo-luis-von-ahn/
Klarna: https://www.forbes.com/sites/quickerbettertech/2025/05/18/business-tech-news-klarna-reverses-on-ai-says-customers-like-talking-to-people/

Sholto Douglas: https://www.reddit.com/r/ClaudeAI/comments/1ktt1rb/anthropics_sholto_douglas_says_by_202728_its/

Figure 02: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/1930693311771332853

Elevenlabs v3: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zv_IoWIO5Ek

Gemini Speech Generation: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Not only did I get early access and ran my own tests, as per the title I read both the 120 page Claude 4 Opus and Claude 4 Sonnet System Card, and 25 page report on ASL-3 being triggered, plus the 2 hour launch video, and surrounding coverage. Ft. coding tests, Simple, twitter controversies, deep alignment coverage, spiritual bliss and much more!

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

Chapters: 

00:00 - Introduction
01:12 - 3 Quick Controversies

02:42 - Benchmark Results 

04:20 - 120 page Card 20 Highlights

10:07 - Coding Test
11:27 - Model Welfare and Spiritual Bliss

13:29 -  ASL-3

Claude Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/4263b940cabb546aa0e3283f35b686f4f3b2ff47.pdf?s=09
ASL 3:https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/807c59454757214bfd37592d6e048079cd7a7728.pdf

Tweets: https://x.com/fish_kyle3/status/1925597284546629753

https://x.com/EMostaque/status/1925624164527874452?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

Cursor Says State of the Art for Coding: https://x.com/cursor_ai/status/1925594428095561941

Benchmarks: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-4

Google just announced at least 12 things that are each worthy of a video, but here are the top I/O highlights. From Veo 3 to Deep Research now being useable, Deep Think breaking records to Gemini Diffusion, Gemini 2.5 Flash changing how AI is priced and GemmaVerse, SynthID Detector and Imagen 4. And even this intro is missing other announcements covered in the vid! And yes, they’ll be plenty of Veo 3 clips to enjoy…

https://80000hours.org/aiexplained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:48 - Veo 3
02:10 - Gemini 2.5 Flash
03:13 - Universal Assistant
03:47 - Usage Skyrockets + OpenAI dig
04:51 - Gemini Pro Deep Think
06:21 - Overviews and AI Mode
07:26 - Deep Research Updates (new) + Jules 
08:53 - Make and Deploy Apps with Gemini
09:12 - Imagen 4 
10:00 - Gemini Diffusion
11:46 - Try It On
12:17 - SynthID Detector
13:30 - GemmaVerse, SignGemma, Gemma3n, medGemma
14:24 - Outro + Clips

Event: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o8NiE3XMPrM
Ntaive Audio: https://aistudio.google.com/generate-speech
Gemini Diffusion: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini-diffusion/#capabilities 
New Gemini 2.5 Flash: https://deepmind.google/models/gemini/flash/
SignGemma (See end of this vid): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GjvgtwSOCao
Deep Think: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/google-gemini-updates-io-2025/#flash-improvements
Google Parallel Sampling: https://www.patreon.com/posts/next-level-good-127441188

Price Plans: https://blog.google/products/google-one/google-ai-ultra/
Imagen 4 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/imagen/
Jules: https://jules.google/
SynthID Detector: https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-synthid-ai-content-detector/
Veo 3 Benchmarks: https://deepmind.google/models/veo/evals/
MedGemma: https://deepmind.google/models/gemma/medgemma/
Build Apps: https://aistudio.google.com/apps


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

AlphaEvolve is not the first system to exhibit self-improvement, but it may be the most impressive yet. AI is literally improving the hardware, architectures, data and training methods of AI itself. A deep dive into the paper, drawing on two previous interviews and 5 other papers. Plus a snippet on OpenAI’s new Codex system.

Gray Swan: http://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:27 - AlphaEvolve
05:23 - Limitation
06:10 - Achievements
08:21 - Future Improvements
13:30 - Quirks
16:34 - Final Thoughts

AlphaEvolve release: https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/

Paper: https://storage.googleapis.com/deepmind-media/DeepMind.com/Blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-powered-coding-agent-for-designing-advanced-algorithms/AlphaEvolve.pdf

Terence Tao Quote: https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/114508029896631083

Nature Article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05172-4
MIT Article: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/05/14/1116438/google-deepminds-new-ai-uses-large-language-models-to-crack-real-world-problems/
AI Co-Scientist: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.18864

OpenAI Codex: https://openai.com/index/introducing-codex/


70% of Pull Requests: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1920920456393028027

Amodei Essay: https://www.darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

OpenAI Jason Wei Tweet: https://x.com/_jasonwei/status/1923091260354531612

PromptBreeder: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.16797
DrEureka: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.01967

FT DeepMind: https://www.ft.com/content/4e497a91-670a-4f69-be4a-18e247daba3e



Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

A green card, o3 vs Gemini 2.5, 6 Benchmarks and a whole bunch of my thoughts on what on earth is happening in AI, from here to 2030. Plus, how AI is becoming pay-to-win, and why. Crazy times, 14 mins probably wasn’t enough.

https://app.grayswan.ai/ai-explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:33 - FictionLiveBench
01:37 - PHYBench
02:14 - SimpleBench
02:54 - Virology Capabilities Test
03:13 - Mathematics Performance
04:29 - Vision Benchmarks
05:43 - V* and how o3 works
06:44 - Revenue and costs for you
08:54 - Expensive RL and trade-offs 
09:40 - How to spend the OOMs
13:27 - Gray Swan Arena

Green Card: https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/25/an-openai-researcher-who-worked-on-gpt-4-5-had-their-green-card-denied/
PHYBench: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.16074Virologytest: https://www.virologytest.ai/
How o3 Vision Works: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.14135 https://x.com/sainingxie/status/1912570624523829573
Visual puzzles: https://neulab.github.io/VisualPuzzles/
Fiction Bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1912863028141244850
https://geobench.org/
https://simple-bench.com/
AIME 2025: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/
USAMO: https://x.com/mbalunovic/status/1914398518896193747
NaturalBench: https://linzhiqiu.github.io/papers/naturalbench/
Where’s Waldo: https://uk.pinterest.com/pin/492792384225896298/
IMO and AlphaProof:https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/
Crazy Revenue: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-forecasts-revenue-topping-125-billion-2029-agents-new-products-gain?rc=sy0ihq
Number of Users: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/googles-gemini-user-numbers-revealed-court?rc=sy0ihq
Subscriptions pay to win: https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulmonckton/2025/04/23/google-leak-reveals-new-gemini-ai-subscription-levels/
GPU Trade-offs: https://x.com/sama/status/1915098951067554030
RL Scale-up Amodei: https://www.darioamodei.com/post/on-deepseek-and-export-controls
Log-linear Returns: https://x.com/bobmcgrewai/status/1895228291981943265
2030 Scaling: https://epoch.ai/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030
Model Size: https://x.com/slow_developer/status/1874554473256997201
Adam on AGI: https://x.com/TheRealAdamG/status/1913998366632968381
Papers on Patreon: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2502.01839
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.13837
Chollet Quote: https://x.com/fchollet/status/1912934762580447447
OpenSim: https://opensim.stanford.edu/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Critical analysis of the two most powerful new models behind ChatGPT, o3 and o4-mini. Not just the system cards, benchmarks, and my own tests, but some you may not have seen before. Yes, they can whip up amazing front-end in a few seconds, but you always have to ask what is in their data. Either way, they prove the gains from RL are just beginning…

https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained


Chapters:
00:00 - o3 and o4-mini


https://simple-bench.com/

Plus, Teams and Pro,  plus token count: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1912568994512662679

System Card: https://openai.com/index/o3-o4-mini-system-card/

Release Notes: https://openai.com/index/introducing-o3-and-o4-mini/

https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/pro/

https://x.com/DeryaTR_/status/1912558350794961168

https://x.com/polynoamial/status/1912564068168450396

API Pricing:https://openai.com/api/pricing/

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

This pod won’t just be about the release of GPT 4.1 in the last 48 hours, o3 build-up, Kling 2.0, a sneak-peak at the next OpenAI model, or even the new Dolphin language tool. It will be about 7 such stories that contextualise where we are in AI and what is happening.

https://www.emergentmind.com/

Chapters: 

00:00 - Introduction

00:30 - Kling 2.0

01:35 - GPT 4.1

05:25 - o3 Build-up

07:37 - ‘Product Company’

09:31 - Safe Superintelligence

10:54 - DolphinGemma

13:16 - Data Dominance?

Kling 2.0: https://app.klingai.com/global/release-notes

Dolphin Gemma: https://blog.google/technology/ai/dolphingemma/?s=09

https://openai.com/index/gpt-4-1/

OpenAI o3 Build-up The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-latest-breakthrough-ai-comes-new-ideas?rc=sy0ihq

Physical reasoning: https://x.com/a_karvonen/status/1911839968990814503

Fiction Live.bench: https://x.com/ficlive/status/1911853409847906626

Altman Ted: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5MWT_doo68k

https://simple-bench.com/try-yourself

https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/

4.5: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6nJZopACRuQ

Geospatial reasoning: https://research.google/blog/geospatial-reasoning-unlocking-insights-with-generative-ai-and-multiple-foundation-models/

Pioneers: https://x.com/OpenAIDevs/status/1910017976256119151

Evals: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=scsW6_2SPC4

Anthropic Updates: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-15/anthropic-is-readying-a-voice-assistant-feature-to-rival-openai?srnd=phx-ai

https://x.com/sethsaler/status/1912188383457059301

https://techcrunch.com/2025/04/12/openai-co-founder-ilya-sutskevers-safe-superintelligence-reportedly-valued-at-32b/

https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/

https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/pro/

https://research.google/blog/accelerating-scientific-breakthroughs-with-an-ai-co-scientist/

https://blog.google/products/google-cloud/ironwood-tpu-age-of-inference/

OpenAI Documentary: https://www.patreon.com/posts/one-machine-to-121940490

The latest on Llama 4, and whether it signals a slowdown in AI, or solid progress. Plus, a deep dive on that viral prediction of superintelligence by 2027, and Amodei’s cautionary words on what could stop AI progress in its tracks. o3 news, and more, as well.

Weights & Biases: https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained


DeepSeek Doc: https://www.patreon.com/posts/openai-is-not-r1-125869969

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:47 - Stock Crash 
02:28 - Llama 4
10:55 - o3 News
11:59 - OpenAI non-profit?
13:13 - AI 2027

Llama 4 Release: https://ai.meta.com/blog/llama-4-multimodal-intelligence/

Dario Amodei Comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esCSpbDPJik

Knowledge Cut-off: https://www.llama.com/docs/model-cards-and-prompt-formats/llama4_omni/

Aider Polyglot: https://aider.chat/docs/leaderboards/

Gemini 1.5: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.05530

Fiction-LiveBench: https://fiction.live/stories/Fiction-liveBench-Mar-25-2025/oQdzQvKHw8JyXbN87

OpenAI Valuation: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/technology/openai-valuation-300-billion.html?login=smartlock&auth=login-smartlock

OpenAI Cybersecurity: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-16/openai-working-with-us-military-on-cybersecurity-tools-for-veterans

Deep research System Card: https://cdn.openai.com/deep-research-system-card.pdf

https://openai.com/index/paperbench/

AI 2027: https://ai-2027.com/

METR Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499

OpenAI non-profit: https://openai.com/index/nonprofit-commission-guidance/

NYT Piece: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/technology/ai-futures-project-ai-2027.html?unlocked_article_code=1.804._yKi.QhwOp15Q3tcU&smid=url-share&s=09

Kokotajlo predictions 2021: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like

https://simple-bench.com/


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

Gemini gets a new record on Simple Bench, and several other benchmarks. I’ll go deep to explore its nuances, including how it deceptively reverse engineers answers, does better on certain coding benchmarks than others, may have a universal ‘conceptual language’ …

https://weave-docs.wandb.ai/?utm_source=sponsorship&utm_medium=simple_bench&utm_campaign=ai_explained

… and more. Plus practical tips, a note on security and Kling vs Veo 2 guest appearance.


AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
00:36 - Fiction Bench
02:41 - Practicality - YouTube urls + Security - cut-off date
03:42 - Coding 
06:22 - WeirdML Bench
07:01 - Simple Bench Record High 
11:23 - Reverse Engineering!
13:22 - Anthropic Paper
17:49 - 3 Caveats

Gemini 2.5 Updated: https://deepmind.google/technologies/gemini/

Fiction Live Bench: https://fiction.live/stories/Fiction-liveBench-Feb-19-2025/oQdzQvKHw8JyXbN87

https://simple-bench.com/

WeirdML: https://htihle.github.io/weirdml.html
https://x.com/htihle/status/1905014058228625542

Anthropic Thoughts: https://www.anthropic.com/research/tracing-thoughts-language-model
https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/attribution-graphs/biology.html#dives-cot

https://aistudio.google.com/prompts/new_chat

Search Study: https://www.cjr.org/tow_center/we-compared-eight-ai-search-engines-theyre-all-bad-at-citing-news.php

Live bench: https://livebench.ai/#/
Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2406.19314

LiveCode Bench: https://livecodebench.github.io/

SWE-Verified: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2310.06770


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

Gemini 2.5 is out, on the same day as the new DeepSeek V3 (which should power Deepseek R2). Do both models prove AI is being commoditized? Let’s find out, on this blockbuster day of AI releases. Plus exclusives from the Information, Simple indications, Vista Bench, LM Arena and more…

AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

Chapters: 
00:00 - Introduction
01:15 - Gemini 2.5 Benchmarks
05:46 - Long Context, Simple indication
07:08 - New Deepseek V3 -024
09:11 - Microsoft MAI
11:48 - 90% of code but new Claude jobs

‘World’s most powerful model’: https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1904580368432586975

Gemini 2.5 Release Notes: https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/gemini-model-thinking-updates-march-2025/#gemini-2-5-thinking

‘Commoditized’: https://the-decoder.com/microsoft-ceo-satya-nadella-says-ai-models-are-getting-commoditized/

Microsoft Information report: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/microsofts-ai-guru-wants-independence-from-openai-thats-easier-said-than-done?rc=sy0ihq

LMarena: https://x.com/lmarena_ai/status/1904581128746656099/photo/1

Free for now: https://x.com/btibor91/status/1904578053537476628

Vista Bench:https://scale.com/leaderboard/visual_language_understanding

DeepSeek V3: https://huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-V3-0324

Claude Plays Pokemon: https://www.twitch.tv/claudeplayspokemon
Amodei: 100% Coding: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esCSpbDPJik&t=3017s

Anthropic Jobs: https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/anthropic/jobs/4020717008

Microsoft Money from Onslaught: https://www.972mag.com/microsoft-azure-openai-israeli-army-cloud/

https://simple-bench.com/

Release Date Comments: https://x.com/zacharynado/status/1904647277861318979


Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/